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Unveiling the stability and optoelectronic potential of alkali-based L3FO anti-perovskites: a first-principles perspective 揭示碱基L3FO反钙钛矿的稳定性和光电子潜力:第一性原理的观点
IF 2.9 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1140/epjp/s13360-025-07239-3
Rifat Rafiu, Karim Kriaa, Md. Azizur Rahman, Imtiaz Ahamed Apon, S. AlFaify, Chemseddine Maatki, Md. Sakib Hasan, Noureddine Elboughdiri

This study presents a comprehensive first-principles investigation of the structural, electronic, optical, mechanical, phonon, and thermodynamic properties of novel L3FO (L = K, Rb, Cs) anti-perovskites using density functional theory (DFT) within the GGA-PBE framework, supported by meta-GGA (RSCAN) and hybrid (HSE06) functionals. All compounds crystallize in a stable cubic (Pm-3 m) structure with negative formation energies and tolerance factors between 0.72–0.80, confirming thermodynamic and geometric stability. The calculated band gaps decrease systematically from K3FO (1.94 eV) to Cs3FO (1.42 eV) using HSE06, indicating indirect semiconducting behavior suitable for optoelectronic applications. Mulliken and Hirshfeld analyses reveal predominantly ionic bonding with oxygen-centered charge localization. Mechanical analyses demonstrate that Rb3FO possesses the highest stiffness and isotropy, while K3FO and Cs3FO exhibit moderate and soft elastic responses, respectively. Phonon spectra confirm the dynamic stability of K3FO and Rb3FO, whereas Cs3FO shows minor imaginary modes, suggesting marginal instability. Optical analyses reveal strong absorption in the ultraviolet region, with refractive indices and dielectric functions indicating enhanced polarizability for heavier cations. Thermodynamic and molecular dynamics results validate the structural robustness of L3FO compounds at elevated temperatures. These insights establish L3FO anti-perovskites as environmentally benign, stable, and tunable materials with promising potential for next-generation optoelectronic, thermoelectric, and renewable energy applications.

本研究利用密度泛函理论(DFT)在GGA-PBE框架内,以meta-GGA (RSCAN)和混合泛函(HSE06)为支持,对新型L3FO (L = K, Rb, Cs)反钙钛矿的结构、电子、光学、力学、声子和热力学性质进行了全面的第一性原理研究。所有化合物均以稳定的立方结构(pm - 3m)结晶,形成能量为负,容差系数在0.72-0.80之间,证实了热力学和几何稳定性。利用HSE06计算得到的带隙从K3FO (1.94 eV)系统地减小到Cs3FO (1.42 eV),表明间接半导体行为适合光电应用。Mulliken和Hirshfeld的分析揭示了氧中心电荷定位的主要离子键。力学分析表明,Rb3FO具有最高的刚度和各向同性,而K3FO和Cs3FO分别表现出中等和软弹性响应。声子光谱证实了K3FO和Rb3FO的动态稳定性,而Cs3FO表现出较小的虚模,表明其具有边缘不稳定性。光学分析显示在紫外区有很强的吸收,折射率和介电函数表明较重阳离子的极化率增强。热力学和分子动力学结果验证了L3FO化合物在高温下的结构稳健性。这些见解确立了L3FO反钙钛矿是一种环保、稳定、可调的材料,在下一代光电、热电和可再生能源应用中具有广阔的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Optimization with R2U-Net nuclei segmentation and NASLe forward fractional network cell classification in pan-cancer histology images 基于R2U-Net核分割和NASLe前向分数网络细胞分类的泛癌组织学图像优化
IF 2.9 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1140/epjp/s13360-025-07244-6
Gopalsamy Venkadakrishnan Sriramakrishnan, Vadamodula Prasad, Selva Rani Balasubramaniam, Deena Gnanasekaran, Ilavarasan Sargunan, Balashanmuga Vadivu Palanivel

Nuclei segmentation and cell classification in histopathologic images (HI) are considered a vital and significant task for cancer analysis and prediction. However, it is a demanding task owing to the nuclei clustering, as well as dimensions with overlapping borders. In this research, the Taylor elk herd optimization with recurrent residual U-Net is developed for nuclei segmentation, and the neuron attention stage-by-stage LeNet forward fractional network (NASLe FF-Net) is developed for cell classification in pan-cancer histology images. At first, the collected HIs are pre-preprocessed with the adaptive Gaussian filtering, and then nuclei segmentation is done through the recurrent residual U-Net with the developed Taylor elk herd optimization, which is the combination of both Taylor series and elk herd optimizer. Subsequently, data augmentation and feature extraction are performed. Furthermore, the extracted features are classified based on the NASLe FF-Net, which combined the neuron attention stage-by-stage net as well as LeNet with fractional calculus. Thus, the NASLe FF-Net achieved an accuracy of 0.944, a true positive rate of 0.968, and a true negative rate of 0.928 with an image size of 40.

组织病理图像(HI)中的细胞核分割和细胞分类被认为是癌症分析和预测的重要任务。然而,由于核的聚类以及边界重叠的维度,这是一项艰巨的任务。在本研究中,开发了具有循环残差U-Net的Taylor麋鹿群优化算法用于细胞核分割,并开发了神经元注意逐级LeNet前向分数网络(NASLe FF-Net)用于泛癌组织学图像中的细胞分类。首先对采集到的HIs进行自适应高斯滤波预处理,然后采用泰勒级数与麋鹿群优化器相结合的泰勒种群优化算法,通过循环残差U-Net进行核分割。随后,进行数据增强和特征提取。在此基础上,对提取的特征进行分类,并将神经元注意逐级网络和LeNet与分数阶微积分相结合。因此,在图像尺寸为40的情况下,NASLe FF-Net的准确率为0.944,真阳性率为0.968,真阴性率为0.928。
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引用次数: 0
Gravitationally-induced matter creation cosmology with power-law decaying vacuum energy 具有幂律衰减真空能量的引力诱导物质创造宇宙学
IF 2.9 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1140/epjp/s13360-025-07242-8
Lokesh Chander, C.P. Singh

We study a cosmological model with a decaying vacuum energy density evolving as (varLambda propto a^{-alpha }), coupled to dark matter via gravitationally induced particle creation. The interaction emerges naturally from the decay process, helping alleviate the cosmic coincidence problem. Assuming a creation rate (varGamma propto H), we derive analytical expressions for key cosmological parameters and constrain the model using Bayesian MCMC analysis. Observational datasets include CMB distance priors, BAO, Pantheon(+) SNe Ia, cosmic chronometers, and structure growth data. The best-fit values of the Hubble constant are (H_0 = 69.85), 69.79, and 68.95 km/s/Mpc for the BASE, +SGR, and +CMB DP datasets, respectively. The model parameters (alpha) and (beta) are found to be of order (10^{-2}) and (lessapprox 10^{-4}), indicating slow vacuum decay and subtle matter creation which becomes negligible at late-times. A smooth transition from decelerated to accelerated expansion is observed through the deceleration parameter and transition redshift. The model respects the Generalized Second Law of thermodynamics and performs comparably or better than (varLambda)CDM under model selection criteria. It offers a minimal and promising extension to standard cosmology, with potential to address key late-time evolution.

我们研究了一个宇宙模型,其中真空能量密度衰变为(varLambda propto a^{-alpha }),通过引力诱导的粒子创造与暗物质耦合。这种相互作用从衰变过程中自然产生,有助于缓解宇宙巧合问题。假设创造率(varGamma propto H),我们推导出关键宇宙学参数的解析表达式,并使用贝叶斯MCMC分析约束模型。观测数据集包括CMB距离先验,BAO, Pantheon (+) SNe Ia,宇宙计时器和结构增长数据。对于BASE、+SGR和+CMB DP数据集,哈勃常数的最佳拟合值分别为(H_0 = 69.85)、69.79和68.95 km/s/Mpc。模型参数(alpha)和(beta)的阶分别为(10^{-2})和(lessapprox 10^{-4}),表明缓慢的真空衰变和细微的物质产生,在后期变得可以忽略不计。通过减速参量和跃迁红移观测到从减速膨胀到加速膨胀的平滑过渡。该模型遵循热力学广义第二定律,在模型选择标准下与(varLambda) CDM相当或更好。它为标准宇宙学提供了一个最小的、有希望的扩展,有可能解决关键的后期演化问题。
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引用次数: 0
Stresses and torque due to Couette flow of micropolar fluid in a striated annulus 条纹环空中微极流体库埃特流的应力和扭矩
IF 2.9 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1140/epjp/s13360-025-07178-z
Nnamdi Fidelis Okechi

A micropolar fluid flow in a striated annular passage is studied—the striations are characterized by shallow circumferential protrusions. The annular passage is bounded by smooth rotating cylinder and a stationary striated shaft. The mean stresses and torque are analytically determined as functions of the parameters specifying the effects of microstructure and geometry. The mean shear difference between the non-zero components of the asymmetric stress tensor is determined to examine the variation due to the microstructure. Furthermore, the analysis is extended to elucidate the behavior of the mean couple stress under the interactive effects of the flow parameters. The mean torque acting on the cylinder is evaluated, and the results indicate that the torque is significantly higher for a micropolar fluid compared to its Newtonian fluid counterpart, considered as a limiting case. The torque increases appreciably with the reduction in the gap width of the annular passage, primarily due to the reinforced influence of the bounding surfaces. This boundary effect is further amplified as the wavenumber of the striations increases, owing to the enhanced flow resistance introduced by the surface topography of the shaft. The percentage variation in the torque reveals that the flow of a micropolar fluid requires less torque when the inner shaft is smooth than when it is striated.

研究了微极流体在条纹环形通道中的流动,条纹的特征是浅的周向突起。环形通道由光滑的旋转圆柱体和静止的条纹轴所包围。平均应力和扭矩被解析确定为指定微观结构和几何结构影响的参数的函数。不对称应力张量的非零分量的平均剪切差被确定,以检查由于微观结构的变化。在此基础上,进一步分析了流动参数交互作用下平均耦合应力的变化规律。对作用在圆柱上的平均扭矩进行了评估,结果表明,作为一种极限情况,微极流体的扭矩明显高于牛顿流体。扭矩随着环空通道间隙宽度的减小而明显增加,这主要是由于边界面的增强影响。由于轴的表面形貌增加了流动阻力,这种边界效应随着条纹波数的增加而进一步放大。扭矩的百分比变化表明,当内轴光滑时,微极流体的流动所需的扭矩比内轴有条纹时要小。
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引用次数: 0
Enhanced antibacterial action against Pseudomonas aeruginosa via the electromechanical synergy of nanocurcumin mesoporous silica and piezoelectric PVDF nanofibers 纳米姜黄素、介孔二氧化硅和压电PVDF纳米纤维的机电协同作用增强对铜绿假单胞菌的抗菌作用
IF 2.9 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1140/epjp/s13360-025-07277-x
Mai.I. El-kaliuoby, Mennatallah M. Abdallah, Ahmed. M. El-Khatib, Alaa M. Khalil

Despite its therapeutic potential, curcumin suffers from poor solubility and low bioavailability. This study overcomes these limitations by developing a multifunctional nanocomposite of nanocurcumin, mesoporous silica, and piezoelectric PVDF nanofibers. By leveraging the electromechanical response of PVDF, mechanical strain generates weak electric impulses that synergistically enhance antibacterial activity. Results demonstrate an exceptional 4.2-log reduction (99.99% kill) of Pseudomonas aeruginosa, significantly outperforming individual components. This synergy is driven by piezoelectric pulses acting as a critical external cofactor, evidenced by an extended bacterial lag phase, minimized stress efficiency index, and a 16-fold increase in phospholipase leakage. These findings confirm that electrostatically induced permeability changes compromise cellular integrity, successfully augmenting curcumin’s antimicrobial efficacy for targeted wound healing.

Graphical abstract

尽管姜黄素具有治疗潜力,但其溶解度差,生物利用度低。本研究通过开发一种由纳米姜黄素、介孔二氧化硅和压电PVDF纳米纤维组成的多功能纳米复合材料,克服了这些限制。通过利用PVDF的机电响应,机械应变产生微弱的电脉冲,协同增强抗菌活性。结果表明,铜绿假单胞菌的异常降低4.2对数(99.99%的杀死),显着优于单个成分。这种协同作用是由压电脉冲作为关键的外部辅助因子驱动的,证明了细菌滞后期延长,应力效率指数最小化,磷脂酶泄漏增加16倍。这些发现证实,静电诱导的通透性改变损害细胞完整性,成功地增强了姜黄素对靶向伤口愈合的抗菌功效。图形抽象
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引用次数: 0
Mechanisms of gas–water relative permeability evolution in rough fractures: the coupling controls of shear displacement and confining pressure 粗缝中气水相对渗透率演化机制:剪切位移和围压的耦合控制
IF 2.9 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1140/epjp/s13360-025-07247-3
Yakun Wang, Zhenyu Zhang, Xiaoqian Liu, Peishan Liu, Nan Geng, Hengtao Wang

To investigate the two-phase flow patterns in rough fractures under the coupled effects of in situ confining pressure and shear displacement, this study selected shale samples from Sichuan for seepage experiments. The findings reveal that for both mated and non-mated fractures, increased confining pressure leads to fracture closure, significantly reducing the equivalent hydraulic aperture. However, under identical confining pressure, the equivalent hydraulic aperture of non-mated fractures remains significantly higher than that of mated fractures. As confining pressure increases and fractures close, the local flow paths of the two-phase fluids change, interfacial resistance increases, and the relative permeability of the water phase shows a marked downward trend. Shear displacement effectively expands flow channels within fractures. When shear displacement reaches 0.6 mm, the relative permeability of the water phase increases by 80%, while that of the gas phase increases by 40%. Based on the analysis of relative permeability evolution under the combined effects of fracture roughness, confining pressure, and shear displacement, we established a relative permeability prediction model accounting for these factors. This model accurately describes the flow behavior of two-phase fluids in rough rock fractures under varying confining pressures and shear displacements.

为研究原位围压和剪切位移耦合作用下粗缝内两相渗流规律,选取四川页岩样品进行渗流实验。研究结果表明,无论对于配缝还是非配缝,围压的增加都会导致裂缝闭合,从而显著减小等效水力孔径。然而,在相同围压下,非配缝的等效水力孔径仍然明显大于配缝。随着围压增大和裂缝闭合,两相流体局部流动路径发生改变,界面阻力增大,水相相对渗透率呈明显下降趋势。剪切位移有效地扩展了裂缝内的流道。当剪切位移达到0.6 mm时,水相相对渗透率提高80%,气相相对渗透率提高40%。在分析裂缝粗糙度、围压和剪切位移共同作用下相对渗透率演化的基础上,建立了考虑这些因素的相对渗透率预测模型。该模型准确地描述了两相流体在不同围压和剪切位移作用下在粗糙岩石裂缝中的流动特性。
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引用次数: 0
Remaining useful life prediction of Li-ion batteries using fusion-based data-driven GRU-CNN hybrid model 基于融合数据驱动的GRU-CNN混合模型的锂离子电池剩余使用寿命预测
IF 2.9 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1140/epjp/s13360-026-07295-3
Bablu Kumar Sah, Anil Kumar Yadav, Om Prakash Verma

The accurate capacity and fast life cycle predictions are important concerns for the safe and reliable operation of power sources. Recently, machine learning (ML) and deep learning algorithms have been employed to predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of batteries. This research work proposes a fusion-based hybrid model, which comprises a gated recurrent unit (GRU) with a convolutional neural network (CNN), i.e., GRU-CNN, to enhance the accuracy of RUL prediction of Li-ion batteries. The key feature of a Li-ion battery, i.e., capacity, is identified using linear, ridge, lasso, gradient boosting, and random forest regression ML models. Therefore, the capacity fading feature is used to predict the remaining life of the Li-ion battery. The moving average, exponential moving average (EMA), and Savitzky–Golay (Savgol) methods are applied for smoothing the data using a sliding window of ten data points. The proposed algorithm is trained on 80% of the entire dataset and validated on the remaining 20%. The effectiveness of the proposed hybrid algorithm is validated using two datasets: NASA and CALCE. The proposed model is compared with other existing algorithms, and statistical errors such as MSE, RMSE, and R2 are analyzed. It ensures the least prediction error, i.e., the highest accuracy of the proposed model among the existing algorithms for RUL prediction.

准确的容量和快速的寿命周期预测是电源安全可靠运行的重要问题。最近,机器学习和深度学习算法被用于预测电池的剩余使用寿命(RUL)。本研究提出了一种基于融合的混合模型,该模型由门控循环单元(GRU)和卷积神经网络(CNN)组成,即GRU-CNN,以提高锂离子电池RUL预测的准确性。锂离子电池的关键特征,即容量,是使用线性、脊线、套索、梯度增强和随机森林回归ML模型来识别的。因此,利用容量衰减特征来预测锂离子电池的剩余寿命。移动平均线,指数移动平均线(EMA)和Savitzky-Golay (Savgol)方法被用于平滑使用10个数据点的滑动窗口的数据。该算法在整个数据集的80%上进行了训练,并在剩余的20%上进行了验证。利用NASA和CALCE两个数据集验证了混合算法的有效性。将该模型与其他现有算法进行比较,并对MSE、RMSE、R2等统计误差进行分析。它保证了预测误差最小,即在现有的RUL预测算法中,该模型的精度最高。
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引用次数: 0
Automated thread counting in archaeological textiles using pulse-based feature extraction 基于脉冲特征提取的考古纺织品自动纱线计数
IF 2.9 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1140/epjp/s13360-025-07194-z
Riestiya Zain Fadillah, Davit Gigilashvili, Margrethe Havgar, Marianne Vedeler, Jon Yngve Hardeberg

Archaeological textiles are often highly fragmented, posing significant challenges for reconstruction and analysis. Human experts traditionally rely on technical analyses, such as thread counting, to match fragments and determine their origins. However, this process is labour-intensive and time-consuming, especially for degraded artefacts such as the Oseberg tapestry from the Viking Age. Despite the potential for automation, existing computational methods have proven insufficiently robust, lacking the nuanced approach that human expertise offers. We propose a framework for automating thread counting in textile images using a feature extractor to capture thread counts in vertical and horizontal directions. Our method models thread counting as a pulse counting problem, inspired by how humans intuitively count threads. It involves analysing traces of pixel values from binary and gradient images to estimate thread density. Our method was compared to measurements by human experts, and while it tended to overestimate thread counts, it showed promising results in clustering fragments. Specifically, 14 out of 27 fragments were grouped in alignment with archaeologists’ hypotheses regarding their origins. Our method offers a valuable tool for digitally reconstructing archaeological textiles, improving efficiency in analysing and matching fragmented artefacts. Future work will focus on refining our approach with advanced thresholding techniques, modelling complex weaving techniques and utilizing hyperspectral images to improve accuracy in identifying complex weaving structures and mixed thread materials.

考古纺织品往往高度破碎,对重建和分析构成重大挑战。人类专家传统上依赖于技术分析,比如纱线计数,来匹配碎片并确定它们的来源。然而,这个过程是劳动密集型和耗时的,特别是对于像维京时代的奥斯伯格挂毯这样的退化文物。尽管有自动化的潜力,但现有的计算方法已被证明不够强大,缺乏人类专业知识提供的细致入微的方法。我们提出了一个框架,在纺织图像中使用一个特征提取器来捕获垂直和水平方向的纱线计数。我们的方法将线程计数建模为脉冲计数问题,灵感来自于人类如何直观地计数线程。它包括分析来自二值和梯度图像的像素值的轨迹来估计线程密度。我们的方法与人类专家的测量结果进行了比较,虽然它倾向于高估线程数,但它在聚类片段中显示出令人鼓舞的结果。具体来说,27个碎片中有14个与考古学家关于它们起源的假设一致。我们的方法为考古纺织品的数字化重建提供了一个有价值的工具,提高了分析和匹配碎片文物的效率。未来的工作将集中于改进我们的方法,采用先进的阈值技术,模拟复杂的编织技术,并利用高光谱图像来提高识别复杂编织结构和混合线材料的准确性。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of associative memory models constructed based on memristor-coupled Hopfield neural networks 基于记忆电阻耦合Hopfield神经网络的联想记忆模型分析
IF 2.9 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1140/epjp/s13360-025-07240-w
Xiyu Ren, Yinghong Cao, Xianying Xu, Xiaodong Liu, Suo Gao, Fawaz E. Alsaadi, Jun Mou

Associative memory plays a crucial role in cognitive abilities, learning efficiency, and daily life. This paper proposes a new general-purpose memristor model and couples it with a Hopfield neural network (HNN) to construct a HNNM associative memory model. The stability of the HNNM system is analyzed. During the analysis of the parameters of the HNNM system, it is found that the system has rich dynamic characteristics, such as global hyperchaos and coexistence of attractors. By incorporating a multi-level step function into the system equations of HNNM, multi-cavity control of attractors is achieved. The sequence has a high degree of randomness, making it applicable to secure communications and industrial fields. Finally, the physical feasibility of the HNNM system is verified through the DSP platform. The HNNM model proposed in this paper provides a reference for research on associative memory in the field of brain-inspired research.

联想记忆在认知能力、学习效率和日常生活中起着至关重要的作用。本文提出了一种新的通用记忆电阻器模型,并将其与Hopfield神经网络(HNN)耦合,构建了一个HNNM联想记忆模型。分析了HNNM系统的稳定性。通过对HNNM系统参数的分析,发现该系统具有全局超混沌和吸引子共存等丰富的动态特性。通过在HNNM系统方程中引入多级阶跃函数,实现了吸引子的多腔控制。该序列具有高度随机性,适用于安全通信和工业领域。最后,通过DSP平台验证了HNNM系统的物理可行性。本文提出的HNNM模型为脑启发研究领域的联想记忆研究提供了参考。
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引用次数: 0
A two-stage convolutional gated recurrent unit with multi-head attention and regularization for multi-step ahead prediction of particulate air pollutants 一种具有多头关注和正则化的两阶段卷积门控循环单元,用于颗粒空气污染物的多步提前预测
IF 2.9 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1140/epjp/s13360-025-07234-8
Saira Mudassar, Aneela Zameer, Abdul Rehman, Rubina Nasir, Muhammad Asif Zahoor Raja

The rapid pace of industrialization and urbanization has significantly intensified the presence of harmful air pollutants, particularly particulate matter, posing serious risks to public health. Accurate and timely prediction of these pollutants is critical for developing effective mitigation and control strategies. In this study, a two-stage framework is introduced for particulate matter prediction that integrates the strengths of the random forest regressor for spatial components and a deep temporal model of the convolutional gated recurrent unit. Random forest generates initial predictions that capture intricate, nonlinear patterns in the input features, thereby enriching the input representation for downstream learning, wherein the convolutional layer extracts localized spatial features and the gated recurrent unit layers for long-term temporal dependencies. To further refine the learned representations and emphasize the most critical temporal and spatial features, a multi-head attention layer is applied after the convolutional gated recurrent unit outputs. Additionally, regularization techniques are employed within the proposed model component to enhance generalization and mitigate overfitting. The triangular approach explores the interactions among pollutant concentrations, meteorological variables, and station locations, providing a comprehensive spatiotemporal representation of pollutant dynamics. Extensive experiments are carried out on real-world Beijing hourly datasets, using both single and multi-step forecasting. A case study involving the benchmark Indian dataset and statistical significance at a 95% confidence level validates the model’s effectiveness. The results consistently demonstrate the superiority of the proposed framework over existing methods.

工业化和城市化的快速步伐大大加剧了有害空气污染物,特别是颗粒物的存在,对公众健康构成严重威胁。准确和及时地预测这些污染物对于制定有效的缓解和控制战略至关重要。在本研究中,引入了一个两阶段的颗粒物预测框架,该框架集成了随机森林回归量的空间分量和卷积门控循环单元的深度时间模型的优势。随机森林生成捕获输入特征中复杂的非线性模式的初始预测,从而丰富下游学习的输入表示,其中卷积层提取局部空间特征,门控循环单元层提取长期时间依赖性。为了进一步细化学习到的表征并强调最关键的时间和空间特征,在卷积门控循环单元输出后应用多头注意层。此外,在提出的模型组件中采用正则化技术来增强泛化和减轻过拟合。三角形方法探讨了污染物浓度、气象变量和站点位置之间的相互作用,提供了污染物动态的全面时空表征。采用单步和多步预测方法,对北京实际的每小时数据集进行了广泛的实验。一个涉及基准印度数据集的案例研究和95%置信水平的统计显著性验证了该模型的有效性。结果一致表明,所提出的框架优于现有的方法。
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