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A reconsideration of food insecurity trends in the United States 重新考虑美国粮食不安全的趋势
IF 3.3 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.1002/aepp.13412
Craig Gundersen

The food insecurity status of a household in the United States is generally put into the categories of food secure, low food secure, or very low food secure. Substantial differences in the level of need within categories are then ignored. In response, I establish a class of food insecurity measure using the binary measure of food insecurity combined with a measure of “dollars needed to be food secure.” Using data from the 2010 to 2021 Current Population Survey, I examine whether patterns of food insecurity differ by choice of measure. The two most notable findings are, first, that changes in food insecurity are similar across measures up until 2019 when they began to diverge and, second, that while aggregate rates fell from 2010 to 2021 under all measures, groups especially vulnerable to food insecurity saw smaller declines in the food insecurity rate and increases over other measures.

在美国,一个家庭的粮食不安全状况通常被划分为粮食安全等级、粮食安全等级较低等级或粮食安全等级极低等级。不同类别之间需求水平的巨大差异就被忽略了。为此,我使用粮食不安全的二元衡量标准,结合 "实现粮食安全所需美元 "的衡量标准,建立了一类粮食不安全衡量标准。利用 2010 年至 2021 年的当前人口调查数据,我研究了食物不安全的模式是否因选择的衡量标准而有所不同。两个最值得注意的发现是:第一,在 2019 年之前,不同衡量标准下的粮食不安全变化是相似的,而在 2019 年之后,它们开始出现分歧;第二,虽然在 2010 年至 2021 年期间,所有衡量标准下的总比率都有所下降,但特别容易受到粮食不安全影响的群体的粮食不安全率下降幅度较小,而其他衡量标准下的粮食不安全率则有所上升。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating the impact of cover crop adoption on ambient nitrogen concentration in the upper Mississippi River drainage 估算采用覆盖作物对密西西比河上游流域环境氮浓度的影响
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-12-19 DOI: 10.1002/aepp.13408
Hsin-Chieh Hsieh, Benjamin M. Gramig

We examine cover crop (CC) adoption to determine how this soil health practice has influenced agricultural non-point source pollution. We use remotely sensed data on practice adoption, and control for hydrological flow direction, weather, and land use to estimate the ex post impact of CC on total Nitrogen concentrations in surface water while controlling for pollutant spillovers from upstream. At the mean treatment level in the study area (3.2%), a 1% increase in CC adoption results in a 0.06 mg/L (2%) reduction in concentration in the study area. Results provide novel estimates based on observed data that can be compared to biophysical simulations of CC effectiveness.

我们研究了覆盖作物(CC)的采用情况,以确定这种土壤保健方法如何影响农业非点源污染。我们使用有关采用该方法的遥感数据,并控制水文流向、天气和土地使用情况,以估算 CC 对地表水总氮浓度的事后影响,同时控制上游污染物的溢出。在研究区域的平均处理水平(3.2%)下,采用 CC 的比例每增加 1%,研究区域的浓度就会降低 0.06 毫克/升(2%)。研究结果提供了基于观测数据的新估算值,可与 CC 效果的生物物理模拟进行比较。
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引用次数: 0
Sales performance of direct food marketers: African American-led operations 食品直销商的销售业绩:非裔美国人领导的业务
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-12-18 DOI: 10.1002/aepp.13405
Timothy Park, Steve Martinez, Mohammed Ibrahim

This paper examines the impact of participation in direct marketing on the entire distribution of farm sales for African American (AA) operations using the unconditional quantile regression (UQR) estimator. Our analysis yields unbiased estimates of the unconditional impact of direct marketing on farm sales and reveals the heterogeneous effects that occur across the distribution of farm sales. The sales gap for AA-led operations is about 11% across all quantiles when we control for farming and marketing experience along with key features of the farm operation such as crop choice and geographic location. The relative sales gap for AA operations declines across the distribution of farm sales and actually disappears for the largest operations. The network effect that we identify is associated with a sales premium for AA-led operations relative to other operations engaged in direct marketing. Marketing experts and extension professionals can use this information to guide farmers who are considering initiating or expanding direct marketing activities.

本文使用无条件量值回归(UQR)估计法研究了参与直销对非裔美国人(AA)农场销售额整个分布的影响。我们的分析得出了直销对农场销售额无条件影响的无偏估计值,并揭示了农场销售额分布中出现的异质性影响。当我们对农业和营销经验以及农场经营的主要特征(如作物选择和地理位置)进行控制时,AA 主导的经营在所有量级上的销售差距约为 11%。在农场销售额的分布中,AA 经营的相对销售额差距逐渐缩小,最大经营的差距实际上已经消失。我们所发现的网络效应与 AA 主导型经营相对于其他直销经营的销售溢价有关。营销专家和推广专业人员可以利用这些信息,为正在考虑启动或扩大直销活动的农民提供指导。
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引用次数: 0
Adaptation to climate change: The irrigation technology mix of Italian farmers 适应气候变化:意大利农民的灌溉技术组合
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-12-16 DOI: 10.1002/aepp.13411
Charlotte Fabri, Michail Tsagris, Michele Moretti, Steven Van Passel

Farmers should increasingly adopt more water-efficient irrigation technologies—such as drip irrigation—as a result of climate warming and aggravating water scarcity. We analyze how Italian farmers adapt to climate change by changing their irrigation technology mix. We apply a two-stage econometric model to data from 5876 Italian farms. We find that farmers' initial reaction to increasing temperatures is reducing their surface-irrigated fractions. When temperatures increase further, farmers switch toward more sprinkler irrigation. Our results show that farmers are not autonomously moving to drip irrigation in response to climate change, suggesting that government incentives are needed to encourage this transition.

由于气候变暖和水资源短缺加剧,农民应越来越多地采用滴灌等节水灌溉技术。我们分析了意大利农民如何通过改变灌溉技术组合来适应气候变化。我们对来自 5876 个意大利农场的数据采用了两阶段计量经济学模型。我们发现,农民对气温升高的最初反应是减少地表灌溉比例。当气温进一步升高时,农民会转向更多的喷灌。我们的结果表明,农民并没有根据气候变化自主转向滴灌,这表明需要政府采取激励措施来鼓励这种转变。
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引用次数: 0
The distribution of competitive research grants from the National Institute for Food and Agriculture: A comparison of 1862 land grant universities, 1890 land grant universities, and other institutions 国家食品与农业研究所竞争性研究补助金的分配情况:1862 年赠地大学、1890 年赠地大学和其他机构的比较
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.1002/aepp.13413
Norbert L. W. Wilson, Lurleen M. Walters, Tara Wade, Kenesha Reynolds

This article evaluates the U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Institute for Food and Agriculture (NIFA) competitive grant funding awarded to predominately White 1862 land grant institutions (LGUs), historically Black 1890 LGUs, and non-land grant institutions. We present the historical distribution of funding for agricultural research. Much of the inquiry centers on the differential funding of the 1862 LGUs, 1890 LGUs, and non-land grant institutions. We discuss the implications for academic and community stakeholders. Results show that, on average, 1890 LGUs and non-land grant institutions receive less competitive grant funding than 1862 LGUs for the same award programs. We show that the disparity falls from 2010 to 2019.

本文评估了美国农业部国家食品与农业研究所(NIFA)向白人占主导地位的 1862 个土地赠款机构(LGUs)、历史上的 1890 个黑人土地赠款机构以及非土地赠款机构提供的竞争性赠款资金。我们介绍了农业研究资金的历史分布情况。大部分调查集中在 1862 年土地赠款机构、1890 年土地赠款机构和非土地赠款机构的资金差异上。我们讨论了对学术界和社区利益相关者的影响。结果显示,平均而言,在相同的奖励项目中,1890 年地方政府联盟和非土地补助机构获得的竞争性补助资金少于 1862 年地方政府联盟。我们发现,从 2010 年到 2019 年,这一差距有所缩小。
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引用次数: 0
What do we know about the value and market impact of the US Department of Agriculture reports? 我们对美国农业部报告的价值和市场影响了解多少?
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-12-14 DOI: 10.1002/aepp.13409
Olga Isengildina Massa, Berna Karali, Scott H. Irwin

The purpose of this paper is to comprehensively review the literature on the value and impact of the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) reports and discuss theoretical issues and empirical evidence. Only a handful of studies provide direct estimates of the welfare benefits of USDA information using a rational expectations framework in storable commodity markets. Most studies examine partial evidence of welfare benefits associated with market response to USDA information. These studies include examinations of the impacts of USDA report releases on cash and futures price volatility and other market dynamics, impacts of report releases on options implied volatility, impacts of unanticipated information in USDA reports, as well as informational value, returns, and survey-based studies. We discuss the methodological and empirical contributions of these studies as well as their shortcomings and potential opportunities for future work.

本文旨在全面回顾有关美国农业部(USDA)报告的价值和影响的文献,并讨论理论问题和经验证据。只有少数研究利用理性预期框架,在可储存商品市场上对美国农业部信息的福利效益进行了直接估算。大多数研究考察了与市场对美国农业部信息的反应相关的福利收益的部分证据。这些研究包括美国农业部报告发布对现货和期货价格波动及其他市场动态的影响、报告发布对期权隐含波动率的影响、美国农业部报告中意外信息的影响,以及基于信息价值、回报和调查的研究。我们讨论了这些研究在方法和经验方面的贡献,以及它们的不足之处和未来工作的潜在机会。
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引用次数: 0
Cover crops, farm economics, and policy 覆盖作物、农业经济和政策
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-11-22 DOI: 10.1002/aepp.13404
Gary D. Schnitkey, Sarah C. Sellars, Laura F. Gentry

Cover crops have many environmental benefits, including nutrient sequestering, soil health improvements, carbon dioxide removal, and biodiversity increases. Yet, farmers often do not receive enough benefits to warrant planting cover crops, particularly when they have no prior experience with managing cover crops. Therefore, public policies supporting cover crop use may be justified because of the positive externalities of cover crops are greater than the social cost of cover crop programs. Current Federal programs do not provide enough funding to elicit large cover crop use. We present a Federal program designed to increase cover crop use.

覆盖作物具有许多环境效益,包括养分隔离、改善土壤健康、去除二氧化碳和增加生物多样性。然而,农民往往没有获得足够的利益来保证种植覆盖作物,特别是当他们之前没有管理覆盖作物的经验时。因此,支持覆盖作物使用的公共政策可能是合理的,因为覆盖作物的正外部性大于覆盖作物项目的社会成本。目前的联邦项目没有提供足够的资金来促进大面积覆盖作物的使用。我们提出了一个旨在增加覆盖作物使用的联邦项目。
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引用次数: 0
The farmer and the fates: Locus of control and investment in rainfed agriculture 农民与命运:雨水灌溉农业的控制权与投资
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-11-10 DOI: 10.1002/aepp.13403
J. G. Malacarne

Vulnerable households, often the target for efforts to increase resilience, likely hold beliefs about their ability to control outcomes that make them less likely to invest in new technologies. Locus of control provides one way to elicit these beliefs and can help identify populations requiring additional support prior to widespread adoption of new technologies. This paper presents evidence from a large sample of maize-producing households in Mozambique and Tanzania. A more external locus of control is strongly associated with lower expected returns to improved maize varieties and a reduced probability of their adoption.

弱势家庭往往是提高抗灾能力的努力目标,他们很可能对自己控制结果的能力抱有信念,这使他们不太可能投资于新技术。控制感是激发这些信念的一种方法,有助于确定在广泛采用新技术之前需要额外支持的人群。本文介绍了莫桑比克和坦桑尼亚大量玉米生产家庭样本的证据。外部控制力越强,改良玉米品种的预期收益就越低,采用改良玉米品种的概率就越小。
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引用次数: 0
Does increasing the availability of a nutritious food produced by a small- and medium-sized enterprise increase its consumption? Evidence from a field experiment in Kenya 增加中小型企业生产的营养食品的供应量是否会增加其消费量?来自肯尼亚实地实验的证据
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-10-28 DOI: 10.1002/aepp.13402
Mywish K. Maredia, Maria Porter, Eduardo Nakasone, David L. Ortega, Vincenzina Caputo

Many development programs rely on the idea that increasing profitability of small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) could increase availability of nutritious foods among low-income consumers. We designed a randomized controlled trial in which we made a specific nutritious product produced by an SME exhaustively available in low-income local markets. We find that compared to control markets, consumers in treated markets purchased and consumed more of this product and less of competing brands with added sugar and fat. However, overall consumption for the product category was not increased and there was no change in the consumption of other related but potentially less nutritious foods. Our findings suggest the need for alternative policies to increase consumption of nutritious foods.

许多发展计划都认为,提高中小企业(SMEs)的盈利能力可以增加低收入消费者对营养食品的需求。我们设计了一项随机对照试验,在试验中,我们在当地低收入市场上全面供应一种由中小企业生产的特定营养产品。我们发现,与对照市场相比,接受试验的市场的消费者购买和消费了更多这种产品,而购买和消费添加了糖和脂肪的竞争品牌产品的消费者则更少。然而,该产品类别的总体消费量并没有增加,其他相关但可能营养价值较低的食品的消费量也没有变化。我们的研究结果表明,有必要采取其他政策来增加营养食品的消费。
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引用次数: 0
Loan survival: Are Black farmers more likely to default? 贷款生存:黑人农民是否更容易违约?
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-10-24 DOI: 10.1002/aepp.13400
Marie-Cécile Vekemans, Gianna Short, Charles B. Dodson, Bruce L. Ahrendsen

This paper discusses differences in the likelihood of loan default between Black and other farmers who took out USDA direct operating loans from 2011 to 2020. By controlling for financial, demographic, and other factors using a Cox proportional hazards model, we found that Black farmers have a higher incidence of default than other farmers. We advanced the research on the relative loan performance of different racial/ethnic minority groups, revealing heterogeneity in the likelihood of default that indicates using a single grouping for all minorities obscures important differences. There could be multiple contributing factors to higher rates of default among Black borrowers that deserve future attention and study, though it is beyond the scope of this paper to identify a causal mechanism.

本文讨论了 2011 年至 2020 年期间申请美国农业部直接经营贷款的黑人农民与其他农民之间贷款违约可能性的差异。通过使用考克斯比例危险模型控制财务、人口和其他因素,我们发现黑人农民的违约发生率高于其他农民。我们推进了对不同种族/族裔少数群体相对贷款表现的研究,揭示了违约可能性的异质性,表明对所有少数群体使用单一分组掩盖了重要的差异。导致黑人借款人违约率较高的因素可能有多种,值得今后关注和研究,但确定因果机制超出了本文的研究范围。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy
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