Pub Date : 2025-02-21DOI: 10.1101/2025.02.19.25322559
Sriya Mantena, Anders Johnson, Marily Oppezzo, Narayan Schuetz, Alexander Tolas, Ritu Doijad, C Mikael Mattson, Allan Lawrie, Mariana Ramirez-Posada, Eleni Linos, Abby C King, Fatima Rodriguez, Daniel Seung Kim, Euan A Ashley
Personalized, smartphone-based coaching improves physical activity but relies on static, human-crafted messages. We introduce My Heart Counts (MHC)-Coach, a large language model fine-tuned on the Transtheoretical Model of Change. MHC-Coach generates messages tailored to an individual's psychology (their "stage of change"), providing personalized support to foster long-term physical activity behavior change. To evaluate MHC-Coach's efficacy, 632 participants compared human-expert and MHC-Coach text-based interventions encouraging physical activity. Among messages matched to an individual's stage of change, 68.0% (N=430) preferred MHC-Coach-generated messages ( P < 0.001). Blinded behavioral science experts (N=2) rated MHC-Coach messages higher than human-expert messages for perceived effectiveness (4.4 vs. 2.8) and Transtheoretical Model alignment (4.1 vs. 3.5) on a 5-point Likert scale. This work demonstrates how language models can operationalize behavioral science frameworks for personalized health coaching, promoting long-term physical activity and potentially reducing cardiovascular disease risk at scale.
{"title":"Fine-tuning Large Language Models in Behavioral Psychology for Scalable Physical Activity Coaching.","authors":"Sriya Mantena, Anders Johnson, Marily Oppezzo, Narayan Schuetz, Alexander Tolas, Ritu Doijad, C Mikael Mattson, Allan Lawrie, Mariana Ramirez-Posada, Eleni Linos, Abby C King, Fatima Rodriguez, Daniel Seung Kim, Euan A Ashley","doi":"10.1101/2025.02.19.25322559","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.02.19.25322559","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Personalized, smartphone-based coaching improves physical activity but relies on static, human-crafted messages. We introduce My Heart Counts (MHC)-Coach, a large language model fine-tuned on the Transtheoretical Model of Change. MHC-Coach generates messages tailored to an individual's psychology (their \"stage of change\"), providing personalized support to foster long-term physical activity behavior change. To evaluate MHC-Coach's efficacy, 632 participants compared human-expert and MHC-Coach text-based interventions encouraging physical activity. Among messages matched to an individual's stage of change, 68.0% (N=430) preferred MHC-Coach-generated messages ( <i>P <</i> 0.001). Blinded behavioral science experts (N=2) rated MHC-Coach messages higher than human-expert messages for perceived effectiveness (4.4 vs. 2.8) and Transtheoretical Model alignment (4.1 vs. 3.5) on a 5-point Likert scale. This work demonstrates how language models can operationalize behavioral science frameworks for personalized health coaching, promoting long-term physical activity and potentially reducing cardiovascular disease risk at scale.</p>","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11875315/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143545293","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-02-20DOI: 10.1101/2025.02.18.25322419
Xueyao Wu, Shu Jiang, Aaron Ge, Constance Turman, Graham A Colditz, Rulla Tamimi, Peter Kraft
Introduction: The mammogram risk score (MRS), an AI-driven texture feature derived from digital mammograms, strongly predicts breast cancer risk independently of breast density, though underlying mechanisms remain unclear. This study investigated relationships between established breast cancer risk factors, covering anthropometrics, reproductive factors, family history, and mammographic density metrics, and MRS.
Methods: Using data from the Nurses' Health Study II (292 cases, 561 controls), we validated MRS's association with breast cancer using logistic regression and evaluated its relationships with risk factors through: linear regressions of MRS on observed risk factors and polygenic scores associated with risk factors, and Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis via two-stage least squares regression. We conducted two-sample MR of MRS using summary statistics from genome-wide association studies of risk factors.
Results: MRS was significantly associated with breast cancer risk before adjustment for BI-RADS density (OR=1.92 per SD increase in MRS; 95%CI:1.57-2.33; AUC=0.69) and after (OR=1.85; 95%CI:1.49-2.30). Early life body size and adult body mass index (BMI) were inversely associated with MRS, while history of benign breast disease and BI-RADS density showed positive associations; after adjusting for BI-RADS density, associations between MRS and the other three risk factors attenuated. Higher polygenic score for dense area was associated with increased MRS (ß=0.16 SD increase in MRS per SD increase in polygenic score; 95%CI: 0.06-0.25), as was percent density (ß=0.14; 95%CI:0.05-0.23). Two-sample MR identified associations between genetically predicted dense area (ß=0.83 SD increase in MRS per SD increase in dense area; 95%CI:0.39-1.27) and percent density (ß=1.14; 95%CI:0.55-1.74) with MRS. After adjusting for BI-RADS density and BMI, higher waist-to-hip ratio was significantly associated with increased MRS in polygenic score and two-sample MR analyses. No significant associations were observed with other risk factors.
Conclusion: We validated MRS's association with breast cancer risk in cases diagnosed 0.5-10.1 years (median 2.6) after mammogram acquisition. Our findings reveal robust associations between breast density measures and MRS and suggest a potential impact of central obesity on MRS. Future larger-scale studies are crucial to validate these results and explore their potential to enhance our understanding of breast cancer etiology and refine risk prediction models.
{"title":"Investigating the relationship between breast cancer risk factors and an AI-generated mammographic texture feature in the Nurses' Health Study II.","authors":"Xueyao Wu, Shu Jiang, Aaron Ge, Constance Turman, Graham A Colditz, Rulla Tamimi, Peter Kraft","doi":"10.1101/2025.02.18.25322419","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.02.18.25322419","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>The mammogram risk score (MRS), an AI-driven texture feature derived from digital mammograms, strongly predicts breast cancer risk independently of breast density, though underlying mechanisms remain unclear. This study investigated relationships between established breast cancer risk factors, covering anthropometrics, reproductive factors, family history, and mammographic density metrics, and MRS.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Using data from the Nurses' Health Study II (292 cases, 561 controls), we validated MRS's association with breast cancer using logistic regression and evaluated its relationships with risk factors through: linear regressions of MRS on observed risk factors and polygenic scores associated with risk factors, and Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis via two-stage least squares regression. We conducted two-sample MR of MRS using summary statistics from genome-wide association studies of risk factors.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>MRS was significantly associated with breast cancer risk before adjustment for BI-RADS density (OR=1.92 per SD increase in MRS; 95%CI:1.57-2.33; AUC=0.69) and after (OR=1.85; 95%CI:1.49-2.30). Early life body size and adult body mass index (BMI) were inversely associated with MRS, while history of benign breast disease and BI-RADS density showed positive associations; after adjusting for BI-RADS density, associations between MRS and the other three risk factors attenuated. Higher polygenic score for dense area was associated with increased MRS (ß=0.16 SD increase in MRS per SD increase in polygenic score; 95%CI: 0.06-0.25), as was percent density (ß=0.14; 95%CI:0.05-0.23). Two-sample MR identified associations between genetically predicted dense area (ß=0.83 SD increase in MRS per SD increase in dense area; 95%CI:0.39-1.27) and percent density (ß=1.14; 95%CI:0.55-1.74) with MRS. After adjusting for BI-RADS density and BMI, higher waist-to-hip ratio was significantly associated with increased MRS in polygenic score and two-sample MR analyses. No significant associations were observed with other risk factors.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>We validated MRS's association with breast cancer risk in cases diagnosed 0.5-10.1 years (median 2.6) after mammogram acquisition. Our findings reveal robust associations between breast density measures and MRS and suggest a potential impact of central obesity on MRS. Future larger-scale studies are crucial to validate these results and explore their potential to enhance our understanding of breast cancer etiology and refine risk prediction models.</p>","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11875271/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143545561","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-02-20DOI: 10.1101/2025.02.18.25322451
Matthew J Saunders, Delia Boccia, Palwasha Y Khan, Lara Goscè, Antonio Gasparrini, Rebecca A Clark, Julia M Pescarini, Richard G White, Rein Mgj Houben, Matteo Zignol, Nebiat Gebreselassie, C Finn McQuaid
Climate change is likely to exacerbate a range of determinants which drive tuberculosis, the world's leading infectious disease killer. However, tuberculosis is often neglected in wider climate health discussions. Commissioned by the World Health Organization, we developed an analytical framework outlining potential causal relationships between climate change and tuberculosis. We drew on existing knowledge of tuberculosis determinants, identified which are likely to be sensitive to the effects of climate change, and conceptualised the mechanistic pathways through which this might occur. We collated evidence for these pathways through literature reviews. Our reviews found no studies directly linking climate change and tuberculosis, warranting research to build evidence for action. The available evidence supports the existence of plausible links between climate change and tuberculosis, and highlights the need to include tuberculosis in climate risk adaptation and mitigation programmes, and climate-resilient funding and response mechanisms. Further evidence is urgently needed to quantify the effects of climate change on tuberculosis.
{"title":"Climate change and tuberculosis: an analytical framework.","authors":"Matthew J Saunders, Delia Boccia, Palwasha Y Khan, Lara Goscè, Antonio Gasparrini, Rebecca A Clark, Julia M Pescarini, Richard G White, Rein Mgj Houben, Matteo Zignol, Nebiat Gebreselassie, C Finn McQuaid","doi":"10.1101/2025.02.18.25322451","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.02.18.25322451","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Climate change is likely to exacerbate a range of determinants which drive tuberculosis, the world's leading infectious disease killer. However, tuberculosis is often neglected in wider climate health discussions. Commissioned by the World Health Organization, we developed an analytical framework outlining potential causal relationships between climate change and tuberculosis. We drew on existing knowledge of tuberculosis determinants, identified which are likely to be sensitive to the effects of climate change, and conceptualised the mechanistic pathways through which this might occur. We collated evidence for these pathways through literature reviews. Our reviews found no studies directly linking climate change and tuberculosis, warranting research to build evidence for action. The available evidence supports the existence of plausible links between climate change and tuberculosis, and highlights the need to include tuberculosis in climate risk adaptation and mitigation programmes, and climate-resilient funding and response mechanisms. Further evidence is urgently needed to quantify the effects of climate change on tuberculosis.</p>","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11875252/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143545528","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-02-20DOI: 10.1101/2025.02.18.25322304
Connor J Lewis, Jean M Johnston, Precilla D'Souza, Josephine Kolstad, Christopher Zoppo, Zeynep Vardar, Anna Luisa Kühn, Ahmet Peker, Zubir S Rentiya, William A Gahl, Mohammed Salman Shazeeb, Cynthia J Tifft, Maria T Acosta
Background: Volumetric analysis and segmentation of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data is an important tool for evaluating neurological disease progression and neurodevelopment. Fully automated segmentation pipelines offer faster and more reproducible results. However, since these analysis pipelines were trained on or run based on atlases consisting of neurotypical controls, it is important to evaluate how accurate these methods are for neurodegenerative diseases. In this study, we compared 5 fully automated segmentation pipelines including FSL, Freesurfer, volBrain, SPM12, and SimNIBS with a manual segmentation process in GM1 gangliosidosis patients and neurotypical controls.
Methods: We analyzed 45 MRI scans from 16 juvenile GM1 gangliosidosis patients, 11 MRI scans from 8 late-infantile GM1 gangliosidosis patients, and 19 MRI scans from 11 neurotypical controls. We compared results for 7 brain structures including volumes of the total brain, bilateral thalamus, ventricles, bilateral caudate nucleus, bilateral lentiform nucleus, corpus callosum, and cerebellum.
Results: We found volBrain's vol2Brain pipeline to have the strongest correlations with the manual segmentation process for the whole brain, ventricles, and thalamus. We also found Freesurfer's recon-all pipeline to have the strongest correlations with the manual segmentation process for the caudate nucleus. For the cerebellum, we found a combination of volBrain's vol2Brain and SimNIBS' headreco to have the strongest correlations depending on the cohort. For the lentiform nucleus, we found a combination of recon-all and FSL's FIRST to give the strongest correlations depending on the cohort. Lastly, we found segmentation of the corpus callosum to be highly variable.
Conclusion: Previous studies have considered automated segmentation techniques to be unreliable, particularly in neurodegenerative diseases. However, in our study we produced results comparable to those obtained with a manual segmentation process. While manual segmentation processes conducted by neuroradiologists remain the gold standard, we present evidence to the capabilities and advantages of using an automated process including the ability to segment white matter throughout the brain or analyze large datasets, which pose feasibility issues to fully manual processes. Future investigations should consider the use of artificial intelligence-based segmentation pipelines to determine their accuracy in GM1 gangliosidosis, lysosomal storage disorders, and other neurodegenerative diseases.
{"title":"A Case for Automated Segmentation of MRI Data in Milder Neurodegenerative Diseases.","authors":"Connor J Lewis, Jean M Johnston, Precilla D'Souza, Josephine Kolstad, Christopher Zoppo, Zeynep Vardar, Anna Luisa Kühn, Ahmet Peker, Zubir S Rentiya, William A Gahl, Mohammed Salman Shazeeb, Cynthia J Tifft, Maria T Acosta","doi":"10.1101/2025.02.18.25322304","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.02.18.25322304","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Volumetric analysis and segmentation of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data is an important tool for evaluating neurological disease progression and neurodevelopment. Fully automated segmentation pipelines offer faster and more reproducible results. However, since these analysis pipelines were trained on or run based on atlases consisting of neurotypical controls, it is important to evaluate how accurate these methods are for neurodegenerative diseases. In this study, we compared 5 fully automated segmentation pipelines including FSL, Freesurfer, volBrain, SPM12, and SimNIBS with a manual segmentation process in GM1 gangliosidosis patients and neurotypical controls.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We analyzed 45 MRI scans from 16 juvenile GM1 gangliosidosis patients, 11 MRI scans from 8 late-infantile GM1 gangliosidosis patients, and 19 MRI scans from 11 neurotypical controls. We compared results for 7 brain structures including volumes of the total brain, bilateral thalamus, ventricles, bilateral caudate nucleus, bilateral lentiform nucleus, corpus callosum, and cerebellum.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We found volBrain's <i>vol2Brain</i> pipeline to have the strongest correlations with the manual segmentation process for the whole brain, ventricles, and thalamus. We also found Freesurfer's <i>recon-all</i> pipeline to have the strongest correlations with the manual segmentation process for the caudate nucleus. For the cerebellum, we found a combination of volBrain's <i>vol2Brain</i> and SimNIBS' <i>headreco</i> to have the strongest correlations depending on the cohort. For the lentiform nucleus, we found a combination of <i>recon-all</i> and FSL's <i>FIRST</i> to give the strongest correlations depending on the cohort. Lastly, we found segmentation of the corpus callosum to be highly variable.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Previous studies have considered automated segmentation techniques to be unreliable, particularly in neurodegenerative diseases. However, in our study we produced results comparable to those obtained with a manual segmentation process. While manual segmentation processes conducted by neuroradiologists remain the gold standard, we present evidence to the capabilities and advantages of using an automated process including the ability to segment white matter throughout the brain or analyze large datasets, which pose feasibility issues to fully manual processes. Future investigations should consider the use of artificial intelligence-based segmentation pipelines to determine their accuracy in GM1 gangliosidosis, lysosomal storage disorders, and other neurodegenerative diseases.</p>","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11875249/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143545500","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-02-20DOI: 10.1101/2025.02.14.25322257
Justin D Tubbs, Travis T Mallard, Maria Dalby, Yunxuan Jiang, Younga H Lee, Karmel W Choi, Tian Ge, Niels Plath, Lene Hammer-Helmich, Julie M Granka, Andrew D Grotzinger, David Hinds, Jordan W Smoller, Joshua W Buckholtz
Background: Attentional control is a critical component of executive functioning involved in numerous psychiatric and neurological disorders, yet its etiological relationships with many cognitive and behavioral phenotypes remain underexplored.
Methods: We conducted the first multivariate characterization of molecular genetic influences on attentional control and other executive processes in a cohort of more than 20,000 individuals enriched for mood disorders. We used Genomic Structural Equation Modeling to formally model patterns of genetic covariance among these task-based measures of cognition, as well as their relationships with other cognitive, clinical, and imaging-derived phenotypes.
Results: We identified two independent latent genetic factors: one broadly influencing executive function and one narrowly influencing attentional control. Both the Common Executive Function (CEF) and Attentional Control (AC) factors were genetically correlated with cognitive and clinical phenotypes, with each latent factor uniquely linked to liability for psychiatric disorders. For example, we observed myriad relationships between the factors and psychopathology, including robust and conditionally independent genetic associations with ADHD. However, despite clear links to brain-related phenotypes, genetic correlations with imaging-derived phenotypes themselves were modest and non-significant after correcting for multiple comparisons.
Conclusions: Overall, the results of our study suggest that genetic influences on attentional control are generally distinct from those that influence broader aspects of executive function. The CEF and AC factors show distinct patterns of genetic overlap with multiple cognitive and psychiatric outcomes, underscoring the need for more detailed phenotyping of cognition to generate new insights into the etiology of psychopathology.
{"title":"Molecular genetic influences on attentional control and other executive processes and their links with psychopathology in the AFFECT study.","authors":"Justin D Tubbs, Travis T Mallard, Maria Dalby, Yunxuan Jiang, Younga H Lee, Karmel W Choi, Tian Ge, Niels Plath, Lene Hammer-Helmich, Julie M Granka, Andrew D Grotzinger, David Hinds, Jordan W Smoller, Joshua W Buckholtz","doi":"10.1101/2025.02.14.25322257","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.02.14.25322257","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Attentional control is a critical component of executive functioning involved in numerous psychiatric and neurological disorders, yet its etiological relationships with many cognitive and behavioral phenotypes remain underexplored.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We conducted the first multivariate characterization of molecular genetic influences on attentional control and other executive processes in a cohort of more than 20,000 individuals enriched for mood disorders. We used Genomic Structural Equation Modeling to formally model patterns of genetic covariance among these task-based measures of cognition, as well as their relationships with other cognitive, clinical, and imaging-derived phenotypes.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We identified two independent latent genetic factors: one broadly influencing executive function and one narrowly influencing attentional control. Both the <i>Common Executive Function (CEF)</i> and <i>Attentional Control (AC)</i> factors were genetically correlated with cognitive and clinical phenotypes, with each latent factor uniquely linked to liability for psychiatric disorders. For example, we observed myriad relationships between the factors and psychopathology, including robust and conditionally independent genetic associations with ADHD. However, despite clear links to brain-related phenotypes, genetic correlations with imaging-derived phenotypes themselves were modest and non-significant after correcting for multiple comparisons.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Overall, the results of our study suggest that genetic influences on attentional control are generally distinct from those that influence broader aspects of executive function. The <i>CEF</i> and <i>AC</i> factors show distinct patterns of genetic overlap with multiple cognitive and psychiatric outcomes, underscoring the need for more detailed phenotyping of cognition to generate new insights into the etiology of psychopathology.</p>","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11875263/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143545580","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-02-20DOI: 10.1101/2025.02.14.25322163
Sara C LaHue, Naoki Takegami, Rubinee Simmasalam, Abiya Baqai, Elena Munoz, Anya Sikri, Thibault du Buisson de Courson, Nilika S Singhal, Walter Eckalbar, Charles R Langelier, Carolyn M Hendrickson, Carolyn S Calfee, David J Erle, Matthew F Krummel, Prescott G Woodruff, Tomiko Oskotsky, Marina Sirota, Adam Ferguson, Vanja C Douglas, John C Newman, Samuel J Pleasure, Michael R Wilson, Neel S Singhal
Delirium is a neurologic syndrome characterized by inattention and cognitive impairment frequently encountered in the medically ill. Peripheral inflammation is a key trigger of delirium, but the patient-specific immune responses associated with delirium development and resolution are unknown. This retrospective cohort study of prospectively collected biospecimens examines RNA sequencing from peripheral blood mononuclear cells of adults hospitalized for COVID-19 to better understand patient-specific factors associated with delirium (n = 64). Longitudinal transcriptomic analyses highlight persistent immune dysregulation in delirium, marked by increasing expression trajectories of genes linked to innate immune pathways, including complement activation, cytokine production, and monocyte/macrophage recruitment. Genes involved adaptive immunity showed a declining trajectory over time in patients with delirium. Although corticosteroid treatment suppressed some aspects of immune hyperactivation, aberrant responses contributing to delirium were exacerbated. Delirium resolution was characterized by normalization of key transcripts such as CCL2 and innate immune markers. Novel associations with delirium were found in genes related to stress granule assembly and DUSP2 and KLF10 , which mediate T-cell responses. These findings provide insights into the peripheral immune responses accompanying delirium and their modulation by corticosteroids. Future trials targeting aberrant inflammatory responses may mitigate the severe outcomes associated with delirium due to COVID19.
{"title":"Peripheral blood mononuclear cell transcriptomic trajectories reveal dynamic regulation of inflammatory actors in delirium.","authors":"Sara C LaHue, Naoki Takegami, Rubinee Simmasalam, Abiya Baqai, Elena Munoz, Anya Sikri, Thibault du Buisson de Courson, Nilika S Singhal, Walter Eckalbar, Charles R Langelier, Carolyn M Hendrickson, Carolyn S Calfee, David J Erle, Matthew F Krummel, Prescott G Woodruff, Tomiko Oskotsky, Marina Sirota, Adam Ferguson, Vanja C Douglas, John C Newman, Samuel J Pleasure, Michael R Wilson, Neel S Singhal","doi":"10.1101/2025.02.14.25322163","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.02.14.25322163","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Delirium is a neurologic syndrome characterized by inattention and cognitive impairment frequently encountered in the medically ill. Peripheral inflammation is a key trigger of delirium, but the patient-specific immune responses associated with delirium development and resolution are unknown. This retrospective cohort study of prospectively collected biospecimens examines RNA sequencing from peripheral blood mononuclear cells of adults hospitalized for COVID-19 to better understand patient-specific factors associated with delirium (n = 64). Longitudinal transcriptomic analyses highlight persistent immune dysregulation in delirium, marked by increasing expression trajectories of genes linked to innate immune pathways, including complement activation, cytokine production, and monocyte/macrophage recruitment. Genes involved adaptive immunity showed a declining trajectory over time in patients with delirium. Although corticosteroid treatment suppressed some aspects of immune hyperactivation, aberrant responses contributing to delirium were exacerbated. Delirium resolution was characterized by normalization of key transcripts such as <i>CCL2</i> and innate immune markers. Novel associations with delirium were found in genes related to stress granule assembly and <i>DUSP2</i> and <i>KLF10</i> , which mediate T-cell responses. These findings provide insights into the peripheral immune responses accompanying delirium and their modulation by corticosteroids. Future trials targeting aberrant inflammatory responses may mitigate the severe outcomes associated with delirium due to COVID19.</p>","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11875240/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143545582","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-02-20DOI: 10.1101/2025.02.15.25322341
Boya Guo, Yanwei Cai, Daeeun Kim, Roelof A J Smit, Zhe Wang, Kruthika R Iyer, Austin T Hilliard, Jeffrey Haessler, Ran Tao, K Alaine Broadaway, Yujie Wang, Nikita Pozdeyev, Frederik F Stæger, Chaojie Yang, Brett Vanderwerff, Amit D Patki, Lauren Stalbow, Meng Lin, Nicholas Rafaels, Jonathan Shortt, Laura Wiley, Maggie Stanislawski, Jack Pattee, Lea Davis, Peter S Straub, Megan M Shuey, Nancy J Cox, Nanette R Lee, Marit E Jørgensen, Peter Bjerregaard, Christina Larsen, Torben Hansen, Ida Moltke, James B Meigs, Daniel O Stram, Xianyong Yin, Xiang Zhou, Kyong-Mi Chang, Shoa L Clarke, Rodrigo Guarischi-Sousa, Joanna Lankester, Philip S Tsao, Steven Buyske, Mariaelisa Graff, Laura M Raffield, Quan Sun, Lynne R Wilkens, Christopher S Carlson, Charles B Easton, Simin Liu, JoAnn E Manson, Loïc L Marchand, Christopher A Haiman, Karen L Mohlke, Penny Gordon-Larsen, Anders Albrechtsen, Michael Boehnke, Stephen S Rich, Ani Manichaikul, Jerome I Rotter, Noha A Yousri, Ryan M Irvin, Chris Gignoux, Kari E North, Ruth J F Loos, Themistocles L Assimes, Ulrike Peters, Charles Kooperberg, Sridharan Raghavan, Heather M Highland, Burcu F Darst
Polygenic risk scores (PRS) hold prognostic value for identifying individuals at higher risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D). However, further characterization is needed to understand the generalizability of T2D PRS in diverse populations across various contexts. We characterized a multi-ancestry T2D PRS among 244,637 cases and 637,891 controls across eight populations from the Population Architecture Genomics and Epidemiology (PAGE) Study and 13 additional biobanks and cohorts. PRS performance was context dependent, with better performance in those who were younger, male, with a family history of T2D, without hypertension, and not obese or overweight. Additionally, the PRS was associated with various diabetes-related cardiometabolic traits and T2D complications, suggesting its utility for stratifying risk of complications and identifying shared genetic architecture between T2D and other diseases. These findings highlight the need to account for context when evaluating PRS as a tool for T2D risk prognostication and potentially generalizable associations of T2D PRS with diabetes-related traits despite differential performance in T2D prediction across diverse populations.
{"title":"Type 2 diabetes polygenic risk score demonstrates context-dependent effects and associations with type 2 diabetes-related risk factors and complications across diverse populations.","authors":"Boya Guo, Yanwei Cai, Daeeun Kim, Roelof A J Smit, Zhe Wang, Kruthika R Iyer, Austin T Hilliard, Jeffrey Haessler, Ran Tao, K Alaine Broadaway, Yujie Wang, Nikita Pozdeyev, Frederik F Stæger, Chaojie Yang, Brett Vanderwerff, Amit D Patki, Lauren Stalbow, Meng Lin, Nicholas Rafaels, Jonathan Shortt, Laura Wiley, Maggie Stanislawski, Jack Pattee, Lea Davis, Peter S Straub, Megan M Shuey, Nancy J Cox, Nanette R Lee, Marit E Jørgensen, Peter Bjerregaard, Christina Larsen, Torben Hansen, Ida Moltke, James B Meigs, Daniel O Stram, Xianyong Yin, Xiang Zhou, Kyong-Mi Chang, Shoa L Clarke, Rodrigo Guarischi-Sousa, Joanna Lankester, Philip S Tsao, Steven Buyske, Mariaelisa Graff, Laura M Raffield, Quan Sun, Lynne R Wilkens, Christopher S Carlson, Charles B Easton, Simin Liu, JoAnn E Manson, Loïc L Marchand, Christopher A Haiman, Karen L Mohlke, Penny Gordon-Larsen, Anders Albrechtsen, Michael Boehnke, Stephen S Rich, Ani Manichaikul, Jerome I Rotter, Noha A Yousri, Ryan M Irvin, Chris Gignoux, Kari E North, Ruth J F Loos, Themistocles L Assimes, Ulrike Peters, Charles Kooperberg, Sridharan Raghavan, Heather M Highland, Burcu F Darst","doi":"10.1101/2025.02.15.25322341","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.02.15.25322341","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Polygenic risk scores (PRS) hold prognostic value for identifying individuals at higher risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D). However, further characterization is needed to understand the generalizability of T2D PRS in diverse populations across various contexts. We characterized a multi-ancestry T2D PRS among 244,637 cases and 637,891 controls across eight populations from the Population Architecture Genomics and Epidemiology (PAGE) Study and 13 additional biobanks and cohorts. PRS performance was context dependent, with better performance in those who were younger, male, with a family history of T2D, without hypertension, and not obese or overweight. Additionally, the PRS was associated with various diabetes-related cardiometabolic traits and T2D complications, suggesting its utility for stratifying risk of complications and identifying shared genetic architecture between T2D and other diseases. These findings highlight the need to account for context when evaluating PRS as a tool for T2D risk prognostication and potentially generalizable associations of T2D PRS with diabetes-related traits despite differential performance in T2D prediction across diverse populations.</p>","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11875254/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143545591","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-02-20DOI: 10.1101/2025.02.18.25322464
Sophia S Liang, Alyssa R Roeckner, Timothy D Ely, Lauren A M Lebois, Sanne J H van Rooij, Steven E Bruce, Tanja Jovanovic, Stacey L House, Francesca L Beaudoin, Xinming An, Thomas C Neylan, Gari D Clifford, Sarah D Linnstaedt, Laura T Germine, Scott L Rauch, John P Haran, Alan B Storrow, Christopher Lewandowski, Paul I Musey, Phyllis L Hendry, Sophia Sheikh, Jose L Pascual, Mark J Seamon, Erica Harris, Claire Pearson, David A Peak, Roland C Merchant, Robert M Domeier, Niels K Rathlev, Brian J O'Neil, Paulina Sergot, Leon D Sanchez, John F Sheridan, Steven E Harte, Ronald C Kessler, Karestan C Koenen, Samuel A McLean, Kerry J Ressler, Jennifer S Stevens, E Kate Webb, Nathaniel G Harnett
Background: Residential segregation is associated with differential exposure to air pollution. Hippocampus structure and function are highly susceptible to pollutants and associated with posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) development. Therefore, we investigated associations between residential segregation, air pollutants, hippocampal neurobiology, and PTSD in recent trauma survivors.
Methods: Participants ( N = 278; 34% non-Hispanic white, 46% Non-Hispanic Black, 16% Hispanic) completed multimodal neuroimaging two weeks after trauma. Yearly averages of air pollutants (PM 2.5 and NO 2 ) and racial/economic segregation (Index of Concentration at the Extremes) were derived from each participant's address. Linear models assessed if air pollutants mediated associations between segregation and hippocampal volume, threat reactivity, or parahippocampal cingulum fractional anisotropy (FA) after covarying for age, sex, income, and 2-week PTSD symptoms. Further models evaluated if pollutants or segregation prospectively predicted PTSD symptoms six months post-trauma.
Results: Non-Hispanic Black participants lived in neighborhoods with significantly greater segregation and air pollution compared to Hispanic and non-Hispanic white participants ( ps <.001). There was a significant indirect effect of NO 2 between segregation and FA values (β = 0.08, 95% CI[0.01, 0.15]), and an indirect effect of PM 2.5 between segregation and threat reactivity (β = -0.08, 95% CI[-0.14, -0.01]). There was no direct effect of segregation on hippocampal features. Pollutants and segregation were not associated with PTSD symptoms.
Conclusion: Residential segregation is associated with greater air pollution exposure, which is in turn associated with variability in hippocampal features among recent trauma survivors. Further research is needed to assess relationships between other environmental factors and trauma and stress-related disorders.
{"title":"Associations between residential segregation, ambient air pollution, and hippocampal features in recent trauma survivors.","authors":"Sophia S Liang, Alyssa R Roeckner, Timothy D Ely, Lauren A M Lebois, Sanne J H van Rooij, Steven E Bruce, Tanja Jovanovic, Stacey L House, Francesca L Beaudoin, Xinming An, Thomas C Neylan, Gari D Clifford, Sarah D Linnstaedt, Laura T Germine, Scott L Rauch, John P Haran, Alan B Storrow, Christopher Lewandowski, Paul I Musey, Phyllis L Hendry, Sophia Sheikh, Jose L Pascual, Mark J Seamon, Erica Harris, Claire Pearson, David A Peak, Roland C Merchant, Robert M Domeier, Niels K Rathlev, Brian J O'Neil, Paulina Sergot, Leon D Sanchez, John F Sheridan, Steven E Harte, Ronald C Kessler, Karestan C Koenen, Samuel A McLean, Kerry J Ressler, Jennifer S Stevens, E Kate Webb, Nathaniel G Harnett","doi":"10.1101/2025.02.18.25322464","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.02.18.25322464","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Residential segregation is associated with differential exposure to air pollution. Hippocampus structure and function are highly susceptible to pollutants and associated with posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) development. Therefore, we investigated associations between residential segregation, air pollutants, hippocampal neurobiology, and PTSD in recent trauma survivors.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Participants ( <i>N</i> = 278; 34% non-Hispanic white, 46% Non-Hispanic Black, 16% Hispanic) completed multimodal neuroimaging two weeks after trauma. Yearly averages of air pollutants (PM <sub>2.5</sub> and NO <sub>2</sub> ) and racial/economic segregation (Index of Concentration at the Extremes) were derived from each participant's address. Linear models assessed if air pollutants mediated associations between segregation and hippocampal volume, threat reactivity, or parahippocampal cingulum fractional anisotropy (FA) after covarying for age, sex, income, and 2-week PTSD symptoms. Further models evaluated if pollutants or segregation prospectively predicted PTSD symptoms six months post-trauma.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Non-Hispanic Black participants lived in neighborhoods with significantly greater segregation and air pollution compared to Hispanic and non-Hispanic white participants ( <i>ps</i> <.001). There was a significant indirect effect of NO <sub>2</sub> between segregation and FA values (β = 0.08, 95% CI[0.01, 0.15]), and an indirect effect of PM <sub>2.5</sub> between segregation and threat reactivity (β = -0.08, 95% CI[-0.14, -0.01]). There was no direct effect of segregation on hippocampal features. Pollutants and segregation were not associated with PTSD symptoms.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Residential segregation is associated with greater air pollution exposure, which is in turn associated with variability in hippocampal features among recent trauma survivors. Further research is needed to assess relationships between other environmental factors and trauma and stress-related disorders.</p>","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11875236/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143545541","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-02-20DOI: 10.1101/2025.02.16.25322362
Gong Yang, Ginger L Milne, Marina S Nogueira, Haoyang Yi, Qing Lan, Yu-Tang Gao, Xiao-Ou Shu, Wei Zheng, Qingxia Chen
<p><strong>Importance: </strong>We recently observed an inverse and time-dependent association between systemic oxidative stress (OxS), measured by urinary biomarkers of nucleic acid oxidation, and colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. Further investigations into other types of OxS markers are warranted.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>To extend the investigation into systemic lipid peroxidation and CRC risk.</p><p><strong>Design setting and participants: </strong>Utilizing a nested case-control design, this study's primary analysis was performed in two large prospective cohorts in Shanghai, China, and replicated in an independent cohort in the US.</p><p><strong>Exposures: </strong>Systemic lipid peroxidation was assessed by urinary F <sub>2</sub> -isoprostanes (F <sub>2</sub> -IsoPs) using UPLC-MS/MS assays.</p><p><strong>Main outcomes and measures: </strong>During 15.1-year follow-up in the Shanghai cohorts, 1938 incident CRC cases were identified and matched to one control each through incidence-density sampling. In the US cohort, 285 incident CRC cases were included, each matched to two controls. Odds ratios (ORs) for CRC were calculated using multivariable conditional logistic regression models.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Elevated levels of urinary 5-F <sub>2t</sub> -IsoP (5-iPF <sub>2α</sub> -VI), a major isomer of F <sub>2</sub> -IsoPs induced solely by free radicals, were associated with reduced risk of CRC in the Shanghai cohorts. This finding was replicated in the US cohort. Moreover, this inverse association was time-dependent, manifesting only in the later years of cancer development. Multivariable-adjusted ORs (95% CI) for CRC diagnosed within 5 years of enrollment at the 10th and 90th percentiles of 5-F <sub>2t</sub> -IsoP levels, relative to the median, were 1.57 (1.26-1.96) and 0.61 (0.42-0.89), respectively, indicating a 2.2-fold difference in risk between the two groups. A stronger association was observed when using the composite index of DNA, RNA and lipid OxS markers, showing a 3.9-fold difference in risk between the two groups. No significant association was found for CRC diagnosed beyond 5 years of enrollment.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study provides new evidence that systemic OxS is inversely and time-dependently associated with CRC risk in humans.</p><p><strong>Key points: </strong><b>Question:</b> Is the time-dependent relationship between oxidative stress and tumorigenesis observed at the cellular level in experimental models also present at the systemic level in a population-based setting?<b>Findings:</b> Elevated systemic lipid peroxidation, measured by urinary F <sub>2</sub> -isoprostanes, was associated with a reduced risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) in two large prospective cohort studies in Shanghai, China, which was replicated in an independent cohort in the United States. This association varied over time, showing a stronger effect as cancer advanced. <b>Meaning:</b> This study provides new evidence
{"title":"Lipid peroxidation and colorectal cancer risk: a time-varying relationship.","authors":"Gong Yang, Ginger L Milne, Marina S Nogueira, Haoyang Yi, Qing Lan, Yu-Tang Gao, Xiao-Ou Shu, Wei Zheng, Qingxia Chen","doi":"10.1101/2025.02.16.25322362","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.02.16.25322362","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Importance: </strong>We recently observed an inverse and time-dependent association between systemic oxidative stress (OxS), measured by urinary biomarkers of nucleic acid oxidation, and colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. Further investigations into other types of OxS markers are warranted.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>To extend the investigation into systemic lipid peroxidation and CRC risk.</p><p><strong>Design setting and participants: </strong>Utilizing a nested case-control design, this study's primary analysis was performed in two large prospective cohorts in Shanghai, China, and replicated in an independent cohort in the US.</p><p><strong>Exposures: </strong>Systemic lipid peroxidation was assessed by urinary F <sub>2</sub> -isoprostanes (F <sub>2</sub> -IsoPs) using UPLC-MS/MS assays.</p><p><strong>Main outcomes and measures: </strong>During 15.1-year follow-up in the Shanghai cohorts, 1938 incident CRC cases were identified and matched to one control each through incidence-density sampling. In the US cohort, 285 incident CRC cases were included, each matched to two controls. Odds ratios (ORs) for CRC were calculated using multivariable conditional logistic regression models.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Elevated levels of urinary 5-F <sub>2t</sub> -IsoP (5-iPF <sub>2α</sub> -VI), a major isomer of F <sub>2</sub> -IsoPs induced solely by free radicals, were associated with reduced risk of CRC in the Shanghai cohorts. This finding was replicated in the US cohort. Moreover, this inverse association was time-dependent, manifesting only in the later years of cancer development. Multivariable-adjusted ORs (95% CI) for CRC diagnosed within 5 years of enrollment at the 10th and 90th percentiles of 5-F <sub>2t</sub> -IsoP levels, relative to the median, were 1.57 (1.26-1.96) and 0.61 (0.42-0.89), respectively, indicating a 2.2-fold difference in risk between the two groups. A stronger association was observed when using the composite index of DNA, RNA and lipid OxS markers, showing a 3.9-fold difference in risk between the two groups. No significant association was found for CRC diagnosed beyond 5 years of enrollment.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study provides new evidence that systemic OxS is inversely and time-dependently associated with CRC risk in humans.</p><p><strong>Key points: </strong><b>Question:</b> Is the time-dependent relationship between oxidative stress and tumorigenesis observed at the cellular level in experimental models also present at the systemic level in a population-based setting?<b>Findings:</b> Elevated systemic lipid peroxidation, measured by urinary F <sub>2</sub> -isoprostanes, was associated with a reduced risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) in two large prospective cohort studies in Shanghai, China, which was replicated in an independent cohort in the United States. This association varied over time, showing a stronger effect as cancer advanced. <b>Meaning:</b> This study provides new evidence","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11875262/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143545563","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-02-20DOI: 10.1101/2025.02.14.25322180
Hailu Fu, Kevin Huang, Wen Zhu, Lili Zhang, Ravi Bandaru, Li Wang, Yaping Liu, Zongqi Xia
In multiple sclerosis (MS), there is a critical need for non-invasive biomarkers to concurrently classify disease subtypes, evaluate disability severity, and predict long-term progression. In this proof-of-concept study, we performed low-coverage whole-genome bisulfite sequencing (WGBS) on 75 plasma cell-free DNA (cfDNA) samples and assessed the clinical utility of cfDNA methylation as a single assay for distinguishing MS patients from non-MS controls, identifying MS subtypes, estimating disability severity, and predicting disease trajectories. We identified thousands of differentially methylated CpGs and hundreds of differentially methylated regions (DMRs) that significantly distinguished MS from controls, separated MS subtypes, and stratified disability severity levels. These DMRs were highly enriched in immunologically and neurologically relevant regulatory elements ( e.g., active promoters and enhancers) and contained motifs associated with neuronal function and T-cell differentiation. To distinguish MS subtypes and severity groups, we achieved area-under-the-curve (AUC) values ranging from 0.67 to 0.81 using DMRs and 0.70 to 0.82 using inferred tissue-of-origin patterns from cfDNA methylation, significantly outperforming benchmark neurofilament light chain (NfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) in the same cohort. Finally, a linear mixed-effects model identified "prognostic regions" where baseline cfDNA methylation levels were associated with disease progression and predicted future disability severity (AUC=0.81) within a 4-year evaluation window. As we plan to generate higher-depth WGBS data and validation in independent cohorts, the present findings suggest the potential clinical utility of circulating cfDNA methylation profiles as promising noninvasive biomarkers in MS diagnosis and prognosis.
{"title":"Circulating cell-free DNA methylation profiles as noninvasive multiple sclerosis biomarkers: A proof-of-concept study.","authors":"Hailu Fu, Kevin Huang, Wen Zhu, Lili Zhang, Ravi Bandaru, Li Wang, Yaping Liu, Zongqi Xia","doi":"10.1101/2025.02.14.25322180","DOIUrl":"10.1101/2025.02.14.25322180","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In multiple sclerosis (MS), there is a critical need for non-invasive biomarkers to concurrently classify disease subtypes, evaluate disability severity, and predict long-term progression. In this proof-of-concept study, we performed low-coverage whole-genome bisulfite sequencing (WGBS) on 75 plasma cell-free DNA (cfDNA) samples and assessed the clinical utility of cfDNA methylation as a single assay for distinguishing MS patients from non-MS controls, identifying MS subtypes, estimating disability severity, and predicting disease trajectories. We identified thousands of differentially methylated CpGs and hundreds of differentially methylated regions (DMRs) that significantly distinguished MS from controls, separated MS subtypes, and stratified disability severity levels. These DMRs were highly enriched in immunologically and neurologically relevant regulatory elements ( <i>e.g.,</i> active promoters and enhancers) and contained motifs associated with neuronal function and T-cell differentiation. To distinguish MS subtypes and severity groups, we achieved area-under-the-curve (AUC) values ranging from 0.67 to 0.81 using DMRs and 0.70 to 0.82 using inferred tissue-of-origin patterns from cfDNA methylation, significantly outperforming benchmark neurofilament light chain (NfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) in the same cohort. Finally, a linear mixed-effects model identified \"prognostic regions\" where baseline cfDNA methylation levels were associated with disease progression and predicted future disability severity (AUC=0.81) within a 4-year evaluation window. As we plan to generate higher-depth WGBS data and validation in independent cohorts, the present findings suggest the potential clinical utility of circulating cfDNA methylation profiles as promising noninvasive biomarkers in MS diagnosis and prognosis.</p>","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11875267/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143545543","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}