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Satisficing Models Under Uncertainty 不确定性下的满意模型
Pub Date : 2022-02-16 DOI: 10.1287/ijoo.2021.0070
P. Jaillet, S. D. Jena, T. S. Ng, Melvyn Sim
Satisficing, as an approach to decision making under uncertainty, aims at achieving solutions that satisfy the problem’s constraints as well as possible. Mathematical optimization problems that are related to this form of decision making include the P-model. In this paper, we propose a general framework of satisficing decision criteria and show a representation termed the S-model, of which the P-model and robust optimization models are special cases. We then focus on the linear optimization case and obtain a tractable probabilistic S-model, termed the T-model, whose objective is a lower bound of the P-model. We show that when probability densities of the uncertainties are log-concave, the T-model can admit a tractable concave objective function. In the case of discrete probability distributions, the T-model is a linear mixed integer optimization problem of moderate dimensions. Our computational experiments on a stochastic maximum coverage problem suggest that the T-model solutions can be highly competitive compared with standard sample average approximation models.
满足作为一种不确定条件下的决策方法,其目的是获得尽可能满足问题约束的解决方案。与这种决策形式相关的数学优化问题包括p模型。本文提出了满足决策准则的一般框架,并给出了s模型的表示,其中p模型和鲁棒优化模型是特例。然后,我们将重点放在线性优化情况下,并获得一个易于处理的概率s模型,称为t模型,其目标是p模型的下界。我们证明了当不确定性的概率密度为对数凹时,t模型可以允许一个可处理的凹目标函数。在离散概率分布情况下,t模型是一个中等维数的线性混合整数优化问题。我们对随机最大覆盖问题的计算实验表明,与标准样本平均近似模型相比,t模型解具有很强的竞争力。
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引用次数: 2
A Solution Approach to Distributionally Robust Joint-Chance-Constrained Assignment Problems 分布鲁棒联合机会约束分配问题的一种求解方法
Pub Date : 2022-02-03 DOI: 10.1287/ijoo.2021.0060
Shanshan Wang, Jinlin Li, Sanjay Mehrotra
We study the assignment problem with chance constraints (CAP) and its distributionally robust counterpart DR-CAP. We present a technique for estimating big-M in such a formulation that takes advantage of the ambiguity set. We consider a 0-1 bilinear knapsack set to develop valid inequalities for CAP and DR-CAP. This is generalized to the joint chance constraint problem. A probability cut framework is also developed to solve DR-CAP. A computational study on problem instances obtained from using real hospital surgery data shows that the developed techniques allow us to solve certain model instances and reduce the computational time for others. The use of Wasserstein ambiguity set in the DR-CAP model improves the out-of-sample performance of satisfying the chance constraints more significantly than the one possible by increasing the sample size in the sample average approximation technique. The solution time for DR-CAP model instances is of the same order as that for solving the CAP instances. This finding is important because chance constrained optimization models are very difficult to solve when the coefficients in the constraints are random.
我们研究了具有机会约束的分配问题(CAP)及其分布鲁棒对应的DR-CAP。我们提出了一种在这样一个公式中估计big-M的技术,该公式利用了模糊集。我们考虑了一个0-1双线性背包集来发展CAP和DR-CAP的有效不等式。这被推广到联合机会约束问题。还开发了一个概率切割框架来解决DR-CAP问题。对使用真实医院手术数据获得的问题实例的计算研究表明,所开发的技术使我们能够解决某些模型实例,并减少其他模型实例的计算时间。在DR-CAP模型中使用Wasserstein模糊集比通过增加样本平均近似技术中的样本大小可能的方法更显著地提高了满足机会约束的样本外性能。DR-CAP模型实例的解决时间与CAP实例的解决顺序相同。这一发现很重要,因为当约束中的系数是随机的时,机会约束优化模型很难求解。
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引用次数: 7
Learning in Sequential Bilevel Linear Programming 序贯双层线性规划的学习
Pub Date : 2022-01-27 DOI: 10.1287/ijoo.2021.0063
J. S. Borrero, O. Prokopyev, Denis Sauré
We consider a framework for sequential bilevel linear programming in which a leader and a follower interact over multiple time periods. In each period, the follower observes the actions taken by the leader and reacts optimally, according to the follower’s own objective function, which is initially unknown to the leader. By observing various forms of information feedback from the follower’s actions, the leader is able to refine the leader’s knowledge about the follower’s objective function and, hence, adjust the leader’s actions at subsequent time periods, which ought to help in maximizing the leader’s cumulative benefit. We show that greedy and robust policies adapted from previous work in the max-min (symmetric) setting might fail to recover the optimal full-information solution to the problem (i.e., a solution implemented by an oracle with complete prior knowledge of the follower’s objective function) in the asymmetric case. In contrast, we present a family of greedy and best-case policies that are able to recover the full-information optimal solution and also provide real-time certificates of optimality. In addition, we show that the proposed policies can be computed by solving a series of linear mixed-integer programs. We test policy performance through exhaustive numerical experiments in the context of asymmetric shortest path interdiction, considering various forms of feedback and several benchmark policies.
我们考虑了一个顺序双层线性规划的框架,其中领导者和追随者在多个时间段内相互作用。在每一个时期,追随者观察领导者的行动,并根据自己的目标函数做出最优反应,而这个目标函数最初是领导者所不知道的。通过观察从追随者的行动中得到的各种形式的信息反馈,领导者能够完善领导者对追随者目标函数的认识,从而在随后的时间段调整领导者的行动,这应该有助于最大化领导者的累积利益。我们表明,在非对称情况下,从先前的最大最小(对称)设置中改编的贪婪和鲁棒策略可能无法恢复问题的最优全信息解(即,由具有完全先验知识的追随者目标函数的oracle实现的解)。相反,我们提出了一组贪婪策略和最佳情况策略,它们能够恢复全信息最优解,并提供最优性的实时证明。此外,我们还证明了所提出的策略可以通过求解一系列线性混合整数规划来计算。我们通过在非对称最短路径阻断背景下的详尽数值实验来测试策略的性能,考虑了各种形式的反馈和几种基准策略。
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引用次数: 4
Optimization Under Connected Uncertainty 连通不确定性下的优化
Pub Date : 2022-01-24 DOI: 10.1287/ijoo.2021.0067
O. Nohadani, Kartikey Sharma
Robust optimization methods have shown practical advantages in a wide range of decision-making applications under uncertainty. Recently, their efficacy has been extended to multiperiod settings. Current approaches model uncertainty either independent of the past or in an implicit fashion by budgeting the aggregate uncertainty. In many applications, however, past realizations directly influence future uncertainties. For this class of problems, we develop a modeling framework that explicitly incorporates this dependence via connected uncertainty sets, whose parameters at each period depend on previous uncertainty realizations. To find optimal here-and-now solutions, we reformulate robust and distributionally robust constraints for popular set structures and demonstrate this modeling framework numerically on broadly applicable knapsack and portfolio-optimization problems.
稳健优化方法在不确定性条件下的广泛决策应用中显示出了实际优势。最近,它们的功效已经扩展到多周期环境中。目前的方法要么独立于过去,要么通过对总不确定性进行预算,以隐含的方式对不确定性进行建模。然而,在许多应用中,过去的实现直接影响未来的不确定性。对于这类问题,我们开发了一个建模框架,该框架通过连接的不确定性集明确地结合了这种依赖性,其每个周期的参数取决于以前的不确定性实现。为了找到此时此地的最优解,我们为流行的集合结构重新制定了鲁棒和分布鲁棒约束,并在广泛适用的背包和投资组合优化问题上对该建模框架进行了数值演示。
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引用次数: 2
On the Linear Convergence of Extragradient Methods for Nonconvex–Nonconcave Minimax Problems 非凸非凹极小极大问题的外聚方法的线性收敛性
Pub Date : 2022-01-17 DOI: 10.1287/ijoo.2022.0004
Saeed Hajizadeh, Haihao Lu, Benjamin Grimmer
Recently, minimax optimization has received renewed focus due to modern applications in machine learning, robust optimization, and reinforcement learning. The scale of these applications naturally leads to the use of first-order methods. However, the nonconvexities and nonconcavities present in these problems, prevents the application of typical gradient descent/ascent, which is known to diverge even in bilinear problems. Recently, it was shown that the proximal point method (PPM) converges linearly for a family of nonconvex–nonconcave problems. In this paper, we study the convergence of a damped version of the extragradient method (EGM), which avoids potentially costly proximal computations, relying only on gradient evaluation. We show that the EGM converges linearly for smooth minimax optimization problems satisfying the same nonconvex–nonconcave condition needed by the PPM. Funding: H. Lu was supported by The University of Chicago Booth School of Business Benjamin Grimmer was supported by Johns Hopkins Applied Mathematics and Statistics Department.
最近,极大极小优化由于在机器学习、鲁棒优化和强化学习中的现代应用而重新受到关注。这些应用的规模自然导致使用一阶方法。然而,这些问题中存在的非凸性和非凹性阻碍了典型的梯度下降/上升方法的应用,这种方法即使在双线性问题中也是发散的。最近,证明了近点法对于一类非凸非凹问题是线性收敛的。在本文中,我们研究了一种阻尼版本的extragradient方法(EGM)的收敛性,该方法避免了潜在的昂贵的近端计算,仅依赖于梯度评估。我们证明了EGM对于满足PPM所需的相同非凸非凹条件的光滑极小极大优化问题是线性收敛的。资助:H. Lu由芝加哥大学布斯商学院资助;Benjamin Grimmer由约翰霍普金斯大学应用数学与统计学系资助。
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引用次数: 5
Optimal Order Batching in Warehouse Management: A Data-Driven Robust Approach 仓库管理中的最优订单批处理:数据驱动的鲁棒方法
Pub Date : 2022-01-07 DOI: 10.1287/ijoo.2021.0066
Vedat Bayram, Gohram Baloch, Fatma Gzara, S. Elhedhli
Optimizing warehouse processes has direct impact on supply chain responsiveness, timely order fulfillment, and customer satisfaction. In this work, we focus on the picking process in warehouse management and study it from a data perspective. Using historical data from an industrial partner, we introduce, model, and study the robust order batching problem (ROBP) that groups orders into batches to minimize total order processing time accounting for uncertainty caused by system congestion and human behavior. We provide a generalizable, data-driven approach that overcomes warehouse-specific assumptions characterizing most of the work in the literature. We analyze historical data to understand the processes in the warehouse, to predict processing times, and to improve order processing. We introduce the ROBP and develop an efficient learning-based branch-and-price algorithm based on simultaneous column and row generation, embedded with alternative prediction models such as linear regression and random forest that predict processing time of a batch. We conduct extensive computational experiments to test the performance of the proposed approach and to derive managerial insights based on real data. The data-driven prescriptive analytics tool we propose achieves savings of seven to eight minutes per order, which translates into a 14.8% increase in daily picking operations capacity of the warehouse.
优化仓库流程直接影响供应链的响应能力、订单的及时履行和客户满意度。在这项工作中,我们专注于仓库管理中的拣选过程,并从数据的角度对其进行研究。利用来自行业合作伙伴的历史数据,我们引入、建模和研究了鲁棒订单批处理问题(ROBP),该问题将订单分组为批,以最大限度地减少订单处理总时间,同时考虑到系统拥塞和人为行为造成的不确定性。我们提供了一种可推广的、数据驱动的方法,该方法克服了文献中大多数工作的仓库特定假设。我们分析历史数据以了解仓库中的流程,预测处理时间,并改进订单处理。我们引入了ROBP,并开发了一种基于学习的高效分支和价格算法,该算法基于同时生成列和行,嵌入了预测批次处理时间的替代预测模型,如线性回归和随机森林。我们进行了大量的计算实验,以测试所提出的方法的性能,并基于真实数据得出管理见解。我们提出的数据驱动的规定性分析工具可以为每份订单节省7到8分钟的时间,这意味着仓库的日常分拣操作能力提高了14.8%。
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引用次数: 1
Improving Sample Average Approximation Using Distributional Robustness 利用分布鲁棒性改进样本均值逼近
Pub Date : 2021-12-30 DOI: 10.1287/ijoo.2021.0061
E. Anderson, A. Philpott
Sample average approximation is a popular approach to solving stochastic optimization problems. It has been widely observed that some form of robustification of these problems often improves the out-of-sample performance of the solution estimators. In estimation problems, this improvement boils down to a trade-off between the opposing effects of bias and shrinkage. This paper aims to characterize the features of more general optimization problems that exhibit this behaviour when a distributionally robust version of the sample average approximation problem is used. The paper restricts attention to quadratic problems for which sample average approximation solutions are unbiased and shows that expected out-of-sample performance can be calculated for small amounts of robustification and depends on the type of distributionally robust model used and properties of the underlying ground-truth probability distribution of random variables. The paper was written as part of a New Zealand funded research project that aimed to improve stochastic optimization methods in the electric power industry. The authors of the paper have worked together in this domain for the past 25 years.
样本平均逼近是求解随机优化问题的一种常用方法。人们已经广泛观察到,这些问题的某种形式的鲁棒性通常会提高解估计量的样本外性能。在估计问题中,这种改进可以归结为偏差和收缩的相反影响之间的权衡。本文旨在描述当使用样本平均逼近问题的分布鲁棒版本时表现出这种行为的更一般的优化问题的特征。本文将注意力限制在样本平均近似解无偏的二次问题上,并表明可以在少量鲁棒性的情况下计算预期的样本外性能,这取决于所使用的分布鲁棒模型的类型和随机变量的基本真实概率分布的性质。这篇论文是新西兰资助的一个研究项目的一部分,该项目旨在改进电力行业的随机优化方法。这篇论文的作者在过去的25年里一直在这个领域合作。
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引用次数: 11
Portfolio Optimization Under Regime Switching and Transaction Costs: Combining Neural Networks and Dynamic Programs 制度交换与交易成本下的投资组合优化:神经网络与动态规划的结合
Pub Date : 2021-10-21 DOI: 10.1287/ijoo.2021.0053
Xiaoyue Li, J. Mulvey
The contributions of this paper are threefold. First, by combining dynamic programs and neural networks, we provide an efficient numerical method to solve a large multiperiod portfolio allocation problem under regime-switching market and transaction costs. Second, the performance of our combined method is shown to be close to optimal in a stylized case. To our knowledge, this is the first paper to carry out such a comparison. Last, the superiority of the combined method opens up the possibility for more research on financial applications of generic methods, such as neural networks, provided that solutions to simplified subproblems are available via traditional methods. The research on combining fast starts with neural networks began about four years ago. We observed that Professor Weinan E’s approach for solving systems of differential equations by neural networks had much improved performance when starting close to an optimal solution and could stall if the current iterate was far from an optimal solution. As we all know, this behavior is common with Newton- based algorithms. As a consequence, we discovered that combining a system of differential equations with a feedforward neural network could much improve overall computational performance. In this paper, we follow a similar direction for dynamic portfolio optimization within a regime-switching market with transaction costs. It investigates how to improve efficiency by combining dynamic programming with a recurrent neural network. Traditional methods face the curse of dimensionality. In contrast, the running time of our combined approach grows approximately linearly with the number of risky assets. It is inspiring to explore the possibilities of combined methods in financial management, believing a careful linkage of existing dynamic optimization algorithms and machine learning will be an active domain going forward. Relationship of the authors: Professor John M. Mulvey is Xiaoyue Li’s doctoral advisor.
本文的贡献有三个方面。首先,将动态规划与神经网络相结合,给出了一种求解制度交换市场和交易成本下的大型多期投资组合配置问题的有效数值方法。其次,在程式化情况下,我们的组合方法的性能接近最优。据我们所知,这是第一次进行这样的比较。最后,该组合方法的优越性为通用方法(如神经网络)在金融应用方面的更多研究提供了可能性,前提是可以通过传统方法获得简化子问题的解。将快速启动与神经网络相结合的研究始于大约四年前。我们观察到,韦南E教授用神经网络求解微分方程组的方法在接近最优解时性能大大提高,如果当前迭代远离最优解,则可能会停滞。我们都知道,这种行为在基于牛顿的算法中很常见。因此,我们发现将微分方程系统与前馈神经网络相结合可以大大提高整体计算性能。在这篇论文中,我们遵循一个类似的方向,在有交易费用的制度交换市场中动态投资组合优化。研究了如何将动态规划与递归神经网络相结合来提高效率。传统的方法面临着维度的诅咒。相比之下,我们的组合方法的运行时间与风险资产的数量近似线性增长。探索财务管理中组合方法的可能性是鼓舞人心的,相信现有动态优化算法和机器学习的仔细联系将是一个积极的领域。作者关系:John M. Mulvey教授是李晓月的博士生导师。
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引用次数: 7
Augmented Lagrangian–Based First-Order Methods for Convex-Constrained Programs with Weakly Convex Objective 弱凸目标凸约束规划的一阶增广拉格朗日方法
Pub Date : 2021-10-18 DOI: 10.1287/ijoo.2021.0052
Zichong Li, Yangyang Xu
First-order methods (FOMs) have been widely used for solving large-scale problems. A majority of existing works focus on problems without constraint or with simple constraints. Several recent works have studied FOMs for problems with complicated functional constraints. In this paper, we design a novel augmented Lagrangian (AL)–based FOM for solving problems with nonconvex objective and convex constraint functions. The new method follows the framework of the proximal point (PP) method. On approximately solving PP subproblems, it mixes the usage of the inexact AL method (iALM) and the quadratic penalty method, whereas the latter is always fed with estimated multipliers by the iALM. The proposed method achieves the best-known complexity result to produce a near Karush–Kuhn–Tucker (KKT) point. Theoretically, the hybrid method has a lower iteration-complexity requirement than its counterpart that only uses iALM to solve PP subproblems; numerically, it can perform significantly better than a pure-penalty-based method. Numerical experiments are conducted on nonconvex linearly constrained quadratic programs. The numerical results demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed methods over existing ones.
一阶方法(FOM)已被广泛用于解决大规模问题。现有的大多数工作都集中在没有约束或有简单约束的问题上。最近的几项工作已经研究了具有复杂函数约束的问题的FOM。在本文中,我们设计了一种新的基于增广拉格朗日量(AL)的FOM,用于求解具有非凸目标和凸约束函数的问题。新方法遵循了近端点(PP)方法的框架。在近似求解PP子问题时,它混合了不精确AL方法(iALM)和二次惩罚方法的使用,而后者总是由iALM提供估计的乘数。所提出的方法获得了最著名的复杂度结果,产生了接近Karush–Kuhn–Tucker(KKT)点。从理论上讲,与只使用iALM求解PP子问题的同类方法相比,混合方法的迭代复杂度要求更低;在数值上,它可以比纯基于惩罚的方法表现得更好。在非凸线性约束二次规划上进行了数值实验。数值结果表明,与现有方法相比,所提出的方法是有效的。
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引用次数: 19
Critical-Path-Search Logic-Based Benders Decomposition Approaches for Flexible Job Shop Scheduling 基于关键路径搜索逻辑的柔性车间调度Benders分解方法
Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.1287/ijoo.2021.0056
B. Naderi, V. Roshanaei
We solve the flexible job shop scheduling problems (F-JSSPs) to minimize makespan. First, we compare the constraint programming (CP) model with the mixed-integer programming (MIP) model for F-JSSPs. Second, we exploit the decomposable structure within the models and develop an efficient CP–logic-based Benders decomposition (CP-LBBD) technique that combines the complementary strengths of MIP and CP models. Using 193 instances from the literature, we demonstrate that MIP, CP, and CP-LBBD achieve average optimality gaps of 25.50%, 13.46%, and 0.37% and find optima in 49, 112, and 156 instances of the problem, respectively. We also compare the performance of the CP-LBBD with an efficient Greedy Randomized Adaptive Search Procedure (GRASP) algorithm, which has been appraised for finding 125 optima on 178 instances. CP-LBBD finds 143 optima on the same set of instances. We further examine the performance of the algorithms on 96 newly (and much larger) generated instances and demonstrate that the average optimality gap of the CP increases to 47.26%, whereas the average optimality of CP-LBBD remains around 1.44%. Finally, we conduct analytics on the performance of our models and algorithms and counterintuitively find out that as flexibility increases in data sets the performance CP-LBBD ameliorates, whereas that of the CP and MIP significantly deteriorates.
我们解决了灵活的车间调度问题(F-JSSP),以最大限度地缩短完工时间。首先,我们比较了F-JSSP的约束规划(CP)模型和混合整数规划(MIP)模型。其次,我们利用了模型中的可分解结构,并开发了一种高效的基于CP逻辑的Benders分解(CP-LBBD)技术,该技术结合了MIP和CP模型的互补优势。使用文献中的193个实例,我们证明了MIP、CP和CP-LBBD实现了25.50%、13.46%和0.37%的平均最优性差距,并分别在该问题的49、112和156个实例中找到了最优性。我们还将CP-LBBD的性能与一种有效的贪婪随机自适应搜索过程(GRASP)算法进行了比较,该算法已在178个实例中找到125个最优值。CP-LBBD在同一组实例上找到143个最优。我们在96个新生成的(以及更大的)实例上进一步检验了算法的性能,并证明了CP的平均最优性差距增加到47.26%,而CP-LBBD的平均最性保持在1.44%左右。最后,我们对我们的模型和算法的性能进行了分析,并违反直觉地发现,随着数据集灵活性的增加,CP-LBBD的性能有所改善,而CP和MIP的性能显著恶化。
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引用次数: 8
期刊
INFORMS journal on optimization
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