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China’s water security under SSP–RCP scenarios: a system-dynamics evaluation of trends, drivers and spatial patterns SSP-RCP情景下的中国水安全:趋势、驱动因素和空间格局的系统动力学评价
IF 5.7 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2026-01-03 DOI: 10.1007/s13201-025-02715-8
Dongjie Guan, Lisheng Liu, Lilei Zhou, Shi Chen, Jiameng Cao, Xiujuan He, Xinyu Liu, Zhifeng Liu

Water security, the fundamental guarantee for socioeconomic development, is the basic prerequisite for ensuring humans have access to sufficient and safe water resources. In this study, a comprehensive water security evaluation system was constructed from four dimensions: water quantity, water quality, water pollution, and flood disasters. A system-dynamics simulation model for water security was developed. By coupling the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Representative Concentration Pathways, predictions were made about the future development trends of China’s water security. The results indicate that China’s water security situation shows significant volatility. The total water supply peaked in 2025. The compliance rate of drinking-water sources reached 98% and stabilized in 2034. The chemical oxygen demand (COD) emissions of industrial and domestic sewage peaked in 2020 and 2034 respectively, and the direct economic losses caused by flood disasters increased cyclically. In future scenario simulations, the water security situation will reach its optimal state under the SSP1-RCP2.6 scenario, while it will be most severe under the SSP5-RCP8.5 scenario. By 2052, the proportion of provinces with an “excellent” level in the water-quantity and water-quality subsystems will reach 52% and 77.4% respectively, mostly concentrated in economically developed regions. The balance between water supply and demand is the primary factor driving changes in water security. These results highlight the necessity of researching the stress factors and stress mechanisms influencing water security in the context of climate change.

水安全是保障人类获得充足、安全水资源的基本前提,是社会经济发展的根本保障。本研究从水量、水质、水污染、洪涝灾害四个维度构建了水安全综合评价体系。建立了水安全系统动力学仿真模型。通过耦合共享社会经济路径和代表性集中路径,对中国水安全的未来发展趋势进行了预测。结果表明,中国水安全形势具有显著的波动性。总供水量在2025年达到峰值。饮用水水源合格率达到98%,并在2034年趋于稳定。工业污水和生活污水的化学需氧量(COD)排放量分别在2020年和2034年达到峰值,洪涝灾害造成的直接经济损失呈周期性增加。在未来情景模拟中,SSP1-RCP2.6情景下的水安全状况达到最优状态,SSP5-RCP8.5情景下的水安全状况最为严峻。到2052年,水量和水质分系统“优”省的比例将分别达到52%和77.4%,且主要集中在经济发达地区。水供需平衡是推动水安全变化的主要因素。这些结果凸显了研究气候变化背景下影响水安全的应激因子和应激机制的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis and experimental implementation of affordable smart irrigation system using IoT to reduce agricultural costs and minimize water usage 使用物联网的经济实惠的智能灌溉系统的分析和实验实施,以降低农业成本并最大限度地减少用水量
IF 5.7 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2026-01-03 DOI: 10.1007/s13201-025-02727-4
Yousra Boukri, Hazare Sonya Hamici, Rania Farah Mansour, Alla Eddine Toubal Maamar, Sherif S. M. Ghoneim, Prabhu Paramasivam, Mofreh A. Hashim, Enas E. Hussein

Smart irrigation systems utilising the Internet of Things (IoT) technology and sensory systems have emerged as a revolutionary approach to modernising agriculture and addressing sustainability challenges. The worldwide agricultural sector continues to struggle with two major problems, which include water resource depletion and high operational expenses because of outdated irrigation systems. The research investigates the immediate requirement for budget-friendly precision agriculture solutions that can serve small to medium farmers operating in limited resource areas. The paper describes the development of an affordable IoT-based smart irrigation system that underwent experimental testing. The system uses an ESP32 microcontroller as its core component while incorporating a capacitive soil moisture sensor for precise measurements, a DHT11 sensor for environmental data collection, and the Blynk IoT platform for live monitoring and distant system operation. The system begins irrigation when soil moisture reaches 20% and stops irrigation when moisture levels reach 80%. The system achieved operational success through field tests, which showed it used 25–35% less water than fixed-schedule irrigation systems while reducing operational expenses. The research proves that this affordable design can be duplicated and shows both technical and financial viability, which makes it an effective solution for sustainable farming practices.

利用物联网(IoT)技术和传感系统的智能灌溉系统已成为实现农业现代化和应对可持续性挑战的革命性方法。全世界的农业部门继续与两个主要问题作斗争,这两个问题包括水资源耗竭和由于灌溉系统过时而造成的高额业务费用。该研究调查了对预算友好型精准农业解决方案的直接需求,这些解决方案可以为资源有限地区的中小型农民提供服务。本文描述了一种经济实惠的基于物联网的智能灌溉系统的开发,并进行了实验测试。该系统采用ESP32微控制器作为核心组件,同时集成了用于精确测量的电容式土壤湿度传感器,用于环境数据收集的DHT11传感器以及用于实时监控和远程系统操作的Blynk物联网平台。当土壤湿度达到20%时,系统开始灌溉,当土壤湿度达到80%时,系统停止灌溉。该系统通过现场测试取得了成功,与固定时间灌溉系统相比,用水量减少了25-35%,同时降低了运营成本。研究证明,这种经济实惠的设计可以复制,并显示出技术和财务可行性,这使其成为可持续农业实践的有效解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Redesigning the SCS method structure within a simulation–optimization framework to improve performance indicators of basin irrigation 在模拟优化框架下重新设计SCS方法结构,提高流域灌溉性能指标
IF 5.7 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2025-12-27 DOI: 10.1007/s13201-025-02690-0
Mahmood Akbari, Saeed Farahani

Surface irrigation, despite its relatively simple design and lower costs compared to pressurized systems, still faces challenges such as water loss and non-uniform moisture distribution. The SCS method, as one of the widely used surface irrigation design methods, has not yet benefited from the necessary improvements and adaptations to improve performance. In this study, a simulation–optimization model for the optimal design of basin irrigation was developed to improve hydraulic performance using the MATLAB programming software. In the simulation part of the model, the SCS method was modified, and in the optimization part, the Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO) meta-heuristic algorithm was employed. By implementing changes in the inputs and outputs of the SCS method, and enhancing the calculations, more accurate and more coordinated optimization with real conditions was enabled. These modifications included converting the basin length into a decision variable during the optimization process, and improving calculations related to advance time, infiltrated water depth, cutoff, depletion and recession times, as well as infiltrated water volume, and deep percolation at different points of the basin. The results of optimization after simulation of basin irrigation design in the experimental field demonstrated positive effects of optimization on performance indicators such as Application Efficiency (Ea), Distribution Uniformity (DU), and Requirement Efficiency (Er). In the initial design, despite considerable deep percolation and relatively long advance time, the Ea was 61% and DU was 84%. However, after optimization, changes in the basin length and discharge variables led to reductions in advance time and cutoff time, resulting in a 27% decrease in the Deep Percolation Ratio (DPR), and a 13% increase in DU. Additionally, with reductions in water consumption volume and deep percolation, Ea improved by 27%. The objective function value decreased (improved) from 0.93 in the initial design to 0.22 in the optimized design, indicating a significant improvement in irrigation system efficiency. These changes were mainly achieved by reducing the basin length, and increasing discharge to reduce advance time, which proved to be the primary effective strategy in the optimized condition. The results also indicated that variations in basin length had a greater impact than discharge values in achieving the optimal state. Overall, the developed model was capable of providing a framework for the optimal design of basin irrigation.

尽管与加压灌溉系统相比,地面灌溉的设计相对简单,成本也较低,但它仍然面临着水分流失和水分分布不均匀等挑战。SCS方法作为广泛使用的地面灌溉设计方法之一,尚未受益于必要的改进和适应,以提高性能。本研究利用MATLAB编程软件,建立了流域灌溉优化设计的仿真优化模型,以提高水工性能。在模型的仿真部分,对SCS方法进行了改进,在优化部分,采用灰狼优化器(GWO)元启发式算法。通过改变SCS方法的输入和输出,并加强计算,使优化更准确、更协调地符合实际情况。这些修改包括将盆地长度转换为优化过程中的决策变量,以及改进与超前时间、渗透深度、截止时间、枯竭时间和衰退时间、渗透水量和盆地不同点的深层渗流相关的计算。在试验田模拟流域灌溉设计后的优化结果表明,优化对应用效率(Ea)、分布均匀度(DU)和需求效率(Er)等性能指标均有积极影响。在初始设计中,尽管渗流较深,提前时间较长,但Ea为61%,DU为84%。然而,优化后,流域长度和流量变量的变化导致提前时间和截止时间的减少,导致深层渗透比(DPR)降低27%,DU增加13%。此外,随着用水量和深层渗透的减少,Ea提高了27%。优化设计后,目标函数值由初始设计时的0.93下降(提高)到0.22,表明灌溉系统效率得到了显著提高。这些变化主要是通过减小流域长度和增加流量来缩短提前时间来实现的,这是优化条件下的主要有效策略。结果还表明,流域长度的变化对达到最佳状态的影响大于流量值。总的来说,所建立的模型能够为流域灌溉的优化设计提供一个框架。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing water quality index prediction accuracy in Mranti lake and rivers in Malaysia using regression forest model 利用回归森林模型提高马来西亚Mranti湖泊和河流水质指数预测精度
IF 5.7 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2025-12-27 DOI: 10.1007/s13201-025-02705-w
Amar Lokman, Wan Zakiah Wan Ismail, Nor Azlina Ab Aziz

The economic and environmental commodity of water quality has a substantial impact on the welfare of the public and the viability of ecosystem of a country. This research aims to improve the accuracy of water quality index (WQI) prediction by using machine learning techniques based on Malaysian standard. The study is carried out using a historical dataset that includes 11,065 samples from different places by the Malaysian Department of Environment (DOE). The data contains several important water quality parameters, including pH, dissolved oxygen, total suspended solids, biological oxygen demand, chemical oxygen demand, and ammoniacal nitrogen concentration. We develop a novel model, time series regression forest (TSRF) that is based on regression and random forest theory to enhance the WQI prediction. TSRF is compared with other machine learning models: decision trees (DT), ridge regression (RR), artificial neural networks (ANN), extra tree regressor (ETR), random forest (RF), autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), DT-ARIMA and RF-ARIMA models. TSRF achieves the lowest mean square error (MSE) of 1.178 and the highest R² of 0.968, surpassing DT–ARIMA (MSE = 2.526, R2 = 0.932) and RF–ARIMA (MSE = 2.907, R2 = 0.922). The comparison with deep learning approaches shows that long short term memory (LSTM) achieves MSE = 9.649 and R² = 0.879, followed closely by convolutional neural network (CNN)-LSTM (MSE = 13.224, R² = 0.834). In contrast, gated recurrent unit (GRU) (R² = 0.781), Transformer (R² = 0.781), and Wavelet-ARIMA (R² = 0.676) exhibit higher errors and weaker correlations, highlighting the relative advantage of temporal deep learning models for dynamic water quality forecasting. These results indicate that TSRF can improve the reliability and efficiency of WQI prediction, enabling policymakers and environmental managers to make informed, data-driven decisions and implement targeted pollution control strategies. Thus, this study can assist us to have better water quality management strategies by increasing the reliability and efficiency of WQI prediction. Water quality assessment methods developed in this research can help policymakers and environmental stewards to make informed decisions and implement targeted pollution control strategies. Advancing machine learning applications in environmental science strengthens current practices in water quality management and enhances decision-making capabilities.

水质这一经济和环境商品对公众福利和一个国家生态系统的生存能力具有重大影响。本研究旨在通过使用基于马来西亚标准的机器学习技术来提高水质指数(WQI)预测的准确性。这项研究是使用马来西亚环境部(DOE)的历史数据集进行的,该数据集包括来自不同地方的11065个样本。该数据包含几个重要的水质参数,包括pH、溶解氧、总悬浮物、生物需氧量、化学需氧量和氨态氮浓度。本文提出了一种基于回归和随机森林理论的时间序列回归森林(TSRF)模型来增强WQI的预测。TSRF与其他机器学习模型进行了比较:决策树(DT)、脊回归(RR)、人工神经网络(ANN)、额外树回归(ETR)、随机森林(RF)、自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)、DT-ARIMA和RF-ARIMA模型。TSRF的均方误差(MSE)最低为1.178,R²最高为0.968,超过了DT-ARIMA (MSE = 2.526, R2 = 0.932)和RF-ARIMA (MSE = 2.907, R2 = 0.922)。与深度学习方法比较,长短期记忆(LSTM)方法的MSE = 9.649, R²= 0.879,其次是卷积神经网络(CNN)-LSTM方法(MSE = 13.224, R²= 0.834)。相比之下,门控循环单元(GRU) (R²= 0.781)、Transformer (R²= 0.781)和Wavelet-ARIMA (R²= 0.676)具有较高的误差和较弱的相关性,突出了时间深度学习模型在动态水质预测中的相对优势。这些结果表明,TSRF可以提高WQI预测的可靠性和效率,使决策者和环境管理者能够做出明智的、数据驱动的决策,并实施有针对性的污染控制策略。因此,本研究可以通过提高WQI预测的可靠性和效率来帮助我们制定更好的水质管理策略。本研究开发的水质评价方法可以帮助决策者和环境管理者做出明智的决策,并实施有针对性的污染控制策略。推进机器学习在环境科学中的应用,加强了当前水质管理的实践,提高了决策能力。
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引用次数: 0
Water quality surveillance of small inland wetlands integrating multi-dimensional drivers 综合多维驱动因素的内陆小湿地水质监测
IF 5.7 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2025-12-26 DOI: 10.1007/s13201-025-02672-2
Sakti Prasad Pattnayak, Priyanka Jena, Pinu Roul, Surabhi Krishan Gulab, B. Anjan Kumar Prusty

Small inland wetlands, despite their pivotal roles in supporting aquatic biodiversity and local livelihoods, remain understudied and vulnerable to rapid degradation. This study investigates small wetlands in India’s Ganjam District, hypothesizing that urban pressures accelerate degradation, with light pollution and population density serving as effective water quality predictors. To test these assumptions, we measured 25 physicochemical variables and focused on 11 key parameters for the CCME water quality index (WQI). The scores ranged from 43 to 71, with 63% of sites rated ‘marginal’, reflecting elevated ammonium (> 0.5 mg L⁻1), turbidity (> 10 NTU), total Fe (> 2 mg L⁻1), and organic loads in most sites. We supplemented these data with night‐light intensity and population density rasters. Two principal components jointly explained approximately 50% of the total data variability. The first component and hierarchical clustering revealed a dominant brackish axis driven by salinity, hardness, TDS; and a turbidity–nutrient axis capturing total phosphorus, suspended solids, and turbidity. Meanwhile, light pollution and population density showed strong negative correlations with WQI, highlighting their power to track anthropogenic influence beyond conventional chemical variables. This study reiterates that fact that surveillance of smaller ecosystems can be a more representative and realistic reflection of overall habitat quality in any region, as compared with the perceived notion of focusing on larger ecosystems in sync with the SLOSS theory. The insights highlight the need for integrated management addressing both nutrient regulation and socioeconomic pressures to protect fragile waterbodies.

小型内陆湿地尽管在支持水生生物多样性和当地生计方面发挥着关键作用,但仍未得到充分研究,容易迅速退化。这项研究调查了印度Ganjam地区的小湿地,假设城市压力加速了湿地的退化,光污染和人口密度可以作为有效的水质预测指标。为了验证这些假设,我们测量了25个物理化学变量,并关注了CCME水质指数(WQI)的11个关键参数。得分范围从43到71,63%的站点被评为“边缘”,反映了大多数站点的高铵(0.5 mg L -毒血症),浑浊(10 NTU),总铁(2 mg L -毒血症)和有机负荷。我们用夜间光照强度和人口密度光栅来补充这些数据。两个主成分共同解释了大约50%的总数据变异性。第一分量和层次聚类显示,盐度、硬度、TDS驱动的半咸淡水轴占主导地位;浊度-营养轴捕获总磷、悬浮固体和浊度。同时,光污染和人口密度与WQI呈强烈的负相关,突出了它们在常规化学变量之外追踪人为影响的能力。这项研究重申了这样一个事实,即与关注与SLOSS理论同步的大型生态系统的概念相比,对较小生态系统的监测可以更有代表性和更现实地反映任何地区的总体栖息地质量。这些见解强调了综合管理的必要性,以解决营养调节和社会经济压力,以保护脆弱的水体。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating the effect of carbon nanotubes and shale on the rheological properties of water-based drilling fluid 研究碳纳米管与页岩对水基钻井液流变性能的影响
IF 5.7 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2025-12-26 DOI: 10.1007/s13201-025-02657-1
Ahmad Mousaei, Morteza Ehsani

This study investigated the effect of powdered Shale and carbon nanotubes (FMWCNT) with polar functional groups OH and COOH on the rheological properties of lightweight drilling fluid weighing 63 pcf. In the first step, a fluid was used as a base, and six fluids containing nanotubes (three samples with OH functional groups and three samples with COOH functional groups) were prepared at ambient BHR (77 °F) and mud circulation at simulated bottom hole temperature (250 °F) at concentrations of 0.01, 0.05, and 0.1% (w/w). After that, the rheological properties and filtration values (FL) were measured. The results show that the highest effect was observed at the concentration of 0.05% for the COOH functional group, which increased the rheological properties in both BHR and AHR conditions and decreased the FL values. In addition, the based mud was significantly improved by formulating it with 20 g of powdered Shale and 0.05% nanotubes with COOH functional groups. Compared to the based mud, the apparent viscosity and filtration values (AHR condition) were 37.5% and 67.8% improved, respectively.

研究了粉末状页岩和具有极性官能团OH和COOH的碳纳米管(FMWCNT)对重量为63 pcf的轻质钻井液流变性能的影响。在第一步中,以一种流体为基础,在环境BHR(77°F)和模拟井底温度(250°F)的泥浆循环条件下(浓度分别为0.01、0.05和0.1% (w/w))制备了6种含纳米管的流体(3种含OH官能团的样品和3种含COOH官能团的样品)。然后,测定其流变性能和滤过值(FL)。结果表明,COOH官能团在0.05%的浓度下对BHR和AHR条件下的流变性能均有提高,FL值均有降低。此外,加入20 g页岩粉和0.05%具有COOH官能团的纳米管,可以显著改善基泥浆的性能。与基泥浆相比,表观粘度和过滤值(AHR条件)分别提高了37.5%和67.8%。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the reliability, resilience, and vulnerability of water resources: the impact of minimum, maximum, environmental flows, and water quality 评估水资源的可靠性、弹性和脆弱性:最小、最大、环境流量和水质的影响
IF 5.7 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1007/s13201-025-02670-4
Hengameh Shekohideh, Mehdi Vafakhah, Seyed Hamidreza Sadeghi, Vahid Moosavi

Surface water resources in the Gorganroud watershed are facing significant reliability challenges due to human activities and climate change. This research aims to assess the resilience, reliability, and vulnerability of water resources across 16 sub-watersheds, focusing on minimum, maximum and environmental flows as well as water quality. The findings indicate that the health of the minimum flow over periods of 7, 30, and 90 days is rated at 0.16, 0.32, and 0.45, respectively, reflecting unhealthy to moderate conditions at the watershed level. Additionally, the maximum flow health score of 0.34 highlights the necessity for effective flood management. Water quality assessments for drinking and agricultural purposes were estimated at 0.52 and 0.57, respectively; however, downstream agricultural sub-watersheds with intensive activities, such as Hajighoshan, Dasht, Gonbad, Ghazaghli, and Gorgan Dam, are facing critical conditions. The overall health of the environmental flow in the watershed is rated at 0.47, with the middle and lower sub-watersheds, including Dasht and Gorgan Dam, exhibiting poor conditions, while mountainous areas, such as Till Abad, demonstrate better performance. These results underscore the urgent need for integrated water resource management, vegetation restoration, and the control of agricultural pollution to enhance watershed health.

由于人类活动和气候变化,Gorganroud流域的地表水资源正面临着重大的可靠性挑战。本研究旨在评估16个子流域水资源的恢复力、可靠性和脆弱性,重点关注最小、最大和环境流量以及水质。研究结果表明,7、30和90天期间的最小流量健康度分别为0.16、0.32和0.45,反映了流域层面的不健康至中等状况。此外,流量健康得分最高为0.34,这表明有必要进行有效的洪水管理。饮用水和农业用水的水质评价分别为0.52和0.57;然而,下游活动密集的农业流域,如Hajighoshan、Dasht、Gonbad、Ghazaghli和Gorgan大坝面临着严峻的条件。流域环境流量的整体健康状况为0.47,包括达什特和戈尔干大坝在内的中下游子流域状况较差,而蒂尔阿巴德等山区表现较好。这些结果表明,迫切需要进行水资源综合管理、植被恢复和农业污染控制,以提高流域健康水平。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling provenance of salinity and groundwater quality appraisal using hydrogeochemical, stable isotopes (δ2H, δ18O, δ13C) and multivariate statistical tools in the sedimentary rocks-pleistocene Epoch, Mirpur, Azad Jammu Kashmir 利用水文地球化学、稳定同位素(δ2H、δ18O、δ13C)和多元统计工具揭示克什米尔地区Mirpur -更新世沉积岩的盐度来源和地下水质量评价
IF 5.7 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2025-12-20 DOI: 10.1007/s13201-025-02681-1
Asmoon Qamar,  Waqar-Un-Nisa, Tariq Javed, Saira Butt, Um-e Robab, Jawaria Abid

Groundwater is an important natural resource currently used for drinking, irrigation and industrial purposes, being deteriorated by natural and anthropogenic sources of pollution. The main aim of this is to assess groundwater hydrochemistry, salinity origins, recharge sources, and water quality in the Kashmir basin using geochemical modeling and multivariate statistics. The observed range of total dissolved solids (140 ≤ TDS ≤ 2226 mg/L) and chloride (10.3 ≤ Cl ≤ 408.5 mg/L) in groundwater specify a mixed source of salinity, stemming from both natural geological formations and human activities. The average concentrations of cations and anions in groundwater are in order of Na+  > Ca2+  > Mg2+  > K+ and HCO3 > SO42− > Cl > NO3, respectively. The groundwater is categorized as fresh to very hard water in study area. Hydrochemistry, based on major ions were predominantly; Ca-HCO3 (40%), mixed Ca–Mg–Cl-SO₄ (30%), Na-Cl (10%), Na–K-HCO3 (15%) and Ca–Cl (5%) in study area. Stable isotopic and hydrochemical signatures clearly explained recharge of groundwater from rain and surface water, and origin of salinity in aquifer by dissolution of salts and rock-water interaction processes. Lower values of δ13CDIC, in groundwater is interpreted as evidence that biogenic CO₂, produced by the microbial oxidation of organic matter within the aquifer, is a significant source contributing to the dissolved inorganic carbon pool in groundwater. Geochemical modeling of groundwater indicates the water is under-saturated with respect to gypsum, anhydride, halite, and sylvite minerals, while being at equilibrium or slightly over-saturated with respect to carbonate minerals, suggesting significant water–rock interactions. Multivariate statistical analyses show natural weathering processes as well as anthropogenic sources of contamination in groundwater. Overall, computed water quality indices (WQIs) demonstrated that 12.5% and 85% water samples come under “excellent “ and “good “ quality, however 2.5% sample exhibited poor category. Irrigation water quality indices (IWQIs) appeared that groundwater in the study area is good quality to support the irrigation needs of crops, opening up opportunities for diverse and potentially more profitable agricultural activities.

地下水是一种重要的自然资源,目前用于饮用、灌溉和工业用途,受到自然和人为污染源的恶化。这项研究的主要目的是利用地球化学模型和多元统计来评估克什米尔盆地的地下水水化学、盐度来源、补给来源和水质。地下水中总溶解固形物(140≤TDS≤2226 mg/L)和氯化物(10.3≤Cl−≤408.5 mg/L)的观测范围说明了自然地质构造和人类活动的混合盐源。地下水中阳离子和阴离子的平均浓度依次为Na+ >、Ca2+ >、Mg2+ >、K+和HCO3−>、SO42−>、Cl−>、NO3−。研究区地下水分为淡水和极硬水两类。以主离子为主的水化学;研究区Ca-HCO3(40%)、混合Ca-Mg-Cl-SO₄(30%)、Na-Cl(10%)、Na-K-HCO3(15%)和Ca-Cl(5%)。稳定的同位素和水化学特征清楚地解释了雨水和地表水对地下水的补给,以及盐的溶解和岩石-水相互作用过程在含水层中的盐度来源。地下水δ13CDIC值较低,说明微生物氧化含水层有机质产生的生物源CO 2是地下水溶解无机碳库的重要来源。地下水地球化学模拟表明,石膏、酸酐、岩盐和钾盐矿物处于欠饱和状态,碳酸盐矿物处于平衡或略过饱和状态,表明水岩相互作用显著。多元统计分析显示了自然风化过程以及地下水中的人为污染源。总体而言,计算的水质指数(WQIs)显示12.5%和85%的水样属于“优秀”和“良好”,2.5%的水样属于“差”类别。灌溉水质指数(IWQIs)显示,研究区地下水质量良好,可支持作物灌溉需求,为开展多样化和潜在更有利可图的农业活动开辟了机会。
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引用次数: 0
Ionic composition, source and suitability indices of groundwater for irrigation uses in the Mediterranean region of Morocco 摩洛哥地中海地区地下水的离子组成、来源和适宜性指标
IF 5.7 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2025-12-20 DOI: 10.1007/s13201-025-02706-9
Ayoub Lazaar, Tarik El Moatassem, Fassil Kebede

Groundwater has been the main source of irrigation in Morocco for many decades. However, irrigated agriculture is now constrained by groundwater depletion, severe soil salinity and alkalinity, among other factors. Irrigation practices with poor quality groundwater can limit crop choices, reduce agricultural yields and lead to long-term deterioration of soil quality and fertility. This study aims to identify the hydrogeochemical processes controlling groundwater composition in the Triffa plain study area and evaluates the effects of depth (shallow vs. deep) on its suitability for irrigation, in relation to dominant soil types, by adopting a comprehensive approach, combining the Irrigation Water Quality Index (IWQI), multiple traditional indices (e.g., SAR, SARadj, %Na, PS, PI, KR, SSP, MAR, RSBC, TH), USSL/Wilcox/Doneen diagrams, statistical analyses and GIS technique. The hydrogeochemical analysis reveals that groundwater in the Triffa plain is dominated by Cl⁻ and Na⁺ ions, with three main hydrochemical facies identified: Na⁺–Cl⁻, Ca²⁺–Mg²⁺–Cl⁻–SO₄²⁻, and Ca²⁺–Mg²⁺–Cl⁻ mixed type. The salinity and ionic composition of groundwater in the Triffa plain are primarily influenced by evaporite dissolution minerals, carbonate weathering and ion exchange processes, with no evidence of seawater intrusion, as demonstrated by the Cl⁻/Br⁻ ratio. Most groundwater samples were found very hard (TH > 300 mg/L) and display high ECw and TDS values, indicating poor suitability for irrigation, except dam water. IWQI results show that 88.88% of shallow and deep borehole groundwater falls within high to severe restriction use categories, which is confirmed by traditional indices and diagrams (USSL and Wilcox). Only 11.12% of samples were classified in the low to moderate restriction categories, especially those from dam water. Spatial analysis reveals that water quality deteriorates from the southern/southeastern zones to the central and northern regions of the plain, with the highest restrictions found in the northern regions, which present elevated values across different indices (e.g., SAR, %Na, KR), ECw, TDS, Na⁺, and Mg²⁺. To address salinity and sodicity risks, especially in Mollisols and Ultisols, this study advises soil-specific management, especially under high to severe restriction zones, with application of periodic leaching, very frequent irrigation, gypsum amendments, low-volume irrigation, and the use of polyacrylamides (PAMs) to mitigate salinity effects and preserve soil structure. Also, this study offers a promising and complete approach for assessing water irrigation quality in semi-arid areas for water management, soil quality, and sustainable agriculture.

几十年来,地下水一直是摩洛哥灌溉的主要来源。然而,灌溉农业现在受到地下水枯竭、土壤严重盐碱化等因素的制约。使用劣质地下水的灌溉做法会限制作物的选择,降低农业产量,并导致土壤质量和肥力的长期恶化。本研究旨在通过综合利用灌溉水质指数(IWQI)、多种传统指标(SAR、SARadj、%Na、PS、PI、KR、SSP、MAR、RSBC、TH)、USSL/Wilcox/Doneen图、统计分析和GIS技术,确定控制Triffa平原研究区地下水组成的水文地球化学过程,评价不同深度(浅层与深层)对优势土壤类型的灌溉适宜性的影响。水文地球化学分析表明,Triffa平原地下水以Cl -⁻和Na +为主,确定了3种主要的水化学相:Na + -Cl⁻、Ca 2 + -Mg 2 + -Cl⁻-SO₄²⁻和Ca 2 + -Mg 2 + -Cl⁻混合型。特里法平原地下水的盐度和离子组成主要受蒸发岩溶解矿物、碳酸盐风化和离子交换过程的影响,没有海水入侵的证据,如Cl /Br毒血症所证明的那样。除大坝水外,大部分地下水样品非常坚硬(TH > 300 mg/L), ECw和TDS值较高,表明不适合灌溉。IWQI结果表明,88.88%的浅孔和深孔地下水属于高至重度限制利用类别,这一点得到了传统指标和图表(USSL和Wilcox)的证实。仅11.12%的样本属于低至中等限制类别,特别是来自大坝水的样本。空间分析表明,从南/东南向平原中部和北部水质恶化,北部地区的限制最大,SAR、%Na、KR、ECw、TDS、Na +和Mg +等指标均呈上升趋势。为了解决盐度和碱度风险,特别是在Mollisols和Ultisols中,本研究建议对土壤进行特定管理,特别是在高到严格的限制区域,采用定期淋滤,非常频繁的灌溉,石膏改进剂,小容量灌溉以及使用聚丙烯酰胺(pam)来减轻盐度影响并保持土壤结构。此外,本研究为半干旱区的水管理、土壤质量和农业可持续发展提供了一种有前景的、完整的灌溉质量评估方法。
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引用次数: 0
Deterministic, probabilistic, and machine learning approaches for water quality index prediction, source identification via non-negative matrix factorization, and health risk evaluation 确定性,概率和机器学习方法用于水质指数预测,通过非负矩阵分解识别来源,以及健康风险评估
IF 5.7 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1007/s13201-025-02689-7
Amin Mohammadpour, Ehsan Gharehchahi, Mohammadali Baghapour, Mohammad Reza Samaei, Amin Mousavi Khaneghah

Water quality is a crucial index of human health and environmental sustainability. The present study aimed to apply deterministic, probabilistic, and ML techniques, such as RF, DT, KNN, XGB, SVR, and GB, to classify the water quality in the southern region of Iran. The levels of TDS and alkalinity exhibited the greatest deviation from the standards set by the EPA, WHO, and BIS. The WQI findings revealed that 88.30% of the data were classified as excellent or good quality when employing the deterministic method. Conversely, 97.77% fell within these categories when the Monte Carlo simulation approach was used. The models were meticulously assessed using a set of statistical metrics, including R2, MAE, RMSE, MSE, and PREI. The results show that the RF and XGB were highly effective in predicting WQI. The factors influencing the WQI, identified by RF and XGB methodologies and based on MLP, were TDS and SO42− within the study area. According to the Piper diagram, the predominant groundwater type in the study region was HCO₃–Na⁺, influenced by seawater intrusion, geological properties, and human activities. The deterministic method showed that the HI values exceeded the threshold of 1 in 51%, 2.13%, and 2.13% of the samples for children, teenagers, and adults, respectively. In contrast, the Monte Carlo simulation approach indicated that the HI values exceeding 1 were 34.8% for children, 2.9% for teenagers, and 0.4% for adults. Moreover, the HI was significantly affected by fluoride concentration, ingestion rate, and their interaction. The study's findings emphasized sustainable water management in this area.

水质是人类健康和环境可持续性的重要指标。本研究旨在应用确定性、概率性和ML技术,如RF、DT、KNN、XGB、SVR和GB,对伊朗南部地区的水质进行分类。TDS和碱度水平与EPA、WHO和BIS制定的标准偏差最大。WQI结果显示,采用确定性方法时,88.30%的数据被分类为优或良。相反,当使用蒙特卡罗模拟方法时,97.77%属于这些类别。使用一组统计指标仔细评估模型,包括R2、MAE、RMSE、MSE和PREI。结果表明,RF和XGB预测WQI非常有效。通过RF和XGB方法并基于MLP确定影响WQI的因素是研究区域内的TDS和SO42−。由Piper图可知,受海水入侵、地质性质和人类活动的影响,研究区主要的地下水类型为HCO₃−-Na⁺。确定性方法显示,儿童、青少年和成人样本中,HI值分别有51%、2.13%和2.13%超过1的阈值。相比之下,蒙特卡罗模拟方法表明,HI值超过1的儿童为34.8%,青少年为2.9%,成人为0.4%。此外,氟浓度、摄食率及其相互作用对HI有显著影响。研究结果强调了该地区的可持续水资源管理。
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引用次数: 0
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Applied Water Science
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