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Unclean consequences of clean energy? The impact of renewable electricity generation on carbon dioxide emissions 清洁能源带来的不洁净后果?可再生能源发电对二氧化碳排放的影响
IF 7 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seta.2026.104823
Dong Hee Suh , Sung-Kwan Joo
Despite the important role of renewable energy for energy security and emission mitigation, few studies have examined how different types of renewable energy sources affect energy mix and emission outcomes. This study fills this gap by analyzing how renewable electricity generation influences fossil fuel demand and resulting CO2 emissions. Employing a differential fuel allocation model that reflects renewables-induced interfuel substitution, we investigate electricity generation in the U.S. electric power sector over the period between 1995 and 2023. Our results show that this sector is not very responsive to fossil fuel price changes and demonstrates substitutable relationships among coal, natural gas, and petroleum. With respect to renewables-induced interfuel substitution, hydroelectric and biomass generation are associated with a reduction in natural gas demand, while solar generation reduces coal demand. Conversely, biomass generation is linked to a rise in coal demand, while solar generation increases reliance on natural gas. From a cost-minimization perspective, the simulation results for CO2 emissions show that solar generation contributes to further reductions in net emissions, whereas the mitigation potential of biomass energy may be weakened or even reversed due to renewables-induced interfuel substitution.
尽管可再生能源在能源安全和减少排放方面发挥着重要作用,但很少有研究审查不同类型的可再生能源如何影响能源结构和排放结果。这项研究通过分析可再生能源发电如何影响化石燃料需求和由此产生的二氧化碳排放来填补这一空白。采用反映可再生能源引起的燃料间替代的差异燃料分配模型,我们调查了1995年至2023年期间美国电力部门的发电量。我们的研究结果表明,该行业对化石燃料价格变化的反应不太强烈,并表现出煤炭、天然气和石油之间的替代关系。关于可再生能源引起的燃料间替代,水力发电和生物质能发电与减少天然气需求有关,而太阳能发电则减少煤炭需求。相反,生物质发电与煤炭需求上升有关,而太阳能发电则增加了对天然气的依赖。从成本最小化的角度来看,二氧化碳排放的模拟结果表明,太阳能发电有助于进一步减少净排放量,而生物质能的缓解潜力可能会因可再生能源引起的燃料间替代而减弱甚至逆转。
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引用次数: 0
Carbon breakeven analysis of electric versus internal combustion engine vehicles in China: a life cycle assessment 中国电动汽车与内燃机汽车的碳收支平衡分析:一个生命周期评估
IF 7 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seta.2026.104821
Xin Lai , Wentian Zhang , Junjie Chen , Quanwei Chen , Yuejiu Zheng
Battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) exhibit complementary carbon emission profiles, with BEVs having higher production phase but lower use phase emissions. This study employs a life cycle assessment framework to develop a comprehensive evaluation model, systematically quantifying carbon breakeven points and emission characteristics for ICEVs, BEVs, and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) in China. The full-chain model, covering production, distribution, and use phases, incorporates multidimensional variables such as battery type: nickel cobalt manganese oxide (NCM) and lithium iron phosphate (LFP), regional grid carbon intensity, and PHEV usage patterns. Key findings reveal that while BEVs/PHEVs have 11 %–132 % higher production emissions than ICEVs, they achieve carbon breakeven due to lower operational emissions. LFP-battery vehicles reach breakeven at significantly shorter mileages (e.g., PHEV-LFP: 14,509 km; BEV-LFP: 36,751 km) compared to NCM-based BEVs (70,511–87,231 km). Regional grid intensity markedly influences breakeven points, with the Southwest grid reducing them by 19.7 %–38.0 % and the North grid increasing them by 19.6 %–37.8 % relative to the national average. Under China’s 2060 carbon neutrality scenario, BEV breakeven mileage decreases by 49.1 % and life cycle carbon footprint by 26 %–48.6 % compared to 2023 levels. This study provides a scientific basis for formulating differentiated EV promotion strategies and supporting power grid low-carbon transitions.
纯电动汽车(bev)和内燃机汽车(icev)表现出互补的碳排放特征,纯电动汽车的生产阶段排放量较高,但使用阶段排放量较低。本研究采用生命周期评估框架建立综合评估模型,系统量化中国纯电动汽车、纯电动汽车和插电式混合动力汽车(phev)的碳收支平衡点和排放特征。全链模型涵盖了生产、分销和使用阶段,包含了多维变量,如电池类型:镍钴锰氧化物(NCM)和磷酸铁锂(LFP)、区域电网碳强度和插电式混合动力使用模式。主要研究结果显示,尽管纯电动汽车/插电式混合动力汽车的生产排放比纯电动汽车高11% - 132%,但由于运行排放更低,它们实现了碳收支平衡。与基于ncm的电动汽车(70,511-87,231公里)相比,lfp电池汽车在更短的里程内达到收支平衡(例如,PHEV-LFP: 14,509公里;BEV-LFP: 36,751公里)。区域电网强度对盈亏平衡点影响显著,西南电网盈亏平衡点较全国平均水平降低19.7% ~ 38.0%,北部电网盈亏平衡点较全国平均水平提高19.6% ~ 37.8%。在中国2060年碳中和情景下,与2023年相比,纯电动汽车的盈亏平衡里程减少49.1%,生命周期碳足迹减少26% - 48.6%。本研究为制定差别化电动汽车推广策略,支持电网低碳转型提供了科学依据。
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引用次数: 0
How AI shapes the impact of NEV exports on energy transition: Evidence from Chinese provinces 人工智能如何塑造新能源汽车出口对能源转型的影响:来自中国各省的证据
IF 7 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seta.2026.104818
Junjie Zhang , Shiwei Yu , Wenqing Zhang , Xing Hu , Haimei Liu
The global shift toward artificial intelligence (AI) and new energy vehicles (NEVs) offers a unique opportunity to accelerate the energy transition (ET). However, the interaction between NEV exports and AI in influencing the domestic ET remains unexplored. This study employs a two-way fixed-effects panel data model to examine how NEV exports and industrial robotics affect the share of renewable electricity in total electricity generation. Using panel data from Chinese provinces from 2017 to 2023, the study finds that NEV exports can hinder the ET by boosting domestic manufacturing and thus increasing energy demand, as well as by crowding out investments in ET-related research and development. Furthermore, the interaction between NEV exports and AI positively influences the ET, as the AI mitigates the export-induced growth in energy demand through enhanced energy efficiency, thereby alleviating the inhibitory effect of NEV exports on the ET. The study recommends that governments, especially in provinces with robust NEV policy support, align the expansion of NEV exports with AI deployment to maximize benefits for the ET.
全球向人工智能(AI)和新能源汽车(nev)的转变为加速能源转型(ET)提供了一个独特的机会。然而,新能源汽车出口和人工智能在影响国内ET方面的相互作用仍未得到探讨。本研究采用双向固定效应面板数据模型来检验新能源汽车出口和工业机器人如何影响可再生电力在总发电量中的份额。利用2017年至2023年中国各省的面板数据,该研究发现,新能源汽车出口可能会通过促进国内制造业从而增加能源需求,以及挤出与ET相关的研发投资来阻碍ET的发展。此外,新能源汽车出口和人工智能之间的相互作用对ET产生了积极影响,因为人工智能通过提高能源效率缓解了出口引起的能源需求增长,从而减轻了新能源汽车出口对ET的抑制作用。研究建议政府,特别是在新能源汽车政策支持力度较大的省份,将新能源汽车出口的扩大与人工智能的部署相结合,以使ET的效益最大化。
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引用次数: 0
Simple twist of fate – novel boltless construction for a lab-scale redox flow battery cell 简单的命运转折——实验室规模氧化还原液流电池的新型无螺栓结构
IF 7 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seta.2025.104813
Wojciech Bącalski , Krzysztof Abucewicz , Jan Wajs , Joanna Krakowiak
This article presents a novel, 3D-printed lab-scale redox flow battery (RFB) cell featuring a “lid and jar” assembly method instead of the conventional sandwich-like structure connected by bolted joints. The cell is sealed by screwing a threaded ring onto the complementarily threaded casing of the reactor module instead of multi-bolt assembly requiring specific tools, assembly methods and experience, resulting in a simpler and faster assembly process without the need for additional sealing. This approach is particularly beneficial for research applications requiring frequent assembly and disassembly of the cell. Additionally, utilization of 3D printing allows for comparatively easy manufacturing and personalized modifications of the device, resulting in less material loss compared to conventional production methods.
The prototype, manufactured using stereolithography (SLA) technology, was subjected to electrochemical testing, including charge and discharge cycling as well as electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS). The obtained results were compared with those from a commercially available lab-scale RFB cell by Pinflow energy storage s.r.o. Electrochemical measurements were performed to verify the basic functionality of the proposed design and as a proof of concept. Detailed analysis of electrochemical behavior is beyond the scope of this study, as the aim is to improve the assembly method rather than the overall battery efficiency.
本文介绍了一种新颖的3d打印实验室规模的氧化还原液流电池(RFB)电池,其特点是采用“盖子和罐”的组装方法,而不是传统的由螺栓连接的三明治状结构。通过将一个螺纹环拧到反应堆模块的互补螺纹套管上进行密封,而不是需要特定工具、组装方法和经验的多螺栓组装,从而使组装过程更简单、更快速,而不需要额外的密封。这种方法特别有利于需要频繁组装和拆卸细胞的研究应用。此外,利用3D打印可以相对容易地制造和个性化修改设备,与传统生产方法相比,材料损失更少。该原型采用立体光刻(SLA)技术制造,并进行了电化学测试,包括充放电循环以及电化学阻抗谱(EIS)。将获得的结果与Pinflow储能s.r.o的商用实验室规模RFB电池的结果进行了比较。进行了电化学测量以验证所提出设计的基本功能并作为概念验证。电化学行为的详细分析超出了本研究的范围,因为其目的是改进组装方法而不是整体电池效率。
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引用次数: 0
Ecotechnological Valorization of Verbesina encelioides: A dual strategy for sustainable biodiesel production and invasive weed mitigation 马鞭草的生态技术增值:可持续生物柴油生产和入侵杂草缓解的双重策略
IF 7 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seta.2025.104785
Farzana , Fahd A. Nasr , Mushtaq Ahmad , Mohammed Al-zharani , You-Cai Xiong , Lina M. Alneghery , Hong-Yan Tao , Najeeb Ullah , Ahmad Mustafa , Shazia Sultana
The global shift towards renewable energy has intensified the need for sustainable technologies. The present study investigates the invasive weed Verbesina encelioides (Cav.) Benth. & Hook. Ex A. Gray as a potential feedstock for biodiesel production, while managing ecological issues. The seeds contain large amounts of oil (33 wt%) and a very low level of free fatty acids (0.16 wt%), which allows one-step transesterification using a synthesized cobalt oxide (Co3O4) nanocatalyst prepared from seed husk (a waste product) as a precursor. The nanocatalyst was characterized using Fourier-transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR), scanning electron microscopy (SEM), energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy (EDX), dynamic light scattering (DLS), and X-ray diffraction (XRD). These techniques verified the porous morphology, cobalt-oxygen-rich composition, and highly crystalline structure, thereby confirming the presence of active catalytic sites. Response Surface Methodology (RSM) with a Box-Behnken Design (BBD) was used to optimize the reaction parameters. Such as oil methanol molar ratio of 1:3, catalyst loading of 0.4 % wt., reaction temperature of 60 °C, and reaction time of 120 min, confirming the conversion of triglycerides into fatty acid methyl esters (FAMEs) and yielding a maximum biodiesel production of 97 %. The resulting biodiesel was characterized by FTIR, 1H and 13C nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR), and gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (GC–MS), indicating complete transesterification, with oleic acid methyl ester as the dominant FAME. Compared to conventional diesel, the synthesized biodiesel exhibits high oxidative stability and standard combustion properties; the nanocatalyst also maintains recyclability and catalytic activity across multiple catalytic cycles. These results highlight the dual advantages of controlling an invasive species and generating high-quality biodiesel, which aids in designing bio-powered energy systems, efficient application technologies, and a circular bioeconomy.
全球向可再生能源的转变加剧了对可持续技术的需求。本文对入侵杂草马鞭草(Verbesina enceloides, Cav.)进行了研究。Benth。和钩。格雷作为生物柴油生产的潜在原料,同时管理生态问题。种子含有大量的油(33 wt%)和非常低水平的游离脂肪酸(0.16 wt%),这允许使用合成的氧化钴(Co3O4)纳米催化剂一步酯交换,该催化剂由种子壳(一种废物)作为前体制备。采用傅里叶变换红外光谱(FTIR)、扫描电镜(SEM)、能量色散x射线能谱(EDX)、动态光散射(DLS)和x射线衍射(XRD)对纳米催化剂进行了表征。这些技术验证了多孔形态、富钴氧组成和高度结晶结构,从而证实了活性催化位点的存在。采用Box-Behnken设计响应面法(RSM)对反应参数进行优化。如油甲醇摩尔比为1:3,催化剂负载重量为0.4%,反应温度为60°C,反应时间为120分钟,确认甘油三酯转化为脂肪酸甲酯(FAMEs),最大生物柴油产量为97%。通过FTIR、1H和13C核磁共振(NMR)以及气相色谱-质谱(GC-MS)对所得生物柴油进行了表征,表明酯交换反应完全,以油酸甲酯为主。与常规柴油相比,合成的生物柴油具有较高的氧化稳定性和标准的燃烧性能;该纳米催化剂还能在多个催化循环中保持可回收性和催化活性。这些结果突出了控制入侵物种和生产高质量生物柴油的双重优势,有助于设计生物能源系统,高效应用技术和循环生物经济。
{"title":"Ecotechnological Valorization of Verbesina encelioides: A dual strategy for sustainable biodiesel production and invasive weed mitigation","authors":"Farzana ,&nbsp;Fahd A. Nasr ,&nbsp;Mushtaq Ahmad ,&nbsp;Mohammed Al-zharani ,&nbsp;You-Cai Xiong ,&nbsp;Lina M. Alneghery ,&nbsp;Hong-Yan Tao ,&nbsp;Najeeb Ullah ,&nbsp;Ahmad Mustafa ,&nbsp;Shazia Sultana","doi":"10.1016/j.seta.2025.104785","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seta.2025.104785","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The global shift towards renewable energy has intensified the need for sustainable technologies. The present study investigates the invasive weed <em>Verbesina encelioides</em> (Cav.) Benth. &amp; Hook. Ex A. Gray as a potential feedstock for biodiesel production, while managing ecological issues. The seeds contain large amounts of oil (33 wt%) and a very low level of free fatty acids (0.16 wt%), which allows one-step transesterification using a synthesized cobalt oxide (Co3O4) nanocatalyst prepared from seed husk (a waste product) as a precursor. The nanocatalyst was characterized using Fourier-transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR), scanning electron microscopy (SEM), energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy (EDX), dynamic light scattering (DLS), and X-ray diffraction (XRD). These techniques verified the porous morphology, cobalt-oxygen-rich composition, and highly crystalline structure, thereby confirming the presence of active catalytic sites. Response Surface Methodology (RSM) with a Box-Behnken Design (BBD) was used to optimize the reaction parameters. Such as oil methanol molar ratio of 1:3, catalyst loading of 0.4 % wt., reaction temperature of 60 °C, and reaction time of 120 min, confirming the conversion of triglycerides into fatty acid methyl esters (FAMEs) and yielding a maximum biodiesel production of 97 %. The resulting biodiesel was characterized by FTIR, 1H and 13C nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR), and gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (GC–MS), indicating complete transesterification, with oleic acid methyl ester as the dominant FAME. Compared to conventional diesel, the synthesized biodiesel exhibits high oxidative stability and standard combustion properties; the nanocatalyst also maintains recyclability and catalytic activity across multiple catalytic cycles. These results highlight the dual advantages of controlling an invasive species and generating high-quality biodiesel, which aids in designing bio-powered energy systems, efficient application technologies, and a circular bioeconomy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":56019,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments","volume":"85 ","pages":"Article 104785"},"PeriodicalIF":7.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145885149","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Dynamic current control of High-Gain Buck-Boost power transfer for electric Vehicle-to-Vehicle (V2V) charging with PV integration 基于PV集成的V2V充电高增益降压功率传输的动态电流控制
IF 7 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seta.2025.104802
Mustafa İnci , Ömer Berber , Mehmet Büyük , Necdet Sinan Özbek
This study presents an eco-friendly charging solution with an improved charging methodology for a high-efficiency off-board Vehicle-to-Vehicle (V2V) charging interface supported by photovoltaic (PV) power to facilitate energy exchange between light electric vehicles (EVs). The proposed method uses dynamic current control to adapt charging current in real time according to solar irradiance and the state of charge (SoC) of the vehicles. This approach improves energy transfer compared to conventional constant current (CC) and multi-stage CC methods, which use fixed or stepwise charging profiles and cannot fully utilize variable PV power. A high-gain quadratic buck-boost (QBB) converter is employed to enable both step-up and step-down operation, making the system suitable for vehicles with different voltage levels. The control strategy combines dynamic current control with an enhanced incremental conductance (InC) maximum power point tracking (MPPT) algorithm to maximize solar energy use. Performance results from processor-in-the-loop simulations show that the proposed system achieves more stable voltage regulation, better SoC improvement (+0.056 %), and higher charging efficiency than conventional CC and multi-CC methods under varying conditions. The performance findings show that the proposed V2V–PV interface provides a robust and efficient charging approach, supporting sustainable and grid-independent electric mobility.
本研究提出了一种环保充电解决方案,该解决方案采用改进的充电方法,用于光伏(PV)电源支持的高效车对车(V2V)充电接口,以促进轻型电动汽车(ev)之间的能量交换。该方法采用动态电流控制,根据太阳辐照度和车辆荷电状态实时调整充电电流。与传统的恒流(CC)和多级CC方法相比,这种方法改善了能量传递,传统的恒流(CC)和多级CC方法使用固定或逐步充电曲线,不能充分利用可变PV功率。采用高增益二次降压(QBB)变换器实现升压和降压操作,使系统适用于不同电压水平的车辆。该控制策略将动态电流控制与增强型增量电导(InC)最大功率点跟踪(MPPT)算法相结合,以最大限度地利用太阳能。处理器在环仿真结果表明,在不同条件下,与传统的CC和多CC方法相比,该系统实现了更稳定的电压调节,更好的SoC改善(+ 0.056%)和更高的充电效率。性能研究结果表明,所提出的V2V-PV接口提供了一种强大而高效的充电方法,支持可持续和不依赖电网的电动交通。
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引用次数: 0
Life cycle Assessment of Manure-Based biomethane with carbon capture and storage for Argentina’s transport sector 阿根廷运输部门基于粪便的生物甲烷与碳捕获和储存的生命周期评估
IF 7 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seta.2026.104820
Lucas M. Machin Ferrero , Agustín Almaraz , Fernando D. Mele
This prospective study evaluates the environmental performance of manure-derived biomethane for use in passenger cars in Argentina. It compares the performance of fossil natural gas with that of carbon capture and storage (CCS) pathways under current conditions and three 2050 Integrated Assessment Model (IMAGE, REMIND, and TIAM-UCL) scenarios. Life cycle inventories were modeled using Brightway2/premise and the ecoinvent v3.10 database. Under current conditions, the global warming potential of fossil natural gas is 0.207 ± 0.034 kg CO2-eq/km. Biomethane with CCS significantly outperforms this baseline: specifically, when accounting for synthetic fertilizer displacement via digestate, the system achieves a net negative carbon balance of −0.248 ± 0.037 kg CO2-eq/km. However, multi-criteria analysis reveals burden shifting, with acidification and toxicity indicators increasing due to digestate logistics and CCS energy penalties. Long-term projections indicate that decarbonizing the Argentine electricity grid is decisive for sustainability, with the TIAM-UCL scenario enabling GHG reductions of ∼ 80% relative to the 2050 fossil baseline. To maximize mitigation potential while minimizing local trade-offs, the findings recommend prioritizing decentralized production clusters, powering CCS units with renewable energy, and enforcing rigorous methane leak control throughout the supply chain.
这项前瞻性研究评估了阿根廷乘用车中使用的粪便衍生生物甲烷的环境性能。它比较了化石天然气在当前条件下和三种2050综合评估模型(IMAGE, REMIND和TIAM-UCL)情景下与碳捕集与封存(CCS)途径的性能。生命周期清单是使用Brightway2/premise和ecoinvent v3.10数据库建模的。在当前条件下,化石天然气的全球变暖潜势为0.207±0.034 kg CO2-eq/km。具有CCS的生物甲烷显著优于这一基准:具体而言,当考虑到通过消化的合成肥料排气量时,该系统的净负碳平衡为- 0.248±0.037 kg CO2-eq/km。然而,多标准分析揭示了负担的转移,酸化和毒性指标由于消化物流和CCS能源惩罚而增加。长期预测表明,阿根廷电网的脱碳对可持续性具有决定性作用,TIAM-UCL情景使温室气体排放量相对于2050年化石基准减少约80%。为了最大限度地发挥缓解潜力,同时最大限度地减少当地的权衡,研究结果建议优先考虑分散的生产集群,用可再生能源为CCS装置供电,并在整个供应链中实施严格的甲烷泄漏控制。
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引用次数: 0
Coupled wind–wave simulation and LCOE analysis of a SPAR floating offshore wind farm off Gujarat, India 印度古吉拉特邦SPAR浮式海上风电场的耦合风浪模拟和LCOE分析
IF 7 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seta.2025.104810
Thomas Arya , Ingela Tietze , V.K. Srineash , Manasa Ranjan Behera
In recent years, interest has grown in floating offshore wind systems, though current developments are largely limited to prototypes with limited economic insight. This study evaluates the Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for a floating offshore wind farm off the Gujarat coast using the latest data and parametric cost models. Wind speed data from ERA5 and bathymetry from the GEBCO dataset support the site assessment. A 5MW wind turbine mounted on a SPAR platform is analysed under coupled wind–wave conditions using OpenFAST. Based on this generated power under the influence of wind–wave–floater dynamics, the energy output from the farms having aligned and staggered layouts with 5MW wind turbines is estimated and LCOE is calculated using three different cost models, resulting in a range of 110–120 €/MWh cost per unit energy for 16.5GWh per turbine of output energy. The sensitivity analysis reveals that CAPEX and project lifetime is critical for LCOE calculations in the Indian context, particularly given the limited number of studies on FOWTs. The findings suggest that floating offshore wind is economically viable in the Indian context and the adopted methodology can inform future planning and investment decisions as the sector evolves.
近年来,人们对浮式海上风电系统的兴趣越来越大,尽管目前的开发主要局限于经济效益有限的原型。本研究使用最新数据和参数化成本模型评估了古吉拉特邦沿海浮式海上风电场的平准化能源成本(LCOE)。来自ERA5的风速数据和来自GEBCO数据集的测深数据支持现场评估。利用OpenFAST对安装在SPAR平台上的5MW风力涡轮机在耦合风浪条件下进行了分析。基于这些在风浪-浮子动力学影响下产生的功率,估算了5MW风力发电机排列和交错布局的风电场的能量输出,并使用三种不同的成本模型计算了LCOE,得到每台涡轮机输出16.5GWh时的单位能量成本为110-120€/MWh。敏感性分析表明,资本支出和项目寿命对于印度的LCOE计算至关重要,特别是考虑到对fowt的研究数量有限。研究结果表明,浮动海上风电在印度经济上是可行的,随着该行业的发展,所采用的方法可以为未来的规划和投资决策提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Data-driven development stage division method of new power system balancing based on E-TOPSIS-L model 基于E-TOPSIS-L模型的新型电力系统平衡开发阶段划分方法
IF 7 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seta.2026.104817
Wei Liu, Kaiyuan Hu, Zhijin Lyu, Lu Yan, Fan Hua
The long-term development stages division of new power system balancing is crucial preliminary research that guides the development of the system. The development of system balancing is influenced by various factors, including technology, policy, and economy. However, existing research tends to evaluate these factors separately. Hence, this study proposes a development stage division method for new power system balancing that comprehensively considers multiple factors to assess the level of development and predict the inflection points of the development stages. First, the method analyses the factors from various dimensions, including technology, policy, economy and balance and establishes an evaluation index system. Then, an entropy Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution-logistic(E-TOPSIS-L) development stage division model is constructed, comprehensively considering multiple factors to predict future inflection points and avoiding the drawbacks of the traditional logistic model that can only fit a single variable. The logistic model fitting results show a root mean squared error of 0.0397 and standard error of 0.0086, indicating a good fitting result. Finally, the feasibility and superiority of the proposed method are validated, with the system balancing maturity forecasted to occur by 2025 and saturation by 2060.
新型电力系统平衡的长期发展阶段划分是指导新型电力系统发展的重要前期研究。制度平衡的发展受到技术、政策、经济等多方面因素的影响。然而,现有的研究倾向于单独评估这些因素。因此,本文提出了一种综合考虑多种因素的新型电力系统平衡发展阶段划分方法,以评估发展水平并预测发展阶段拐点。首先,该方法从技术、政策、经济、平衡等多个维度进行因素分析,建立评价指标体系;然后,构建了一种基于理想解-logistic(E-TOPSIS-L)发展阶段划分模型的相似性排序熵技术,综合考虑多因素预测未来拐点,避免了传统logistic模型只能拟合单一变量的缺点。logistic模型拟合结果均方根误差为0.0397,标准误差为0.0086,拟合结果良好。最后,验证了所提方法的可行性和优越性,预测到2025年系统达到平衡成熟,2060年达到饱和。
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引用次数: 0
A hybrid artificial intelligence and deep learning architecture for accurate renewable energy forecasting: comprehensive case studies on wind and PV power 用于准确预测可再生能源的混合人工智能和深度学习架构:风能和光伏发电的综合案例研究
IF 7 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seta.2025.104812
Jiaqi Liu , Yuwei Liu , Qiang Shen , Keyan Li , Yinuo Chen
This study proposes a novel hybrid forecasting architecture that synergistically integrates artificial intelligence and deep learning techniques. This approach effectively overcomes the limitations of conventional single models in characterizing complex weather-power coupling relationships. First, we propose an enhanced honey badger algorithm based on self-learning factors, which incorporates three key innovations: (1) the good point set principle for population initialization, (2) an adaptive dynamic learning mechanism, and (3) a Gaussian mutation strategy. Comprehensive case studies demonstrate that the proposed algorithm achieves superior performance in iterative optimization compared to existing methods. Second, we develop a short-term forecasting model for wind and photovoltaic power generation, explicitly designed to balance model effectiveness and generalizability. The self-learning honey badger algorithm is employed to optimize model parameters, enabling robust feature extraction from renewable energy output sequences. Finally, extensive validation and analysis are conducted using real-world hybrid power generation datasets combining wind and solar energy. The results show that the proposed model achieves the lowest root mean square error values and consistently exceeds 99% in R2 across diverse weather conditions. These findings provide a scientific foundation for enhancing the economic operation and dispatch of renewable energy generation systems.
本研究提出了一种新的混合预测架构,该架构协同集成了人工智能和深度学习技术。该方法有效地克服了传统单一模型在表征复杂天气-功率耦合关系方面的局限性。首先,我们提出了一种基于自学习因子的增强蜜獾算法,该算法结合了三个关键创新:(1)群体初始化的好点集原理,(2)自适应动态学习机制,(3)高斯突变策略。综合实例研究表明,该算法在迭代优化方面优于现有算法。其次,我们建立了风电和光伏发电的短期预测模型,明确地设计了平衡模型有效性和通用性的模型。采用自学习蜜獾算法对模型参数进行优化,实现了可再生能源输出序列的鲁棒特征提取。最后,使用结合风能和太阳能的真实混合发电数据集进行了广泛的验证和分析。结果表明,该模型在不同天气条件下均能获得最低的均方根误差值,且R2均超过99%。研究结果为提高可再生能源发电系统的经济运行和调度提供了科学依据。
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Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments
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