首页 > 最新文献

Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics最新文献

英文 中文
Efficient optimization-based method for simultaneous calibration of load and resistance factors considering multiple target reliability indices 基于优化的高效方法,可同时校准考虑多个目标可靠性指数的载荷系数和阻力系数
IF 3 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103695
Nhu Son Doan , Van Ha Mac , Huu-Ba Dinh
This study introduces an innovative optimization process for calibrating probabilistic load and resistance factors (LRFs) in limit state designs, effectively accommodating multiple target reliability indices. Given the impracticality of direct Monte Carlo simulations (MCS) for this task, a response surface method (RSM) is proposed to approximate load and resistance components separately rather than fitting conventional safety factors. This approach eliminates the need for additional implicit evaluations, thereby improving the efficiency of LRF calibration across multiple targets. The process is further enhanced by an adaptive boundary algorithm that updates search domains in real-time, streamlining the optimization. Validation through three examples—including one explicit and two implicit performance functions (a structural and a geotechnical example)—demonstrates that the method achieves accurate results with fewer iterations by dynamically narrowing search domains. Specifically, the accuracy of the proposed method is confirmed by comparing results with those from the literature for the explicit example and with basic MCS results applied to the initial implicit problems. Performance on the illustrative examples shows that the structural example achieves calibration for three targets within ten iterations. Additionally, this method eliminates the need for approximately ten thousand implicit evaluations when calculating limit state points for the geotechnical example.
本研究介绍了一种创新的优化流程,用于校准极限状态设计中的概率荷载和阻力系数(LRFs),可有效适应多个目标可靠性指数。鉴于直接进行蒙特卡罗模拟 (MCS) 不切实际,本研究提出了一种响应面法 (RSM),用于分别近似载荷和阻力分量,而不是拟合传统的安全系数。这种方法无需进行额外的隐式评估,从而提高了多个目标的 LRF 校准效率。自适应边界算法可实时更新搜索域,简化优化过程,从而进一步增强了这一过程。通过三个示例(包括一个显式和两个隐式性能函数(一个结构示例和一个岩土示例))进行的验证表明,该方法通过动态缩小搜索域,以较少的迭代次数获得了精确的结果。具体来说,通过与文献中的显式示例结果以及应用于初始隐式问题的基本 MCS 结果进行比较,证实了所建议方法的准确性。示例的性能表明,结构示例在十次迭代内实现了三个目标的校准。此外,在计算岩土工程实例的极限状态点时,该方法无需进行约一万次隐式评估。
{"title":"Efficient optimization-based method for simultaneous calibration of load and resistance factors considering multiple target reliability indices","authors":"Nhu Son Doan ,&nbsp;Van Ha Mac ,&nbsp;Huu-Ba Dinh","doi":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103695","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103695","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study introduces an innovative optimization process for calibrating probabilistic load and resistance factors (LRFs) in limit state designs, effectively accommodating multiple target reliability indices. Given the impracticality of direct Monte Carlo simulations (MCS) for this task, a response surface method (RSM) is proposed to approximate load and resistance components separately rather than fitting conventional safety factors. This approach eliminates the need for additional implicit evaluations, thereby improving the efficiency of LRF calibration across multiple targets. The process is further enhanced by an adaptive boundary algorithm that updates search domains in real-time, streamlining the optimization. Validation through three examples—including one explicit and two implicit performance functions (a structural and a geotechnical example)—demonstrates that the method achieves accurate results with fewer iterations by dynamically narrowing search domains. Specifically, the accuracy of the proposed method is confirmed by comparing results with those from the literature for the explicit example and with basic MCS results applied to the initial implicit problems. Performance on the illustrative examples shows that the structural example achieves calibration for three targets within ten iterations. Additionally, this method eliminates the need for approximately ten thousand implicit evaluations when calculating limit state points for the geotechnical example.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54583,"journal":{"name":"Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics","volume":"78 ","pages":"Article 103695"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142421053","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Nonprobabilistic time-dependent reliability analysis for uncertain structures under interval process loads 区间过程载荷下不确定结构的非概率时间相关可靠性分析
IF 3 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103687
Jinglei Gong , Xiaojun Wang , Tangqi Lv , Junliu Yang , Linhui Zhou
In this paper, a novel nonprobabilistic analysis framework is proposed to evaluate the time-dependent reliability of uncertain structures under time-varying loads. Firstly, a novel uncertainty propagation method is developed by combining interval process integration and surrogate-based interval analysis and the correlation coefficient between responses of adjacent time steps is further analyzed. Subsequently, the nonprobabilistic time-dependent reliability is analyzed base on the first-passage theory and the established interval model. Unlike existing nonprobabilistic methods that consider time-invariant external loads, the proposed method applies an interval process to describe time-varying external loads, thereby offering a broader range of applicability. Compared to existing nonprobabilistic methods that consider time-varying loads, the proposed method establishes a more refined nonprobabilistic time-dependent reliability model based on the first passage theory, achieving higher accuracy. The effectiveness and superiority of the proposed method are validated through a numerical example and an engineering application.
本文提出了一种新的非概率分析框架,用于评估不确定结构在时变载荷作用下的时变可靠性。首先,结合区间过程积分法和基于代用的区间分析法,开发了一种新的不确定性传播方法,并进一步分析了相邻时间步的响应之间的相关系数。随后,基于第一通道理论和已建立的区间模型,分析了非概率随时间变化的可靠性。与现有的考虑时间不变外部载荷的非概率方法不同,所提出的方法采用区间过程来描述时间变化的外部载荷,因此具有更广泛的适用性。与现有的考虑时变载荷的非概率方法相比,所提出的方法以第一通道理论为基础,建立了更精细的非概率时变可靠性模型,实现了更高的精度。通过一个数值实例和一个工程应用验证了所提方法的有效性和优越性。
{"title":"Nonprobabilistic time-dependent reliability analysis for uncertain structures under interval process loads","authors":"Jinglei Gong ,&nbsp;Xiaojun Wang ,&nbsp;Tangqi Lv ,&nbsp;Junliu Yang ,&nbsp;Linhui Zhou","doi":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103687","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103687","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this paper, a novel nonprobabilistic analysis framework is proposed to evaluate the time-dependent reliability of uncertain structures under time-varying loads. Firstly, a novel uncertainty propagation method is developed by combining interval process integration and surrogate-based interval analysis and the correlation coefficient between responses of adjacent time steps is further analyzed. Subsequently, the nonprobabilistic time-dependent reliability is analyzed base on the first-passage theory and the established interval model. Unlike existing nonprobabilistic methods that consider time-invariant external loads, the proposed method applies an interval process to describe time-varying external loads, thereby offering a broader range of applicability. Compared to existing nonprobabilistic methods that consider time-varying loads, the proposed method establishes a more refined nonprobabilistic time-dependent reliability model based on the first passage theory, achieving higher accuracy. The effectiveness and superiority of the proposed method are validated through a numerical example and an engineering application.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54583,"journal":{"name":"Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics","volume":"78 ","pages":"Article 103687"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142420999","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Special issue: Fractional calculus & stochastic dynamics
IF 3 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103703
Antonina Pirrotta (Guest Editors), Mario Di Paola (Guest Editors), Massimiliano Zingales (Guest Editors)
{"title":"Special issue: Fractional calculus & stochastic dynamics","authors":"Antonina Pirrotta (Guest Editors),&nbsp;Mario Di Paola (Guest Editors),&nbsp;Massimiliano Zingales (Guest Editors)","doi":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103703","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103703","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":54583,"journal":{"name":"Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics","volume":"78 ","pages":"Article 103703"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143179423","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Reliability analysis of cutting tools using transformed inverse Gaussian process-based wear modelling considering parameter dependence 考虑到参数依赖性,使用基于反高斯过程的磨损模型进行切削工具可靠性分析
IF 3 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103698
Monojit Das , V.N.A. Naikan , Subhash Chandra Panja
Reliability analysis is crucial for ensuring the performability of the desired function. The cutting tool performs the machining operation at varied conditions to manufacture diverse products. During operation, the tool degrades stochastically in the form of wear. To avoid the unfavourable consequences occurring from severe tool wear, appropriate formulation of the tool reliability, considering threshold degradation level as the failure criterion, is crucial. However, the degradation of the tool during machining is impacted by the current state of the tool wear and operating conditions. Considering these, the present study proposes a state-dependent transformed inverse Gaussian (TIG) process incorporating the effects of operating conditions to develop the tool wear model. In order to evaluate the proposed method, tool wear experiments are conducted at different operating conditions following the Taguchi orthogonal array experimental design. The experimental data are utilised to estimate the parameters of the developed model using the Bayesian approach. Following the parameter estimation, tool reliability is evaluated under varying operating conditions. The comparison of the estimated median time to failure of the tools with the failure time observed in the validation experiments ensures the effectiveness of the proposed model. The proposed approach has the potential to estimate the reliability of the industrial products subjected to state-dependent degradation under varied operating conditions.
可靠性分析对于确保所需功能的可执行性至关重要。切削工具在不同条件下执行加工操作,以制造不同的产品。在操作过程中,刀具会以磨损的形式随机退化。为避免刀具严重磨损造成的不利后果,必须适当制定刀具可靠性标准,并将阈值退化水平作为失效标准。然而,刀具在加工过程中的退化会受到刀具磨损现状和工作条件的影响。考虑到这些因素,本研究提出了一种与状态相关的变换反高斯(TIG)过程,并将工作条件的影响纳入其中,以建立刀具磨损模型。为了评估所提出的方法,按照田口正交阵列实验设计,在不同的操作条件下进行了刀具磨损实验。实验数据被用来使用贝叶斯方法估计所开发模型的参数。在参数估计之后,对不同操作条件下的工具可靠性进行评估。将估算的工具失效中位时间与验证实验中观察到的失效时间进行比较,确保了所提模型的有效性。所提出的方法可用于估算工业产品在不同运行条件下随状态退化的可靠性。
{"title":"Reliability analysis of cutting tools using transformed inverse Gaussian process-based wear modelling considering parameter dependence","authors":"Monojit Das ,&nbsp;V.N.A. Naikan ,&nbsp;Subhash Chandra Panja","doi":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103698","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103698","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Reliability analysis is crucial for ensuring the performability of the desired function. The cutting tool performs the machining operation at varied conditions to manufacture diverse products. During operation, the tool degrades stochastically in the form of wear. To avoid the unfavourable consequences occurring from severe tool wear, appropriate formulation of the tool reliability, considering threshold degradation level as the failure criterion, is crucial. However, the degradation of the tool during machining is impacted by the current state of the tool wear and operating conditions. Considering these, the present study proposes a state-dependent transformed inverse Gaussian (TIG) process incorporating the effects of operating conditions to develop the tool wear model. In order to evaluate the proposed method, tool wear experiments are conducted at different operating conditions following the Taguchi orthogonal array experimental design. The experimental data are utilised to estimate the parameters of the developed model using the Bayesian approach. Following the parameter estimation, tool reliability is evaluated under varying operating conditions. The comparison of the estimated median time to failure of the tools with the failure time observed in the validation experiments ensures the effectiveness of the proposed model. The proposed approach has the potential to estimate the reliability of the industrial products subjected to state-dependent degradation under varied operating conditions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54583,"journal":{"name":"Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics","volume":"78 ","pages":"Article 103698"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142531093","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Laplace and Mellin transform for reconstructing the probability distribution by a limited amount of information 利用有限信息量重建概率分布的拉普拉斯和梅林变换
IF 3 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103700
Lizhi Niu , Mario Di Paola , Antonina Pirrotta , Wei Xu
A method for reconstructing the Probability Density Function (PDF) of a random variable using the Laplace transform is first introduced for one-sided PDFs. This approach defines new complex quantities, referred as Shifted Characteristic Functions, which allow the PDF to be computed using a classical Fourier series expansion. The method is then extended to handle double-sided PDFs by redefining the double-sided Laplace transform. This new definition remains applicable even when the integral in the inverse Laplace transform is discretized along the imaginary axis. For comparison, a new definition of double-sided Complex Fractional Moments based on Mellin transform is also introduced, addressing the singularity at zero that arises during PDF reconstruction.
本文首次介绍了一种利用拉普拉斯变换重建随机变量概率密度函数(PDF)的单边 PDF 方法。这种方法定义了新的复杂量,称为移位特征函数,可以使用经典的傅里叶级数展开计算 PDF。然后,通过重新定义双面拉普拉斯变换,将该方法扩展到处理双面 PDF。即使反拉普拉斯变换中的积分沿虚轴离散,这一新定义仍然适用。为了便于比较,还引入了基于梅林变换的双面复分数矩的新定义,以解决 PDF 重构过程中出现的零点奇异性问题。
{"title":"Laplace and Mellin transform for reconstructing the probability distribution by a limited amount of information","authors":"Lizhi Niu ,&nbsp;Mario Di Paola ,&nbsp;Antonina Pirrotta ,&nbsp;Wei Xu","doi":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103700","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103700","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>A method for reconstructing the Probability Density Function (PDF) of a random variable using the Laplace transform is first introduced for one-sided PDFs. This approach defines new complex quantities, referred as Shifted Characteristic Functions, which allow the PDF to be computed using a classical Fourier series expansion. The method is then extended to handle double-sided PDFs by redefining the double-sided Laplace transform. This new definition remains applicable even when the integral in the inverse Laplace transform is discretized along the imaginary axis. For comparison, a new definition of double-sided Complex Fractional Moments based on Mellin transform is also introduced, addressing the singularity at zero that arises during PDF reconstruction.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54583,"journal":{"name":"Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics","volume":"78 ","pages":"Article 103700"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142531094","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Real-time anomaly detection of the stochastically excited systems on spherical (S2) manifold 球形(S2)流形上随机激发系统的实时异常检测
IF 3 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103689
Satyam Panda , Breiffni Fitzgerald , Budhaditya Hazra
Advanced analytical tools have become crucial in today’s constantly changing and complex systems. Real-time Principal Geodesic Analysis (RPGA) is a novel technique that provides a unique perspective for analyzing nonlinear data on differentiable manifolds. Traditional linear methods are often inadequate when exploring the complexities of such data. Orthogonal transformation techniques such as Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Principal Geodesic Analysis (PGA) are highly desirable for condition monitoring stochastically excited systems in domains like mechanical, aerospace, and civil engineering. However, uncertainties and dynamic fluctuations necessitate robust analytical methods for early change detection to ensure safety, performance, and cost-effectiveness. Limitations posed by linear orthogonal transformation techniques such as PCA and its recursive counterparts make it imperative to adapt these techniques to nonlinear situations where data does not evolve in a flat Euclidean space. Significant advancements have been made in this field over recent decades, with data-driven real-time algorithms such as RPCA, RCCA, and RSSA providing reliable solutions for complex multidimensional problems. However, for curved space, the nonlinear RPGA technique takes center stage. It is known for its effectiveness in extracting meaningful information from the complex data stream. This paper explores the foundational concepts and methodologies underlying the transition from linear to nonlinear data analysis. By examining examples such as stochastic geometric oscillator on S2, and the inverted spherical pendulum cart system navigating a rough surface, we illustrate the significance of reliable, real-time damage detection techniques provided by tools such as RPGA.
在当今不断变化的复杂系统中,先进的分析工具已变得至关重要。实时主大地分析法(RPGA)是一种新颖的技术,为分析可变流形上的非线性数据提供了独特的视角。传统的线性方法往往不足以探索此类数据的复杂性。主成分分析(PCA)和主大地分析(PGA)等正交变换技术非常适用于机械、航空航天和土木工程等领域的随机激励系统的状态监测。然而,由于不确定性和动态波动,有必要采用稳健的分析方法进行早期变化检测,以确保安全、性能和成本效益。由于线性正交变换技术(如 PCA 及其递归对应技术)的局限性,必须将这些技术应用于非线性情况,即数据并非在平坦的欧几里得空间中演化。近几十年来,这一领域取得了重大进展,RPCA、RCCA 和 RSSA 等数据驱动型实时算法为复杂的多维问题提供了可靠的解决方案。然而,对于曲线空间,非线性 RPGA 技术占据了中心位置。众所周知,它能有效地从复杂数据流中提取有意义的信息。本文探讨了从线性数据分析过渡到非线性数据分析的基本概念和方法。通过研究 S2 上的随机几何振荡器和在粗糙表面上航行的倒球摆小车系统等示例,我们说明了 RPGA 等工具提供的可靠、实时损坏检测技术的重要性。
{"title":"Real-time anomaly detection of the stochastically excited systems on spherical (S2) manifold","authors":"Satyam Panda ,&nbsp;Breiffni Fitzgerald ,&nbsp;Budhaditya Hazra","doi":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103689","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103689","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Advanced analytical tools have become crucial in today’s constantly changing and complex systems. Real-time Principal Geodesic Analysis (RPGA) is a novel technique that provides a unique perspective for analyzing nonlinear data on differentiable manifolds. Traditional linear methods are often inadequate when exploring the complexities of such data. Orthogonal transformation techniques such as Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Principal Geodesic Analysis (PGA) are highly desirable for condition monitoring stochastically excited systems in domains like mechanical, aerospace, and civil engineering. However, uncertainties and dynamic fluctuations necessitate robust analytical methods for early change detection to ensure safety, performance, and cost-effectiveness. Limitations posed by linear orthogonal transformation techniques such as PCA and its recursive counterparts make it imperative to adapt these techniques to nonlinear situations where data does not evolve in a flat Euclidean space. Significant advancements have been made in this field over recent decades, with data-driven real-time algorithms such as RPCA, RCCA, and RSSA providing reliable solutions for complex multidimensional problems. However, for curved space, the nonlinear RPGA technique takes center stage. It is known for its effectiveness in extracting meaningful information from the complex data stream. This paper explores the foundational concepts and methodologies underlying the transition from linear to nonlinear data analysis. By examining examples such as stochastic geometric oscillator on <span><math><msup><mrow><mtext>S</mtext></mrow><mrow><mn>2</mn></mrow></msup></math></span>, and the inverted spherical pendulum cart system navigating a rough surface, we illustrate the significance of reliable, real-time damage detection techniques provided by tools such as RPGA.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54583,"journal":{"name":"Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics","volume":"78 ","pages":"Article 103689"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142420998","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Quantified active learning Kriging model for structural reliability analysis 用于结构可靠性分析的量化主动学习克里金模型
IF 3 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103699
Ioannis Prentzas, Michalis Fragiadakis
A quantified active learning Kriging-based (qAK) methodology for structural reliability analysis is presented. The proposed approach is based on an updated probability density function (PDF), which is dominant in the vicinity of the limit-state surface. This PDF is created using weights based on an improved learning function called the most probable misclassification function. This function is used as a metric for efficiently updating the Kriging model, as it symmetrically quantifies the uncertainty of candidate points in terms of the model’s accuracy. The proposed approach accurately approximates the points that lie on the limit-state surface. Moreover, a probabilistic-based stopping criterion is proposed. The new support points are selected using the weighted K-means algorithm and the sample from the updated PDF. Thus, the method does not require solving an optimization problem or using a sampling algorithm. The proposed qAK methods are more reliable and robust than previous implementations of the Kriging method for structural reliability assessment. The proposed approach is presented within the framework of standard reliability methods, i.e., the Monte Carlo and the Subset Simulation methods. The efficiency of the proposed qAK methods is demonstrated with the aid of six case studies.
本文介绍了一种基于克里金法的量化主动学习(qAK)结构可靠性分析方法。所提出的方法基于更新的概率密度函数(PDF),该函数在极限状态面附近占主导地位。该概率密度函数使用基于改进学习函数(称为最可能误分类函数)的权重创建。该函数被用作有效更新 Kriging 模型的度量标准,因为它以模型的准确性为基准,对称地量化了候选点的不确定性。所提出的方法可以精确地逼近极限状态面上的点。此外,还提出了一种基于概率的停止准则。新的支持点是通过加权 K-means 算法和更新后的 PDF 样本选出的。因此,该方法无需解决优化问题或使用采样算法。与以往用于结构可靠性评估的克里金方法相比,所提出的 qAK 方法更加可靠和稳健。所提出的方法是在标准可靠性方法(即蒙特卡罗法和子集模拟法)的框架内提出的。拟议的 qAK 方法借助六个案例研究证明了其效率。
{"title":"Quantified active learning Kriging model for structural reliability analysis","authors":"Ioannis Prentzas,&nbsp;Michalis Fragiadakis","doi":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103699","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103699","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>A <em>quantified</em> active learning Kriging-based (qAK) methodology for structural reliability analysis is presented. The proposed approach is based on an updated probability density function (PDF), which is dominant in the vicinity of the limit-state surface. This PDF is created using weights based on an improved learning function called the <em>most probable misclassification</em> function. This function is used as a metric for efficiently updating the Kriging model, as it symmetrically quantifies the uncertainty of candidate points in terms of the model’s accuracy. The proposed approach accurately approximates the points that lie on the limit-state surface. Moreover, a probabilistic-based stopping criterion is proposed. The new support points are selected using the weighted <span><math><mi>K</mi></math></span>-means algorithm and the sample from the updated PDF. Thus, the method does not require solving an optimization problem or using a sampling algorithm. The proposed qAK methods are more reliable and robust than previous implementations of the Kriging method for structural reliability assessment. The proposed approach is presented within the framework of standard reliability methods, i.e., the Monte Carlo and the Subset Simulation methods. The efficiency of the proposed qAK methods is demonstrated with the aid of six case studies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54583,"journal":{"name":"Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics","volume":"78 ","pages":"Article 103699"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142552657","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Stochastic design optimization of nonlinear structures under random seismic excitations using incremental dynamic analysis 利用增量动态分析对随机地震激励下的非线性结构进行随机优化设计
IF 3 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103707
Pinghe Ni , Zhishen Yuan , Jinlong Fu , Yulei Bai , Liang Liu
The increasing demand for mitigating earthquake hazards has prompted substantial research attention towards performance-based seismic design of civil structures. Nevertheless, there remains limited exploration into optimizing complex structures while accounting for seismic uncertainties. This study seeks to address this gap by introducing an effective approach for optimizing designs of nonlinear structures under random seismic excitations. The key innovation lies in approximating structural failure probability through incremental dynamic analysis (IDA), leading to the development of a novel double-loop optimization method tailored for designing nonlinear structures exposed to stochastic seismic loading conditions. In the outer loop, geometric variables of structures are optimized using sequential quadratic programming; within the inner loop, IDA is adopted for structural analysis to quantify seismic uncertainty, and the resulting failure probability is then served as the optimization constraint for the outer loop. To validate its accuracy and efficacy, numerical investigations have been performed on two representative case studies utilizing OpenSees: a reinforced concrete column and a three-story steel frame. The findings affirm that IDA can precisely estimate failure probabilities associated with nonlinear structures experiencing random ground motions and demonstrate that this proposed methodology can effectively determine optimal geometries aimed at enhancing structural resilience against earthquakes across various levels of failure probabilities and bound constraints.
对减轻地震危害的需求日益增长,促使大量研究关注以性能为基础的民用建筑抗震设计。然而,在考虑地震不确定性的同时优化复杂结构方面的探索仍然有限。本研究试图通过引入一种有效方法来优化随机地震激励下的非线性结构设计,从而弥补这一不足。其关键创新在于通过增量动态分析(IDA)近似计算结构破坏概率,从而开发出一种新颖的双环优化方法,专门用于设计随机地震荷载条件下的非线性结构。在外环中,结构的几何变量通过顺序二次编程进行优化;在内环中,采用增量动态分析(IDA)进行结构分析,量化地震的不确定性,并将得出的破坏概率作为外环的优化约束条件。为了验证其准确性和有效性,利用 OpenSees 对两个具有代表性的案例进行了数值研究:钢筋混凝土柱和三层钢框架。研究结果表明,IDA 可以精确估算随机地面运动中非线性结构的失效概率,并证明所提出的方法可以有效确定最佳几何结构,从而在不同的失效概率和约束条件下提高结构的抗震能力。
{"title":"Stochastic design optimization of nonlinear structures under random seismic excitations using incremental dynamic analysis","authors":"Pinghe Ni ,&nbsp;Zhishen Yuan ,&nbsp;Jinlong Fu ,&nbsp;Yulei Bai ,&nbsp;Liang Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103707","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103707","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The increasing demand for mitigating earthquake hazards has prompted substantial research attention towards performance-based seismic design of civil structures. Nevertheless, there remains limited exploration into optimizing complex structures while accounting for seismic uncertainties. This study seeks to address this gap by introducing an effective approach for optimizing designs of nonlinear structures under random seismic excitations. The key innovation lies in approximating structural failure probability through incremental dynamic analysis (IDA), leading to the development of a novel double-loop optimization method tailored for designing nonlinear structures exposed to stochastic seismic loading conditions. In the outer loop, geometric variables of structures are optimized using sequential quadratic programming; within the inner loop, IDA is adopted for structural analysis to quantify seismic uncertainty, and the resulting failure probability is then served as the optimization constraint for the outer loop. To validate its accuracy and efficacy, numerical investigations have been performed on two representative case studies utilizing <em>OpenSees</em>: a reinforced concrete column and a three-story steel frame. The findings affirm that IDA can precisely estimate failure probabilities associated with nonlinear structures experiencing random ground motions and demonstrate that this proposed methodology can effectively determine optimal geometries aimed at enhancing structural resilience against earthquakes across various levels of failure probabilities and bound constraints.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54583,"journal":{"name":"Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics","volume":"78 ","pages":"Article 103707"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142572221","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Confidence-based design optimization using multivariate kernel density estimation under insufficient input data 在输入数据不足的情况下,利用多变量核密度估计进行基于置信度的设计优化
IF 3 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103702
Yongsu Jung , Minjik Kim , Hyunkyoo Cho , Weifei Hu , Ikjin Lee
The uncertainty quantification of the input statistical model in reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) has been widely investigated for accurate reliability analysis, and it could be estimated through its characteristics, cumulative experiences, and available data. However, uncertainty quantification of random variables in existing RBDO studies has exploited parametric distributions quantifying the uncertainty through the Bayes' theorem. In addition, a correlation between random variables is often underestimated due to a lack of knowledge and difficulty to describe the high-dimensional correlation. Hence, it has been a challenge to properly quantify input statistical model and its uncertainty. Therefore, a multivariate kernel density estimation (KDE) is employed to perform data-driven confidence-based design optimization (CBDO) for effective quantification of input model uncertainty. Any assumption on input distribution is not necessary since it is established only with the given input data. Moreover, the input model uncertainty due to insufficient data is quantified using bootstrapping and optimal adaptive bandwidth matrices through the Bayes’ theorem using cross-validation error. Consequently, the proposed CBDO with given input data is capable of finding a conservative optimum of RBDO accounting for both aleatory uncertainty of random variables and epistemic uncertainty induced by a limited number of input data through the multivariate KDE.
为进行精确的可靠性分析,基于可靠性的设计优化(RBDO)中输入统计模型的不确定性量化已被广泛研究,可通过其特征、累积经验和可用数据对其进行估计。然而,在现有的 RBDO 研究中,随机变量的不确定性量化都是利用参数分布,通过贝叶斯定理量化不确定性。此外,由于缺乏知识和难以描述高维相关性,随机变量之间的相关性往往被低估。因此,如何正确量化输入统计模型及其不确定性一直是个难题。因此,我们采用了多元核密度估计(KDE)来执行数据驱动的基于置信度的设计优化(CBDO),以有效量化输入模型的不确定性。由于只需根据给定的输入数据即可建立输入分布,因此无需对输入分布进行任何假设。此外,数据不足导致的输入模型不确定性可通过贝叶斯定理使用交叉验证误差进行引导和最优自适应带宽矩阵量化。因此,所提出的具有给定输入数据的 CBDO 能够找到 RBDO 的保守最优值,既考虑到随机变量的可知不确定性,也考虑到通过多元 KDE 由有限的输入数据引起的可知不确定性。
{"title":"Confidence-based design optimization using multivariate kernel density estimation under insufficient input data","authors":"Yongsu Jung ,&nbsp;Minjik Kim ,&nbsp;Hyunkyoo Cho ,&nbsp;Weifei Hu ,&nbsp;Ikjin Lee","doi":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103702","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103702","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The uncertainty quantification of the input statistical model in reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) has been widely investigated for accurate reliability analysis, and it could be estimated through its characteristics, cumulative experiences, and available data. However, uncertainty quantification of random variables in existing RBDO studies has exploited parametric distributions quantifying the uncertainty through the Bayes' theorem. In addition, a correlation between random variables is often underestimated due to a lack of knowledge and difficulty to describe the high-dimensional correlation. Hence, it has been a challenge to properly quantify input statistical model and its uncertainty. Therefore, a multivariate kernel density estimation (KDE) is employed to perform data-driven confidence-based design optimization (CBDO) for effective quantification of input model uncertainty. Any assumption on input distribution is not necessary since it is established only with the given input data. Moreover, the input model uncertainty due to insufficient data is quantified using bootstrapping and optimal adaptive bandwidth matrices through the Bayes’ theorem using cross-validation error. Consequently, the proposed CBDO with given input data is capable of finding a conservative optimum of RBDO accounting for both aleatory uncertainty of random variables and epistemic uncertainty induced by a limited number of input data through the multivariate KDE.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54583,"journal":{"name":"Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics","volume":"78 ","pages":"Article 103702"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142437726","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A data-driven maximum entropy method for probability uncertainty analysis based on the B-spline theory 基于 B-样条理论的概率不确定性分析数据驱动最大熵方法
IF 3 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103688
Gang Li , Yiyuan Wang , Wanxin He , Changting Zhong , Yixuan Wang
The probability density function (PDF) is quite important for structural reliability analysis; thus, accurate PDF modeling methods draw increasing attention. This paper proposes a novel metaheuristic data-driven paradigm of the maximum entropy method (MEM) based on the B-spline function theory. Firstly, a B-spline proxy of the MEM PDF is proposed for probability uncertainty analysis. We derive the parameter calculation formulation and calculate the undetermined parameters via the raw data of structural responses. Then, to determine the knots of the B-spline functions, we propose a novel data-driven approach with the aid of a powerful metaheuristic algorithm and the response data information. Different from the traditional MEM, the proposed method is a complete data-driven solution approach and does not involve the statistical moment calculation and the nonlinear equations composed of statistical moments. Combining the advantages of the B-spline theory and the MEM, the proposed method can reconstruct the response PDF with a complex shape, such as the PDF with multiple peaks or heavy tails. For verification, two numerical examples and one engineering example are analyzed, and compared with some classical PDF modeling methods. The results show that the proposed method is superior to the compared methods in terms of computational accuracy, when the same sample data is used.
概率密度函数(PDF)对于结构可靠性分析相当重要,因此精确的 PDF 建模方法越来越受到关注。本文基于 B-样条函数理论,提出了一种新颖的元启发式数据驱动最大熵方法(MEM)范式。首先,提出了用于概率不确定性分析的 MEM PDF 的 B 样条代理。我们推导出参数计算公式,并通过结构响应的原始数据计算未确定参数。然后,为了确定 B-样条函数的节点,我们提出了一种新颖的数据驱动方法,借助强大的元启发式算法和响应数据信息。与传统的 MEM 方法不同,所提出的方法是一种完整的数据驱动求解方法,不涉及统计矩计算和由统计矩组成的非线性方程。结合 B-样条理论和 MEM 的优点,所提出的方法可以重构具有复杂形状的响应 PDF,如具有多个峰值或重尾的 PDF。为进行验证,分析了两个数值实例和一个工程实例,并与一些经典的 PDF 建模方法进行了比较。结果表明,在使用相同样本数据的情况下,所提出的方法在计算精度方面优于其他方法。
{"title":"A data-driven maximum entropy method for probability uncertainty analysis based on the B-spline theory","authors":"Gang Li ,&nbsp;Yiyuan Wang ,&nbsp;Wanxin He ,&nbsp;Changting Zhong ,&nbsp;Yixuan Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103688","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103688","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The probability density function (PDF) is quite important for structural reliability analysis; thus, accurate PDF modeling methods draw increasing attention. This paper proposes a novel metaheuristic data-driven paradigm of the maximum entropy method (MEM) based on the B-spline function theory. Firstly, a B-spline proxy of the MEM PDF is proposed for probability uncertainty analysis. We derive the parameter calculation formulation and calculate the undetermined parameters via the raw data of structural responses. Then, to determine the knots of the B-spline functions, we propose a novel data-driven approach with the aid of a powerful metaheuristic algorithm and the response data information. Different from the traditional MEM, the proposed method is a complete data-driven solution approach and does not involve the statistical moment calculation and the nonlinear equations composed of statistical moments. Combining the advantages of the B-spline theory and the MEM, the proposed method can reconstruct the response PDF with a complex shape, such as the PDF with multiple peaks or heavy tails. For verification, two numerical examples and one engineering example are analyzed, and compared with some classical PDF modeling methods. The results show that the proposed method is superior to the compared methods in terms of computational accuracy, when the same sample data is used.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54583,"journal":{"name":"Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics","volume":"78 ","pages":"Article 103688"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142421054","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1