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Daytime and nighttime heatwave intensity and acute care utilization for mental and neurological disorders in California. 加州白天和夜间热浪强度和精神和神经疾病的急性护理利用。
Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1088/2752-5309/ae3128
Yiqun Ma, Kristen Guirguis, Caitlin G Jones-Ngo, Anais Teyton, Haley E Brown, Fiona Charlson, Michael Jerrett, Rachel Connolly, Alexander Gershunov, Miriam E Marlier, Tarik Benmarhnia

Heatwave exposures have been linked to a variety of mental and neurological disorders. Little is known, however, about the potentially differential associations of daytime versus nighttime heatwave intensity with subtypes of mental and neurological disorders. In this time-stratified case-crossover study, we estimated and compared the associations of typically dry daytime and typically humid nighttime heatwave intensities, characterized by heatwave indices (HWIs), with acute care utilizations for various subtypes of mental and neurological disorders in 1412 ZIP Code Tabulation Areas in California from 2006 to 2019. A total of 4309 294 acute care utilizations for mental disorders and 2097 563 for neurological disorders were included in this study. Higher associations with nighttime HWI were found for most disease subtypes, including anxiety disorder, depressive disorder, schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, post-traumatic stress disorder, Alzheimer's disease and related dementias, and Parkinson's disease; while daytime HWI showed a higher impact on conduct disorders (P < .001). On average, during the warm season in California, nighttime heatwaves accounted for about 70.6% and 34.0% of acute care utilizations for mental and neurological disorders that were attributable to heatwaves, respectively. Our findings highlight the detrimental impacts of humid nighttime heatwaves on mental and neurological health and call for innovative heat preparedness actions and increased awareness among public health practitioners as more nighttime heatwaves are anticipated under climate change.

热浪暴露与各种精神和神经紊乱有关。然而,人们对白天和夜间热浪强度与精神和神经疾病亚型之间的潜在差异联系知之甚少。在这项时间分层的病例交叉研究中,我们估计并比较了2006年至2019年加利福尼亚州1412个邮政编码表列区中典型干燥的白天和典型潮湿的夜间热浪强度(以热浪指数(hwi)为特征)与各种精神和神经疾病亚型的急性护理利用率之间的关系。本研究共纳入4309294例精神障碍和2097563例神经障碍的急性护理应用。大多数疾病亚型与夜间HWI有较高的相关性,包括焦虑症、抑郁症、精神分裂症、双相情感障碍、创伤后应激障碍、阿尔茨海默病及相关痴呆和帕金森病;而白天HWI对行为障碍的影响更大(P < 0.001)。平均而言,在加利福尼亚州的温暖季节,夜间热浪分别占热浪导致的精神和神经疾病的急性护理利用率的70.6%和34.0%。我们的研究结果强调了潮湿的夜间热浪对精神和神经健康的有害影响,并呼吁创新的热准备行动和提高公共卫生从业人员的意识,因为气候变化预计会出现更多的夜间热浪。
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引用次数: 0
Characterizing air and noise pollution and their determinants in elementary schools in Accra, Ghana. 加纳阿克拉小学空气和噪音污染特征及其决定因素。
Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-15 DOI: 10.1088/2752-5309/ae27eb
Carissa L Lange, Sierra N Clark, Abosede S Alli, James Nimo, Kate A Kyeremateng, Samuel Agyei-Mensah, Youssef Oulhote, Allison F Hughes, Majid Ezzati, Raphael E Arku

In Sub-Saharan African (SSA) cities, elementary school environments may significantly contribute to children's exposure to environmental pollution, potentially affecting their health, development, and learning. Despite children spending much of their day at school, limited data exists regarding levels, inequalities, and determinants of air and noise pollution in school settings, particularly in rapidly urbanizing regions. As part of the Accra School Health and Environment Study (ASHES), we assessed air and noise pollution in primary schools across the Greater Accra Metropolitan Area, one of SSA's fastest-growing metropolises, and explored determinants of pollution levels around these schools. We conducted weeklong measurements of fine particulate matter (PM2.5), black carbon (BC), and sound pressure levels in 90 schoolyards (74% public, 26% private). We assessed schoolyard characteristics (surface type, greenness, road proximity) and examined their associations with pollutants using generalized additive models. Additionally, we evaluated 1037 child responses to noise annoyance surveys. Annual equivalent PM2.5 concentrations exceeded WHO guidelines by 2-13 times (11-65 µg m-3). Median noise levels (57 dBA) surpassed Ghana EPA standards at >60% of schools, coinciding with 60% of students reporting high noise annoyance. BC and noise were higher in public and more urban schools. In the most urbanized district, all pollutants were inversely associated with neighborhood socioeconomic status. Lower greenness correlated with higher BC levels; associations with other spatial factors were weak or not statistically significant. These findings underscore the need to reduce air and noise pollution at urban SSA schools and promote healthier, quieter environments that support learning and development.

在撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)的城市,小学环境可能对儿童暴露于环境污染有重大影响,可能影响他们的健康、发展和学习。尽管儿童每天大部分时间都在学校,但关于学校环境中空气和噪音污染的水平、不平等和决定因素的数据有限,特别是在快速城市化的地区。作为阿克拉学校健康与环境研究(ASHES)的一部分,我们评估了大阿克拉都市区(SSA发展最快的大都市之一)小学的空气和噪音污染,并探讨了这些学校周围污染水平的决定因素。我们对90所学校(74%公立,26%私立)的细颗粒物(PM2.5)、黑碳(BC)和声压级进行了为期一周的测量。我们评估了校园特征(地表类型、绿化程度、道路邻近程度),并使用广义加性模型检验了它们与污染物的关系。此外,我们评估了1037名儿童对噪音烦恼调查的反应。年当量PM2.5浓度超出世卫组织指南2-13倍(11-65µg -3)。60%的学校的平均噪音水平(57 dBA)超过了加纳环保署的标准,与60%的学生报告高噪音烦恼相一致。在公立学校和更多的城市学校中,BC和噪音更高。在城市化程度最高的地区,所有污染物与社区社会经济地位呈负相关。绿化率越低,BC水平越高;与其他空间因子的相关性较弱或无统计学意义。这些发现强调需要减少城市SSA学校的空气和噪音污染,促进更健康、更安静的环境,以支持学习和发展。
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引用次数: 0
Cost-benefit analysis of interventions to protect care home residents in England against heat risks. 干预措施的成本效益分析,以保护养老院的居民在英国对热风险。
Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1088/2752-5309/ae25c8
Andrew Ibbetson, John Cairns, Eleni Oikonomou, Giorgos Petrou, Anna Mavrogianni, Alastair Howard, Rajat Gupta, Mike Davies, Ai Milojevic

We examine the cost-benefit of selected physical and behavioural interventions to reduce indoor temperatures and associated health risks in UK care homes during periods of hot weather typical of the projected future climate. Cases of heat-related mortality under selected temperature scenarios were modelled for three care home settings. Published temperature-mortality functions for care home residents of England and Wales were applied to life tables for care home populations. Building physics modelling was used to assess the effect of interventions on summer indoor temperatures and associated mortality risks. The monetised value of quality-adjusted life years gained was assessed in relation to the capital, energy and maintenance costs of each intervention over its lifespan under a range of assumptions. Sensitivity analyses were used to characterise model uncertainty. Under the assumption that those who die of heat have the life expectancy of an average care home resident, we found evidence for cost-effective interventions. The cost-effectiveness of interventions varied across care homes, depending on each building's specific characteristics. In a large, highly insulated care home with low thermal mass, increased thermal mass combined with window and door opening rules was the most cost-effective intervention; in a small care home with limited insulation and high thermal mass, active cooling in lounges using portable air-conditioners was most cost-effective; and in a medium sized care home with moderate insulation and thermal mass, shading combined with window and door opening rules was most cost-effective. Our results show that several interventions have the potential to be cost-effective in reducing heat-related risks to residents across a range of care home types. They also demonstrate that behavioural interventions, such as window and door opening, may be equally effective as physical interventions at reducing exposure to heat-related risks, provided they are fully adhered to.

我们研究了选定的物理和行为干预措施的成本效益,以降低室内温度和相关的健康风险在英国护理院在炎热的天气期间,典型的预测未来气候。在选定的温度情景下,与热相关的死亡病例为三种护理院设置建模。发表的温度-死亡率函数的养老院居民的英格兰和威尔士被应用到养老院人口的生命表。建筑物理模型用于评估干预措施对夏季室内温度和相关死亡风险的影响。在一系列假设下,评估了所获得的质量调整寿命年的货币化价值,该价值与每个干预措施在其寿命期间的资本、能源和维护成本有关。敏感性分析用于描述模型的不确定性。假设那些死于热的人的预期寿命与普通养老院居民的预期寿命相同,我们发现了具有成本效益的干预措施的证据。干预措施的成本效益因护理院而异,取决于每个建筑的具体特征。在一个大型的、高度隔热的低热质量养老院,增加热质量结合门窗打开规则是最具成本效益的干预措施;在一个隔热材料有限、热质量高的小型养老院,使用便携式空调在休息室进行主动冷却是最具成本效益的;在中等规模的护理院中,隔热和热质量适中,遮阳与门窗打开规则相结合是最具成本效益的。我们的研究结果表明,几种干预措施在降低各种类型养老院居民的热相关风险方面具有成本效益。他们还表明,行为干预,如打开窗户和门,在减少与热有关的风险暴露方面可能与物理干预同样有效,只要它们得到充分遵守。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the contribution of weather variables to machine learning forecasts of visceral leishmaniasis in Brazil. 评估天气变量对巴西内脏利什曼病机器学习预测的贡献。
Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1088/2752-5309/ae1ce2
Quinn H Adams, Chad W Milando, Kayoko Shioda, Guilherme L Werneck, Alexander Rodríguez, Davidson H Hamer, Gregory A Wellenius

Visceral leishmaniasis (VL), a deadly neglected tropical disease, remains a persistent public health challenge in Brazil, where transmission is shaped by interacting climatic, environmental, and sociodemographic factors. Despite evidence that weather conditions influence VL dynamics, they remain underutilized for outbreak prediction. This study evaluates whether climate-informed machine learning can support early warnings for VL in Brazil. We developed machine learning models to forecast monthly VL case counts and classify outbreak risk using data from 2007 to 2024 across 113 Brazilian municipalities. A cutting-edge sliding window approach enabled models to capture both short- and long-term trends using lagged meteorological data combined with land-use and sociodemographic variables. Risk classification models were developed for a subset of 22 municipalities following the Brazilian Ministry of Health's prioritization framework to enable direct policy alignment. Predictive performance and variable importance were evaluated across locations. Weather patterns and indicators of human land-use pressure consistently ranked among the strongest predictors of VL risk. However, the relative importance of predictors varied across municipalities, reflecting local differences in transmission dynamics. Overall, forecasting models successfully captured long-term trends in observed case counts, and risk classification models, offering particularly timely and actionable signals for targeted intervention, achieved area under the curve scores above 0.80 in 86% of municipalities. Weather-informed machine learning models can provide timely, locally tailored predictions of VL risk in Brazil. As weather variability intensifies, integrating environmental data into existing surveillance systems may improve preparedness and reduce disease burden in vulnerable communities.

内脏利什曼病(VL)是一种被忽视的致命热带病,在巴西仍然是一项持续存在的公共卫生挑战,其传播受到气候、环境和社会人口因素相互作用的影响。尽管有证据表明天气条件会影响VL动力学,但它们在疫情预测中仍未得到充分利用。本研究评估了气候信息机器学习是否可以支持巴西VL的早期预警。我们开发了机器学习模型来预测每月VL病例数,并使用2007年至2024年巴西113个城市的数据对爆发风险进行分类。一种先进的滑动窗口方法使模型能够利用滞后的气象数据结合土地利用和社会人口变量捕捉短期和长期趋势。根据巴西卫生部的优先次序框架,为22个城市的子集开发了风险分类模型,以实现直接的政策协调。对不同地点的预测性能和变量重要性进行了评估。天气模式和人类土地利用压力指标一直是VL风险的最强预测因子。然而,预测因子的相对重要性因城市而异,反映了当地传播动态的差异。总体而言,预测模型成功捕获了观察到的病例数的长期趋势,风险分类模型为有针对性的干预提供了特别及时和可操作的信号,86%的城市的曲线下面积得分超过0.80。基于天气信息的机器学习模型可以为巴西的VL风险提供及时、量身定制的预测。随着天气变异性的加剧,将环境数据整合到现有的监测系统中可能会改善准备工作并减轻脆弱社区的疾病负担。
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引用次数: 0
Associations between fine particulate matter and in-home blood pressure during the 2022 wildfire season in Western Montana, USA. 在2022年美国蒙大拿州西部野火季节,细颗粒物与家庭血压之间的关系。
Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-21 DOI: 10.1088/2752-5309/add616
Ethan S Walker, Taylor Stewart, Rajesh Vedanthan, Daniel B Spoon

Wildfires continue to increase in size, intensity, and duration. There is growing evidence that wildfire smoke adversely impacts clinical outcomes; however, few studies have assessed the impact of wildfires on household air quality and subclinical cardiovascular health indicators. We measured continuous indoor and outdoor fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentrations from July-October 2022 at 20 residences in the rural, mountainous state of Montana in the United States. We used a combination of satellite-derived smoke plume data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Hazard Mapping System and household-level daily mean PM2.5 concentrations to classify wildfire-impacted days. One participant from each household self-reported in-home blood pressure (BP) on weekly electronic surveys. We used linear mixed-effects regression models to assess associations between air pollution exposures (PM2.5 concentrations; number of wildfire-impacted days) and systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP). Models were adjusted for potential time-variant confounders including temperature, humidity, and self-reported exercise. Compared to survey periods with 0 wildfire days, SBP was 3.83 mmHg higher (95% Confidence Interval [95% CI]: 0.22, 7.44) and DBP was 2.36 mmHg higher (95% CI: -0.06, 4.78) during periods with 4+ wildfire days. Across the entire study period, a 10 µg m-3 increase in indoor PM2.5 was associated with 1.34 mmHg higher SBP (95%CI: 0.39, 2.29) and 0.71 mmHg higher DBP (95% CI: 0.07, 1.35). We observed that wildfire-impacted days and increasing household-level PM2.5 concentrations are associated with higher in-home BP. Our results support growing literature which indicates that wildfires adversely impact subclinical cardiovascular health. Clinical and public health messaging should emphasize the cardiovascular health impacts of wildfire smoke and educate on exposure-reduction strategies such as indoor air filtration.

野火的规模、强度和持续时间继续增加。越来越多的证据表明野火烟雾会对临床结果产生不利影响;然而,很少有研究评估野火对家庭空气质量和亚临床心血管健康指标的影响。我们从2022年7月至10月在美国蒙大拿州农村山区的20个住宅中连续测量了室内和室外细颗粒物(PM2.5)浓度。我们结合了美国国家海洋和大气管理局(noaa)的危害测绘系统(Hazard Mapping System)的卫星获取的烟羽数据,以及家家户户的PM2.5日均浓度,对受野火影响的天数进行了分类。每个家庭有一名参与者在每周的电子调查中自我报告家中血压(BP)。我们使用线性混合效应回归模型来评估空气污染暴露(PM2.5浓度;野火影响天数)和收缩压(SBP)和舒张压(DBP)。模型调整了潜在的时变混杂因素,包括温度、湿度和自我报告的锻炼。与0天野火期间相比,4天以上野火期间的收缩压高3.83 mmHg(95%可信区间[95% CI]: 0.22, 7.44), DBP高2.36 mmHg (95% CI: -0.06, 4.78)。在整个研究期间,室内PM2.5每增加10µg m-3,收缩压升高1.34 mmHg (95%CI: 0.39, 2.29),舒张压升高0.71 mmHg (95%CI: 0.07, 1.35)。我们观察到,受野火影响的天数和家庭PM2.5浓度的增加与较高的家庭血压有关。我们的研究结果支持越来越多的文献表明,野火对亚临床心血管健康有不利影响。临床和公共卫生信息应强调野火烟雾对心血管健康的影响,并就室内空气过滤等减少接触策略进行教育。
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引用次数: 0
IMPACT OF BOOM-AND-BUST ECONOMIES FROM OIL AND GAS DEVELOPMENT ON PSYCHIATRIC HOSPITALIZATIONS AMONG MEDICAID BENEFICIARIES. 石油和天然气开发对医疗补助受益人中精神病住院治疗的繁荣和萧条经济的影响。
Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-17 DOI: 10.1088/2752-5309/ae01ce
Mary D Willis, Nina Cesare, Max Harleman, Flannery Black-Ingersoll, Jaimie L Gradus, Ryan Thombs, Rachel Oblath, Jonathan J Buonocore, Barrett M Welch, Joan A Casey, Danielle Braun, Francesca Dominici, Amruta Nori-Sarma

An estimated 18 million Americans reside within 1.6 km (1 mile) of an oil and gas development (OGD) facility. OGD often creates cycles of economic boom-and-busts, resulting in precarious employment, social disruptions, and environmental stressors, which may have mental health consequences. Among counties with OGD, we used Medicaid claims data to calculate annual county-level counts of inpatient hospitalizations with psychiatric diagnoses (n = 3.6 million hospitalizations, 2001-2011). Each county-year combination was classified by the trajectory of OGD resource production: boom (economic growth), bust (economic decline), and status quo (comparison group). Using a quasi-experimental panel data study design, we observed a small increase in annual county-level inpatient psychiatric hospitalization rates for the bust period (incidence rate ratio [IRR]: 1.05, 95% CI: 1.00, 1.11) but not the boom period (IRR: 1.02, 95% CI: 0.96, 1.07). Associations in the bust period were stronger among beneficiaries who identified as White race, resided in rural areas, and lived in a county with the lowest tertile of median household income. In cause-specific models, the size of the effect estimate was larger among the categories for attention disorders, anxiety disorders, and mood disorders. Stratified models by sociodemographic characteristics and cause-specific hospitalizations were broadly null in the boom period. Our results suggest that cycles of economic boom-and-busts, as measured by oil and gas production, may have deleterious impacts in the bust period on the mental health of the Medicaid population. However, future research is needed to elucidate the complex impacts of boom-and-bust cycles for resource-dependent communities.

据估计,有1800万美国人居住在距油气开发设施1.6公里(1英里)的范围内。OGD经常造成经济繁荣和萧条的循环,导致不稳定的就业、社会混乱和环境压力,这可能对心理健康产生影响。在有OGD的县中,我们使用医疗补助索赔数据来计算每年因精神病诊断住院的县级人数(n = 360万住院人数,2001-2011年)。根据OGD资源生产轨迹对每个县域年份组合进行分类:繁荣(经济增长)、萧条(经济衰退)和现状(对照组)。采用准实验面板数据研究设计,我们观察到,在经济萧条时期,县级精神科住院患者的年住院率有小幅上升(发病率比[IRR]: 1.05, 95% CI: 1.00, 1.11),但在经济繁荣时期没有上升(IRR: 1.02, 95% CI: 0.96, 1.07)。在萧条时期,那些被认定为白人、居住在农村地区、居住在家庭收入中位数最低的县的受益者之间的联系更强。在病因特异性模型中,在注意力障碍、焦虑障碍和情绪障碍类别中,效果估计的大小更大。在繁荣时期,社会人口特征和特定原因住院的分层模型基本上是无效的。我们的研究结果表明,以石油和天然气产量衡量的经济繁荣与萧条的周期,可能会在萧条时期对医疗补助人群的心理健康产生有害影响。然而,未来的研究需要阐明繁荣与萧条周期对资源依赖型社区的复杂影响。
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引用次数: 0
Extreme heat preparedness and response implementation: a qualitative study of barriers, facilitators, and needs among local health jurisdictions in the United States. 极端高温准备和应对实施:美国地方卫生管辖区之间的障碍、促进因素和需求的定性研究。
Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-23 DOI: 10.1088/2752-5309/adf08b
Jessica C Kelley, Cat Hartwell, Evan C Mix, Chelsea Gridley-Smith, Gregory A Wellenius, Amruta Nori-Sarma, Jeremy J Hess, Nicole A Errett

Extreme heat events (EHEs) are the deadliest weather hazards in the United States (U.S.). Local health jurisdictions (LHJs) in the U.S. are frontline responders during EHEs and other public health emergencies. This study aims to clarify the factors influencing EHE preparedness and response implementation. From January to March 2023, we conducted and thematically analyzed four focus group discussions with 17 representatives from U.S. LHJs. The Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research was used to guide the discussion. Participants described barriers, facilitators, and needs surrounding extreme heat preparedness and response implementation. The focus group discussions identified four factors that influence EHE preparedness and response implementation: local conditions (environmental, political, planning); engaging communities and tailoring strategies; partnerships and relational connections; and available resources. Focus group discussions emphasized the need for EHE preparedness and response activities to be targeted and scaled to the unique climate, population, and needs of the implementing jurisdiction. Local conditions, community engagement, partnerships, and available resources shape LHJ priorities. The study emphasizes the need for scalable resources and comprehensive plans, and identifies research gaps to be addressed in the future.

极端高温事件(EHEs)是美国最致命的天气灾害。美国的地方卫生管辖区(LHJs)是EHEs和其他突发公共卫生事件的一线反应者。本研究旨在厘清影响EHE准备和应对实施的因素。从2023年1月到3月,我们与来自美国lhj的17名代表进行了四次焦点小组讨论,并对其进行了主题分析。《执行研究综合框架》被用来指导讨论。与会者描述了围绕极端高温准备和响应实施的障碍、促进因素和需求。焦点小组讨论确定了影响环境卫生准备和应对措施实施的四个因素:当地条件(环境、政治、规划);吸引社区参与和调整策略;伙伴关系和关系关系;以及可用的资源。焦点小组讨论强调,需要有针对性地开展EHE准备和应对活动,并根据实施管辖区的独特气候、人口和需求进行调整。当地条件、社区参与、伙伴关系和可用资源决定了LHJ的优先事项。该研究强调需要可扩展的资源和全面的计划,并确定了未来需要解决的研究差距。
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引用次数: 0
Cumulative disaster exposure and hypertension among mothers who survived Hurricane Katrina. 卡特里娜飓风幸存母亲的累积灾害暴露和高血压
Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-17 DOI: 10.1088/2752-5309/adb32c
Marie-Claire Meadows, Mayur M Desai, Meghan Zacher, Sarah R Lowe

As climate change intensifies, hurricanes and weather-related disasters have been increasingly frequent and severe, impacting regions like the U.S. Gulf Coast with repeated hurricanes. While acute and short-term health impacts are well-described, impacts on longer-term and chronic conditions such as hypertension remain underexplored. This study examines the association between repeated hurricane exposure and hypertension risk in survivors. We used data from the Resilience in Survivors of Katrina project, a longitudinal (2003-2018) cohort of predominantly Black, low-income mothers affected by Hurricane Katrina. A sample of 505 women who were not hypertensive pre-Katrina was analyzed. Cumulative exposure was defined as the number of hurricanes experienced post-Katrina, assessed at several survey waves over 12 years. Logistic regression estimated associations between hurricane exposure and hypertension in 2016-18, with mediation analyses exploring the indirect effect via psychological distress (PD). In adjusted models, exposure to two hurricanes was associated with a 61% increase in hypertension odds (OR = 1.61, 95% CI: 1.00, 2.63) and exposure to three or more with 87% increased odds (OR = 1.87, 95% CI: 1.01, 3.47), relative to exposure to only one hurricane. The indirect effect from hurricane exposure to hypertension via PD was statically significant (95% CI: 1.01, 1.09). Findings highlight a novel link between cumulative disaster exposure and hypertension, with PD as a potential mediator. This suggests that repeated exposure to hurricanes not only impacts mental health but may also contribute to adverse physical health outcomes. Addressing both mental and physical health in disaster response, especially for vulnerable populations, is crucial.

随着气候变化加剧,飓风和与天气有关的灾害越来越频繁和严重,影响了美国墨西哥湾沿岸等反复发生飓风的地区。虽然对急性和短期健康影响有很好的描述,但对高血压等长期和慢性疾病的影响仍未得到充分探讨。本研究探讨了幸存者中多次飓风暴露与高血压风险之间的关系。我们使用了卡特里娜飓风幸存者复原力项目的数据,这是一个纵向(2003-2018)队列,主要是受卡特里娜飓风影响的低收入黑人母亲。研究人员分析了505名卡特里娜飓风前未患高血压的女性。累积暴露被定义为卡特里娜飓风之后经历的飓风次数,在12年的几次调查中评估。Logistic回归估计了2016-18年飓风暴露与高血压之间的关联,并通过中介分析探索了通过心理困扰(PD)产生的间接影响。在调整后的模型中,与仅遭遇一次飓风相比,遭遇两次飓风与高血压风险增加61%相关(OR = 1.61, 95% CI: 1.00, 2.63),遭遇三次或更多飓风与高血压风险增加87%相关(OR = 1.87, 95% CI: 1.01, 3.47)。飓风暴露通过PD对高血压的间接影响具有统计学意义(95% CI: 1.01, 1.09)。研究结果强调了累积灾难暴露与高血压之间的新联系,PD是潜在的中介。这表明,反复接触飓风不仅会影响心理健康,还可能导致不利的身体健康结果。在灾害应对中,特别是针对弱势群体,解决心理和身体健康问题至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Co-occurring climate events and environmental justice in California, 2018-2019. 2018-2019年加州共同发生的气候事件和环境正义。
Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-04 DOI: 10.1088/2752-5309/ada96f
Brittany Shea, Gabriella Y Meltzer, Benjamin B Steiger, Robbie M Parks, Vivian Do, Heather McBrien, Nina Flores, Milo Gordon, Elizabeth M Blake, Joan A Casey

Climate change will increase the frequency of extreme weather events. This means climate-driven events like wildfires and power outages will likely co-occur more often, potentially magnifying their health risks. We characterized three types of climate-driven events-anomalously warm temperatures, wildfire burn zone disasters, and long power outages-in 58 California counties during 2018-2019. We defined county-day anomalously warm temperatures when daily average temperatures exceeded 24 °C and the 85th percentile of the long-term county average. We defined county-day wildfire burn zone disasters when an active wildfire burn zone intersected a county, burned 1+ structures, killed a civilian, or received a Federal Emergency Management Agency Fire Management Declaration, and overlapped with a community. For a subset of the 38 counties (66%), long power outage county days were identified using PowerOutage.us data when an outage affected >0.5% of county customers for 8+ h. Co-occurring events were when 2+ of these events occurred on the same county day. Using the CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index (SVI), we determined whether co-occurring events disproportionately affected vulnerable populations. Nearly every county (97%) experienced at least one day of anomalously warm temperatures, 57% had at least one wildfire burn zone disaster day, and 63% (24/38 counties with available data) had at least one long power outage day. The most common co-occurring events (anomalously warm temperatures and wildfire burn zone disasters) impacted 24 (41%) counties for 144 total county-days. We did not find a clear connection between co-occurring events and social vulnerability. We observed an inverse correlation between co-occurring wildfire burn zone disasters and long power outage days with SVI, and a positive correlation between co-occurring anomalously warm and long power outage days with SVI. This analysis can inform regional resource allocation and other state-wide planning and policy objectives to reduce the adverse effects of climate-driven events.

气候变化将增加极端天气事件发生的频率。这意味着气候驱动的事件,如野火和停电,可能会更频繁地同时发生,潜在地放大了他们的健康风险。我们描述了2018-2019年期间加州58个县的三种气候驱动事件——异常温暖的温度、野火烧伤区灾害和长时间停电。我们将日平均温度超过24°C和长期县平均温度的第85个百分位定义为县日异常温暖温度。当一个活跃的野火燃烧区与一个县相交,烧毁了1座以上的建筑物,造成一名平民死亡,或收到联邦紧急事务管理局火灾管理声明,并与一个社区重叠时,我们定义了县日野火燃烧区灾害。对于38个县中的一个子集(66%),使用power停用来确定长停电县的天数。当停电影响bb0.5 %的县用户8小时以上时,我们的数据。同时发生的事件是当这些事件中的2个以上发生在同一个县的一天。使用CDC/ATSDR社会脆弱性指数(SVI),我们确定了共同发生的事件是否不成比例地影响弱势群体。几乎每个县(97%)都经历了至少一天的异常高温,57%至少经历了一天的野火烧伤区灾难,63%(24/38个有数据的县)至少经历了一天的长时间停电。最常见的共同发生事件(异常温暖的温度和野火烧伤区灾害)影响了24个县(41%),总共144个县日。我们没有发现共同发生的事件与社会脆弱性之间的明确联系。同时发生的野火烧伤区灾害与长停电天数与SVI呈负相关,而同时发生的异常温暖与长停电天数与SVI呈正相关。这种分析可以为区域资源分配和其他全州范围的规划和政策目标提供信息,以减少气候驱动事件的不利影响。
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引用次数: 0
Disruption to test scores after hurricanes in the United States. 飓风袭击美国后,考试成绩受到影响。
Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-14 DOI: 10.1088/2752-5309/adb32b
Gabriella Y Meltzer, G Brooke Anderson, Xicheng Xie, Joan A Casey, Joel Schwartz, Michelle L Bell, Yoshira Ornelas Van Horne, Jared Fox, Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou, Robbie M Parks

Quantifying how hurricanes disrupt educational attainment is essential to evaluating the burden of climate-related disasters. Here, we examine the association between hurricane-force tropical cyclones and educational attainment among elementary and middle school students in all affected areas in the United States during the 2008/2009-2017/2018 school years. Educational performance was based on county-level average standardized test scores in math and reading/language arts (RLAs). Hurricane-force tropical cyclone-exposed counties were those that experienced a sustained maximal wind speed ⩾64 knots. We estimated the association between hurricane-force tropical cyclone exposure and long-term test scores using a Bayesian hierarchical linear model, accounting for time-varying covariates at the county and grade cohort level. For hurricane-exposed counties, compared with the rest of the state, there were better test scores in Florida in math (β = 0.14; 95% CrI: 0.02, 0.26; PP[β > 0] = 99.0%) and RLA (β = 0.11; 95% CrI: 0.02, 0.22; PP[β > 0] = 99.2%), and worse math scores in North Carolina (β = -0.16; 95% CrI: -0.29, -0.03; PP[β < 0] = 99.4%). Grade cohorts with more racialized and minoritized (e.g. Black, Hispanic, Indigenous) and socioeconomically disadvantaged students tended to have lower test scores, while grade cohorts with greater shares of students racialized as Asian and counties with more college-educated adults tended to have higher scores regardless of hurricane exposure. Disaster preparedness must maximize resilience to climate-related stressors' impacts on academic achievement, especially for vulnerable populations.

量化飓风如何破坏教育成就对于评估与气候有关的灾害的负担至关重要。在这里,我们研究了2008/2009-2017/2018学年美国所有受飓风影响地区的热带气旋与中小学生受教育程度之间的关系。教育成绩是基于县级数学和阅读/语言艺术(rla)的平均标准化考试成绩。飓风强度的热带气旋暴露县是那些经历持续最大风速大于或等于64节的县。我们使用贝叶斯层次线性模型估计了飓风强度热带气旋暴露与长期考试成绩之间的关系,并在县和年级队列水平上考虑了时变协变量。在受飓风影响的县,与该州其他地区相比,佛罗里达州的数学考试成绩更好(β = 0.14;95% CrI: 0.02, 0.26;PP[β > 0] = 99.0%)和RLA (β = 0.11;95% CrI: 0.02, 0.22;PP[β > 0] = 99.2%),北卡罗来纳州的数学成绩较差(β = -0.16;95% CrI: -0.29, -0.03;Pp [β < 0] = 99.4%)。种族化和少数族裔(如黑人、西班牙裔、土著)和社会经济条件较差的学生的年级队列往往得分较低,而亚裔学生比例较高的年级队列和受过大学教育的成年人较多的县往往得分较高,而与飓风的影响无关。备灾必须最大限度地适应气候相关压力因素对学业成绩的影响,特别是对弱势群体而言。
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引用次数: 0
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Environmental research, health : ERH
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