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Communicating exploratory unsupervised machine learning analysis in age clustering for paediatric disease. 交流儿科疾病年龄聚类中的探索性无监督机器学习分析。
IF 4.1 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-29 DOI: 10.1136/bmjhci-2023-100963
Joshua William Spear, Eleni Pissaridou, Stuart Bowyer, William A Bryant, Daniel Key, John Booth, Anastasia Spiridou, Spiros Denaxas, Rebecca Pope, Andrew M Taylor, Harry Hemingway, Neil J Sebire

Background: Despite the increasing availability of electronic healthcare record (EHR) data and wide availability of plug-and-play machine learning (ML) Application Programming Interfaces, the adoption of data-driven decision-making within routine hospital workflows thus far, has remained limited. Through the lens of deriving clusters of diagnoses by age, this study investigated the type of ML analysis that can be performed using EHR data and how results could be communicated to lay stakeholders.

Methods: Observational EHR data from a tertiary paediatric hospital, containing 61 522 unique patients and 3315 unique ICD-10 diagnosis codes was used, after preprocessing. K-means clustering was applied to identify age distributions of patient diagnoses. The final model was selected using quantitative metrics and expert assessment of the clinical validity of the clusters. Additionally, uncertainty over preprocessing decisions was analysed.

Findings: Four age clusters of diseases were identified, broadly aligning to ages between: 0 and 1; 1 and 5; 5 and 13; 13 and 18. Diagnoses, within the clusters, aligned to existing knowledge regarding the propensity of presentation at different ages, and sequential clusters presented known disease progressions. The results validated similar methodologies within the literature. The impact of uncertainty induced by preprocessing decisions was large at the individual diagnoses but not at a population level. Strategies for mitigating, or communicating, this uncertainty were successfully demonstrated.

Conclusion: Unsupervised ML applied to EHR data identifies clinically relevant age distributions of diagnoses which can augment existing decision making. However, biases within healthcare datasets dramatically impact results if not appropriately mitigated or communicated.

背景:尽管电子医疗记录(EHR)数据的可用性越来越高,即插即用的机器学习(ML)应用编程接口也越来越广泛,但迄今为止,在医院常规工作流程中采用数据驱动决策的情况仍然有限。本研究通过按年龄推导诊断集群的视角,调查了可使用电子病历数据进行的机器学习分析类型,以及如何将结果传达给非专业的利益相关者:方法:预处理后,使用一家三级儿科医院的观察性电子病历数据,该数据包含 61 522 名独特的患者和 3315 个独特的 ICD-10 诊断代码。采用 K 均值聚类来确定患者诊断的年龄分布。通过定量指标和专家对聚类临床有效性的评估,选定了最终模型。此外,还对预处理决策的不确定性进行了分析:研究结果:确定了四个疾病年龄群,大致符合以下年龄段:0 至 1 岁;1 至 5 岁;6 至 12 岁:结果:确定了四个疾病年龄群,大致符合以下年龄段:0 至 1 岁;1 至 5 岁;5 至 13 岁;13 至 18 岁。这些群组中的诊断符合现有的关于不同年龄发病倾向的知识,而连续群组则呈现了已知的疾病进展。结果验证了文献中的类似方法。预处理决定所引起的不确定性对个体诊断的影响很大,但对群体水平的影响不大。我们成功地展示了减轻或传达这种不确定性的策略:应用于电子病历数据的无监督 ML 可以识别与临床相关的诊断年龄分布,从而增强现有的决策制定。但是,如果不适当地减轻或传达医疗数据集中的偏差,则会对结果产生极大的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Towards inclusive biodesign and innovation: lowering barriers to entry in medical device development through large language model tools. 实现包容性生物设计和创新:通过大型语言模型工具降低医疗器械开发的准入门槛。
IF 4.1 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-23 DOI: 10.1136/bmjhci-2023-100952
John T Moon, Nicholas J Lima, Eleanor Froula, Hanzhou Li, Janice Newsome, Hari Trivedi, Zachary Bercu, Judy Wawira Gichoya

In the following narrative review, we discuss the potential role of large language models (LLMs) in medical device innovation, specifically examples using generative pretrained transformer-4. Throughout the biodesign process, LLMs can offer prompt-driven insights, aiding problem identification, knowledge assimilation and decision-making. Intellectual property analysis, regulatory assessment and market analysis emerge as key LLM applications. Through case examples, we underscore LLMs' transformative ability to democratise information access and expertise, facilitating inclusive innovation in medical devices as well as its effectiveness with providing real-time, individualised feedback for innovators of all experience levels. By mitigating entry barriers, LLMs accelerate transformative advancements, fostering collaboration among established and emerging stakeholders.

在下面的叙述性综述中,我们将讨论大型语言模型(LLMs)在医疗设备创新中的潜在作用,特别是使用生成式预训练变压器-4 的实例。在整个生物设计过程中,大型语言模型可以提供及时驱动的见解,帮助发现问题、吸收知识和做出决策。知识产权分析、监管评估和市场分析是 LLM 的主要应用领域。通过案例,我们强调了 LLM 在实现信息获取和专业知识民主化、促进医疗设备包容性创新方面的变革能力,以及它为各种经验水平的创新者提供实时、个性化反馈的有效性。通过降低准入门槛,LLM 加快了变革性进步,促进了既有和新兴利益相关者之间的合作。
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引用次数: 0
Why BMJ HCI-the internal fear to find an appropriate academic journal. 为什么选择 BMJ HCI--内部担心找不到合适的学术期刊。
IF 4.1 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-22 DOI: 10.1136/bmjhci-2024-101060
Elisavet Andrikopoulou
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引用次数: 0
Perioperative application of chatbots: a systematic review and meta-analysis. 聊天机器人的围手术期应用:系统回顾和荟萃分析。
IF 4.1 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-20 DOI: 10.1136/bmjhci-2023-100985
Shih-Jung Lin, Chin-Yu Sun, Dan-Ni Chen, Yi-No Kang, Nai Ming Lai, Kee-Hsin Chen, Chiehfeng Chen

Background and objectives: Patient-clinician communication and shared decision-making face challenges in the perioperative period. Chatbots have emerged as valuable support tools in perioperative care. A simultaneous and complete comparison of overall benefits and harm of chatbot application is conducted.

Materials: MEDLINE, EMBASE and the Cochrane Library were systematically searched for studies published before May 2023 on the benefits and harm of chatbots used in the perioperative period. The major outcomes assessed were patient satisfaction and knowledge acquisition. Untransformed proportion (PR) with a 95% CI was used for the analysis of continuous data. Risk of bias was assessed using the Cochrane Risk of Bias assessment tool version 2 and the Methodological Index for Non-Randomised Studies.

Results: Eight trials comprising 1073 adults from four countries were included. Most interventions (n = 5, 62.5%) targeted perioperative care in orthopaedics. Most interventions use rule-based chatbots (n = 7, 87.5%). This meta-analysis found that the majority of the participants were satisfied with the use of chatbots (mean proportion=0.73; 95% CI: 0.62 to 0.85), and agreed that they gained knowledge in their perioperative period (mean proportion=0.80; 95% CI: 0.74 to 0.87).

Conclusion: This review demonstrates that perioperative chatbots are well received by the majority of patients with no reports of harm to-date. Chatbots may be considered as an aid in perioperative communication between patients and clinicians and shared decision-making. These findings may be used to guide the healthcare providers, policymakers and researchers for enhancing perioperative care.

背景和目的:在围手术期,患者与医生之间的沟通和共同决策面临挑战。聊天机器人已成为围手术期护理的重要支持工具。我们同时对聊天机器人应用的整体利益和危害进行了全面比较:系统检索了 MEDLINE、EMBASE 和 Cochrane 图书馆在 2023 年 5 月之前发表的关于围手术期使用聊天机器人的益处和害处的研究。评估的主要结果是患者满意度和知识获取。连续数据的分析采用未经转换的比例 (PR) 和 95% CI。使用 Cochrane 第 2 版偏倚风险评估工具和非随机研究方法指数评估偏倚风险:共纳入了 8 项试验,包括来自 4 个国家的 1073 名成人。大多数干预措施(n = 5,62.5%)针对骨科围手术期护理。大多数干预措施使用基于规则的聊天机器人(n = 7,87.5%)。这项荟萃分析发现,大多数参与者对聊天机器人的使用感到满意(平均比例=0.73;95% CI:0.62 至 0.85),并认为他们在围手术期获得了知识(平均比例=0.80;95% CI:0.74 至 0.87):本综述表明,围手术期聊天机器人受到了大多数患者的欢迎,迄今为止还没有关于伤害的报道。聊天机器人可被视为围术期患者与临床医生沟通和共同决策的辅助工具。这些发现可用于指导医疗服务提供者、决策者和研究人员加强围手术期护理。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of the information provided by ChatGPT regarding exercise for patients with type 2 diabetes: a pilot study. 评估 ChatGPT 为 2 型糖尿病患者提供的运动信息:一项试点研究。
IF 4.1 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1136/bmjhci-2023-101006
Seung Min Chung, Min Cheol Chang

Objectives: We assessed the feasibility of ChatGPT for patients with type 2 diabetes seeking information about exercise.

Methods: In this pilot study, two physicians with expertise in diabetes care and rehabilitative treatment in Republic of Korea discussed and determined the 14 most asked questions on exercise for managing type 2 diabetes by patients in clinical practice. Each question was inputted into ChatGPT (V.4.0), and the answers from ChatGPT were assessed. The Likert scale was calculated for each category of validity (1-4), safety (1-4) and utility (1-4) based on position statements of the American Diabetes Association and American College of Sports Medicine.

Results: Regarding validity, 4 of 14 ChatGPT (28.6%) responses were scored as 3, indicating accurate but incomplete information. The other 10 responses (71.4%) were scored as 4, indicating complete accuracy with complete information. Safety and utility scored 4 (no danger and completely useful) for all 14 ChatGPT responses.

Conclusion: ChatGPT can be used as supplementary educational material for diabetic exercise. However, users should be aware that ChatGPT may provide incomplete answers to some questions on exercise for type 2 diabetes.

目的我们评估了针对寻求运动信息的 2 型糖尿病患者使用 ChatGPT 的可行性:在这项试验性研究中,大韩民国两位精通糖尿病护理和康复治疗的医生讨论并确定了临床实践中患者问得最多的 14 个关于运动治疗 2 型糖尿病的问题。每个问题都被输入到 ChatGPT(V.4.0)中,并对 ChatGPT 的答案进行评估。根据美国糖尿病协会和美国运动医学学院的立场声明,对有效性(1-4)、安全性(1-4)和实用性(1-4)的每个类别进行了李克特量表计算:在有效性方面,14 份 ChatGPT 答复中有 4 份(28.6%)被评为 3 分,表明信息准确但不完整。其他 10 个回复(71.4%)被评为 4 分,表示完全准确,信息完整。所有 14 个 ChatGPT 回答的安全性和实用性均为 4 分(无危险且完全有用):结论:ChatGPT 可用作糖尿病运动的辅助教材。结论:ChatGPT 可作为糖尿病运动的辅助教材,但用户应注意,ChatGPT 可能会对某些有关 2 型糖尿病运动的问题提供不完整的答案。
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引用次数: 0
Adaptability of prognostic prediction models for patients with acute coronary syndrome during the COVID-19 pandemic. COVID-19 大流行期间急性冠状动脉综合征患者预后预测模型的适应性。
IF 4.1 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1136/bmjhci-2024-101074
Masahiro Nishi, Takeshi Nakamura, Kenji Yanishi, Satoaki Matoba

Background: The detrimental repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic on the quality of care and clinical outcomes for patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) necessitate a rigorous re-evaluation of prognostic prediction models in the context of the pandemic environment. This study aimed to elucidate the adaptability of prediction models for 30-day mortality in patients with ACS during the pandemic periods.

Methods: A total of 2041 consecutive patients with ACS were included from 32 institutions between December 2020 and April 2023. The dataset comprised patients who were admitted for ACS and underwent coronary angiography for the diagnosis during hospitalisation. The prediction accuracy of the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) and a machine learning model, KOTOMI, was evaluated for 30-day mortality in patients with ST-elevation acute myocardial infarction (STEMI) and non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS).

Results: The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) was 0.85 (95% CI 0.81 to 0.89) in the GRACE and 0.87 (95% CI 0.82 to 0.91) in the KOTOMI for STEMI. The difference of 0.020 (95% CI -0.098-0.13) was not significant. For NSTE-ACS, the respective AUROCs were 0.82 (95% CI 0.73 to 0.91) in the GRACE and 0.83 (95% CI 0.74 to 0.91) in the KOTOMI, also demonstrating insignificant difference of 0.010 (95% CI -0.023 to 0.25). The prediction accuracy of both models had consistency in patients with STEMI and insignificant variation in patients with NSTE-ACS between the pandemic periods.

Conclusions: The prediction models maintained high accuracy for 30-day mortality of patients with ACS even in the pandemic periods, despite marginal variation observed.

背景:COVID-19 大流行对急性冠状动脉综合征(ACS)患者的护理质量和临床结果造成了不利影响,因此有必要在大流行环境下对预后预测模型进行严格的重新评估。本研究旨在阐明大流行期间急性冠状动脉综合征患者 30 天死亡率预测模型的适应性:在 2020 年 12 月至 2023 年 4 月期间,32 家机构共纳入了 2041 名连续的 ACS 患者。数据集包括因 ACS 入院并在住院期间接受冠状动脉造影诊断的患者。评估了全球急性冠脉事件登记(GRACE)和机器学习模型KOTOMI对ST段抬高急性心肌梗死(STEMI)和非ST段抬高急性冠脉综合征(NSTE-ACS)患者30天死亡率的预测准确性:对于 STEMI,GRACE 和 KOTOMI 的接收者操作特征曲线下面积(AUROC)分别为 0.85(95% CI 0.81 至 0.89)和 0.87(95% CI 0.82 至 0.91)。0.020(95% CI -0.098-0.13)的差异并不显著。对于NSTE-ACS,GRACE和KOTOMI的AUROCs分别为0.82(95% CI 0.73至0.91)和0.83(95% CI 0.74至0.91),也显示出0.010(95% CI -0.023至0.25)的差异不显著。两种模型对 STEMI 患者的预测准确性具有一致性,而对 NSTE-ACS 患者的预测准确性在大流行期间差异不大:结论:即使在大流行期间,预测模型对 ACS 患者 30 天死亡率的预测也保持了较高的准确性,尽管观察到的差异很小。
{"title":"Adaptability of prognostic prediction models for patients with acute coronary syndrome during the COVID-19 pandemic.","authors":"Masahiro Nishi, Takeshi Nakamura, Kenji Yanishi, Satoaki Matoba","doi":"10.1136/bmjhci-2024-101074","DOIUrl":"10.1136/bmjhci-2024-101074","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The detrimental repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic on the quality of care and clinical outcomes for patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) necessitate a rigorous re-evaluation of prognostic prediction models in the context of the pandemic environment. This study aimed to elucidate the adaptability of prediction models for 30-day mortality in patients with ACS during the pandemic periods.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A total of 2041 consecutive patients with ACS were included from 32 institutions between December 2020 and April 2023. The dataset comprised patients who were admitted for ACS and underwent coronary angiography for the diagnosis during hospitalisation. The prediction accuracy of the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) and a machine learning model, KOTOMI, was evaluated for 30-day mortality in patients with ST-elevation acute myocardial infarction (STEMI) and non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) was 0.85 (95% CI 0.81 to 0.89) in the GRACE and 0.87 (95% CI 0.82 to 0.91) in the KOTOMI for STEMI. The difference of 0.020 (95% CI -0.098-0.13) was not significant. For NSTE-ACS, the respective AUROCs were 0.82 (95% CI 0.73 to 0.91) in the GRACE and 0.83 (95% CI 0.74 to 0.91) in the KOTOMI, also demonstrating insignificant difference of 0.010 (95% CI -0.023 to 0.25). The prediction accuracy of both models had consistency in patients with STEMI and insignificant variation in patients with NSTE-ACS between the pandemic periods.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The prediction models maintained high accuracy for 30-day mortality of patients with ACS even in the pandemic periods, despite marginal variation observed.</p>","PeriodicalId":9050,"journal":{"name":"BMJ Health & Care Informatics","volume":"31 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.1,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11218009/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141490806","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Advancing equity in breast cancer care: natural language processing for analysing treatment outcomes in under-represented populations. 促进乳腺癌护理的公平性:利用自然语言处理技术分析代表性不足人群的治疗效果。
IF 4.1 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1136/bmjhci-2023-100966
Jung In Park, Jong Won Park, Kexin Zhang, Doyop Kim

Objective: The study aimed to develop natural language processing (NLP) algorithms to automate extracting patient-centred breast cancer treatment outcomes from clinical notes in electronic health records (EHRs), particularly for women from under-represented populations.

Methods: The study used clinical notes from 2010 to 2021 from a tertiary hospital in the USA. The notes were processed through various NLP techniques, including vectorisation methods (term frequency-inverse document frequency (TF-IDF), Word2Vec, Doc2Vec) and classification models (support vector classification, K-nearest neighbours (KNN), random forest (RF)). Feature selection and optimisation through random search and fivefold cross-validation were also conducted.

Results: The study annotated 100 out of 1000 clinical notes, using 970 notes to build the text corpus. TF-IDF and Doc2Vec combined with RF showed the highest performance, while Word2Vec was less effective. RF classifier demonstrated the best performance, although with lower recall rates, suggesting more false negatives. KNN showed lower recall due to its sensitivity to data noise.

Discussion: The study highlights the significance of using NLP in analysing clinical notes to understand breast cancer treatment outcomes in under-represented populations. The TF-IDF and Doc2Vec models were more effective in capturing relevant information than Word2Vec. The study observed lower recall rates in RF models, attributed to the dataset's imbalanced nature and the complexity of clinical notes.

Conclusion: The study developed high-performing NLP pipeline to capture treatment outcomes for breast cancer in under-represented populations, demonstrating the importance of document-level vectorisation and ensemble methods in clinical notes analysis. The findings provide insights for more equitable healthcare strategies and show the potential for broader NLP applications in clinical settings.

研究目的该研究旨在开发自然语言处理(NLP)算法,以便从电子健康记录(EHR)的临床笔记中自动提取以患者为中心的乳腺癌治疗结果,尤其是针对代表性不足人群的妇女:研究使用了美国一家三级医院 2010 年至 2021 年的临床记录。研究采用了各种 NLP 技术,包括矢量化方法(词频-反文档频率 (TF-IDF)、Word2Vec、Doc2Vec)和分类模型(支持矢量分类、K-近邻 (KNN)、随机森林 (RF))。此外,还通过随机搜索和五重交叉验证进行了特征选择和优化:研究对 1000 份临床笔记中的 100 份进行了注释,使用 970 份笔记建立了文本语料库。TF-IDF和Doc2Vec与RF的结合表现出最高的性能,而Word2Vec的效果较差。RF 分类器的性能最好,但召回率较低,表明假阴性较多。KNN 由于对数据噪声敏感,召回率较低:本研究强调了使用 NLP 分析临床笔记以了解代表性不足人群的乳腺癌治疗结果的重要性。与 Word2Vec 相比,TF-IDF 和 Doc2Vec 模型能更有效地捕捉相关信息。研究观察到 RF 模型的召回率较低,这归因于数据集的不平衡性和临床笔记的复杂性:该研究开发了高性能的 NLP 管道,用于捕捉代表性不足人群的乳腺癌治疗结果,证明了文档级矢量化和集合方法在临床笔记分析中的重要性。研究结果为制定更公平的医疗保健战略提供了启示,并展示了在临床环境中更广泛应用 NLP 的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Barriers and facilitators to learning health systems in primary care: a framework analysis. 初级保健中学习保健系统的障碍和促进因素:框架分析。
IF 4.1 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-06-23 DOI: 10.1136/bmjhci-2023-100946
Georgia Fisher, Maree Saba, Genevieve Dammery, Louise A Ellis, Kate Churruca, Janani Mahadeva, Darran Foo, Simon Wilcock, Jeffrey Braithwaite

Background: The learning health system (LHS) concept is a potential solution to the challenges currently faced by primary care. There are few descriptions of the barriers and facilitators to achieving an LHS in general practice, and even fewer that are underpinned by implementation science. This study aimed to describe the barriers and facilitators to achieving an LHS in primary care and provide practical recommendations for general practices on their journey towards an LHS.

Methods: This study is a secondary data analysis from a qualitative investigation of an LHS in a university-based general practice in Sydney, Australia. A framework analysis was conducted using transcripts from semistructured interviews with clinic staff. Data were coded according to the theoretical domains framework, and then to an LHS framework.

Results: 91% (n=32) of practice staff were interviewed, comprising general practitioners (n=15), practice nurses (n=3), administrative staff (n=13) and a psychologist. Participants reported that the practice alignment with LHS principles was influenced by many behavioural determinants, some of which were applicable to healthcare in general, for example, some staff lacked knowledge about practice policies and skills in using software. However, many were specific to the general practice environment, for example, the environmental context of general practice meant that administrative staff were an integral part of the LHS, particularly in facilitating partnerships with patients.

Conclusions: The LHS journey in general practice is influenced by several factors. Mapping the LHS domains in relation to the theoretical domains framework can be used to generate a roadmap to hasten the journey towards LHS in primary care settings.

背景:学习型医疗系统(LHS)概念是解决目前初级医疗所面临挑战的潜在方案。关于在全科医疗中实现学习型医疗系统的障碍和促进因素的描述很少,而以实施科学为基础的描述就更少了。本研究旨在描述在全科医疗中实现生命健康系统的障碍和促进因素,并为全科医疗在实现生命健康系统的过程中提供实用建议:本研究是对澳大利亚悉尼一所大学的全科实践中的 LHS 进行定性调查后得出的二手数据分析。通过对诊所员工进行半结构化访谈,对访谈记录进行了框架分析。根据理论领域框架对数据进行编码,然后再根据 LHS 框架进行编码:91%(n=32)的医务人员接受了访谈,其中包括全科医生(n=15)、实习护士(n=3)、行政人员(n=13)和一名心理学家。受访者表示,实践与 LHS 原则的一致性受到许多行为决定因素的影响,其中一些因素适用于一般医疗保健,例如,一些员工缺乏对实践政策的了解和使用软件的技能。然而,也有许多因素是全科医疗环境所特有的,例如,全科医疗的环境背景意味着行政人员是生命健康系统不可分割的一部分,特别是在促进与患者的合作方面:结论:全科医生的生命健康服务历程受到多种因素的影响。绘制与理论领域框架相关的 LHS 领域图,可用于生成一个路线图,以加快在初级医疗机构实现 LHS 的进程。
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引用次数: 0
Codesigned standardised referral form: simplifying the complexity. 标准化转诊表:化繁为简。
IF 4.1 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-06-19 DOI: 10.1136/bmjhci-2023-100926
Scott Laing, Sarah Jarmain, Jacobi Elliott, Janet Dang, Vala Gylfadottir, Kayla Wierts, Vineet Nair

Background: Referring providers are often critiqued for writing poor-quality referrals. This study characterised clinical referral guidelines and forms to understand which data consultant providers require. These data were then used to codesign an evidence-based, high-quality referral form.

Methods: This study used both observational and quality improvement approaches. Canadian referral guidelines were reviewed and summarised. Referral data fields from 150 randomly selected Ontario referral forms were categorised and counted. The referral guideline summary and referral data were then used by referring providers, consultant providers and administrators to codesign a referral form.

Results: Referral guidelines recommended 42 types of referral data be included in referrals. Referral data were categorised as patient demographics, provider demographics, reason for referral, clinical information and administrative information. The percentage of referral guidelines recommending inclusion of each type of referral data varied from 8% to 77%. Ontario referral forms requested 264 different types of referral data. Digital referral forms requested more referral data types than paper-based referral forms (55.0±10.6 vs 30.5±8.1; 95% CI p<0.01). A codesigned referral form was created across two sessions with 29 and 21 participants in each.

Discussion: Referral guidelines lack consistency and specificity, which makes writing high-quality referrals challenging. Digital referral forms tend to request more referral data than paper-based referrals, which creates administrative burdens for referring and consultant providers. We created the first codesigned referral form with referring providers, consultant providers and administrators. We recommend clinical adoption of this form to improve referral quality and minimise administrative burdens.

背景:转诊提供者经常因撰写的转诊书质量不高而受到批评。本研究分析了临床转诊指南和转诊表的特点,以了解顾问提供者需要哪些数据。然后利用这些数据来编码设计基于证据的高质量转诊表:本研究采用了观察法和质量改进法。对加拿大转诊指南进行了回顾和总结。对随机抽取的 150 份安大略省转诊表中的转诊数据字段进行了分类和统计。然后,转诊提供者、顾问提供者和管理者使用转诊指南摘要和转诊数据对转诊表进行编码:转诊指南建议在转诊中包含 42 种转诊数据。转诊数据分为患者人口统计学、医疗服务提供者人口统计学、转诊原因、临床信息和管理信息。转诊指南中建议纳入各类转诊数据的比例从 8% 到 77% 不等。安大略省转诊表要求提供 264 种不同类型的转诊数据。数字转诊表比纸质转诊表要求更多的转诊数据类型(55.0±10.6 vs 30.5±8.1;95% CI p讨论:转诊指南缺乏一致性和具体性,这使得撰写高质量的转诊具有挑战性。与纸质转诊表相比,数字转诊表往往要求提供更多转诊数据,这给转诊医生和顾问带来了行政负担。我们与转诊医疗服务提供者、顾问医疗服务提供者和管理者共同创建了第一份编码转诊表。我们建议临床采用这种表格,以提高转诊质量,最大限度地减轻行政负担。
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引用次数: 0
Promising algorithms to perilous applications: a systematic review of risk stratification tools for predicting healthcare utilisation. 从有前途的算法到危险的应用:对用于预测医疗保健使用情况的风险分层工具的系统回顾。
IF 4.1 Q2 Computer Science Pub Date : 2024-06-19 DOI: 10.1136/bmjhci-2024-101065
Christopher Oddy, Joe Zhang, Jessica Morley, Hutan Ashrafian

Objectives: Risk stratification tools that predict healthcare utilisation are extensively integrated into primary care systems worldwide, forming a key component of anticipatory care pathways, where high-risk individuals are targeted by preventative interventions. Existing work broadly focuses on comparing model performance in retrospective cohorts with little attention paid to efficacy in reducing morbidity when deployed in different global contexts. We review the evidence supporting the use of such tools in real-world settings, from retrospective dataset performance to pathway evaluation.

Methods: A systematic search was undertaken to identify studies reporting the development, validation and deployment of models that predict healthcare utilisation in unselected primary care cohorts, comparable to their current real-world application.

Results: Among 3897 articles screened, 51 studies were identified evaluating 28 risk prediction models. Half underwent external validation yet only two were validated internationally. No association between validation context and model discrimination was observed. The majority of real-world evaluation studies reported no change, or indeed significant increases, in healthcare utilisation within targeted groups, with only one-third of reports demonstrating some benefit.

Discussion: While model discrimination appears satisfactorily robust to application context there is little evidence to suggest that accurate identification of high-risk individuals can be reliably translated to improvements in service delivery or morbidity.

Conclusions: The evidence does not support further integration of care pathways with costly population-level interventions based on risk prediction in unselected primary care cohorts. There is an urgent need to independently appraise the safety, efficacy and cost-effectiveness of risk prediction systems that are already widely deployed within primary care.

目的:预测医疗保健利用率的风险分层工具已被广泛整合到全球的初级医疗保健系统中,成为预测性护理路径的关键组成部分,其中高风险人群是预防性干预的目标。现有工作主要集中在比较模型在回顾性队列中的表现,而很少关注在全球不同环境下使用该工具在降低发病率方面的功效。我们回顾了支持在真实世界环境中使用此类工具的证据,从回顾性数据集性能到路径评估:方法:我们进行了一次系统性检索,以确定报告在未选定的初级保健队列中开发、验证和部署预测医疗保健利用率模型的研究,这些模型可与当前的实际应用进行比较:结果:在筛选出的 3897 篇文章中,发现有 51 项研究对 28 个风险预测模型进行了评估。其中一半经过了外部验证,但只有两个模型经过了国际验证。未发现验证背景与模型区分度之间存在关联。大多数真实世界评估研究报告称,目标群体的医疗保健利用率没有变化,甚至显著增加,只有三分之一的报告显示了一些益处:讨论:虽然模型判别对应用环境的稳健性令人满意,但几乎没有证据表明,准确识别高危人群可以可靠地改善服务提供或发病率:有证据表明,在未经选择的初级保健队列中,不支持根据风险预测进一步整合护理路径和昂贵的人群干预措施。目前迫切需要对已在初级医疗中广泛应用的风险预测系统的安全性、有效性和成本效益进行独立评估。
{"title":"Promising algorithms to perilous applications: a systematic review of risk stratification tools for predicting healthcare utilisation.","authors":"Christopher Oddy, Joe Zhang, Jessica Morley, Hutan Ashrafian","doi":"10.1136/bmjhci-2024-101065","DOIUrl":"10.1136/bmjhci-2024-101065","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objectives: </strong>Risk stratification tools that predict healthcare utilisation are extensively integrated into primary care systems worldwide, forming a key component of anticipatory care pathways, where high-risk individuals are targeted by preventative interventions. Existing work broadly focuses on comparing model performance in retrospective cohorts with little attention paid to efficacy in reducing morbidity when deployed in different global contexts. We review the evidence supporting the use of such tools in real-world settings, from retrospective dataset performance to pathway evaluation.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A systematic search was undertaken to identify studies reporting the development, validation and deployment of models that predict healthcare utilisation in unselected primary care cohorts, comparable to their current real-world application.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among 3897 articles screened, 51 studies were identified evaluating 28 risk prediction models. Half underwent external validation yet only two were validated internationally. No association between validation context and model discrimination was observed. The majority of real-world evaluation studies reported no change, or indeed significant increases, in healthcare utilisation within targeted groups, with only one-third of reports demonstrating some benefit.</p><p><strong>Discussion: </strong>While model discrimination appears satisfactorily robust to application context there is little evidence to suggest that accurate identification of high-risk individuals can be reliably translated to improvements in service delivery or morbidity.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The evidence does not support further integration of care pathways with costly population-level interventions based on risk prediction in unselected primary care cohorts. There is an urgent need to independently appraise the safety, efficacy and cost-effectiveness of risk prediction systems that are already widely deployed within primary care.</p>","PeriodicalId":9050,"journal":{"name":"BMJ Health & Care Informatics","volume":"31 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11191805/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141431342","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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BMJ Health & Care Informatics
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