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Geospatial tools and data for health service delivery: opportunities and challenges across the disaster management cycle. 用于提供保健服务的地理空间工具和数据:整个灾害管理周期的机遇与挑战。
IF 1 4区 医学 Q4 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-29 DOI: 10.4081/gh.2024.1284
Fleur Hierink, Nima Yaghmaei, Mirjam I Bakker, Nicolas Ray, Marc Van den Homberg

As extreme weather events increase in frequency and intensity, the health system faces significant challenges, not only from shifting patterns of climate-sensitive diseases but also from disruptions to healthcare infrastructure, supply chains and the physical systems essential for delivering care. This necessitates the strategic use of geospatial tools to guide the delivery of healthcare services and make evidence-informed priorities, especially in contexts with scarce human and financial resources. In this article, we highlight several published papers that have been used throughout the phases of the disaster management cycle in relation to health service delivery. We complement the findings from these publications with a rapid scoping review to present the body of knowledge for using spatial methods for health service delivery in the context of disasters. The main aim of this article is to demonstrate the benefits and discuss the challenges associated with the use of geospatial methods throughout the disaster management cycle. Our scoping review identified 48 articles employing geospatial techniques in the disaster management cycle. Most of them focused on geospatial tools employed for preparedness, anticipatory action and mitigation, particularly for targeted health service delivery. We note that while geospatial data analytics are effectively deployed throughout the different phases of disaster management, important challenges remain, such as ensuring timely availability of geospatial data during disasters, developing standardized and structured data formats, securing pre-disaster data for disaster preparedness, addressing gaps in health incidence data, reducing underreporting of cases and overcoming limitations in spatial and temporal coverage and granularity. Overall, existing and novel geospatial methods can bridge specific evidence gaps in all phases of the disaster management cycle. Improvement and 'operationalization' of these methods can provide opportunities for more evidence-informed decision making in responding to health crises during climate change.

随着极端天气事件发生频率和强度的增加,医疗系统面临着巨大的挑战,这些挑战不仅来自对气候敏感的疾病模式的变化,还来自对医疗基础设施、供应链和提供医疗服务所必需的物理系统的破坏。这就需要战略性地使用地理空间工具来指导医疗保健服务的提供,并制定有实证依据的优先事项,尤其是在人力和财力资源稀缺的情况下。在本文中,我们将重点介绍几篇已发表的论文,这些论文在灾害管理周期的各个阶段都被用于医疗服务的提供。我们对这些出版物的研究结果进行了快速范围审查,以介绍在灾害背景下使用空间方法提供医疗服务的知识体系。本文的主要目的是展示在整个灾害管理周期中使用地理空间方法的好处,并讨论与之相关的挑战。我们的范围审查确定了 48 篇在灾害管理周期中使用地理空间技术的文章。其中大部分文章侧重于备灾、预测行动和减灾中使用的地理空间工具,特别是有针对性地提供医疗服务。我们注意到,虽然地理空间数据分析在灾害管理的不同阶段都得到了有效应用,但仍存在一些重要挑战,如确保在灾害期间及时提供地理空间数据、开发标准化和结构化的数据格式、确保灾前备灾数据的安全、解决健康发病率数据方面的差距、减少病例漏报以及克服空间和时间覆盖范围及粒度方面的限制。总之,现有的和新颖的地理空间方法可以弥补灾害管理周期所有阶段的具体证据差距。这些方法的改进和 "可操作性 "可为应对气候变化期间的健康危机提供更多循证决策机会。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic location model for designated COVID-19 hospitals in China. 中国 COVID-19 定点医院动态定位模型。
IF 1 4区 医学 Q4 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-29 DOI: 10.4081/gh.2024.1310
Wang Fei, Yuan Linghong, Zhang Weigang, Zhang Ruihan

In order to effectively cope with the situation caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, cases should be concentrated in designated medical institutions with full capability to deal with patients infected by this virus. We studied the location of such hospitals dividing the patients into two categories: ordinary and severe. Genetic algorithms were constructed to achieve a three-phase dynamic approach for the location of hospitals designated to receive and treat COVID-19 cases based on the goal of minimizing the cost of construction and operation isolation wards as well as the transportation costs involved. A dynamic location model was established with the decision variables of the corresponding 'chromosome' of the genetic algorithms designed so that this goal could be reached. In the static location model, 15 hospitals were required throughout the treatment cycle, whereas the dynamic location model found a requirement of only 11 hospitals. It further showed that hospital construction costs can be reduced by approximately 13.7% and operational costs by approximately 26.7%. A comparison of the genetic algorithm and the Gurobi optimizer gave the genetic algorithm several advantages, such as great convergence and high operational efficiency.

为了有效应对 COVID-19 大流行造成的局面,病例应集中在完全有能力处理感染这种病毒的病人的指定医疗机构。我们对此类医院的选址进行了研究,将患者分为普通和重症两类。基于将隔离病房的建设和运营成本以及相关运输成本降至最低的目标,我们构建了遗传算法,以实现接收和治疗 COVID-19 病例的指定医院选址的三阶段动态方法。为了实现这一目标,我们建立了一个动态选址模型,并设计了遗传算法相应 "染色体 "的决策变量。在静态选址模型中,整个治疗周期需要 15 家医院,而动态选址模型发现只需要 11 家医院。研究进一步表明,医院建设成本可降低约 13.7%,运营成本可降低约 26.7%。对遗传算法和 Gurobi 优化器进行比较后发现,遗传算法具有收敛性强、运行效率高等优点。
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引用次数: 0
Geospatial Health: achievements, innovations, priorities. 地理空间健康:成就、创新、优先事项。
IF 1 4区 医学 Q4 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-25 DOI: 10.4081/gh.2024.1355
Sherif Amer, Ellen-Wien Augustijn, Carmen Anthonj, Nils Tjaden, Justine Blanford, Marc Van den Homberg, Laura Rinaldi, Thomas Van Rompay, Raúl Zurita Milla

An expert panel discussion on achievements, current areas of rapid scientific progress, prospects, and critical gaps in geospatial health was organized as part of the 16thsymposium of the global network of public health and earth scientists dedicated to the development of geospatial health (GnosisGIS), held at the Faculty of Geo-Information Science and Earth Observation (ITC) of the University of Twente in The Netherlands in November 2023. The symposium consisted of a three-day scientific event that brought together an interdisciplinary group of researchers and health professionals from across the globe. The aim of the panel session was threefold: firstly, to reflect on the main achievements of the scientific discipline of geospatial health in the past decade; secondly, to identify key innovation areas where rapid scientific progress is currently made and thirdly, to identify critical gaps and associated research and education priorities to move the discipline forward. [...].

2023 年 11 月,在荷兰特文特大学地理信息科学和地球观测学院(ITC)举办了第 16 届致力于发展地理空间健康的全球公共卫生和地球科学家网络(GnosisGIS)研讨会,作为研讨会的一部分,组织了一次关于地理空间健康方面的成就、当前快速科学进步的领域、前景和关键差距的专家小组讨论。研讨会包括为期三天的科学活动,汇集了来自全球各地的跨学科研究人员和卫生专业人员。小组会议的目的有三:第一,反思地理空间健康科学学科在过去十年中取得的主要成就;第二,确定目前科学进步迅速的关键创新领域;第三,确定关键差距以及相关的研究和教育优先事项,以推动该学科向前发展。[...].
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing GeoHealth: A step-by-step procedure for spatiotemporal disease mapping. 加强地理健康:时空疾病绘图的分步程序。
IF 1 4区 医学 Q4 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-23 DOI: 10.4081/gh.2024.1287
Bart Roelofs, Gerd Weitkamp

Cartography, or geographical visualization of disease is an essential aspect of the field of GeoHealth, yet there is limited guidance on the visualization of spatiotemporal disease maps. In order to adequately contribute to understanding disease outbreaks, disease maps should be crafted carefully and according to relevant cartographic guidelines. This article aims to increase the understanding of space-time visualization techniques that are relevant to the field of GeoHealth, by providing a step-by-step framework for the creation of space-time disease visualizations. This study introduces a systematic approach to spatiotemporal disease mapping by integrating operations from the Generalized Space Time Cube (GSTC) Framework with established cartographic symbology guidelines. This resulted in an overview table that contains both the relevant GSTC operations and cartographic guidelines, as well as a step-by-step procedure that guides users through the process of creating informative spatiotemporal disease maps. The practical application of this step-by-step procedure is demonstrated with an example using Dutch COVID-19 data. By providing a clear, practical step by step procedure, this study enhances the capacity of public health professionals, policymakers, and researchers to monitor, understand, and respond to the spatial and temporal dynamics of diseases.

疾病的制图或地理可视化是地理健康领域的一个重要方面,但关于时空疾病地图可视化的指导却很有限。为了充分促进对疾病爆发的理解,应根据相关制图准则精心制作疾病地图。本文旨在通过提供创建时空疾病可视化的逐步框架,加深对与地理健康领域相关的时空可视化技术的理解。本研究通过将广义时空立方体(GSTC)框架中的操作与既定的制图符号指南相结合,介绍了一种绘制时空疾病地图的系统方法。这就产生了一个概览表,其中包含相关的 GSTC 操作和制图指南,以及一个分步程序,指导用户创建信息丰富的时空疾病地图。以荷兰 COVID-19 数据为例,演示了这一分步式程序的实际应用。通过提供清晰、实用的分步程序,本研究提高了公共卫生专业人员、政策制定者和研究人员监测、了解和应对疾病时空动态的能力。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation and control strategy analysis of influenza cases in Jiujiang City, Jiangxi Province, China from 2018 to 2022. 2018-2022年江西省九江市流感病例评估及防控策略分析。
IF 1 4区 医学 Q4 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.4081/gh.2024.1294
Zhang Zeng, Huomei Xiong

According to World Trade Organization (WTO) statistics, the incidence of seasonal influenza in China has been on the rise since 2018. The aim of this study was to identify and investigate the influence of factors related to the incidence of four common types of influenza viruses. Data of patients with common cold and associated virus infections are described, and a logistic regression model based on gender, age and season was established. The relationship between virus type and the above three factors was analyzed in depth and significant (p<0.05) associations noted. We noted a fluctuation trend, with the infection rate of influenza virus showing an upward trend from 2018 to 2019 and from 2021 to 2022 and a downward trend from 2019 to 2021. The total number of cases in adolescents aged 18-30 years was higher than that in the elderly. The impact of different types of influenza virus on the population ranked from large to small, with special roles played by Influenza B/Victoria, H3N2, Influenza A/H1N1 pdm and Influenza B/Yamagata.

据世界贸易组织(WTO)统计,2018年以来,中国季节性流感发病率呈上升趋势。本研究旨在识别和探究四种常见类型流感病毒发病率的相关影响因素。描述了普通感冒及相关病毒感染患者的数据,并建立了基于性别、年龄和季节的逻辑回归模型。深入分析了病毒类型与上述三个因素之间的关系,结果表明(p
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引用次数: 0
Childhood stunting in Indonesia: assessing the performance of Bayesian spatial conditional autoregressive models. 印度尼西亚儿童发育迟缓:评估贝叶斯空间条件自回归模型的性能。
IF 1 4区 医学 Q4 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-03 DOI: 10.4081/gh.2024.1321
Aswi Aswi, Septian Rahardiantoro, Anang Kurnia, Bagus Sartono, Dian Handayani, Nurwan Nurwan, Susanna Cramb

Stunting continues to be a significant health issue, particularly in developing nations, with Indonesia ranking third in prevalence in Southeast Asia. This research examined the risk of stunting and influencing factors in Indonesia by implementing various Bayesian spatial conditional autoregressive (CAR) models that include covariates. A total of 750 models were run, including five different Bayesian spatial CAR models (Besag-York-Mollie (BYM), CAR Leroux and three forms of localised CAR), with 30 covariate combinations and five different hyperprior combinations for each model. The Poisson distribution was employed to model the counts of stunting cases. After a comprehensive evaluation of all model selection criteria utilized, the Bayesian localised CAR model with three covariates were preferred, either allowing up to 2 clusters with a variance hyperprior of inverse-gamma (1, 0.1) or allowing 3 clusters with a variance hyperprior of inverse-gamma (1, 0.01). Poverty and recent low birth weight (LBW) births are significantly associated with an increased risk of stunting, whereas child diet diversity is inversely related to the risk of stunting. Model results indicated that Sulawesi Barat Province has the highest risk of stunting, with DKI Jakarta Province the lowest. These areas with high stunting require interventions to reduce poverty, LBW births and increase child diet diversity.

发育迟缓仍然是一个重要的健康问题,尤其是在发展中国家,印度尼西亚的发病率在东南亚排名第三。本研究通过实施包含协变量的各种贝叶斯空间条件自回归(CAR)模型,对印度尼西亚发育迟缓的风险和影响因素进行了研究。共运行了 750 个模型,包括五个不同的贝叶斯空间自回归模型(贝萨格-约克-莫利模型(BYM)、勒鲁自回归模型和三种形式的局部自回归模型),每个模型有 30 个协变量组合和五个不同的超先验组合。发育迟缓病例计数模型采用泊松分布。在对所使用的所有模型选择标准进行综合评估后,贝叶斯局部 CAR 模型中的三个协变量更受青睐,该模型允许最多 2 个方差超前值为反伽马(1,0.1)的群集,或允许 3 个方差超前值为反伽马(1,0.01)的群集。贫困和最近出生的低出生体重儿与发育迟缓风险的增加有显著关系,而儿童饮食多样性与发育迟缓风险成反比。模型结果表明,巴拉特苏拉威西省的发育迟缓风险最高,雅加达DKI省最低。这些发育迟缓高发地区需要采取干预措施,以减少贫困、低体重儿的出生和增加儿童饮食多样性。
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引用次数: 0
A two-stage location model covering COVID-19 sampling, transport and DNA diagnosis: design of a national scheme for infection control. 涵盖 COVID-19 采样、运输和 DNA 诊断的两阶段定位模型:感染控制国家计划的设计。
IF 1 4区 医学 Q4 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-09-26 DOI: 10.4081/gh.2024.1281
Wang Fei, Lv Jiamin, Wang Chunting, Li Yuling, Xi Yuetuing

During the COVID-19 pandemic, a system was established in China that required testing of all residents for COVID-19. It consisted of sampling stations, laboratories capable of carrying out DNA investigations and vehicles carrying out immediate transfer of all samples from the former to the latter. Using Beilin District, Xi'an City, Shaanxi Province, China as example, we designed a genetic algorithm based on a two-stage location coverage model for the location of the sampling stations with regard to existing residencies as well as the transfer between the sampling stations and the laboratories. The aim was to estimate the minimum transportation costs between these units. In the first stage, the model considered demands for testing in residential areas, with the objective of minimizing the costs related to travel between residencies and sampling stations. In the second stage, this approach was extended to cover the location of the laboratories doing the DNAinvestigation, with the aim of minimizing the transportation costs between them and the sampling stations as well as the estimating the number of laboratories needed. Solutions were based on sampling stations and laboratories existing in 2022, with the results visualized by geographic information systems (GIS). The results show that the genetic algorithm designed in this paper had a better solution speed than the Gurobi algorithm. The convergence was better and the larger the network size, the more efficient the genetic algorithm solution time.

在 COVID-19 大流行期间,中国建立了一个系统,要求对所有居民进行 COVID-19 检测。该系统由采样站、能够进行 DNA 检测的实验室以及将所有样本从采样站立即运送到实验室的车辆组成。以中国陕西省西安市碑林区为例,我们设计了一种基于两阶段位置覆盖模型的遗传算法,用于确定采样站与现有居民点的位置,以及采样站与实验室之间的转运。目的是估算这些单位之间的最低运输成本。在第一阶段,该模型考虑了居民区的检测需求,目的是将居民区与采样站之间的交通成本降至最低。在第二阶段,这一方法扩展到了进行 DNA 调查的实验室的位置,目的是最大限度地降低实验室与采样站之间的运输成本,并估算所需的实验室数量。解决方案以 2022 年现有的采样站和实验室为基础,并通过地理信息系统(GIS)将结果可视化。结果表明,本文设计的遗传算法比 Gurobi 算法具有更好的求解速度。收敛性更好,网络规模越大,遗传算法的求解时间效率越高。
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引用次数: 0
The distribution of cardiovascular diseases in Tanzania: a spatio-temporal investigation. 坦桑尼亚心血管疾病的分布:时空调查。
IF 1 4区 医学 Q4 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-09-10 DOI: 10.4081/gh.2024.1307
Bernada E Sianga, Maurice C Mbago, Amina S Msengwa

Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) is currently the major challenge to people's health and the world's top cause of death. In Tanzania, deaths due to CVD account for about 13% of the total deaths caused by the non-communicable diseases. This study examined the spatio-temporal clustering of CVDs from 2010 to 2019 in Tanzania for retrospective spatio-temporal analysis using the Bernoulli probability model on data sampled from four selected hospitals. Spatial scan statistics was performed to identify CVD clusters and the effect of covariates on the CVD incidences was examined using multiple logistic regression. It was found that there was a comparatively high risk of CVD during 2011-2015 followed by a decline during 2015-2019. The spatio-temporal analysis detected two high-risk disease clusters in the coastal and lake zones from 2012 to 2016 (p<0.001), with similar results produced by purely spatial analysis. The multiple logistic model showed that sex, age, blood pressure, body mass index (BMI), alcohol intake and smoking were significant predictors of CVD incidence.

心血管疾病(CVD)是目前人类健康面临的主要挑战,也是世界上最主要的死亡原因。在坦桑尼亚,因心血管疾病死亡的人数约占非传染性疾病死亡总人数的 13%。本研究利用伯努利概率模型对坦桑尼亚 2010 年至 2019 年心血管疾病的时空聚类进行了研究,对从四家选定医院抽取的数据进行了回顾性时空分析。通过空间扫描统计来识别心血管疾病集群,并使用多元逻辑回归来研究协变量对心血管疾病发病率的影响。结果发现,2011-2015年间心血管疾病的风险相对较高,2015-2019年间则有所下降。时空分析发现,2012 年至 2016 年期间,沿海地区和湖泊地区出现了两个高风险疾病集群(p
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引用次数: 0
Tuberculosis in Aceh Province, Indonesia: a spatial epidemiological study covering the period 2019-2021. 印度尼西亚亚齐省的结核病:2019-2021 年空间流行病学研究。
IF 1 4区 医学 Q4 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.4081/gh.2024.1318
Farrah Fahdhienie, Frans Yosep Sitepu, Elpiani Br Depari

The purpose of this study was to determine whether there were any TB clusters in Aceh Province, Indonesia and their temporal distribution during the period of 2019-2021. A spatial geo-reference was conducted to 290 sub-districts coordinates by geocoding each sub-district's offices. By using SaTScan TM v9.4.4, a retrospective space-time scan statistics analysis based on population data and annual TB incidence was carried out. To determine the regions at high risk of TB, data from 1 January 2019 to 31 December 2021 were evaluated using the Poisson model. The likelihood ratio (LLR) value was utilized to locate the TB clusters based on a total of 999 permutations were performed. A Moran's I analysis (using GeoDa) was chosen for a study of both local and global spatial autocorrelation. The threshold for significance was fixed at 0.05. At the sub-district level, the spatial distribution of TB in Aceh Province from 2019-2021 showed 19 clusters (three most likely and 16 secondary ones), and there was a spatial autocorrelation of TB. The findings can be used to provide thorough knowledge on the spatial pattern of TB occurrence, which is important for designing effective TB interventions.

本研究的目的是确定印度尼西亚亚齐省是否存在结核病集群,以及它们在 2019-2021 年期间的时间分布情况。通过对每个分区办事处进行地理编码,对 290 个分区坐标进行了空间地理参照。使用 SaTScan TM v9.4.4,根据人口数据和结核病年发病率进行了回顾性时空扫描统计分析。为确定结核病高风险地区,使用泊松模型对 2019 年 1 月 1 日至 2021 年 12 月 31 日的数据进行了评估。在总共进行了 999 次排列的基础上,利用似然比(LLR)值来定位结核病集群。选择莫兰 I 分析(使用 GeoDa)来研究局部和整体空间自相关性。显著性临界值定为 0.05。在县级层面,2019-2021 年亚齐省结核病的空间分布显示出 19 个集群(3 个最可能集群和 16 个次级集群),结核病存在空间自相关性。研究结果可用于全面了解结核病发生的空间模式,这对设计有效的结核病干预措施非常重要。
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引用次数: 0
Performance of a negative binomial-GLM in spatial scan statistic: a case study of low-birth weights in Pakistan. 负二叉-GLM 在空间扫描统计中的表现:巴基斯坦低出生体重儿案例研究。
IF 1 4区 医学 Q4 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.4081/gh.2024.1313
Sami Ullah, Mushtaq Ahmad Khan Barakzai, Tianfa Xie

Spatial cluster analyses of health events are useful for enabling targeted interventions. Spatial scan statistic is the stateof- the-art method for this kind of analysis and the Poisson Generalized Linear Model (GLM) approach to the spatial scan statistic can be used for count data for spatial cluster detection with covariate adjustment. However, its use for modelling is limited due to data over-dispersion. A Generalized Linear Mixed Model (GLMM) has recently been proposed for modelling this kind of over-dispersion by incorporating random effects to model area-specific intrinsic variation not explained by other covariates in the model. However, these random effects may exhibit a geographical correlation, which may lead to a potential spatial cluster being undetected. To handle the over-dispersion in the count data, this study aimed to evaluate the performance of a negative binomial- GLM in spatial scan statistic on real-world data of low birth weights in Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa Province, Pakistan, 2019. The results were compared with the Poisson-GLM and GLMM, showing that the negative binomial-GLM is an ideal choice for spatial scan statistic in the presence of over-dispersed data. With a covariate (maternal anaemia) adjustment, the negative binomial-GLMbased spatial scan statistic detected one significant cluster covering Dir lower district. Without the covariate adjustment, it detected two clusters, each covering one district. The district of Peshawar was seen as the most likely cluster and Battagram as the secondary cluster. However, none of the clusters were detected by GLMM spatial scan statistic, which might be due to the spatial correlation of the random effects in GLMM.

对健康事件进行空间聚类分析有助于采取有针对性的干预措施。空间扫描统计是此类分析的最新方法,泊松广义线性模型(GLM)的空间扫描统计方法可用于计数数据的空间聚类检测,并进行协变量调整。然而,由于数据过度分散,该方法在建模方面的应用受到限制。最近有人提出了广义线性混合模型(GLMM),通过加入随机效应来模拟模型中其他协变量无法解释的特定区域内在变化,从而对这种过度分散进行建模。然而,这些随机效应可能表现出地理相关性,这可能导致潜在的空间集群未被发现。为处理计数数据中的过度离散问题,本研究旨在评估负二叉-GLM 在空间扫描统计中的性能,该模型适用于 2019 年巴基斯坦开伯尔-普赫图赫瓦省的低出生体重实际数据。结果与泊松-GLM 和 GLMM 进行了比较,表明负二叉-GLM 是在数据过度分散的情况下进行空间扫描统计的理想选择。在进行协变量(孕产妇贫血)调整后,基于负二叉-GLM 的空间扫描统计发现了一个重要的群组,该群组覆盖了 Dir 下区。在未进行协变量调整的情况下,它检测到两个群组,每个群组覆盖一个区。白沙瓦区被认为是最有可能的聚类,而巴塔格拉姆则是次要聚类。然而,GLMM 空间扫描统计没有检测到任何一个聚类,这可能是由于 GLMM 中随机效应的空间相关性造成的。
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