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Neocolonial echoes in healthcare: ethical quandaries of the Nepal-UK nurse recruitment memorandum of understanding 医疗保健领域的新殖民主义回声:尼泊尔-英国护士招聘谅解备忘录的伦理窘境
IF 5 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.lansea.2024.100493
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the impact of the National Clean Air Programme in Uttar Pradesh's non-attainment cities: a prophet model time series analysis 评估国家清洁空气计划对北方邦非达标城市的影响:先知模型时间序列分析
IF 5 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.lansea.2024.100486

Background

Uttar Pradesh, India's largest state, faces critical pollution levels, necessitating urgent action. The National Clean Air Programme (NCAP) targets a 40% reduction in particulate pollution by 2026. This study assesses the impact of NCAP on 15 non-attainment cities in Uttar Pradesh using the Prophet forecasting model.

Methods

Monthly data on AQI and PM10 concentrations from 2016 to 2023 were sourced from the Uttar Pradesh Pollution Control Board. Significant changes in mean AQI and PM10 levels from 2017 to 2023 were evaluated using the Friedman test. Prophet models forecast PM10 concentrations for 2025–26, with relative percentage changes calculated and model evaluation metrics assessed.

Findings

Most cities exhibited unhealthy air quality. Jhansi had the lowest AQI (72.73) in 2023, classified as ‘moderate’ by WHO standards. Gorakhpur consistently showed ‘poor’ AQI levels, peaking at 249.31 in 2019. Western Uttar Pradesh cities such as Ghaziabad, Noida, and Moradabad had significant pollution burdens. Predictions showed Bareilly with over a 70% reduction in PM10 levels, Raebareli 58%, Moradabad 55%, Ghaziabad 48%, Agra around 41%, and Varanasi 40%, meeting NCAP targets. However, Gorakhpur and Prayagraj predicted increases in PM10 levels by 50% and 32%, respectively. Moradabad's model showed the best performance with an R2 of 0.81, MAE of 17.27 μg/m3, and MAPE of 0.10.

Interpretation

Forecasting PM10 concentrations in Uttar Pradesh's non-attainment cities offers policymakers substantial evidence to enhance current efforts. While existing measures are in place, our findings suggest that intensified provisions may be necessary for cities predicted to fall short of meeting program targets. The Prophet model's forecasts can pinpoint these at-risk areas, allowing for targeted interventions and regional adjustments to strategies. This approach will help promote sustainable development customized to each city's specific needs.

Funding

No funding was issued for this research.
背景北方邦是印度最大的邦,面临着严重的污染问题,需要采取紧急行动。国家清洁空气计划 (NCAP) 的目标是到 2026 年将颗粒物污染减少 40%。本研究使用先知预测模型评估了 NCAP 对北方邦 15 个非达标城市的影响。方法从北方邦污染控制委员会获取了 2016 年至 2023 年空气质量指数和 PM10 浓度的月度数据。采用弗里德曼检验法评估了 2017 年至 2023 年空气质量指数和 PM10 平均水平的显著变化。先知模型预测了 2025-26 年的 PM10 浓度,计算了相对百分比变化,并评估了模型评估指标。詹西在 2023 年的空气质量指数最低(72.73),按照世界卫生组织的标准被归类为 "中度"。戈勒克布尔的空气质量指数一直处于 "较差 "水平,2019 年达到峰值 249.31。北方邦西部的加济阿巴德、诺伊达和莫拉达巴德等城市污染严重。预测显示,巴雷利的 PM10 水平下降了 70%以上,雷巴雷利下降了 58%,莫拉达巴德下降了 55%,加济阿巴德下降了 48%,阿格拉下降了约 41%,瓦拉纳西下降了 40%,达到了国家空气质量行动计划的目标。然而,戈勒克布尔和普拉亚格拉杰预测 PM10 水平将分别增加 50%和 32%。莫拉达巴德的模型表现最佳,R2 为 0.81,MAE 为 17.27 μg/m3,MAPE 为 0.10。虽然现有措施已经到位,但我们的研究结果表明,对于预计无法达到计划目标的城市,可能有必要加强规定。先知模型的预测可以精确定位这些高风险地区,从而进行有针对性的干预和区域战略调整。这种方法将有助于促进可持续发展,满足每个城市的具体需求。
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引用次数: 0
Tackling cardiometabolic disease in southeast Asia: local research to inform local practice 应对东南亚的心脏代谢疾病:以地方研究指导地方实践
IF 5 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.lansea.2024.100491
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引用次数: 0
Advancing acute MI care in densely populated low- and middle-income countries (LMICs): innovative stand-alone chest pain units for expedited triage and timely management 在人口稠密的低收入和中等收入国家(LMICs)推进急性心肌梗死护理:创新的独立胸痛室可实现快速分流和及时管理
IF 5 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-09-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.lansea.2024.100488

Background

The incidence of myocardial infarction (MI) and its adverse effects on health and mortality remain high in densely populated low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). To address the issue of densely populated areas and timely access to primary PCI, chest pain units (CPUs) were deployed at strategic locations in Karachi, with a populace of over 23 million people. This study describes the results of this initiative in expediting MI care.

Methods

Between 2017 and 2023, 18 CPUs, each with a cardiologist, technician, ECG machine, crash cart and an ambulance were placed in high density areas.

Findings

A total of 915,564 patients were seen at 18 CPUs over the study period. 692,444 (75.6%) were categorized as non-cardiac and subsequently discharged. 223,120 (24.6%) patients were directed for additional care. Of these, 9% had ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) (19, 580), 29% NSTE ACS/Unstable angina, and 31% with various other cardiac conditions. Additionally, 31% were referred for medical outpatient evaluation. CPU inception led to a significant annual growth (16–20%) in primary PCI procedures at NICVD, totaling 20,000 by 2022–2023. The median first medical contact to device time was 100 min (IQR 80–135), while total ischemic was 232 min (IQR: 172–315; 5th −95th %le: 50–920). The overall in-hospital mortality rate for patients undergoing primary PCI was 5.58%, with a range between 5.1% and 6.9% through the study period.

Interpretation

Novel standalone chest pain units, operational from 2017 in Karachi, Pakistan, have expedited triage and enhanced the timely management of AMI. This initiative's transformative impact presents a model that resonates beyond borders, serving as a role model for global healthcare systems.

Funding

The CPU and primary PCI program is fully funded by the government of Sindh. No specific funding was allocated for this study.
背景在人口稠密的中低收入国家,心肌梗死(MI)的发病率及其对健康和死亡率的不利影响仍然很高。为了解决人口稠密地区和及时获得初级 PCI 的问题,我们在卡拉奇的战略要地部署了胸痛室 (CPU),卡拉奇的人口超过 2300 万。本研究介绍了这一举措在加快心肌梗死护理方面取得的成果。方法在 2017 年至 2023 年期间,在高密度地区部署了 18 个胸痛室,每个胸痛室配备一名心脏病专家、技术人员、心电图机、急救车和一辆救护车。研究结果在研究期间,18 个胸痛室共接诊了 915,564 名患者。692,444人(75.6%)被归类为非心脏病患者,随后出院。223,120(24.6%)名患者接受了额外护理。其中,9% 患有 STEMI(ST 段抬高型心肌梗死)(19,580),29% 患有 NSTE ACS/不稳定型心绞痛,31% 患有其他各种心脏疾病。此外,31%的患者被转诊至医疗门诊进行评估。中央处理器启动后,NICVD 的初级 PCI 手术量每年大幅增长(16%-20%),到 2022-2023 年,总手术量将达到 20,000 例。首次医疗接触到设备的中位时间为 100 分钟(IQR 80-135),缺血总时间为 232 分钟(IQR:172-315;第 5 -95 百分位数:50-920)。在整个研究期间,接受初级 PCI 治疗的患者的总体院内死亡率为 5.58%,范围在 5.1% 到 6.9% 之间。释义巴基斯坦卡拉奇从 2017 年开始运行的新型独立胸痛室加快了分流速度,加强了对急性心肌梗死的及时管理。这一举措的变革性影响提供了一种超越国界的模式,为全球医疗保健系统树立了榜样。资金支持CPU和初级PCI项目由信德省政府全额资助。本研究未获得专项拨款。
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引用次数: 0
Bangladesh should engage the private sector for malaria elimination by 2030 孟加拉国应让私营部门参与到 2030 年消除疟疾的行动中来
IF 5 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-09-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.lansea.2024.100487
Bangladesh reduced malaria incidence by 93% from 2008 to 2020 through the action of governmental and non-governmental organizations. The Bangladesh context is unique to South Asia because its successful public sector malaria control programs have historically not engaged corporate partners (as undertaken in Sri Lanka and proposed in India). However, ∼18 million people continue to live at risk of infection in Bangladesh and for-profit private healthcare providers, catalytic for malaria elimination in many countries, are expected to benefit the national program. We distilled (from a large and complex literature) nine distinct strategies important in other developing settings and weighed them in the context of Bangladesh's flourishing private health care sector, driven by patient demand, self-interest and aspirations for public good, as well as heterogeneity in providers and malaria-prevalence. We propose a new model dependent on five strategies and its immediate deployment considerations in high endemic areas, to empower Bangladesh's phased agenda of eliminating indigenous malaria transmission by 2030.
通过政府和非政府组织的行动,孟加拉国从 2008 年到 2020 年将疟疾发病率降低了 93%。孟加拉国的情况在南亚是独一无二的,因为其成功的公共部门疟疾控制项目历来没有企业合作伙伴的参与(如在斯里兰卡开展的项目和在印度提出的项目)。然而,孟加拉国仍有 1800 万人生活在感染风险中,而营利性私营医疗保健提供商在许多国家消除疟疾的过程中起到了催化剂作用,有望使国家项目受益。我们(从大量复杂的文献中)提炼出了对其他发展中环境非常重要的九种不同战略,并在孟加拉国蓬勃发展的私营医疗保健行业背景下对其进行了权衡,该行业受到患者需求、自身利益和公益愿望的驱动,同时还受到医疗服务提供者和疟疾发病率的异质性的影响。我们提出了一个依赖于五项战略的新模式,以及在疟疾高流行地区立即部署的考虑因素,以增强孟加拉国到 2030 年消除本地疟疾传播的分阶段议程的能力。
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引用次数: 0
Implementing the Robson Classification for caesarean sections in Pakistan: experience, challenges, and lessons learned 在巴基斯坦实施罗布森剖腹产分类:经验、挑战和教训
IF 5 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-09-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.lansea.2024.100479
The Robson Classification System is recognised as a first step for optimising the use of caesarean section and as a strategy for continuous quality improvement in maternal and newborn health. This Viewpoint provides a detailed account of the strategy adopted and lessons learned from a collaborative initiative to institutionalise the Robson Classification into Pakistan's health system. We developed a training package which emphasised capacity building of senior clinicians to act as master trainers. We also developed a mobile application for data collection and analysis. Training workshops took place in 2020 in a selection of public sector, tertiary-level, teaching hospitals from across the country and data was collected on all births in participating hospitals' obstetric units for a full year. Pakistan is poised for scale-up with the Robson Classification embedded in 57% of Pakistan's public, tertiary, teaching hospitals. A core group of master trainers is positioned in every province, and a robust dataset is available. However, integration into any health system cannot be thought of as a finite project. It requires government commitment, training and an ongoing process with built-in data quality assurance and feedback to clinicians.
罗布森分类系统被认为是优化剖腹产使用的第一步,也是持续改善孕产妇和新生儿健康质量的战略。本 "视点 "详细介绍了将罗布森分类法制度化纳入巴基斯坦卫生系统的合作计划所采取的策略和汲取的经验教训。我们开发了一套培训教材,强调高级临床医生作为主培训师的能力建设。我们还开发了用于数据收集和分析的移动应用程序。培训研讨会于 2020 年在全国部分公立三级教学医院举行,并收集了参与医院产科一整年的所有分娩数据。随着罗布森分类法在巴基斯坦 57% 的公立三级教学医院中的应用,巴基斯坦已做好扩大规模的准备。每个省都有一批核心的主培训师,并有一个强大的数据集。然而,将该系统纳入任何医疗系统都不能被视为一个有限的项目。它需要政府的承诺、培训和一个具有内在数据质量保证和临床医生反馈的持续过程。
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引用次数: 0
Reimagining India's National Telemedicine Service to improve access to care 重新构想印度国家远程医疗服务,改善医疗服务的可及性
IF 5 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.lansea.2024.100480

India's free-to-use National Telemedicine Service, eSanjeevani, has provided over 276 million consultations and shown promise to reduce systemic inequalities in access to care. However, recent reports of dropping footfall have raised questions about the potential of eSanjeevani to bridge service provision gaps in India. We reveal important problems linked to the design and practice of triage and tele-referral nationally within eSanjeevani, corroborated by the experience of one of the co-authors’ practice of Obstetrics and Gynaecology on the platform since 2022. Some of these factors include sub-optimal integration of general practitioners within the tele-referral pathway; inadequate training of health-workers leading to inappropriate and ineffective consultations; outdated or absent technological support; the absence of mechanisms for re-referrals; and lack of feedback loops. We propose measures to re-imagine eSanjeevani to become a more effective tool towards improving public health outcomes and achieving universal health coverage in India.

印度免费使用的国家远程医疗服务 "eSanjeevani "已提供了超过 2.76 亿次咨询,并显示出减少系统性医疗不平等的前景。然而,最近有关人流量下降的报道使人们对 eSanjeevani 在印度弥合服务差距的潜力产生了疑问。我们揭示了与 eSanjeevani 中全国分诊和远程转诊的设计与实践相关的重要问题,其中一位共同作者自 2022 年以来在该平台上开展妇产科实践的经验也证实了这一点。其中一些因素包括:全科医生在远程转诊途径中的整合不够理想;对医务工作者的培训不足,导致不恰当和无效的会诊;技术支持过时或缺失;缺乏再转诊机制;以及缺乏反馈回路。我们建议采取措施重新设计 eSanjeevani,使其成为改善印度公共卫生成果和实现全民医保的更有效工具。
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引用次数: 0
Evolving dengue serotype distribution with dominance of dengue virus- 3 in Bangalore: critical insights for vaccine efficacy and implementation 班加罗尔登革热血清型分布不断变化,登革热病毒 3 占主导地位:对疫苗功效和实施的重要启示
IF 5 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.lansea.2024.100485
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引用次数: 0
Thailand – how far are we from achieving a healthy and sustainable diet? A longitudinal ecological study 泰国--我们离实现健康和可持续饮食还有多远?一项纵向生态研究
IF 5 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-09-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.lansea.2024.100478

Background

Newly industrialized countries like Thailand have been influenced by globalization, westernization, and urbanization over the last decades, leading to changes in dietary habits as well as food production. Consequences of these changes include rising non-communicable diseases (NCDs) and environmental degradation, which are defined as the leading global challenges today. The objectives of this study are to identify Thailand's dietary changes, considering health and sustainability aspects, and to determine correlations between these changes and NCD cases as well as environmental impacts (GHG emissions, land-, nitrogen-, phosphorus-use). In this way, diet-related adjustments can be identified to promote planetary and human health.

Methods

In this longitudinal ecological study, relative differences between the average food consumption in Thailand and the reference values of a healthy and sustainable diet, the Planetary Health Diet (PHD), were calculated. Furthermore, a bivariate correlation analysis was conducted, using data, based on Food and Agriculture Organization's (FAO's) data, results from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD), and PHD's reference values.

Findings

The consumption quantities of meat, eggs, saturated oils, and sugar increased significantly since 1961. The food groups, that have exceeded PHD's upper reference values, include sugar (+452%), red meat (+220%), grains (+143%), saturated oils (+20%) and eggs (+19%), while vegetables (–63%), and unsaturated oils (–61%) have fallen below PHD’s lower limits. Concerning the bivariate correlation analyses, all investigated variables show significant correlations. The most significant correlations were found in NCD cases (r = 0.903, 95% CI 0.804–0.953), nitrogen use (r = 0.872, 95% CI 0.794–0.922), and land use (r = 0.870, 95% CI 0.791–0.921), followed by phosphorus use (r = 0.832, 95% CI 0.733–0.897), and green-house gas (GHG) emissions (r = 0.479, 95% CI 0.15–0.712).

Interpretation

The results show, that the determined differences of unhealthy or unsustainable food groups have increased concurrently with NCD cases and environmental impacts over the last decades in Thailand. A shift towards a reduced intake of sugar, red meat, grains, saturated oils and eggs along with an increase in vegetables and unsaturated oils, might support environmental and human health.

Funding

None.

背景泰国等新兴工业化国家在过去几十年中受到全球化、西方化和城市化的影响,导致饮食习惯和粮食生产发生了变化。这些变化的后果包括非传染性疾病(NCDs)的增加和环境退化,它们被定义为当今全球面临的主要挑战。本研究的目的是在考虑健康和可持续性的前提下,确定泰国的饮食变化,并确定这些变化与非传染性疾病病例以及环境影响(温室气体排放、土地、氮和磷的使用)之间的相关性。方法在这项纵向生态研究中,计算了泰国平均食物消费量与健康和可持续饮食参考值--"行星健康饮食"(PHD)--之间的相对差异。此外,还根据联合国粮农组织(FAO)的数据、全球疾病负担研究(GBD)的结果以及 PHD 的参考值进行了双变量相关分析。超过《健康数据》参考值上限的食物类别包括糖(+452%)、红肉(+220%)、谷物(+143%)、饱和油(+20%)和蛋(+19%),而蔬菜(-63%)和不饱和油(-61%)则低于《健康数据》的下限。关于二元相关分析,所有调查变量都显示出显著的相关性。在非传染性疾病病例(r = 0.903,95% CI 0.804-0.953)、氮的使用(r = 0.872,95% CI 0.794-0.922)和土地使用(r = 0.870,95% CI 0.791-0.921)中发现了最显着的相关性,其次是磷的使用(r = 0.832,95% CI 0.733-0.897)和温室气体的使用(r = 0.870,95% CI 0.791-0.921)。结果表明,在过去的几十年中,不健康或不可持续的食物种类与非传染性疾病病例和环境影响的差异在泰国同时增加。减少糖、红肉、谷物、饱和油和鸡蛋的摄入量,同时增加蔬菜和不饱和油的摄入量,可能有助于环境和人类健康。
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引用次数: 0
Learning from the Indian National Family Health Survey to assess population based oral, cervix and breast cancer screening in low-and-middle income countries 学习印度全国家庭健康调查,评估中低收入国家基于人口的口腔癌、宫颈癌和乳腺癌筛查情况
IF 5 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-09-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.lansea.2024.100483
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引用次数: 0
期刊
The Lancet regional health. Southeast Asia
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