Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments最新文献

Policy-based weighting to identify sustainable energy alternatives for non-residential buildings: a case study on transforming a university campus 确定非住宅建筑可持续能源替代方案的政策加权：大学校园改造案例研究

IF 7 2区工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS

Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments

Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seta.2026.104842

Steffen Lewerenz, Hendrik Lambrecht, Ingela Tietze

The building and construction sector is a major contributor to environmental impacts such as climate change, accounting for a significant share of global energy use, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, and resource consumption. In Germany, non-residential buildings alone are responsible for 9% of national GHG emissions. This study evaluates sustainable energy system alternatives for a university campus using an integrated approach that combines energy system modelling, epsilon constraint method, life cycle assessment applying the ecological scarcity method—a policy-based weighting approach specific to Germany. Scenarios for 2020 and 2030 are analysed to assess trade-offs between costs, GHG emissions, and environmental impact scores. The results reveal that minimizing GHG emissions generally reduces environmental impacts but can exacerbate specific issues such as land use, air and water pollutants. In contrast, scenarios optimized for the environmental impact score distribute impacts more evenly across environmental indicators, achieving a more balanced outcome. Medium-cost alternatives, irrespective of the optimization target, tend to increase certain environmental impacts, underscoring the need for significant investments to fully transform non-residential buildings. This research contributes to the understanding of sustainable energy, supporting the broader objective of achieving clean and affordable energy under policy-aligned frameworks.

建筑行业是气候变化等环境影响的主要贡献者，在全球能源使用、温室气体排放和资源消耗中占很大份额。在德国，仅非住宅建筑就占全国温室气体排放量的9%。本研究使用综合方法对大学校园的可持续能源系统替代方案进行了评估，该方法结合了能源系统建模、epsilon约束方法、应用生态稀缺性方法（德国特有的基于政策的加权方法）的生命周期评估。对2020年和2030年的情景进行分析，以评估成本、温室气体排放和环境影响评分之间的权衡。研究结果表明，减少温室气体排放通常会减少对环境的影响，但可能会加剧土地利用、空气和水污染物等特定问题。相比之下，针对环境影响评分进行优化的情景将影响更均匀地分布在各个环境指标上，从而获得更平衡的结果。中等成本的替代方案，无论优化目标如何，往往会增加某些环境影响，强调需要大量投资以充分改造非住宅建筑。这项研究有助于理解可持续能源，支持在与政策一致的框架下实现清洁和负担得起的能源的更广泛目标。

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引用次数: 0

Synergistic optimization of renewable Energy-Driven methanol Synthesis: Coupling alkaline water electrolysis and CO2 hydrogenation with Full-Chain performance analysis 可再生能源驱动甲醇合成的协同优化：碱水电解与CO2加氢耦合及全链性能分析

IF 7 2区工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS

Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments

Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seta.2026.104855

Zihan Wang , Tianyu Liu , Yinglong He , Hui Kong , Chuansheng Cao , Kai Kang , Chang Tang , Qiyue Xie , Haozhuo Huang , Chang Wen

CO₂ hydrogenation to green methanol using renewable hydrogen represents a promising pathway for deep decarbonization. This study develops an integrated, full-process Aspen Plus model coupling alkaline water electrolysis (AWE) with a methanol synthesis loop to quantify system-level synergistic effects and assess overall techno-economic performance. Process optimization results indicate a 9.7% increase in annual hydrogen production and an enhanced methanol output of 11.416 t/h. The integrated system achieves an overall energy efficiency of 44.88% and a net CO₂ emission intensity of −1.15 t/t_MeOH. Full-chain techno-economic analysis estimates a green methanol production cost of 3315 CNY/t under an optimistic future scenario with a green electricity price of 0.25 CNY/kWh. Sensitivity analysis identifies electricity price and electrolyzer investment as the primary levers governing economic feasibility. Crucially, the results demonstrate that a regulation strategy incorporating hydrogen storage to buffer renewable intermittency achieves a total system energy utilization efficiency of 85.41%, significantly outperforming a grid-interactive strategy. These findings provide quantitative guidance for the design of efficient and economically viable renewable power-to-methanol systems.

利用可再生氢将二氧化碳加氢制绿色甲醇是一种很有前途的深度脱碳途径。本研究开发了一个集成的、全流程的Aspen Plus模型，将碱性电解（AWE）与甲醇合成回路相结合，以量化系统级的协同效应并评估整体技术经济绩效。工艺优化结果表明，氢气年产量提高9.7%，甲醇产量提高11.416 t/h。综合系统整体能源效率为44.88%，二氧化碳净排放强度为- 1.15 t/tMeOH。全链技术经济分析估计，在乐观的未来情景下，绿色电价为0.25元/千瓦时，绿色甲醇生产成本为3315元/吨。敏感性分析表明，电价和电解槽投资是控制经济可行性的主要杠杆。关键是，结果表明，采用储氢缓冲可再生能源间歇性的调节策略，系统总能源利用效率达到85.41%，显著优于电网交互策略。这些发现为设计高效和经济可行的可再生能源制甲醇系统提供了定量指导。

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引用次数: 0

Adsorbing azo dyes from wastewater to construct Fe/S/N co-doped carbon catalyst for improving the electricity generation property of microbial fuel cells 吸附废水中偶氮染料构建Fe/S/N共掺杂碳催化剂提高微生物燃料电池发电性能

IF 7 2区工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS

Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments

Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seta.2026.104849

Dongmei Shi , Shuwen Zeng , Tong Yang , Liangjuan Zhu , Yueqi Zhang , Mengge Zhao , Yan Xia , Kun Xie , Demin Jiang , Cong Tang , Xiaolong Cao , Junyan Huang

Global development faces major challenges from energy scarcity and azo dye wastewater pollution. Herein, zeolitic imidazole framework-8 (ZIF-8) adsorbent was prepared for harmless purification of hazardous azo dye wastewater. The iron sulfur nitrogen co-doped carbon (Fe-S/N-C) materials were constructed as oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) catalysts for microbial fuel cells (MFCs) through the resource utilization of adsorption recovery azo dyes. The ZIF-8 adsorbent effectively adsorbed azo dyes with high saturation capacities and excellent adsorption efficiencies. The Fe-S/N-C catalysts exhibited commendable ORR catalytic activity. The assembled MFC achieved high electricity generation performance. A resource utilization strategy was reported for adsorption harmless treatment of hazardous azo dye wastewater to fabricate the efficient ORR catalysts. The Fe-S/N-C catalysts were the potential candidates to substitute the precious metal catalysts for enhancing the electricity generation performance of MFC.

能源短缺和偶氮染料废水污染是全球发展面临的主要挑战。制备了沸石型咪唑骨架-8 （ZIF-8）吸附剂，用于有害偶氮染料废水的无害化净化。通过吸附回收偶氮染料的资源利用，构建了铁硫氮共掺杂碳（Fe-S/N-C）材料作为微生物燃料电池（mfc）氧还原反应（ORR）催化剂。ZIF-8吸附剂能有效吸附偶氮染料，具有较高的饱和容量和优异的吸附效率。Fe-S/N-C催化剂表现出良好的ORR催化活性。装配后的MFC实现了较高的发电性能。报道了一种吸附无害化处理有害偶氮染料废水制备高效ORR催化剂的资源化策略。Fe-S/N-C催化剂是替代贵金属催化剂提高MFC发电性能的潜在候选催化剂。

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引用次数: 0

Holistic assessment of a photocatalytic nanocomposite for pharmaceutical wastewater treatment: integrating thermodynamic, economic, and environmental indicators 用于制药废水处理的光催化纳米复合材料的整体评估：整合热力学、经济和环境指标

IF 7 2区工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS

Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments

Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seta.2026.104827

Somayeh Mirsadeghi , Hamed Zandavar , Hamed Sahebi , Seied Mahdi Pourmortazavi

Pharmaceutical contaminants persist in aquatic environments, representing a growing challenge for water management due to their ecological and health risks. To address this, a multifunctional upconversion-plasmonic nanocomposite, NaYF₄:Eu,Ga,Te@Au, was synthesized and evaluated for the degradation of doxorubicin as a model pharmaceutical pollutant under visible (λ > 420 nm) and near-infrared (980 nm) light. The material exhibited a core-satellite structure, confirmed by multiple characterization methods, and achieved 86 % removal within 60 min under visible light and 65 % removal within 10 h under NIR irradiation (in opt-conditions, pH 7.4, concentrations of doxorubicin and catalyst are 50 mgL⁻¹ and 75 mgL⁻¹, respectively). Beyond photocatalytic performance, the study introduced a triple-axis evaluation framework encompassing thermodynamic, economic, and environmental indicators. Thermodynamic analysis (apparent quantum efficiency, thermodynamic efficiency factor, and specific energy consumption per degraded molecule) indicated visible-light operation as the most energy-efficient pathway. Economic analysis quantified costs per gram of catalyst, per mass of pollutant removed, and per cubic meter of treated water, benchmarking these against conventional wastewater treatment processes. Environmental indicators, including greenhouse gas equivalents, resource intensity, and water footprint, were also assessed. An integrated cost-sustainability matrix indicated that visible-light activation is the most practical and sustainable option for scale-up. In contrast, NIR activation provides advantages in turbid or deep-water systems. By linking material performance with multidimensional sustainability metrics, this work demonstrates a practical framework for evaluating photocatalysts in terms of industrial relevance and environmental management potential.

药物污染物在水生环境中持续存在，由于其生态和健康风险，对水管理构成越来越大的挑战。为了解决这个问题，合成了一种多功能上转换等离子体纳米复合材料NaYF4:Eu，Ga,Te@Au，并在可见光（λ > 420 nm）和近红外（980 nm）光下对阿霉素作为模型药物污染物的降解进行了评价。通过多种表征方法证实，该材料呈现出核心-卫星结构，在可见光下60分钟内脱除86%，在近红外照射下10小时内脱除65%（在光条件下，pH为7.4，阿霉素和催化剂的浓度分别为50 mgL−1和75 mgL−1）。除了光催化性能之外，该研究还引入了一个包含热力学、经济和环境指标的三轴评估框架。热力学分析（表观量子效率、热力学效率因子和每个降解分子的比能量消耗）表明，可见光操作是最节能的途径。经济分析量化了每克催化剂、每去除污染物质量和每立方米处理水的成本，并将这些成本与传统废水处理工艺进行比较。环境指标，包括温室气体当量、资源强度和水足迹也进行了评估。综合成本可持续性矩阵表明，可见光活化是扩大规模的最实用和可持续的选择。相比之下，近红外活化在浑浊或深水系统中具有优势。通过将材料性能与多维可持续性指标联系起来，这项工作展示了在工业相关性和环境管理潜力方面评估光催化剂的实用框架。

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引用次数: 0

Decoding Climatic Drivers of Solar Photovoltaic Output in Arid Climates: Integrating Sensitivity, Lag Dynamics, and Principal Component Analysis for Forecasting Accuracy 解码干旱气候下太阳能光伏输出的气候驱动因素：综合敏感性、滞后动力学和预测精度的主成分分析

IF 7 2区工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS

Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments

Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seta.2026.104851

Ghadeer N. Al Shabaan , Ibrahem S. Altarawneh

Photovoltaic performance in hyper-arid climates depends on complex environmental factors, but studies often neglect temporal lag dynamics and confounding effects. This study introduces a new framework combining univariate and multivariate sensitivity analysis, cross-correlation lag analysis, and principal component analysis to identify drivers. Using high-resolution data from Jordan, it measures and isolates the impacts of irradiance, temperature, humidity, and wind speed. Analytical methods include sensitivity tests, Pearson, Spearman, and Kendall correlation analyses, seasonal decomposition, cross-correlation lag analysis, and principal component analysis.

Results indicate irradiance as the main driver; a ±10% change causes about 12% energy increase. Temperature initially seemed significant (+32%–24.7%) but was a minor (∼1.4%) effect after adjusting for irradiance. Humidity and wind effects were minimal. Cross-correlation showed irradiance impacts output instantly, while temperature’s 3-hour lead was a confounder, reducing to a weaker, immediate effect after correction. RF model (R2=0.977 daily, 0.988 hourly) outperforms Linear Regression, making it the best for energy prediction.

Findings emphasise maximising irradiance via optimal site selection, panel orientation, cleaning, and passive cooling to reduce temperature and humidity impacts. Including lag dynamics improves forecast accuracy, supporting better photovoltaic predictions and climate-resilient design with optimal orientation and cooling, thus boosting solar energy reliability.

超干旱气候条件下的光伏性能取决于复杂的环境因素，但研究往往忽略了时间滞后动力学和混杂效应。本研究引入单变量和多变量敏感性分析、互相关滞后分析和主成分分析相结合的新框架来识别驱动因素。利用来自约旦的高分辨率数据，它测量并隔离了辐照度、温度、湿度和风速的影响。分析方法包括敏感性检验、Pearson、Spearman和Kendall相关分析、季节分解、互相关滞后分析和主成分分析。结果表明，辐照度是主要驱动因素；±10%的变化导致能量增加约12%。温度最初似乎很重要（+ 32%-24.7%），但在调整辐照度后影响较小（~ 1.4%）。湿度和风的影响很小。相互关联表明辐照度会立即影响输出，而温度的3小时领先是一个混杂因素，在校正后减少到较弱的直接影响。RF模型（R2=0.977 daily, 0.988 hour）优于线性回归模型，是能量预测的最佳模型。研究结果强调通过最佳选址、面板朝向、清洁和被动冷却来减少温度和湿度影响，从而最大限度地提高辐照度。包括滞后动力学可以提高预测准确性，支持更好的光伏预测和具有最佳定向和冷却的气候适应性设计，从而提高太阳能的可靠性。

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引用次数: 0

Feasibility of Fifth-Generation district heating and cooling using mine water in Belgium: A Multi-Site Techno-Economic assessment 比利时第五代矿井水区域供热和供冷的可行性：多站点技术经济评估

IF 7 2区工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS

Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments

Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seta.2026.104853

Sesil Koutra , Virginie Harcouët-Menou , Nicolas Dupont , Olivier Kaufmann , Vincent Becue , Shady Attia

Decarbonizing heating and cooling remains a major challenge for a building stock still reliant on fossil fuels. Fifth-generation district heating and cooling (5GDHC) offers simultaneous heating and cooling at low temperatures with higher efficiencies. This paper presents the first techno-economic feasibility assessment of 5GDHC using mine water in Belgium, applied to three Walloon coal basins (Liège, Charleroi, Mons) under the Walloon Recovery Plan. We integrate technical simulations, financial modelling, and cartographic analysis to screen and size potential pilot sites. Results show that mine-water reservoirs could supply ∼ 1.69 TWh yr^–1 of thermal energy region-wide, with site viability driven by demand density and match between demand and subsurface resource, renovation level, and governance model. Under balanced heating–cooling loads and adequate renovation, life cycle GHG emissions can be reduced by up to ∼ 50% versus conventional systems; however, subsurface data gaps, tariff structures, and fragmented responsibilities introduce non-trivial uncertainty. We formalize these as design risks and provide sensitivity bands for demand, COP, electricity price, and well placement, outlining customized 5GDHC–Geomine design rules for Belgian contexts. The findings operationalize the Geomine concept—linking flooded mines with 5GDHC—as a replicable pathway for urban decarbonization.

对于仍然依赖化石燃料的建筑来说，脱碳供暖和制冷仍然是一个重大挑战。第五代区域供热和供冷（5GDHC）在低温下同时供热和制冷，效率更高。本文介绍了比利时第一个利用矿井水进行5GDHC的技术经济可行性评估，应用于瓦隆恢复计划下的三个瓦隆煤盆地（lige, Charleroi, Mons）。我们整合了技术模拟、财务建模和制图分析，以筛选和确定潜在试点地点的大小。结果表明，矿井水库可提供 ~ 1.69 TWh年- 1的热能，场地可行性受需求密度、需求与地下资源的匹配、改造水平和治理模式驱动。在平衡的冷热负荷和适当的改造下，与传统系统相比，生命周期温室气体排放量可减少 ~ 50%；然而，地下数据缺口、关税结构和分散的责任带来了不小的不确定性。我们将这些风险形式化为设计风险，并提供了需求、COP、电价和井位的敏感性范围，概述了比利时环境下定制的5GDHC-Geomine设计规则。研究结果将Geomine概念（将淹水矿山与5gdhc联系起来）作为城市脱碳的可复制途径进行了操作。

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引用次数: 0

Sustainable freshwater production using nanoparticles, permanent magnets, and reflective surfaces in tubular solar stills 在管状太阳能蒸馏器中使用纳米颗粒、永磁体和反射表面的可持续淡水生产

IF 7 2区工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS

Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments

Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seta.2026.104850

Magda K. El-Fakharany , Ahmed Naiem El-Mahs , Mostafa A. Abd-ElAziz , Khaled Faisal Qasim , Maisa A. Sharaf , S.A. Marzouk

This study aims to enhance tubular solar still (TSS) performance by integrating magnetic and reflective enhancements, thereby addressing the issues of low productivity and poor energy/exergy efficiency. Permanent magnets fixed on absorber plate, nano-magnetic iron oxide (Nano-M−Fe₂O₃), and combination of permanent magnets and reflective surface are studied. The absorber surface, water temperature, energy, exergy efficiency, and accumulated yield are studied from 8:00 AM to 6:00 PM for two days. Results show that integrating Nano-M−Fe₂O₃, permanent magnets, and permanent magnets with reflector increases humid air temperature by 6%, 8%, and 9.5%, respectively. The increase results from enhanced heat absorption, thermal conductivity, magnetic convection, and solar radiation reflection. The inner glass cover temperature improves by 5%, 6.3%, and 9.5%, respectively, as higher evaporation rates enhance heat exchange with humid air. The hourly yield increases by 47.5%, 50%, and 54%, while the total accumulated yield rises by 56.5%, 63%, and 70%, respectively. Consequently, energy efficiency improves from 23% to 49.5%, 52%, and 54%, and exergy efficiency increases by 128%, 143%, and 152%. The produced water cost of 0.0117 US$ per liter is recorded by the incorporation of permanent magnets and reflector. The modifications enhance freshwater yield and scalable solution for arid, high-irradiance regions.

本研究旨在通过集成磁性和反射增强来提高管状太阳能蒸馏器（TSS）的性能，从而解决低生产率和低能源/能源效率的问题。研究了固定在吸收板上的永磁体、纳米磁性氧化铁（Nano-M−Fe2O3）以及永磁体与反射表面的结合。从上午8点到下午6点，对吸收器表面、水温、能量、能效和累计产量进行了两天的研究。结果表明，将纳米m−Fe2O3与永磁体、永磁体与反射体集成后，湿空气温度分别提高了6%、8%和9.5%。增加的原因是热吸收、导热性、磁对流和太阳辐射反射增强。由于更高的蒸发速率增强了与潮湿空气的热交换，内部玻璃盖温度分别提高了5%、6.3%和9.5%。每小时产量分别提高47.5%、50%和54%，总累积产量分别提高56.5%、63%和70%。因此，能源效率从23%提高到49.5%，52%和54%，火用效率提高了128%，143%和152%。采用永磁体和反射器后，采出水成本为0.0117美元/升。这些改进提高了干旱、高辐照度地区的淡水产量和可扩展的解决方案。

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引用次数: 0

Using the UK energy system modelling environment to investigate the market need of high temperature gas-cooled reactors 利用英国能源系统建模环境调查高温气冷堆的市场需求

IF 7 2区工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS

Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments

Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seta.2026.104832

Chloe McElvaney , Scott Milne , Amanda Knight , Robert Alford

High Temperature Gas-Cooled Reactors (HTGRs), a type of advanced nuclear reactor, have been identified as an attractive solution for decarbonising hard to abate sectors through the combined production of heat and electricity. To understand the potential market need for high temperature steam from HTGRs, the UK Energy System Modelling Environment (ESME) has been deployed to calculate HTGR deployment for a given range of scenarios and sensitivities. The range of sensitivities explored include variations on HTGR capital expenditure, applications of HTGR steam in industry, and the availability of alternative solutions including biomass resources and Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) capture rates. In the most techno-optimistic scenario for biomass availability and CCS capture rates, the resulting HTGR capacity is 0.5 GWth, corresponding to 2 (nominal 250 MWth) units. This demonstrates that the development of a HTGR demonstrator programme in the UK can be considered a ‘no regrets’ option as two units of HTGRs are still valuable even in the best-case scenario for competing solutions. In the case where biomass availability is limited, CCS capture rates are assumed to be low and the steam potential for industry is high, the resulting HTGR capacity is 7.8 GWth, corresponding to 31 units. The use of high temperature steam from HTGRs can be extended to applications including hydrogen production, industrial processes and Direct Air Capture (DAC). In this study it was found that the preferred application for HTGR steam was hydrogen production.

高温气冷堆（htgr）是一种先进的核反应堆，已被确定为通过热电联产来实现难以减排部门脱碳的有吸引力的解决方案。为了了解HTGR高温蒸汽的潜在市场需求，已经部署了英国能源系统建模环境（ESME）来计算给定场景范围和灵敏度的HTGR部署。探讨的敏感性范围包括HTGR资本支出的变化，HTGR蒸汽在工业中的应用，以及替代解决方案的可用性，包括生物质资源和碳捕集与封存（CCS）捕集率。在生物质可用性和CCS捕获率最乐观的技术情景下，由此产生的高温高温堆容量为0.5 GWth，相当于2个（标称250 MWth）单元。这表明，在英国开发HTGR示范项目可以被认为是一个“不后悔”的选择，因为即使在竞争解决方案的最佳情况下，两个HTGR单元仍然是有价值的。在生物质可用性有限的情况下，假定CCS捕获率很低，工业蒸汽潜力很高，由此产生的HTGR容量为7.8 GWth，相当于31个机组。高温高压堆高温蒸汽的使用可以扩展到包括制氢、工业过程和直接空气捕获（DAC）在内的应用。本研究发现高温高温堆蒸汽的首选应用是制氢。

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引用次数: 0

Multi-fuel energy demand projections for Pakistan to 2050: a LEAP-based scenario analysis 巴基斯坦到2050年的多种燃料能源需求预测：基于leap的情景分析

IF 7 2区工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS

Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments

Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seta.2026.104848

Muhammad Sumair, Muhammad Idrees

Informed energy and climate planning requires long-term energy demand projections for ensuring energy security. In Pakistan, existing studies of the LEAP framework are largely electricity-focused, or relied on single base-year assumptions, thus, limiting their policy relevance. This study advances the literature through the development of a comprehensive, multi-fuel and multi-sector long-term energy demand projection for Pakistan using a calibrated LEAP framework that integrates historical energy consumption data (2011–2021) with demographic and macroeconomic drivers. Energy demand is projected under a Business-as-Usual (BAU) and three alternative policy-oriented scenarios, capturing efficiency improvements, electrification, fuel substitution and structural change. Results demonstrate the total energy demand increasing to 2,412.1 TWh under BAU and declining to 1,850.1 TWh under the most ambitious scenario. Alternative scenarios represent a structural shift characterized by reducing industrial energy demand relative to BAU, enhanced electricity use and declining fossil fuel use across end-use sectors. By providing transparent, data-driven, and scenario-based projections across all major fuels, this study offers robust evidence to support long-term energy planning aligned with Pakistan’s National Energy Efficiency and Conservation Policy and contributes toward achieving Sustainable Development Goals 7 (Affordable and Clean Energy) and 13 (Climate Action).

明智的能源和气候规划需要长期的能源需求预测，以确保能源安全。在巴基斯坦，对LEAP框架的现有研究主要以电力为重点，或依赖于单一基准年的假设，因此限制了它们的政策相关性。本研究通过使用经过校准的LEAP框架，将历史能源消耗数据（2011-2021年）与人口和宏观经济驱动因素相结合，为巴基斯坦制定了一个全面的、多燃料和多部门的长期能源需求预测，从而推进了文献的发展。能源需求在“一切照旧”（BAU）和三种政策导向的替代方案下进行预测，包括效率提高、电气化、燃料替代和结构变化。结果表明，在BAU条件下，总能源需求增加到2,412.1 TWh，而在最雄心勃勃的情景下，总能源需求下降到1,850.1 TWh。替代方案代表了结构转变，其特点是相对于BAU减少工业能源需求，增加电力使用和最终使用部门减少化石燃料使用。通过对所有主要燃料提供透明、数据驱动和基于场景的预测，本研究为支持符合巴基斯坦国家能源效率和节约政策的长期能源规划提供了有力证据，并有助于实现可持续发展目标7（负担得起的清洁能源）和13（气候行动）。

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引用次数: 0

Nationwide assessment of energy efficiency gains from electric air taxi integration in U.S. cities 美国城市电动空中出租车整合带来的能源效率收益的全国评估

IF 7 2区工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS

Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments

Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seta.2026.104854

Boyu Wang , Wan Li , Zhenhong Lin , Yuntao Yue

The rapid emergence of electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) air taxis presents both opportunities and challenges for sustainable urban energy systems. This study develops the Nationwide Energy Estimation for Air Taxis (NEAT) model, an integrated agent-based simulation framework that couples behavioral mode choice with detailed energy estimation to assess the large-scale effects of air taxi deployment in 15 of the most congested U.S. cities. Results indicate that shifting a portion of travelers to eVTOLs during peak periods can reduce on-road energy use by 3.35% on interstate highways and 6.92% on arterial roads nationwide, while alleviating traffic congestion and improving fuel economy for remaining vehicles. By capturing direct energy consumption of air taxis alongside systemic road-network effects, this study provides a robust technology assessment of eVTOL integration at city and national scales. The findings highlight the potential of aerial mobility to contribute to sustainable energy transitions.

电动垂直起降（eVTOL）空中出租车的迅速兴起为可持续城市能源系统带来了机遇和挑战。本研究开发了全国空中出租车能源估算（NEAT）模型，这是一个基于智能体的综合模拟框架，将行为模式选择与详细的能源估算结合起来，以评估在美国15个最拥挤的城市部署空中出租车的大规模影响。结果表明，在交通高峰时段将部分出行人员改为电动交通工具，可使全国州际公路和干线公路的道路能耗分别降低3.35%和6.92%，同时缓解交通拥堵，提高剩余车辆的燃油经济性。通过捕捉空中出租车的直接能源消耗以及系统的道路网络效应，本研究提供了城市和国家尺度上eVTOL整合的可靠技术评估。研究结果强调了空中机动性在促进可持续能源转型方面的潜力。

引用次数: 0