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Effects of vitamin D intake alone on elderly body composition: A systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs 单独摄入维生素D对老年人身体成分的影响:随机对照试验的系统回顾和荟萃分析
IF 3.8 3区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.archger.2025.106093
Tomoyuki Matsuyama, Hiroshi Okada, Yuto Saijo, Yuka Hasegawa, Hanako Nakajima, Takuro Okamura, Rieko Nakatani, Emi Ushigome, Naoko Nakanishi, Masahide Hamaguchi, Michiaki Fukui

Background

This study investigated the effect of vitamin D on body composition in individuals aged 60 years and older.

Methods

PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane databases were searched from inception to April 22, 2024, for randomized controlled trials reporting skeletal muscle mass index (SMI), lean mass (LM), handgrip strength, and fat mass (FM) as primary or secondary outcomes in elderly individuals with a mean age of 60 years or older were included. The primary outcome was the change in SMI between vitamin D and control groups; secondary outcomes were changes in LM, FM, and handgrip strength.

Results

Seven randomized controlled trials met eligibility criteria. Mean age ranged from 60 to 74 years, participants ranged from 50 to 1094, and study durations ranged from 3 to 36 months. The mean baseline 25(OH)D concentration ranged from 15.1 to 33.0 ng/mL. The vitamin D intake group was not associated with an increase in SMI, LM, or handgrip strength compared to the control group, although a decrease in FM was observed. In the meta-analysis excluding studies that used active vitamin D, the vitamin D intake group was not associated with increases in SMI, LM, or handgrip strength, nor with a decrease in FM compared to the control group.

Conclusion

In the present study, vitamin D intake did not increase SMI, LM, or handgrip strength in the elderly individuals, although a possible decrease in FM was observed. Further studies are needed to better elucidate the effects of vitamin D on body composition in the elderly.
本研究探讨了维生素D对60岁及以上老年人身体成分的影响。方法检索spubmed、Embase和Cochrane数据库,从数据库建立到2024年4月22日,纳入报告骨骼肌质量指数(SMI)、瘦质量(LM)、握力和脂肪质量(FM)作为主要或次要结局的随机对照试验,这些试验的平均年龄在60岁及以上的老年人。主要结果是维生素D组和对照组之间SMI的变化;次要结果是LM、FM和握力的变化。结果7项随机对照试验符合入选标准。平均年龄从60岁到74岁,参与者从50岁到1094岁,研究持续时间从3个月到36个月。平均基线25(OH)D浓度为15.1 ~ 33.0 ng/mL。与对照组相比,维生素D摄入组与重度精神障碍、LM或握力的增加无关,尽管观察到FM有所下降。在排除使用活性维生素D的研究的荟萃分析中,与对照组相比,维生素D摄入组与重度精神障碍、LM或握力的增加无关,也与FM的减少无关。在目前的研究中,维生素D摄入并没有增加老年人的重度精神障碍、LM或握力,尽管观察到FM可能会降低。需要进一步的研究来更好地阐明维生素D对老年人身体成分的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Association of gut microbiota and arginine-agmatine metabolism with postoperative delirium in elderly patients following lower limb fracture surgery: a prospective nested case-control study 老年患者下肢骨折术后谵妄与肠道菌群和精氨酸-胍代谢的关系:一项前瞻性巢式病例对照研究
IF 3.8 3区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.archger.2025.106094
Xinyu Cao, Jing Wang, Yv Zhang, Jing Zhang, Jianli Li

Objective

: This study aimed to investigate the role of gut microbiota and arginine-agmatine metabolic levels in the pathogenesis of postoperative delirium (POD) in elderly patients following lower limb fracture surgery.

Methods

: This prospective nested case-control study enrolled 111 patients aged ≥65 years who were scheduled for elective lower limb orthopedic surgery. POD was assessed twice daily (08:00–10:00 and 18:00–20:00) using the Confusion Assessment Method-Chinese Reversion (CAM-CR). Thirty patients who developed POD were matched to thirty non-POD patients via propensity score matching (PSM). Fecal samples collected one day preoperatively underwent gut microbiota analysis using 16S rRNA gene sequencing, with α-diversity, β-diversity, and linear discriminant analysis effect size (LEfSe) analyses performed. Additionally, fasting venous blood samples collected one day preoperatively were analyzed by ultra-performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (UPLC-MS/MS) to quantify plasma levels of arginine, agmatine, putrescine, spermidine, and spermine. Spearman correlation analysis was performed to explore associations between differential bacterial genus abundance, arginine-agmatine metabolite levels, and CAM-CR scores.

Results

: Compared to controls, the POD group showed significantly altered gut microbiota β-diversity (P < 0.001) but no change in α-diversity. At the genus level, LEfSe analysis revealed increased abundance of Megasphaera and Clostridium innocuum group, and decreased abundance of Paraprevotella and Akkermansia in the POD group. Additionally, the POD group exhibited significantly elevated arginine levels (P = 0.044) and reduced agmatine (P = 0.016) and spermine (P = 0.005) levels. Correlation analysis demonstrated that arginine levels were positively correlated with Megasphaera abundance and CAM-CR score, but negatively correlated with Paraprevotella and Akkermansia abundance; agmatine concentrations were positively correlated with Akkermansia abundance but negatively correlated with CAM-CR score; putrescine levels were negatively correlated with Clostridium innocuum group abundance; spermine levels were positively correlated with Paraprevotella abundance but negatively correlated with CAM-CR score. CAM-CR score was negatively associated with Akkermansia abundance and positively associated with Megasphaera abundance (all P < 0.05).

Conclusions

: Gut microbiota and arginine-agmatine metabolism are associated with the pathogenesis of POD in elderly lower limb fracture patients, though their precise mechanistic roles require further investigation.
目的:探讨老年下肢骨折术后谵妄(POD)的发病机制与肠道菌群及精氨酸-胍丁氨酸代谢水平的关系。方法:本前瞻性巢式病例对照研究纳入111例年龄≥65岁、计划择期下肢骨科手术的患者。每日两次(08:00-10:00和18:00-20:00)采用混淆评定法-中文还原法(CAM-CR)评估POD。通过倾向评分匹配(PSM)将30例POD患者与30例非POD患者进行匹配。术前1天采集的粪便样本采用16S rRNA基因测序进行肠道菌群分析,并进行α-多样性、β-多样性和线性判别分析效应量(LEfSe)分析。此外,术前1天采集的空腹静脉血样本采用超高效液相色谱-串联质谱(UPLC-MS/MS)分析,定量血浆精氨酸、胍丁氨酸、腐胺、亚精胺和精胺的水平。采用Spearman相关分析探讨差异细菌属丰度、精氨酸-胍丁氨酸代谢物水平和CAM-CR评分之间的关系。结果:与对照组相比,POD组肠道微生物群β-多样性显著改变(P < 0.001), α-多样性无变化。在属水平上,LEfSe分析显示,POD组Megasphaera和Clostridium innocuum的丰度增加,Paraprevotella和Akkermansia的丰度降低。此外,POD组的精氨酸水平显著升高(P = 0.044),胍丁氨酸(P = 0.016)和精胺(P = 0.005)水平显著降低。相关分析表明,精氨酸水平与巨藻(Megasphaera)丰度和CAM-CR评分呈正相关,与Paraprevotella和Akkermansia丰度呈负相关;agmatine浓度与Akkermansia丰度呈正相关,与CAM-CR评分负相关;腐胺水平与无芽梭菌群丰度呈负相关;精胺水平与Paraprevotella丰度呈正相关,与CAM-CR评分呈负相关。CAM-CR评分与Akkermansia丰度呈负相关,与Megasphaera丰度呈正相关(均P <; 0.05)。结论:肠道菌群和精氨酸-胍丁氨酸代谢与老年下肢骨折患者POD的发病有关,但其确切的机制有待进一步研究。
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引用次数: 0
Single-cell transcriptomic analysis reveals the molecular alterations of endothelial cells during ageing 单细胞转录组学分析揭示了内皮细胞在衰老过程中的分子变化。
IF 3.8 3区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.archger.2025.106088
Yongle Sun , Yini Dai , Yehu Yin
Ageing of the vasculature is the fundamental cause for the development of cardiovascular diseases. Endothelial cells play an important role in ageing of the cardiovascular system, but the potential mechanisms of vascular ageing and the molecular changes of endothelial cells during ageing remain unclear. Here, we analyzed the cellular and molecular alterations of endothelial cells in young and aged aortas using single-cell transcriptome analysis. We identified 191 up-regulated genes and 282 down-regulated genes between old and young group. We found that most of the down-regulated genes were mainly enriched in normal biological pathways and some stress response pathways. Protein–protein interaction and transcription factor analysis revealed that AP-1 and Egr1 might be the key transcription factors related to vascular ageing. We proposed that ageing is resulted from the gradual loss of normal functional genes. Our research provides new ideas for further understanding the mechanism of ageing.
血管老化是心血管疾病发生的根本原因。内皮细胞在心血管系统衰老过程中发挥着重要作用,但血管衰老的潜在机制和内皮细胞在衰老过程中的分子变化尚不清楚。在这里,我们使用单细胞转录组分析分析了年轻和老年主动脉内皮细胞的细胞和分子变化。在老年组和年轻组中分别鉴定出191个上调基因和282个下调基因。我们发现大多数下调基因主要富集在正常生物学通路和一些应激反应通路中。蛋白-蛋白相互作用和转录因子分析显示AP-1和Egr1可能是与血管老化相关的关键转录因子。我们提出衰老是由正常功能基因的逐渐丧失引起的。我们的研究为进一步了解衰老机制提供了新的思路。
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引用次数: 0
Relationship between frailty and white matter hyperintensities: A systematic review and meta-analysis 虚弱和白质高强度之间的关系:系统回顾和荟萃分析
IF 3.8 3区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.archger.2025.106089
Xuzi Li, Anling Luo, Yiting Deng, Yujia Yang, Qin Yang, Yujie Chen, Li He, Muke Zhou

Background

Frailty, common in aging, contributes to cognitive and motor decline. White matter hyperintensity (WMH), markers of cerebral small vessel disease, show similar effects. Although studies suggest an association between frailty and WMH, the evidence is inconsistent, and their relationship remains uncertain.

Objective

This research aimed to examine the relationship between frailty and WMH.

Methods

Systematic literature search and meta-analytic methods were employed. Study screening and data extraction were conducted, and quality assessment was performed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale and American Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality evaluation tools. StataSE 15.0 software was utilized to carry out statistical analyses.

Results

Nine articles, including 10 studies, were included. The meta-analysis results demonstrated a significant positive relationship between WMH and frailty (odds ratio [OR] = 1.38, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.17–1.64, P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis showed a consistent association between WMH and frailty, which was stronger in hospitalized patients, Asian populations, and studies using the Fried or Fazekas criteria. Sensitivity analyses validated the robustness of the results. After adjustment for publication bias via the trim-and-fill method, the association was still significant (OR = 1.25, 95 % CI: 1.05–1.50, P = 0.012), though limitations of this method and other potential biases should be considered.

Conclusions

WMH is significantly associated with frailty, offering new insights into its potential role in frailty. This meta-analysis suggests that WMH is worth exploring in future longitudinal studies to understand its relevance to frailty mechanisms.
衰老中常见的虚弱会导致认知和运动能力下降。脑小血管疾病的标志物白质高强度(WMH)也表现出类似的效果。尽管研究表明虚弱和WMH之间存在关联,但证据并不一致,它们之间的关系仍然不确定。目的探讨体质虚弱与WMH的关系。方法采用系统文献检索和元分析方法。进行研究筛选和数据提取,并使用纽卡斯尔-渥太华量表和美国卫生保健研究和质量评估机构工具进行质量评估。采用StataSE 15.0软件进行统计分析。结果共纳入9篇文章,其中10项研究。meta分析结果显示WMH与虚弱之间存在显著正相关(优势比[OR] = 1.38, 95%可信区间[CI]: 1.17-1.64, P < 0.001)。亚组分析显示WMH与虚弱之间存在一致的关联,在住院患者、亚洲人群和使用Fried或Fazekas标准的研究中更为明显。敏感性分析验证了结果的稳健性。在通过trim- fill方法调整发表偏倚后,相关性仍然显著(OR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.05-1.50, P = 0.012),但应考虑该方法的局限性和其他潜在偏倚。结论swmh与衰弱显著相关,为其在衰弱中的潜在作用提供了新的见解。这项荟萃分析表明,WMH值得在未来的纵向研究中探索,以了解其与脆弱性机制的相关性。
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引用次数: 0
Actions to control the fear of falling in older people: An umbrella review 控制老年人跌倒恐惧的行动:概括性回顾。
IF 3.8 3区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.archger.2025.106087
Ana Rita Capela Oliveira , Carla Maria Pintado Magueja , Armando Manuel Gonçalves de Almeida

Background

Fear of falling in older adults is a multifactorial psychological condition associated with the degree of confidence in performing activities of daily living without falling, leading to reduced physical activity, quality of life, and life satisfaction, and resulting in social isolation.

Purpose

This study aimed to summarize and evaluate effective actions to control fear of falling in older adults.

Method

An umbrella review of interventions that control fear of falling in people aged ≥60 years was conducted, in accordance with JBI and PRISMA guidelines. The search was conducted in six electronic databases: CINAHL, Web of Science, MEDLINE, Scopus, Cochrane Reviews, and JBI Databases, during the period from February to April 2024.

Results

Of a total of 706 references identified, 25 met the eligibility criteria. Of those included, eleven studies are systematic review, three studies are meta-analysis, and eleven studies are systematic review with meta-analysis. Five types of action to control fear of falling with therapeutic potential were identified: Physical and functional therapy; Cognitive Behavioral Therapy; Combined strategies; Multifactorial preventive programs; Technological interventions.

Conclusions

The results of this umbrella review indicate that holistic exercises (Tai Chi, Yoga, Pilates) are the most effective in mitigating fear of falling in older adults. Interventions that incorporate multimodal approaches also appear to be beneficial. The combination of physical and cognitive actions is widely recognized as effective and long-lasting. Longitudinal studies are needed to assess the effectiveness of actions over time.
背景:老年人对跌倒的恐惧是一种多因素的心理状况,与进行日常生活活动而不摔倒的信心程度有关,导致身体活动减少,生活质量下降,生活满意度下降,并导致社会孤立。目的:本研究旨在总结和评估控制老年人跌倒恐惧的有效措施。方法:根据JBI和PRISMA指南,对60岁以上人群中控制跌倒恐惧的干预措施进行综合评价。检索于2024年2月至4月期间在六个电子数据库中进行:CINAHL, Web of Science, MEDLINE, Scopus, Cochrane Reviews和JBI数据库。结果:共纳入706篇文献,其中25篇符合入选标准。其中11项研究为系统评价,3项研究为荟萃分析,11项研究为系统评价加荟萃分析。确定了五种具有治疗潜力的控制跌倒恐惧的行动:物理和功能治疗;认知行为疗法;组合策略;多因素预防方案;技术干预措施。结论:这一综述的结果表明,整体运动(太极、瑜伽、普拉提)在减轻老年人对跌倒的恐惧方面最有效。采用多模式方法的干预措施似乎也是有益的。身体和认知活动的结合被广泛认为是有效和持久的。需要进行纵向研究来评估长期行动的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Cognitive decline before and after incident depression: Evidence from three international prospective cohorts 事件抑郁症前后认知能力下降:来自三个国际前瞻性队列的证据。
IF 3.8 3区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.archger.2025.106086
Xiaoyu Qian , Congdi Wang , Xueman Zhao , Min Jin , Yonghao Xiao , Ziwang Zhou , Feifei Jia

Background

Depression and cognitive decline frequently co-occur in late life, potentially reflecting shared biological, psychological, or social pathways. However, their temporal relationship remains unclear. Understanding how cognitive deterioration and depression unfold over time may inform prevention and intervention strategies.

Methods

This cohort study analyzed 40,167 older adults without baseline depression from CHARLS, HRS, and SHARE (2010–2021). Depressive symptoms were assessed using validated scales. Cognitive function was assessed across memory, executive function, and orientation, and standardized as z-scores. Linear mixed models estimated cognitive trajectories before, at, and after depression onset.

Results

Across 401,017.8 person-years, 10530 participants developed depression. Compared with non-depressed individuals, those with depression onset showed faster cognitive decline before onset, acute decline at onset, and accelerated decline thereafter across all cognitive domains (P <0.001).

Discussion

Cognitive decline precedes, accompanies, and accelerates after the onset of depression among older adults. These findings suggest that cognitive impairment may be an early signal associated with depression risk, highlighting the importance of routine cognitive monitoring in preventive mental health strategies.
背景:抑郁症和认知能力下降经常在晚年共同发生,潜在地反映了共同的生物、心理或社会途径。然而,它们的时间关系尚不清楚。了解认知退化和抑郁症是如何随着时间的推移而发展的,可以为预防和干预策略提供信息。方法:本队列研究分析了来自CHARLS、HRS和SHARE(2010-2021)的40167名无基线抑郁症的老年人。使用有效的量表评估抑郁症状。认知功能通过记忆、执行功能和定向进行评估,并标准化为z分数。线性混合模型估计了抑郁症发病前、发病时和发病后的认知轨迹。结果:在401,017.8人/年的研究中,10530名参与者患上了抑郁症。与非抑郁症个体相比,抑郁症患者在发病前表现出更快的认知衰退,在发病时表现出急性衰退,在所有认知领域表现出加速衰退(P讨论:认知衰退在老年人中先于、伴随并在发病后加速)。这些发现表明,认知障碍可能是与抑郁风险相关的早期信号,强调了常规认知监测在预防性心理健康策略中的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Bidirectional transitions of frailty states in middle-aged and older adults: Findings from two longitudinal cohorts studies 中老年人虚弱状态的双向转变:来自两项纵向队列研究的结果。
IF 3.8 3区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.archger.2025.106085
Sutong Wang , Lin Wang , Yongcheng Wang , Xiaoyu Su , Feihu Zhang , Shuli Zong , Lei Qi , Yuehua Jiang , Jifu He , Xiao Li

Objective

We aimed to characterize frailty dynamics in older adults by applying multi-state Markov models (MSMs) to English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) and the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) data to estimate transition intensities.

Methods

Data from ELSA (2004–2012) and CHARLS (2011–2018) cohorts were analyzed using MSMs. Frailty was assessed using the Frailty Index (FI), and covariates like age, sex, marital status, physical activity, and economic status were included. Transition probabilities between frailty states were estimated, and subgroup analyses were performed to assess the influence of covariates on frailty transitions.

Results

A total of 8 187 participants from ELSA, and 9 171 participants from CHARLS were included in the analysis. In ELSA, the transition intensity from pre-frail to robust (0.226, 95 % CI 0.217–0.234) exceeded that from pre-frail to frail (0.105, 95 % CI 0.099–0.111), whereas in CHARLS a different pattern was observed. In the covariate analysis, we found that age, marital status, loneliness, physical activity, current drinking status, and economic status exerted both common and cohort-specific effects on frailty transitions in ELSA and CHARLS, with age and marital status influencing bidirectional frailty transitions in both cohorts.

Conclusion

Frailty is reversible, especially in the pre-frail stage. Transition intensities and influencing factors vary across older adult cohorts in different countries, and beyond age, marital support, physical activity quality, and economic status significantly shape frailty trajectories and should be incorporated into public health policy design.
目的:通过将多状态马尔可夫模型(msm)应用于英国老龄化纵向研究(ELSA)和中国健康与退休纵向研究(CHARLS)数据来估计过渡强度,以表征老年人的衰弱动态。方法:采用MSMs对ELSA(2004-2012)和CHARLS(2011-2018)队列的数据进行分析。使用虚弱指数(FI)评估虚弱程度,协变量包括年龄、性别、婚姻状况、身体活动和经济状况。估计脆弱状态之间的过渡概率,并进行亚组分析以评估协变量对脆弱状态过渡的影响。结果:ELSA共纳入受试者8 187人,CHARLS共纳入受试者9 171人。在ELSA中,从虚弱前期到强壮的过渡强度(0.226,95% CI 0.217-0.234)超过了从虚弱前期到虚弱的过渡强度(0.105,95% CI 0.099-0.111),而在CHARLS中观察到不同的模式。在协变量分析中,我们发现年龄、婚姻状况、孤独、身体活动、当前饮酒状况和经济状况对ELSA和CHARLS的虚弱转变既有共同的影响,也有特定队列的影响,年龄和婚姻状况影响两个队列的双向虚弱转变。结论:虚弱是可逆的,尤其是在虚弱前期。不同国家老年人群体的过渡强度和影响因素各不相同,年龄之外,婚姻支持、身体活动质量和经济状况在很大程度上决定了脆弱性轨迹,应纳入公共卫生政策设计。
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引用次数: 0
Ageism and the feminization of old age: A Systematic review 年龄歧视与老年女性化:系统回顾。
IF 3.8 3区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.archger.2025.106084
Juan Robles Costa , Angélica Quintero-Flórez , Emilio García-Cabrera , Julia Romero-Barranca , Ángel Vilches-Arenas

Background

Increases in life expectancy and declining birth rates have intensified the demographic weight of older adults, particularly women. This population frequently faces intersecting age and gender-based discrimination, resulting in greater health burdens and lower quality of life compared to men.

Objective

To examine gender-based disparities affecting older adults, particularly older women, intending to uncover underlying mechanisms and contribute to the formulation of more equitable, gender-responsive, and age-sensitive public health policies.

Study design

This systematic review followed PRISMA guidelines and was registered in PROSPERO (CRD420251104219).

Methods

Six databases were searched (2014–2024) for studies in English or Spanish on gender- and age-based health inequalities in older adults. Eligible systematic reviews, observational, and experimental studies were quality-assessed (PRISMA, STROBE, CONSORT), and findings were synthesized qualitatively.

Results

Fourteen studies met the inclusion criteria. Across contexts, older women consistently exhibited higher prevalence of disability, frailty, depression, and poorer self-rated health, frequently linked to lower educational attainment and income. In contrast, older men showed lower prevalence of these conditions but faced higher mortality risks from frailty and suicide. Men also tended to report better subjective quality of life.

Conclusions

While women live longer, they often experience greater illness and functional limitations. Socioeconomic disadvantages explain part of these gaps, but a considerable proportion remains unexplained. These findings highlight the urgent need for gender- and age-sensitive public health strategies to reduce inequities in later life.
背景:预期寿命的延长和出生率的下降加剧了老年人,特别是妇女的人口比重。这一人口经常面临年龄和性别的交叉歧视,与男子相比,造成更大的健康负担和更低的生活质量。目的:研究影响老年人,特别是老年妇女的性别差异,旨在揭示潜在机制,并有助于制定更公平、对性别问题敏感和对年龄敏感的公共卫生政策。研究设计:本系统评价遵循PRISMA指南,在PROSPERO注册(CRD420251104219)。方法:检索了6个数据库(2014-2024年),检索了英语或西班牙语关于老年人基于性别和年龄的健康不平等的研究。对合格的系统评价、观察性和实验性研究进行质量评估(PRISMA、STROBE、CONSORT),并对研究结果进行定性综合。结果:14项研究符合纳入标准。在各种情况下,老年妇女始终表现出更高的残疾、虚弱、抑郁和较差的自我评价健康,这往往与较低的教育程度和收入有关。相比之下,老年男性的患病率较低,但因身体虚弱和自杀而面临更高的死亡风险。男性也倾向于报告更好的主观生活质量。结论:虽然女性寿命更长,但她们往往会经历更大的疾病和功能限制。社会经济劣势解释了这些差距的一部分,但仍有相当大一部分无法解释。这些发现突出表明,迫切需要制定对性别和年龄敏感的公共卫生战略,以减少晚年生活中的不平等现象。
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引用次数: 0
An explainable machine learning model for comorbidity risk stratification in patients with fractures admitted to the intensive care unit: a multicenter study 一种可解释的机器学习模型用于重症监护室骨折患者的合并症风险分层:一项多中心研究。
IF 3.8 3区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.archger.2025.106082
Xuelong Liang , Weijie Zhao , Weigui Liufu , Jiale Qian , Nantian Xiang , Xinzhe Zhang , Jihui Zhou , Hongwang Cui

Background

Among traumatic-fracture patients admitted to intensive care units (ICUs), those with substantial chronic comorbidities recover more slowly and die more often than their counterparts without such conditions. The age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index (aCCI) quantifies this burden, yet clinicians still lack a tool that can identify—at the point of ICU admission—which fracture patients are likely to have a high aCCI. To fill this gap, we used a large electronic health-record repository to develop and externally validate an interpretable machine-learning model that predicts severe comorbidity burden in this population.

Methods

We extracted 3 763 adult fracture cases from MIMIC-IV (2008–2019) and split them 3:1 into training and internal validation sets. High comorbidity (aCCI ≥ 7) was defined as the optimal cut-off derived from one-year survival analysis. Nine key predictors emerged from the intersection of LASSO, SVM-RFE, and random-forest importance. Eleven candidate algorithms underwent grid-search hyperparameter tuning with 10-fold cross-validation, and their performance was compared to identify the optimal model, while SHAP clarified model logic. External validation in two Chinese tertiary centres (n = 558) confirmed generalisability, and the final model was deployed as a bedside Shiny calculator.

Results

XGBoost achieved the best internal discrimination (AUROC = 0.84; AUPRC = 0.76) and exhibited excellent calibration and net benefit across clinically relevant thresholds. In external validation, AUROC values were 0.88 (Hainan) and 0.83 (Guangdong). The interactive calculator delivers patient-specific risk explanations in real time.

Conclusions

An XGBoost-based, SHAP-interpretable model accurately predicts high aCCI in ICU fracture patients and generalises across institutions. The readily accessible web tool can help clinicians identify high-risk individuals early, personalise management, and allocate resources more efficiently.
背景:在入住重症监护室(icu)的创伤性骨折患者中,那些有严重慢性合并症的患者比没有这些疾病的患者恢复得更慢,死亡更频繁。年龄调整的Charlson共病指数(aCCI)量化了这一负担,但临床医生仍然缺乏一种工具,可以在ICU入院时识别哪些骨折患者可能具有高aCCI。为了填补这一空白,我们使用了一个大型电子健康记录存储库来开发和外部验证一个可解释的机器学习模型,该模型可以预测这一人群的严重合并症负担。方法:我们从MIMIC-IV(2008-2019)中提取3 763例成人骨折病例,并将其3:1分为训练集和内部验证集。高合并症(aCCI≥7)定义为一年生存分析得出的最佳截止值。从LASSO、SVM-RFE和随机森林重要性的交叉中出现了9个关键预测因子。11种候选算法进行了网格搜索超参数调优,并进行了10倍交叉验证,并比较了它们的性能以确定最优模型,而SHAP则澄清了模型逻辑。在两家中国三级中心(n = 558)进行的外部验证证实了该模型的通用性,最终模型被部署为床边Shiny计算器。结果:XGBoost获得了最佳的内部判别(AUROC = 0.84; AUPRC = 0.76),并在临床相关阈值上表现出出色的校准和净效益。外部验证AUROC值分别为0.88(海南)和0.83(广东)。交互式计算器实时提供患者特定的风险解释。结论:基于xgboost的shap可解释模型可准确预测ICU骨折患者的高aCCI,并可推广到各个机构。易于访问的网络工具可以帮助临床医生早期识别高危个体,个性化管理,并更有效地分配资源。
{"title":"An explainable machine learning model for comorbidity risk stratification in patients with fractures admitted to the intensive care unit: a multicenter study","authors":"Xuelong Liang ,&nbsp;Weijie Zhao ,&nbsp;Weigui Liufu ,&nbsp;Jiale Qian ,&nbsp;Nantian Xiang ,&nbsp;Xinzhe Zhang ,&nbsp;Jihui Zhou ,&nbsp;Hongwang Cui","doi":"10.1016/j.archger.2025.106082","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.archger.2025.106082","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Among traumatic-fracture patients admitted to intensive care units (ICUs), those with substantial chronic comorbidities recover more slowly and die more often than their counterparts without such conditions. The age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index (aCCI) quantifies this burden, yet clinicians still lack a tool that can identify—at the point of ICU admission—which fracture patients are likely to have a high aCCI. To fill this gap, we used a large electronic health-record repository to develop and externally validate an interpretable machine-learning model that predicts severe comorbidity burden in this population.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>We extracted 3 763 adult fracture cases from MIMIC-IV (2008–2019) and split them 3:1 into training and internal validation sets. High comorbidity (aCCI ≥ 7) was defined as the optimal cut-off derived from one-year survival analysis. Nine key predictors emerged from the intersection of LASSO, SVM-RFE, and random-forest importance. Eleven candidate algorithms underwent grid-search hyperparameter tuning with 10-fold cross-validation, and their performance was compared to identify the optimal model, while SHAP clarified model logic. External validation in two Chinese tertiary centres (<em>n</em> = 558) confirmed generalisability, and the final model was deployed as a bedside Shiny calculator.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>XGBoost achieved the best internal discrimination (AUROC = 0.84; AUPRC = 0.76) and exhibited excellent calibration and net benefit across clinically relevant thresholds. In external validation, AUROC values were 0.88 (Hainan) and 0.83 (Guangdong). The interactive calculator delivers patient-specific risk explanations in real time.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>An XGBoost-based, SHAP-interpretable model accurately predicts high aCCI in ICU fracture patients and generalises across institutions. The readily accessible web tool can help clinicians identify high-risk individuals early, personalise management, and allocate resources more efficiently.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":8306,"journal":{"name":"Archives of gerontology and geriatrics","volume":"141 ","pages":"Article 106082"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-11-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145552264","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Effectiveness of Home-Based interventions for older adults with frailty or pre-frailty: a systematic review and meta-analysis 以家庭为基础的干预措施对虚弱或虚弱前期老年人的有效性:系统回顾和荟萃分析。
IF 3.8 3区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.archger.2025.106083
Gengxin Yao , Fei Li , Xuehan Ma , Xinyu Wan , Yali Yang , Yiran Xu , Lishuang Zheng , Guichen Li , Li Chen

Aim

To systematically summarise the characteristics and effectiveness of home-based interventions on health outcomes in older adults with frailty or pre-frailty.

Design

Systematic review and meta-analysis.

Methods

Seven databases were searched from their inception through 31st October 2024. Two reviewers independently performed study screening, selection, data extraction, and quality appraisal. Pooled effects were quantified using standardised mean differences (SMDs) with 95 % confidence intervals (CIs). Risk of bias and evidence certainty were assessed using RoB2 and GRADE, respectively.

Results

Twenty-four studies (20 RCTs; n = 3, 826 participants) were included. The meta-analysis demonstrated that home-based interventions significantly reduced frailty phenotype scores (SMD = -0.27, 95 % CI:0.39 to -0.15) and depressive symptoms (SMD = -0.11, 95 % CI:0.20 to -0.01), alongside marked increases in grip strength (MD = 0.84, 95 % CI: 0.26 to 1.42) and mental health-related quality of life (SMD = 0.17, 95 % CI: 0.04 to 0.30). Subgroup analyses indicated that significant improvements in physical function were observed only in supervised subgroup. No significant changes were observed for overall quality of life, or physical health-related quality of life.

Conclusions

Home-based interventions are a valuable strategy for improving frailty, grip strength, and mental health outcomes in older adults with frailty or pre-frailty. Improvements in physical function appear to depend on home-based interventions delivered under professional supervision, while the unsupervised mode may pose the risk of potential iatrogenic harm and therefore necessitates caution alongside safety monitoring.

Reporting Method

This review followed PRISMA guidelines (PROSPERO: CRD42024604527).
目的:系统地总结以家庭为基础的干预措施对虚弱或虚弱前期老年人健康结果的特点和有效性。设计:系统回顾和荟萃分析。方法:检索自建库至2024年10月31日的7个数据库。两名审稿人独立进行研究筛选、选择、数据提取和质量评估。采用95%置信区间(ci)的标准化平均差异(SMDs)对合并效应进行量化。分别用RoB2和GRADE评估偏倚风险和证据确定性。结果:共纳入24项研究(20项随机对照试验,n = 3826名受试者)。荟萃分析表明,以家庭为基础的干预显著降低了脆弱表型评分(SMD = -0.27, 95% CI:0.39至-0.15)和抑郁症状(SMD = -0.11, 95% CI:0.20至-0.01),同时握力(MD = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.26至1.42)和精神健康相关生活质量(SMD = 0.17, 95% CI: 0.04至0.30)显著增加。亚组分析表明,仅在监督亚组中观察到身体功能的显著改善。总体生活质量或与身体健康相关的生活质量未观察到显著变化。结论:以家庭为基础的干预措施是一种有价值的策略,可以改善虚弱或虚弱前期老年人的虚弱、握力和心理健康结果。身体功能的改善似乎取决于在专业监督下提供的以家庭为基础的干预措施,而无监督模式可能造成潜在的医源性危害,因此需要在安全监测的同时谨慎行事。报告方法:本综述遵循PRISMA指南(PROSPERO: CRD42024604527)。
{"title":"Effectiveness of Home-Based interventions for older adults with frailty or pre-frailty: a systematic review and meta-analysis","authors":"Gengxin Yao ,&nbsp;Fei Li ,&nbsp;Xuehan Ma ,&nbsp;Xinyu Wan ,&nbsp;Yali Yang ,&nbsp;Yiran Xu ,&nbsp;Lishuang Zheng ,&nbsp;Guichen Li ,&nbsp;Li Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.archger.2025.106083","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.archger.2025.106083","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Aim</h3><div>To systematically summarise the characteristics and effectiveness of home-based interventions on health outcomes in older adults with frailty or pre-frailty.</div></div><div><h3>Design</h3><div>Systematic review and meta-analysis.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>Seven databases were searched from their inception through 31st October 2024. Two reviewers independently performed study screening, selection, data extraction, and quality appraisal. Pooled effects were quantified using standardised mean differences (SMDs) with 95 % confidence intervals (CIs). Risk of bias and evidence certainty were assessed using RoB2 and GRADE, respectively.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Twenty-four studies (20 RCTs; <em>n</em> = 3, 826 participants) were included. The meta-analysis demonstrated that home-based interventions significantly reduced frailty phenotype scores (SMD = -0.27, 95 % CI:0.39 to -0.15) and depressive symptoms (SMD = -0.11, 95 % CI:0.20 to -0.01), alongside marked increases in grip strength (MD = 0.84, 95 % CI: 0.26 to 1.42) and mental health-related quality of life (SMD = 0.17, 95 % CI: 0.04 to 0.30). Subgroup analyses indicated that significant improvements in physical function were observed only in supervised subgroup. No significant changes were observed for overall quality of life, or physical health-related quality of life.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>Home-based interventions are a valuable strategy for improving frailty, grip strength, and mental health outcomes in older adults with frailty or pre-frailty. Improvements in physical function appear to depend on home-based interventions delivered under professional supervision, while the unsupervised mode may pose the risk of potential iatrogenic harm and therefore necessitates caution alongside safety monitoring.</div></div><div><h3>Reporting Method</h3><div>This review followed PRISMA guidelines (PROSPERO: CRD42024604527).</div></div>","PeriodicalId":8306,"journal":{"name":"Archives of gerontology and geriatrics","volume":"141 ","pages":"Article 106083"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-11-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145534989","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Archives of gerontology and geriatrics
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