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Effects of input subsidies on cropland allocation and diversification in Botswana’s subsistence economy 投入补贴对博茨瓦纳自给经济中农田分配和多样化的影响
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2020-05-15 DOI: 10.1080/03031853.2020.1758175
Tebogo Bruce Seleka, D. Mmopelwa
ABSTRACT Input subsidy programs (ISPs) are an important agricultural development strategy in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Past studies have focused on the impact of ISPs on crop production, food security and poverty. Little attention has been devoted to assessing their impact on crop diversification, which is a strategy for managing production risk and improving soil fertility under cereal-based smallholder production environments in SSA. Meanwhile, there is growing debate on whether ISPs may conflict with the crop diversification strategy by promoting crop concentration. We estimate cropland allocation and diversification models to test this hypothesis for two ISPs in Botswana, Accelerated Rainfed Arable Programme (ARAP) and Integrated Support Programme for Arable Agriculture Development (ISPAAD), using panel data of agricultural regions and the cropping seasons of 1978/79 to 2013/14. Results reveal that ISPs have induced increased concentration on cereals, away from beans/pulses and oil crops, leading to reduced cropland diversification. ARAP induced a 6.7 percentage point rise in cereal area share and a 5.2 (1.4) percentage point fall in beans/pulses (oil crops) area share. Similarly, ISPAAD induced a 4.4 percentage point rise in cereal area share and a 4.1 percentage point fall in beans/pulses area share. By discouraging legume production, ISPs may lead to soil fertility loss, as legumes may help rebuild nitrogen stocks in soils.
投入补贴计划是撒哈拉以南非洲的一项重要农业发展战略。过去的研究侧重于互联网服务提供商对作物生产、粮食安全和贫困的影响。很少关注评估其对作物多样化的影响,这是一项在撒哈拉以南非洲以谷物为基础的小农户生产环境下管理生产风险和提高土壤肥力的战略。与此同时,关于互联网服务提供商是否会通过促进作物集中来与作物多样化战略相冲突,争论日益激烈。我们使用1978/79年至2013/14年农业区域和种植季节的面板数据,估计了博茨瓦纳两个ISP的耕地分配和多样化模型,以检验这一假设,这两个ISP是加速雨水灌溉的可耕地计划(ARAP)和可耕地农业发展综合支持计划(ISPAAD)。结果表明,ISP导致人们更加关注谷物,而不是豆类/豆类和油料作物,导致农田多样化减少。ARAP导致谷物面积份额上升6.7个百分点,豆类/豆类(油料作物)面积份额下降5.2(1.4)个百分点。同样,ISPAAD导致谷物面积份额上升4.4个百分点,豆类/豆类面积份额下降4.1个百分点。通过阻碍豆类生产,ISP可能导致土壤肥力损失,因为豆类可能有助于重建土壤中的氮储量。
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引用次数: 1
Do oil prices and exchange rates account for agricultural commodity market spillovers? Evidence from the Diebold and Yilmaz Index 油价和汇率能解释农产品市场溢出效应吗?来自Diebold和Yilmaz指数的证据
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2020-04-24 DOI: 10.1080/03031853.2019.1694046
M. Balcılar, F. Bekun
ABSTRACT This paper examines the nature of interconnectedness between the returns of the price of oil and foreign exchange on selected agricultural commodity prices. To do this, the authors leverage the novel methodology of a spillover index developed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) that reports predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers. International Journal of Forecasting 28, no. 1: 57–66) that reports: (i) Net spillovers; (ii) Directional spillovers; (iii) Pairwise net spillovers; and (iv) Total spillover indices. This study also captures all secular and cyclical movements with the aid of rolling window analysis to ensure the robustness of the estimations. Empirical analyses are constructed based on monthly realised frequency data from 2006M1 to 2016M7. The empirical analysis from the full sample size shows that rice, sorghum, price inflation, a nominal effective exchange rate and oil price display weak pass-through among the investigated variables while banana, cocoa, groundnut, maize, soybean and wheat are net transmitters of spillover. Based on these revelations, several policy prescriptions for the agricultural commodity markets and their diverse responses to either exchange rate fluctuations or a dwindling oil price are suggested for Nigeria.
摘要本文考察了石油和外汇价格回报对选定农产品价格之间相互联系的本质。为此,作者利用了Diebold和Yilmaz(2012)开发的溢出指数的新方法,该方法报告了波动性溢出的预测性定向测量。国际预测杂志,第28期。(1:57 - 66)报告:(i)净溢出效应;定向溢出;两两净溢出效应;(四)总溢出指数。本研究还借助滚动窗口分析捕获了所有的长期和周期性运动,以确保估计的鲁棒性。实证分析基于2006M1 - 2016M7的月度实现频率数据。全样本量的实证分析表明,大米、高粱、价格通胀、名义有效汇率和油价在被调查变量中表现出弱传递,而香蕉、可可、花生、玉米、大豆和小麦是溢出效应的净传递者。根据这些发现,为尼日利亚提出了针对农产品市场的若干政策处方,以及它们对汇率波动或油价下跌的不同反应。
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引用次数: 11
Determinants of individual social capital in dairy cooperatives in West Shoa, Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚West Shoa奶制品合作社个人社会资本的决定因素
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2020-04-21 DOI: 10.1080/03031853.2020.1743728
D. Belay
ABSTRACT While previous studies recognise the importance of social capital for cooperatives’ social and economic outcomes, there are no empirical studies on the determinants of farmers’ social capital in cooperatives. This paper investigates the determinants of social capital using data from farmers in dairy cooperatives in Ethiopia. First, principal component analyses (PCAs) are performed on the data set of dimensions of social capital: structural, relational and cognitive. After applying PCA, composite indicators are developed as measures of farmers’ dimensions of social capital. Second, seemingly unrelated regression is employed to identify the determinants of the dimensions of social capital. The results suggest that marital status, education level and length of membership have a positive effect on the structural dimension. The relational dimension has a positive relationship with the ownership of a radio, the number of close friends, and membership in associations, while training access and number of close friends positively influence the cognitive dimension. The study concludes that improving farmers’ social capital in dairy cooperatives requires investment in the educational system, creating and developing local associations, promoting cooperatives through mass media, and strengthening the existing training programmes.
摘要尽管先前的研究认识到社会资本对合作社社会和经济成果的重要性,但没有对合作社中农民社会资本的决定因素进行实证研究。本文利用埃塞俄比亚奶制品合作社农民的数据调查了社会资本的决定因素。首先,对社会资本的结构维度、关系维度和认知维度的数据集进行主成分分析。在应用主成分分析后,制定了综合指标,作为衡量农民社会资本维度的指标。其次,采用看似不相关的回归来确定社会资本维度的决定因素。研究结果表明,婚姻状况、教育水平和成员年限对结构维度有积极影响。关系维度与收音机的所有权、亲密朋友的数量和协会的成员资格呈正相关,而训练机会和亲密朋友的人数对认知维度有积极影响。该研究得出的结论是,提高农民在奶制品合作社中的社会资本需要对教育系统进行投资,建立和发展地方协会,通过大众媒体宣传合作社,并加强现有的培训方案。
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引用次数: 5
Gendered analysis of the demand for poultry feed in Kenya 肯尼亚家禽饲料需求的性别分析
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2020-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/03031853.2020.1742747
J. Macharia, G. Diiro, J. R. Busienei, K. Munei, H. Affognon, S. Ekesi, B. Muriithi, D. Nakimbugwe, C. Tanga, K. Fiaboe
ABSTRACT This paper uses a translog cost function approach to study the farm-level demand for poultry feed in Kenya. The study estimates the demand elasticities of the three common types of poultry feed; mixed feed, grain, and leafy vegetables. The estimated model was used to obtain estimates of Marshallian demand elasticities for poultry feed in Kenya for male-headed and female-headed households. The elasticities reported can be used by researchers and policy analysts to evaluate policy effects of changes in feed demand quantities within the livestock economy in Kenya. Moreover, these parameters can provide more reliable estimates of the total change in feed demand than relying on subjective measures of elasticities. Furthermore, the results of this study are essential in enhancing gender equitable policy formulation. Our findings show that own price elasticities of demand for all the feed types are negative and less than unit in absolute value for the sample of farmers surveyed, indicating that the feed types are relatively inelastic. The cross-price elasticities indicate that vegetables and grain are compliments while the rest of the poultry feed types are substitutes. The results also show that there are substantial gender differences in feed demand and elasticities of feed demand with respect to feed prices.
摘要本文采用超对数成本函数方法研究肯尼亚养殖场对家禽饲料的需求。该研究估计了三种常见家禽饲料的需求弹性;混合饲料、谷物和叶菜。估计模型用于估计肯尼亚男户主和女户主家庭对家禽饲料的马绍尔需求弹性。研究人员和政策分析人员可以利用报告的弹性来评估肯尼亚畜牧业经济中饲料需求量变化的政策影响。此外,这些参数可以提供更可靠的饲料需求总变化的估计,而不是依赖于主观的弹性测量。此外,这项研究的结果对加强性别平等政策的制定至关重要。我们的研究结果表明,在被调查的农户样本中,所有饲料类型的需求本身的价格弹性都是负的,绝对值小于1单位,表明饲料类型相对缺乏弹性。交叉价格弹性表明,蔬菜和谷物是互补的,而其他家禽饲料类型是替代的。结果还表明,在饲料需求和饲料需求弹性方面存在显著的性别差异。
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引用次数: 4
Household assets and food security in and around medium-sized towns: some insights from Morogoro and Iringa, Tanzania 中等城镇及其周边地区的家庭资产和粮食安全:来自坦桑尼亚Morogoro和Iringa的一些见解
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.1080/03031853.2020.1743729
U. Tumaini
ABSTRACT This paper examines the extent to which household assets ownership vary along the urban-rural continuum, and assess the influence of these assets on household food accessibility. A cross-sectional research design using a stratified random sample of 279 households was sampled along the urban-rural continuum in Morogoro and Iringa, Tanzania. The results show that household assets ownership varies significantly in areas regarded as urban, peri-urban and rural. Using binary logistic regression, household food accessibility improves as household head's education and the number of household members earning income increase. Conversely, food accessibility worsens as household size, the proportion of consumption expenditure on food, and reliance on aid increase. It is concluded that although household assets ownership varies greatly along the urban-rural continuum, its food accessibility status is influenced by factors such as household head's education level, number of members earning an income, household size, the proportion of consumption expenditure on food and reliance on aid. Household's location does not affect its food accessibility. Therefore, household's heads should be given appropriate technical skills to enable them to improve their household food accessibility. More job opportunities should be created mostly in rural areas and people should be sensitised to practice family planning.
摘要本文考察了家庭资产所有权在城乡连续体中的变化程度,并评估了这些资产对家庭粮食可及性的影响。一项横断面研究设计使用了279户家庭的分层随机样本,沿着坦桑尼亚Morogoro和Iringa的城乡连续体进行了抽样。结果表明,城市、城郊和农村地区的家庭资产所有权差异很大。使用二元逻辑回归,随着户主的教育程度和家庭成员收入的增加,家庭食物可及性得到改善。相反,随着家庭规模、食品消费支出比例和对援助的依赖增加,食品可及性恶化。结论是,尽管家庭资产所有权在城乡连续体中差异很大,但其粮食可及性状况受到户主教育水平、收入成员数量、家庭规模、粮食消费支出比例和对援助的依赖等因素的影响。家庭的位置不会影响其食物的可及性。因此,应向户主提供适当的技术技能,使他们能够改善家庭食物的可及性。应该创造更多的就业机会,主要是在农村地区,人们应该提高实施计划生育的意识。
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引用次数: 4
The effect of trust on farmers’ milk market participation in dairy cooperatives in West Shoa, Ethiopia 信任对埃塞俄比亚West Shoa奶制品合作社农民牛奶市场参与的影响
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2020-03-31 DOI: 10.1080/03031853.2020.1734036
D. Belay
ABSTRACT While previous studies recognise the importance of trust in cooperatives, there are very few empirical studies on the role trust plays in market participation in dairy cooperatives. This paper investigates the effect of trust on farmers’ milk market participation using data from dairy cooperatives in Ethiopia. First, a principal component analysis was performed on the data set of trust indicators to construct a composite indicator for measuring farmers’ trust. Second, the Heckman two-step procedure was employed to investigate the effect of trust on milk market participation. The result from the Tobit model indicates that trust is an important factor influencing the intensity of milk marketing through the cooperatives. The following implications are worthy of consideration for improving farmers’ trust and thereby market participation: improving the competency of the management, communicating and sharing of information, and democratic election of the management.
摘要尽管先前的研究认识到信任在合作社中的重要性,但很少有实证研究表明信任在乳制品合作社市场参与中的作用。本文利用埃塞俄比亚奶制品合作社的数据,调查了信任对农民牛奶市场参与的影响。首先,对信任指标的数据集进行了主成分分析,构建了衡量农民信任的综合指标。其次,采用Heckman两步程序研究了信任对牛奶市场参与的影响。Tobit模型的结果表明,信任是影响合作社牛奶营销强度的重要因素。以下影响对于提高农民的信任从而提高市场参与度是值得考虑的:提高管理能力、信息交流和共享以及管理层的民主选举。
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引用次数: 9
Typology of contract farming arrangements: a transaction cost perspective 合同农业安排的类型:交易成本视角
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2020-03-09 DOI: 10.1080/03031853.2020.1731561
I. Mugwagwa, J. Bijman, J. Trienekens
ABSTRACT This paper proposes an alternative typology of contract farming arrangements (CFA) based on transaction cost theory. To construct the typology, we first surveyed managers of agribusiness firms and contracted farmers in Zimbabwe to understand the provisions in their contracts, the motivations for their inclusion and the level of transaction attributes, particularly the sub-categories of asset specificity and uncertainty. We then developed a two-by-two matrix of contract types based on the interaction of transaction attributes. The results show that four contract types can be distinguished: total, group, lean and market contracts. Furthermore, CFAs that are misaligned with transaction attributes have problems of side-selling and inefficiency. Our new empirically based categorisation can help managers and policymakers to design CFAs that match with underlying transaction attributes, thus enhancing the stability and efficiency of CFAs.
摘要本文基于交易成本理论,提出了一种可供选择的合同农业安排类型。为了构建类型,我们首先调查了津巴布韦农业综合企业的经理和签约农民,以了解他们合同中的条款、纳入合同的动机和交易属性的水平,特别是资产特殊性和不确定性的子类别。然后,我们基于交易属性的交互,开发了一个二乘二的合同类型矩阵。结果表明,可以区分四种合同类型:总量合同、集团合同、精益合同和市场合同。此外,与交易属性不一致的CFA存在附带销售和效率低下的问题。我们新的基于经验的分类可以帮助管理者和决策者设计与潜在交易属性相匹配的CFA,从而提高CFA的稳定性和效率。
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引用次数: 27
Impacts of improved sorghum varieties intensification on household welfare in the mid-Zambezi Valley of Zimbabwe 改良高粱品种集约化对津巴布韦赞比西河流域中部农户福利的影响
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2020-02-24 DOI: 10.1080/03031853.2020.1721306
J. P. Musara, L. Musemwa
ABSTRACT Attaining food and income security is a persistent challenge among small holder farmers of Southern Africa. Improved sorghum varieties are widely regarded as a panacea to extreme poverty. The paper uses endogenous switching regression to determine impacts of improved sorghum varieties intensification on household welfare. Household dietary diversity score and household food insecurity access score were used as outcome variables and proxies for food security. Cross-sectional data were generated in the Mid Zambezi Valley of Zimbabwe in 2016 from 380 households in a survey conducted with five purposively selected wards. Social association groups, average weighted market prices, household income, age of principal decision maker, dependency ratio, ownership of draught power and storage facilities have significant (p < 0.01) implications on the adoption decision. Counterfactual analyses shows that farmers who allocate more land towards improved sorghum varieties are relatively better off in food diversity and food access. Intensifying improved sorghum varieties can increase dietary diversity by 35% while reducing food insecurity by 29–34%. Social networking can be strengthened through local, government and private partnerships to facilitate generation and efficient dissemination of sorghum production and marketing information. Improving the market prices can increase market size and enhance efficiency along strategic value chain nodes.
获得粮食和收入保障是非洲南部小农面临的一个长期挑战。改良的高粱品种被广泛认为是解决极端贫困的灵丹妙药。本文采用内源切换回归方法确定了改良高粱品种集约化对农户福利的影响。家庭饮食多样性得分和家庭粮食不安全获取得分作为粮食安全的结果变量和代理指标。2016年,在津巴布韦赞比西河流域中部的一项调查中,有目的地选择了五个病房,从380个家庭中获得了横断面数据。社会交往群体、平均加权市场价格、家庭收入、主要决策者年龄、抚养比、拥有的draft power和仓储设施对收养决策有显著影响(p < 0.01)。反事实分析表明,将更多土地用于改良高粱品种的农民在粮食多样性和粮食获取方面相对更好。强化改良高粱品种可使膳食多样性增加35%,同时减少29-34%的粮食不安全。可以通过地方、政府和私人伙伴关系加强社会网络,促进高粱生产和销售信息的生成和有效传播。提高市场价格可以扩大市场规模,提高价值链战略节点的效率。
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引用次数: 8
(Fairtrade) certification: consequences of being a niche market (公平贸易)认证:成为利基市场的后果
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2020-02-12 DOI: 10.1080/03031853.2019.1699840
K. Bissinger, Daniel Leufkens
ABSTRACT Product certification such as organic and fairtrade, leads to a price premium for producers in the majority of cases and thus, also encourages them to increase supplied quantities in order to boost revenue, as empirically evidenced by several studies. Theoretically, this might be a plausible business strategy. The market for certified products is, however, a small one, and producers are not able to sell off the entire quantity produced in the certified niche market. Said supply surplus has to be sold off via conventional trading channels, resulting in a head-on competition between certified and uncertified producers. The analysis at hand sheds light on the revenue gains of certified producers via price discrimination on conventional Southern markets, and the consequences for uncertified producers.
产品认证,如有机和公平贸易,在大多数情况下会给生产者带来价格溢价,因此,也鼓励他们增加供应数量以增加收入,一些研究证明了这一点。从理论上讲,这可能是一种可行的商业策略。然而,认证产品的市场很小,生产商无法在认证的利基市场上销售全部生产的产品。过剩的供应必须通过传统的贸易渠道出售,导致认证生产商和未认证生产商之间的正面竞争。手头的分析揭示了认证生产商通过对传统南方市场的价格歧视获得的收入,以及对未认证生产商的后果。
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引用次数: 5
Postharvest losses at the farm level and its economy-wide costs: the case of the maize sector in Mozambique 农场层面的收获后损失及其整个经济成本:以莫桑比克玉米部门为例
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2020-02-11 DOI: 10.1080/03031853.2020.1721305
Meizal Popat, G. Griffith, S. Mounter, O. Cacho
ABSTRACT With increasing population and demand for food, reducing food loss and waste is one of the greatest challenges worldwide. Current estimates point to over 1 billion tons of food lost and wasted worldwide, though nearly 10 percent of the global population is suffering from undernourishment and food insecurity. In Mozambique, about one-quarter of the population suffers from undernourishment and food insecurity. Estimates from FAO point to postharvest losses of maize in Mozambique at about 3.69 to 7.92 percent; this is less than one-fifth of the on-farm losses reported by other authors. In this study, an Equilibrium Displacement model is used to assess the economy-wide impact of postharvest losses of maize at the farm level. The impact of a 3 percent postharvest loss is tested. Results suggest that even this very conservative percentage of postharvest losses has a direct annual net cost of around $USD 28 million for both farmers and consumers domestically. This is equivalent to over 1 percent of the national budget. It is also higher than the average cost of food aid programs received over the last three years. Therefore, reducing postharvest losses of maize along with other interventions is crucial to achieve sustainable development and economic growth.
随着人口和粮食需求的增长,减少粮食损失和浪费是全球面临的最大挑战之一。目前的估计表明,全世界有超过10亿吨的粮食损失和浪费,尽管全球近10%的人口处于营养不良和粮食不安全状态。在莫桑比克,大约四分之一的人口营养不良和粮食不安全。据粮农组织估计,莫桑比克的玉米收获后损失约为3.69%至7.92%;这还不到其他作者报告的农场损失的五分之一。在本研究中,均衡位移模型用于评估玉米收获后损失在农场层面的经济影响。对采后损失3%的影响进行了测试。结果表明,即使是这一非常保守的采后损失比例,对国内农民和消费者来说,每年的直接净成本也在2800万美元左右。这相当于国家预算的1%以上。这也高于过去三年收到的食品援助项目的平均成本。因此,减少玉米采后损失以及其他干预措施对于实现可持续发展和经济增长至关重要。
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引用次数: 9
期刊
Agrekon
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