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2020 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC)最新文献

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A Simheuristic Algorithm for the Location Routing Problem with Facility Sizing Decisions and Stochastic Demands 具有设施规模决策和随机需求的位置路由问题的一种近似启发式算法
Pub Date : 2020-12-14 DOI: 10.1109/WSC48552.2020.9384053
R. D. Tordecilla, Javier Panadero, A. Juan, C. L. Quintero-Araújo, J. Montoya-Torres
Location routing is a well known problem in which decisions about facility location and vehicle routing must be made. Traditionally, a fixed size or capacity is assigned to an open facility as the input parameter to the problem. However, real-world cases show that decision-makers usually have a set of size options. If this size is selected accurately according to the demand of allocated customers, then location decisions and routing activities would raise smaller cost. Nevertheless, choosing this size implies additional variables that make an already NP-hard problem even more challenging. In addition, considering stochastic demands contributes to making the optimization problem more difficult to solve. Hence, a simheuristic algorithm is proposed in this work. It combines the efficiency of metaheuristics and the capabilities of simulation to deal with uncertainty. A series of computational experiments show that our approach can efficiently deal with medium-large instances.
位置路由是一个众所周知的问题,其中必须对设施的位置和车辆的路径进行决策。传统上,将固定的大小或容量分配给开放设施作为问题的输入参数。然而,现实世界的案例表明,决策者通常有一系列的规模选择。如果根据分配客户的需求准确地选择这个规模,那么位置决策和路由活动所增加的成本就会更小。然而,选择这个大小意味着额外的变量,使已经是np困难的问题更具挑战性。另外,考虑随机需求使得优化问题更加难以求解。因此,本文提出了一种相似启发式算法。它结合了元启发式的效率和模拟的能力来处理不确定性。一系列的计算实验表明,我们的方法可以有效地处理大中型实例。
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引用次数: 1
Design and Simulation of a Wide Area Search Mission: An Implementation of an Autonomous Systems Reference Architecture 广域搜索任务的设计与仿真:自主系统参考体系结构的实现
Pub Date : 2020-12-14 DOI: 10.1109/WSC48552.2020.9384112
David King, David Jacques, Jeremy Gray, Katherine Cheney
The implementation and testing of autonomous and cooperative unmanned systems is challenging due to the inherent design complexity, infinite test spaces, and lack of autonomy specific measures. Simulation provides a low cost alternative to flight tests, allowing researchers to rapidly iterate on the design before fielding. To expedite this process, an Autonomous System Reference Architecture allows researchers to utilize existing software modules to rapidly develop algorithms for autonomous systems and test them in included simulation environments. In this paper, we implement ASRA on a cooperative wide area search scenario as a test bed to study ASRA’s utility for rapid prototyping and evaluation of autonomous and cooperative systems. Through a face centered cubic design of experiments, selected autonomy metrics are studied to provide a response surface model to characterize the system and provide a tool to optimize mission control parameters and maximize mission performance.
由于固有的设计复杂性、无限的测试空间以及缺乏自主具体措施,自主和协作无人系统的实施和测试具有挑战性。模拟为飞行测试提供了一种低成本的替代方案,使研究人员能够在部署前快速迭代设计。为了加快这一过程,自主系统参考架构允许研究人员利用现有的软件模块快速开发自主系统的算法,并在包括模拟环境中对其进行测试。本文以协同广域搜索场景为实验平台,研究了ASRA在自主和协作系统快速原型设计和评估中的应用。通过面心三次实验设计,研究了选择的自主指标,以提供响应面模型来表征系统,并为优化任务控制参数和最大化任务性能提供工具。
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引用次数: 1
The Basics of Simulation 模拟的基础
Pub Date : 2020-12-14 DOI: 10.1109/WSC48552.2020.9384079
K. P. White, R. G. Ingalls
Simulation is experimentation with a model. The behavior of the model imitates some salient aspect of the behavior of the system under study and the user experiments with the model to infer this behavior. This general framework has proven a powerful adjunct to learning, problem solving, design, and control. In this tutorial, we focus principally on discrete-event simulation – its underlying concepts, structure, and application.
模拟是用模型进行实验。模型的行为模仿所研究系统行为的某些突出方面,用户用模型进行实验来推断这种行为。这个通用框架已被证明是学习、解决问题、设计和控制的有力辅助工具。在本教程中,我们主要关注离散事件模拟——它的基本概念、结构和应用。
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引用次数: 0
A Human Experiment Using a Hybrid Agent-Based Model 基于混合主体模型的人体实验
Pub Date : 2020-12-14 DOI: 10.1109/WSC48552.2020.9384113
Andrew J. Collins, Sheida Etemadidavan, Pilar Pazos Lago
Agent-based modeling (ABM) provides a means to investigate the emergent phenomenon generated from interacting autonomous agents. However, there are some concerns with this modeling approach. One concern is how to integrate strategic group formation, into ABM, without imposing macro-level aggregation rules. Another concern is whether the computerized agents’ behavior is reflective of actual human behavior. Collins and Frydenlund developed a hybrid modeling approach to address the first concern in 2018. The focus of our paper is on the second concern, in the context of the hybrid model. An experiment was conducted to help determine whether a person’s experiences affect their behavior and whether their behavior is similar to those generated by the hybrid model. The experimental results confirmed these two assertions. Our experiment used a standard cooperative game-theoretic game, called the glove game, as its base scenario.
基于agent的建模(ABM)提供了一种研究由相互作用的自治agent产生的突发现象的方法。然而,这种建模方法存在一些问题。一个问题是如何在不强加宏观层面的聚合规则的情况下,将战略集团的形成整合到ABM中。另一个问题是,计算机代理的行为是否反映了实际的人类行为。Collins和Frydenlund在2018年开发了一种混合建模方法来解决第一个问题。本文的重点是在混合模型的背景下关注第二个问题。研究人员进行了一项实验,以帮助确定一个人的经历是否会影响他们的行为,以及他们的行为是否与混合模型产生的行为相似。实验结果证实了这两个论断。我们的实验使用了一个标准的合作博弈论博弈,称为手套博弈,作为其基本场景。
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引用次数: 3
A New Simulation Algorithm for PDEVS Models with Time Advance Zero 时间超前为零的PDEVS模型仿真新算法
Pub Date : 2020-12-14 DOI: 10.1109/WSC48552.2020.9384028
Cristina Ruiz Martin, Guillermo G. Trabes, Gabriel A. Wainer
Discrete Event Systems Specification (DEVS) is a well-known formalism to develop models using the discrete event approach. One advantage of DEVS is a clear separation between the modeling and simulation activities. The user only needs to develop models and general algorithms execute the simulations. The PDEVS simulation protocol is a well-know and widely accepted algorithm to execute DEVS simulations. However, when events are scheduled with time advance equal to zero, this algorithm handles them sequentially. Events that occur at the same time are processed one after the other. This may result in unwanted simulation results. In this work, we propose a new algorithm that assures that the output bag of a model is transmitted only when all the outputs corresponding to a given simulation time have been collected.
离散事件系统规范(DEVS)是一种众所周知的使用离散事件方法开发模型的形式化方法。DEVS的一个优点是建模和仿真活动之间的清晰分离。用户只需要开发模型和通用算法来执行模拟。PDEVS仿真协议是一种众所周知且被广泛接受的执行DEVS仿真的算法。但是,当调度事件的时间提前为0时,该算法将按顺序处理它们。同时发生的事件被一个接一个地处理。这可能会导致不想要的模拟结果。在这项工作中,我们提出了一种新的算法,该算法确保只有在收集到给定仿真时间对应的所有输出时才传输模型的输出包。
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引用次数: 0
Path Generation Methods for Valuation of Large Variable Annuities Portfolio using Quasi-Monte Carlo Simulation 基于拟蒙特卡罗模拟的大变量年金组合估值路径生成方法
Pub Date : 2020-12-14 DOI: 10.1109/WSC48552.2020.9384066
B. Feng, Kai Liu
Variable annuities are long-term insurance products that offer a large variety of investment-linked benefits, which have gained much popularity in the last decade. Accurate valuation of large variable annuity portfolios is an essential task for insurers. However, these products often have complicated payoffs that depend on both of the policyholder’s mortality risk and the financial market risk. Consequently, their values are usually estimated by computationally intensive Monte Carlo simulation. Simulating large numbers of sample paths from complex dynamic asset models is often a computational bottleneck. In this study, we propose and analyze three Quasi-Monte Carlo path generation methods, Cholesky decomposition, Brownian Bridge, and Principal Component Analysis, for the valuation of large VA portfolios. Our numerical results indicate that all three PGMs produce more accurate estimates than the standard Monte Carlo simulation at both the contract and portfolio levels.
可变年金是一种长期保险产品,提供多种与投资相关的福利,在过去十年中非常受欢迎。对大型可变年金组合进行准确估值是保险公司的一项重要任务。然而,这些产品往往有复杂的回报,取决于投保人的死亡风险和金融市场风险。因此,它们的值通常通过计算密集的蒙特卡罗模拟来估计。从复杂的动态资产模型中模拟大量的样本路径通常是一个计算瓶颈。在本研究中,我们提出并分析了三种拟蒙特卡罗路径生成方法,即Cholesky分解、布朗桥和主成分分析,用于大型VA投资组合的估值。我们的数值结果表明,在合约和投资组合水平上,所有三种pgm都比标准蒙特卡罗模拟产生更准确的估计。
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引用次数: 0
Low Altitude Air Defense Training System 低空防空训练系统
Pub Date : 2020-12-14 DOI: 10.1109/WSC48552.2020.9384020
J. Surdu, Dirk Harrington, Jason Black, Tony Lynch, Wyatt Schmitz, Jordan Bracken
The Army has a significant training gap for Stinger gunners and teams. In particular, there is no solution that enables Stinger teams to get credit for successful engagements in large force-on-force exercises if the aircraft are not equipped with MILES detectors, which is apparently usually the case. This paper describes the development of a surrogate Stinger missile that facilitates both home station and deployed force-on-force training. The effort described in this paper resulted in a single device that addresses the training previously addressed by the three other devices, all of which are aging and often irreplaceable. This paper describes the design of the Low Altitude Air Defense Training System (LAADTS), the implementation of the prototype and results, and the future work.
陆军在毒刺炮手和小组的训练上存在很大的差距。特别是,如果飞机没有配备MILES探测器(显然通常是这种情况),没有解决方案可以使毒刺团队在大型武力对武力演习中获得成功。本文描述了一种替代毒刺导弹的发展,该导弹促进了基地和部署部队对部队的训练。本文中描述的努力产生了一个单一的设备,该设备解决了以前由其他三个设备解决的训练,这些设备都是老化的,通常是不可替代的。本文介绍了低空防空训练系统(LAADTS)的设计、样机的实现和效果,以及今后的工作。
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引用次数: 1
Enhancing Scalability of Virtual Metrology: A Deep Learning-Based Approach for Domain Adaptation 增强虚拟计量的可扩展性:一种基于深度学习的领域自适应方法
Pub Date : 2020-12-14 DOI: 10.1109/WSC48552.2020.9383945
Natalie Gentner, A. Kyek, Yao Yang, Mattia Carletti, Gian Antonio Susto
One of the main challenges in developing Machine Learning-based solutions for Semiconductor Manufacturing is the high number of machines in the production and their differences, even when considering chambers of the same machine; this poses a challenge in the scalability of Machine Learning-based solutions in this context, since the development of chamber-specific models for all equipment in the fab is unsustainable. In this work, we present a domain adaptation approach for Virtual Metrology (VM), one of the most successful Machine Learning-based technology in this context. The approach provides a common VM model for two identical-in-design chambers whose data follow different distributions. The approach is based on Domain-Adversarial Neural Networks and it has the merit of exploiting raw trace data, avoiding the loss of information that typically affects VM modules based on features. The effectiveness of the approach is demonstrated on real-world Etching.
为半导体制造开发基于机器学习的解决方案的主要挑战之一是生产中的机器数量众多,并且它们之间存在差异,即使考虑到同一台机器的腔室;在这种情况下,这对基于机器学习的解决方案的可扩展性提出了挑战,因为针对晶圆厂中所有设备的特定腔室模型的开发是不可持续的。在这项工作中,我们提出了虚拟计量(VM)的领域自适应方法,这是在此背景下最成功的基于机器学习的技术之一。该方法为数据遵循不同分布的两个相同的设计室提供了一个通用的VM模型。该方法基于域对抗神经网络,它具有利用原始跟踪数据的优点,避免了通常影响基于特征的VM模块的信息丢失。该方法的有效性在实际刻蚀中得到了验证。
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引用次数: 0
Pragmatic Logic-Based Spatio-Temporal Pattern Checking in Particle-Based Models 基于语用逻辑的粒子模型时空模式检验
Pub Date : 2020-12-14 DOI: 10.1109/WSC48552.2020.9383908
Andreas Ruscheinski, Anja Wolpers, P. Henning, Tom Warnke, Fiete Haack, A. Uhrmacher
Particle-based simulation is a powerful approach for modeling systems and processes of entities interacting in continuous space. One way to validate a particle-based simulation is to check for the occurrence of spatio-temporal patterns formed by the particles, for example by statistical model checking. Whereas spatio-temporal logics for describing spatio-temporal patterns exist, they are defined on discrete rather than continuous space. We propose an approach to bridge this gap by automatically translating the output of continuous-space particle-based simulations into an input for discrete-space spatio-temporal logics. The translation is parameterized with information about relevant regions and their development in time. We demonstrate the utility of our approach with a case study in which we successfully apply statistical model-checking to a particle-based cell-biological model. A Java implementation of our approach is available under an open-source license.
基于粒子的仿真是对连续空间中相互作用的实体系统和过程建模的一种强大方法。验证基于粒子的模拟的一种方法是检查粒子形成的时空模式是否出现,例如通过统计模型检查。虽然存在用于描述时空模式的时空逻辑,但它们是在离散空间而不是连续空间上定义的。我们提出了一种通过自动将连续空间基于粒子的模拟的输出转换为离散空间时空逻辑的输入来弥合这一差距的方法。用相关地区及其发展的信息对翻译进行参数化。我们通过一个案例研究证明了我们的方法的实用性,在这个案例研究中,我们成功地将统计模型检查应用于基于粒子的细胞生物学模型。我们的方法的Java实现在开源许可下可用。
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引用次数: 2
Business Process Modeling And Simulation With DPMN: Resource-Constrained Activities 使用DPMN的业务流程建模和仿真:资源约束活动
Pub Date : 2020-12-14 DOI: 10.1109/WSC48552.2020.9383915
Gerd Wagner
This tutorial article, which is extracted from (Wagner 2019), shows how to use UML Class Diagrams and Discrete Event Process Modeling Notation (DPMN) Process Diagrams for making simulation models of business processes with resource-constrained activities based on the DES paradigm of Object Event Modeling and Simulation. In this approach, the state structure of a business system is captured by a UML Class Diagram, which defines the types of objects, events and activities underlying a DPMN Process Diagram, which captures the causal regularities of the system in the form of a set of event rules. DPMN Process Diagrams extend the Event Graphs proposed by Schruben (1983) by adding elements from the Business Process Modeling Notation (BPMN), viz. data objects and activities, and, as its main innovation over BPMN, resource-dependent activity start arrows.
这篇教程文章摘自(Wagner 2019),展示了如何使用UML类图和离散事件过程建模符号(DPMN)流程图,基于对象事件建模和仿真的DES范式,对具有资源约束活动的业务流程进行仿真模型。在这种方法中,业务系统的状态结构由UML类图捕获,该类图定义了DPMN流程图底层的对象、事件和活动的类型,DPMN流程图以一组事件规则的形式捕获系统的因果规律。DPMN流程图扩展了Schruben(1983)提出的事件图,添加了来自业务流程建模符号(BPMN)的元素,即数据对象和活动,并且,作为其对BPMN的主要创新,依赖资源的活动开始箭头。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
2020 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC)
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