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The future of global river health monitoring 全球河流健康监测的未来
Pub Date : 2023-09-13 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000101
Lauren M. Kuehne, Chris Dickens, David Tickner, Mathis L. Messager, Julian D. Olden, Gordon O’Brien, Bernhard Lehner, Nishadi Eriyagama
Rivers are the arteries of human civilisation and culture, providing essential goods and services that underpin water and food security, socio-economic development and climate resilience. They also support an extraordinary diversity of biological life. Human appropriation of land and water together with changes in climate have jointly driven rapid declines in river health and biodiversity worldwide, stimulating calls for an Emergency Recovery Plan for freshwater ecosystems. Yet freshwater ecosystems like rivers have been consistently under-represented within global agreements such as the UN Sustainable Development Goals and the UN Convention on Biological Diversity. Even where such agreements acknowledge that river health is important, implementation is hampered by inadequate global-scale indicators and a lack of coherent monitoring efforts. Consequently, there is no reliable basis for tracking global trends in river health, assessing the impacts of international agreements on river ecosystems and guiding global investments in river management to priority issues or regions. We reviewed national and regional approaches for river health monitoring to develop a comprehensive set of scalable indicators that can support “top-down” global surveillance while also facilitating standardised “bottom-up” local monitoring efforts. We evaluate readiness of these indicators for implementation at a global scale, based on their current status and emerging improvements in underlying data sources and methodologies. We chart a road map that identifies data and technical priorities and opportunities to advance global river health monitoring such that an adequate monitoring framework could be in place and implemented by 2030, with the potential for substantial enhancement by 2050. Lastly, we present recommendations for coordinated action and investment by policy makers, research funders and scientists to develop and implement the framework to support conservation and restoration of river health globally.
河流是人类文明和文化的动脉,提供基本商品和服务,是水和粮食安全、社会经济发展和气候适应能力的基础。它们还支持着生物生命的非凡多样性。人类占用土地和水资源,加上气候变化,共同导致全球河流健康和生物多样性迅速下降,促使人们呼吁制定淡水生态系统紧急恢复计划。然而,像河流这样的淡水生态系统在联合国可持续发展目标和联合国生物多样性公约等全球协议中一直没有得到充分代表。即使在这些协议承认河流健康很重要的地方,由于全球尺度指标不足和缺乏协调一致的监测工作,实施也受到阻碍。因此,没有可靠的基础来跟踪河流健康的全球趋势,评估国际协定对河流生态系统的影响,并将全球河流管理投资引导到优先问题或区域。我们审查了国家和区域的河流健康监测方法,以制定一套全面的可扩展指标,既能支持"自上而下"的全球监测,又能促进标准化的"自下而上"的地方监测工作。我们根据这些指标的现状和基础数据来源和方法的新改进,评估这些指标在全球范围内实施的准备情况。我们绘制了一张路线图,确定了数据和技术优先事项以及推进全球河流健康监测的机会,以便到2030年建立和实施适当的监测框架,到2050年有可能大幅加强。最后,我们提出了政策制定者、研究资助者和科学家协调行动和投资的建议,以制定和实施框架,支持全球河流健康的保护和恢复。
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引用次数: 1
Desiccation of ecosystem-critical microbialites in the shrinking Great Salt Lake, Utah (USA) 美国犹他州大盐湖萎缩中生态系统关键微生物的干旱化
Pub Date : 2023-09-12 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000100
Carie Frantz, Cecilia Gibby, Rebekah Nilson, Cole J. Stern, Maggie Nguyen, Cody Ellsworth, Hank Dolan, Alvin Sihapanya, Jake Aeschlimann, Bonnie K. Baxter
Great Salt Lake hosts an ecosystem that is critical to migratory birds and international aquaculture, yet it is currently threatened by falling lake elevation and high lakewater salinity resulting from water diversions in the upstream watershed and the enduring megadrought in the western United States. Microbialite reefs underpin the ecosystem, hosting a surface microbial community that is estimated to contribute 30% of the lake’s primary productivity. We monitored exposure, desiccation, and bleaching over time in an area of microbialite reef. During this period, lake elevation fell by 1.8 m, and salinity increased from 11.0% to 19.5% in open-water portions of the outer reef, reaching halite saturation in hydrologically closed regions. When exposed, microbialite bleaching was rapid. Bleached microbialites are not necessarily dead, however, with communities and chlorophyll persisting beneath microbialite surfaces for several months of exposure and desiccation. However, superficial losses in the mat community resulted in enhanced microbialite weathering. In microbialite recovery experiments with bleached microbialite pieces, partial community recovery was rapid at salinities ≤ 17%. 16S and 18S rRNA gene sequencing indicated that recovery was driven by initial seeding from lakewater. At higher salinity levels, eventual accumulation of chlorophyll may reflect accumulation and preservation of lake material in halite crusts vs. true recovery. Our results indicate that increased water input should be prioritized in order to return the lake to an elevation that submerges microbialite reefs and lowers salinity levels. Without quick action to reverse diversions in the watershed, loss of pelagic microbial community members due to sustained high salinity could prevent the recovery of the ecosystem-critical microbialite surface communities in Great Salt Lake.
大盐湖拥有对候鸟和国际水产养殖至关重要的生态系统,但它目前受到湖泊海拔下降和湖水盐度高的威胁,这是由于上游流域的调水和美国西部持续的特大干旱造成的。微生物礁支撑着生态系统,承载着一个表面微生物群落,据估计,该群落贡献了该湖泊30%的初级生产力。随着时间的推移,我们监测了一个微生物礁区域的暴露、干燥和漂白情况。在此期间,湖泊海拔下降了1.8 m,外礁开放水域的盐度从11.0%增加到19.5%,在水文封闭区域达到岩盐饱和。暴露后,微生物石的漂白速度很快。然而,漂白的微生物并不一定死亡,微生物表面下的群落和叶绿素可以持续数月的暴露和干燥。然而,草席群落的表面损失导致微生物岩风化作用增强。在漂白后的微生物石回收实验中,当盐度≤17%时,部分群落恢复迅速。16S和18S rRNA基因测序表明,恢复是由湖水初始播种驱动的。在较高的盐度水平下,叶绿素的最终积累可能反映了盐壳中湖泊物质的积累和保存,而不是真正的恢复。我们的研究结果表明,为了使湖泊恢复到淹没微生物礁和降低盐度水平的高度,应该优先增加水的输入。如果不迅速采取行动扭转流域的改道,由于持续高盐度导致的上层微生物群落成员的损失可能会阻碍大盐湖生态系统关键微生物群落的恢复。
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引用次数: 0
Martuwarra Fitzroy River Watershed: One society, one river law 马图瓦拉-菲茨罗伊河流域:一个社会,一条河法
Pub Date : 2023-09-12 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000104
Anne Poelina, Magali McDuffie, Marlikka Perdrisat
The paper is an account of the work undertaken within ‘Martuwarra’, the Fitzroy River Watershed, in the Kimberley region of Western Australia. It is led by the sacred ancestral River, Martuwarra, who is given agency as a published author, and the creator of First Law, Warloongarriy Law. Poelina and Perdrisat come to this story through their lived experience as a Yi-Martuwarra marninil , Nyikina Warrwa Indigenous Australian women who belong to Martuwarra. McDuffie comes as a long-time non-Indigenous friend, family, filmmaker, who completed her doctoral research continuing her deep and enduring relationship with Nyikina people. Our work examines the colonial approaches still in use by government and industry, which are responsible for the ongoing injustices experienced by Indigenous Australians, our environment, and our non-human kin. It suggests implications for future research, education and policy, with a focus on watershed approaches, on moving from dis-ease towards health, through modelling economic and social well-being for the sustainability of the lifeways of everything and everyone around us. We see ourselves as ‘one society’ of planetary citizens, working to transform watersheds, globally, seeing cultural flows in all forms of living water as life, critical to sustain humanity within our common home, Mother Earth. We believe this can only be achieved by valuing the wisdom of Indigenous peoples, igniting our dialogic actions through an ethics of care, love, and peace.
这篇论文是对西澳大利亚金伯利地区菲茨罗伊河流域“马图瓦拉”所进行的工作的描述。它由神圣的祖先河流Martuwarra领导,他作为出版作者和第一法则Warloongarriy Law的创造者被授予代理。Poelina和Perdrisat是通过她们作为一名Yi-Martuwarra marninil的生活经历来讲述这个故事的,Nyikina Warrwa是属于Martuwarra的澳大利亚土著妇女。麦克杜菲是一位长期的非土著朋友、家人、电影制作人,她完成了博士研究,继续与尼吉纳人建立了深厚而持久的关系。我们的工作考察了政府和行业仍在使用的殖民方法,这些方法对澳大利亚土著居民、我们的环境和我们的非人类亲属所经历的不公正负责。它提出了对未来研究、教育和政策的影响,重点是分水岭方法,从疾病转向健康,通过模拟经济和社会福祉,使我们周围所有人和所有人的生活方式具有可持续性。我们将自己视为地球公民的“一个社会”,致力于在全球范围内改变流域,将各种形式的活水视为生命的文化流动,对于在我们共同的家园地球母亲中维持人类至关重要。我们认为,只有重视土著人民的智慧,通过关怀、爱与和平的道德规范激发我们的对话行动,才能实现这一目标。
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引用次数: 0
Browning of Scottish surface water sources exposed to climate change 受气候变化影响的苏格兰地表水源变褐
Pub Date : 2023-09-07 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000172
S. Haaland, B. Eikebrokk, G. Riise, R. D. Vogt
Levels of dissolved natural organic matter (DNOM) are increasing in our boreal watercourses. This is manifested by an apparent increase in its yellow to brown colour of the water, i.e., browning. Sound predictions of future changes in colour of our freshwaters is a prerequisite for predicting effects on aquatic fauna and a sustainable operation of drinking water facilities using surface waters as raw water sources. A model for the effect of climate on colour (mg Pt L-1) has been developed for two surface raw water sources in Scotland, i.e., at Bracadale and Port Charlotte. Both sites are situated far out on the Scottish west coast, without major impact of acid rain, with limited amounts of frost, and with limited recent land-use changes. The model was fitted to 15 years long data-series on colour measurements, provided by Scottish Water, at the two sites. Meteorological data were provided by UK Met. The models perform well for both sites in simulating the variation in monthly measured colour, explaining 89 and 90% of the variation at Bracadale and Port Charlotte, respectively. These well fitted models were used to predict future changes in colour due to changes in temperature and precipitation based on median climate data from a high emission climate RCP8.5 scenario from the HadCM3 climate model (UKCP18). The model predicted an increase in monthly average colour during growing season at both sites from about 150 mg Pt L-1 to about 200 mg Pt L-1 in 2050–2079. Temperature is found to be the most important positively driver for colour development at both sites.
北方水道中溶解的天然有机物质(DNOM)的含量正在增加。这表现在水的黄色明显增加到棕色,即褐变。对未来淡水颜色变化的合理预测是预测对水生动物的影响和以地表水作为原水来源的饮用水设施可持续运行的先决条件。气候对颜色(mg Pt L-1)影响的模型已经为苏格兰的两个地表原水水源,即Bracadale和Port Charlotte开发。这两个地点都位于苏格兰西海岸,没有酸雨的重大影响,霜冻数量有限,最近的土地利用变化也有限。该模型与苏格兰水务公司在两个地点提供的长达15年的颜色测量数据系列相匹配。气象资料由英国气象局提供。该模型在模拟两个地点每月测量的颜色变化方面表现良好,分别解释了Bracadale和Port Charlotte的89%和90%的变化。基于HadCM3气候模式(UKCP18)的高排放RCP8.5情景的中位数气候数据,这些拟合良好的模型被用于预测由于温度和降水变化而导致的未来颜色变化。该模型预测,在2050-2079年,两个地点生长季节的月平均颜色将从约150 mg Pt -1增加到约200 mg Pt -1。温度被发现是两个地点颜色发展的最重要的积极驱动因素。
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引用次数: 0
Putting diplomacy at the forefront of Water Diplomacy 将外交置于水外交的前沿
Pub Date : 2023-09-07 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000173
Hussam Hussein, Zoe Campbell, Josephine Leather, Patrick Ryce
Water diplomacy is a recent term that has been used to analyse hydropoltiical dynamics and issues that may arise when discussing transboundary water governance. In fact, the shared nature of transboundary water resources may lead to tension over their allocation and use which can in turn aggravate or harm interstate relations and cooperation. This is important as most freshwater resource systems cross jurisdictional borders, with 153 countries sharing transboundary rivers, lakes, and aquifers. Thus, a coordinated and sustainable management of these resources through water diplomacy is vital. While the concept of water diplomacy has been defined in several ways, we stress the need to emphasise diplomacy and the goals beyond the water field when considering this concept.
水外交是最近出现的一个术语,用于分析在讨论跨界水治理时可能出现的水政治动态和问题。事实上,跨界水资源的共享性质可能导致在分配和使用方面的紧张关系,从而加剧或损害国家间的关系与合作。这一点很重要,因为大多数淡水资源系统跨越管辖边界,153个国家共享跨界河流、湖泊和含水层。因此,通过水外交对这些资源进行协调和可持续的管理至关重要。虽然水外交的概念有多种定义,但我们强调在考虑这一概念时必须强调外交和水领域以外的目标。
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引用次数: 2
Deep reinforcement learning for irrigation scheduling using high-dimensional sensor feedback 基于高维传感器反馈的灌溉调度深度强化学习
Pub Date : 2023-09-06 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000169
Yuji Saikai, Allan Peake, Karine Chenu
Deep reinforcement learning has considerable potential to improve irrigation scheduling in many cropping systems by applying adaptive amounts of water based on various measurements over time. The goal is to discover an intelligent decision rule that processes information available to growers and prescribes sensible irrigation amounts for the time steps considered. Due to the technical novelty, however, the research on the technique remains sparse and impractical. To accelerate the progress, the paper proposes a principled framework and actionable procedure that allow researchers to formulate their own optimisation problems and implement solution algorithms based on deep reinforcement learning. The effectiveness of the framework was demonstrated using a case study of irrigated wheat grown in a productive region of Australia where profits were maximised. Specifically, the decision rule takes nine state variable inputs: crop phenological stage, leaf area index, extractable soil water for each of the five top layers, cumulative rainfall and cumulative irrigation. It returns a probabilistic prescription over five candidate irrigation amounts (0, 10, 20, 30 and 40 mm) every day. The production system was simulated at Goondiwindi using the APSIM-Wheat crop model. After training in the learning environment using 1981–2010 weather data, the learned decision rule was tested individually for each year of 2011–2020. The results were compared against the benchmark profits obtained by a conventional rule common in the region. The discovered decision rule prescribed daily irrigation amounts that uniformly improved on the conventional rule for all the testing years, and the largest improvement reached 17% in 2018. The framework is general and applicable to a wide range of cropping systems with realistic optimisation problems.
深度强化学习具有相当大的潜力,可以通过根据不同时间的测量值施加自适应水量来改善许多种植系统的灌溉调度。目标是发现一个智能决策规则,该规则可以处理种植者可用的信息,并为所考虑的时间步骤规定合理的灌溉量。然而,由于该技术的新颖性,对该技术的研究仍然很少,而且不切实际。为了加快进展,本文提出了一个原则性框架和可操作的程序,使研究人员能够制定自己的优化问题并实现基于深度强化学习的解决算法。该框架的有效性通过对澳大利亚一个高产地区种植的灌溉小麦的案例研究得到了证明,该地区的利润最大化。具体来说,该决策规则需要9个状态变量输入:作物物候阶段、叶面积指数、5个顶层的可提取土壤水分、累积降雨量和累积灌溉。它每天返回5个候选灌溉量(0、10、20、30和40毫米)的概率处方。利用apsim -小麦作物模型对Goondiwindi的生产系统进行了模拟。在学习环境中使用1981-2010年的天气数据进行训练后,对学习到的决策规则在2011-2020年的每一年进行单独测试。这些结果与该地区常用的常规规则获得的基准利润进行了比较。发现的决策规则规定的日灌溉量在所有测试年份都比常规规则统一提高,2018年最大的提高达到17%。该框架是通用的,适用于广泛的种植系统与现实的优化问题。
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引用次数: 1
Household water insecurity experiences and their perceived determinants in a low-income community of Cartagena, Colombia, during a water service expansion project 哥伦比亚卡塔赫纳低收入社区在供水服务扩展项目期间的家庭用水不安全经历及其感知的决定因素
Pub Date : 2023-09-05 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000154
Andrea K. Lemaitre, Joshua D. Miller, Justin Stoler
Traditional water indicators primarily focus on water quantity and quality, but emergent research demonstrates that measurement of lived experiences with water availability, accessibility, and use is important for understanding how household water insecurity impacts health and well-being. Few empirical studies have explored which household water insecurity experiences are most salient, or their potential causes, in Latin American cities. We analyzed data from 266 households in a low-income settlement of Cartagena, Colombia, to identify correlates and perceived determinants of water insecurity. The most prevalent household water insecurity experiences were water supply interruptions (96%), water worry (94%), and anger about the water situation (90%). Unexpected water interruptions and use of non-piped primary drinking water sources were associated with greater household water insecurity scores, water worry subscores, and hygiene subscores. Respondents perceived water issues in their community to be caused by deficiencies in gray infrastructure (49%), which included deficiencies in water distribution, treatment, or storage technologies. Social infrastructure (36%), including issues with political, economic, or administrative systems, was also cited as a barrier to water security. We did not detect significant relationships between water insecurity scores and the attribution of these problems to gray or social infrastructure, but there may be relationships between these factors and duration of residency and using a non-piped water source. These findings underscore the importance of socio-political factors and community engagement for improving urban water insecurity through slum-upgrade projects.
传统的水指标主要关注水量和水质,但新兴研究表明,衡量水的可用性、可及性和使用方面的生活经历对于了解家庭水不安全如何影响健康和福祉至关重要。很少有实证研究探讨拉丁美洲城市中哪些家庭用水不安全经历最为突出,或其潜在原因。我们分析了哥伦比亚卡塔赫纳低收入定居点266户家庭的数据,以确定水不安全的相关因素和感知的决定因素。最普遍的家庭用水不安全经历是供水中断(96%)、用水担忧(94%)和对用水状况的愤怒(90%)。意外的供水中断和非管道初级饮用水源的使用与更高的家庭用水不安全分数、用水担忧分量表和卫生分量表有关。受访者认为他们社区的水问题是由灰色基础设施的不足造成的(49%),其中包括水分配、处理或储存技术的不足。社会基础设施(36%),包括政治、经济或行政系统问题,也被认为是水安全的障碍。我们没有发现水不安全评分与将这些问题归因于灰色或社会基础设施之间存在显著关系,但这些因素与居住期限和使用非管道水源之间可能存在关系。这些发现强调了社会政治因素和社区参与对通过贫民窟改造项目改善城市水不安全的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
The status of water access, sanitation, and hygiene in schools: A cross sectional survey to identify capacities and assess coverage in Garoua, North Cameroon 学校供水、环境卫生和个人卫生状况:在喀麦隆北部加鲁瓦开展一项旨在确定能力和评估覆盖范围的横断面调查
Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000146
C. Nounkeu, Kevin Toumba Aoutaksa, C. B. Ndongo, S. Eyebe, A. Amani, Brian Bongwong Tamfon, Patrice Leumeni, Florent Kamkumo Ouabo, Daniele Sandra Yopa, Mathieu Ari, Bertin Nono, M. Ngoufack, N. Azza, E. Kouotou, J. Dharod, G. Nguefack-Tsague
There has been an increasing global interest in understanding, documenting, and monitoring water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) services in schools. This study is the first to identify existing WASH-in-school capacities and understand the magnitude of the gaps in WASH coverage in schools in the Northern Cameroon, a region of the country marked by recurrent sanitary emergencies, the highest prevalence of acute malnutrition, and representing the largest and heaviest focus of food and water insecurity. Using a cross-sectional design, relevant authorities of 176 schools in Garoua, were interviewed. The survey guide included core questions for monitoring WASH in schools from recommended guidelines. Eleven indicators-related variables were extracted from data to calculate the WASH-in-school indicators composite score, which could be used as a more reliable and useful tool for comparison across settings and can contribute to harmonize data with WASH in schools related indicators applied in national surveys. The results of this research showed suboptimal drinking water supply systems and sanitation facilities whereas most schools had hand washing points available. However, activities that aimed to promote and sustain a WASH positive environment among children still need to be put in place. The WASH-in-school indicators composite score predictive value corroborated the disparities related to WASH access in schools located in Garoua. This score hence provides an assessment of the spatial dimensions of reduced access to water in schools, improper hygiene practices, and inadequate sanitation facilities. Such a score could be used to identify hotspots lacking WASH infrastructural facilities and strategize optimal interventions to reduce the incidence of WASH related diseases in schools.
全球对了解、记录和监测学校的水、环境卫生和个人卫生(WASH)服务越来越感兴趣。这项研究首次确定了学校内现有的WASH能力,并了解了喀麦隆北部地区学校在WASH覆盖方面的差距程度。喀麦隆北部是该国卫生紧急情况频发、急性营养不良发生率最高、粮食和水不安全问题最严重的地区。采用横断面设计,对Garoua 176所学校的有关当局进行了访谈。调查指南从建议指南中纳入了监测学校讲卫生运动的核心问题。从数据中提取了11个与指标相关的变量来计算学校内WASH指标综合得分,这可以作为跨环境比较的更可靠和有用的工具,并有助于将数据与国家调查中应用的学校内WASH相关指标相协调。这项研究的结果表明,饮用水供应系统和卫生设施并不理想,而大多数学校都有洗手点。然而,仍然需要开展旨在促进和维持儿童中讲卫生运动积极环境的活动。校内WASH指标综合得分预测值证实了Garoua学校中与WASH获取相关的差异。因此,该分数提供了对学校供水减少、卫生习惯不当和卫生设施不足的空间维度的评估。这样的评分可以用来确定缺乏讲卫生基础设施的热点地区,并制定最佳干预措施战略,以减少学校中讲卫生相关疾病的发病率。
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引用次数: 0
Daily stream temperature predictions for free-flowing streams in the Pacific Northwest, USA 美国太平洋西北部自由流动溪流的每日溪流温度预测
Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000119
Jesse E. Siegel, A. Fullerton, A. FitzGerald, Damon M. Holzer, Chris E. Jordan
Supporting sustainable lotic ecosystems and thermal habitats requires estimates of stream temperature that are high in scope and resolution across space and time. We combined and enhanced elements of existing stream temperature models to produce a new statistical model to address this need. Contrasting with previous models that estimated coarser metrics such as monthly or seasonal stream temperature or focused on individual watersheds, we modeled daily stream temperature across the entire calendar year for a broad geographic region. This model reflects mechanistic processes using publicly available climate and landscape covariates in a Generalized Additive Model framework. We allowed covariates to interact while accounting for nonlinear relationships between temporal and spatial covariates to better capture seasonal patterns. To represent variation in sensitivity to climate, we used a moving average of antecedent air temperatures over a variable duration linked to area-standardized streamflow. The moving average window size was longer for reaches having snow-dominated hydrology, especially at higher flows, whereas window size was relatively constant and low for reaches having rain-dominated hydrology. Our model’s ability to capture the temporally-variable impact of snowmelt improved its capacity to predict stream temperature across diverse geography for multiple years. We fit the model to stream temperatures from 1993–2013 and predicted daily stream temperatures for ~261,200 free-flowing stream reaches across the Pacific Northwest USA from 1990–2021. Our daily model fit well (RMSE = 1.76; MAE = 1.32°C). Cross-validation suggested that the model produced useful predictions at unsampled locations across diverse landscapes and climate conditions. These stream temperature predictions will be useful to natural resource practitioners for effective conservation planning in lotic ecosystems and for managing species such as Pacific salmon. Our approach is straightforward and can be adapted to new spatial regions, time periods, or scenarios such as the anticipated decline in snowmelt with climate change.
支持可持续的激流生态系统和热栖息地需要在空间和时间上对溪流温度进行高范围和高分辨率的估计。我们结合并增强了现有流温度模型的元素,以产生一个新的统计模型来满足这一需求。与以前的模型相比,以前的模型估计了更粗略的指标,如每月或季节性的河流温度,或关注单个流域,我们为广泛的地理区域建模了整个日历年的每日河流温度。该模型反映了在广义相加模型框架中使用公开可用的气候和景观协变量的机制过程。我们允许协变量相互作用,同时考虑时间和空间协变量之间的非线性关系,以更好地捕捉季节模式。为了表示对气候敏感性的变化,我们使用了与区域标准化流量相关的可变持续时间内前期气温的移动平均值。对于以雪为主的水文河段,移动平均窗口大小较长,尤其是在流量较高的情况下,而对于以雨为主的水文河道,窗口大小相对恒定且较低。我们的模型能够捕捉融雪的随时间变化的影响,这提高了它多年来预测不同地理区域河流温度的能力。我们将该模型与1993-2013年的溪流温度进行了拟合,并预测了1990-2021年美国太平洋西北部约261200条自由流动溪流的日溪流温度。我们的每日模型拟合良好(RMSE=1.76;MAE=1.32°C)。交叉验证表明,该模型在不同景观和气候条件下的未采样位置产生了有用的预测。这些溪流温度预测将有助于自然资源从业者在激流生态系统中进行有效的保护规划,并管理太平洋鲑鱼等物种。我们的方法很简单,可以适应新的空间区域、时间段或场景,例如预计融雪量会随着气候变化而减少。
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引用次数: 1
Protecting fish and farms: Incentivising adoption of modern fish-protection screens for water pumps and gravity-fed diversions in Australia 保护鱼类和农场:鼓励在澳大利亚的水泵和重力式引水系统中采用现代鱼类保护屏障
Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000107
T. Rayner, J. Conallin, C. Boys, Rodney Price
Modern fish-protection screens offer significant potential benefits for Australia. The Commonwealth and New South Wales (NSW) governments have invested over $30m to incentivise early adoption by water users. However, successful adoption requires an understanding of the motivations and abilities of water users, and strategies to overcome key barriers to adoption. Four practices have been used by the NSW Government to strengthen understanding of stakeholders and encourage participation in incentive programs by water users. These are: applying social learning concepts to screening programs; evaluating stakeholder needs; identifying and mapping stakeholders and their relationships; and, integrating science in communication and engagement. Analysing the motivations and abilities of water users revealed three key motivations: to save money, to protect fish, and to improve their reputation or social licence to operate. However, the ability of water users to install a fish-protection screen was found to vary significantly. A range of barriers have been identified by water users in NSW, and solutions or strategies developed to address each one. Today, in Australia, over 2,000 ML/day of water is being delivered through modern fish-protection screens, protecting ~580,000 native fish annually at 31 sites across NSW, Victoria and Queensland (60% being in NSW). Existing investment may see these numbers increase to ~7,000 ML/day and ~2 million native fish/yr by June 2024. The application of the methods to understand and strategically engage with stakeholders should enable improved uptake of screening technologies in other jurisdictions and areas of conservation concern into the future.
现代鱼类保护屏障为澳大利亚带来了巨大的潜在利益。英联邦和新南威尔士州政府已投资3000多万美元,鼓励用水者尽早采用。然而,成功的采用需要了解用水者的动机和能力,以及克服采用关键障碍的策略。新南威尔士州政府采用了四种做法来加强对利益相关者的了解,并鼓励用水者参与激励计划。这些是:将社会学习概念应用于筛选项目;评估利益相关者的需求;确定和绘制利益攸关方及其关系图;以及将科学融入交流和参与。分析用水者的动机和能力揭示了三个关键动机:省钱、保护鱼类以及提高他们的声誉或社会经营许可证。然而,发现用水户安装鱼类保护屏的能力差异很大。新南威尔士州的用水者已经确定了一系列障碍,并制定了解决每一个障碍的解决方案或战略。如今,在澳大利亚,通过现代鱼类保护屏障每天输送超过2000毫升的水,每年在新南威尔士州、维多利亚州和昆士兰的31个地点保护约58万条本地鱼类(60%在新南威尔士)。到2024年6月,现有投资可能会使这些数量增加到约7000毫升/天,约200万条本地鱼类/年。应用这些方法来理解利益相关者并从战略上与之接触,应能提高未来其他司法管辖区和保护关注领域对筛查技术的接受程度。
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