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Unintended environmental consequences of anti-corruption strategies 反腐败战略的意外环境后果
Pub Date : 2021-08-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3899498
E. Cisneros, Krisztina Kis-Katos
Fighting corruption in one sector may improve overall governance but may also shift rent extraction activities to less scrutinized sectors. This paper highlights such unintended consequences of a federal anti-corruption strategy in Brazil by documenting the causal effects of randomized fiscal audits on deforestation dynamics, a non-targeted outcome. Between 2003 and 2011, public audits of federal funds increased deforestation by about 10% in municipalities of the Brazilian Amazon within the first three years after the audit. Municipalities seem also to have learned from neighboring audits, which affected deforestation outcomes in a similar way to own audits. The audit effects doubled among first term mayors who managed to win re-elections afterwards, suggesting the potential presence of electoral benefits to such strategies.
打击一个部门的腐败可能改善整体治理,但也可能将榨租活动转移到审查较少的部门。本文通过记录随机财政审计对森林砍伐动态(一种非目标结果)的因果影响,突出了巴西联邦反腐败战略的这种意想不到的后果。在2003年至2011年期间,对联邦基金的公共审计在审计后的头三年内使巴西亚马逊地区各城市的森林砍伐率增加了约10%。市政当局似乎也从邻近的审计中吸取了教训,这些审计以类似于自己审计的方式影响了森林砍伐的结果。在第一届成功连任的市长中,审计效果翻了一番,这表明这种策略可能会带来选举利益。
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引用次数: 0
A Need of New Farm Acts: Case Study of Sangamner Block 新农业法案的必要性:以Sangamner街区为例
Pub Date : 2021-07-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3891512
Gulab Dhaware
India has been facing severe agrarian crisis. The crisis becomes darker since the inception of the New Economic Policy in 1991. Agrarian crisis has several facets and volatile agriculture market is one of them. India has wide network of regulated agricultural markets named as APMCs and farmers rely on these markets as a site of procurement. Recently government of India passed New Farm Acts in the visage of ordinance but farmers have been painstakingly opposing these Acts, farmers believe that these acts are corporate leaned and will rule out both MSPs and APMC markets. The evidences too confirmed that farmers have been opting APMC markets as site of procurement over private traders since these markets are regulatory whereas private traders or private markets have potential to deceive the farmer! Farmers are aware about on-going protest at various borders of Delhi about New Farm Acts. Despite farmers haven’t been getting promised MSP at APMC markets, farmers still advocating APMC markets since it guarantees the payment. Majority of the farmers asserted that they are not going to favour these acts since it won’t be beneficial for them and also rule out the promised MSP. There should be healthy competition between APMC markets and Private markets, unlike APMCs private markets should be regulated by the government.  
印度一直面临着严重的农业危机。自1991年实行新经济政策以来,危机愈演愈烈。农业危机有几个方面,动荡的农业市场是其中之一。印度拥有广泛的受监管的农业市场网络,这些市场被称为apmc,农民依赖这些市场作为采购地点。最近,印度政府以法令的形式通过了新农业法案,但农民一直在努力反对这些法案,农民认为这些法案是企业倾向的,将排除msp和APMC市场。证据也证实,农民选择APMC市场作为采购地点,而不是私人贸易商,因为这些市场是监管的,而私人贸易商或私人市场有可能欺骗农民!农民们意识到,在德里的各个边境,针对新农业法案的抗议正在进行。尽管农民没有在APMC市场得到承诺的MSP,但农民仍然支持APMC市场,因为它保证了支付。大多数农民声称,他们不会支持这些法案,因为这对他们没有好处,也排除了承诺的邦sp。APMC市场和私人市场之间应该有健康的竞争,与APMC不同,私人市场应该由政府监管。
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引用次数: 0
Demand for Plant-Based Beverages and Competition in Fluid Milk Markets 植物性饮料的需求和液态奶市场的竞争
Pub Date : 2021-07-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3888564
Binod Khanal, R. Lopez
The continued penetration of plant-based beverages in fluid milk markets appears to have reinforced the ongoing decline in the U.S. per capita consumption of fluid cow milk. This study focuses on how demographic variables and consumers’ opinions about climate change impact the preference for plant-based beverages. This study also explores the competition in fluid milk markets. To this end, we utilized sales data from the Nielsen retail scanner dataset and employed a random-coefficients logit model. Results show that consumers' belief in the human role in climate change is positively correlated with their preference for plant-based beverages. Non-whites show a higher preference for plant-based beverages. The average own-price elasticities of plant-based beverages were found to be higher than those of a manufacturer's brand and private label cow milk and lower than those of organic and lactose-free cow milk. Plant-based beverages are found to be close substitutes for each other but are less substitutable with milk types. The results suggest that the price-cost markup percentages associated with plant-based beverages are higher than those of private label cow milk and lower than those of organic and lactose-free cow milk, indicating a significant market power for the firms producing them.
植物性饮料在液态奶市场的持续渗透似乎加剧了美国人均液态奶消费量的持续下降。这项研究的重点是人口变量和消费者对气候变化的看法如何影响对植物性饮料的偏好。本研究亦探讨了液态奶市场的竞争。为此,我们利用尼尔森零售扫描仪数据集的销售数据,并采用随机系数logit模型。结果表明,消费者对人类在气候变化中的作用的信念与他们对植物性饮料的偏好呈正相关。非白人对植物性饮料表现出更高的偏好。研究发现,植物性饮料的平均价格弹性高于制造商品牌和自有品牌的牛奶,低于有机牛奶和无乳糖牛奶。植物性饮料被发现是彼此接近的替代品,但与牛奶类型的替代品较少。结果表明,与植物性饮料相关的价格成本加成百分比高于自有品牌牛奶,低于有机牛奶和无乳糖牛奶,这表明生产它们的公司具有重要的市场力量。
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引用次数: 0
Crude Oil Price Changes and Inflation: Evidence for Asia and the Pacific Economies 原油价格变动与通货膨胀:亚太经济体的证据
Pub Date : 2021-07-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3884186
Komain Jiranyakul
This paper examines the influence of crude oil price on inflation in eight Asian and two of the pacific economies, which are oil-importing countries. The period of investigation is from 1987M5 to 2019M12. The results of bounds testing for cointegration reveal that there is a stable positive long-run relationship between the consumer price index and crude oil price in most of these countries during the period of low and less fluctuating oil prices. However, the stable long-run relationship is found in eight countries, but this stable relationship is found only in one country during the period of high and more fluctuating oil prices. The long-run pass-through of crude oil prices to consumer prices is partial. In the short run, the relationship between a crude oil price change and inflation indicates that the short-run pass-through is low in most cases, but this pass-through is more apparent during the period of high and more fluctuating oil prices. Therefore, the structural break seems to matter in the pass-through of crude oil price to consumer prices in both the long and short run. The findings suggest accommodative monetary policy measures to alleviate the inflation rate.
本文考察了原油价格对八个亚洲和两个太平洋经济体的通货膨胀的影响,这些经济体都是石油进口国。调查时间为1987M5 - 2019M12。协整的边界检验结果显示,在油价较低且波动较小的时期,大多数国家的消费者价格指数与原油价格之间存在稳定的长期正相关关系。然而,在八个国家中发现了稳定的长期关系,但在石油价格高企和波动更大的时期,这种稳定关系仅在一个国家中发现。原油价格对消费者价格的长期传递是部分的。在短期内,原油价格变化与通货膨胀之间的关系表明,在大多数情况下,短期传递是低的,但这种传递在油价高企和波动更大的时期更为明显。因此,从长期和短期来看,结构性突破似乎对原油价格向消费者价格的传递都很重要。研究结果建议采取宽松的货币政策来缓解通货膨胀率。
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引用次数: 1
What Microeconomic Fundamentals Drive Global Oil Prices During 1986-2020? 1986-2020年,微观经济基本面如何驱动全球油价?
Pub Date : 2021-07-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3895280
A. Malliaris, M. Malliaris
The global financial crisis of 2007–2009 caused major economic disturbances in the oil market. In this paper, we consider five variables that describe the microeconomics of the supply of and demand for oil, and evaluate their importance before, during and after the global financial crisis. We consider five dissimilar regimes during the period of January 1986 to the end of 2020: two regimes prior to the global financial crisis, the regime during the crisis, and two regimes after the crisis. The main hypothesis tested is that oil fundamentals of supply and demand remained important, even though the five regimes were dissimilar. We built five boosted and over-fitted neural networks to capture the exact relationships between spot oil prices and oil data related to these prices. This analysis shows that, while the inputs into an accurate neural network can remain the same, the impact of each variable can change considerably during different regimes.
2007-2009年的全球金融危机对石油市场造成了重大的经济干扰。在本文中,我们考虑了描述石油供需微观经济学的五个变量,并评估了它们在全球金融危机之前、期间和之后的重要性。我们考虑了1986年1月至2020年底期间的五种不同制度:全球金融危机之前的两种制度,危机期间的两种制度,危机之后的两种制度。经过检验的主要假设是,尽管这五种制度不同,但石油供需基本面仍然很重要。我们建立了5个增强和过度拟合的神经网络来捕捉现货油价和与这些价格相关的石油数据之间的确切关系。这一分析表明,虽然一个精确的神经网络的输入可以保持不变,但每个变量的影响在不同的制度下会发生很大的变化。
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引用次数: 1
Donations for Refugee Crises: In-kind Versus Cash Assistance 对难民危机的捐赠:实物援助与现金援助
Pub Date : 2021-07-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3685845
Telesilla O. Kotsi, Owen Q. Wu, Alfonso Pedraza Martinez
Problem definition: Six million refugees lived in camps in 2021 due to multiple armed conflicts worldwide. Regulations often impede refugees’ integration into host countries, and thus refugees have to seek help from humanitarian organizations (HOs). HOs traditionally provide in-kind (e.g. food) assistance and, just recently, offer cash (monetary assistance) that refugees can spend at local retail stores. However, cash assistance can be exploited by local retailers’ market power, which challenges the HOs’ mission of helping refugees while doing no harm to host communities. Practical Relevance: Completely informed by field research in three refugee camps in north-western Greece, we analyze the trade-off between in-kind and cash assistance from the perspective of an HO. We propose two cash assistance policies, implementable by a partnership between the HO and the local government, to curb the retailer’s market power and ensure that the refugees, the local residents, and the retailer are better off than if only in-kind assistance is provided. Methodology: We use field research to define our research setting and support our main modeling assumptions and parameters. Then, we use a game-theoretical model to analyze the interactions among multiple stakeholders in an ecosystem consisting of an HO, refugees, a monopolistic retailer, local residents, and government. Results: We demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed cash assistance policies that benefit refugees and local residents while ensuring the retailer’s profitability. In particular, a price-dependent cash assistance (PDCA) policy aligns the incentives between the retailer and the HO-government partnership. This new policy for cash assistance acts as a lever for the retailer to set desirable prices, which benefit both refugees and the host community. Managerial Implications: We provide prescriptions that can guide HOs to improve their budget allocation between in-kind and cash assistance for refugees living in areas where market power exists. Moreover, we clearly outline the roles of HOs and the local government in a partnership for cash assistance to refugees.
问题定义:由于全球多次武装冲突,2021年有600万难民住在难民营。法规往往阻碍难民融入东道国,因此难民不得不向人道主义组织(HOs)寻求帮助。HOs传统上提供实物(例如食品)援助,最近还提供现金(货币援助),难民可以在当地零售商店消费。然而,现金援助可以被当地零售商的市场力量所利用,这挑战了HOs在不损害收容社区的情况下帮助难民的使命。实际意义:通过对希腊西北部三个难民营的实地研究,我们从世界卫生组织的角度分析了实物援助和现金援助之间的权衡。我们提出了两项现金援助政策,由世界卫生组织和当地政府合作实施,以遏制零售商的市场力量,并确保难民、当地居民和零售商比只提供实物援助更好。方法:我们使用实地调查来定义我们的研究设置,并支持我们的主要建模假设和参数。在此基础上,运用博弈论模型分析了由移民、难民、垄断零售商、当地居民和政府组成的生态系统中多个利益相关者之间的相互作用。结果:我们证明了我们提出的现金援助政策的有效性,使难民和当地居民受益,同时确保零售商的盈利能力。特别是,价格相关现金援助(PDCA)政策使零售商与卫生组织-政府伙伴关系之间的激励机制保持一致。这项新的现金援助政策起到了零售商设定理想价格的杠杆作用,这对难民和收容社区都有利。管理启示:我们提供的处方可以指导HOs改善对生活在市场力量存在的地区的难民的实物和现金援助之间的预算分配。此外,我们明确概述了居委会和地方政府在向难民提供现金援助的伙伴关系中的作用。
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引用次数: 1
Comparative Study of Growth Performance of Deshi, Fayoumi, Rir and Sonali Chicken Reared Under Farm and Semi Scavenging Condition 农场和半扫食条件下德石鸡、法优米鸡、利尔鸡和索纳利鸡生长性能的比较研究
Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.47440/jafe.2021.2206
S. Jahan, M. S. Islam, K. M. Hossain, M. A. Islam, M. S. Islam, A. Kabir, M. Alim
The objectives of the study to compare the growth performance of Deshi, Fayoumi, RIR and Sonali chicken reared under farm and semi scavenging. A total of 288 day-old chicks (72 from Deshi, 72 Fayoumi, 72 RIR and 72 Sonali) were used in this trial for a period of 20 weeks of age with 4 genotypes. 144 chicks were reared under farm condition and another144 chicks were under semi scavenging system. In farm, birds were fed ad libitum a commercial starter and grower feed. In semi scavenging at first 5 weeks, each chick was fed 10g balanced feed and maximum supplement was 50g up to the end of the experiment. This study revealed that day-old chick weight was the highest in RIR, intermediate and similar in Sonali and Fayoumi and the lowest in Deshi (P<0.01). Day-old chick weight did not differ between farm and semi scavenging (P>0.05). The highest live weight was found in RIR followed by Sonali, Fayoumi and Deshi at 20 weeks of age. All genotypes were heavier in farm than in those reared in semi scavenging except Deshi. Live weight gained at 20 weeks of age was the highest in RIR followed by Sonali, Fayoumi and Deshi (P<0.01). Deshi chicken was heavier in semi scavenging in comparison with in farm condition. Similar and higher survival rate was found in Sonali, Fayoumi and RIR and lower in Deshi (P<0.01). In farm condition, survivability was higher than in semi scavenging. Farm reared Deshi chicken tended to minimize survivability than those reared in semi scavenging. Feed intake was similar and higher in RIR and Sonali, intermediate in Fayoumi and the lowest in Deshi (P<0.01). Superior feed conversion was found in RIR followed by Sonali, Fayoumi and Deshi. Feed conversion was higher in semi scavenging than that in farm (P<0.01). From the study it is concluded that growth rate, survivability, feed intake and feed conversion ratio appeared to be the best in RIR, Sonali in intermediate and Fayoumi and Deshi are the worst in growth performance. Farm reared chicken had better potential than those in semi scavenging chicken. Deshi chicken had little difference in growth performance in two rearing systems.
本研究的目的是比较农场饲养和半扫食饲养条件下的德狮、法优米、瑞尔和索纳利鸡的生长性能。试验共选用288只日龄雏鸡(72只来自德石、72只来自法优米、72只来自瑞尔和72只索纳利),试验期为20周龄,共有4种基因型。在农场条件下饲养144只雏鸡,在半食腐系统下饲养144只雏鸡。在农场,鸟类被随意喂养作为商业发酵剂和生长饲料。前5周半清食期,每只雏鸡饲喂均衡饲料10g,试验结束前最大补给量为50g。结果表明,日龄雏鸡体重以RIR最高,索纳利和法优米为中等,德市最低(P0.05)。20周龄时,RIR的活重最高,其次是Sonali、Fayoumi和Deshi。除德狮外,农场饲养的所有基因型均比半清道夫饲养的重。20周龄时增重最高的是RIR,其次是索纳利、法优米和德士(P<0.01)。半清道夫条件下的德石鸡较农场条件下重。索纳里、法优米和RIR的成活率相似且较高,而德市的成活率较低(P<0.01)。在农场条件下,存活率高于半清道夫条件下。农场饲养的德石鸡比半食腐地饲养的德石鸡存活率低。日粮采食量与索纳利相似且较高,法优米居中,德市最低(P<0.01)。RIR的饲料利用率最高,其次是索纳利、法优米和德狮。半清道夫饲料系数高于农场(P<0.01)。研究结果表明,中重度肉鸡的生长率、存活率、采食量和饲料系数最高,中度肉鸡为索纳利肉鸡,中重度肉鸡为法优米肉鸡和德士肉鸡的生长性能最差。农场饲养的鸡比半食腐鸡有更好的潜力。两种饲养方式下德石鸡的生长性能差异不大。
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引用次数: 2
Turismo en tiempo de pandemias. covid-19 en Latinoamérica (Tourism in Times of Pandemics. COVID-19 in Latin America)
Pub Date : 2021-06-25 DOI: 10.18601/01207555.n29.06
Ángel Guillermo Félix Mendoza, A. Zepeda Arce, Jhonny Saulo Villafuerte Holguín
El turismo ha demostrado ser una actividad económica con alto grado de sensibilidad, la pandemia actual lo ha ratificado. Este do­cumento busca aportar a la discusión global con una revisión de literatura e informes técnicos de organismos oficiales del turismo enfocados en Latinoamérica. Se hace uso del método cualitativo analítico-sintético de múltiples pasos para abordar los estudios de caso disponibles, y se sistematizan los informes que publican datos oficiales a nivel regional y global. Se obtiene una revisión de literatura especializada que articula los subtemas pandemias, resiliencia y modelos de gestión de crisis en turismo. Se añade una compilación sobre las acciones promovidas por los organismos mundiales directamente involucrados y los gobiernos de la región. Las principales afectaciones de la pande­mia no solo están vinculadas a los efectos socioeconómicos en el turismo mundial y latinoamericano, sino que también causan efectos en el comportamiento psicológico y en las preferencias del turista pos-covid-19.
旅游业已证明是一种高度敏感的经济活动,目前的流行病证实了这一点。本文件旨在通过对拉丁美洲官方旅游组织的文献综述和技术报告作出贡献。采用多步骤分析-综合定性方法来处理现有的案例研究,并将发表区域和全球一级官方数据的报告系统化。本研究的目的是通过对旅游危机管理模式的分析,探讨旅游危机管理模式对旅游危机管理的影响。它还包括一份关于直接参与的全球机构和该区域各国政府所推动的行动的汇编。pande-mia的主要影响不仅与全球和拉丁美洲旅游业的社会经济影响有关,而且还对covid-19后游客的心理行为和偏好产生影响。
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引用次数: 2
Review of Direct Payments for Less-Favoured Areas: Evidence from Japan 对弱势地区直接支付的回顾:来自日本的证据
Pub Date : 2021-06-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3873082
Masanori Matsuura
Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry, and Fishery (MAFF) in Japan launched direct payment for hilly and mountainous areas considered as less-favored areas in 2000 with aim of preventing further farmland abandonment in the areas, compensating the farmers working in such disadvantaged regions for their costly production, and enhance agricultural multi-functionality through community cooperation. This review examines the effect of direct payments on continuous land use, prevention of farmland, agrarian structural change, environmental dimension, and income inequality through both quantitative and qualitative methods. Also, I connected the empirical results to theoretical economics using simple profit functions.
日本农林水产省(MAFF)于2000年开始对被认为是欠发达地区的丘陵和山区进行直接支付,目的是防止这些地区进一步放弃农田,补偿在这些地区工作的农民的生产成本,并通过社区合作提高农业的多功能。本文通过定量和定性方法考察了直接支付对土地持续利用、耕地保护、农业结构变化、环境维度和收入不平等的影响。此外,我使用简单的利润函数将实证结果与理论经济学联系起来。
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引用次数: 0
Research regarding Agriculture sector by Dr.iqbal shaukat. iqbal shaukat博士关于农业部门的研究。
Pub Date : 2021-05-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3851637
Dr. Iqbal Shaukat
Agriculture research is very important for the economist and Agriculturist.Agriculture
Sector is the intrgreal part of country economy.
农业研究对经济学家和农业学家来说是非常重要的。农业产业是农村经济的重要组成部分。
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引用次数: 0
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Agricultural & Natural Resource Economics eJournal
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