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Application of pseudo-3D sub-bottom profile imaging technology in small submarine target detection 伪三维海底剖面成像技术在小型潜艇目标探测中的应用
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-06-22 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01343-1
Tianguang Li, Zhiqing Huang, Xiaobo Zhang, Fansheng Meng, Yifan Pei, Jiali Guo

The sub-bottom profiler is a valuable tool for obtaining high-resolution shallow stratigraphic data in marine geological and geophysical surveys. To detect and acquire the structural characteristics of small submarine objects, we developed a data processing method that utilizes 2D data to construct a 3D structural model. We conducted application experiments using sub-bottom profile detection data from Chuanshan Islands, which were explored using China’s most advanced unmanned exploration platform and commercial shallow formation profiling system. To create high-resolution 3D seafloor structure models from recorded 2D sub-bottom profile datasets, an optimized data processing sequence was devised, comprising two stages: 2D data processing and 3D data processing. The 2D data processing stage involved spectrum analysis, band-pass filtering, matching filtering, time-varying gain, and surge correction. The subsequent 3D data processing stage encompassed ping location reallocation, static correction, and extraction of feature layer information. Notably, the final pseudo-3D sub-bottom profile time slice exhibited significant amplitude variations near the target body. This methodology represents an extension of the application of 2D sub-bottom profile data, enhancing the target recognition capabilities of such data. To further improve the precision of target body characterization, we used ArcScene 10.0 to create a 3D sub-bottom profile formation model spatial database. We constructed a submarine 3D formation structure model to show the 3D structural characteristics of the target body in detail and identified a seabed target body measuring 6.4 × 9.2 × 10 m.

在海洋地质和地球物理勘测中,海底剖面仪是获取高分辨率浅地层数据的重要工具。为了探测和获取小型海底物体的结构特征,我们开发了一种利用二维数据构建三维结构模型的数据处理方法。我们利用川山列岛的海底剖面探测数据进行了应用实验,这些数据是利用中国最先进的无人勘探平台和商用浅层剖面探测系统进行探测的。为了从记录的二维海底剖面数据集创建高分辨率的三维海底结构模型,我们设计了一套优化的数据处理序列,包括两个阶段:二维数据处理和三维数据处理。二维数据处理阶段包括频谱分析、带通滤波、匹配滤波、时变增益和浪涌校正。随后的三维数据处理阶段包括 ping 位置重新分配、静态校正和提取特征层信息。值得注意的是,最终的伪三维海底剖面时间切片在目标体附近表现出明显的振幅变化。该方法是二维海底剖面数据应用的延伸,增强了此类数据的目标识别能力。为了进一步提高目标体特征描述的精度,我们使用 ArcScene 10.0 创建了三维海底剖面结构模型空间数据库。我们构建了海底三维地层结构模型,详细展示了目标体的三维结构特征,并识别出了一个面积为 6.4 × 9.2 × 10 米的海底目标体。
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引用次数: 0
Machine learning-based seismic characterization of deepwater turbidites in the Dangerous Grounds area, Northwest Sabah, offshore Malaysia 基于机器学习的马来西亚近海沙巴西北部危险地区深水浊积岩地震特征描述
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-06-22 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01396-2
Ismailalwali Babikir, Mohamed Elsaadany

Seismic interpretation is a critical aspect of hydrocarbon exploration, where geoscientists often struggle to accurately recognize patterns and anomalies in large datasets. Machine learning techniques offer a promising solution by allowing for the quick and accurate analysis of multiple and large-size seismic volumes. This study leverages seismic facies analysis, seismic attribute analysis, and supervised machine learning to identify and characterize turbidite deposits in the Dangerous Grounds region, an underexplored area recently revealed by high-resolution broadband seismic data. Through seismic stratigraphy, two distinct phases of turbidite deposition were identified: a lower unit showing higher amplitude and signs of faulting effect, and an upper, present-day unit characterized by lower amplitude and continuous reflectors. The attribute expression of these turbidites shows strong amplitude response, high relative acoustic impedance, and high gray-level co-occurrence matrix entropy emphasizing their distinctiveness from surrounding facies, with variations in reflector continuity and spectral decomposition providing further insight into their depositional processes and sediment characteristics. By applying nine machine learning classifiers with twenty seismic attributes as input, this study achieved over 99% accuracy in distinguishing turbidite facies from background, with the neural network, random forest, K-nearest neighbors, decision tree, and support vector machine exhibiting optimal performance. The study contributes significantly to the regional understanding of turbidite deposits through detailed machine learning-aided seismic characterization. It underscores the value of integrating domain knowledge with machine learning techniques in enhancing subsurface interpretations, offering a comprehensive methodology for seismic facies analysis in similarly complex and underexplored regions.

地震解释是碳氢化合物勘探的一个重要方面,地球科学家往往难以准确识别大型数据集中的模式和异常。机器学习技术能够快速准确地分析多个大型地震数据集,是一种很有前景的解决方案。本研究利用地震剖面分析、地震属性分析和有监督的机器学习来识别和描述危险地层地区的浊积岩矿床,这是最近由高分辨率宽带地震数据揭示的一个未充分勘探的地区。通过地震地层学,确定了浊积岩沉积的两个不同阶段:一个是振幅较高且有断层效应迹象的下部单元,另一个是振幅较低且有连续反射体的上部单元,即现在的单元。这些浊积岩的属性表达显示出较强的振幅响应、较高的相对声阻抗和较高的灰度共现矩阵熵,强调了它们与周围岩层的区别,而反射体连续性和频谱分解的变化则进一步揭示了它们的沉积过程和沉积特征。该研究以 20 个地震属性为输入,应用九种机器学习分类器,在区分浊积岩面与背景方面的准确率超过 99%,其中神经网络、随机森林、K-近邻、决策树和支持向量机表现最佳。这项研究通过详细的机器学习辅助地震特征描述,极大地促进了区域对浊积岩沉积的理解。该研究强调了将领域知识与机器学习技术相结合以增强地下解释的价值,为类似复杂和未充分勘探地区的地震剖面分析提供了一种全面的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Azimuthal crustal variations and their implications on the seismic impulse response in the Valley of Mexico 地壳方位角变化及其对墨西哥谷地震脉冲响应的影响
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-06-19 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01383-7
Manuel J. Aguilar-Velázquez, Xyoli Pérez-Campos, Josué Tago, Carlos Villafuerte

Previous studies have suggested prominent variations in the seismic wave behavior at the 5 s period when traveling across the Valley of Mexico, associating them with the crustal structure and contributing to the anomalous seismic wave patterns observed each time an earthquake hits Mexico City. This article confirms the variations observed at 0.2 Hz by analyzing the Green tensor diagonal retrieved from empirical Green functions (EGF) calculated using seismic noise data cross-correlations of the vertical and horizontal components. We observe time and phase shifts between the east and north EGF components and show that they can be explained by the crustal structure from the surface up to 20 km depth; we also observe that the time and phase shifts are more significant if the distance between the source and the station increases. Additionally, the article presents an updated version of the velocity model from receiver functions and dispersion curves (VMRFDC v2.0) for the crustal structure under the Valley of Mexico. To validate this model, we compare the EGFs with synthetic Green functions determined numerically. To do so, we adaptatively meshed this model using an iterative algorithm to numerically simulate the impulse response up to 0.5 Hz. Finally, the comparisons between noise and synthetic EGF showed that the VMRFDC v2.0 model explains the time shifts and phase differences at 0.2 Hz, previously observed by independent studies, suggesting it correctly characterizes the crustal structure anomalies beneath the Valley of Mexico.

之前的研究表明,地震波在穿越墨西哥谷时,5 秒周期的地震波行为存在明显变化,这与地壳结构有关,也是每次墨西哥城地震时观测到的异常地震波模式的原因。本文通过分析利用地震噪声数据垂直和水平分量的交叉相关性计算出的经验格林函数(EGF)检索出的格林张量对角线,证实了在 0.2 Hz 处观察到的变化。我们观察到东面和北面 EGF 分量之间的时间和相位偏移,并表明它们可以用地表至 20 千米深度的地壳结构来解释;我们还观察到,如果震源和台站之间的距离增加,时间和相位偏移会更明显。此外,文章还介绍了针对墨西哥谷地下地壳结构的最新版接收函数和频散曲线速度模型(VMRFDC v2.0)。为了验证这一模型,我们将 EGF 与数值确定的合成格林函数进行了比较。为此,我们使用迭代算法对该模型进行了自适应网格划分,以数值模拟高达 0.5 Hz 的脉冲响应。最后,噪声与合成 EGF 的比较表明,VMRFDC v2.0 模型解释了之前独立研究观察到的 0.2 Hz 时移和相位差,表明它正确描述了墨西哥谷地下地壳结构异常的特征。
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引用次数: 0
Volcanic disaster scene classification of remote sensing image based on deep multi-instance network 基于深度多实例网络的遥感图像火山灾害场景分类
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-06-18 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01394-4
Chengfan Li, Jingxin Han, Chengzhi Wu, Lan Liu, Xuefeng Liu, Junjuan Zhao

Due to the varieties, random distributions, and rich visual characteristics of the volcanic disaster scene, traditional methods fail to fully express the complex features of volcanic disaster scenes in remote sensing images. To tackle this problem, a new multi-instance network framework with the Shift Windows Transformer (i.e., Swin-T) and attention mechanism is used to classify the volcanic disaster scene from remote sensing images (MI-STA). Firstly, via aggregating the global contextual information of remote sensing image features, the Swin-T extracts the multi-scale hierarchical features of volcano disaster scenes from remote sensing images. Secondly, the channel attention module and spatial attention module fuse to extract the features of volcanic disaster scene to enhance the description and representation for the local details and global information in volcanic disaster scenes. Last, the importance weight of different example characteristics is scored to calculate the attributive probabilities of each instance. This study elaborates an experiment on the xBD dataset and gives comparisons with the commonly used deep network models. The results show that the overall classification accuracy of the proposed method achieves 92.46% and has good performance on the test dataset. Then, we further utilize our model to classify the volcanic disaster scenes of the specific Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai on January 15, 2022, and the classification images have good consistency with the existing literature. It provides a new approach for volcanic disaster monitoring by means of remote sensing image and has broad application prospects.

由于火山灾害场景的多样性、随机分布和丰富的视觉特征,传统方法无法充分表达遥感图像中火山灾害场景的复杂特征。针对这一问题,我们采用了一种新的多实例网络框架,利用移窗变换器(即 Swin-T)和注意力机制对遥感图像中的火山灾害场景进行分类(MI-STA)。首先,Swin-T 通过聚合遥感图像特征的全局上下文信息,从遥感图像中提取火山灾害场景的多尺度分层特征。其次,融合通道关注模块和空间关注模块提取火山灾害场景特征,增强对火山灾害场景局部细节和全局信息的描述和表示。最后,对不同实例特征的重要性权重进行评分,计算出每个实例的归因概率。本研究详细阐述了在 xBD 数据集上进行的实验,并与常用的深度网络模型进行了比较。结果表明,所提方法的整体分类准确率达到了 92.46%,在测试数据集上具有良好的表现。随后,我们进一步利用模型对2022年1月15日洪加汤加-洪加哈帕伊特定火山灾害场景进行了分类,分类图像与现有文献具有良好的一致性。它为利用遥感图像进行火山灾害监测提供了一种新的方法,具有广阔的应用前景。
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引用次数: 0
Completeness and calibration of the Italian Seismological Instrumental and Parametric Database (ISIDe) before 16 April 2005 2005 年 4 月 16 日之前意大利地震仪器和参数数据库(ISIDe)的完整性和校准
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-06-18 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01395-3
Barbara Lolli, Gianfranco Vannucci, Paolo Gasperini

The Italian Seismological Instrumental and Parametric Database (ISIDe) is the recipient of earthquake data collected in real-time by the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), and used by the studies of earthquake forecasting and seismic hazard assessment in Italy in the last decade. When it went online, following a significant improvement of the seismic acquisition system of INGV, it was including only data since the second fortnight of April 2005. About ten years later, the data since the beginning of 1985 suddenly appeared without any prior notice than the updating of the starting date of the dataset. However, the characteristics of the added data appeared clearly different from the following period both in terms of the numbers of located earthquakes and of types of magnitudes provided. After having analyzed the numerical consistency and the calibration of magnitudes of ISIDe as a function of time from 1985 to 15 April 2005, we can say that such a dataset is incomplete and poorly calibrated compared to other catalogs of Italian seismicity (CSTI, CSI, and HORUS) available for the same period. Hence, we suggest not using it as is for statistical analyses of Italian seismicity. However, it provides some magnitudes that are missed by other catalogs and thus might be used for improving such catalogs.

意大利地震仪器和参数数据库(ISIDe)是意大利国家地球物理和火山研究所(INGV)实时收集的地震数据的接收者,在过去十年中被用于意大利的地震预报和地震灾害评估研究。随着 INGV 地震采集系统的重大改进,该系统上线时仅包括 2005 年 4 月第二个双周以来的数据。大约十年后,1985 年初以来的数据突然出现,除了更新数据集的起始日期外,没有任何事先通知。然而,新增数据的特征在地震定位数量和提供的震级类型方面都明显不同于随后的时期。在分析了从 1985 年到 2005 年 4 月 15 日 ISIDe 的数字一致性和震级校准随时间变化的函数之后,我们可以说,与同期的其他意大利地震目录(CSTI、CSI 和 HORUS)相比,该数据集是不完整的,校准也很差。因此,我们建议不要将其用于意大利地震的统计分析。不过,它提供了一些其他地震目录所遗漏的震级,因此可用于改进这些地震目录。
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引用次数: 0
Statistical-based models for the production of landslide susceptibility maps and general risk analyses: a case study in Maçka, Turkey 基于统计的滑坡易发性地图绘制和一般风险分析模型:土耳其马奇卡的案例研究
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01380-w
Fatih Kadi

The district of Maçka in Trabzon, in the Eastern Black Sea Region of Turkey, frequently experiences landslides, resulting in the highest number of disaster victims. In this study, Landslide Susceptibility Maps (LSMs) were generated via the Statistical-based Frequency Ratio (FR) and Modified Information Value (MIV) models using 10 factors. Out of the 150 landslides in the region, 105 (70%) were utilized in creating the maps, and the remaining 45 (30%) were reserved for validation. The models demonstrated success rates of 87.5% and 84.9%, along with prediction rates of 84.8% and 83.1%, respectively, as determined by the receiver operating characteristics curve and area under the curve values. While both models achieved acceptable levels of accuracy, MIV outperformed FR. Additionally, the risk status of 5413 buildings and forested areas was examined. The results showed that 78.64% (FR) and 80.79% (MIV) of the buildings were situated in high landslide risk areas. Regarding forest areas, 39.30% (FR) and 41.35% (MIV) were observed in high-risk landslide areas. In the next step, neighborhood landslide risk statuses were examined, revealing risks ranging from 90 to 100% in some areas. The final step concentrated on risk analyses for construction plans in a chosen pilot neighborhood using two criteria. 88.75% of all parcels were observed in high-risk areas, with hazelnut groves at 79.67% in high-risk zones. Conversely, 71.89% of fruit trees were in low-risk areas. The results align with the literature, indicating that LSMs can serve as a versatile base map.

土耳其东部黑海地区特拉布宗的马奇卡区经常发生山体滑坡,是受灾人数最多的地区。在这项研究中,通过基于统计的频率比 (FR) 和修正信息值 (MIV) 模型,使用 10 个因子生成了滑坡易感性地图 (LSM)。在该地区的 150 个滑坡体中,有 105 个(70%)用于绘制地图,其余 45 个(30%)用于验证。根据接收器工作特性曲线和曲线下面积值,模型的成功率分别为 87.5%和 84.9%,预测率分别为 84.8%和 83.1%。虽然两种模型都达到了可接受的准确度水平,但 MIV 的表现优于 FR。此外,还对 5413 栋建筑物和林区的风险状况进行了研究。结果显示,78.64%(FR)和 80.79%(MIV)的建筑物位于高滑坡风险区域。林区方面,39.30%(前线)和 41.35%(后线)的建筑物位于滑坡高风险区。下一步,对邻近地区的滑坡风险状况进行了检查,发现某些地区的风险从 90%到 100%不等。最后一步主要是根据两个标准对所选试点街区的施工计划进行风险分析。88.75%的地块位于高风险区域,其中 79.67%的榛子园位于高风险区域。相反,71.89% 的果树位于低风险区域。结果与文献一致,表明 LSM 可以作为通用的基础地图。
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引用次数: 0
Variation of Poisson’s ratio of hard rocks during compression and an innovative determination method based on axial loading–unloading test 硬岩压缩过程中泊松比的变化以及基于轴向加载-卸载试验的创新测定方法
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01379-3
Jianan Yang, Pengxian Fan, Hui Gao, Lu Dong

The Poisson’s ratio of hard rock exhibits a marked stress dependence, which is contrary to its mechanical definition as an elastic constant. Thus, it is of great importance to determine the Poisson’s ratio through a reasonable method. To investigate the Poisson effect of multiple types of hard rocks (sandstone, basalt, granite, and marble), the uniaxial loading–unloading tests are carried out. The test results indicate that whether the tangent Poisson’s ratio or the average Poisson’s ratio, all gradually increases with the stress level. And the stress dependence of the average Poisson’s ratio under the unloading path is reduced, which is significant in the low and medium stress intervals. Appropriately increasing the number of loading–unloading cycles can also improve the stability of the average Poisson’s ratio to some extent. Based on this, a new method for testing the average Poisson’s ratio is proposed, which can effectively exclude the effect of irreversible displacement of rocks and improve the stability of the average Poisson’s ratio. The test procedure is simple and has good application prospects.

坚硬岩石的泊松比表现出明显的应力依赖性,这与其作为弹性常数的力学定义背道而驰。因此,通过合理的方法确定泊松比具有重要意义。为了研究多种类型硬岩(砂岩、玄武岩、花岗岩和大理石)的泊松效应,我们进行了单轴加载-卸载试验。试验结果表明,无论是切线泊松比还是平均泊松比,都随着应力水平的增加而逐渐增大。而平均泊松比在卸载路径下的应力依赖性降低,这在中低应力区间表现明显。适当增加加载-卸载循环次数也能在一定程度上提高平均泊松比的稳定性。在此基础上,提出了一种测试平均泊松比的新方法,它能有效排除岩石不可逆位移的影响,提高平均泊松比的稳定性。该测试程序简单,具有良好的应用前景。
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引用次数: 0
Accurate and generalizable soil liquefaction prediction model based on the CatBoost algorithm 基于 CatBoost 算法的精确且可推广的土壤液化预测模型
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01381-9
Xianda Feng, Jiazhi He, Bin Lu

Accurate prediction of soil liquefaction is important for preventing geological disasters. Soil liquefaction prediction models based on machine learning algorithms are efficient and accurate; however, some models fail to achieve highly precise soil liquefaction predictions in certain areas because of poor generalizability, which limits their applicability. Thus, a soil liquefaction prediction model was constructed using the CatBoost (CB) algorithm to support categorical features. The model was trained using standard liquefaction datasets from domestic and foreign sources and was optimized with Optuna hyperparameters. Additionally, the model was evaluated using five evaluation metrics and its performance was compared to that of other models that use multi-layer perceptron, support vector machine, random forest, and XGBoost algorithms. Finally, the prediction capability of the model was verified using three case studies. Experimental results demonstrated that the CB-based model generated more accurate soil liquefaction predictions than other comparison models and maintained their performance. Hence, the proposed model accurately predicts soil liquefaction and offers strong generalizability, demonstrating the potential to contribute toward the prevention and control of soil liquefaction in engineering projects, and toward ensuring the safety and stability of structures built on or near liquefiable soils.

准确预测土壤液化对预防地质灾害非常重要。基于机器学习算法的土壤液化预测模型高效、准确,但有些模型由于泛化能力差,在某些地区无法实现高精度的土壤液化预测,限制了其适用性。因此,我们使用 CatBoost(CB)算法构建了一个土壤液化预测模型,以支持分类特征。该模型使用国内外标准液化数据集进行训练,并使用 Optuna 超参数进行优化。此外,还使用五个评价指标对模型进行了评估,并将其性能与使用多层感知器、支持向量机、随机森林和 XGBoost 算法的其他模型进行了比较。最后,通过三个案例研究验证了该模型的预测能力。实验结果表明,与其他对比模型相比,基于 CB 的模型能生成更准确的土壤液化预测结果,并能保持其性能。因此,所提出的模型能准确预测土壤液化,并具有很强的普适性,有望为工程项目中土壤液化的预防和控制做出贡献,并确保在可液化土壤上或其附近建造的建筑物的安全性和稳定性。
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引用次数: 0
Countermeasures for local scour around the bridge pier: a review 桥墩周围局部冲刷的应对措施:综述
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-05-31 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01361-z
Mangu Rahul Bharadwaj, Lav Kumar Gupta, Manish Pandey, Manousos Valyrakis

This paper aims to present the mechanism of scour and empirical equations for evaluating local scour with and without a countermeasure around the bridge pier. A critical review of scour countermeasures, mainly hydraulic, structural, and biotechnical, extending to the present time is done. Hydraulic countermeasures consist of river training structures and bed armoring. Structures placed parallel, perpendicular, or at an angle to the flow aiming to modify it is the purpose of river training works. Armoring is done through the use of riprap, partially grouted riprap, cable-tied blocks, grout-filled containers, and gabions. Structural countermeasures include foundation strengthening and pier geometry modifications. Extending footings, underpinning, and pile- underpinning are related to foundation strengthening, while pier geometry modifications include different pier features such as shapes, textures, slots, and collars. Biotechnical countermeasures include using vegetation riprap, geosynthetic polymer, live staking, and bio-stabilization using extracellular polymeric substances. Different combinations of countermeasures are also discussed. In hydraulic and structural countermeasures, riprap and collars are most commonly used due to their efficiency in scour reduction and economic feasibility. Bio-stabilization using extracellular polymeric substances is a novel measure for scour prevention. From the literature, it is concluded that pier modifications are the most effective and active area of research in which lenticular pier shape, lenticular hooked, and airfoil-shaped collar are best suited for reducing the local scour around the pier. Finally, the limitations of the countermeasures mentioned above are presented.

本文旨在介绍冲刷的机理和经验公式,用于评估桥墩周围有无采取应对措施的局部冲刷。本文对迄今为止的冲刷应对措施(主要是水力、结构和生物技术)进行了严格审查。水力对策包括河道整治结构和河床护岸。河道整治工程的目的是修建与水流平行、垂直或成一定角度的结构,以改变水流。河床加固可通过使用护坡、部分灌浆护坡、缆索绑块、灌浆容器和石笼来实现。结构性对策包括加固地基和修改码头几何形状。地基加固包括扩建基脚、夯实基底和桩基夯实,而码头几何形状改造则包括不同的码头特征,如形状、纹理、槽和轴环。生物技术对策包括使用植被护坡、土工合成聚合物、活桩以及使用细胞外聚合物物质进行生物加固。此外,还讨论了各种对策的不同组合。在水力和结构对策中,最常用的是护坡和护领,因为它们能有效减少冲刷,而且经济可行。使用细胞外聚合物物质进行生物加固是一种新型的冲刷预防措施。从文献中得出的结论是,码头改造是最有效和最活跃的研究领域,其中透镜状码头形状、透镜状钩形和翼形领圈最适合用于减少码头周围的局部冲刷。最后,介绍了上述对策的局限性。
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引用次数: 0
Reservoir production capacity prediction of Zananor field based on LSTM neural network 基于 LSTM 神经网络的 Zananor 油田储层产能预测
IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Pub Date : 2024-05-31 DOI: 10.1007/s11600-024-01388-2
JiYuan Liu, Fei Wang, ChengEn Zhang, Yong Zhang, Tao Li

This paper aims to explore the application of artificial intelligence in the petroleum industry, with a specific focus on oil well production forecasting. The study utilizes the Zananor field as a case study, systematically organizing raw data, categorizing different well instances and production stages in detail, and normalizing the data. An individual long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network model is constructed with monthly oil production data as input to predict the monthly oil production of the experimental oilfield. Furthermore, a multivariate LSTM neural network model is introduced, incorporating different production data as input sets to enhance the accuracy of monthly oil production predictions. A comparative analysis is conducted with particle swarm optimization optimized recurrent neural network results. Finally, gray relational analysis and principal component analysis methods are compared in feature selection. Experimental results demonstrate that the LSTM model is more suitable for the study area, and the multivariate model outperforms the univariate model in terms of prediction accuracy, especially for monthly oil production. Additionally, gray relational analysis exhibits higher accuracy and greater applicability in feature selection compared to principal component analysis. These research findings provide valuable guidance for production forecasting and operational optimization in the petroleum industry.

本文旨在探索人工智能在石油工业中的应用,重点关注油井产量预测。研究以扎纳诺油田为案例,系统地整理了原始数据,对不同的油井实例和生产阶段进行了详细分类,并对数据进行了归一化处理。以月度石油产量数据为输入,构建了一个单独的长短期记忆(LSTM)神经网络模型,用于预测实验油田的月度石油产量。此外,还引入了一个多变量 LSTM 神经网络模型,将不同的生产数据作为输入集,以提高月度石油产量预测的准确性。与粒子群优化优化的循环神经网络结果进行了对比分析。最后,在特征选择方面对灰色关系分析和主成分分析方法进行了比较。实验结果表明,LSTM 模型更适合研究区域,多元模型在预测精度方面优于单变量模型,尤其是在月度石油产量方面。此外,与主成分分析相比,灰色关系分析在特征选择方面表现出更高的准确性和更大的适用性。这些研究成果为石油行业的产量预测和运营优化提供了宝贵的指导。
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引用次数: 0
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