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U.S.-China-Russia Tripolarity and Energy Security in the Indo-Pacific: Focusing on Natural Gas and Nuclear Power 印太地区的美、中、俄三极和能源安全:聚焦天然气和核能
Pub Date : 2023-03-20 DOI: 10.29274/ews.2023.35.1.59
Eunjung Lim
This study comparatively analyzes the capabilities and national interests of the US, China, and Russia in the field of natural gas and nuclear power using Randall Schweller’s tripolarity as the analytical framework. Through this comparative analysis, this study aims to infer how the structure of the US-China-Russia tripolarity will affect energy security in the Indo-Pacific region. Based on the results of a comparative analysis of the capabilities and national interests of the three superpowers in the natural gas and nuclear power fields, this paper argues that the structure of the US-China-Russia tripolarity can further accelerate power restructuring in the Indo-Pacific region through energy. It is predicted that in both the natural gas and nuclear power fields, where none of the three superpowers has an overwhelming advantage, there is room for energy security issues to be used as a means to accelerate power restructuring, as the wills to revise the status quo are colliding. This is also a warning that the energy issues may eventually escalate into a factor that could shake peace and stability in the Indo-Pacific region.
本研究以Randall Schweller的三极性理论为分析框架,对比分析了美国、中国和俄罗斯在天然气和核电领域的能力和国家利益。通过这一对比分析,本研究旨在推断美、中、俄三极格局将如何影响印太地区的能源安全。本文通过对三个超级大国在天然气和核电领域的能力和国家利益的对比分析,认为美中俄三极格局可以通过能源进一步加速印太地区的权力重组。有分析认为,在3个大国都没有绝对优势的天然气和核电领域,随着改变现状的意志发生冲突,能源安全问题有可能成为加快电力结构调整的手段。这也是在警告,能源问题最终可能升级为动摇印太地区和平与稳定的因素。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental Perception and Public Attitudes toward Nuclear Energy 环境认知与公众对核能的态度
Pub Date : 2023-03-20 DOI: 10.29274/ews.2023.35.1.201
The need for an energy transition from fossil fuel to cleaner energy sources has been widely recognized as climate change has increased the intensity of extreme weather events and posed a severe threat to human beings over time. As a result, many countries, including South Korea, have deliberately considered nuclear energy a safe and economical alternative to fossil fuels. Nevertheless, there has been a long-running debate about whether nuclear power is a clean and sustainable energy source. In this paper, we investigate whether individuals with a higher level of environmental perception and cognition are more likely to have less favorable attitudes toward nuclear energy. Specifically, utilizing 2021 Korean General Social Survey data, we construct the ‘environmental perception index’ by conducting a principal component analysis based on various questions about environmental issues and estimate its impacts on attitudes toward nuclear energy policy−stay the same/increase/decrease nuclear reactors−and on opinions about the safety of nuclear energy. We find evidence that respondents with a higher level of the ‘environmental perception index’ are more likely to support the policy to decommission nuclear facilities and be concerned about the safety of nuclear energy. Hence, additional analyses revealed that the effects of the environmental perception index are more evident for the non-partisan respondents, who may be less affected by the political discourses about nuclear energy. The findings of this paper have academic and policy implications by emphasizing the importance of environmental perceptions in evaluating energy policy.
随着气候变化加剧了极端天气事件的强度,并随着时间的推移对人类构成严重威胁,从化石燃料向清洁能源过渡的必要性已得到广泛认识。因此,包括韩国在内的许多国家都有意将核能视为一种安全、经济的化石燃料替代品。然而,关于核能是否是一种清洁和可持续的能源一直存在争论。在本文中,我们调查了环境感知和认知水平较高的个体是否更有可能对核能持不赞成的态度。具体而言,我们利用2021年韩国综合社会调查数据,基于各种环境问题进行主成分分析,构建了“环境感知指数”,并估计其对核能政策态度的影响-保持不变/增加/减少核反应堆-以及对核能安全的看法。我们发现有证据表明,“环境感知指数”水平越高的受访者更可能支持核设施退役政策,并更关注核能安全。因此,进一步的分析显示,环境感知指数对无党派受访者的影响更为明显,他们可能较少受到有关核能的政治话语的影响。通过强调环境观念在评估能源政策中的重要性,本文的研究结果具有学术和政策意义。
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引用次数: 0
플라이트와 스톱의 동시 발생이 경제 성장과 투자에 미치는 영향: 신흥 시장의 증거를 중심으로 飞行和停止的同时发生对经济增长和投资的影响:以新兴市场的证据为中心
Pub Date : 2023-03-20 DOI: 10.29274/ews.2023.35.1.151
This paper attempts to investigate if a significant increase in foreign asset purchases by domestic investors(i.e., a flight) is detrimental to emerging markets’ growth and investment using a panel data set that covers 56 emerging markets between 1990 and 2014. Furthermore, it studies the effect of a flight when it occurs simultaneously with a significant decrease in domestic asset purchases by foreign investors(i.e., a stop) using an interaction model. A key difference of our study is that we estimate this interaction effect using three generalized method of moments estimators(difference GMM, system GMM, and orthogonal deviation GMM) to address the causal effects rather than the associations between them. The results suggest that a flight alone is not harmful whereas simultaneous flights and stops could depress growth and investment. Therefore, the results of this paper complement the empirical evidence of the existing literature.
本文试图探讨国内投资者购买外国资产的显著增加(即:使用涵盖1990年至2014年56个新兴市场的面板数据集,中国的资本外流对新兴市场的增长和投资不利。此外,它还研究了当资本外逃与外国投资者购买国内资产的显著减少同时发生时所产生的影响。(停止)使用交互模型。本研究的一个关键区别在于,我们使用三种广义矩估计方法(差分GMM、系统GMM和正交偏差GMM)来估计这种相互作用效应,以解决因果效应,而不是它们之间的关联。结果表明,单独飞行是无害的,而同时飞行和停留可能会抑制增长和投资。因此,本文的研究结果是对已有文献经验证据的补充。
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引用次数: 0
Historical Identity in North Korea’s History Textbooks: Description about Empires and Revolutionary Struggle(1905-1945) 朝鲜历史教科书中的历史认同:帝国与革命斗争的描述(1905-1945)
Pub Date : 2023-03-20 DOI: 10.29274/ews.2023.35.1.5
This study focuses on the descriptions of North Korean history textbooks about the Japanese colonial period(1905-1945) in the Korean Peninsula, and aims to analyze North Korean textbooks by utilizing four materials including the ‘Joseon Ryeoksa’(Joseon History) and ‘Hyeongmyeong Ryeoksa’(History of the Revolutionary) published under the Kim Jong-il regime and the ‘Ryeoksa’ (History) and ‘Hyeongmyeong Ryeoksa’(History of the Revolutionary) under the Kim Jong-un regime. This study also focuses on their descriptions about the empires and the revolutionary struggle, and examines differences and changes between the Kim Jong-il and Kim Jong-un regimes. Findings of this study are summarized as follows: North Korean history has been a history of ‘resistance,’ of struggle against the imperialism. Their values had been suppressed by the empires and their resistance was sublimated into a revolutionary struggle. Kim Il-song led their history and he was the only figure who could legitimize the North Korean history. The North Korean historical identity, which legitimates resistance history against the empires, was projected through its national, social, and cultural learning materials.
本研究以日本强占时期(1905-1945年)的朝鲜历史教科书为重点,利用金正日政权时期的《朝鲜史》、《革命史》和金正恩政权时期的《革命史》、《明烈史》等4种资料,对朝鲜教科书进行分析。本研究还侧重于他们对帝国和革命斗争的描述,并考察金正日和金正恩政权之间的差异和变化。这项研究的结果总结如下:朝鲜的历史是一部“抵抗”的历史,是一部反对帝国主义的斗争的历史。他们的价值观受到帝国的压制,他们的反抗被升华为革命斗争。金日成领导了朝鲜的历史,他是唯一能够使朝鲜历史合法化的人物。将反抗帝国的历史合法化的北韩的历史身份,通过其国家、社会和文化的学习材料被投射出来。
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引用次数: 0
Ahn Joonggeun’s Thoughts on Peace and Kant: Comparing Kant’s Perpetual Peace with Ahn’s Oriental Peace 安重根和平思想与康德——康德的“永久和平”与安重根的“东方和平”之比较
Pub Date : 2022-12-20 DOI: 10.29274/ews.2022.34.4.5
Hoon Jaung
This article attempts to critically revisit such comparative works which are in vogue in recent years. First, this article argues that extant studies’ comparative focus on Kant’s peace federation with Ahn’s Oriental peace conference elaborate only half of their peace theory. It is reasonable attempt to compare Kant’s emphasis on free nations’ membership of federation with Ahn’s peace conference with a certain degree of authority on the supranational peace conference. Second, extant comparative studies have neglected the other crucial dimension of Kant and Ahn’s peace thought, that is, the centrality of national states’ sovereignty and non-intervention principle. The so-called democratic peace theorists, who claimed their inheritance of Kantian legacy and Ahn’-Kant comparativists shared such intellectual negligence. Contrary to this theoretical distortion, both Kant and Ahn have placed prominent meaning to the principle of sovereignty and non-intervention. They both believed that such principles were not only preconditions but also consequences of peace federation. In this sense, this article reveals key intellectual loopholes and distortion among extant studies on Kantian legacy and Ahn’s peace thought.
本文试图批判性地重新审视近年来流行的这类比较作品。首先,现有研究将康德的和平联盟与安哲熙的东方和平会议进行比较,只阐述了其和平理论的一半。将康德强调的自由国家的联邦制与安哲秀主张的超国家和平会议相比较,是一种合理的尝试。其次,现有的比较研究忽略了康德和安的和平思想的另一个重要维度,即民族国家主权和不干涉原则的中心地位。声称继承了康德遗产的所谓民主和平理论家和安哲秀-康德比较主义者也有这种智力上的疏忽。与这种理论扭曲相反,康德和安都突出了主权和不干涉原则的意义。双方都认为,这些原则不仅是和平联邦的先决条件,而且是其结果。从这个意义上说,本文揭示了现存的康德遗产和安哲秀和平思想研究中存在的主要知识漏洞和扭曲。
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引用次数: 0
Does the youth member represent the youth?: Focusing on the 21st National Assembly 青年委员代表青年吗?〇以第21届国会为中心
Pub Date : 2022-12-20 DOI: 10.29274/ews.2022.34.4.81
HoeJeong Yang, H. Jeong
The purpose of this study is to analyze whether youth lawmakers represent young people in the 21st National Assembly. In other words, it was intended to check whether the increase in the nominal representation of young people in the National Assembly leads to an increase in substansive representation. To this end, a total of 275 youth-related bills proposed from the opening of the 21st National Assembly(May 30, 2020) to August 31, 2022 were thoroughly investigated with quantitative and qualitative analysis conducted simultaneously. As a result of the analysis, it was found that the younger members of the legislature are more likely to initiate youth-related bills. In addition, it was confirmed that party membership and seniority have impacts on bill initiation. The results of the qualitative analysis of the youth-related bills showed that the 21st National Assembly members wanted to effectively represent the youth, particularly focusing on the issues of job(28.36%, 78 cases) and politics(23.63%, 65 cases). Although the number of youth lawmakers is small, they were found to make efforts to guarantee the political, social, cultural, and economic rights of young people and to represent the youth group by proposing bills that are different from non-youth members.
本研究的目的是分析青年议员在第21届国会中是否代表了年轻人。换句话说,这是为了验证青年的名义代表性的增加是否会导致实际代表性的增加。为此,从第21届国会(2020年5月30日)开始到2022年8月31日为止,共对275件青少年相关法案进行了定量和定性分析。分析结果显示,年轻议员更有可能提出与青少年有关的法案。此外,还证实了党籍和年资对法案启动的影响。对青年相关法案进行定性分析的结果显示,第21届国会议员尤其关注就业(28.36%,78件)和政治(23.63%,65件)问题,希望有效地代表青年。虽然青年议员人数不多,但他们为保障青年的政治、社会、文化、经济权利而努力,并通过提出与非青年议员不同的法案来代表青年群体。
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引用次数: 0
Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism of the EU and the US: the Impact on South Korea 欧美碳边界调整机制:对韩国的影响
Pub Date : 2022-12-20 DOI: 10.29274/ews.2022.34.4.105
Ha-Hyun Jo, Seung-jin Kim
This study is to measure the impact of the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism by the European Union and the United States on South Korea. Five products of the EU CBAM are selected for this analysis: iron and steel, organic chemicals, plastic, aluminum, and cement. To evaluate the impact, this paper used carbon intensity, export value, and carbon emission price data. The additional burden on the products is expected to cost 531 billion KRW by the EU CBAM implementation. In the case of the US implementation, the additional burden is expected to reach 214 billion KRW when the social cost of carbon(SCC) is used for the carbon price. These estimates are different from the results of previous studies, as the calculation in this study is based on HS codes. In fact, the estimates are larger than previous results, since the gap between carbon prices has grown in recent months. Among products, iron and steel products bear the largest proportion of the burden. However, the influence of the CBAM may become more extensive with an extended range of products and an increased price of carbon emissions. In order to respond to the CBAM effectively, it is necessary for the government to stimulate the de-carbonization of industry and incentivize investment in renewable energy. Corporations are also required to actively invest in low-carbon technologies and improve the capacity for climate change adaptation.
本研究旨在衡量欧盟和美国的碳边界调整机制对韩国的影响。此次分析选择了欧盟CBAM的钢铁、有机化学品、塑料、铝、水泥等5个产品。为了评估影响,本文使用了碳强度、出口价值和碳排放价格数据。预计,由于欧盟实施CBAM,产品的额外负担将达到5310亿韩元。如果以美国为例,如果将碳社会成本(SCC)换算为碳价,预计将产生2140亿韩元的额外负担。这些估计与以往的研究结果不同,因为本研究的计算是基于HS编码的。事实上,由于近几个月来碳价格之间的差距有所扩大,这一估计比之前的结果要大。在产品中,钢铁产品承担的负担比例最大。然而,随着产品范围的扩大和碳排放价格的提高,CBAM的影响可能会变得更加广泛。为了有效应对CBAM,政府有必要刺激工业脱碳和激励可再生能源投资。企业还需要积极投资低碳技术,提高适应气候变化的能力。
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引用次数: 0
The Determinants of Chinese Foreign Aid: Case of Mozambique 中国对外援助的决定因素:以莫桑比克为例
Pub Date : 2022-12-20 DOI: 10.29274/ews.2022.34.4.31
S. Yoo, Taewoo Lim, Yiyeon Kim
The purpose of this study is to examine what factors China’s foreign aid allocation affected based on the case of Mozambique. Dreher et al.(2018), the most pioneering research on Chinese aid argue that China’s foreign policy interests determine its allocation of Official Development Assistance(ODA) flows and that economic considerations determine less concessional forms of official financing(Other Official Flows, OOF). However, existing studies examining the factors of aid allocation in Western donor countries show a mixture of factors such as donors’ interest and recipients’ development. This study argues that through the Mozambique case, China’s aid is also allocated by the interaction of various factors. Utilizing the Granger Causality test, we find that while ODA flows affect exports from China to Mozambique, exports do not cause ODA. In terms of OOF, the argument of Dreher et al.(2018) was not supported. OOF is not distributed according to economic purpose. Investigating aid to the agriculture, social infrastructure, health, and education sectors, this study shows that aid is distributed for different purposes depending the sector.
本文以莫桑比克为例,探讨中国对外援助分配的影响因素。Dreher等人(2018)是对中国援助最具开创性的研究,他们认为中国的外交政策利益决定了其官方发展援助(ODA)流量的分配,经济考虑决定了不太优惠的官方融资形式(其他官方流量,OOF)。然而,审查西方捐助国援助分配因素的现有研究表明,诸如捐助者的兴趣和受援国的发展等因素混合在一起。本研究认为,通过莫桑比克案例,中国的援助也是通过各种因素的相互作用来分配的。利用格兰杰因果检验,我们发现虽然官方发展援助流量影响中国对莫桑比克的出口,但出口不影响官方发展援助。在OOF方面,Dreher et al.(2018)的论点没有得到支持。OOF不按经济目的分配。在调查对农业、社会基础设施、卫生和教育部门的援助后,这项研究表明,根据部门的不同,援助的分配目的不同。
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引用次数: 0
The Determinants of Global Value Chain Participation: Globalization and Economic Development Stages 全球价值链参与的决定因素:全球化与经济发展阶段
Pub Date : 2022-12-20 DOI: 10.29274/ews.2022.34.4.61
Z. Kim, Lee-Ra Choi
One of the recent meaningful changes in the development of globalization can be represented by structural changes in the global production network, such as the establishment, development, expansion, and reorganization of the so-called Global Value Chain(GVC). This study analyzed the determinants of the GVC participation rate by dividing it into the entire period from 2000 to 2019, the stages of globalization(Hyperglobalization and slowbalization), and stages of economic growth(developed and non-developed countries). In all the study periods, trade openness was the only variable that had a significant positive(+) effect on the determinants of the GVC participation rate. And other variables showed different results depending on the stage of globalization or economic growth. The results of this study suggest that the factors that promote or reduce the GVC participation rate differ depending on the stage of globalization or economic growth, so that the government requires to set up appropriate policies according to the global economic environment and the country's economic situation.
最近全球化发展中一个有意义的变化可以用全球生产网络的结构性变化来表示,例如所谓的全球价值链(GVC)的建立、发展、扩张和重组。本研究将全球价值链参与率划分为2000年至2019年整个时期、全球化阶段(超全球化和慢全球化)和经济增长阶段(发达国家和非发达国家),分析了影响全球价值链参与率的决定因素。在所有研究期间,贸易开放度是唯一对全球价值链参与率决定因素有显著正(+)影响的变量。而其他变量则根据全球化所处的阶段或经济增长的不同表现出不同的结果。本研究结果表明,促进或降低全球价值链参与率的因素因全球化或经济增长阶段的不同而不同,因此政府需要根据全球经济环境和本国经济状况制定相应的政策。
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引用次数: 0
US-China Relations: An Integrated Model of Analysis and Prediction 中美关系:一个综合分析与预测模型
Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.29274/ews.2022.34.3.137
Hochul Lee
This study is to suggest an integrated approach of three levels of ‘structure,’ ‘process,’ and ‘actor’ to analyze and predict US-China relations. At the level of structure, this study finds that a power transition is going on, that a power competition between ‘rebalancing’ and ‘counterbalancing’ is developing, and that conflicting strategic goals are sought for. US-China relations would develop into a competition/conflict-dominant mode in the long-term. But this competition/ conflict-dominant relations would be mitigated by resuming diplomacy and increasing trade between two countries. Finally, the competition/conflict-dominant relations would be amplified by the perceptions of each other by the leadership as the only ‘revisionist challenging’ state and a containing state of rising China.
本研究提出一种从“结构”、“过程”和“行动者”三个层面综合分析和预测中美关系的方法。在结构层面,本研究发现权力转移正在进行,“再平衡”与“制衡”之间的权力竞争正在发展,战略目标的冲突正在寻求。长期来看,中美关系将发展为竞争/冲突主导模式。但这种以竞争/冲突为主导的关系将通过恢复外交和增加两国之间的贸易而得到缓解。最后,竞争/冲突主导的关系将被领导层视为唯一的“修正主义挑战”国家和崛起的中国的遏制国家而放大。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of East and West studies
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