Abram Qiu, Kristopher Meadows, Fei Ye, Osasu Iyawe, Kenneth Kenneth-Nwosa
Background: There is a growing gap between the supply of surgeons and the demand for orthopedic services in the United States.
Objective: We analyzed publicly available online data to assess the correlation between the supply of orthopedic surgeons and patient demand across the United States. The geographic trends of this gap were assessed by using the relative demand index (RDI) to guide precision public health interventions such as resource allocation, residency program expansion, and workforce planning to specific regions.
Methods: The data used were from the US Census Bureau, Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC) through their 2024 Electronic Residency Application Service (ERAS) directory, AAMC State Physician Workforce Data Report, and Google Trends. We calculated the normalized relative search volume (RSV) and the RDI and compared them to the densities of orthopedic surgeons across the United States. We examined the disparities with the Spearman rank correlation coefficient.
Results: The supply of orthopedic surgeons varied greatly across the United States, with a significantly higher demand for them in southern states (P=.02). The orthopedic surgeon concentration, normalized to the highest density, was the highest in Alaska (n=100), the District of Columbia (n=96), and Wyoming (n=72); and the lowest in Texas (n=0), Arkansas (n=6), and Oklahoma (n=64). The highest RDI values were observed in Utah (n=97), Florida (n=88), and Texas (n=83), while the lowest were observed in Alaska (n=0), the District of Columbia (n=5), and New Hampshire (n=7). The 7 states of Alaska, Maine, South Dakota, Wyoming, Montana, Delaware, and Idaho lacked orthopedic surgery residencies. In 2023, New York (n=19), Michigan (n=17), Ohio (n=17), Pennsylvania (n=16), and California (n=16) had the most residency programs. Demand and supply, represented by the RDI and orthopedic surgeon concentration, respectively, were strongly correlated negatively (ρ=-0.791, P<.001). States that were in the top quartile of residency programs (≥4 residency programs) exhibited a high demand for orthopedic surgeons (ρ=.6035, P=.02).
Conclusions: This study showed that regional disparities in access to orthopedic care can be addressed by increasing orthopedic residencies. The study highlights the novel application of the RDI to mapping the regional need for orthopedics, and this map allows for better targeted resource allocation to expand orthopedic surgery training.
{"title":"Quantifying Patient Demand for Orthopedics Care by Region Through Google Trends Analysis: Descriptive Epidemiology Study.","authors":"Abram Qiu, Kristopher Meadows, Fei Ye, Osasu Iyawe, Kenneth Kenneth-Nwosa","doi":"10.2196/63560","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2196/63560","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>There is a growing gap between the supply of surgeons and the demand for orthopedic services in the United States.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>We analyzed publicly available online data to assess the correlation between the supply of orthopedic surgeons and patient demand across the United States. The geographic trends of this gap were assessed by using the relative demand index (RDI) to guide precision public health interventions such as resource allocation, residency program expansion, and workforce planning to specific regions.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The data used were from the US Census Bureau, Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC) through their 2024 Electronic Residency Application Service (ERAS) directory, AAMC State Physician Workforce Data Report, and Google Trends. We calculated the normalized relative search volume (RSV) and the RDI and compared them to the densities of orthopedic surgeons across the United States. We examined the disparities with the Spearman rank correlation coefficient.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The supply of orthopedic surgeons varied greatly across the United States, with a significantly higher demand for them in southern states (P=.02). The orthopedic surgeon concentration, normalized to the highest density, was the highest in Alaska (n=100), the District of Columbia (n=96), and Wyoming (n=72); and the lowest in Texas (n=0), Arkansas (n=6), and Oklahoma (n=64). The highest RDI values were observed in Utah (n=97), Florida (n=88), and Texas (n=83), while the lowest were observed in Alaska (n=0), the District of Columbia (n=5), and New Hampshire (n=7). The 7 states of Alaska, Maine, South Dakota, Wyoming, Montana, Delaware, and Idaho lacked orthopedic surgery residencies. In 2023, New York (n=19), Michigan (n=17), Ohio (n=17), Pennsylvania (n=16), and California (n=16) had the most residency programs. Demand and supply, represented by the RDI and orthopedic surgeon concentration, respectively, were strongly correlated negatively (ρ=-0.791, P<.001). States that were in the top quartile of residency programs (≥4 residency programs) exhibited a high demand for orthopedic surgeons (ρ=.6035, P=.02).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study showed that regional disparities in access to orthopedic care can be addressed by increasing orthopedic residencies. The study highlights the novel application of the RDI to mapping the regional need for orthopedics, and this map allows for better targeted resource allocation to expand orthopedic surgery training.</p>","PeriodicalId":74345,"journal":{"name":"Online journal of public health informatics","volume":"17 ","pages":"e63560"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143071277","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Rebecca Rohrer, Allegra Wilson, Jennifer Baumgartner, Nicole Burton, Ray R Ortiz, Alan Dorsinville, Lucretia E Jones, Sharon K Greene
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Applying nowcasting methods to partially accrued reportable disease data can help policymakers interpret recent epidemic trends despite data lags and quickly identify and remediate health inequities. During the 2022 mpox outbreak in New York City, we applied Nowcasting by Bayesian Smoothing (NobBS) to estimate recent cases, citywide and stratified by race or ethnicity (Black or African American, Hispanic or Latino, and White). However, in real time, it was unclear if the estimates were accurate.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>We evaluated the accuracy of estimated mpox case counts across a range of NobBS implementation options.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We evaluated NobBS performance for New York City residents with a confirmed or probable mpox diagnosis or illness onset from July 8 through September 30, 2022, as compared with fully accrued cases. We used the exponentiated average log score (average score) to compare moving window lengths, stratifying or not by race or ethnicity, diagnosis and onset dates, and daily and weekly aggregation.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>During the study period, 3305 New York City residents were diagnosed with mpox (median 4, IQR 3-5 days from diagnosis to diagnosis report). Of these, 812 (25%) had missing onset dates, and of these, 230 (28%) had unknown race or ethnicity. The median lag in days from onset to onset report was 10 (IQR 7-14). For daily hindcasts by diagnosis date, the average score was 0.27 for the 14-day moving window used in real time. Average scores improved (increased) with longer moving windows (maximum: 0.47 for 49-day window). Stratifying by race or ethnicity improved performance, with an overall average score of 0.38 for the 14-day moving window (maximum: 0.57 for 49 day-window). Hindcasts for White patients performed best, with average scores of 0.45 for the 14-day window and 0.75 for the 49-day window. For unstratified, daily hindcasts by onset date, the average score ranged from 0.16 for the 42-day window to 0.30 for the 14-day window. Performance was not improved by weekly aggregation. Hindcasts underestimated diagnoses in early August after the epidemic peaked, then overestimated diagnoses in late August as the epidemic waned. Estimates were most accurate during September when cases were low and stable.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Performance was better when hindcasting by diagnosis date than by onset date, consistent with shorter lags and higher completeness for diagnoses. For daily hindcasts by diagnosis date, longer moving windows performed better, but direct comparisons are limited because longer windows could only be assessed after case counts in this outbreak had stabilized. Stratification by race or ethnicity improved performance and identified differences in epidemic trends across patient groups. Contributors to differences in performance across strata might include differences in case volume, epidemic trends, delay distributions
{"title":"Nowcasting to Monitor Real-Time Mpox Trends During the 2022 Outbreak in New York City: Evaluation Using Reportable Disease Data Stratified by Race or Ethnicity.","authors":"Rebecca Rohrer, Allegra Wilson, Jennifer Baumgartner, Nicole Burton, Ray R Ortiz, Alan Dorsinville, Lucretia E Jones, Sharon K Greene","doi":"10.2196/56495","DOIUrl":"10.2196/56495","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Applying nowcasting methods to partially accrued reportable disease data can help policymakers interpret recent epidemic trends despite data lags and quickly identify and remediate health inequities. During the 2022 mpox outbreak in New York City, we applied Nowcasting by Bayesian Smoothing (NobBS) to estimate recent cases, citywide and stratified by race or ethnicity (Black or African American, Hispanic or Latino, and White). However, in real time, it was unclear if the estimates were accurate.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>We evaluated the accuracy of estimated mpox case counts across a range of NobBS implementation options.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We evaluated NobBS performance for New York City residents with a confirmed or probable mpox diagnosis or illness onset from July 8 through September 30, 2022, as compared with fully accrued cases. We used the exponentiated average log score (average score) to compare moving window lengths, stratifying or not by race or ethnicity, diagnosis and onset dates, and daily and weekly aggregation.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>During the study period, 3305 New York City residents were diagnosed with mpox (median 4, IQR 3-5 days from diagnosis to diagnosis report). Of these, 812 (25%) had missing onset dates, and of these, 230 (28%) had unknown race or ethnicity. The median lag in days from onset to onset report was 10 (IQR 7-14). For daily hindcasts by diagnosis date, the average score was 0.27 for the 14-day moving window used in real time. Average scores improved (increased) with longer moving windows (maximum: 0.47 for 49-day window). Stratifying by race or ethnicity improved performance, with an overall average score of 0.38 for the 14-day moving window (maximum: 0.57 for 49 day-window). Hindcasts for White patients performed best, with average scores of 0.45 for the 14-day window and 0.75 for the 49-day window. For unstratified, daily hindcasts by onset date, the average score ranged from 0.16 for the 42-day window to 0.30 for the 14-day window. Performance was not improved by weekly aggregation. Hindcasts underestimated diagnoses in early August after the epidemic peaked, then overestimated diagnoses in late August as the epidemic waned. Estimates were most accurate during September when cases were low and stable.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Performance was better when hindcasting by diagnosis date than by onset date, consistent with shorter lags and higher completeness for diagnoses. For daily hindcasts by diagnosis date, longer moving windows performed better, but direct comparisons are limited because longer windows could only be assessed after case counts in this outbreak had stabilized. Stratification by race or ethnicity improved performance and identified differences in epidemic trends across patient groups. Contributors to differences in performance across strata might include differences in case volume, epidemic trends, delay distributions","PeriodicalId":74345,"journal":{"name":"Online journal of public health informatics","volume":"17 ","pages":"e56495"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11750114/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143017855","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Hasifah Kasujja Namatovu, Mark Abraham Magumba, Dickens Akena
Background: Perinatal depression remains a substantial public health challenge, often overlooked or incorrectly diagnosed in numerous low-income nations.
Objective: The goal of this study was to establish statistical baselines for the prevalence of perinatal depression in Kampala and understand its relationship with key demographic variables.
Methods: We employed an Android-based implementation of the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale (EPDS) to survey 12,913 women recruited from 7 government health facilities located in Kampala, Uganda. We used the standard EPDS cutoff, which classifies women with total scores above 13 as possibly depressed and those below 13 as not depressed. The χ2 test of independence was used to determine the most influential categorical variables. We further analyzed the most influential categorical variable using odds ratios. For continuous variables such as age and the weeks of gestation, we performed a simple correlation analysis.
Results: We found that 21.5% (2783/12,913, 95% CI 20.8%-22.3%) were possibly depressed. Respondents' relationship category was found to be the most influential variable (χ21=806.9, P<.001; Cramer's V=0.25), indicating a small effect size. Among quantitative variables, we found a weak negative correlation between respondents' age and the total EPDS score (r=-0.11, P<.001). Similarly, a weak negative correlation was also observed between the total EPDS score and the number of previous children of the respondent (r=-0.07, P<.001). Moreover, a weak positive correlation was noted between weeks of gestation and the total EPDS score (r=0.02, P=.05).
Conclusions: This study shows that demographic factors such as spousal employment category, age, and relationship status have an influence on the respondents' EPDS scores. These variables may serve as proxies for latent factors such as financial stability and emotional support.
背景:围产期抑郁症仍然是一个重大的公共卫生挑战,在许多低收入国家经常被忽视或被错误诊断。目的:本研究的目的是建立坎帕拉围产期抑郁症患病率的统计基线,并了解其与关键人口统计学变量的关系。方法:我们采用基于android的爱丁堡产后抑郁量表(EPDS),对来自乌干达坎帕拉7个政府卫生机构的12,913名妇女进行了调查。我们使用了标准的EPDS分界点,该分界点将总分在13分以上的女性归类为可能患有抑郁症,将总分在13分以下的女性归类为未患抑郁症。采用χ2独立检验确定影响最大的分类变量。我们使用优势比进一步分析了最具影响力的分类变量。对于连续变量,如年龄和妊娠周数,我们进行了简单的相关性分析。结果:21.5% (2783/ 12913,95% CI 20.8% ~ 22.3%)的患者可能患有抑郁症。被调查者的关系类别是最具影响的变量(χ21=806.9, p)。结论:本研究表明,配偶就业类别、年龄、关系状况等人口统计学因素对被调查者的EPDS得分有影响。这些变量可以作为金融稳定性和情感支持等潜在因素的代理。
{"title":"E-Screening for Prenatal Depression in Kampala, Uganda Using the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale: Survey Results.","authors":"Hasifah Kasujja Namatovu, Mark Abraham Magumba, Dickens Akena","doi":"10.2196/51602","DOIUrl":"10.2196/51602","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Perinatal depression remains a substantial public health challenge, often overlooked or incorrectly diagnosed in numerous low-income nations.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>The goal of this study was to establish statistical baselines for the prevalence of perinatal depression in Kampala and understand its relationship with key demographic variables.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We employed an Android-based implementation of the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale (EPDS) to survey 12,913 women recruited from 7 government health facilities located in Kampala, Uganda. We used the standard EPDS cutoff, which classifies women with total scores above 13 as possibly depressed and those below 13 as not depressed. The χ2 test of independence was used to determine the most influential categorical variables. We further analyzed the most influential categorical variable using odds ratios. For continuous variables such as age and the weeks of gestation, we performed a simple correlation analysis.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We found that 21.5% (2783/12,913, 95% CI 20.8%-22.3%) were possibly depressed. Respondents' relationship category was found to be the most influential variable (χ21=806.9, P<.001; Cramer's V=0.25), indicating a small effect size. Among quantitative variables, we found a weak negative correlation between respondents' age and the total EPDS score (r=-0.11, P<.001). Similarly, a weak negative correlation was also observed between the total EPDS score and the number of previous children of the respondent (r=-0.07, P<.001). Moreover, a weak positive correlation was noted between weeks of gestation and the total EPDS score (r=0.02, P=.05).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study shows that demographic factors such as spousal employment category, age, and relationship status have an influence on the respondents' EPDS scores. These variables may serve as proxies for latent factors such as financial stability and emotional support.</p>","PeriodicalId":74345,"journal":{"name":"Online journal of public health informatics","volume":"17 ","pages":"e51602"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11750128/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142985660","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Unlabelled: Microbial diversity is vast, with bacteria playing a crucial role in human health. However, occurrence records (location, date, observer, and host interaction of human-associated bacteria) remain scarce. This lack of information hinders our understanding of human-microbe relationships and disease prevention. In this study, we show that existing solutions such as France's Système d'Information sur le Patrimoine Naturel framework, can be used to efficiently collect and manage occurrence data on human-associated bacteria. This user-friendly system allows medical personnel to easily share and access data on bacterial pathogens. By adopting similar national infrastructures and treating human-associated bacteria as biodiversity data, we can significantly improve public health management and research, and our understanding of the One Health concept, which emphasizes the interconnectedness of human, animal, and environmental health.
未标示:微生物种类繁多,细菌对人类健康起着至关重要的作用。然而,人类相关细菌的发生记录(地点、日期、观察者和宿主相互作用)仍然很少。这种信息的缺乏阻碍了我们对人类-微生物关系和疾病预防的理解。在这项研究中,我们展示了现有的解决方案,如法国的systemme d'Information sur le Patrimoine Naturel框架,可以用来有效地收集和管理人类相关细菌的发生数据。这个用户友好的系统使医务人员能够轻松地共享和访问有关细菌病原体的数据。通过采用类似的国家基础设施并将人类相关细菌视为生物多样性数据,我们可以显著改善公共卫生管理和研究,以及我们对强调人类、动物和环境健康相互联系的“同一个健康”概念的理解。
{"title":"In the Shadow of Medicine: The Glaring Absence of Occurrence Records of Human-Hosted Biodiversity.","authors":"Rémy Poncet, Olivier Gargominy","doi":"10.2196/60140","DOIUrl":"10.2196/60140","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Unlabelled: </strong>Microbial diversity is vast, with bacteria playing a crucial role in human health. However, occurrence records (location, date, observer, and host interaction of human-associated bacteria) remain scarce. This lack of information hinders our understanding of human-microbe relationships and disease prevention. In this study, we show that existing solutions such as France's Système d'Information sur le Patrimoine Naturel framework, can be used to efficiently collect and manage occurrence data on human-associated bacteria. This user-friendly system allows medical personnel to easily share and access data on bacterial pathogens. By adopting similar national infrastructures and treating human-associated bacteria as biodiversity data, we can significantly improve public health management and research, and our understanding of the One Health concept, which emphasizes the interconnectedness of human, animal, and environmental health.</p>","PeriodicalId":74345,"journal":{"name":"Online journal of public health informatics","volume":"16 ","pages":"e60140"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11648335/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142803619","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Tobias Jagomast, Jule Finck, Imke Tangemann-Münstedt, Katharina Auth, Daniel Drömann, Klaas F Franzen
Background: Smoking is a modifiable risk factor for SARS-CoV-2 infection. Evidence of smoking behavior during the pandemic is ambiguous. Most investigations report an increase in smoking. In this context, Google Trends data monitor real-time public information-seeking behavior and are therefore useful to characterize smoking-related interest over the trajectory of the pandemic.
Objective: This study aimed to use Google Trends data to evaluate the effect of the pandemic on public interest in smoking-related topics with a focus on lockdowns, vaccination campaigns, and incidence.
Methods: The weekly relative search volume was retrieved from Google Trends for England, Germany, Italy, and Spain from December 31, 2017, to April 18, 2021. Data were collected for keywords concerning consumption, cessation, and treatment. The relative search volume before and during the pandemic was compared, and general trends were evaluated using the Wilcoxon rank-sum test. Short-term changes and hereby temporal clusters linked to lockdowns or vaccination campaigns were addressed by the flexible spatial scan statistics proposed by Takahashi and colleagues. Subsequently, the numbers of clusters after the onset of the pandemic were compared by chi-square test.
Results: Country-wise minor differences were observed while 3 overarching trends prevailed. First, regarding cessation, the statistical comparison revealed a significant decline in interest for 58% (7/12) of related keywords, and fewer clusters were present during the pandemic. Second, concerning consumption, significantly reduced relative search volume was observed for 58% (7/12) of keywords, while treatment-related keywords exhibited heterogeneous trends. Third, substantial clusters of increased interest were sparsely linked to lockdowns, vaccination campaigns, or incidence.
Conclusions: This study reports a substantial decline in overall relative search volume and clusters for cessation interest. These results underline the importance of intensifying cessation aid during times of crisis. Lockdowns, vaccination, and incidence had less impact on information-seeking behavior. Other public measures that positively affect smoking behavior remain to be determined.
{"title":"Google Trends Assessment of Keywords Related to Smoking and Smoking Cessation During the COVID-19 Pandemic in 4 European Countries: Retrospective Analysis.","authors":"Tobias Jagomast, Jule Finck, Imke Tangemann-Münstedt, Katharina Auth, Daniel Drömann, Klaas F Franzen","doi":"10.2196/57718","DOIUrl":"10.2196/57718","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Smoking is a modifiable risk factor for SARS-CoV-2 infection. Evidence of smoking behavior during the pandemic is ambiguous. Most investigations report an increase in smoking. In this context, Google Trends data monitor real-time public information-seeking behavior and are therefore useful to characterize smoking-related interest over the trajectory of the pandemic.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>This study aimed to use Google Trends data to evaluate the effect of the pandemic on public interest in smoking-related topics with a focus on lockdowns, vaccination campaigns, and incidence.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The weekly relative search volume was retrieved from Google Trends for England, Germany, Italy, and Spain from December 31, 2017, to April 18, 2021. Data were collected for keywords concerning consumption, cessation, and treatment. The relative search volume before and during the pandemic was compared, and general trends were evaluated using the Wilcoxon rank-sum test. Short-term changes and hereby temporal clusters linked to lockdowns or vaccination campaigns were addressed by the flexible spatial scan statistics proposed by Takahashi and colleagues. Subsequently, the numbers of clusters after the onset of the pandemic were compared by chi-square test.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Country-wise minor differences were observed while 3 overarching trends prevailed. First, regarding cessation, the statistical comparison revealed a significant decline in interest for 58% (7/12) of related keywords, and fewer clusters were present during the pandemic. Second, concerning consumption, significantly reduced relative search volume was observed for 58% (7/12) of keywords, while treatment-related keywords exhibited heterogeneous trends. Third, substantial clusters of increased interest were sparsely linked to lockdowns, vaccination campaigns, or incidence.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study reports a substantial decline in overall relative search volume and clusters for cessation interest. These results underline the importance of intensifying cessation aid during times of crisis. Lockdowns, vaccination, and incidence had less impact on information-seeking behavior. Other public measures that positively affect smoking behavior remain to be determined.</p>","PeriodicalId":74345,"journal":{"name":"Online journal of public health informatics","volume":"16 ","pages":"e57718"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11653046/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142775354","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Diana M Sheehan, Tendai Gwanzura, Cynthia Ibarra, Daisy Ramirez-Ortiz, Dallas Swendeman, Dustin T Duncan, Miguel Muñoz-Laboy, Jessy G Devieux, Mary Jo Trepka
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Increasing HIV rates among young Latino sexual minority men (YLSMM) warrant innovative and rigorous studies to assess prevention and treatment strategies. Ecological momentary assessments (EMAs) and electronic pill dispensers (EPDs) have been used to measure antiretroviral therapy (ART) adherence repeatedly in real time and in participants' natural environments, but their psychometric properties among YLSMM are unknown.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>The study's objective was to assess the concurrent validity, acceptability, compliance, and behavioral reactivity of EMAs and EPDs among YLSMM with HIV.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A convenience sample of 56 YLSMM with HIV with suboptimal ART adherence, aged 18-34 years, was recruited into a 28-consecutive-day EMA study. Concurrent validity was analyzed by comparing median ART adherence rates and calculating Spearman correlations between ART adherence measured by EMA, EPD, and baseline retrospective validated 3-item and single-item measures. Acceptability was assessed in exit interviews asking participants to rate EMA and EPD burden. Compliance was assessed by computing the percent lost to follow-up, the percent of EMAs missed, and the percentage of days the EPD was not opened that had corresponding EMA data self-reporting adherence to ARTs. Behavioral reactivity was assessed by computing the median change in ART adherence during the study period, using generalized mixed models to assess whether the cumulative number of EMAs completed and days of EPD use predicted ART adherence over time, and by asking participants to rate perceived reactivity using a Likert scale.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>EMA ART adherence was significantly correlated with baseline validated 3-item (r=0.41, P=.003) and single-item (r=0.52, P<.001) measures, but correlations were only significant for participants that reported EMA was not burdensome. Correlations for EPD ART adherence were weaker but significant (r=0.36, P=.009; r=0.34, P=.01, respectively). Acceptability was high for EMAs (48/54, 89%) and EPDs (52/54, 96%) per self-report. Loss to follow-up was 4% (2/56), with the remaining participants completing 88.6% (1339/1512) of study-prompted EMAs. The percentage of missed EMA surveys increased from 5.8% (22/378) in week 1 of the study to 16.7% (63/378) in week 4. Of 260 days when EPDs were not opened, 68.8% (179) had a corresponding EMA survey self-reporting ART adherence. Reactivity inferred from the median change in ART adherence over time was 8.8% for EMAs and -0.8% for EPDs. Each completed EMA was associated with 1.03 odds (95% CI 1-1.07) of EMA ART adherence over time, and each day of EPD use with 0.97 odds (95% CI 0.96-0.99) of EPD ART adherence over time. Self-reported perceived behavioral reactivity was 39% for EMAs and 35% for EPDs.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study provides evidence of concurrent validity with retrospective validated measures for EMA- and E
{"title":"Psychometric Properties of Measuring Antiretroviral Therapy Adherence Among Young Latino Sexual Minority Men With HIV: Ecological Momentary Assessment and Electronic Pill Dispenser Study.","authors":"Diana M Sheehan, Tendai Gwanzura, Cynthia Ibarra, Daisy Ramirez-Ortiz, Dallas Swendeman, Dustin T Duncan, Miguel Muñoz-Laboy, Jessy G Devieux, Mary Jo Trepka","doi":"10.2196/51424","DOIUrl":"10.2196/51424","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Increasing HIV rates among young Latino sexual minority men (YLSMM) warrant innovative and rigorous studies to assess prevention and treatment strategies. Ecological momentary assessments (EMAs) and electronic pill dispensers (EPDs) have been used to measure antiretroviral therapy (ART) adherence repeatedly in real time and in participants' natural environments, but their psychometric properties among YLSMM are unknown.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>The study's objective was to assess the concurrent validity, acceptability, compliance, and behavioral reactivity of EMAs and EPDs among YLSMM with HIV.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A convenience sample of 56 YLSMM with HIV with suboptimal ART adherence, aged 18-34 years, was recruited into a 28-consecutive-day EMA study. Concurrent validity was analyzed by comparing median ART adherence rates and calculating Spearman correlations between ART adherence measured by EMA, EPD, and baseline retrospective validated 3-item and single-item measures. Acceptability was assessed in exit interviews asking participants to rate EMA and EPD burden. Compliance was assessed by computing the percent lost to follow-up, the percent of EMAs missed, and the percentage of days the EPD was not opened that had corresponding EMA data self-reporting adherence to ARTs. Behavioral reactivity was assessed by computing the median change in ART adherence during the study period, using generalized mixed models to assess whether the cumulative number of EMAs completed and days of EPD use predicted ART adherence over time, and by asking participants to rate perceived reactivity using a Likert scale.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>EMA ART adherence was significantly correlated with baseline validated 3-item (r=0.41, P=.003) and single-item (r=0.52, P<.001) measures, but correlations were only significant for participants that reported EMA was not burdensome. Correlations for EPD ART adherence were weaker but significant (r=0.36, P=.009; r=0.34, P=.01, respectively). Acceptability was high for EMAs (48/54, 89%) and EPDs (52/54, 96%) per self-report. Loss to follow-up was 4% (2/56), with the remaining participants completing 88.6% (1339/1512) of study-prompted EMAs. The percentage of missed EMA surveys increased from 5.8% (22/378) in week 1 of the study to 16.7% (63/378) in week 4. Of 260 days when EPDs were not opened, 68.8% (179) had a corresponding EMA survey self-reporting ART adherence. Reactivity inferred from the median change in ART adherence over time was 8.8% for EMAs and -0.8% for EPDs. Each completed EMA was associated with 1.03 odds (95% CI 1-1.07) of EMA ART adherence over time, and each day of EPD use with 0.97 odds (95% CI 0.96-0.99) of EPD ART adherence over time. Self-reported perceived behavioral reactivity was 39% for EMAs and 35% for EPDs.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study provides evidence of concurrent validity with retrospective validated measures for EMA- and E","PeriodicalId":74345,"journal":{"name":"Online journal of public health informatics","volume":"16 ","pages":"e51424"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11612584/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142775361","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Background: On average, people in the United States visit a doctor 4 times a year, and many of them have chronic illnesses. Because of the increased use of technology, people frequently rely on the internet to access health information and statistics. People use health care information to make better-educated decisions for themselves and others. Health care dashboards should provide pertinent and easily understood data, such as information on timely cancer screenings, so the public can make better-informed decisions. In order to enhance health outcomes, effective dashboards should provide precise data in an accessible and easily digestible manner.
Objective: This study identifies the top 15 attributes of a health care dashboard. The objective of this research is to enhance health care dashboards to benefit the public by making better health care information available for more informed decisions by the public and to improve population-level health care outcomes.
Methods: The authors conducted a survey of health care dashboards with 218 individuals identifying the best practices to consider when creating a public health care dashboard. The data collection was conducted from June 2023 to August 2023. The analyses performed were descriptive statistics, frequencies, and a comparison to a prior study.
Results: From May 2023 to June 2023, we collected 3259 responses in multiple different states around the United States from 218 people aged 18 years or older. The features ranking in descending order of importance are as follows: (1) easy navigation, (2) historical data, (3) simplicity of design, (4) high usability, (5) use of clear descriptions, (6) consistency of data, (7) use of diverse chart types, (8) compliance with the Americans with Disabilities Act, (9) incorporated user feedback, (10) mobile compatibility, (11) comparison data with other entities, (12) storytelling, (13) predictive analytics with artificial intelligence, (14) adjustable thresholds, and (15) charts with tabulated data.
Conclusions: Future studies can extend the research to other types of dashboards such as bioinformatics, financial, and managerial dashboards as well as confirm these top 15 best practices for medical dashboards with further evidentiary support. The medical informatics community may benefit from standardization to improve efficiency and effectiveness as dashboards can communicate vital information to patients worldwide on critically prominent issues. Furthermore, health care professionals should use these best practices to help increase population health care outcomes by informing health care consumers to make better decisions with better data.
{"title":"Rank Ordered Design Attributes for Health Care Dashboards Including Artificial Intelligence: Usability Study.","authors":"Melina Malkani, Eesha Madan, Dillon Malkani, Arav Madan, Neel Singh, Tara Bamji, Harman Sabharwal","doi":"10.2196/58277","DOIUrl":"10.2196/58277","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>On average, people in the United States visit a doctor 4 times a year, and many of them have chronic illnesses. Because of the increased use of technology, people frequently rely on the internet to access health information and statistics. People use health care information to make better-educated decisions for themselves and others. Health care dashboards should provide pertinent and easily understood data, such as information on timely cancer screenings, so the public can make better-informed decisions. In order to enhance health outcomes, effective dashboards should provide precise data in an accessible and easily digestible manner.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>This study identifies the top 15 attributes of a health care dashboard. The objective of this research is to enhance health care dashboards to benefit the public by making better health care information available for more informed decisions by the public and to improve population-level health care outcomes.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The authors conducted a survey of health care dashboards with 218 individuals identifying the best practices to consider when creating a public health care dashboard. The data collection was conducted from June 2023 to August 2023. The analyses performed were descriptive statistics, frequencies, and a comparison to a prior study.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>From May 2023 to June 2023, we collected 3259 responses in multiple different states around the United States from 218 people aged 18 years or older. The features ranking in descending order of importance are as follows: (1) easy navigation, (2) historical data, (3) simplicity of design, (4) high usability, (5) use of clear descriptions, (6) consistency of data, (7) use of diverse chart types, (8) compliance with the Americans with Disabilities Act, (9) incorporated user feedback, (10) mobile compatibility, (11) comparison data with other entities, (12) storytelling, (13) predictive analytics with artificial intelligence, (14) adjustable thresholds, and (15) charts with tabulated data.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Future studies can extend the research to other types of dashboards such as bioinformatics, financial, and managerial dashboards as well as confirm these top 15 best practices for medical dashboards with further evidentiary support. The medical informatics community may benefit from standardization to improve efficiency and effectiveness as dashboards can communicate vital information to patients worldwide on critically prominent issues. Furthermore, health care professionals should use these best practices to help increase population health care outcomes by informing health care consumers to make better decisions with better data.</p>","PeriodicalId":74345,"journal":{"name":"Online journal of public health informatics","volume":"16 ","pages":"e58277"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11618005/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142683691","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Unlabelled: This paper introduces population digital health (PDH)-the use of digital health information sourced from health internet of things (IoT) and wearable devices for population health modeling-as an emerging research domain that offers an integrated approach for continuous monitoring and profiling of diseases and health conditions at multiple spatial resolutions. PDH combines health data sourced from health IoT devices, machine learning, and ubiquitous computing or networking infrastructure to increase the scale, coverage, equity, and cost-effectiveness of population health. This contrasts with the traditional population health approach, which relies on data from structured clinical records (eg, electronic health records) or health surveys. We present the overall PDH approach and highlight its key research challenges, provide solutions to key research challenges, and demonstrate the potential of PDH through three case studies that address (1) data inadequacy, (2) inaccuracy of the health IoT devices' sensor measurements, and (3) the spatiotemporal sparsity in the available digital health information. Finally, we discuss the conditions, prerequisites, and barriers for adopting PDH drawing on from real-world examples from different geographic regions.
{"title":"Population Digital Health: Continuous Health Monitoring and Profiling at Scale.","authors":"Naser Hossein Motlagh, Agustin Zuniga, Ngoc Thi Nguyen, Huber Flores, Jiangtao Wang, Sasu Tarkoma, Mattia Prosperi, Sumi Helal, Petteri Nurmi","doi":"10.2196/60261","DOIUrl":"10.2196/60261","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Unlabelled: </strong>This paper introduces population digital health (PDH)-the use of digital health information sourced from health internet of things (IoT) and wearable devices for population health modeling-as an emerging research domain that offers an integrated approach for continuous monitoring and profiling of diseases and health conditions at multiple spatial resolutions. PDH combines health data sourced from health IoT devices, machine learning, and ubiquitous computing or networking infrastructure to increase the scale, coverage, equity, and cost-effectiveness of population health. This contrasts with the traditional population health approach, which relies on data from structured clinical records (eg, electronic health records) or health surveys. We present the overall PDH approach and highlight its key research challenges, provide solutions to key research challenges, and demonstrate the potential of PDH through three case studies that address (1) data inadequacy, (2) inaccuracy of the health IoT devices' sensor measurements, and (3) the spatiotemporal sparsity in the available digital health information. Finally, we discuss the conditions, prerequisites, and barriers for adopting PDH drawing on from real-world examples from different geographic regions.</p>","PeriodicalId":74345,"journal":{"name":"Online journal of public health informatics","volume":"16 ","pages":"e60261"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11601140/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142683671","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Background: Digital health is a new health field initiative. Health professionals require security in digital places because cybercriminals target health care professionals. Therefore, millions of medical records have been breached for money. Regarding digital security, there is a gap in studies in limited-resource countries. Therefore, surveying health professionals' attitudes toward digital health data security has a significant purpose for interventions.
Objective: This study aimed to assess the attitudes of health professionals toward digital health data security and their associated factors in a resource-limited country.
Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted to measure health professionals' attitudes toward digital health data security. The sample size was calculated using a single population. A pretest was conducted to measure consistency. Binary logistic regression was used to identify associated factors. For multivariable logistic analysis, a P value ≤.20 was selected using Stata software (version 16; StataCorp LP).
Results: Of the total sample, 95% (402/423) of health professionals participated in the study. Of all participants, 63.2% (254/402) were male, and the mean age of the respondents was 34.5 (SD 5.87) years. The proportion of health professionals who had a favorable attitude toward digital health data security at specialized teaching hospitals was 60.9% (95% CI 56.0%-65.6%). Educational status (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 3.292, 95% CI 1.16-9.34), basic computer skills (AOR 1.807, 95% CI 1.11-2.938), knowledge (AOR 3.238, 95% CI 2.0-5.218), and perceived usefulness (AOR 1.965, 95% CI 1.063-3.632) were factors associated with attitudes toward digital health data security.
Conclusions: This study aimed to assess health professionals' attitudes toward digital health data security. Interventions on educational status, basic computer skills, knowledge, and perceived usefulness are important for improving health professionals' attitudes. Improving the attitudes of health professionals related to digital data security is necessary for digitalization in the health care arena.
背景:数字健康是卫生领域的一项新举措。由于网络犯罪分子的目标是医疗保健专业人员,因此医疗保健专业人员需要数字场所的安全。因此,数以百万计的医疗记录被窃取以换取金钱。在资源有限的国家,关于数字安全的研究尚属空白。因此,调查医疗专业人员对数字健康数据安全的态度对干预措施具有重要意义:本研究旨在评估资源有限国家卫生专业人员对数字健康数据安全的态度及其相关因素:方法:进行了一项横断面研究,以衡量医疗专业人员对数字健康数据安全的态度。样本量按单一人口计算。为测量一致性,进行了一次预测试。采用二元逻辑回归法确定相关因素。对于多变量逻辑分析,使用Stata软件(版本16;StataCorp LP)选择P值≤.20:在所有样本中,95%(402/423)的卫生专业人员参与了研究。在所有参与者中,63.2%(254/402)为男性,平均年龄为 34.5 岁(标准差 5.87)。对专科教学医院数字健康数据安全持赞成态度的医务人员比例为 60.9%(95% CI 56.0%-65.6%)。教育状况(调整赔率比 [AOR] 3.292,95% CI 1.16-9.34)、计算机基本技能(AOR 1.807,95% CI 1.11-2.938)、知识(AOR 3.238,95% CI 2.0-5.218)和感知有用性(AOR 1.965,95% CI 1.063-3.632)是与对数字健康数据安全的态度相关的因素:本研究旨在评估医疗专业人员对数字健康数据安全的态度。对教育状况、计算机基本技能、知识和感知有用性的干预对于改善医疗专业人员的态度非常重要。改善医疗专业人员对数字数据安全的态度是医疗保健领域数字化的必要条件。
{"title":"Attitudes of Health Professionals Toward Digital Health Data Security in Northwest Ethiopia: Cross-Sectional Study.","authors":"Ayenew Sisay Gebeyew, Zegeye Regasa Wordofa, Ayana Alebachew Muluneh, Adamu Ambachew Shibabaw, Agmasie Damtew Walle, Sefefe Birhanu Tizie, Muluken Belachew Mengistie, Mitiku Kassaw Takillo, Bayou Tilahun Assaye, Adualem Fentahun Senishaw, Gizaw Hailye, Aynadis Worku Shimie, Fikadu Wake Butta","doi":"10.2196/57764","DOIUrl":"10.2196/57764","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Digital health is a new health field initiative. Health professionals require security in digital places because cybercriminals target health care professionals. Therefore, millions of medical records have been breached for money. Regarding digital security, there is a gap in studies in limited-resource countries. Therefore, surveying health professionals' attitudes toward digital health data security has a significant purpose for interventions.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>This study aimed to assess the attitudes of health professionals toward digital health data security and their associated factors in a resource-limited country.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A cross-sectional study was conducted to measure health professionals' attitudes toward digital health data security. The sample size was calculated using a single population. A pretest was conducted to measure consistency. Binary logistic regression was used to identify associated factors. For multivariable logistic analysis, a P value ≤.20 was selected using Stata software (version 16; StataCorp LP).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of the total sample, 95% (402/423) of health professionals participated in the study. Of all participants, 63.2% (254/402) were male, and the mean age of the respondents was 34.5 (SD 5.87) years. The proportion of health professionals who had a favorable attitude toward digital health data security at specialized teaching hospitals was 60.9% (95% CI 56.0%-65.6%). Educational status (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 3.292, 95% CI 1.16-9.34), basic computer skills (AOR 1.807, 95% CI 1.11-2.938), knowledge (AOR 3.238, 95% CI 2.0-5.218), and perceived usefulness (AOR 1.965, 95% CI 1.063-3.632) were factors associated with attitudes toward digital health data security.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study aimed to assess health professionals' attitudes toward digital health data security. Interventions on educational status, basic computer skills, knowledge, and perceived usefulness are important for improving health professionals' attitudes. Improving the attitudes of health professionals related to digital data security is necessary for digitalization in the health care arena.</p>","PeriodicalId":74345,"journal":{"name":"Online journal of public health informatics","volume":"16 ","pages":"e57764"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11559787/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142591567","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Christopher Michael Dyer, Alexandra-Teodora Negoescu, Matthias Borchert, Christoph Harter, Anne Kühn, Peter Dambach, Michael Marx
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Contact tracing was implemented in many countries during the COVID-19 pandemic to prevent disease spread, reduce mortality, and avoid overburdening health care systems. In several countries, including Germany, new systems were needed to trace potentially infected individuals.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>Using data collected in the Rhine-Neckar and Heidelberg (RNK/HD) districts in southwest Germany (population: 706,974), this study examines the overall effectiveness and efficiency of contact tracing in different age groups and stages of the pandemic.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>From January 27, 2020, to April 30, 2022, the RNK/HD Health Authority collected data on COVID-19 infections, quarantines, and deaths. Data on infection, quarantine, and death was grouped by age (young: 0-19 years; adult: 20-65 years; and senior citizens: >65 years) and pandemic phase (infectious wave plus subsequent lull periods) and analyzed for proportion, risk, and relative risk (RR). The overall effectiveness and efficiency of contact tracing were determined by calculating quarantine sensitivity (proportion of the infected population captured in quarantine), positive predictive value (PPV; proportion of the quarantined population that was infected), and the weighted Fβ-score (combined predictive performance).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of 706,974 persons living in RNK/HD during the study period, 192,175 (27.2%) tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, 74,810 (10.4%) were quarantined, and 932 (0.132%) died following infection. Compared with adults, the RR of infection was lower among senior citizens (0.401, 95% CI 0.395-0.407) and while initially lower for young people, was ultimately higher for young people across all 5 phases (first-phase RR 0.502, 95% CI 0.438-0.575; all phases RR 1.35, 95% CI 1.34-1.36). Of 932 COVID-19-associated deaths during the study period, 852 were senior citizens (91.4%), with no deaths reported among young people. Relative to adults, senior citizens had the lowest risk of quarantine (RR 0.436, 95% CI 0.424-0.448), while young people had the highest RR (2.94, 95% CI 2.90-2.98). The predictive performance of contact tracing was highest during the second and third phases of the pandemic (Fβ-score=0.272 and 0.338, respectively). In the second phase of the pandemic, 5810 of 16,814 COVID-19 infections were captured within a total quarantine population of 39,687 (sensitivity 34.6%; PPV 14.6%). In the third phase of the pandemic, 3492 of 8803 infections were captured within a total quarantine population of 16,462 (sensitivity 39.7%; PPV 21.2%).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The use of quarantine aligned with increasing risks of COVID-19 infection and death. High levels of quarantine sensitivity before the introduction of the vaccine show how contact tracing systems became increasingly effective at capturing and quarantining the infected population. High levels of PPV and Fβ-scores indicate, moreover, that c
{"title":"Contact Tracing Different Age Groups During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Retrospective Study From South-West Germany.","authors":"Christopher Michael Dyer, Alexandra-Teodora Negoescu, Matthias Borchert, Christoph Harter, Anne Kühn, Peter Dambach, Michael Marx","doi":"10.2196/54578","DOIUrl":"10.2196/54578","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Contact tracing was implemented in many countries during the COVID-19 pandemic to prevent disease spread, reduce mortality, and avoid overburdening health care systems. In several countries, including Germany, new systems were needed to trace potentially infected individuals.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>Using data collected in the Rhine-Neckar and Heidelberg (RNK/HD) districts in southwest Germany (population: 706,974), this study examines the overall effectiveness and efficiency of contact tracing in different age groups and stages of the pandemic.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>From January 27, 2020, to April 30, 2022, the RNK/HD Health Authority collected data on COVID-19 infections, quarantines, and deaths. Data on infection, quarantine, and death was grouped by age (young: 0-19 years; adult: 20-65 years; and senior citizens: >65 years) and pandemic phase (infectious wave plus subsequent lull periods) and analyzed for proportion, risk, and relative risk (RR). The overall effectiveness and efficiency of contact tracing were determined by calculating quarantine sensitivity (proportion of the infected population captured in quarantine), positive predictive value (PPV; proportion of the quarantined population that was infected), and the weighted Fβ-score (combined predictive performance).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of 706,974 persons living in RNK/HD during the study period, 192,175 (27.2%) tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, 74,810 (10.4%) were quarantined, and 932 (0.132%) died following infection. Compared with adults, the RR of infection was lower among senior citizens (0.401, 95% CI 0.395-0.407) and while initially lower for young people, was ultimately higher for young people across all 5 phases (first-phase RR 0.502, 95% CI 0.438-0.575; all phases RR 1.35, 95% CI 1.34-1.36). Of 932 COVID-19-associated deaths during the study period, 852 were senior citizens (91.4%), with no deaths reported among young people. Relative to adults, senior citizens had the lowest risk of quarantine (RR 0.436, 95% CI 0.424-0.448), while young people had the highest RR (2.94, 95% CI 2.90-2.98). The predictive performance of contact tracing was highest during the second and third phases of the pandemic (Fβ-score=0.272 and 0.338, respectively). In the second phase of the pandemic, 5810 of 16,814 COVID-19 infections were captured within a total quarantine population of 39,687 (sensitivity 34.6%; PPV 14.6%). In the third phase of the pandemic, 3492 of 8803 infections were captured within a total quarantine population of 16,462 (sensitivity 39.7%; PPV 21.2%).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The use of quarantine aligned with increasing risks of COVID-19 infection and death. High levels of quarantine sensitivity before the introduction of the vaccine show how contact tracing systems became increasingly effective at capturing and quarantining the infected population. High levels of PPV and Fβ-scores indicate, moreover, that c","PeriodicalId":74345,"journal":{"name":"Online journal of public health informatics","volume":"16 ","pages":"e54578"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11558225/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142549408","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}