Geospatial Health最新文献

Antibiotic Self-Medication (ASM) is a major contributing factor to Antimicrobial Resistance (AMR) that can lead to both mortality and long-term hospitalizations. High provincial ASM proportions associated with mortality due to AMR have been observed in Thailand but there is a lack of studies on geographic factors contributing to ASM. The present study aimed to quantify the distribution of ASM in Thailand and its correlated factors. Socioeconomic and health services factors were included in the spatial analysis. Moran's I was performed to identify global autocorrelation with the significance level set at p=0.05 and spatial regression were applied to identify the factors associated with ASM, the proportion of which is predominant in the north-eastern, central and eastern regions with Phitsanulok Province reporting the highest proportion of Thailand's 77 provinces. Autocorrelation between Night-Time Light (NTL) and the proportion of ASM was observed to be statistically significant at p=0.030. The Spatial Lag Model (SLM) and the Spatial Error Model (SEM) were used with the latter providing both the lowest R2 and Akaike Information Criterion (AIC). It was demonstrated that the proportion of alcohol consumption significantly increased the proportion of ASM. The annual number of outpatient department visits and the average NTL decreased the proportion of ASM by 1.5% and 0.4%, respectively. Average monthly household expenditures also decreased the ASM proportion. Policies to control alcohol consumption while promoting healthcare visits are essential strategies to mitigate the burden of AMR in Thailand.

This study aimed to estimate a socio-spatial vulnerability index for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) at the municipal level in Mexico for 2020. It incorporated factors such as poverty, social backwardness, marginalization index, and human development index. This retrospective ecological study analyzed 317,011 incident cases of T2DM in 2020. Utilizing multi-criteria decision analysis, weighted values were assigned to each vulnerability criterion. A multiple linear regression model was developed, complemented by cluster and outlier analyses using Moran I's and the high-low clustering method. A clustered spatial autocorrelation of high values was found across 17.65% of Mexico, which was statistically significant (p < 0.001). Conversely, 37.78% of the territory showed a pattern of low values without significant evidence of groupings. The analysis revealed 117 nodes of very high vulnerability forming six focal areas, 172 nodes with high vulnerability across five areas, 168 nodes with medium vulnerability in two areas, 112 nodes with low vulnerability across 16 areas, and 152 nodes with very low vulnerability in 24 focal areas. This method proves to be robust and offers a technical-scientific basis for guiding T2DM prevention strategies and actions using a spatial/epidemiological approach. It is recommended that future strategies take into account factors such as poverty, social backwardness, marginalization index, and human development index to be effective.

Background: Increasing access to and utilization of long-acting reversible contraceptives (LARC) can prevent unintended pregnancies and reduce unmet need for family planning in Ethiopia However, LARC uptake lags behind less effective contraceptive methods. This study aimed to analyze the geographical distribution and demographic factors associated to LARC uptake.

Methods: The 2019 Performance Monitoring For Action Ethiopia (PMA Ethiopia) survey data was used. Spatial autocorrelation was examined using Global Moran's I and Local Indicators of Spatial Association (LISA). Bivariate Moran's I and bivariate LISA (BiLISA), Spatial lag, and spatial error regression analyses were performed to assess the spatial correlation and association between LARC uptake and demographic factors.

Results: LARC uptake was 8% among the study population, with Afar and Somali regions having the lowest uptake. There was a statistically significant positive spatial autocorrelation for LARC uptake (Moran's I= 0.308, p<0.001). Additionally, an inverse correlation was observed between LARC uptake and the percentage of Muslims, rural population, no formal education, and low wealth quantile. The spatial lag model indicated that zones with higher Muslim populations and those with higher percentages of population with no formal education had lower LARC uptake.

Conclusions: To expand access to LARC, the Ethiopian government, policymakers, and non-governmental organizations might implement programs targeting low-uptake areas (Afar and Somali regions). Muslim religious leaders could play an important role in promoting acceptance of LARC among their members. Tailored health education programs should be developed for Muslim populations and those with no formal education to enhance awareness and acceptance of LARC.

Geographical accessibility is important for promoting health equity, and calculating it requires the locations of all existing healthcare facilities in a region. Authoritative location data collected by governments is accurate but mostly not publicly available, while point-of-interest (POI) data from online sources, such as Baidu Maps and AutoNavi Maps are easily accessible. However, the accuracy of the latter has not been thoroughly analyzed. Taking Baotou, a medium-sized city in China, as aneample, we assessed the suitability of using POI data for measuring geographic accessibility to healthcare facilities.We computedthe difference of geographic accessibility calculated based on POI data and that on authoritative data.Logistic regression and a multiple linear regression model was applied to identify factors related to the consistency between the two data sources. Compared to authoritative data, POI data exhibited discrepancies, with completeness of 54.9% and accuracy of 63.7%. Geographic accessibility calculated based on both data showed similar patterns, with good consistency for hospitals and in urban areas. However, large differences (>30 minutes) were shown in rural areas for primary healthcare facilities. The differences were small regarding to population- weighted average accessibility (with slight underestimation of 3.07 minutes) and population coverage across various levels of accessibility (with differences less than 1% of the population) for the entire area. In conclusion, POI data can be considered foruse in both urban areas and at the level of entire city; however, awareness should be raised in rural areas.

This study aimed to analyze the epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal clustering of hepatitis A in mainland China from 2004 to 2019 and to evaluate the practical impact of integrating hepatitis A vaccines into the Expanded Program on Immunization (EPI). Spatial and temporal autocorrelation and spatiotemporal scanning statistics were used to perform spatial and temporal characterization to quantify the spatial similarity or degree of aggregation of geographic data, and Geographical and Temporal Weighted Regression (GTWR) models were used to reveal spatial and temporal heterogeneity in the relationships between variables to test for spatial and temporal outbreaks of disease and other factors, such as socio-economic factors. Spatially, the incidence rates exhibited a west-high and east-low spatial differentiation, with the High-High (HH) clusters predominantly located in the western regions, maintaining stability butgradually diminishing. Hepatitis A prevalence peaked during the initial study period (2004-2008) showing significant spatial clustering. However, since the inclusion of hepatitis A vaccine in the immunization program in 2008, the incidence rates of hepatitis A in mainland China significantly decreased demonstrating the positive impact of immunization strategies. In addition to the effects of vaccination, socio-economic factors such as education level, water resources and age groups showed significant associations with hepatitis A incidence rates. Increased vaccine coverage and improved social conditions are crucial for controlling hepatitis A in China.

Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) is a significant global health issue, leading to high rates of sickness and death worldwide. In Thailand, there are over 3 million patients with the COPD, with more than a million patients admitted to hospitals due to symptoms of the disease. This study investigated factors influencing the incidence of acute exacerbations among COPD patients in Thailand, including the spatial autocorrelation between socioeconomic and environmental factors. We conducted a spatial analysis using Moran's I, Local Indicators Of Spatial Association (LISA), and spatial regression models, specifically the Spatial Lag Model (SLM) and the Spatial Error Model (SEM), to explore the relationships between the variables. The univariate Moran's I scatter plots showed a significant positive spatial autocorrelation of 0.606 in the incidence rate of COPD among individuals aged 15 years and older across all 77 provinces in Thailand. High-High (HH) clusters for the COPD were observed in the northern and southern regions, while Low-Low (LL) clusters were observed in the northern and north-eastern regions. Bivariate Moran's I indicated a spatial autocorrelation between various factors and acute exacerbation of COPD in Thailand. LISA analysis revealed 4 HH clusters and 5 LL clusters related to average income, 12 HH and 8 LL clusters in areas where many people smoke, 5 HH and 8 LL clusters in areas with industrial factory activities, 11 HH and 9 LL clusters associated with forested areas, and 6 LL clusters associated with the average rice field. Based on the Akaike information criterion (AIC). The SLM outperformed the SEM but only slightly so, with an AIC value of 1014.29 compared to 1019.56 and a Lagrange multiplier value of p<0.001. However, it did explain approximately 63.9% of the incidence of acute exacerbations of COPD, with a coefficient of determination (R² = 0.6394) along with a Rho (ρ) of 0.4164. The results revealed that several factors, including income, smoking, industrial surroundings, forested areas and rice fields are associated with increased levels of acute COPD exacerbations.

Disease surveillance remains important for early detection of new COVID-19 variants. For this purpose, the World Health Organization (WHO) recommends integrating of COVID-19 surveillance with other respiratory diseases. This requires knowledge of areas with elevated risk, which in developing countries is lacking from the routine analyses. Focusing on Ghana, this study employed scan-statistic cluster analysis to uncover the spatial patterns of incidence and Case Fatality Rates (CFR) of COVID-19 based on reports covering the four pandemic waves in Ghana between 12 March 2020 and 28 February 2022. Applying flexible spatial scan statistic with restricted likelihood ratio, we examined the incidence and CFR clusters before and after adjustment for covariates. We used distance to the epicentre, proportion of the population aged ≥ 65, male proportion of the population and urban proportion of the population as the covariates. We identified 56 significant spatial clusters for incidence and 26 for CFR for all four waves of the pandemic. The Most Likely Clusters (MLCs) of incidence occurred in the districts in south-eastern Ghana, while the CFR ones occurred in districts in the central and the northeastern parts of the country. These districts could serve as sites for sentinel or genomic surveillance. Spatial relationships were identified between COVID-19 incidence covariates and the CFR. We observed closeness to the epicentre and high proportions of urban populations increased COVID-19 incidence, whiles high proportions of those aged ≥ 65 years increased the CFR. Accounting for the covariates resulted in changes in the distribution of the clusters. Both incidence and CFR due to COVID-19 were spatially clustered, and these clusters were affected by high proportions of the urban population, high proportions of the male population, high proportions of the population aged ≥ 65 years and closeness to the epicentre. Surveillance should target districts with elevated risk. Long-term control measures for COVID-19 and other contagious diseases should consider improving quality healthcare access and measures to reduce growth rates of urban populations.

This study used data from the second Nigeria Malaria Indicator Survey (NMIS) conducted in 2015 to investigate the spatial distribution of malaria prevalence in the country and identify its associated factors. Nigeria is divided into 36 states with 109 senatorial districts, most of which are affected by malaria, a major cause of morbidity and mortality in children under five years of age. We carried out an ecological study with analysis at the senatorial district level. A malaria prevalence map was produced combining geographic information systems data from the Nigeria Malaria Indicator Survey (NMIS) of 2015 with shape files from an open data-sharing platform. Spatial autoregressive models were fitted using a set of key covariates. Malaria prevalence in children under-five was highest in Kebbi South senatorial district (70.6%). It was found that poorest wealth index (β = 0.10 (95% CI: 0.01, 0.20), p = 0.04), mothers having only secondary level of education (β = 0.78 (95% CI: 0.05, 1.51), p = 0.04) and households without mosquito bed nets (β = 0.21 (95% CI: 0.02, 0.39), p = 0.03) were all significantly associated with higher malaria prevalence. Moran's I (54.81, p<0.001) showed spatial dependence of malaria prevalence across contiguous districts and spatial autoregressive modelling demonstrated significant spill-over effect of malaria prevalence. Maps produced in this study provide a useful graphical representation of the spatial distribution of malaria prevalence based on NMIS-2015 data. Clustering of malaria prevalence in certain areas further highlights the need for sustained malaria elimination interventions across affected regions in order to break the chain of transmission.

Access to healthcare is influenced by various socioeconomic factors such as income, population group, educational attainment and health insurance. This study used Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) to investigate spatial variations in the association between socioeconomic factors and access to public healthcare facilities in the City of Tshwane, South Africa based on data from the Gauteng City-Region Observatory Quality of Life Survey (2020/2021). Socioeconomic predictors included population group, income, health insurance status and health satisfaction. The GWR model revealed that all socioeconomic factors combined explained the variation in access to healthcare facilities (R²=0.77). Deviance residuals, ranging from -2.67 to 1.83, demonstrated a good model fit, indicating the robustness of the GWR model in predicting access to healthcare facilities. Black African, low-income and uninsured populations had each a relatively strong association with access to healthcare facilities (R²=0.65). Additionally, spatial patterns revealed that socioeconomic relationships with access to health care facilities are not homogeneous, with significance of the relationships varying with space. This study highlights the need for a spatially nuanced approach to improving healthcare facilities access and emphasizes the need for targeted policy interventions that address local socio-environmental conditions.

Objects for Targeted Surveillance (OTS) are infrastructure entities that can be considered as focal points and conduits for transmitting infectious animal diseases, necessitating ongoing epidemiological surveillance. These entities encompass slaughterhouses, meat processing plants, animal markets, burial sites, veterinary laboratories, etc. Currently, in Kazakhstan, a funded research project is underway to establish a Geographic Information System (GIS) database of OTSs and investigate their role in the emergence and dissemination of infectious livestock diseases. This initial investigation examined the correlation between brucellosis outbreaks in cattle and small ruminant farms in the southeastern region of Kazakhstan and the presence of OTSs categorized as "slaughterhouses," "cattle markets," and "meat processing plants. The study area (namely Qyzylorda, Turkestan, Zhambyl, Almaty, Zhetysu, Abay and East Kazakhstan oblasts), characterized by the highest livestock density in the country, covers 335 slaughterhouses (with varying levels of biosecurity), 45 livestock markets and 15 meat processing plants. Between 2020 and 2023, 338 cases of brucellosis were reported from livestock farms in this region. The findings of the regression model reveal a statistically significant (p<0.05) positive association between the incidence of brucellosis cases and the number of OTSs in the region. Conversely, meat processing plants and livestock markets did not exhibit a significant influence on the prevalence of brucellosis cases. These results corroborate the hypothesis of an elevated risk of brucellosis transmission in regions with slaughterhouses, likely attributable to increased animal movements within and across regions, interactions with vehicles and contact with slaughterhouse staff. These outcomes mark a pivotal advancement in the national agricultural development agenda. The research will be extended to encompass the entire country, compiling a comprehensive OTS database.