首页 > 最新文献

Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics最新文献

英文 中文
Numerical investigation of turbulence effect on flight trajectory of spherical windborne debris: A multi-layered approach 湍流对球形风载碎片飞行轨迹影响的数值研究:多层次方法
IF 3 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103661
Shaopeng Li , Kurtis Gurley , Yanlin Guo , John van de Lindt

Accurate modeling of the turbulent wind field is a crucial component of risk analysis for structures to windborne debris damage. Existing studies typically simplify the complexities of wind turbulence, and the potential influence on the accuracy of debris flight modeling has not been systematically demonstrated. This study takes a multi-layered approach to numerically simulate the flight trajectory of spherical debris in a turbulent wind field. Complexities are incrementally added to the simulated wind field to systematically investigate the influence of spatial correlation and non-Gaussian features of turbulence on debris flight behavior. The sensitivity of debris flight behavior to turbulent wind features will inform the design of debris flight tracking wind tunnel tests and building façade debris vulnerability modeling efforts.

湍流风场的精确建模是结构物遭受风载碎片破坏风险分析的关键组成部分。现有研究通常会简化风湍流的复杂性,而其对碎片飞行建模准确性的潜在影响尚未得到系统论证。本研究采用多层方法对球形碎片在湍流风场中的飞行轨迹进行数值模拟。在模拟风场中逐步增加复杂性,以系统地研究湍流的空间相关性和非高斯特征对碎片飞行行为的影响。碎片飞行行为对湍流风特征的敏感性将为设计碎片飞行跟踪风洞试验和建筑外墙碎片易损性建模工作提供参考。
{"title":"Numerical investigation of turbulence effect on flight trajectory of spherical windborne debris: A multi-layered approach","authors":"Shaopeng Li ,&nbsp;Kurtis Gurley ,&nbsp;Yanlin Guo ,&nbsp;John van de Lindt","doi":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103661","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103661","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Accurate modeling of the turbulent wind field is a crucial component of risk analysis for structures to windborne debris damage. Existing studies typically simplify the complexities of wind turbulence, and the potential influence on the accuracy of debris flight modeling has not been systematically demonstrated. This study takes a multi-layered approach to numerically simulate the flight trajectory of spherical debris in a turbulent wind field. Complexities are incrementally added to the simulated wind field to systematically investigate the influence of spatial correlation and non-Gaussian features of turbulence on debris flight behavior. The sensitivity of debris flight behavior to turbulent wind features will inform the design of debris flight tracking wind tunnel tests and building façade debris vulnerability modeling efforts.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54583,"journal":{"name":"Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141483784","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Performance-based target reliability analysis of offshore wind turbine mooring lines subjected to the wind and wave 对受风浪影响的海上风力涡轮机系泊缆线进行基于性能的目标可靠性分析
IF 3 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103673

Reliability assessment is a crucial aspect of the design and operation of structures, particularly in balancing safety and cost considerations. This paper introduces a novel method for evaluating the performance-based target reliability of floating wind turbine platforms in offshore environments. The method focuses on the platform's motion modes and wave frequencies, which significantly influence the system's structural integrity and performance. An improved limit state function is proposed to enhance the accuracy of reliability calculations, specifically for steady-state conditions. The platform's six degrees of freedom motions are carefully analyzed to investigate their dependence on wave frequencies. By considering the time response of these motions and accounting for uncertainties in wave characteristics, wave impact directions, and wind effects, a comprehensive reliability analysis is conducted to assess the stability modes of the platform. This paper introduces the term 'Reliability Performance-Based' (RPB) analysis as a new concept to evaluate the system's reliability at a given performance level. Furthermore, an optimal target reliability index is defined to address the economic aspect of the design process. The proposed methodology's PEB analysis focuses on capturing uncertainties in wave characteristics and wind effects on floating wind turbine platforms. This includes a detailed examination of wave and wind-induced loads and their propagation through the system concerning its performance level. Statistical models were integrated to quantify these uncertainties, applying Monte Carlo simulations to assess their effects on the platform's reliability. This approach allows for a nuanced understanding of the interactions between environmental factors and structural responses, enhancing the precision of our reliability assessments. It enables the consideration of economic efficiency alongside safety, ensuring a balanced approach to the design and operation of the floating wind turbine platform. By providing a comprehensive reliability assessment framework, it aids in the optimization of design and decision-making processes for floating wind turbine platforms.

可靠性评估是结构设计和运行的一个重要方面,尤其是在平衡安全和成本方面。本文介绍了一种新方法,用于评估海上浮动风力涡轮机平台基于性能的目标可靠性。该方法侧重于平台的运动模式和波频,因为它们对系统的结构完整性和性能有重大影响。为提高可靠性计算的准确性,特别是稳态条件下的可靠性计算,提出了一种改进的极限状态函数。对平台的六个自由度运动进行了仔细分析,以研究它们对波频的依赖性。通过考虑这些运动的时间响应,并考虑波浪特性、波浪冲击方向和风效应的不确定性,进行了全面的可靠性分析,以评估平台的稳定模式。本文引入了 "基于可靠性能"(RPB)分析这一全新概念,用于评估给定性能水平下的系统可靠性。此外,本文还定义了最佳目标可靠性指数,以解决设计过程中的经济问题。拟议方法的 PEB 分析侧重于捕捉浮动风力涡轮机平台上波浪特性和风效应的不确定性。这包括详细检查波浪和风引起的负载及其在系统中的传播,从而影响系统的性能水平。统计模型用于量化这些不确定性,并应用蒙特卡罗模拟来评估它们对平台可靠性的影响。通过这种方法,我们可以深入了解环境因素与结构反应之间的相互作用,从而提高可靠性评估的精确度。在考虑安全性的同时,还能考虑经济效益,确保浮动风力涡轮机平台的设计和运行达到平衡。通过提供全面的可靠性评估框架,它有助于优化浮动风力涡轮机平台的设计和决策过程。
{"title":"Performance-based target reliability analysis of offshore wind turbine mooring lines subjected to the wind and wave","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103673","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103673","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Reliability assessment is a crucial aspect of the design and operation of structures, particularly in balancing safety and cost considerations. This paper introduces a novel method for evaluating the performance-based target reliability of floating wind turbine platforms in offshore environments. The method focuses on the platform's motion modes and wave frequencies, which significantly influence the system's structural integrity and performance. An improved limit state function is proposed to enhance the accuracy of reliability calculations, specifically for steady-state conditions. The platform's six degrees of freedom motions are carefully analyzed to investigate their dependence on wave frequencies. By considering the time response of these motions and accounting for uncertainties in wave characteristics, wave impact directions, and wind effects, a comprehensive reliability analysis is conducted to assess the stability modes of the platform. This paper introduces the term 'Reliability Performance-Based' (RPB) analysis as a new concept to evaluate the system's reliability at a given performance level. Furthermore, an optimal target reliability index is defined to address the economic aspect of the design process. The proposed methodology's PEB analysis focuses on capturing uncertainties in wave characteristics and wind effects on floating wind turbine platforms. This includes a detailed examination of wave and wind-induced loads and their propagation through the system concerning its performance level. Statistical models were integrated to quantify these uncertainties, applying Monte Carlo simulations to assess their effects on the platform's reliability. This approach allows for a nuanced understanding of the interactions between environmental factors and structural responses, enhancing the precision of our reliability assessments. It enables the consideration of economic efficiency alongside safety, ensuring a balanced approach to the design and operation of the floating wind turbine platform. By providing a comprehensive reliability assessment framework, it aids in the optimization of design and decision-making processes for floating wind turbine platforms.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54583,"journal":{"name":"Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141934393","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Modal–based uncertainty quantification for deterministically estimated structural parameters in low-fidelity model updating of complex connections 复杂连接低保真模型更新中确定性估算结构参数的基于模态的不确定性量化
IF 3 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103671

Modeling complex joints in structures entails significant time and effort, necessitating simplifications. Epistemic uncertainties arising from low-fidelity modeling can be quantified through probabilistic model updating. However, finding a surrogate physical model to represent simplified joint configurations poses challenges. Additionally, establishing a Bayesian formulation capable of incorporating structural parameters of connections is necessary. This study employs a validated simplifying parameterization approach for surrogate modeling of complex semi-rigid connections in a benchmark laboratory steel grid. It proposes a modal probabilistic Bayesian methodology to quantify uncertainties in the structure's joints. Three modal-based objective functions are utilized for finite element model updating. The modal properties of the structure are extracted by experimental modal analysis during an impact test, which will be utilized in the model updating process. Deterministic and probabilistic structural parameter estimations are integrated to enhance the robustness of the Bayesian technique. Furthermore, a guideline for selecting optimal hyperparameters is provided. Results demonstrate that utilizing deterministically estimated parameters as prior knowledge can facilitate and improve modal probabilistic model updating for structures with complex joints. Also, it is found that despite significant simplifications of joints, structural parameter tolerance around the maximum a posteriori estimate in surrogate models remains low.

结构中复杂关节的建模需要花费大量的时间和精力,因此必须进行简化。低保真建模产生的认识不确定性可通过概率模型更新进行量化。然而,寻找一个替代物理模型来表示简化的关节配置是一项挑战。此外,还需要建立一个能够纳入连接结构参数的贝叶斯公式。本研究采用了一种经过验证的简化参数化方法,用于在基准实验室钢网格中对复杂的半刚性连接进行代理建模。它提出了一种模态概率贝叶斯方法来量化结构连接中的不确定性。利用三个基于模态的目标函数进行有限元模型更新。结构的模态属性是在冲击试验中通过实验模态分析提取的,将在模型更新过程中加以利用。确定性和概率性结构参数估计相结合,增强了贝叶斯技术的稳健性。此外,还提供了选择最佳超参数的指南。结果表明,利用确定性估计参数作为先验知识,可以促进和改进具有复杂接头的结构的模态概率模型更新。此外,研究还发现,尽管对关节进行了大量简化,代用模型中最大后验估计值附近的结构参数容差仍然很低。
{"title":"Modal–based uncertainty quantification for deterministically estimated structural parameters in low-fidelity model updating of complex connections","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103671","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103671","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Modeling complex joints in structures entails significant time and effort, necessitating simplifications. Epistemic uncertainties arising from low-fidelity modeling can be quantified through probabilistic model updating. However, finding a surrogate physical model to represent simplified joint configurations poses challenges. Additionally, establishing a Bayesian formulation capable of incorporating structural parameters of connections is necessary. This study employs a validated simplifying parameterization approach for surrogate modeling of complex semi-rigid connections in a benchmark laboratory steel grid. It proposes a modal probabilistic Bayesian methodology to quantify uncertainties in the structure's joints. Three modal-based objective functions are utilized for finite element model updating. The modal properties of the structure are extracted by experimental modal analysis during an impact test, which will be utilized in the model updating process. Deterministic and probabilistic structural parameter estimations are integrated to enhance the robustness of the Bayesian technique. Furthermore, a guideline for selecting optimal hyperparameters is provided. Results demonstrate that utilizing deterministically estimated parameters as prior knowledge can facilitate and improve modal probabilistic model updating for structures with complex joints. Also, it is found that despite significant simplifications of joints, structural parameter tolerance around the maximum a posteriori estimate in surrogate models remains low.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54583,"journal":{"name":"Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141934396","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
An improved interval prediction method for recurrence period wind speed 重现期风速的改进区间预测法
IF 3 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103675

Based on the improved interval operation theory, an improved expression of the return period wind speed interval prediction is constructed by using an approximate first-order Taylor series expansion. According to the measured wind speed data in Beijing, Jinan, Nanjing, Wuxi, Shanghai and Shenzhen, the improved method and the traditional method are respectively used to predict the interval of the return period wind speed. Furthermore, the interval results predicted by the improved method and the traditional method are compared and analyzed under the same confidence level. Results show that the improved method has good applicability for different parameter estimation methods under the condition of certain extreme value distribution model, and the interval prediction results of the return period wind speed are basically stable. Compared with the interval results predicted by the traditional method, the interval predicted by the improved method is more likely to be close to or contain the exact solution of the return period wind speed, which has higher prediction accuracy. In addition, the calculation process of the improved method is relatively simple and can realize the simplified calculation of interval prediction.

基于改进的区间运行理论,利用近似一阶泰勒级数展开,构建了改进的回归期风速区间预测表达式。根据北京、济南、南京、无锡、上海和深圳的实测风速数据,分别采用改进方法和传统方法预测了回归期风速的区间。此外,在相同置信水平下,对改进方法和传统方法预测的区间结果进行了比较和分析。结果表明,在一定的极值分布模型条件下,改进方法对不同的参数估计方法具有良好的适用性,重现期风速的区间预测结果基本稳定。与传统方法预测的区间结果相比,改进方法预测的区间更容易接近或包含回归期风速的精确解,预测精度更高。此外,改进方法的计算过程相对简单,可以实现区间预测的简化计算。
{"title":"An improved interval prediction method for recurrence period wind speed","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103675","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103675","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Based on the improved interval operation theory, an improved expression of the return period wind speed interval prediction is constructed by using an approximate first-order Taylor series expansion. According to the measured wind speed data in Beijing, Jinan, Nanjing, Wuxi, Shanghai and Shenzhen, the improved method and the traditional method are respectively used to predict the interval of the return period wind speed. Furthermore, the interval results predicted by the improved method and the traditional method are compared and analyzed under the same confidence level. Results show that the improved method has good applicability for different parameter estimation methods under the condition of certain extreme value distribution model, and the interval prediction results of the return period wind speed are basically stable. Compared with the interval results predicted by the traditional method, the interval predicted by the improved method is more likely to be close to or contain the exact solution of the return period wind speed, which has higher prediction accuracy. In addition, the calculation process of the improved method is relatively simple and can realize the simplified calculation of interval prediction.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54583,"journal":{"name":"Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141979146","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Statistical model calibration of correlated unknown model variables through identifiability improvement 通过可识别性改进对相关未知模型变量进行统计模型校准
IF 3 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103670

A statistical model calibration problem is known to have unstable or non-unique optimal solutions due to its ill-posed inverse nature, which is further complicated by limited test data availability due to time and cost constraints. To overcome these challenges and improve the identifiability of calibration parameters, this study proposes a novel statistical model calibration framework. The proposed method integrates input test data for unknown model variables and output test data for a system response, employing a bivariate form of copula function to model the probability distribution while accounting for the correlations between unknown model variables. Furthermore, a sample-averaged log-likelihood is used as a calibration metric, assuming conditional independence to reflect input and output test data evenly in a single metric. Optimization-based model calibration (OBMC) is performed to identify the probability models that maximize the calibration metric for a given set of input and output test data, among candidates of marginal probability distributions and copula functions. Consequently, this proposed method enhances the identifiability of calibration parameters and overcomes insufficient data issues by taking observations of unknown model variables into account in the statistical model calibration procedure. The proposed framework is validated using numerical examples.

众所周知,统计模型校准问题具有不稳定或非唯一的最优解,这是因为它的反问题性质,而由于时间和成本的限制,测试数据的可用性有限,使得问题变得更加复杂。为了克服这些挑战并提高校准参数的可识别性,本研究提出了一种新型统计模型校准框架。该方法整合了未知模型变量的输入测试数据和系统响应的输出测试数据,采用双变量形式的 copula 函数来模拟概率分布,同时考虑未知模型变量之间的相关性。此外,使用样本平均对数似然作为校准指标,假定条件独立,以单一指标均匀反映输入和输出测试数据。通过基于优化的模型校准(OBMC),可从边际概率分布和共轭函数的候选模型中,找出能使给定输入和输出测试数据集的校准指标最大化的概率模型。因此,通过在统计模型校准过程中考虑对未知模型变量的观测,该方法提高了校准参数的可识别性,并克服了数据不足的问题。所提出的框架通过数值示例进行了验证。
{"title":"Statistical model calibration of correlated unknown model variables through identifiability improvement","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103670","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103670","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>A statistical model calibration problem is known to have unstable or non-unique optimal solutions due to its ill-posed inverse nature, which is further complicated by limited test data availability due to time and cost constraints. To overcome these challenges and improve the identifiability of calibration parameters, this study proposes a novel statistical model calibration framework. The proposed method integrates input test data for unknown model variables and output test data for a system response, employing a bivariate form of copula function to model the probability distribution while accounting for the correlations between unknown model variables. Furthermore, a sample-averaged log-likelihood is used as a calibration metric, assuming conditional independence to reflect input and output test data evenly in a single metric. Optimization-based model calibration (OBMC) is performed to identify the probability models that maximize the calibration metric for a given set of input and output test data, among candidates of marginal probability distributions and copula functions. Consequently, this proposed method enhances the identifiability of calibration parameters and overcomes insufficient data issues by taking observations of unknown model variables into account in the statistical model calibration procedure. The proposed framework is validated using numerical examples.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54583,"journal":{"name":"Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142058279","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Inference on the high-reliability lifetime estimation based on the three-parameter Weibull distribution 基于三参数威布尔分布的高可靠性寿命估计推论
IF 3 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103665

The high-reliability lifetime estimation of the lifting lug is of significant importance, as it is the most crucial component of the aerial bomb. This paper focuses on the high-reliability lifetime of the three-parameter Weibull distribution for lifting lug fatigue data. A novel method is developed to generate estimates of reliability lifetime according to the generalized fiducial inference, whose prior is calculated by the failure data. A posterior distribution is obtained based on Bayesian theory to compute the point estimate and the confidence interval of the generalized fiducial inference for reliability lifetime using the Monte Carlo Markov chain method. Subsequently, it is compared with the non-informative prior Bayesian inference. A Monte Carlo simulation demonstrates that the proposed method outperforms the non-informative prior Bayesian inference. The lower confidence limit of the generalized fiducial inference for the reliability lifetime exhibis satisfactory coverage probabilities. Finally, fatigue tests are performed on 18 lifting lugs under variable loads. The point estimate and the lower confidence limit of the high-reliability lifetime are estimated, which can illustrate the applicability of the proposed method.

吊耳是航空炸弹最关键的部件,因此对吊耳的高可靠性寿命进行估算具有重要意义。本文重点研究了吊耳疲劳数据的三参数 Weibull 分布的高可靠性寿命。本文开发了一种新方法,可根据广义似然推理生成可靠性寿命估计值,而似然推理的先验值由失效数据计算得出。根据贝叶斯理论获得后验分布,利用蒙特卡洛马尔科夫链方法计算出可靠性寿命广义信标推断的点估计和置信区间。随后,将其与非信息先验贝叶斯推断进行比较。蒙特卡罗模拟证明,所提出的方法优于非信息先验贝叶斯推断法。可靠性寿命的广义先验推断的置信度下限显示出令人满意的覆盖概率。最后,对 18 个起重吊耳进行了不同载荷下的疲劳试验。估算出了高可靠性寿命的点估计值和置信下限,从而说明了所提方法的适用性。
{"title":"Inference on the high-reliability lifetime estimation based on the three-parameter Weibull distribution","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103665","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103665","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The high-reliability lifetime estimation of the lifting lug is of significant importance, as it is the most crucial component of the aerial bomb. This paper focuses on the high-reliability lifetime of the three-parameter Weibull distribution for lifting lug fatigue data. A novel method is developed to generate estimates of reliability lifetime according to the generalized fiducial inference, whose prior is calculated by the failure data. A posterior distribution is obtained based on Bayesian theory to compute the point estimate and the confidence interval of the generalized fiducial inference for reliability lifetime using the Monte Carlo Markov chain method. Subsequently, it is compared with the non-informative prior Bayesian inference. A Monte Carlo simulation demonstrates that the proposed method outperforms the non-informative prior Bayesian inference. The lower confidence limit of the generalized fiducial inference for the reliability lifetime exhibis satisfactory coverage probabilities. Finally, fatigue tests are performed on 18 lifting lugs under variable loads. The point estimate and the lower confidence limit of the high-reliability lifetime are estimated, which can illustrate the applicability of the proposed method.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54583,"journal":{"name":"Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141852559","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Nonstationary response statistics of structures with hysteretic damping to evolutionary stochastic excitation 具有滞后阻尼的结构对演化随机激励的非稳态响应统计
IF 3 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103659
Qianying Cao , Sau-Lon James Hu , Huajun Li

The damping of a structure has often been modeled as linear hysteretic damping (LHD), so its corresponding equation of motion (EOM) is an integro-differential equation that involves the Hilbert transform of response displacement. As a result, the system is non-causal in nature, and it is challenging to compute its nonstationary response statistics under evolutionary stochastic excitation. This article develops an efficient solution method to obtain closed-form solutions for various nonstationary response statistics, including the evolutionary power spectrum (EPS), correlation function and mean square values. The novel solution method utilizes the concept of causalization time to introduce a “causalized” impulse response function (IRF), by which causal response statistics are computed based on a pole-residue approach. This approach requires obtaining a pole-residue form of the transfer function (TF) from the frequency response function (FRF) of the system, which is readily obtained from the EOM. Subsequently, the desired response statistics are obtained by shifting the causal response statistics back to the original time. To obtain the pole-residue form of the TF, two steps are necessary: (1) taking the inverse Fourier transform of the FRF of the oscillator to obtain a discrete IRF and (2) using the Prony-SS method to decompose this discrete IRF to obtain the pole residues associated with the TF. The correctness of the proposed method is numerically verified by Monte Carlo simulations through examples of hysteretic damping and mixed viscous-hysteretic damping oscillators that are subjected to white noise, modulated white noise and modulated Kanai–Tajimi model random excitations.

结构阻尼通常被建模为线性滞后阻尼(LHD),因此其相应的运动方程(EOM)是一个涉及响应位移希尔伯特变换的积分微分方程。因此,该系统在本质上是非因果的,要计算其在演化随机激励下的非稳态响应统计具有挑战性。本文开发了一种高效的求解方法,以获得各种非稳态响应统计量的闭式解,包括演化功率谱(EPS)、相关函数和均方值。新颖的求解方法利用因果化时间概念引入 "因果化 "脉冲响应函数 (IRF),从而根据极点残差方法计算因果响应统计量。这种方法要求从系统的频率响应函数(FRF)中获得极点残差形式的传递函数(TF),而频率响应函数可从 EOM 中轻易获得。随后,通过将因果响应统计量移回原始时间,即可获得所需的响应统计量。要获得 TF 的极点残差形式,需要两个步骤:(1) 对振荡器的 FRF 进行反傅里叶变换,以获得离散 IRF;(2) 使用 Prony-SS 方法对离散 IRF 进行分解,以获得与 TF 相关的极点残差。通过对受到白噪声、调制白噪声和调制 Kanai-Tajimi 模型随机激励的滞回阻尼振荡器和粘性-滞回阻尼混合振荡器进行蒙特卡罗模拟,在数值上验证了所提方法的正确性。
{"title":"Nonstationary response statistics of structures with hysteretic damping to evolutionary stochastic excitation","authors":"Qianying Cao ,&nbsp;Sau-Lon James Hu ,&nbsp;Huajun Li","doi":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103659","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103659","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The damping of a structure has often been modeled as linear hysteretic damping (LHD), so its corresponding equation of motion (EOM) is an integro-differential equation that involves the Hilbert transform of response displacement. As a result, the system is non-causal in nature, and it is challenging to compute its nonstationary response statistics under evolutionary stochastic excitation. This article develops an efficient solution method to obtain closed-form solutions for various nonstationary response statistics, including the evolutionary power spectrum (EPS), correlation function and mean square values. The novel solution method utilizes the concept of causalization time to introduce a “causalized” impulse response function (IRF), by which causal response statistics are computed based on a pole-residue approach. This approach requires obtaining a pole-residue form of the transfer function (TF) from the frequency response function (FRF) of the system, which is readily obtained from the EOM. Subsequently, the desired response statistics are obtained by shifting the causal response statistics back to the original time. To obtain the pole-residue form of the TF, two steps are necessary: (1) taking the inverse Fourier transform of the FRF of the oscillator to obtain a discrete IRF and (2) using the Prony-SS method to decompose this discrete IRF to obtain the pole residues associated with the TF. The correctness of the proposed method is numerically verified by Monte Carlo simulations through examples of hysteretic damping and mixed viscous-hysteretic damping oscillators that are subjected to white noise, modulated white noise and modulated Kanai–Tajimi model random excitations.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54583,"journal":{"name":"Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141541906","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Probability density of the solution to nonlinear systems driven by Gaussian and Poisson white noises 高斯和泊松白噪声驱动的非线性系统解的概率密度
IF 3 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103658
Wantao Jia , Zhe Jiao , Wanrong Zan , Weiqiu Zhu

A new method is proposed to compute the probability density of the multi-dimensional nonlinear dynamical system perturbed by a combined excitation of Gaussian and Poisson white noises. We first deduce a probability-density solver from the Euler–Maruyama scheme of the stochastic system and the corresponding Chapman–Kolmogorov equation. This solver actually is an explicit numerical formula of the probability density of the solution to this stochastic system. To compute the probability density, we propose an efficient algorithm for this solver, which actually is the implementation of a numerical integration. Furthermore, we prove this solver is an approximated solution of the corresponding forward Kolmogorov equation. Numerical examples are conducted to illustrate our probability-density solver.

本文提出了一种新方法,用于计算受到高斯白噪声和泊松白噪声联合激励扰动的多维非线性动力系统的概率密度。我们首先从随机系统的 Euler-Maruyama 方案和相应的 Chapman-Kolmogorov 方程推导出概率密度求解器。这个求解器实际上是该随机系统解的概率密度的显式数值公式。为了计算概率密度,我们为这个求解器提出了一种高效算法,实际上就是数值积分的实现。此外,我们还证明了这种求解器是相应的正向科尔莫哥罗夫方程的近似解。我们通过数值示例来说明我们的概率密度求解器。
{"title":"Probability density of the solution to nonlinear systems driven by Gaussian and Poisson white noises","authors":"Wantao Jia ,&nbsp;Zhe Jiao ,&nbsp;Wanrong Zan ,&nbsp;Weiqiu Zhu","doi":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103658","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103658","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>A new method is proposed to compute the probability density of the multi-dimensional nonlinear dynamical system perturbed by a combined excitation of Gaussian and Poisson white noises. We first deduce a probability-density solver from the Euler–Maruyama scheme of the stochastic system and the corresponding Chapman–Kolmogorov equation. This solver actually is an explicit numerical formula of the probability density of the solution to this stochastic system. To compute the probability density, we propose an efficient algorithm for this solver, which actually is the implementation of a numerical integration. Furthermore, we prove this solver is an approximated solution of the corresponding forward Kolmogorov equation. Numerical examples are conducted to illustrate our probability-density solver.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54583,"journal":{"name":"Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141486674","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Multi-fidelity wavelet neural operator surrogate model for time-independent and time-dependent reliability analysis 用于与时间无关和与时间有关的可靠性分析的多保真小波神经算子代用模型
IF 3 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103672

Operator learning frameworks have recently emerged as an effective scientific machine learning tool for learning complex nonlinear operators of differential equations. Since neural operators learn an infinite-dimensional functional mapping, it is useful in applications requiring rapid prediction of solutions for a wide range of input functions. A task of a similar nature arises in many applications of uncertainty quantification, including reliability estimation and design under uncertainty, each of which demands thousands of samples subjected to a wide range of possible input conditions, an aspect to which neural operators are specialized. Although the neural operators are capable of learning complex nonlinear solution operators, they require an extensive amount of data for successful training. Unlike the applications in computer vision, the computational complexity of the numerical simulations and the cost of physical experiments contributing to the synthetic and real training data compromise the performance of the trained neural operator model, thereby directly impacting the accuracy of uncertainty quantification results. We aim to alleviate the data bottleneck by using multi-fidelity learning in neural operators, where a neural operator is trained by using a large amount of inexpensive low-fidelity data along with a small amount of expensive high-fidelity data. We propose the multi-fidelity wavelet neural operator, capable of learning solution operators from a multi-fidelity dataset, for efficient and effective data-driven reliability analysis of dynamical systems. We illustrate the performance of the proposed framework on bi-fidelity data simulated on coarse and refined grids for spatial and spatiotemporal systems.

近来,算子学习框架已成为一种有效的科学机器学习工具,可用于学习微分方程的复杂非线性算子。由于神经算子学习的是无限维函数映射,因此在需要快速预测各种输入函数解的应用中非常有用。在不确定性量化的许多应用中都会出现类似的任务,包括可靠性估计和不确定性条件下的设计,每种应用都需要在各种可能的输入条件下采集数千个样本,而这正是神经算子所擅长的方面。虽然神经算子能够学习复杂的非线性解算子,但它们需要大量数据才能成功训练。与计算机视觉中的应用不同,数值模拟的计算复杂性以及合成和真实训练数据所需的物理实验成本会影响训练后神经算子模型的性能,从而直接影响不确定性量化结果的准确性。我们的目标是通过在神经算子中使用多保真度学习来缓解数据瓶颈,即通过使用大量廉价的低保真度数据和少量昂贵的高保真度数据来训练神经算子。我们提出了多保真度小波神经算子,它能够从多保真度数据集中学习解算子,用于对动态系统进行高效、有效的数据驱动可靠性分析。我们对空间和时空系统在粗网格和细网格上模拟的双保真数据说明了所提框架的性能。
{"title":"Multi-fidelity wavelet neural operator surrogate model for time-independent and time-dependent reliability analysis","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103672","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103672","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Operator learning frameworks have recently emerged as an effective scientific machine learning tool for learning complex nonlinear operators of differential equations. Since neural operators learn an infinite-dimensional functional mapping, it is useful in applications requiring rapid prediction of solutions for a wide range of input functions. A task of a similar nature arises in many applications of uncertainty quantification, including reliability estimation and design under uncertainty, each of which demands thousands of samples subjected to a wide range of possible input conditions, an aspect to which neural operators are specialized. Although the neural operators are capable of learning complex nonlinear solution operators, they require an extensive amount of data for successful training. Unlike the applications in computer vision, the computational complexity of the numerical simulations and the cost of physical experiments contributing to the synthetic and real training data compromise the performance of the trained neural operator model, thereby directly impacting the accuracy of uncertainty quantification results. We aim to alleviate the data bottleneck by using multi-fidelity learning in neural operators, where a neural operator is trained by using a large amount of inexpensive low-fidelity data along with a small amount of expensive high-fidelity data. We propose the multi-fidelity wavelet neural operator, capable of learning solution operators from a multi-fidelity dataset, for efficient and effective data-driven reliability analysis of dynamical systems. We illustrate the performance of the proposed framework on bi-fidelity data simulated on coarse and refined grids for spatial and spatiotemporal systems.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54583,"journal":{"name":"Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141934397","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Efficient computing technique for reliability analysis of high-dimensional and low-failure probability problems using active learning method 利用主动学习法对高维低故障概率问题进行可靠性分析的高效计算技术
IF 3 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103662

In spite of recent advancements in reliability analysis, high-dimensional and low-failure probability problems remain challenging because many samples and function calls are required for an accurate result. Function calls lead to a sharp increase in computational cost in terms of time. For this reason, an active learning algorithm is proposed using Kriging metamodel, where an unsupervised algorithm is used to select training samples from random samples for the first and second iterations. Then, the metamodel is improved iteratively by enriching the concerned domain with samples near the limit state function and samples obtained from a space-filling design. Hence, rapid convergence with the minimum number of function calls occurs using this active learning algorithm. An efficient stopping criterion has been developed to avoid premature or late-mature terminations of the metamodel and to regulate the accuracy of the failure probability estimations. The efficacy of this algorithm is examined using relative error, number of function calls, and coefficient of efficiency in five examples which are based on high-dimensional and low-failure probability with random and interval variables.

尽管可靠性分析领域近年来取得了长足进步,但高维和低故障概率问题仍具有挑战性,因为要获得准确结果,需要大量样本和函数调用。函数调用会导致计算成本在时间上急剧增加。为此,我们提出了一种使用 Kriging 元模型的主动学习算法,在第一和第二次迭代中使用无监督算法从随机样本中选择训练样本。然后,用接近极限状态函数的样本和空间填充设计获得的样本来丰富相关域,从而迭代改进元模型。因此,使用这种主动学习算法,能以最少的函数调用次数实现快速收敛。为了避免元模型过早或过晚终止,并调节故障概率估计的准确性,我们开发了一种有效的停止准则。在五个基于随机变量和区间变量的高维低故障概率示例中,使用相对误差、函数调用次数和效率系数检验了该算法的有效性。
{"title":"Efficient computing technique for reliability analysis of high-dimensional and low-failure probability problems using active learning method","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103662","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.probengmech.2024.103662","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In spite of recent advancements in reliability analysis, high-dimensional and low-failure probability problems remain challenging because many samples and function calls are required for an accurate result. Function calls lead to a sharp increase in computational cost in terms of time. For this reason, an active learning algorithm is proposed using Kriging metamodel, where an unsupervised algorithm is used to select training samples from random samples for the first and second iterations. Then, the metamodel is improved iteratively by enriching the concerned domain with samples near the limit state function and samples obtained from a space-filling design. Hence, rapid convergence with the minimum number of function calls occurs using this active learning algorithm. An efficient stopping criterion has been developed to avoid premature or late-mature terminations of the metamodel and to regulate the accuracy of the failure probability estimations. The efficacy of this algorithm is examined using relative error, number of function calls, and coefficient of efficiency in five examples which are based on high-dimensional and low-failure probability with random and interval variables.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54583,"journal":{"name":"Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141729734","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1