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Agriculture and Deforestation 农业和森林砍伐
Pub Date : 2020-09-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3692682
Ryan Abman, Teevrat Garg, Yao Pan, S. Singhal
Although improving agricultural productivity is vital to anti-poverty and food security goals, its ecological effects are theoretically ambiguous. Increasing the relative value of agricultural land may spur deforestation, but factor market constraints paired with improvements in existing land productivity may reduce the demand for shifting cultivation. Leveraging the discontinuity in eligibility for a large agricultural extension program, we find that the program reduced deforestation by 13%. The program increased adoption of promoted practices such as manure-use and crop rotation resulting in higher productivity but no increase in cultivated area. Suitably designed programs improving agricultural productivity may also enable conservation.
虽然提高农业生产率对反贫困和粮食安全目标至关重要,但其生态效应在理论上是模糊的。增加农业用地的相对价值可能会刺激森林砍伐,但要素市场限制加上现有土地生产力的提高可能会减少对轮作耕作的需求。利用大型农业推广项目资格的不连续性,我们发现该项目减少了13%的森林砍伐。该计划增加了肥料使用和作物轮作等推广做法的采用,提高了生产力,但没有增加耕地面积。适当设计的计划可以提高农业生产力,也可以促进保护。
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引用次数: 8
Trade Relations between the Kokand Khanate and Russia 浩罕汗国与俄罗斯的贸易关系
Pub Date : 2020-09-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3688544
M. Karimova
In the middle of the 19th century, the Kokand Khanate accelerated the process of specialization in agriculture, crafts, and trade among the population of cities and large villages, which made it possible to strengthen trade relations with neighboring countries. The conditions created for the development of trade relations with Russia were also discussed.
在19世纪中叶,浩罕汗国加速了农业、手工业和城市和大村庄人口之间贸易的专业化进程,这使得加强与邻国的贸易关系成为可能。还讨论了与俄罗斯发展贸易关系的条件。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of the Agricultural Exports in Azerbaijan 阿塞拜疆农产品出口的决定因素
Pub Date : 2020-09-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3686701
I. Niftiyev
Oil booming and accumulated mineral revenue contributed to the economic growth in Azerbaijan since independence but also pressurized the national currency leading to the appreciation of the nominal effective exchange rate (NEER) and real effective exchange rate (REER). An increase in export prices makes them expensive, decreasing the competitiveness of the country. Azerbaijan’s recent decreased economic performance during 2014–2015 reflected a common reality among the resource exporting countries: relying on the primary sectors might jeopardize the national economy due to the extreme price volatility. The paper investigates the extension of the relationship between NEER, REER, and other export-related macroeconomic variables and agricultural exports to identify Azerbaijan’s non-oil sub-sectoral dynamics between 2001–2018 via the OLS estimations. The main findings indicate that NEER negatively impacted potato, fresh fruit, and fresh vegetable exports. Moreover, potato and fresh fruit exports demonstrated more stable export dynamics during the economic crisis periods.
石油的繁荣和矿产收入的积累促进了阿塞拜疆自独立以来的经济增长,但也给本国货币带来压力,导致名义有效汇率和实际有效汇率的升值。出口价格的上涨使它们变得昂贵,从而降低了该国的竞争力。阿塞拜疆最近在2014-2015年期间的经济表现下降反映了资源出口国的共同现实:由于价格极端波动,依赖初级部门可能会危及国民经济。本文研究了NEER、REER和其他与出口相关的宏观经济变量与农业出口之间关系的扩展,以通过OLS估计确定2001-2018年间阿塞拜疆的非石油分部门动态。主要研究结果表明,低能耗对马铃薯、新鲜水果和新鲜蔬菜的出口产生了负面影响。此外,马铃薯和新鲜水果出口在经济危机期间表现出更稳定的出口动态。
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引用次数: 2
Porter’s Five Forces Analysis of the Organic Farming in Laguna Province 拉古纳省有机农业的波特五力分析
Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.53378/345652
Marivic Abinsay
This study assessed the external environment of the organic farming in Laguna Province, Philippines using Porter’s five forces framework. Using snow ball approach for the selection of participants, a total of 86 organic farmers in selected municipalities were included in the study. A self-made questionnaire was the main data gathering tool. Frequency distribution and percentage were used to analyze data. Majority of the organic farms were existing for 3 to 5 years, less than one hectare farm size, vegetable as the prime commodity and manual organic farming practices. Based on Porter’s five forces, threat of new entrants, threat of substitute and buyer power are high while supplier power and competitive rivalry are low. Results show that organic farming can be categorized as moderately attractive. Results suggest the need to intensify organic farming practices in the province of Laguna. The Porter’s Five Forces Analysis can be used for better organic farming outcomes and boost the industry to induce farmers to shift from conventional agriculture to organic farming.
本研究采用波特五力框架对菲律宾拉古纳省有机农业的外部环境进行了评估。采用雪球法选取研究对象,选取城市共86名有机农户为研究对象。自制问卷是主要的数据收集工具。采用频率分布和百分比进行数据分析。大多数有机农场存在3至5年,农场规模不足1公顷,蔬菜为主要商品,采用手工有机耕作方式。根据波特五力理论,新进入者的威胁、替代品的威胁和买方的力量较高,而供应商的力量和竞争对手的力量较低。结果表明,有机农业可以被归类为中等吸引力。结果表明,需要加强有机农业实践在拉古纳省。波特五力分析可以用于更好的有机农业成果,并促进该行业引导农民从传统农业转向有机农业。
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引用次数: 1
Shipwrecked by Rents 租船失事
Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3693463
Fernando Arteaga, Desiree A. Desierto, Mark Koyama
The trade route between Manila and Mexico was a monopoly of the Spanish Crown for more than 250 years. The Manila Galleons were “the richest ships in all the oceans”, but much of the wealth sank at sea and remain undiscovered. We introduce a newly constructed dataset of all of the ships that travelled this route. We show formally how monopoly rents that allowed widespread bribe-taking would have led to overloading and late ship departure, thereby increasing the probability of shipwreck. Empirically, we demonstrate not only that these late and overloaded ships were more likely to experience shipwrecks or to return to port, but that such effect is stronger for galleons carrying more valuable, higher-rent, cargo. This sheds new light on the costs of rent-seeking in European colonial empires.
马尼拉和墨西哥之间的贸易路线被西班牙王室垄断了250多年。马尼拉大帆船是“所有海洋中最富有的船只”,但大部分财富在海上沉没,至今未被发现。我们引入了一个新构建的数据集,其中包含了所有经过这条航线的船只。我们正式展示了允许广泛收受贿赂的垄断租金如何导致超载和船舶延迟出发,从而增加海难的可能性。根据经验,我们不仅证明了这些迟到和超载的船只更有可能遭遇海难或返回港口,而且这种影响对载有更有价值、租金更高的货物的大帆船更强。这让人们对欧洲殖民帝国寻租的代价有了新的认识。
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引用次数: 3
The Underlying Trend of OPEC Energy Intensity and the Environmental Implications 欧佩克能源强度的潜在趋势及其对环境的影响
Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.1111/opec.12183
Ibrahim A. Tajudeen, A. Wossink
Given the upward trend of OPEC energy intensity, policymakers need a good understanding of the underlying factors and the environmental impacts when considering future energy policies. An index decomposition analysis is used to decompose OPEC energy intensity covering 1971–2017. The link between the decomposed energy indices and CO emissions is examined using structural time series and least square dummy variable corrected models. Both models also estimate the underlying carbon emission trend (UCET) which arguably reflects the impact of non‐economic factors. For OPEC as a group, increases in energy intensity are linked to both energy inefficiency and structural shifts towards energy‐intensive activities. About 62 per cent of the increases are attributed to the former, and the remaining 38 per cent is due to the later. The country‐level results also show major contributions from both components to energy intensity. The econometric results show that shifts towards energy‐intensive activities and, notably, deteriorating energy efficiency generally go in tandem with substantial increases in CO emissions. The estimated UCET is upward sloping indicating carbon‐emitting behaviour, taste and lifestyle. Therefore, policies aimed at conserving energy and limiting the concentration of energy‐intensive activities in the oil‐exporting countries should be considered alongside other policies that attempt to influence behaviours and lifestyles.
鉴于欧佩克能源强度的上升趋势,决策者在考虑未来的能源政策时,需要很好地了解潜在因素和环境影响。采用指数分解分析法对1971 - 2017年欧佩克能源强度进行分解。利用结构时间序列和最小二乘虚拟变量修正模型检验了分解能源指数与CO排放之间的联系。这两个模型还估计了潜在的碳排放趋势(UCET),这可以说反映了非经济因素的影响。对于欧佩克来说,能源强度的增加与能源效率低下和向能源密集型活动的结构性转变有关。大约62%的增加是前者造成的,其余38%是后者造成的。国家水平的结果也显示了这两个组成部分对能源强度的主要贡献。计量经济学结果表明,向能源密集型活动的转变,特别是能源效率的恶化,通常与CO排放量的大幅增加同时发生。估计的UCET是向上倾斜的,表明碳排放行为、品味和生活方式。因此,旨在节约能源和限制石油出口国集中能源密集型活动的政策应与试图影响行为和生活方式的其他政策一并考虑。
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引用次数: 3
Economic Valuation of Cultural Ecosystem Services: The Case of Landscape Aesthetics in the Agritourism Market 文化生态系统服务的经济价值评估:以农业旅游市场中的景观美学为例
Pub Date : 2020-08-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3679396
Shachar Hatan, A. Fleischer, Anat Tchetchik
Abstract Natural and agricultural landscapes provide a wide range of ecosystem services, among which are aesthetic landscapes. As these services have no direct market value, land use decision makers often ignore them in favor of urban sprawl, resulting in suboptimal resource allocation. Here, we suggest a novel method to evaluate the aesthetic landscape services of natural and agricultural ecosystems using the case of the agritourism market in Israel. We model the agritourism market as an oligopolistic market with differentiated products and formulate an equilibrium model with structural, double nested logit demand and pricing equations. The structural equations are expressed as a function of the attributes of the agritourism firm, among which are the components of landscape view. We use aggregate market data and GIS data to estimate the structural model. In the case of urban sprawl, the welfare loss is estimated at US$29,000–53,000 per km2, depending on the type of ecosystem that is forgone, whereas in agricultural sprawl over natural areas, the welfare loss is estimated at US$38,000 per km2. This welfare loss can be considered the economic value of landscape aesthetics services to the agritourism market. These findings illustrate the potential of using this valuation method for other ecosystems in other markets.
自然景观和农业景观提供了广泛的生态系统服务,其中包括审美景观。由于这些服务没有直接的市场价值,土地使用决策者往往忽视它们,而倾向于城市扩张,导致资源配置不佳。本文以以色列的农业旅游市场为例,提出了一种评估自然生态系统和农业生态系统的美学景观服务的新方法。我们将农业旅游市场建模为具有差异化产品的寡头垄断市场,并建立了一个具有结构性、双嵌套的logit需求和定价方程的均衡模型。结构方程表示为农业旅游企业属性的函数,其中包括景观景观的组成部分。我们使用汇总市场数据和GIS数据来估计结构模型。在城市扩张的情况下,福利损失估计为每平方公里29,000-53,000美元,具体取决于所放弃的生态系统类型,而在自然地区的农业扩张中,福利损失估计为每平方公里38,000美元。这种福利损失可以被认为是景观美学服务于农业旅游市场的经济价值。这些发现说明了在其他市场的其他生态系统中使用这种评估方法的潜力。
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引用次数: 11
NABARD Vis-À-Vis Strategic Development Program in India NABARD Vis-À-Vis印度战略发展计划
Pub Date : 2020-08-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3902339
Sankalp Jain
The Committee to Review Arrangements for Institutional Credit for Agriculture and Rural Development (CRAFICARD) was set up by RBI under the Chairmanship of Shri. B. Sivaraman. The Committee in its report submitted to RBI on November 28, 1979 recommended the establishment of NABARD. The Committee after reviewing the arrangements came to the conclusion that a new arrangement would be necessary at the national level for achieving the desired focus and thrust towards integration of credit activities in the context of the strategy for Integrated Rural Development. Against the backdrop of the huge credit needs of rural development and the need to uplift the weaker sections in the rural areas within a given time horizon the arrangement called for a separate institutional set-up. Similarly. The Reserve Bank had onerous responsibilities to discharge in respect of its many basic functions of central banking in monetary and credit regulations and was not therefore in a position to devote undivided attention to the operational details of the emerging complex credit problems. This cemented the way for the establishment of NABARD.
审查农业和农村发展机构信贷安排委员会(CRAFICARD)由印度储备银行设立,由Shri担任主席。Sivaraman。委员会在1979年11月28日提交给印度储备银行的报告中建议成立NABARD。委员会在审查了这些安排后得出的结论是,必须在国家一级作出新的安排,以便在农村综合发展战略范围内实现信贷活动一体化的预期重点和推动力。在农村发展的巨大信贷需求和在一定时间范围内提高农村地区较弱部分的需要的背景下,这种安排要求建立一个单独的机构。类似的。储备银行在货币和信贷条例方面负有中央银行的许多基本职能,需要履行繁重的责任,因此无法专心致志地处理正在出现的复杂信贷问题的业务细节。这为建立NABARD奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of Conservation Incentives in Protected Areas: The Case of Bolsa Floresta, Brazil 保护区保护激励措施的影响:以巴西Bolsa Floresta为例
Pub Date : 2020-08-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3676708
E. Cisneros, J. Börner, S. Pagiola, S. Wunder
Incentive-based conservation is a promising approach to tropical forest conservation, including within multiple-use protected areas. In this paper, we analyze the environmental impacts of Bolsa Floresta, a longstanding forest conservation program combining conditional household–level payments with livelihood-focused investments in 15 multiple-use forest reserve areas in the Brazilian state of Amazonas. We use grid-based data, nearest-neighbor matching, and panel data econometrics to compare three forest-related program outcomes – deforestation, degradation, and fires – of participating and non-participating reserve areas. Both pre and post-treatment deforestation and degradation pressures were low, including because low–pressure sites had been preferentially targeted. Thus, we find significant but small additional conservation effects from the implementation of the program. Notwithstanding, treatment effects excel in areas with higher deforestation pressure and higher potential agricultural income. Our findings add to the growing body of evidence showing that adverse spatial targeting by administrative choice, i.e. dis- proportionally selecting low–pressure sites into programs, is a prime cause for the low additionality found in rigorous impact evaluations of incentive-based forest conservation initiatives.
基于奖励的保护是一种很有希望的热带森林保护方法,包括在多用途保护区内。在本文中,我们分析了Bolsa Floresta的环境影响。Bolsa Floresta是一个长期的森林保护项目,将有条件的家庭补贴与以生计为重点的投资结合起来,在巴西亚马逊州的15个多用途森林保护区开展。我们使用基于网格的数据、最近邻匹配和面板数据计量学来比较参与和未参与保护区的三种与森林相关的项目结果——毁林、退化和火灾。处理前和处理后的毁林和退化压力都很低,包括因为优先针对低压地点。因此,我们发现该计划的实施产生了显著但很小的额外保护效果。然而,在森林砍伐压力大、农业收入潜力高的地区,治理效果较好。我们的发现增加了越来越多的证据,表明行政选择的不利空间目标,即不成比例地选择低压地点进入计划,是在基于激励的森林保护倡议的严格影响评估中发现的低附加性的主要原因。
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引用次数: 18
Ocean Shipping Cost as a proxy of Real Economic Activity 海运成本作为实体经济活动的代表
Pub Date : 2020-08-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3675666
Nicolas Boccard
We proxy Global Real Economic Activity with the cost of shipping 6 major commodities: crude oil, natural gas, coal, grain, container & airplane parcel. We show that the business cycle decomposition of this newly called BiB indicator tracks very well the business cycle inferred from the world industrial production index (WIP). In a nowcasting exercise, we prove BiB to anticipate WIP one month ahead with a notable gain wrt. a drift less random walk. Our index outperforms the GREA proxy proposed by Kilian (coal shipping cost) as well as the ADS index from the US FED. Additionally, we compute the long run real cost, in $ per ton, for shipping our 6 major commodities together with their opportunity cost over recent decades (share of total import cost eaten up by transportation).
我们用6种主要商品的运输成本来代表全球实体经济活动:原油、天然气、煤炭、粮食、集装箱和;航空包裹。我们表明,这个新称为BiB指标的商业周期分解非常好地跟踪了从世界工业生产指数(WIP)推断的商业周期。在临近预报练习中,我们证明了BiB可以提前一个月预测在制品,并获得显著的增益。一种少了漂移的随机游走。我们的指数优于Kilian提出的GREA代理(煤炭运输成本)和美联储的ADS指数。此外,我们计算了近几十年来6种主要商品运输的长期实际成本,以每吨美元为单位,以及它们的机会成本(运输消耗的总进口成本的份额)。
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引用次数: 0
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Agricultural & Natural Resource Economics eJournal
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