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Cumulative diabetes-related metabolic burden and the risk of hearing loss: A population-based study. 累积糖尿病相关代谢负担和听力损失风险:一项基于人群的研究
IF 4.3 Pub Date : 2026-02-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.exger.2026.113059
Youngji Han, Kyu-Yup Lee, Incheol Seo, Da Jung Jung

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) causes microvascular injury across multiple organs, but whether its cumulative microvascular burden contributes to sensory decline remains unclear. In this population-based cohort of 493,272 UK Biobank participants, including 43,332 with T2DM, we examined the association between diabetes-related microvascular complications (nephropathy, retinopathy, neuropathy) and incident hearing loss. Complications were identified from hospital records (ICD-10 E11.2/E11.3/E11.4) and categorized by count. Hearing loss (ICD-10 H90-H91) was ascertained from linked hospital records, death registries, and self-reports. Compared with participants without diabetes, adjusted hazard ratios (HRs; 95% CIs) for hearing loss were 1.28 (1.22-1.34) for T2DM without complications, 1.83 (1.65-2.02) for one complication, and 2.13 (1.75-2.59) for two or more. Within T2DM, risk increased stepwise with complication count (one vs none: 1.45 [1.31-1.60]; ≥2 vs none: 1.75 [1.44-2.13]). Associations were stronger in participants <60 years, those with glycated hemoglobin ≥6.5%, and insulin users. Mediation analyses showed partial indirect effects of estimated glomerular filtration rate and C-reactive protein, consistent with contributions of renal dysfunction and systemic inflammation. Findings were robust across demographic and clinical subgroups. These results indicate that the cumulative burden of microvascular complications is independently associated with higher risk of hearing loss, supporting integration of auditory evaluation into comprehensive diabetes care, particularly for individuals with multiple complications or poor glycemic control.

2型糖尿病(T2DM)可引起多器官微血管损伤,但其累积的微血管负荷是否导致感觉功能下降尚不清楚。在这个以人群为基础的队列中,493272名英国生物银行参与者,包括43332名T2DM患者,我们研究了糖尿病相关微血管并发症(肾病、视网膜病变、神经病变)和偶发性听力损失之间的关系。根据医院记录(ICD-10 E11.2/E11.3/E11.4)确定并发症,并按计数分类。听力损失(ICD-10 H90-H91)从相关的医院记录、死亡登记和自我报告中确定。与无糖尿病的受试者相比,无并发症的T2DM患者听力损失的校正风险比(hr; 95% ci)为1.28(1.22-1.34),一种并发症的听力损失校正风险比为1.83(1.65-2.02),两种或两种以上的听力损失校正风险比为2.13(1.75-2.59)。在T2DM中,随着并发症计数的增加,风险逐渐增加(1 vs无:1.45[1.31-1.60];≥2 vs无:1.75[1.44-2.13])。参与者之间的关联更强
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the causal relationship between osteoporosis and age-related macular degeneration: Evidence from observational studies and mendelian randomization. 探讨骨质疏松症和年龄相关性黄斑变性之间的因果关系:来自观察性研究和孟德尔随机化的证据。
IF 4.3 Pub Date : 2026-02-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.exger.2026.113060
Huan Liu, Xiaoping Sun, Jiang Liu, Zhengqi Chang

Objective: This study aimed to systematically investigate the association between osteoporosis (OP) and age-related macular degeneration (AMD), including its subtypes, by integrating observational evidence with causal inference approaches.

Methods: We first conducted a systematic literature search and meta-analysis of relevant observational studies up to August 2025 to evaluate the observational association between OP and AMD. Subsequently, using summary data from genome-wide association studies, we performed a bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis to examine the causal relationship between OP and four AMD subtypes. The primary causal estimates were derived using the inverse variance weighted method, and multiple sensitivity analyses were conducted to verify the robustness of the results.

Results: The meta-analysis, which included three studies, indicated that osteoporosis increases the risk of AMD in women (OR: 1.46; 95% CI: 1.12-1.91, P = 0.0049). Under Bonferroni correction, the MR analysis showed that genetically predicted osteoporosis significantly increased the risk of dry AMD (IVW OR: 1.26; 95% CI: 1.10-1.44, P = 0.00087. Bayesian weighted MR OR: 1.25; 95% CI: 1.05-1.49, P = 0.01162.), while no significant causal effects were observed for wet, early, or late AMD. Reverse MR analysis did not indicate any causal effect of AMD on OP. No significant horizontal pleiotropy or heterogeneity was detected in any of the analyses.

Conclusion: Osteoporosis may increase the risk of AMD in women. The MR analysis provides some genetic evidence supporting a potential causal link between osteoporosis and dry AMD. In clinical practice, patients with osteoporosis-particularly elderly women-should be considered at potential high risk for dry AMD, and early fundus screening may facilitate the early detection and intervention of dry AMD.

目的:本研究旨在通过观察证据与因果推理相结合的方法,系统地探讨骨质疏松症(OP)与年龄相关性黄斑变性(AMD)及其亚型之间的关系。方法:我们首先对截至2025年8月的相关观察性研究进行了系统的文献检索和荟萃分析,以评估OP与AMD之间的观察性关联。随后,利用全基因组关联研究的汇总数据,我们进行了双向双样本孟德尔随机化(MR)分析,以检验OP与四种AMD亚型之间的因果关系。采用方差反加权法推导了主要的因果估计,并进行了多重敏感性分析以验证结果的稳健性。结果:包括三项研究的荟萃分析表明,骨质疏松症增加女性患AMD的风险(OR: 1.46; 95% CI: 1.12-1.91, P = 0.0049)。经Bonferroni校正,MR分析显示,基因预测的骨质疏松症显著增加干性AMD的风险(IVW OR: 1.26; 95% CI: 1.10-1.44, P = 0.00087)。贝叶斯加权MR OR: 1.25;95% CI: 1.05-1.49, P = 0.01162),而未观察到湿性、早期或晚期AMD的显著因果关系。反向MR分析未显示AMD对op有任何因果关系。在任何分析中均未发现显著的水平多效性或异质性。结论:骨质疏松可增加女性AMD发病风险。磁共振分析提供了一些遗传证据,支持骨质疏松症和干性AMD之间的潜在因果关系。在临床实践中,骨质疏松患者,尤其是老年女性,应被视为干性AMD的潜在高危人群,早期眼底筛查有助于干性AMD的早期发现和干预。
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引用次数: 0
From treadmill to outdoor overground walking: Enhancing ground contact timing detection for older adults using transfer learning. 从跑步机到户外地面行走:使用迁移学习增强老年人地面接触时间检测。
IF 4.3 Pub Date : 2026-02-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.exger.2026.113056
Sailee Sansgiri, Emmi Matikainen-Tervola, Merja Rantakokko, Taija Finni, Timo Rantalainen, Neil J Cronin

Identification of ground contact timings (GCT) is critical for monitoring mobility in older adults. Laboratory methods are precise but limited to controlled environments, restricting their applicability in real-world settings. Treadmills allow extended measurements but fail to reflect the variability of overground walking. We evaluated the performance of deep learning models trained on treadmill data from young adults and their generalizability to treadmill and outdoor walking in older adults. We also explored transfer learning to enhance predictions by fine-tuning models with older adults' treadmill and outdoor walking data. Foot-mounted inertial measurement unit (IMU) walking data was collected from 20 young adults on treadmills and 26 older adults on treadmills and outdoor level, incline, and decline terrains. Ground truth GCTs were derived using pressure insoles (young adults) and manually-annotated motion capture (older adults). A fully connected neural network, a convolutional neural network (CNN), and a bidirectional long short-term memory network were trained on IMU data. Transfer learning was applied incrementally by fine-tuning the best-performing model with older adults' data. Model performance was evaluated on unseen outdoor data from 6 participants using F1-score and mean absolute error (MAE). The CNN achieved the highest F1-scores (0.9864 - treadmill, 0.9637 - outdoor level, 0.9538 - incline, and 0.9029 - decline walking) and the lowest MAE. Fine-tuning improved treadmill F1-scores up to n=10, while outdoor level scores plateaued at n=5. Decline walking showed poorer performance, highlighting the need for advanced modeling strategies. These findings underscore the potential of transfer learning for real-world mobility monitoring.

识别地面接触时间(GCT)对于监测老年人的行动能力至关重要。实验室方法是精确的,但仅限于受控环境,限制了它们在现实环境中的适用性。跑步机允许扩展测量,但不能反映地上行走的可变性。我们评估了在年轻人跑步机数据上训练的深度学习模型的性能,以及它们在老年人跑步机和户外行走中的泛化性。我们还探索了迁移学习,通过对老年人跑步机和户外步行数据的微调模型来增强预测。研究人员收集了20名年轻人和26名老年人在跑步机上和户外水平、倾斜和下降地形上的步行数据。使用压力鞋垫(年轻人)和手动注释的动作捕捉(老年人)获得真实gct。在IMU数据上训练了全连接神经网络、卷积神经网络(CNN)和双向长短期记忆网络。迁移学习是通过对老年人数据的最佳表现模型进行微调来逐步应用的。采用f1评分和平均绝对误差(MAE)对6名参与者的未见室外数据进行模型性能评估。CNN的f1得分最高(跑步机得分0.9864,户外水平得分0.9637,倾斜得分0.9538,下降步行得分0.9029),MAE最低。微调后的跑步机f1得分达到了n=10,而户外水平的得分在n=5时趋于稳定。下降行走表现较差,突出了需要先进的建模策略。这些发现强调了迁移学习在现实世界移动监测中的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
On exploring muscle aging of the biceps brachii in the middle-aged population using HD-sEMG signal analysis. 用HD-sEMG信号分析中年人肱二头肌肌肉老化的研究。
IF 4.3 Pub Date : 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.exger.2026.113054
Kawtar Ghiatt, Ahmad Diab, Chawki Nasrallah, Kiyoka Kinugawa-Bourron, Sofiane Boudaoud

Although neuromuscular decline is well documented with aging, emerging evidence indicates that it may begin as early as midlife, around age 50. As this stage represents a critical window for early intervention, the present study investigated age- and sex-related differences in muscle activation using high-density surface electromyography (HD-sEMG) of the biceps brachii (BB). Physically active individuals were categorized into three age groups: young (20-30 years), middle-aged (45-55 years), and older adults (65-75 years). HD-sEMG signals were recorded during isometric contractions at 20%, 40%, and 60% of maximal voluntary contraction (MVC). Muscle activation amplitude, spatial distribution, and signal complexity were analyzed. Although strength remained similar across groups, RMS amplitude was primarily influenced by contraction level, with age-related differences emerging in an intensity-dependent manner. In men, older participants exhibited lower RMS amplitudes compared to younger men at higher contraction levels (60% MVC, p<0.05). In women, middle-aged participants consistently exhibited lower RMS amplitudes across contraction levels, accompanied by altered spatial organization of muscle activation, reflected by higher RMS CoV and lower modified entropy at moderate-to-high contraction intensities (p<0.05). Signal complexity, assessed using sample entropy, did not show robust age-related differences, although descriptive trends toward lower values were observed in older adults at low contraction level. Taken together, these findings suggest that midlife, in women, may be characterized by subtle, task-dependent neuromuscular reorganization rather than a generalized decline. Early identification of such changes using HD-sEMG metrics may support timely interventions aimed at preserving neuromuscular function across the lifespan.

尽管神经肌肉衰退是随着年龄增长而出现的,但新出现的证据表明,它可能早在中年时就开始了,大约在50岁左右。由于这一阶段是早期干预的关键窗口,本研究使用肱二头肌(BB)的高密度表面肌电图(HD-sEMG)研究了肌肉激活的年龄和性别相关差异。身体活跃的个体被分为三个年龄组:年轻人(20-30岁)、中年人(45-55岁)和老年人(65-75岁)。在最大自主收缩(MVC)的20%、40%和60%时,记录等长收缩时的HD-sEMG信号。分析了肌肉的激活幅度、空间分布和信号复杂度。虽然各组间的强度保持相似,但RMS振幅主要受收缩水平的影响,与年龄相关的差异以强度依赖的方式出现。在男性中,与年轻男性相比,老年参与者在较高的收缩水平下表现出较低的RMS振幅(60% MVC, p
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引用次数: 0
Correlation between sarcopenia and changes in oligodendrocyte lineage cells in the brains of Alzheimer's disease model mice. 阿尔茨海默病模型小鼠大脑少突胶质细胞谱系细胞变化与肌肉减少症的相关性
IF 4.3 Pub Date : 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.exger.2026.113057
Lin-Lin Yao, Xiao-Ting Ma, Fang-Bo Li, Lin-Yi Zheng, Qi Zeng, Jia-Wen Zhu, Shan-Wen Liu, Yu-Tong Du, Hong Chen, Yan-Yun Sun, Er-Lei Wang, Chun-Feng Liu, Quan-Hong Ma, Hua Hu

Background: Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a neurodegenerative disorder primarily characterized by cognitive dysfunction. The discovery and identification of non-cognitive symptoms in the preclinical stage hold promise for early diagnosis and intervention. Previous studies have shown that diagnosed AD patients commonly exhibit alterations in sarcopenia-related indicators, which might represent early symptoms of progression from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to AD.

Methods: This study used 3-month-old APP/PS1 transgenic (AD) mice and C57BL/6J wild-type (WT) mice. Hindlimbs were immobilized with plaster casts for 2 weeks. After immobilization, body, brain, and muscle weights were measured. Behavioral tests were conducted. Immunofluorescence staining was used to assess muscle morphology and analyze oligodendrocyte precursor cells (OPCs) lineage-related indicators.

Results: Hindlimb immobilization induced sarcopenia in both AD and WT mice, manifested as decreased body, brain, gastrocnemius (Gas), and soleus (Sol) muscle weights. Immobilized mice showed decreased motor ability and impaired exploration behavior. Long-term spatial learning and memory were also affected. Muscle histological analysis revealed that AD mice exhibited baseline muscle fiber type switching. After immobilization, AD mice showed increased proportions of MyHC IIa fast-twitch fibers in the Sol and MyHC IIb fast-twitch fibers in the tibialis anterior (TA). At the central nervous system level, immobilization inhibited the OPCs proliferation and significantly increased activation of microglia and astrocytes of immobilized mice.

Conclusion: Hindlimb immobilization-induced sarcopenia correlated with slow-to-fast fiber transformation, reduced OPCs proliferation, and enhanced neuroinflammation. This study highlights the importance of sarcopenia in the progression of AD-related white matter pathology.

背景:阿尔茨海默病(AD)是一种以认知功能障碍为主要特征的神经退行性疾病。临床前阶段非认知症状的发现和识别为早期诊断和干预提供了希望。先前的研究表明,被诊断为AD的患者通常表现出肌肉减少相关指标的改变,这可能代表了从轻度认知障碍(MCI)到AD进展的早期症状。方法:以3月龄APP/PS1转基因(AD)小鼠和C57BL/6J野生型(WT)小鼠为实验对象。后肢用石膏固定2 周。固定后,测量身体、大脑和肌肉的重量。进行了行为测试。采用免疫荧光染色评估肌肉形态,分析少突胶质前体细胞(OPCs)谱系相关指标。结果:后肢固定诱导AD和WT小鼠肌肉减少,表现为体、脑、腓肠肌(Gas)和比目鱼肌(Sol)肌肉重量减少。固定小鼠表现出运动能力下降和探索行为受损。长期空间学习和记忆也受到影响。肌肉组织学分析显示,AD小鼠表现出基线肌纤维类型转换。固定后,AD小鼠的Sol中MyHC IIa快肌纤维和胫骨前肌(TA)中MyHC IIb快肌纤维的比例增加。在中枢神经系统水平,固定可抑制OPCs的增殖,并显著增加固定小鼠小胶质细胞和星形胶质细胞的活化。结论:后肢固定诱导的肌肉减少症与慢速到快纤维转化、OPCs增殖减少和神经炎症增强有关。本研究强调了肌少症在ad相关白质病理进展中的重要性。
{"title":"Correlation between sarcopenia and changes in oligodendrocyte lineage cells in the brains of Alzheimer's disease model mice.","authors":"Lin-Lin Yao, Xiao-Ting Ma, Fang-Bo Li, Lin-Yi Zheng, Qi Zeng, Jia-Wen Zhu, Shan-Wen Liu, Yu-Tong Du, Hong Chen, Yan-Yun Sun, Er-Lei Wang, Chun-Feng Liu, Quan-Hong Ma, Hua Hu","doi":"10.1016/j.exger.2026.113057","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.exger.2026.113057","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a neurodegenerative disorder primarily characterized by cognitive dysfunction. The discovery and identification of non-cognitive symptoms in the preclinical stage hold promise for early diagnosis and intervention. Previous studies have shown that diagnosed AD patients commonly exhibit alterations in sarcopenia-related indicators, which might represent early symptoms of progression from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to AD.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This study used 3-month-old APP/PS1 transgenic (AD) mice and C57BL/6J wild-type (WT) mice. Hindlimbs were immobilized with plaster casts for 2 weeks. After immobilization, body, brain, and muscle weights were measured. Behavioral tests were conducted. Immunofluorescence staining was used to assess muscle morphology and analyze oligodendrocyte precursor cells (OPCs) lineage-related indicators.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Hindlimb immobilization induced sarcopenia in both AD and WT mice, manifested as decreased body, brain, gastrocnemius (Gas), and soleus (Sol) muscle weights. Immobilized mice showed decreased motor ability and impaired exploration behavior. Long-term spatial learning and memory were also affected. Muscle histological analysis revealed that AD mice exhibited baseline muscle fiber type switching. After immobilization, AD mice showed increased proportions of MyHC IIa fast-twitch fibers in the Sol and MyHC IIb fast-twitch fibers in the tibialis anterior (TA). At the central nervous system level, immobilization inhibited the OPCs proliferation and significantly increased activation of microglia and astrocytes of immobilized mice.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Hindlimb immobilization-induced sarcopenia correlated with slow-to-fast fiber transformation, reduced OPCs proliferation, and enhanced neuroinflammation. This study highlights the importance of sarcopenia in the progression of AD-related white matter pathology.</p>","PeriodicalId":94003,"journal":{"name":"Experimental gerontology","volume":" ","pages":"113057"},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2026-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146128151","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Corrigendum to “Inhibitor PF-04691502 works as a senolytic to regulate cellular senescence” [Exp. Gerontol. 186 (2024) 112359] “抑制剂PF-04691502作为抗衰老剂调节细胞衰老”[Exp. gerontotol . 186(2024) 112359]的勘误。
IF 4.3 Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.exger.2025.113021
Ziqiang Fan, Yingdong Tong, Ziyue Yang, Shuai Wang, Tiantian Huang, Deying Yang, Qingyong Ni, Mingwang Zhang, Diyan Li, Mingyao Yang, Xiaolan Fan
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引用次数: 0
Disulfidptosis in osteoarthritis: Role of SLC2A3 downregulation and potential therapeutic implications. 骨关节炎中的双曲下垂:SLC2A3下调的作用和潜在的治疗意义。
IF 4.3 Pub Date : 2026-01-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.exger.2026.113058
Ruoyang Feng, Xiadiye Tuerhong, Yongsong Cai, Yirixiati Aihaiti

Objective: Disulfidptosis is a newly recognized form of regulated cell death characterized by actin cytoskeleton collapse under disulfide stress. Recent studies suggest it may significantly contribute to osteoarthritis (OA), though its exact role in OA development remains unclear. This study aims to analyze the expression of disulfidptosis-related genes in OA, identifying potential biomarkers and candidate therapeutic leads.

Methods: Transcriptomic data from six datasets related to OA and single-cell RNA sequencing data were sourced from the GEO database. To identify differentially expressed genes (DEGs) associated with disulfidptosis, we employed robust rank aggregation. We then utilized functional enrichment analysis, constructed a protein-protein interaction network, and applied machine learning models to prioritize key genes of interest. A single-cell analysis was conducted to evaluate gene expression within specific subsets of chondrocytes. Additionally, we predicted drug-target binding affinity using the GraphDTA model and performed molecular docking studies to assess drug-to-target binding affinity. Finally, immunohistochemistry, RT-qPCR, and Western blotting were performed for experimental validation.

Results: We identified several DEGs related to disulfidptosis, including SLC2A3, PDLIM1, and SLC3A2, which were found to be downregulated in OA tissues, particularly in pre-fibrocartilage chondrocyte subtypes. Our functional analysis indicated that these genes were enriched in pathways associated with cytoskeleton organization and the oxidative stress response. Furthermore, machine learning models demonstrated that these genes have significant diagnostic potential across various datasets. Using GraphDTA for drug prediction and molecular docking, we discovered that talaroflavone exhibits a strong binding affinity to SLC2A3, with highest predicted affinity (13.98) and a binding energy of -8.8 kcal/mol. Experimental validation confirmed the downregulation of SLC2A3 in OA-affected cartilage. Functional assays indicated that modulating SLC2A3 could alleviate cartilage matrix degradation and oxidative stress, suggesting a potential functional association between SLC2A3 and OA progression.

Conclusion: This study providing functional evidence for a potential association between disulfidptosis-related genes and OA, while highlighting SLC2A3 as a potential functional regulator for further investigation. Additionally, was identified talaroflavone as a computationally predicted lead compound that warrants future experimental validation. These findings not only enhance our understanding of the molecular pathways underlying OA but also lay the groundwork for potential development of targeted therapeutic strategies.

目的:二硫中毒是一种新发现的以肌动蛋白细胞骨架在二硫胁迫下崩溃为特征的细胞死亡形式。最近的研究表明,它可能显著促进骨关节炎(OA),尽管其在OA发展中的确切作用尚不清楚。本研究旨在分析OA中二硫塌陷相关基因的表达,确定潜在的生物标志物和候选治疗线索。方法:来自OA相关的6个数据集的转录组学数据和来自GEO数据库的单细胞RNA测序(scRNA-seq)数据。为了鉴定与双睑下垂相关的差异表达基因(DEGs),我们采用了稳健的秩聚集法。然后,我们利用功能富集分析,构建蛋白质-蛋白质相互作用网络,并应用机器学习模型对感兴趣的关键基因进行优先排序。进行单细胞分析以评估特定软骨细胞亚群内的基因表达。此外,我们使用GraphDTA模型预测药物-靶点结合亲和力,并进行分子对接研究以评估药物-靶点结合亲和力。最后通过免疫组织化学、RT-qPCR和Western blotting进行实验验证。结果:我们发现了几个与双关节下垂相关的基因,包括SLC2A3、PDLIM1和SLC3A2,它们在OA组织中被发现下调,特别是在纤维软骨前软骨细胞亚型中。我们的功能分析表明,这些基因在与细胞骨架组织和氧化应激反应相关的途径中富集。此外,机器学习模型表明,这些基因在各种数据集上具有显著的诊断潜力。利用GraphDTA进行药物预测和分子对接,我们发现塔拉黄酮与SLC2A3具有很强的结合亲和力,预测亲和力最高(13.98),结合能为-8.8 kcal/mol。实验验证证实了oa影响软骨中SLC2A3的下调。功能分析表明,调节SLC2A3可以减轻软骨基质降解和氧化应激,提示SLC2A3与OA进展之间存在潜在的功能关联。结论:本研究为二硫塌陷相关基因与OA之间的潜在关联提供了功能证据,同时强调SLC2A3是一个潜在的功能调节因子,有待进一步研究。此外,我们确定塔拉黄酮作为一个计算预测先导化合物,保证未来的实验验证。这些发现不仅增强了我们对OA分子通路的理解,而且为潜在的靶向治疗策略的发展奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Uncovering treatment effect heterogeneity in pragmatic gerontology trials. 揭示实用老年学试验中治疗效果的异质性。
IF 4.3 Pub Date : 2026-01-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.exger.2026.113055
Changjun Li, Heather Allore, Michael O Harhay, Fan Li, Guangyu Tong

Detecting heterogeneity in treatment response enriches the interpretation of gerontologic trials. In aging research, estimating the intervention's effect on clinically meaningful outcomes poses analytical challenges when outcomes are truncated by death. For example, in the Whole Systems Demonstrator trial, a large cluster-randomized study evaluating telecare among older adults, the overall effect of the intervention on quality of life was found to be null. However, this marginal intervention estimate obscures potential heterogeneity of individuals responding to the intervention, particularly among those who survive to the end of follow-up. To explore this heterogeneity, we adopt a causal framework grounded in principal stratification, targeting the Survivor Average Causal Effect (SACE)-the treatment effect among "always-survivors," or those who would survive regardless of treatment assignment. We extend this framework using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART), a nonparametric machine learning method, to flexibly model both latent principal strata and stratum-specific potential outcomes. This enables the estimation of the Conditional SACE (CSACE), allowing us to uncover variation in treatment effects across subgroups defined by baseline characteristics. Our analysis reveals that despite the null average effect, some subgroups experience distinct quality of life benefits (or lack thereof) from telecare, highlighting opportunities for more personalized intervention strategies. This study demonstrates how embedding machine learning methods, such as BART, within a principled causal inference framework can offer deeper insights into trial data with complex features including truncation by death and clustering-key considerations in analyzing pragmatic gerontology trials.

检测治疗反应的异质性丰富了老年学试验的解释。在老龄化研究中,当结果被死亡截断时,评估干预对临床有意义结果的影响提出了分析挑战。例如,在Whole Systems Demonstrator试验中,一项评估老年人远程医疗的大型集群随机研究发现,干预对生活质量的总体影响为零。然而,这种边际干预估计模糊了个体对干预反应的潜在异质性,特别是那些存活到随访结束的个体。为了探索这种异质性,我们采用了基于主要分层的因果框架,以幸存者平均因果效应(SACE)为目标,即“总是幸存者”或无论治疗分配如何都能存活的人的治疗效果。我们使用贝叶斯加性回归树(BART)(一种非参数机器学习方法)扩展该框架,以灵活地建模潜在主层和特定层的潜在结果。这使得条件SACE (CSACE)的估计成为可能,使我们能够发现根据基线特征定义的亚组治疗效果的变化。我们的分析显示,尽管存在零平均效应,但一些亚组从远程医疗中获得了明显的生活质量益处(或缺乏这种益处),这突出了更个性化干预策略的机会。本研究展示了如何在原则因果推理框架内嵌入机器学习方法,如BART,可以为具有复杂特征的试验数据提供更深入的见解,包括死亡截断和聚类-分析实用老年学试验的关键考虑因素。
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引用次数: 0
Development and validation of a machine learning model for frailty screening using claims data in Japan: the Longevity Improvement & Fair Evidence Study 使用日本索赔数据开发和验证用于虚弱筛查的机器学习模型:寿命改善和公平证据研究
IF 4.3 Pub Date : 2026-01-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.exger.2026.113050
Kengo Kawaguchi , Megumi Maeda , Futoshi Oda , Yasuharu Nakashima , Haruhisa Fukuda

Background

Frailty is an ageing-associated multidimensional condition linked to higher long-term care (LTC) needs, healthcare expenditures, and mortality. In Japan, the Questionnaire for Medical Checkup of Old-Old (QMCOO) is used to assess frailty, but its implementation is resource-intensive. Claims-based prediction models may offer a scalable alternative for early frailty identification.

Methods

We developed a machine learning model using administrative claims data from older adults to predict frailty status as defined by the QMCOO. In Phase 1, the model was trained and validated using data from a single municipality. In Phase 2, the model's prognostic utility for predicting all-cause mortality was evaluated using data from seven other municipalities. We applied the eXtreme Gradient Boosting algorithm, incorporating demographic variables, LTC use, comorbidities, procedures, and medical device use. Model performance was assessed mainly using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC-AUC). Mortality risk was estimated using Kaplan–Meier method and Cox regression models.

Results

In Phase 1, a total of 74,148 individuals were included (development cohort: 60,930, validation cohort: 13,218). The model achieved an ROC-AUC of 0.780 in internal validation and 0.728 in external validation. In Phase 2, external validation was conducted in a new cohort of 354,815 individuals. Frailty classification was associated with significantly higher mortality in both the development (hazard ratio: 7.03, 95% confidence interval: 6.47–7.63) and validation (6.75, 6.62–6.89) cohorts.

Conclusion

This claims-based frailty prediction model showed reasonable performance and prognostic value. It may support efficient, population-level frailty screenings where questionnaire-based assessments are impractical.
背景:虚弱是一种与老龄化相关的多维状况,与较高的长期护理(LTC)需求、医疗保健支出和死亡率有关。在日本,老年人体检问卷(QMCOO)用于评估老年人的脆弱性,但其实施需要耗费大量资源。基于索赔的预测模型可能为早期脆弱识别提供可扩展的替代方案。方法:我们开发了一个机器学习模型,使用来自老年人的行政索赔数据来预测QMCOO定义的虚弱状态。在第一阶段,使用来自单个城市的数据对模型进行训练和验证。在第二阶段,使用来自其他七个城市的数据评估了该模型预测全因死亡率的预后效用。我们应用了极端梯度增强算法,结合了人口统计变量、LTC使用、合并症、手术过程和医疗设备使用。模型性能的评价主要采用接收人工作特征曲线下面积(ROC-AUC)。采用Kaplan-Meier法和Cox回归模型估计死亡风险。结果第一阶段共纳入74,148例患者(开发队列:60,930,验证队列:13,218)。模型内部验证的ROC-AUC为0.780,外部验证的ROC-AUC为0.728。在第二阶段,外部验证在354,815人的新队列中进行。在发展组(风险比:7.03,95%可信区间:6.47-7.63)和验证组(6.75,6.62-6.89)中,虚弱分类与较高的死亡率相关。结论基于索赔的衰弱预测模型性能合理,具有一定的预后价值。在基于问卷的评估不切实际的情况下,它可能支持有效的、人口层面的脆弱性筛查。
{"title":"Development and validation of a machine learning model for frailty screening using claims data in Japan: the Longevity Improvement & Fair Evidence Study","authors":"Kengo Kawaguchi ,&nbsp;Megumi Maeda ,&nbsp;Futoshi Oda ,&nbsp;Yasuharu Nakashima ,&nbsp;Haruhisa Fukuda","doi":"10.1016/j.exger.2026.113050","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.exger.2026.113050","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Frailty is an ageing-associated multidimensional condition linked to higher long-term care (LTC) needs, healthcare expenditures, and mortality. In Japan, the Questionnaire for Medical Checkup of Old-Old (QMCOO) is used to assess frailty, but its implementation is resource-intensive. Claims-based prediction models may offer a scalable alternative for early frailty identification.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>We developed a machine learning model using administrative claims data from older adults to predict frailty status as defined by the QMCOO. In Phase 1, the model was trained and validated using data from a single municipality. In Phase 2, the model's prognostic utility for predicting all-cause mortality was evaluated using data from seven other municipalities. We applied the eXtreme Gradient Boosting algorithm, incorporating demographic variables, LTC use, comorbidities, procedures, and medical device use. Model performance was assessed mainly using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC-AUC). Mortality risk was estimated using Kaplan–Meier method and Cox regression models.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>In Phase 1, a total of 74,148 individuals were included (development cohort: 60,930, validation cohort: 13,218). The model achieved an ROC-AUC of 0.780 in internal validation and 0.728 in external validation. In Phase 2, external validation was conducted in a new cohort of 354,815 individuals. Frailty classification was associated with significantly higher mortality in both the development (hazard ratio: 7.03, 95% confidence interval: 6.47–7.63) and validation (6.75, 6.62–6.89) cohorts.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>This claims-based frailty prediction model showed reasonable performance and prognostic value. It may support efficient, population-level frailty screenings where questionnaire-based assessments are impractical.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":94003,"journal":{"name":"Experimental gerontology","volume":"215 ","pages":"Article 113050"},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2026-01-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146081231","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Age-related diversity of the oral and gut microbiome and its correlation with systemic fatty acids and cytokine profiles in healthy subjects. 健康受试者口腔和肠道微生物组的年龄相关多样性及其与全身脂肪酸和细胞因子谱的相关性
IF 4.3 Pub Date : 2026-01-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.exger.2026.113046
Itzel Ivonn López-Tenorio, Luis Alejandro Constantino-Jonapa, Samuel Jaimez-Alvarado, Sandy Reyes-Martínez, Alma Reyna Escalona-Montaño, Claudia Tavera-Alonso, Rocío Valdez-Gómez, Marta Menicatti, Gianluca Bartolucci, Elena Niccolai, Baldi Simone, Amedeo Amedei, Nydia Ávila-Vanzzini, María Magdalena Aguirre-García

Background and aim: Advances in human microbiome research have highlighted its influence on host health. This study aimed to characterize the oral microbiome (OM) and gut microbiome (GM) and to examine their relationships with systemic fatty acid and cytokine profiles across different age groups in healthy adults.

Methods: Participants aged 18-76 years without diagnosed diseases were grouped into young (18-29 years), middle-aged (30-49 years), and older adults (≥50 years). Blood, dental plaque, and fecal samples were collected. OM and GM composition were evaluated using 16 rRNA sequencing. Circulating free fatty acids (FFAs) were quantified by gas chromatography-mass spectrometry, and serum cytokines were assessed using flow cytometry.

Results: In the OM, Fusobacterium and Haemophilus were notably abundant in young adults, while Haemophilus and Neisseria predominated in middle-aged adults. In older adults, Neisseria and Capnocytophaga were the most prevalent oral genera. In the GM, Bacteroides was the most prevalent genus across all age groups, followed by Faecalibacterium, Blautia, and Prevotella_9. Additionally, circulating levels of decanoic, hexadecanoic, and octadecanoic acids, as well as the cytokine IP-10, were higher in young adults compared with the other age groups.

Conclusion: To our knowledge, this study is the first to characterize and correlate the diversity of both the OM and GM with systemic FFA and cytokine profiles in a cohort of healthy adults, highlighting the critical role of age in shaping microbiome composition and associated metabolites. Integrating microbial profiling with serum FFA and cytokine measurements enhances our understanding of how the microbiome may influence health and disease risk across the adult lifespan.

背景与目的:人类微生物组研究的进展突出了其对宿主健康的影响。本研究旨在描述口腔微生物组(OM)和肠道微生物组(GM)的特征,并研究它们与不同年龄组健康成年人全身脂肪酸和细胞因子谱的关系。方法:年龄在18-76岁 ,未确诊疾病的参与者分为青年(18-29 岁)、中年(30-49 岁)和老年人(≥50 岁)。采集血液、牙菌斑和粪便样本。采用16rrna测序法测定OM和GM的组成。循环游离脂肪酸(FFAs)采用气相色谱-质谱法定量,血清细胞因子采用流式细胞术测定。结果:在OM中,青壮年以梭杆菌和嗜血杆菌为主,中年人以嗜血杆菌和奈瑟菌为主。在老年人中,奈瑟菌和嗜碳细胞噬菌是最常见的口腔属。在转基因中,拟杆菌属是所有年龄组中最普遍的属,其次是粪杆菌属、蓝杆菌属和普雷沃氏菌属。此外,与其他年龄组相比,年轻人循环中的癸酸、十六酸和十八酸以及细胞因子IP-10水平更高。结论:据我们所知,这项研究首次在健康成人队列中描述了OM和GM的多样性与全身FFA和细胞因子谱的相关性,并强调了年龄在塑造微生物组组成和相关代谢物方面的关键作用。将微生物群分析与血清FFA和细胞因子测量相结合,增强了我们对微生物群如何影响成人一生的健康和疾病风险的理解。
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引用次数: 0
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Experimental gerontology
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