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Geographic distribution and demographic factors associated with use of a long-acting reversible contraceptive (LARC) in Ethiopia. 埃塞俄比亚使用长效可逆避孕(LARC)的地理分布和人口因素。
IF 1 4区 医学 Q4 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-01-23 DOI: 10.4081/gh.2025.1302
Mintesnot Tenkir Teni, Travis Loux, Ness Sandoval, Anne Sebert Kuhlmann

Background: Increasing access to and utilization of long-acting reversible contraceptives (LARC) can prevent unintended pregnancies and reduce unmet need for family planning in Ethiopia However, LARC uptake lags behind less effective contraceptive methods. This study aimed to analyze the geographical distribution and demographic factors associated to LARC uptake.

Methods: The 2019 Performance Monitoring For Action Ethiopia (PMA Ethiopia) survey data was used. Spatial autocorrelation was examined using Global Moran's I and Local Indicators of Spatial Association (LISA). Bivariate Moran's I and bivariate LISA (BiLISA), Spatial lag, and spatial error regression analyses were performed to assess the spatial correlation and association between LARC uptake and demographic factors.

Results: LARC uptake was 8% among the study population, with Afar and Somali regions having the lowest uptake. There was a statistically significant positive spatial autocorrelation for LARC uptake (Moran's I= 0.308, p<0.001). Additionally, an inverse correlation was observed between LARC uptake and the percentage of Muslims, rural population, no formal education, and low wealth quantile. The spatial lag model indicated that zones with higher Muslim populations and those with higher percentages of population with no formal education had lower LARC uptake.

Conclusions: To expand access to LARC, the Ethiopian government, policymakers, and non-governmental organizations might implement programs targeting low-uptake areas (Afar and Somali regions). Muslim religious leaders could play an important role in promoting acceptance of LARC among their members. Tailored health education programs should be developed for Muslim populations and those with no formal education to enhance awareness and acceptance of LARC.

背景:在埃塞俄比亚,增加长效可逆避孕药具(LARC)的获取和利用可以预防意外怀孕,减少未满足的计划生育需求。然而,LARC的使用滞后于较不有效的避孕方法。本研究旨在分析与LARC吸收相关的地理分布和人口因素。方法:采用2019年埃塞俄比亚行动绩效监测(PMA Ethiopia)调查数据。利用Global Moran’s I和Local Indicators of Spatial Association (LISA)对空间自相关性进行了检验。采用双变量Moran’s I和双变量LISA (BiLISA)、空间滞后和空间误差回归分析来评估LARC摄取与人口因素之间的空间相关性和相关性。结果:LARC在研究人群中的使用率为8%,阿法尔和索马里地区的使用率最低。结论:为了扩大LARC的获取,埃塞俄比亚政府、政策制定者和非政府组织可以针对低吸收地区(阿法尔和索马里地区)实施计划。穆斯林宗教领袖可以在促进其成员接受LARC方面发挥重要作用。应该为穆斯林人口和没有受过正规教育的人制定量身定制的健康教育计划,以提高对LARC的认识和接受度。
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引用次数: 0
Geographical accessibility to healthcare by point-of-interest data from online maps: a comparative study. 通过在线地图上的兴趣点数据获得医疗保健的地理可及性:一项比较研究。
IF 1 4区 医学 Q4 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-12-20 DOI: 10.4081/gh.2024.1322
Heng-Qian Huang-Fu, Nan Zhang, Li Wang, Hui-Juan Liang, Ben-Song Xian, Xiao-Fang Gan, Yingsi Lai

Geographical accessibility is important for promoting health equity, and calculating it requires the locations of all existing healthcare facilities in a region. Authoritative location data collected by governments is accurate but mostly not publicly available, while point-of-interest (POI) data from online sources, such as Baidu Maps and AutoNavi Maps are easily accessible. However, the accuracy of the latter has not been thoroughly analyzed. Taking Baotou, a medium-sized city in China, as aneample, we assessed the suitability of using POI data for measuring geographic accessibility to healthcare facilities.We computedthe difference of geographic accessibility calculated based on POI data and that on authoritative data.Logistic regression and a multiple linear regression model was applied to identify factors related to the consistency between the two data sources. Compared to authoritative data, POI data exhibited discrepancies, with completeness of 54.9% and accuracy of 63.7%. Geographic accessibility calculated based on both data showed similar patterns, with good consistency for hospitals and in urban areas. However, large differences (>30 minutes) were shown in rural areas for primary healthcare facilities. The differences were small regarding to population- weighted average accessibility (with slight underestimation of 3.07 minutes) and population coverage across various levels of accessibility (with differences less than 1% of the population) for the entire area. In conclusion, POI data can be considered foruse in both urban areas and at the level of entire city; however, awareness should be raised in rural areas.

地理可及性对于促进卫生公平很重要,计算地理可及性需要一个区域内所有现有卫生保健设施的位置。政府收集的权威位置数据是准确的,但大多不公开,而来自百度地图和高德地图等在线资源的兴趣点(POI)数据很容易获得。然而,后者的准确性尚未得到彻底的分析。以中国中型城市包头市为例,评估了POI数据用于衡量医疗机构地理可达性的适用性。计算了基于POI数据计算的地理可达性与权威数据计算的地理可达性差异。采用Logistic回归和多元线性回归模型识别影响两个数据源一致性的因素。与权威数据相比,POI数据存在差异,完整性为54.9%,准确性为63.7%。基于这两个数据计算的地理可达性显示出相似的模式,医院和城市地区具有良好的一致性。然而,在农村地区,初级卫生保健设施的使用时间差异很大(60 - 30分钟)。在人口加权平均可达性(略低于3.07分钟)和人口覆盖率(差异小于人口的1%)方面,整个地区的差异很小。总而言之,POI数据可以考虑在城市地区和整个城市一级使用;然而,应该提高农村地区的认识。
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引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and attribution analysis of hepatitis A in mainland China. 中国大陆甲型肝炎时空演变特征及归因分析
IF 1 4区 医学 Q4 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-12-03 DOI: 10.4081/gh.2024.1323
Xiaodi Su, Chunxia Qiu, Chunhui Liu

This study aimed to analyze the epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal clustering of hepatitis A in mainland China from 2004 to 2019 and to evaluate the practical impact of integrating hepatitis A vaccines into the Expanded Program on Immunization (EPI). Spatial and temporal autocorrelation and spatiotemporal scanning statistics were used to perform spatial and temporal characterization to quantify the spatial similarity or degree of aggregation of geographic data, and Geographical and Temporal Weighted Regression (GTWR) models were used to reveal spatial and temporal heterogeneity in the relationships between variables to test for spatial and temporal outbreaks of disease and other factors, such as socio-economic factors. Spatially, the incidence rates exhibited a west-high and east-low spatial differentiation, with the High-High (HH) clusters predominantly located in the western regions, maintaining stability butgradually diminishing. Hepatitis A prevalence peaked during the initial study period (2004-2008) showing significant spatial clustering. However, since the inclusion of hepatitis A vaccine in the immunization program in 2008, the incidence rates of hepatitis A in mainland China significantly decreased demonstrating the positive impact of immunization strategies. In addition to the effects of vaccination, socio-economic factors such as education level, water resources and age groups showed significant associations with hepatitis A incidence rates. Increased vaccine coverage and improved social conditions are crucial for controlling hepatitis A in China.

本研究旨在分析2004 - 2019年中国大陆地区甲型肝炎的流行病学特征和时空聚类,并评估将甲型肝炎疫苗纳入扩大免疫规划(EPI)的实际影响。利用时空自相关和时空扫描统计进行时空表征,量化地理数据的空间相似性或聚集程度,并利用地理和时间加权回归(GTWR)模型揭示变量之间关系的时空异质性,以检验疾病的时空爆发和其他因素(如社会经济因素)。在空间上,发病率呈现西高东低的空间分异,高-高(HH)集群主要分布在西部地区,保持稳定,但逐渐减少。甲型肝炎患病率在最初研究期间(2004-2008年)达到峰值,显示出显著的空间聚集性。然而,自2008年将甲型肝炎疫苗纳入免疫规划以来,中国大陆甲型肝炎发病率显著下降,表明免疫策略的积极影响。除了疫苗接种的影响外,教育水平、水资源和年龄组等社会经济因素也显示出与甲型肝炎发病率的显著关联。在中国,提高疫苗覆盖率和改善社会条件对于控制甲型肝炎至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Socio-economic and environmental factors are related to acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease incidence in Thailand. 社会经济和环境因素与泰国慢性阻塞性肺病发病率的急性加重有关。
IF 1 4区 医学 Q4 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-11-29 DOI: 10.4081/gh.2024.1300
Phuricha Phacharathonphakul, Kittipong Sornlorm

Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) is a significant global health issue, leading to high rates of sickness and death worldwide. In Thailand, there are over 3 million patients with the COPD, with more than a million patients admitted to hospitals due to symptoms of the disease. This study investigated factors influencing the incidence of acute exacerbations among COPD patients in Thailand, including the spatial autocorrelation between socioeconomic and environmental factors. We conducted a spatial analysis using Moran's I, Local Indicators Of Spatial Association (LISA), and spatial regression models, specifically the Spatial Lag Model (SLM) and the Spatial Error Model (SEM), to explore the relationships between the variables. The univariate Moran's I scatter plots showed a significant positive spatial autocorrelation of 0.606 in the incidence rate of COPD among individuals aged 15 years and older across all 77 provinces in Thailand. High-High (HH) clusters for the COPD were observed in the northern and southern regions, while Low-Low (LL) clusters were observed in the northern and north-eastern regions. Bivariate Moran's I indicated a spatial autocorrelation between various factors and acute exacerbation of COPD in Thailand. LISA analysis revealed 4 HH clusters and 5 LL clusters related to average income, 12 HH and 8 LL clusters in areas where many people smoke, 5 HH and 8 LL clusters in areas with industrial factory activities, 11 HH and 9 LL clusters associated with forested areas, and 6 LL clusters associated with the average rice field. Based on the Akaike information criterion (AIC). The SLM outperformed the SEM but only slightly so, with an AIC value of 1014.29 compared to 1019.56 and a Lagrange multiplier value of p<0.001. However, it did explain approximately 63.9% of the incidence of acute exacerbations of COPD, with a coefficient of determination (R² = 0.6394) along with a Rho (ρ) of 0.4164. The results revealed that several factors, including income, smoking, industrial surroundings, forested areas and rice fields are associated with increased levels of acute COPD exacerbations.

慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)是一个重大的全球健康问题,在世界范围内导致高发病率和死亡率。在泰国,有300多万慢性阻塞性肺病患者,有100多万患者因该疾病的症状而住院。本研究探讨了影响泰国慢性阻塞性肺病患者急性加重发生率的因素,包括社会经济因素和环境因素之间的空间自相关性。利用Moran’s I、空间关联局部指标(LISA)和空间回归模型,特别是空间滞后模型(SLM)和空间误差模型(SEM)进行空间分析,探讨变量之间的关系。单变量Moran’s I散点图显示,泰国所有77个省份中15岁及以上人群的COPD发病率具有显著的正空间自相关(0.606)。在北部和南部地区观察到高-高(HH)集群,而在北部和东北部地区观察到低-低(LL)集群。双变量Moran's I表明泰国COPD急性加重与各种因素之间存在空间自相关。LISA分析显示,与平均收入相关的有4个HH集群和5个LL集群,吸烟人群较多的地区有12个HH集群和8个LL集群,工业工厂活动地区有5个HH集群和8个LL集群,与森林地区相关的有11个HH集群和9个LL集群,与平均稻田相关的有6个LL集群。基于赤池信息准则(AIC)。SLM的表现优于SEM,但只是稍微好一点,其AIC值为1014.29,而非1019.56,拉格朗日乘数值为p
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引用次数: 0
Flexible scan statistic with a restricted likelihood ratio for optimized COVID-19 surveillance. 采用限制似然比的灵活扫描统计,优化 COVID-19 监测。
IF 1 4区 医学 Q4 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-11-26 DOI: 10.4081/gh.2024.1265
Ernest Akyereko, Frank B Osei, Kofi M Nyarko, Alfred Stein

Disease surveillance remains important for early detection of new COVID-19 variants. For this purpose, the World Health Organization (WHO) recommends integrating of COVID-19 surveillance with other respiratory diseases. This requires knowledge of areas with elevated risk, which in developing countries is lacking from the routine analyses. Focusing on Ghana, this study employed scan-statistic cluster analysis to uncover the spatial patterns of incidence and Case Fatality Rates (CFR) of COVID-19 based on reports covering the four pandemic waves in Ghana between 12 March 2020 and 28 February 2022. Applying flexible spatial scan statistic with restricted likelihood ratio, we examined the incidence and CFR clusters before and after adjustment for covariates. We used distance to the epicentre, proportion of the population aged ≥ 65, male proportion of the population and urban proportion of the population as the covariates. We identified 56 significant spatial clusters for incidence and 26 for CFR for all four waves of the pandemic. The Most Likely Clusters (MLCs) of incidence occurred in the districts in south-eastern Ghana, while the CFR ones occurred in districts in the central and the northeastern parts of the country. These districts could serve as sites for sentinel or genomic surveillance. Spatial relationships were identified between COVID-19 incidence covariates and the CFR. We observed closeness to the epicentre and high proportions of urban populations increased COVID-19 incidence, whiles high proportions of those aged ≥ 65 years increased the CFR. Accounting for the covariates resulted in changes in the distribution of the clusters. Both incidence and CFR due to COVID-19 were spatially clustered, and these clusters were affected by high proportions of the urban population, high proportions of the male population, high proportions of the population aged ≥ 65 years and closeness to the epicentre. Surveillance should target districts with elevated risk. Long-term control measures for COVID-19 and other contagious diseases should consider improving quality healthcare access and measures to reduce growth rates of urban populations.

疾病监测对于早期发现 COVID-19 的新变种仍然非常重要。为此,世界卫生组织(WHO)建议将 COVID-19 监测与其他呼吸道疾病结合起来。这需要了解高风险地区的情况,而发展中国家的常规分析缺乏这方面的知识。本研究以加纳为重点,根据 2020 年 3 月 12 日至 2022 年 2 月 28 日期间加纳四次大流行的报告,采用扫描统计聚类分析来揭示 COVID-19 发病率和病死率(CFR)的空间模式。我们应用灵活的空间扫描统计与限制似然比,在对协变量进行调整之前和之后对发病率和病死率聚类进行了检验。我们将与震中的距离、65 岁以上人口比例、男性人口比例和城市人口比例作为协变量。在大流行的所有四波中,我们确定了 56 个重要的发病率空间集群和 26 个 CFR 空间集群。最有可能的发病集群(MLCs)出现在加纳东南部的地区,而 CFR 集群则出现在该国中部和东北部的地区。这些地区可作为哨点或基因组监测点。我们确定了 COVID-19 发病率协变量与 CFR 之间的空间关系。我们观察到,距离震中越近、城市人口比例越高,COVID-19 的发病率就越高,而年龄≥ 65 岁的人口比例越高,CFR 就越高。考虑协变量后,群集的分布发生了变化。COVID-19的发病率和CFR均呈空间集群分布,这些集群受到城市人口比例高、男性人口比例高、年龄≥65岁的人口比例高以及距离震中较近的影响。应针对风险较高的地区进行监测。针对 COVID-19 和其他传染病的长期控制措施应考虑提高医疗保健服务的质量,并采取措施降低城市人口的增长率。
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引用次数: 0
Nigeria's malaria prevalence in 2015: a geospatial, exploratory district-level approach. 2015 年尼日利亚疟疾流行情况:地区级地理空间探索方法。
IF 1 4区 医学 Q4 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-11-25 DOI: 10.4081/gh.2024.1243
Mina Whyte, Kennedy Mwai Wambui, Eustasius Musenge

This study used data from the second Nigeria Malaria Indicator Survey (NMIS) conducted in 2015 to investigate the spatial distribution of malaria prevalence in the country and identify its associated factors. Nigeria is divided into 36 states with 109 senatorial districts, most of which are affected by malaria, a major cause of morbidity and mortality in children under five years of age. We carried out an ecological study with analysis at the senatorial district level. A malaria prevalence map was produced combining geographic information systems data from the Nigeria Malaria Indicator Survey (NMIS) of 2015 with shape files from an open data-sharing platform. Spatial autoregressive models were fitted using a set of key covariates. Malaria prevalence in children under-five was highest in Kebbi South senatorial district (70.6%). It was found that poorest wealth index (β = 0.10 (95% CI: 0.01, 0.20), p = 0.04), mothers having only secondary level of education (β = 0.78 (95% CI: 0.05, 1.51), p = 0.04) and households without mosquito bed nets (β = 0.21 (95% CI: 0.02, 0.39), p = 0.03) were all significantly associated with higher malaria prevalence. Moran's I (54.81, p<0.001) showed spatial dependence of malaria prevalence across contiguous districts and spatial autoregressive modelling demonstrated significant spill-over effect of malaria prevalence. Maps produced in this study provide a useful graphical representation of the spatial distribution of malaria prevalence based on NMIS-2015 data. Clustering of malaria prevalence in certain areas further highlights the need for sustained malaria elimination interventions across affected regions in order to break the chain of transmission.

本研究使用了 2015 年开展的第二次尼日利亚疟疾指标调查(NMIS)的数据,以调查该国疟疾流行的空间分布情况,并确定其相关因素。尼日利亚分为 36 个州,109 个参议院辖区,其中大部分都受到疟疾的影响,而疟疾是导致五岁以下儿童发病和死亡的主要原因。我们开展了一项生态研究,在参议院地区一级进行分析。我们将 2015 年尼日利亚疟疾指标调查(NMIS)的地理信息系统数据与开放数据共享平台的形状文件相结合,制作了疟疾流行地图。利用一组关键协变量拟合了空间自回归模型。五岁以下儿童的疟疾流行率在凯比南参议院地区最高(70.6%)。研究发现,最贫困指数(β = 0.10 (95% CI: 0.01, 0.20), p = 0.04)、母亲仅有中学教育水平(β = 0.78 (95% CI: 0.05, 1.51), p = 0.04)和没有蚊帐的家庭(β = 0.21 (95% CI: 0.02, 0.39), p = 0.03)都与疟疾流行率较高有显著关联。莫兰 I(54.81,p
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引用次数: 0
Associating socioeconomic factors with access to public healthcare facilities using geographically weighted regression in the city of Tshwane, South Africa. 利用地理加权回归法将南非茨瓦内市的社会经济因素与使用公共医疗设施的机会联系起来。
IF 1 4区 医学 Q4 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-11-20 DOI: 10.4081/gh.2024.1288
Thabiso Moeti, Tholang Mokhele, Solomon Tesfamichael

Access to healthcare is influenced by various socioeconomic factors such as income, population group, educational attainment and health insurance. This study used Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) to investigate spatial variations in the association between socioeconomic factors and access to public healthcare facilities in the City of Tshwane, South Africa based on data from the Gauteng City-Region Observatory Quality of Life Survey (2020/2021). Socioeconomic predictors included population group, income, health insurance status and health satisfaction. The GWR model revealed that all socioeconomic factors combined explained the variation in access to healthcare facilities (R²=0.77). Deviance residuals, ranging from -2.67 to 1.83, demonstrated a good model fit, indicating the robustness of the GWR model in predicting access to healthcare facilities. Black African, low-income and uninsured populations had each a relatively strong association with access to healthcare facilities (R²=0.65). Additionally, spatial patterns revealed that socioeconomic relationships with access to health care facilities are not homogeneous, with significance of the relationships varying with space. This study highlights the need for a spatially nuanced approach to improving healthcare facilities access and emphasizes the need for targeted policy interventions that address local socio-environmental conditions.

医疗服务的获取受到各种社会经济因素的影响,如收入、人口群体、教育程度和医疗保险。本研究使用地理加权回归法(GWR),根据豪登省城市-地区观察站生活质量调查(2020/2021 年)的数据,调查南非茨瓦内市社会经济因素与公共医疗设施使用权之间的空间差异。社会经济预测因素包括人口组别、收入、医疗保险状况和健康满意度。GWR 模型显示,所有社会经济因素加在一起可以解释医疗设施使用率的变化(R²=0.77)。偏差残差从-2.67到1.83不等,表明模型拟合度良好,表明GWR模型在预测医疗机构就诊率方面的稳健性。非洲黑人、低收入人群和未参保人群与医疗机构就诊率的关联度相对较高(R²=0.65)。此外,空间模式显示,社会经济与医疗设施使用权之间的关系并不一致,关系的重要性随空间而变化。这项研究强调了采用空间细微差别方法来改善医疗保健设施可及性的必要性,并强调了针对当地社会环境条件采取有针对性的政策干预措施的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Identification and mapping of objects targeted for surveillance and their role as risk factors for brucellosis in livestock farms in Kazakhstan. 哈萨克斯坦畜牧场布鲁氏菌病监测对象的识别和绘图及其作为风险因素的作用。
IF 1 4区 医学 Q4 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-11-08 DOI: 10.4081/gh.2024.1335
Aizada A Mukhanbetkaliyeva, Ablaikhan S Kadyrov, Yersyn Y Mukhanbetkaliyev, Zhanat S Adilbekov, Assylbek A Zhanabayev, Assem Z Abenova, Fedor I Korennoy, Sarsenbay K Abdrakhmanov

Objects for Targeted Surveillance (OTS) are infrastructure entities that can be considered as focal points and conduits for transmitting infectious animal diseases, necessitating ongoing epidemiological surveillance. These entities encompass slaughterhouses, meat processing plants, animal markets, burial sites, veterinary laboratories, etc. Currently, in Kazakhstan, a funded research project is underway to establish a Geographic Information System (GIS) database of OTSs and investigate their role in the emergence and dissemination of infectious livestock diseases. This initial investigation examined the correlation between brucellosis outbreaks in cattle and small ruminant farms in the southeastern region of Kazakhstan and the presence of OTSs categorized as "slaughterhouses," "cattle markets," and "meat processing plants. The study area (namely Qyzylorda, Turkestan, Zhambyl, Almaty, Zhetysu, Abay and East Kazakhstan oblasts), characterized by the highest livestock density in the country, covers 335 slaughterhouses (with varying levels of biosecurity), 45 livestock markets and 15 meat processing plants. Between 2020 and 2023, 338 cases of brucellosis were reported from livestock farms in this region. The findings of the regression model reveal a statistically significant (p<0.05) positive association between the incidence of brucellosis cases and the number of OTSs in the region. Conversely, meat processing plants and livestock markets did not exhibit a significant influence on the prevalence of brucellosis cases. These results corroborate the hypothesis of an elevated risk of brucellosis transmission in regions with slaughterhouses, likely attributable to increased animal movements within and across regions, interactions with vehicles and contact with slaughterhouse staff. These outcomes mark a pivotal advancement in the national agricultural development agenda. The research will be extended to encompass the entire country, compiling a comprehensive OTS database.

目标监控对象(OTS)是指可被视为动物传染病传播焦点和渠道的基础设施实体,因此有必要对其进行持续的流行病学监控。这些实体包括屠宰场、肉类加工厂、动物市场、掩埋场、兽医实验室等。目前,哈萨克斯坦正在开展一项资助研究项目,以建立 OTS 的地理信息系统(GIS)数据库,并调查它们在牲畜传染病的出现和传播中的作用。这项初步调查研究了哈萨克斯坦东南部地区养牛场和小型反刍动物养殖场爆发布鲁氏菌病与 "屠宰场"、"牛市 "和 "肉类加工厂 "等 OTS 存在之间的相关性。研究区域(即 Qyzylorda、Turkestan、Zhambyl、Almaty、Zhetysu、Abai 和 East Kazakhstan 州)是全国牲畜密度最高的地区,涵盖 335 个屠宰场(生物安全水平不一)、45 个牲畜市场和 15 个肉类加工厂。2020 年至 2023 年期间,该地区的畜牧场共报告 338 例布鲁氏杆菌病病例。回归模型的结果表明,布鲁氏菌病在该地区的发病率(p
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引用次数: 0
Geospatial tools and data for health service delivery: opportunities and challenges across the disaster management cycle. 用于提供保健服务的地理空间工具和数据:整个灾害管理周期的机遇与挑战。
IF 1 4区 医学 Q4 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-29 DOI: 10.4081/gh.2024.1284
Fleur Hierink, Nima Yaghmaei, Mirjam I Bakker, Nicolas Ray, Marc Van den Homberg

As extreme weather events increase in frequency and intensity, the health system faces significant challenges, not only from shifting patterns of climate-sensitive diseases but also from disruptions to healthcare infrastructure, supply chains and the physical systems essential for delivering care. This necessitates the strategic use of geospatial tools to guide the delivery of healthcare services and make evidence-informed priorities, especially in contexts with scarce human and financial resources. In this article, we highlight several published papers that have been used throughout the phases of the disaster management cycle in relation to health service delivery. We complement the findings from these publications with a rapid scoping review to present the body of knowledge for using spatial methods for health service delivery in the context of disasters. The main aim of this article is to demonstrate the benefits and discuss the challenges associated with the use of geospatial methods throughout the disaster management cycle. Our scoping review identified 48 articles employing geospatial techniques in the disaster management cycle. Most of them focused on geospatial tools employed for preparedness, anticipatory action and mitigation, particularly for targeted health service delivery. We note that while geospatial data analytics are effectively deployed throughout the different phases of disaster management, important challenges remain, such as ensuring timely availability of geospatial data during disasters, developing standardized and structured data formats, securing pre-disaster data for disaster preparedness, addressing gaps in health incidence data, reducing underreporting of cases and overcoming limitations in spatial and temporal coverage and granularity. Overall, existing and novel geospatial methods can bridge specific evidence gaps in all phases of the disaster management cycle. Improvement and 'operationalization' of these methods can provide opportunities for more evidence-informed decision making in responding to health crises during climate change.

随着极端天气事件发生频率和强度的增加,医疗系统面临着巨大的挑战,这些挑战不仅来自对气候敏感的疾病模式的变化,还来自对医疗基础设施、供应链和提供医疗服务所必需的物理系统的破坏。这就需要战略性地使用地理空间工具来指导医疗保健服务的提供,并制定有实证依据的优先事项,尤其是在人力和财力资源稀缺的情况下。在本文中,我们将重点介绍几篇已发表的论文,这些论文在灾害管理周期的各个阶段都被用于医疗服务的提供。我们对这些出版物的研究结果进行了快速范围审查,以介绍在灾害背景下使用空间方法提供医疗服务的知识体系。本文的主要目的是展示在整个灾害管理周期中使用地理空间方法的好处,并讨论与之相关的挑战。我们的范围审查确定了 48 篇在灾害管理周期中使用地理空间技术的文章。其中大部分文章侧重于备灾、预测行动和减灾中使用的地理空间工具,特别是有针对性地提供医疗服务。我们注意到,虽然地理空间数据分析在灾害管理的不同阶段都得到了有效应用,但仍存在一些重要挑战,如确保在灾害期间及时提供地理空间数据、开发标准化和结构化的数据格式、确保灾前备灾数据的安全、解决健康发病率数据方面的差距、减少病例漏报以及克服空间和时间覆盖范围及粒度方面的限制。总之,现有的和新颖的地理空间方法可以弥补灾害管理周期所有阶段的具体证据差距。这些方法的改进和 "可操作性 "可为应对气候变化期间的健康危机提供更多循证决策机会。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic location model for designated COVID-19 hospitals in China. 中国 COVID-19 定点医院动态定位模型。
IF 1 4区 医学 Q4 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-29 DOI: 10.4081/gh.2024.1310
Wang Fei, Yuan Linghong, Zhang Weigang, Zhang Ruihan

In order to effectively cope with the situation caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, cases should be concentrated in designated medical institutions with full capability to deal with patients infected by this virus. We studied the location of such hospitals dividing the patients into two categories: ordinary and severe. Genetic algorithms were constructed to achieve a three-phase dynamic approach for the location of hospitals designated to receive and treat COVID-19 cases based on the goal of minimizing the cost of construction and operation isolation wards as well as the transportation costs involved. A dynamic location model was established with the decision variables of the corresponding 'chromosome' of the genetic algorithms designed so that this goal could be reached. In the static location model, 15 hospitals were required throughout the treatment cycle, whereas the dynamic location model found a requirement of only 11 hospitals. It further showed that hospital construction costs can be reduced by approximately 13.7% and operational costs by approximately 26.7%. A comparison of the genetic algorithm and the Gurobi optimizer gave the genetic algorithm several advantages, such as great convergence and high operational efficiency.

为了有效应对 COVID-19 大流行造成的局面,病例应集中在完全有能力处理感染这种病毒的病人的指定医疗机构。我们对此类医院的选址进行了研究,将患者分为普通和重症两类。基于将隔离病房的建设和运营成本以及相关运输成本降至最低的目标,我们构建了遗传算法,以实现接收和治疗 COVID-19 病例的指定医院选址的三阶段动态方法。为了实现这一目标,我们建立了一个动态选址模型,并设计了遗传算法相应 "染色体 "的决策变量。在静态选址模型中,整个治疗周期需要 15 家医院,而动态选址模型发现只需要 11 家医院。研究进一步表明,医院建设成本可降低约 13.7%,运营成本可降低约 26.7%。对遗传算法和 Gurobi 优化器进行比较后发现,遗传算法具有收敛性强、运行效率高等优点。
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引用次数: 0
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Geospatial Health
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