Yesuf Assen Mohammed, Russ W. Gesch, Samantha Wells, Nicholas J. Heller, Alexander J. Lindsey, Alexander W. Hard, Winthrop B. Phippen
This manuscript is a follow-up of previously published results that presented findings on pennycress (Thlaspi arvense L.) establishment and agronomics in response to previous corn (Zea mays L.) relative maturity (CRM) hybrids grown for grain and silage in the corn–pennycress–soybean [Glycine max (L.)] rotations. In this manuscript, we compared the economics of grain corn–pennycress–soybean rotations (grain rotation) with silage corn–pennycress–soybean rotations (silage rotation). The treatments were CRM hybrids ranging from 76 to 95 days (full season) at northern sites (Morris and Rosemount, MN) and 95 to 113 days (full season) at southern sites (Lexington, IL, and Custar, OH). Full-season corn harvested for silage was included as a control treatment representing optimum conditions for sowing pennycress. A partial budget procedure was used for economic analysis. The results showed that the annualized net benefits (ANBs) ranged from $315 to $945 ha−1. The silage rotation produced greater ANBs than the grain rotation at all sites due to increased pennycress seed yield. In the grain rotation, the 105 days in the south, 95 days corn at Morris, and 86 days corn at Rosemount resulted in minimal ANB losses compared with silage rotation. Among grain corn treatments, some of the early CRM hybrids resulted in greater ANBs (up to 40%) than the full season hybrid. Results demonstrate potential to integrate pennycress into a grain rotation using early CRM hybrids. In addition, valuing the diverse ecosystem benefits that pennycress offers as a cash cover crop during the offseason between corn and soybean rotation may help to attract growers.
{"title":"Economic evaluation of corn relative maturity hybrids in corn–pennycress–soybean rotations","authors":"Yesuf Assen Mohammed, Russ W. Gesch, Samantha Wells, Nicholas J. Heller, Alexander J. Lindsey, Alexander W. Hard, Winthrop B. Phippen","doi":"10.1002/agj2.21691","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.21691","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This manuscript is a follow-up of previously published results that presented findings on pennycress (<i>Thlaspi arvense</i> L.) establishment and agronomics in response to previous corn (<i>Zea mays</i> L.) relative maturity (CRM) hybrids grown for grain and silage in the corn–pennycress–soybean [<i>Glycine m</i>ax (L.)] rotations. In this manuscript, we compared the economics of grain corn–pennycress–soybean rotations (grain rotation) with silage corn–pennycress–soybean rotations (silage rotation). The treatments were CRM hybrids ranging from 76 to 95 days (full season) at northern sites (Morris and Rosemount, MN) and 95 to 113 days (full season) at southern sites (Lexington, IL, and Custar, OH). Full-season corn harvested for silage was included as a control treatment representing optimum conditions for sowing pennycress. A partial budget procedure was used for economic analysis. The results showed that the annualized net benefits (ANBs) ranged from $315 to $945 ha<sup>−1</sup>. The silage rotation produced greater ANBs than the grain rotation at all sites due to increased pennycress seed yield. In the grain rotation, the 105 days in the south, 95 days corn at Morris, and 86 days corn at Rosemount resulted in minimal ANB losses compared with silage rotation. Among grain corn treatments, some of the early CRM hybrids resulted in greater ANBs (up to 40%) than the full season hybrid. Results demonstrate potential to integrate pennycress into a grain rotation using early CRM hybrids. In addition, valuing the diverse ecosystem benefits that pennycress offers as a cash cover crop during the offseason between corn and soybean rotation may help to attract growers.</p>","PeriodicalId":7522,"journal":{"name":"Agronomy Journal","volume":"116 6","pages":"3171-3180"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142642317","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Mohammad Mahdi Majidi, Fatemeh Pirnajmedin, Soheila Espanani
Safflower is a multipurpose crop grown in different regions, mainly for its high oil quality. Crop wild relatives serve as a valuable reservoir of genes that have been depleted due to evolutionary bottlenecks, which are poorly applied in safflower. During the last decade, we developed three populations from hybridization of safflower with its wild relatives and selected the superior lines to develop new varieties. From each of three different interspecific populations (TP: Carthamus tinctorius × Carthamus palaestinus, PO: C. palaestinus × Carthamus oxyacantha, and TO: C. tinctorius × C. oxyacantha), 10 genotypes were selected (a total of 30 lines) in the “F8” generation and were evaluated along with their parents (T, P, and O) and one control cultivar (Golsfid) at the field during 2019–2022 to assess genetic variation, estimate genetic parameters, and evaluate the stability. Considerable genetic variability for oil, seed yield, and other agronomic traits between and within the interspecific populations suggests the high potential of these new recombinant lines for introducing beneficial alleles. Our results indicated that recombinant inbred lines derived from the hybridization of TP were superior in terms of seed yield, oil content, and stability parameters. The use of stability indices of Wricke, Lin and Binns, Eberhart and Russell, and HMRPGVi, along with the biplot analysis, allowed the identification of preferable and stable safflower genotypes. Moderately high values of heritability were found for yield-related traits. New recombinant lines can be introduced to the safflower gene pool to improve the genetic base of this valuable oil seed crop.
{"title":"Wild introgression as an effective tool for aiding the expansion and adaptation of cultivated safflower","authors":"Mohammad Mahdi Majidi, Fatemeh Pirnajmedin, Soheila Espanani","doi":"10.1002/agj2.21693","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.21693","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Safflower is a multipurpose crop grown in different regions, mainly for its high oil quality. Crop wild relatives serve as a valuable reservoir of genes that have been depleted due to evolutionary bottlenecks, which are poorly applied in safflower. During the last decade, we developed three populations from hybridization of safflower with its wild relatives and selected the superior lines to develop new varieties. From each of three different interspecific populations (TP: <i>Carthamus tinctorius</i> × <i>Carthamus palaestinus</i>, PO: <i>C. palaestinus</i> × <i>Carthamus oxyacantha</i>, and TO: <i>C. tinctorius</i> × <i>C. oxyacantha</i>), 10 genotypes were selected (a total of 30 lines) in the “F8” generation and were evaluated along with their parents (T, P, and O) and one control cultivar (Golsfid) at the field during 2019–2022 to assess genetic variation, estimate genetic parameters, and evaluate the stability. Considerable genetic variability for oil, seed yield, and other agronomic traits between and within the interspecific populations suggests the high potential of these new recombinant lines for introducing beneficial alleles. Our results indicated that recombinant inbred lines derived from the hybridization of TP were superior in terms of seed yield, oil content, and stability parameters. The use of stability indices of Wricke, Lin and Binns, Eberhart and Russell, and HMRPGVi, along with the biplot analysis, allowed the identification of preferable and stable safflower genotypes. Moderately high values of heritability were found for yield-related traits. New recombinant lines can be introduced to the safflower gene pool to improve the genetic base of this valuable oil seed crop.</p>","PeriodicalId":7522,"journal":{"name":"Agronomy Journal","volume":"116 6","pages":"2776-2782"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142642478","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Savana Denton, Tyson Raper, Darrin Dodds, Chris Main, Lori Duncan, Thomas Mueller
Synthetic auxin herbicide movement onto sensitive cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.) cultivars has impacted many US cotton hectares. The spatial scope and severity of auxin damage in-season is typically estimated by an agronomist. The use of remote sensing technology has the potential to objectively quantify the spatial scope and severity of auxin damage. Experiments were conducted in 2019, 2020, and 2021 in Grand Junction, TN, to determine: (1) the effect of reflectance data collection timing; (2) the effect of auxin exposure timing; (3) the value of near infrared and red-edge (RE) reflectance versus reflectance within the visible spectrum data; and (4) if/how visual injury relates to aerial reflectance data. Applications of 2,4-D or dicamba were made to susceptible cotton cultivars at 1X, 1/4X, 1/16X, 1/64X, 1/256X, and 1/1024X rates at either matchhead square (MHS) or 2 weeks after first bloom (FB+2WK). Non-treated controls were also included for each application timing. Aerial reflectance data were collected 7, 14, 21, and 28 days after application. Unsupervised classification of images into pixels with and without vegetation did not increase correlations between vegetation indices (VIs) and application rate. Although Vis, which generated the strongest correlations with application rate, visual injury, and relative lint yield, were generally RE based, similar correlations were also noted with visible spectrum VIs. Correlations were greater when auxin injury occurred at MHS than FB+2WK. Results suggest reflectance measured within the visible spectrum can quantify the scope and severity of auxin injury if the injury occurs early during the growing season.
{"title":"Auxin injury on cotton, I: Aerial reflectance data, crop injury, and yield","authors":"Savana Denton, Tyson Raper, Darrin Dodds, Chris Main, Lori Duncan, Thomas Mueller","doi":"10.1002/agj2.21698","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.21698","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Synthetic auxin herbicide movement onto sensitive cotton (<i>Gossypium hirsutum</i> L.) cultivars has impacted many US cotton hectares. The spatial scope and severity of auxin damage in-season is typically estimated by an agronomist. The use of remote sensing technology has the potential to objectively quantify the spatial scope and severity of auxin damage. Experiments were conducted in 2019, 2020, and 2021 in Grand Junction, TN, to determine: (1) the effect of reflectance data collection timing; (2) the effect of auxin exposure timing; (3) the value of near infrared and red-edge (RE) reflectance versus reflectance within the visible spectrum data; and (4) if/how visual injury relates to aerial reflectance data. Applications of 2,4-D or dicamba were made to susceptible cotton cultivars at 1X, 1/4X, 1/16X, 1/64X, 1/256X, and 1/1024X rates at either matchhead square (MHS) or 2 weeks after first bloom (FB+2WK). Non-treated controls were also included for each application timing. Aerial reflectance data were collected 7, 14, 21, and 28 days after application. Unsupervised classification of images into pixels with and without vegetation did not increase correlations between vegetation indices (VIs) and application rate. Although Vis, which generated the strongest correlations with application rate, visual injury, and relative lint yield, were generally RE based, similar correlations were also noted with visible spectrum VIs. Correlations were greater when auxin injury occurred at MHS than FB+2WK. Results suggest reflectance measured within the visible spectrum can quantify the scope and severity of auxin injury if the injury occurs early during the growing season.</p>","PeriodicalId":7522,"journal":{"name":"Agronomy Journal","volume":"116 6","pages":"2952-2966"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/agj2.21698","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142642523","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Plant cover and biochemical composition are essential parameters for evaluating cover crop management. Destructive sampling or estimates with aerial imagery require substantial labor, time, expertise, or instrumentation cost. Using low-cost consumer and mobile phone cameras to estimate plant canopy coverage and biochemical composition could broaden the use of high-throughput technologies in research and crop management. Here, we estimated canopy development, tissue nitrogen, and biomass of medium red clover (Trifolium pratense L.), a perennial forage legume and common cover crop, using red-green-blue (RGB) indices collected with standard settings in non-standardized field conditions. Pixels were classified as plant or background using combinations of four RGB indices with both unsupervised machine learning and preset thresholds. The excess green minus red (ExGR) index with a preset threshold of zero was the best index and threshold combination. It correctly identified pixels as plant or background 86.25% of the time. This combination also provided accurate estimates of crop growth and quality: Canopy coverage correlated with red clover biomass (R2 = 0.554, root mean square error [RMSE] = 219.29 kg ha−1), and ExGR index values of vegetation pixels were highly correlated with clover nitrogen content (R2 = 0.573, RMSE = 3.5 g kg−1) and carbon:nitrogen ratio (R2 = 0.574, RMSE = 1.29 g g−1). Data collection were simple to implement and stable across imaging conditions. Pending testing across different sensors, sites, and crop species, this method contributes to a growing and open set of decision support tools for agricultural research and management.
植物覆盖率和生化成分是评估覆盖作物管理的基本参数。破坏性取样或利用航空图像进行估算需要大量的人力、时间、专业知识或仪器成本。使用低成本的消费类相机和手机相机估算植物冠层覆盖率和生化成分,可以扩大高通量技术在研究和作物管理中的应用。在此,我们利用在非标准化田间条件下使用标准设置采集的红-绿-蓝(RGB)指数,估算了中型红三叶草(Trifolium pratense L.)(一种多年生牧草豆科植物和常见的覆盖作物)的冠层发育、组织氮和生物量。利用无监督机器学习和预设阈值的四种 RGB 指数组合,将像素分类为植物或背景。预设阈值为零的过量绿色减去红色(ExGR)指数是最佳的指数和阈值组合。在 86.25% 的情况下,它能正确识别像素是植物还是背景。这一组合还能准确估计作物的生长情况和质量:冠层覆盖率与红三叶草生物量相关(R2 = 0.554,均方根误差 [RMSE] = 219.29 kg ha-1),植被像素的 ExGR 指数值与三叶草氮含量(R2 = 0.573,均方根误差 = 3.5 g kg-1)和碳氮比(R2 = 0.574,均方根误差 = 1.29 g g-1)高度相关。数据采集简单易行,在不同成像条件下均保持稳定。在对不同传感器、地点和作物种类进行测试之前,该方法有助于为农业研究和管理提供一套不断增长的开放式决策支持工具。
{"title":"RGB-based indices for estimating cover crop biomass, nitrogen content, and carbon:nitrogen ratio","authors":"Lucas Rosen, Patrick M. Ewing, Bryan C. Runck","doi":"10.1002/agj2.21657","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.21657","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Plant cover and biochemical composition are essential parameters for evaluating cover crop management. Destructive sampling or estimates with aerial imagery require substantial labor, time, expertise, or instrumentation cost. Using low-cost consumer and mobile phone cameras to estimate plant canopy coverage and biochemical composition could broaden the use of high-throughput technologies in research and crop management. Here, we estimated canopy development, tissue nitrogen, and biomass of medium red clover (<i>Trifolium pratense</i> L.), a perennial forage legume and common cover crop, using red-green-blue (RGB) indices collected with standard settings in non-standardized field conditions. Pixels were classified as plant or background using combinations of four RGB indices with both unsupervised machine learning and preset thresholds. The excess green minus red (ExGR) index with a preset threshold of zero was the best index and threshold combination. It correctly identified pixels as plant or background 86.25% of the time. This combination also provided accurate estimates of crop growth and quality: Canopy coverage correlated with red clover biomass (<i>R</i><sup>2</sup> = 0.554, root mean square error [RMSE] = 219.29 kg ha<sup>−1</sup>), and ExGR index values of vegetation pixels were highly correlated with clover nitrogen content (<i>R</i><sup>2</sup> = 0.573, RMSE = 3.5 g kg<sup>−1</sup>) and carbon:nitrogen ratio (<i>R</i><sup>2</sup> = 0.574, RMSE = 1.29 g g<sup>−1</sup>). Data collection were simple to implement and stable across imaging conditions. Pending testing across different sensors, sites, and crop species, this method contributes to a growing and open set of decision support tools for agricultural research and management.</p>","PeriodicalId":7522,"journal":{"name":"Agronomy Journal","volume":"116 6","pages":"3070-3080"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/agj2.21657","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142642401","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Alysa Gauci, John Fulton, Scott Shearer, David J. Barker, Elizabeth Hawkins, Alexander J. Lindsey
Yield monitoring technology (YM) is a valuable tool to evaluate crop performance in on-farm research (OFR). However, limited information exists on utilizing this technology to accurately inform OFR. The objectives of this study were to evaluate the ability of grain yield monitor mass flow sensors to detect changes in corn (Zea mays L.) yield for different plot lengths, provide a recommended minimum plot length to utilize YM in OFR, and determine if differences in estimating yield existed between YMs. Six treatment lengths that varied in distance of intentional yield differences (7.6, 15.2, 30.5, 61.0, 121.9, and 243.8 m) were created by alternating high-yield (202 kg N/ha application) and low-yield (0 kg N/ha application) plots. A total of four grain YMs with impact-style mass flow sensors were used within two commercially available combines. Yield comparisons were made between the plot combine and YMs to evaluate the accuracy of each technology for detecting the magnitude of yield change across lengths using analysis of variance and exponential regression curves. Results indicated that the mass flow sensors were not sensitive enough to detect quickly changing flow rates for alternating yield changes in small plot lengths. Minimum plot lengths ranged from 43 to 107 m depending on YM. Significant differences were observed between grain YMs from different manufacturers. Future work could evaluate the influence additional crops or smaller yield differences have on the optimum OFR plot length.
{"title":"Understanding the limitations of grain yield monitor technology to inform on-farm research","authors":"Alysa Gauci, John Fulton, Scott Shearer, David J. Barker, Elizabeth Hawkins, Alexander J. Lindsey","doi":"10.1002/agj2.21695","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.21695","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Yield monitoring technology (YM) is a valuable tool to evaluate crop performance in on-farm research (OFR). However, limited information exists on utilizing this technology to accurately inform OFR. The objectives of this study were to evaluate the ability of grain yield monitor mass flow sensors to detect changes in corn (<i>Zea mays</i> L.) yield for different plot lengths, provide a recommended minimum plot length to utilize YM in OFR, and determine if differences in estimating yield existed between YMs. Six treatment lengths that varied in distance of intentional yield differences (7.6, 15.2, 30.5, 61.0, 121.9, and 243.8 m) were created by alternating high-yield (202 kg N/ha application) and low-yield (0 kg N/ha application) plots. A total of four grain YMs with impact-style mass flow sensors were used within two commercially available combines. Yield comparisons were made between the plot combine and YMs to evaluate the accuracy of each technology for detecting the magnitude of yield change across lengths using analysis of variance and exponential regression curves. Results indicated that the mass flow sensors were not sensitive enough to detect quickly changing flow rates for alternating yield changes in small plot lengths. Minimum plot lengths ranged from 43 to 107 m depending on YM. Significant differences were observed between grain YMs from different manufacturers. Future work could evaluate the influence additional crops or smaller yield differences have on the optimum OFR plot length.</p>","PeriodicalId":7522,"journal":{"name":"Agronomy Journal","volume":"116 6","pages":"3181-3190"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/agj2.21695","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142642339","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Wheat has been an important part of the human diet for millennia. The increase in demand for wheat grown organically in the United States and globally reflects the growing interest in organic food and food products. A symposium on organic wheat production was held during the annual meeting of the American Society of Agronomy in Baltimore, MD, during 2021. Presenters discussed the state-of-the-science on organic wheat research. Papers were solicited following the symposium for inclusion in this special section. As a result, five papers are included in this special section: four focus on organic wheat research in North America while one discusses results of a European study.
{"title":"Organic wheat: Lessons learned and challenges remaining","authors":"Patrick M. Carr","doi":"10.1002/agj2.21700","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.21700","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Wheat has been an important part of the human diet for millennia. The increase in demand for wheat grown organically in the United States and globally reflects the growing interest in organic food and food products. A symposium on organic wheat production was held during the annual meeting of the American Society of Agronomy in Baltimore, MD, during 2021. Presenters discussed the state-of-the-science on organic wheat research. Papers were solicited following the symposium for inclusion in this special section. As a result, five papers are included in this special section: four focus on organic wheat research in North America while one discusses results of a European study.</p>","PeriodicalId":7522,"journal":{"name":"Agronomy Journal","volume":"116 6","pages":"2715-2718"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/agj2.21700","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142642402","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
In times of climate change and global population growth, agricultural yield forecasts play an increasingly important role. For example, predicting yields as early as possible in the event of a drought is crucial for decision-makers in politics, government, and business. The aim of this study was to provide precise yield predictions at agricultural regions as early as possible with a minimum amount of weather data. Random forest models were used for this purpose. Although more than 290,000 datasets were available for analysis, all models tended to be heavily overfitting, which can be explained by the strong fragmentation of the input data by crop, region, and prediction time. The models reacted very differently to unknown datasets. It was found that the regionally trained models achieved lower (≥10%) relative root mean square errors (RRMSEs) than the supra-regionally trained models. Rapeseed and barley achieved good predictions. Wheat had good potential, too. Corn, potatoes, and sugar beet achieved often too high RRMSEs. The results showed that targeted model selection for each region and an extension of the training time series could enable very good regional yield forecasts for rapeseed and cereals in the future.
{"title":"Crop yield estimation uncertainties at the regional scale for Saxony, Germany","authors":"Sebastian Goihl","doi":"10.1002/agj2.21680","DOIUrl":"10.1002/agj2.21680","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In times of climate change and global population growth, agricultural yield forecasts play an increasingly important role. For example, predicting yields as early as possible in the event of a drought is crucial for decision-makers in politics, government, and business. The aim of this study was to provide precise yield predictions at agricultural regions as early as possible with a minimum amount of weather data. Random forest models were used for this purpose. Although more than 290,000 datasets were available for analysis, all models tended to be heavily overfitting, which can be explained by the strong fragmentation of the input data by crop, region, and prediction time. The models reacted very differently to unknown datasets. It was found that the regionally trained models achieved lower (≥10%) relative root mean square errors (RRMSEs) than the supra-regionally trained models. Rapeseed and barley achieved good predictions. Wheat had good potential, too. Corn, potatoes, and sugar beet achieved often too high RRMSEs. The results showed that targeted model selection for each region and an extension of the training time series could enable very good regional yield forecasts for rapeseed and cereals in the future.</p>","PeriodicalId":7522,"journal":{"name":"Agronomy Journal","volume":"116 6","pages":"3097-3107"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/agj2.21680","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142254397","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
In the United States, grain sorghum [Sorghum bicolor (L.) Moench] production is concentrated in the US Great Plains region, with the state of Kansas accounting for ∼50% of the planted area. In Kansas, state-level grain yields steadily increased at a rate of 0.07 Mg ha−1 year−1 from 1957 to 1990. However, since 1990, sorghum yield trends across the United States and Kansas have been exhibiting signs of yield stagnation. The objectives of this study were to (1) quantify the magnitude of the yield gap and (2) identify possible reasons for yield stagnation of rainfed sorghum in Kansas. Current yield (Yc) was estimated as the average yield of the most recently reported 10 years. Maximum attainable yield (Ya) and water-limited potential yield (Yw) were estimated with a frontier yield function using an extensive dataset of crop performance trials, yield contest data, and county-level survey yield data totaling 2997 site-years. State-level Yc was 4.7 Mg ha−1, which represents 77% of Ya and 49% of Yw. At a regional level, there is a trend of increasing yield gap in central and western Kansas sorghum-producing regions. Sorghum yield in Kansas appears to be stagnant due to a small exploitable yield gap relative to Ya rather than Yw, a statewide shift in planting area to environments more vulnerable to water deficits, and cultivation in soils with moderate to severe limitations.
在美国,谷物高粱 [Sorghum bicolor (L.) Moench] 的生产主要集中在美国大平原地区,其中堪萨斯州的谷物高粱种植面积占总面积的 50%。从 1957 年到 1990 年,堪萨斯州的谷物产量以每年每公顷 0.07 兆克的速度稳步增长。然而,自 1990 年以来,全美和堪萨斯州的高粱产量趋势呈现出停滞不前的迹象。本研究的目标是:(1)量化产量差距的大小;(2)找出堪萨斯州雨养高粱产量停滞的可能原因。当前产量 (Yc) 是根据最近 10 年的平均产量估算的。最大可实现产量(Ya)和限水潜在产量(Yw)是通过前沿产量函数估算的,该函数使用了大量的作物表现试验数据、产量竞赛数据和县级产量调查数据,共计 2997 个地点年。州级 Yc 为 4.7 兆克/公顷-1,占 Ya 的 77% 和 Yw 的 49%。从地区层面来看,堪萨斯州中部和西部高粱产区的产量差距呈扩大趋势。堪萨斯州的高粱产量似乎停滞不前,这是因为相对于 Ya 而非 Yw 而言,可利用的产量差距较小;全州的种植面积向更易受缺水影响的环境转移;以及在中度至严重缺水的土壤中种植高粱。
{"title":"Yield gap analysis for rainfed grain sorghum in Kansas","authors":"Sarah Sexton-Bowser, Andres Patrignani","doi":"10.1002/agj2.21684","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.21684","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In the United States, grain sorghum [<i>Sorghum bicolor</i> (L.) Moench] production is concentrated in the US Great Plains region, with the state of Kansas accounting for ∼50% of the planted area. In Kansas, state-level grain yields steadily increased at a rate of 0.07 Mg ha<sup>−1</sup> year<sup>−1</sup> from 1957 to 1990. However, since 1990, sorghum yield trends across the United States and Kansas have been exhibiting signs of yield stagnation. The objectives of this study were to (1) quantify the magnitude of the yield gap and (2) identify possible reasons for yield stagnation of rainfed sorghum in Kansas. Current yield (<i>Y</i><sub>c</sub>) was estimated as the average yield of the most recently reported 10 years. Maximum attainable yield (<i>Y</i><sub>a</sub>) and water-limited potential yield (<i>Y</i><sub>w</sub>) were estimated with a frontier yield function using an extensive dataset of crop performance trials, yield contest data, and county-level survey yield data totaling 2997 site-years. State-level <i>Y</i><sub>c</sub> was 4.7 Mg ha<sup>−1</sup>, which represents 77% of <i>Y</i><sub>a</sub> and 49% of <i>Y</i><sub>w</sub>. At a regional level, there is a trend of increasing yield gap in central and western Kansas sorghum-producing regions. Sorghum yield in Kansas appears to be stagnant due to a small exploitable yield gap relative to <i>Y</i><sub>a</sub> rather than <i>Y</i><sub>w</sub>, a statewide shift in planting area to environments more vulnerable to water deficits, and cultivation in soils with moderate to severe limitations.</p>","PeriodicalId":7522,"journal":{"name":"Agronomy Journal","volume":"116 6","pages":"2901-2911"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/agj2.21684","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142642112","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Michael D. Corbin, Renata L. G. Nave, Harley D. Naumann, Gary E. Bates, Christopher Boyer, Otávio G. de Almeida
Pasture systems that include cool- and warm-season species have the potential to enhance tall fescue (TF) [Schedonorus arundinaceus (Schreb.) Dumort.] forage systems beyond their typical season. The objectives of this study were to incorporate crabgrass (Digitaria ciliaris Retz.) into TF swards and compare the production of monoculture TF to a binary mixture of crabgrass and TF as well as its effect with different sources of nitrogen (such as red clover [Trifolium pratense L.] or sunn hemp [Crotalaria juncea L.]). The experiment was conducted in Crossville, TN, in 2020 and 2021. The treatments were as follows: (1) TF + 0 N (T), (2) TF + ammonium nitrate (TA), (3) TF + red clover (TR), (4) TF + sunn hemp (TS), (5) TF + crabgrass + 0 N (TFC), (6) TF + crabgrass + ammonium nitrate (TCA), (7) TF + crabgrass + red clover (TCR), and (8) TF + crabgrass + sunn hemp (TCS). The plots containing red clover indicated a greater herbage mass (HM) and crude protein (CP) along with lesser neutral detergent fiber compared to the other treatments. Sunn hemp performed best during the mid-summer, contributing to the increase of HM. Tall fescue swards that were mixed with crabgrass and a source of N (legumes or N fertilizer) had greater HM during the warm season, having the potential to decrease the stationarity of production. Thus, including crabgrass, red clover, and sunn hemp (grass and legumes, respectively) in TF pasture can be a great strategy to increase HM and improve nutritive value.
{"title":"Inclusion of cool- and warm-season species in tall fescue swards for increased productivity","authors":"Michael D. Corbin, Renata L. G. Nave, Harley D. Naumann, Gary E. Bates, Christopher Boyer, Otávio G. de Almeida","doi":"10.1002/agj2.21690","DOIUrl":"10.1002/agj2.21690","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Pasture systems that include cool- and warm-season species have the potential to enhance tall fescue (TF) [S<i>chedonorus arundinaceus</i> (Schreb.) Dumort.] forage systems beyond their typical season. The objectives of this study were to incorporate crabgrass (<i>Digitaria ciliaris</i> Retz.) into TF swards and compare the production of monoculture TF to a binary mixture of crabgrass and TF as well as its effect with different sources of nitrogen (such as red clover [<i>Trifolium pratense</i> L.] or sunn hemp [<i>Crotalaria juncea</i> L.]). The experiment was conducted in Crossville, TN, in 2020 and 2021. The treatments were as follows: (1) TF + 0 N (T), (2) TF + ammonium nitrate (TA), (3) TF + red clover (TR), (4) TF + sunn hemp (TS), (5) TF + crabgrass + 0 N (TFC), (6) TF + crabgrass + ammonium nitrate (TCA), (7) TF + crabgrass + red clover (TCR), and (8) TF + crabgrass + sunn hemp (TCS). The plots containing red clover indicated a greater herbage mass (HM) and crude protein (CP) along with lesser neutral detergent fiber compared to the other treatments. Sunn hemp performed best during the mid-summer, contributing to the increase of HM. Tall fescue swards that were mixed with crabgrass and a source of N (legumes or N fertilizer) had greater HM during the warm season, having the potential to decrease the stationarity of production. Thus, including crabgrass, red clover, and sunn hemp (grass and legumes, respectively) in TF pasture can be a great strategy to increase HM and improve nutritive value.</p>","PeriodicalId":7522,"journal":{"name":"Agronomy Journal","volume":"116 6","pages":"3158-3170"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142254400","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
O. A. Ortez, A. J. McMechan, E. Robinson, R. W. Elmore
Corn (Zea mays L.) yields have increased historically, but production concerns still exist. For decades, abnormal corn ear development symptoms have been reported. Most of these reports have not been addressed through research, perhaps due to low occurrence and challenges in replicating them. In 2016, widespread abnormal ear development (multiple ears per node, barbell-ears, and short-husk ears) issues were reported in several cornfields in the Texas Panhandle, Eastern Colorado, Nebraska, and other US Midwest states. Fields with a high frequency of abnormalities resulted in lower yields. To investigate causal factors, a field trial was established to study the effect of hybrids, environments, and planting dates on abnormal ears. The project was conducted at two Nebraska sites during the 2018, 2019, and 2020 growing seasons. Six hybrids, six environments, and four planting dates were studied. Approximately 59,200 plants were individually assessed at the dent stage (R5). Abnormal ear percentages ranged from 0% to 45% per plot, with a mean of 6.66% across all conditions. Interactions among hybrids, environments, and planting dates were documented despite the overall low incidence of abnormal ears. Grain yields ranged from 5.2 to 22.5 Mg ha−1; hybrids with higher abnormal ear percentages were associated with lower yields. The main documented symptom was short-husk ears. Abnormal ears were often placed at lower heights in the plant relative to normal ears. The results presented here demonstrate the importance of studying abnormal ears and understanding the impact of planting dates and hybrid selection as potential strategies to mitigate abnormal ears.
{"title":"Abnormal ear development in corn: Does hybrid, environment, and planting date matter?","authors":"O. A. Ortez, A. J. McMechan, E. Robinson, R. W. Elmore","doi":"10.1002/agj2.21685","DOIUrl":"10.1002/agj2.21685","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Corn (<i>Zea mays</i> L.) yields have increased historically, but production concerns still exist. For decades, abnormal corn ear development symptoms have been reported. Most of these reports have not been addressed through research, perhaps due to low occurrence and challenges in replicating them. In 2016, widespread abnormal ear development (multiple ears per node, barbell-ears, and short-husk ears) issues were reported in several cornfields in the Texas Panhandle, Eastern Colorado, Nebraska, and other US Midwest states. Fields with a high frequency of abnormalities resulted in lower yields. To investigate causal factors, a field trial was established to study the effect of hybrids, environments, and planting dates on abnormal ears. The project was conducted at two Nebraska sites during the 2018, 2019, and 2020 growing seasons. Six hybrids, six environments, and four planting dates were studied. Approximately 59,200 plants were individually assessed at the dent stage (R5). Abnormal ear percentages ranged from 0% to 45% per plot, with a mean of 6.66% across all conditions. Interactions among hybrids, environments, and planting dates were documented despite the overall low incidence of abnormal ears. Grain yields ranged from 5.2 to 22.5 Mg ha<sup>−1</sup>; hybrids with higher abnormal ear percentages were associated with lower yields. The main documented symptom was short-husk ears. Abnormal ears were often placed at lower heights in the plant relative to normal ears. The results presented here demonstrate the importance of studying abnormal ears and understanding the impact of planting dates and hybrid selection as potential strategies to mitigate abnormal ears.</p>","PeriodicalId":7522,"journal":{"name":"Agronomy Journal","volume":"116 6","pages":"3130-3144"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/agj2.21685","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142254398","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}