Pub Date : 2026-01-01Epub Date: 2025-08-11DOI: 10.1177/00031348251367031
Sameh Hany Emile, Nir Horesh, Zoe Garoufalia, Rachel Gefen, Marylise Boutros, Steven D Wexner
BackgroundChatbots and large language models, particularly ChatGPT, have led to an increasing number of studies on the potential for chatbots in patient education. In this systematic review, we aimed to provide a pooled assessment of the appropriateness and accuracy of chatbot responses in patient education across various medical disciplines.MethodsThis was a PRISMA-compliant systematic review and meta-analysis. PubMed and Scopus were searched from January-August 2023. Eligible studies that assessed the utility of chatbots in patient education were included. Primary outcomes were the appropriateness and quality of chatbot responses. Secondary outcomes included readability and concordance with published guidelines and Google searches. A random-effect proportional meta-analysis was used for pooling data.ResultsFollowing initial screening, 21 studies were included. The pooled rate of appropriateness of chatbot answers was 89.1% (95%CI: 84.9%-93.3%). ChatGPT was the most assessed chatbot. Responses, while accurate, were found to be at a college reading level as the weighted mean Flesh-Kincaid Grade Level was 13.1 (95%CI: 11.7-14.5) and the weighted mean Flesch Reading Ease Score was 38.6 (95%CI: 29- 48.2). Answers of chatbots to questions relevant to patient education had 78.6%-95% concordance with published guidelines in colorectal surgery and urology. Chatbots had higher patient education scores (87% vs 78%) than Google Search.ConclusionsChatbots provide largely accurate and appropriate answers for patient education. The advanced reading level of chatbot responses might be a limitation to their wide adoption as a source for patient education. However, they outperform traditional search engines and align well with professional guidelines, showcasing their potential in patient education.
{"title":"Assessment of the Utility of Artificial Intelligence-Based Chatbots in Patient Education: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.","authors":"Sameh Hany Emile, Nir Horesh, Zoe Garoufalia, Rachel Gefen, Marylise Boutros, Steven D Wexner","doi":"10.1177/00031348251367031","DOIUrl":"10.1177/00031348251367031","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>BackgroundChatbots and large language models, particularly ChatGPT, have led to an increasing number of studies on the potential for chatbots in patient education. In this systematic review, we aimed to provide a pooled assessment of the appropriateness and accuracy of chatbot responses in patient education across various medical disciplines.MethodsThis was a PRISMA-compliant systematic review and meta-analysis. PubMed and Scopus were searched from January-August 2023. Eligible studies that assessed the utility of chatbots in patient education were included. Primary outcomes were the appropriateness and quality of chatbot responses. Secondary outcomes included readability and concordance with published guidelines and Google searches. A random-effect proportional meta-analysis was used for pooling data.ResultsFollowing initial screening, 21 studies were included. The pooled rate of appropriateness of chatbot answers was 89.1% (95%CI: 84.9%-93.3%). ChatGPT was the most assessed chatbot. Responses, while accurate, were found to be at a college reading level as the weighted mean Flesh-Kincaid Grade Level was 13.1 (95%CI: 11.7-14.5) and the weighted mean Flesch Reading Ease Score was 38.6 (95%CI: 29- 48.2). Answers of chatbots to questions relevant to patient education had 78.6%-95% concordance with published guidelines in colorectal surgery and urology. Chatbots had higher patient education scores (87% vs 78%) than Google Search.ConclusionsChatbots provide largely accurate and appropriate answers for patient education. The advanced reading level of chatbot responses might be a limitation to their wide adoption as a source for patient education. However, they outperform traditional search engines and align well with professional guidelines, showcasing their potential in patient education.</p>","PeriodicalId":7782,"journal":{"name":"American Surgeon","volume":" ","pages":"258-269"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144820391","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-01Epub Date: 2025-07-02DOI: 10.1177/00031348251355935
Eliel N Arrey, Anahit Mehranian, Aaron M Alford
Disparities in health care access have long affected both rural and urban communities across the United States. While much of the discourse has focused on rural hospital closures, inner-city hospitals-often safety-net institutions serving vulnerable populations-are increasingly shutting down due to financial instability, systemic underfunding, and policy changes. These closures have profound consequences for access to surgical care, exacerbating existing disparities and straining remaining health care infrastructure. Patients in affected urban areas face longer travel distances, increased wait times, and, in some cases, the inability to receive critical surgical interventions. This paper explores the impact of inner-city hospital closures on surgical care access, examining trends in urban hospital insolvency, disparities in surgical outcomes, and the financial and policy challenges that contribute to these closures. Through case studies of major hospital shutdowns, including Atlanta Medical Center and Hahnemann University Hospital, we highlight the real-world consequences of losing essential surgical services. We further analyze policy solutions such as Medicaid expansion, financial stabilization strategies, and community-driven health care initiatives that may mitigate these effects. Addressing urban hospital closures is imperative to ensuring equitable access to timely surgical care in underserved populations.
{"title":"Impacts of Inner-City Hospital Closures on Access to Surgical Care in Urban Communities.","authors":"Eliel N Arrey, Anahit Mehranian, Aaron M Alford","doi":"10.1177/00031348251355935","DOIUrl":"10.1177/00031348251355935","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Disparities in health care access have long affected both rural and urban communities across the United States. While much of the discourse has focused on rural hospital closures, inner-city hospitals-often safety-net institutions serving vulnerable populations-are increasingly shutting down due to financial instability, systemic underfunding, and policy changes. These closures have profound consequences for access to surgical care, exacerbating existing disparities and straining remaining health care infrastructure. Patients in affected urban areas face longer travel distances, increased wait times, and, in some cases, the inability to receive critical surgical interventions. This paper explores the impact of inner-city hospital closures on surgical care access, examining trends in urban hospital insolvency, disparities in surgical outcomes, and the financial and policy challenges that contribute to these closures. Through case studies of major hospital shutdowns, including Atlanta Medical Center and Hahnemann University Hospital, we highlight the real-world consequences of losing essential surgical services. We further analyze policy solutions such as Medicaid expansion, financial stabilization strategies, and community-driven health care initiatives that may mitigate these effects. Addressing urban hospital closures is imperative to ensuring equitable access to timely surgical care in underserved populations.</p>","PeriodicalId":7782,"journal":{"name":"American Surgeon","volume":" ","pages":"129-139"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144537792","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-01Epub Date: 2025-06-30DOI: 10.1177/00031348251355934
May Let Wah, SeungYong Han, Marco J Tomassi, Elisabeth C McLemore
BackgroundThe advent of biologic therapy has been used as a surrogate marker for the shift from reactive to preventative management and surveillance for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). This shift has resulted in earlier detection, earlier medical therapy, and increased bowel preservation in many published series.MethodsA retrospective population-based study was conducted in adult patients (age ≥18) with an IBD diagnosis using SCPMG Clinical & Administrative Database containing diagnostic, prescribing, and billing codes for IBD and IBD-related gastrointestinal surgery. An Interrupted Time Series design with a segmented regression analysis was used to estimate the rate of change in bowel resection and/or strictureplasty before and after the introduction of biologic therapy (1993-1999 and 1999-2009).ResultsBowel resection and/or strictureplasty rate of change was higher between 1993 and 1999, with a rate of -0.26 (P < 0.0001, 95% CI: -0.34 to -0.18), compared to -0.10 between 1999 and 2009. The difference in the rates of change between 2 time periods (0.16) was significant (α = 0.05, P = 0.0003, 95% CI: 0.07 to 0.24).DiscussionA declining trend in bowel resection rates was evident before the introduction of biologic therapy in IBD patients. This finding suggests that the transition from reactive to preventative management and surveillance began well before the biologic era within our health care system.
{"title":"The Impact of the Shift in Clinical Management From Reactive to Preventative on the Rate of Bowel Resection in Inflammatory Bowel Disease Within a Large Health Care Organization.","authors":"May Let Wah, SeungYong Han, Marco J Tomassi, Elisabeth C McLemore","doi":"10.1177/00031348251355934","DOIUrl":"10.1177/00031348251355934","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>BackgroundThe advent of biologic therapy has been used as a surrogate marker for the shift from reactive to preventative management and surveillance for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). This shift has resulted in earlier detection, earlier medical therapy, and increased bowel preservation in many published series.MethodsA retrospective population-based study was conducted in adult patients (age ≥18) with an IBD diagnosis using SCPMG Clinical & Administrative Database containing diagnostic, prescribing, and billing codes for IBD and IBD-related gastrointestinal surgery. An Interrupted Time Series design with a segmented regression analysis was used to estimate the rate of change in bowel resection and/or strictureplasty before and after the introduction of biologic therapy (1993-1999 and 1999-2009).ResultsBowel resection and/or strictureplasty rate of change was higher between 1993 and 1999, with a rate of -0.26 (<i>P</i> < 0.0001, 95% CI: -0.34 to -0.18), compared to -0.10 between 1999 and 2009. The difference in the rates of change between 2 time periods (0.16) was significant (α = 0.05, <i>P</i> = 0.0003, 95% CI: 0.07 to 0.24).DiscussionA declining trend in bowel resection rates was evident before the introduction of biologic therapy in IBD patients. This finding suggests that the transition from reactive to preventative management and surveillance began well before the biologic era within our health care system.</p>","PeriodicalId":7782,"journal":{"name":"American Surgeon","volume":" ","pages":"122-128"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144526104","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-01Epub Date: 2025-07-27DOI: 10.1177/00031348251363850
Don K Nakayama
In 1916 Paul Kaznelson (1892-1959), a 26-year-old medical student at German University in Prague, was the first to describe splenectomy for what would be recognized today as immune thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP). From his physical examination, microscopy of a blood smear, and what was then known about the life cycle of platelets, he concluded that his patient's bleeding diathesis and enlarged spleen were linked: she had no platelets because they were being destroyed by the organ. He convinced the chief of surgery to remove the patient's spleen, a landmark operation that succeeded beyond "the wildest expectations". He stayed on faculty, but his promising academic career was derailed by virulent antisemitism, first in his own university medical school, then his home country. Forced into exile in 1939 he found refuge in the United Kingdom, which allowed him to practice medicine but denied him formal residency. At war's end he found himself unwanted in the West by his Russian heritage and citizenship in an Iron Curtain country. Czechoslovakia's newly installed communist regime barred his repatriation due to the ambiguous circumstances of his wartime residency in England. Today treatment of ITP is directed toward controlling autoimmune reaction against platelet antigens. Splenectomy is done only after nonsurgical options have been exhausted. The operation and its history are a fading coda to the story of a medical prodigy whose career was crushed by prejudice and world events.
{"title":"Paul Kaznelson, Immune Thrombocytopenic Purpura, and Splenectomy: The Tragic Story of a Medical Prodigy.","authors":"Don K Nakayama","doi":"10.1177/00031348251363850","DOIUrl":"10.1177/00031348251363850","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In 1916 Paul Kaznelson (1892-1959), a 26-year-old medical student at German University in Prague, was the first to describe splenectomy for what would be recognized today as immune thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP). From his physical examination, microscopy of a blood smear, and what was then known about the life cycle of platelets, he concluded that his patient's bleeding diathesis and enlarged spleen were linked: she had no platelets because they were being destroyed by the organ. He convinced the chief of surgery to remove the patient's spleen, a landmark operation that succeeded beyond \"the wildest expectations\". He stayed on faculty, but his promising academic career was derailed by virulent antisemitism, first in his own university medical school, then his home country. Forced into exile in 1939 he found refuge in the United Kingdom, which allowed him to practice medicine but denied him formal residency. At war's end he found himself unwanted in the West by his Russian heritage and citizenship in an Iron Curtain country. Czechoslovakia's newly installed communist regime barred his repatriation due to the ambiguous circumstances of his wartime residency in England. Today treatment of ITP is directed toward controlling autoimmune reaction against platelet antigens. Splenectomy is done only after nonsurgical options have been exhausted. The operation and its history are a fading coda to the story of a medical prodigy whose career was crushed by prejudice and world events.</p>","PeriodicalId":7782,"journal":{"name":"American Surgeon","volume":" ","pages":"307-310"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144726499","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-01Epub Date: 2025-08-19DOI: 10.1177/00031348251371205
Meili Lin, Lude Wang, Miao Fu, Shian Yu, Haiping Lin
The perioperative period poses significant physiological challenges, often leading to complications such as organ injury and systemic inflammation, which impact surgical outcomes. Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15), a stress-responsive cytokine within the TGF-β superfamily, has emerged as a promising biomarker and therapeutic target in perioperative medicine. This review synthesizes current evidence on GDF15's multifaceted roles across various surgical contexts. As a predictive biomarker, GDF15 demonstrates superior accuracy in stratifying risks for postoperative complications, particularly in cardiovascular and transplant surgeries, outperforming traditional markers like CRP and BNP. Mechanistically, GDF15 contributes to organ protection by modulating inflammation, mitochondrial function, and tissue repair pathways. In bariatric surgery, GDF15 mediates sustained metabolic benefits, while in sepsis, it reflects mitochondrial stress and immune dysfunction. Despite its potential, challenges such as context-dependent pleiotropy, assay variability, and unresolved mechanistic pathways hinder clinical translation. Future directions include advancing receptor-specific therapies, standardizing assays, and integrating GDF15 into AI-driven predictive models. By decoding its complex biology, GDF15 could revolutionize personalized perioperative care, enhancing surgical resilience and outcomes across diverse clinical scenarios.
{"title":"GDF15: Review of its Biochemistry and Role as a Marker for Preoperative Risk, Surgical Stress, and Postoperative Complications.","authors":"Meili Lin, Lude Wang, Miao Fu, Shian Yu, Haiping Lin","doi":"10.1177/00031348251371205","DOIUrl":"10.1177/00031348251371205","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The perioperative period poses significant physiological challenges, often leading to complications such as organ injury and systemic inflammation, which impact surgical outcomes. Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15), a stress-responsive cytokine within the TGF-β superfamily, has emerged as a promising biomarker and therapeutic target in perioperative medicine. This review synthesizes current evidence on GDF15's multifaceted roles across various surgical contexts. As a predictive biomarker, GDF15 demonstrates superior accuracy in stratifying risks for postoperative complications, particularly in cardiovascular and transplant surgeries, outperforming traditional markers like CRP and BNP. Mechanistically, GDF15 contributes to organ protection by modulating inflammation, mitochondrial function, and tissue repair pathways. In bariatric surgery, GDF15 mediates sustained metabolic benefits, while in sepsis, it reflects mitochondrial stress and immune dysfunction. Despite its potential, challenges such as context-dependent pleiotropy, assay variability, and unresolved mechanistic pathways hinder clinical translation. Future directions include advancing receptor-specific therapies, standardizing assays, and integrating GDF15 into AI-driven predictive models. By decoding its complex biology, GDF15 could revolutionize personalized perioperative care, enhancing surgical resilience and outcomes across diverse clinical scenarios.</p>","PeriodicalId":7782,"journal":{"name":"American Surgeon","volume":" ","pages":"270-278"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144881892","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-01Epub Date: 2025-09-13DOI: 10.1177/00031348251376682
Ashley Tran, John C Lipham, Sharon Shiraga
BackgroundEmergent paraesophageal hernia repair (emPEHR) may be required due to complications such as incarceration or gastric volvulus. However, data regarding changes in management and outcomes of emPEHR is limited. Our objective was to evaluate national trends in emPEHR over an 8-year period.MethodsThe 2015-2022 ACS-NSQIP databases were queried for cases of emPEHR using Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) codes. Trends in patient demographics, operative characteristics, and 30-day postoperative outcomes were evaluated.ResultsA total of 42 476 cases of PEHR were performed during the study period. Of these, 1583 (3.7%) were emergent. The proportion of emPEHR cases has increased from 2015 to 2022 (3.1% to 5.6%, P < 0.001). Utilization of laparoscopy has increased from 60.3% to 79.1% (P < 0.001). Emergent cases had a higher likelihood of wound (OR 4.0, P < 0.001), pulmonary (OR 4.5, P < 0.001), neurovascular (OR 3.9, P < 0.001), renal (OR 2.5, P < 0.001), and cardiac (OR 2.0, P < 0.001) complications, sepsis (OR 6.4, P < 0.001), reoperation (OR 1.9, P < 0.001), readmission (OR 1.5, P < 0.001), and mortality (OR 4.5, P < 0.001) compared to elective cases. However, between, there was a decrease in renal complications (6.9% to 1.7%, P = 0.004) and bleeding requiring transfusions (6.9% to 3.7%, P < 0.001) following emPEHR.DiscussionThere has been an increase in rates of emergent PEHR since 2015. Emergent cases have poorer outcomes compared to elective cases, with only a minimal decrease in certain postoperative complications over time. This data highlights the importance of elective repair for PEHs and the need to proactively identify patients who will benefit from elective repair or specialist referral.
背景:由于嵌顿或胃扭转等并发症,需要行食管旁疝修补术(emPEHR)。然而,关于emPEHR管理变化和结果的数据有限。我们的目标是评估国家在8年期间的emPEHR趋势。方法采用现行程序术语(Current procedure Terminology, CPT)编码查询2015-2022年ACS-NSQIP数据库中emPEHR病例。评估患者人口统计学、手术特征和术后30天预后的趋势。结果研究期间共行PEHR 42 476例。其中,1583例(3.7%)是紧急病例。从2015年到2022年,emPEHR病例的比例有所增加(3.1% ~ 5.6%,P < 0.001)。腹腔镜的使用率从60.3%上升到79.1% (P < 0.001)。与择期病例相比,急诊病例有更高的可能性出现伤口(OR 4.0, P < 0.001)、肺部(OR 4.5, P < 0.001)、神经血管(OR 3.9, P < 0.001)、肾脏(OR 2.5, P < 0.001)和心脏(OR 2.0, P < 0.001)并发症、败血症(OR 6.4, P < 0.001)、再手术(OR 1.9, P < 0.001)、再入院(OR 1.5, P < 0.001)和死亡(OR 4.5, P < 0.001)。然而,在两者之间,emPEHR后肾脏并发症(6.9%至1.7%,P = 0.004)和需要输血的出血(6.9%至3.7%,P < 0.001)减少。自2015年以来,突发PEHR的发病率有所上升。与选择性病例相比,急诊病例的预后较差,随着时间的推移,某些术后并发症的减少幅度很小。这些数据强调了PEHs选择性修复的重要性,以及主动识别将从选择性修复或专科转诊中受益的患者的必要性。
{"title":"National Trends in Emergent Paraesophageal Hernia Repair Over 8 Years.","authors":"Ashley Tran, John C Lipham, Sharon Shiraga","doi":"10.1177/00031348251376682","DOIUrl":"10.1177/00031348251376682","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>BackgroundEmergent paraesophageal hernia repair (emPEHR) may be required due to complications such as incarceration or gastric volvulus. However, data regarding changes in management and outcomes of emPEHR is limited. Our objective was to evaluate national trends in emPEHR over an 8-year period.MethodsThe 2015-2022 ACS-NSQIP databases were queried for cases of emPEHR using Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) codes. Trends in patient demographics, operative characteristics, and 30-day postoperative outcomes were evaluated.ResultsA total of 42 476 cases of PEHR were performed during the study period. Of these, 1583 (3.7%) were emergent. The proportion of emPEHR cases has increased from 2015 to 2022 (3.1% to 5.6%, <i>P</i> < 0.001). Utilization of laparoscopy has increased from 60.3% to 79.1% (<i>P</i> < 0.001). Emergent cases had a higher likelihood of wound (OR 4.0, <i>P</i> < 0.001), pulmonary (OR 4.5, <i>P</i> < 0.001), neurovascular (OR 3.9, <i>P</i> < 0.001), renal (OR 2.5, <i>P</i> < 0.001), and cardiac (OR 2.0, <i>P</i> < 0.001) complications, sepsis (OR 6.4, <i>P</i> < 0.001), reoperation (OR 1.9, <i>P</i> < 0.001), readmission (OR 1.5, <i>P</i> < 0.001), and mortality (OR 4.5, <i>P</i> < 0.001) compared to elective cases. However, between, there was a decrease in renal complications (6.9% to 1.7%, <i>P</i> = 0.004) and bleeding requiring transfusions (6.9% to 3.7%, <i>P</i> < 0.001) following emPEHR.DiscussionThere has been an increase in rates of emergent PEHR since 2015. Emergent cases have poorer outcomes compared to elective cases, with only a minimal decrease in certain postoperative complications over time. This data highlights the importance of elective repair for PEHs and the need to proactively identify patients who will benefit from elective repair or specialist referral.</p>","PeriodicalId":7782,"journal":{"name":"American Surgeon","volume":" ","pages":"7-14"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145058234","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-01Epub Date: 2025-07-03DOI: 10.1177/00031348251358446
Shamir C Harry, Melissa A Kendall, Emily A Grimsley, Rachel L Wolansky, Johnathan V Torikashvili, David Boughanem, Yifan Liang, Rajavi Parikh, Joseph Sujka, Paul C Kuo, Tyler Zander
BackgroundTraumatic rib fractures can lead to respiratory complications necessitating unplanned intubation, but predictors have been inadequately delineated. We used interpretable machine learning to predict unplanned intubations in rib fracture patients while identifying predictors.MethodsTQIP 2017-2022 was queried for adult patients admitted to the hospital following a rib fracture injury. An XGBoost model was developed to predict unplanned intubation using variables that can be known on admission. A 70/10/20 train/validation/test split was used. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) were used for interpretation. SHAP allows individualized interpretation of predictors for each patient.ResultsThe cohort had 905 615 patients; 2.3% had unplanned intubations. Model metrics at the F1 maximizing threshold (0.78) included AUROC = 0.83, F1 score = 0.17, accuracy = 0.94, precision = 0.12, recall = 0.29, specificity = 0.95, and Brier score = 0.17. The most influential variables, as determined by mean absolute SHAP values, were admission location (0.62), Injury Severity Score (0.40), age (0.37), absence of comorbidities (0.18), pulse rate (0.14), pneumothorax (0.13), oxygen saturation (0.15), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (0.11), respiratory rate (0.10), and sex (0.10). ICU admission was the location most influential in predicting an unplanned intubation. SHAP dependency plots determined the directional relationship between variables' values and SHAP values.DiscussionPatients above the F1 maximizing threshold had a 7.4-fold increase in unplanned intubations compared to those below. Nearly 30% of all unplanned intubations were captured at this threshold. Our model's identification of these high-risk patients and influential factors not previously considered in the literature could guide closer monitoring and early interventions.
{"title":"Predicting Unplanned Intubations in Rib Fracture Patients: An Interpretable Machine Learning Approach.","authors":"Shamir C Harry, Melissa A Kendall, Emily A Grimsley, Rachel L Wolansky, Johnathan V Torikashvili, David Boughanem, Yifan Liang, Rajavi Parikh, Joseph Sujka, Paul C Kuo, Tyler Zander","doi":"10.1177/00031348251358446","DOIUrl":"10.1177/00031348251358446","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>BackgroundTraumatic rib fractures can lead to respiratory complications necessitating unplanned intubation, but predictors have been inadequately delineated. We used interpretable machine learning to predict unplanned intubations in rib fracture patients while identifying predictors.MethodsTQIP 2017-2022 was queried for adult patients admitted to the hospital following a rib fracture injury. An XGBoost model was developed to predict unplanned intubation using variables that can be known on admission. A 70/10/20 train/validation/test split was used. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) were used for interpretation. SHAP allows individualized interpretation of predictors for each patient.ResultsThe cohort had 905 615 patients; 2.3% had unplanned intubations. Model metrics at the F1 maximizing threshold (0.78) included AUROC = 0.83, F1 score = 0.17, accuracy = 0.94, precision = 0.12, recall = 0.29, specificity = 0.95, and Brier score = 0.17. The most influential variables, as determined by mean absolute SHAP values, were admission location (0.62), Injury Severity Score (0.40), age (0.37), absence of comorbidities (0.18), pulse rate (0.14), pneumothorax (0.13), oxygen saturation (0.15), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (0.11), respiratory rate (0.10), and sex (0.10). ICU admission was the location most influential in predicting an unplanned intubation. SHAP dependency plots determined the directional relationship between variables' values and SHAP values.DiscussionPatients above the F1 maximizing threshold had a 7.4-fold increase in unplanned intubations compared to those below. Nearly 30% of all unplanned intubations were captured at this threshold. Our model's identification of these high-risk patients and influential factors not previously considered in the literature could guide closer monitoring and early interventions.</p>","PeriodicalId":7782,"journal":{"name":"American Surgeon","volume":" ","pages":"186-192"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12381933/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144558844","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-01Epub Date: 2025-05-02DOI: 10.1177/00031348251340035
Don K Nakayama
Stop the Bleed™, the education program created by the American College of Surgeons to address life-threatening bleeding, came from concepts of combat casualty care in tactical settings in the US military. Tourniquet control of exsanguinating extremity injuries dates from its first recorded use in the French military in the 17th century and its general issue to ships of the Royal Navy during the Napoleonic Wars. Wound packing and pressure dressings, specifically in junctional sites and head and neck, also date from the 16th century, illustrating the priority of hemorrhage control throughout the history of military medicine.
Stop the Bleed™是由美国外科医师学会创建的教育项目,旨在解决危及生命的出血问题,该项目源于美军战术环境中的战斗伤亡护理概念。止血带用于控制失血严重的肢体损伤的历史可以追溯到17世纪法国军队中首次使用止血带的记录,并在拿破仑战争期间普遍用于皇家海军的船只。伤口包装和压力敷料,特别是在交汇处和头颈部,也可以追溯到16世纪,说明了在军事医学史上控制出血的优先地位。
{"title":"Stop the Bleed™ in the Royal Navy During the Napoleonic Wars.","authors":"Don K Nakayama","doi":"10.1177/00031348251340035","DOIUrl":"10.1177/00031348251340035","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Stop the Bleed™, the education program created by the American College of Surgeons to address life-threatening bleeding, came from concepts of combat casualty care in tactical settings in the US military. Tourniquet control of exsanguinating extremity injuries dates from its first recorded use in the French military in the 17th century and its general issue to ships of the Royal Navy during the Napoleonic Wars. Wound packing and pressure dressings, specifically in junctional sites and head and neck, also date from the 16th century, illustrating the priority of hemorrhage control throughout the history of military medicine.</p>","PeriodicalId":7782,"journal":{"name":"American Surgeon","volume":" ","pages":"300-303"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143972996","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-01Epub Date: 2025-05-26DOI: 10.1177/00031348251346529
Evelyn Calderon Martinez, Michael J Asken, Taylor Casey, Anas Atrash
Inattentional Blindness (IB) is a cognitive phenomenon where individuals fail to notice both obvious and unexpected stimuli while focused on other tasks. It can have significant implications for performance, especially in healthcare. This study investigated the prevalence and nature of IB among surgical and internal medicine (IM) residents. Results indicated that IM residents more frequently identified a relevant stimulus, a lung nodule (81.3%) compared to surgical residents (57.1%), though the difference was not statistically significant. However, surgical residents more often noted an irrelevant stimulus, a gorilla, compared to IM residents (85.7% vs 50.0%, P < 0.02). The study documents the existence of IB among residents with differences in detection between specialties. The findings suggest the potential importance of teaching residents to recognize and address perceptual flaws in clinical work. Future research should explore strategies to mitigate IB, optimizing clinical performance and patient safety.
{"title":"Inattentional Blindness: Failure to Notice Something Unexpected in Plain Sight Among Surgical and Medical Trainees.","authors":"Evelyn Calderon Martinez, Michael J Asken, Taylor Casey, Anas Atrash","doi":"10.1177/00031348251346529","DOIUrl":"10.1177/00031348251346529","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Inattentional Blindness (IB) is a cognitive phenomenon where individuals fail to notice both obvious and unexpected stimuli while focused on other tasks. It can have significant implications for performance, especially in healthcare. This study investigated the prevalence and nature of IB among surgical and internal medicine (IM) residents. Results indicated that IM residents more frequently identified a relevant stimulus, a lung nodule (81.3%) compared to surgical residents (57.1%), though the difference was not statistically significant. However, surgical residents more often noted an irrelevant stimulus, a gorilla, compared to IM residents (85.7% vs 50.0%, <i>P</i> < 0.02). The study documents the existence of IB among residents with differences in detection between specialties. The findings suggest the potential importance of teaching residents to recognize and address perceptual flaws in clinical work. Future research should explore strategies to mitigate IB, optimizing clinical performance and patient safety.</p>","PeriodicalId":7782,"journal":{"name":"American Surgeon","volume":" ","pages":"35-38"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144141206","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Background: During colorectal cancer (CRC) surveillance, tumor markers, such as carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), play important roles in the diagnosis, prediction, and monitoring of tumors. Herein, we devised a novel combined index comprising the CA19-9-to-CEA ratio and investigated its prognostic value in patients with stage I-III CRC after resection. Methods: This retrospective study included 306 patients who underwent radical resection between 2011 and 2020. CA19-9 and CEA levels were evaluated preoperatively. The CA19-9-to-CEA ratio cutoff value was determined via receiver-operating characteristic analysis using the survival status at the 5-year follow-up evaluation. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). Results: According to the multivariate analysis, T3 or T4 tumor (P = 0.041; hazard ratio [HR], 2.54), pathological stage III (P = 0.001; HR, 3.07), serum CEA level ≥5.0 ng/mL (P = 0.018; HR, 2.11), and high CA19-9-to-CEA ratio (P = 0.015; HR, 2.89) were independently associated with DFS. Age 65≥ years (P = 0.03; HR, 2.86), pathological stage III (P = 0.001; HR, 2.00), high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (P = 0.003; HR, 2.27), and high CA19-9-to-CEA ratio (P = 0.009; HR, 3.16) were independent prognostic factors for OS. Patients with high CA19-9-to-CEA ratios had significantly worse DFS (P < 0.001) and OS (P < 0.001). Discussion: A high CA19-9-to-CEA ratio can be used for detailed risk prediction in patients with CRC.
{"title":"Prognostic Significance of Preoperative Serum CA19-9-to-CEA Ratio in Stage I-III Colorectal Cancer Post-Resection.","authors":"Takashi Aida, Teppei Kamada, Junji Takahashi, Daisuke Yamagishi, Eisaku Ito, Norihiko Suzuki, Taigo Hata, Masashi Yoshida, Hironori Ohdaira, Yutaka Suzuki","doi":"10.1177/00031348251356745","DOIUrl":"10.1177/00031348251356745","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p><b>Background:</b> During colorectal cancer (CRC) surveillance, tumor markers, such as carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), play important roles in the diagnosis, prediction, and monitoring of tumors. Herein, we devised a novel combined index comprising the CA19-9-to-CEA ratio and investigated its prognostic value in patients with stage I-III CRC after resection. <b>Methods:</b> This retrospective study included 306 patients who underwent radical resection between 2011 and 2020. CA19-9 and CEA levels were evaluated preoperatively. The CA19-9-to-CEA ratio cutoff value was determined via receiver-operating characteristic analysis using the survival status at the 5-year follow-up evaluation. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). <b>Results:</b> According to the multivariate analysis, T3 or T4 tumor (<i>P</i> = 0.041; hazard ratio [HR], 2.54), pathological stage III (<i>P</i> = 0.001; HR, 3.07), serum CEA level ≥5.0 ng/mL (<i>P</i> = 0.018; HR, 2.11), and high CA19-9-to-CEA ratio (<i>P</i> = 0.015; HR, 2.89) were independently associated with DFS. Age 65≥ years (<i>P</i> = 0.03; HR, 2.86), pathological stage III (<i>P</i> = 0.001; HR, 2.00), high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (<i>P</i> = 0.003; HR, 2.27), and high CA19-9-to-CEA ratio (<i>P</i> = 0.009; HR, 3.16) were independent prognostic factors for OS. Patients with high CA19-9-to-CEA ratios had significantly worse DFS (<i>P</i> < 0.001) and OS (<i>P</i> < 0.001). <b>Discussion:</b> A high CA19-9-to-CEA ratio can be used for detailed risk prediction in patients with CRC.</p>","PeriodicalId":7782,"journal":{"name":"American Surgeon","volume":" ","pages":"91-98"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144504540","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}