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Digital Twin Model of Treatment Outcomes in Post-Stroke Aphasia. 脑卒中后失语症治疗效果的数字孪生模型。
Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.64898/2026.02.03.26345022
Natalie Busby, Nicholas Riccardi, Janina Wilmskoetter, Eleanor Jeakle, Roger Newman-Norlund, Sigfus Kristinsson, Chris Rorden, Julius Fridriksson, Leonardo Bonilha
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Recovery from chronic post-stroke aphasia is highly heterogeneous and shaped by lesion characteristics, brain integrity, and systemic health. Traditional group-level models struggle to capture this multidimensional, dynamic variability. Digital twin approaches - patient-specific, continually updating models - may enable individualized prediction and counterfactual evaluation of modifiable risk factors. Therefore, the aim was to develop and validate a proof-of-concept digital twin that predicts individual naming outcomes during language treatment and quantifies the estimated impact of modifiable health factors on naming. This study represents the first application of digital twin modeling to aphasia recovery, and we hypothesize that this could constitute a critical first step toward dynamically adaptive, personalized models for aphasia rehabilitation.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We analyzed longitudinal data from 106 chronic stroke survivors with aphasia enrolled in the POLAR randomized clinical trial. For each participant we combined baseline demographic/health variables (age, sex, education, days post-stroke, hypertension, diabetes, BMI), lesion load in left-hemisphere language ROIs (JHU atlas), ROI-level white-matter microstructure (FA), and resting-state functional connectivity restricted to language regions. A continual-learning linear model (River framework; Adam optimizer) was pretrained on baseline data and updated across timepoints. Model performance was assessed by R² at the final timepoint. Counterfactual simulations systematically altered hypertension, diabetes, and BMI to estimate isolated and combined effects on predicted Philadelphia Naming Test (PNT) scores.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The digital twin predicted final PNT scores with R² = 0.5848 (explaining approximately 58% of variance). The largest contributors were prior naming performance, age, lesion load in language regions, and white-matter integrity in temporal regions (notably right MTG and STG pole). Counterfactual results estimated modest but consistent effects of health factors, with them collectively accounting for approximately 25% of the variance in treatment gains. The average change in PNT score with counterfactual changes was 7.92 (SD = 16.11). Therefore, diabetic status explained 2% of the variance in treatment gains, hypertensive status explained 4.75%, and increasing BMI explained 18.5%.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study demonstrate the feasibility and clinical potential of applying a digital twin framework to chronic post-stroke aphasia, with the model successfully predicting more than half the variance in naming performance during language treatment. Through counterfactual simulation, we demonstrated that modifiable health factors exert measurable, bidirectional influences on predicted treatment outcomes, underscoring the role of systemic health in shaping language recovery. Although the individual effects
背景:慢性脑卒中后失语症的恢复是高度异质性的,受病变特征、脑完整性和全身健康的影响。传统的群体级模型难以捕捉这种多维的、动态的可变性。数字孪生方法——针对患者的、不断更新的模型——可以对可改变的风险因素进行个性化预测和反事实评估。因此,目的是开发和验证一个概念验证数字双胞胎,预测语言治疗期间的个体命名结果,并量化可改变的健康因素对命名的估计影响。这项研究代表了数字孪生模型在失语症康复中的首次应用,我们假设这可能是迈向动态自适应、个性化失语症康复模型的关键第一步。方法:我们分析了参加POLAR随机临床试验的106名患有失语的慢性中风幸存者的纵向数据。对于每个参与者,我们结合了基线人口统计学/健康变量(年龄、性别、教育程度、中风后的时间、高血压、糖尿病、BMI)、左半球语言roi的病变负荷(JHU图谱)、roi水平的白质微结构(FA)和仅限于语言区域的静息状态功能连接。一个持续学习的线性模型(River框架;Adam优化器)在基线数据上进行预训练,并在不同的时间点上进行更新。在最终时间点用R²评价模型的性能。反事实模拟系统地改变了高血压、糖尿病和BMI,以估计对预测费城命名测试(PNT)分数的单独和联合影响。结果:数字双胞胎预测最终PNT分数的R²= 0.5848(解释了大约58%的方差)。最大的影响因素是先前的命名能力、年龄、语言区损伤负荷和颞区白质完整性(特别是右侧MTG和STG极)。反事实结果估计了健康因素的适度但一致的影响,这些因素加起来约占治疗收益差异的25%。PNT评分随反事实变化的平均变化为7.92 (SD = 16.11)。因此,糖尿病状态解释了2%的治疗效果差异,高血压状态解释了4.75%,BMI增加解释了18.5%。结论:本研究证明了将数字双胞胎框架应用于慢性中风后失语症的可行性和临床潜力,该模型成功预测了语言治疗期间超过一半的命名表现差异。通过反事实模拟,我们证明了可改变的健康因素对预测的治疗结果产生可测量的双向影响,强调了系统健康在塑造语言恢复中的作用。虽然这些因素的个体影响程度不大,但它们对治疗效果的累积影响说明了多个小的生物因素如何加起来形成语言结果的有意义的差异。更广泛地说,这些发现说明了数字双胞胎模型在失语症治疗中的潜在价值,特别是作为一种整合多种生物因素并产生个性化、动态更新预测的工具。
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引用次数: 0
Scalable and comprehensive mosaic variant calling using DRAGEN. 可扩展和全面的马赛克变体调用使用DRAGEN。
Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.64898/2026.02.03.26345450
Sairam Behera, Massimiliano Rossi, Yina Wang, Michal B Izydorczyk, Duke Tran, Clifton L Dalgard, Ester Kalef-Ezra, Kavya Kottapalli, Heer Mehta, Gavin Parnaby, Oona Shigeno Risse-Adams, Sonja W Scholz, Helen Shen, Theodore M Nelson, Arun Visvanath, Xinchang Zheng, Harsha Doddapaneni, Thomas Garcia, Christopher E Mason, Christos Proukakis, James Han, Rami Mehio, Severine Catreux, Fritz J Sedlazeck

Detecting low variant allele fraction (VAF) mosaic variants without matching controls remains a major challenge in genomics, limited by technical noise, lack of benchmarks, and computational scalability. We present the DRAGEN mosaic caller, a hardware-accelerated approach identifying variants down to ∼1-2% VAF with low false-positive rates and hour-scale runtimes for mosaic SNV/indel detection from bulk sequencing. To support evaluation, we introduce a genome-wide low-VAF benchmark for variants between 1-10% VAF. Application to blood, sperm, and brain tissues revealed patterns, including mosaic hotspots and mutational signatures. The first analysis of HG002 blood showed that many "mosaic" variants defined from HG002 cell lines are likely culture-derived and not in vivo mutations. Importantly, DRAGEN also enables personalized assembly pangenome references to improve alignment and mosaic variant detection in complex regions. Together, this development makes routine low-VAF discovery feasible, opening new opportunities to study mosaic mutations in healthy and disease individuals.

在没有匹配对照的情况下检测低变异等位基因片段(VAF)马赛克变体仍然是基因组学的主要挑战,受到技术噪声、缺乏基准和计算可扩展性的限制。我们提出了DRAGEN马赛克调用者,这是一种硬件加速方法,可识别低至1-2% VAF的变异,具有低假阳性率和小时运行时间,可用于批量测序的马赛克SNV/indel检测。为了支持评估,我们引入了一个全基因组低VAF基准,用于1-10% VAF之间的变异。对血液、精子和脑组织的应用揭示了模式,包括马赛克热点和突变特征。对HG002血液的首次分析表明,从HG002细胞系中定义的许多“马赛克”变异可能是培养衍生的,而不是体内突变。重要的是,DRAGEN还支持个性化组装泛基因组参考,以改善复杂区域的比对和马赛克变体检测。总之,这一进展使常规低vaf发现成为可能,为研究健康和疾病个体的花叶突变开辟了新的机会。
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引用次数: 0
Trends for the Impact of Cigarette Smoking on Mortality in US States. 美国各州吸烟对死亡率影响的趋势。
Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.64898/2026.02.02.26345393
Theodore R Holford, Jamie Tam, Jihyoun Jeon, Yoonseo Mok, Rafael Meza

Introduction: Mortality and smoking rates vary over time across the US. The Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network-Lung Working Group (CISNET-LWG) has developed a smoking history generator to describe the effects smoking on health. This work further refines these parameters and quantifies effects on life expectancy.

Methods: Data from the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) and the Tobacco Use Supplement to the Current Population Survey (TUS-CPS) were used to estimate smoking history parameters for each state. The age-period-cohort was used in most cases, but an age-cohort mode was used for cessation probabilities. Population mortality data were used to estimate mortality rates for all causes, lung cancer, and non-lung cancer. These were partitioned by smoking status.

Results: California and Kentucky are states with more or less aggressive tobacco control. The difference between population cohort life expectancy and life expectancy of never smoker was greater for males than for females, and it was greater in Kentucky than California because of higher smoking rates. These differences decreased with time. Similar result are shown for each state.

Conclusions: Variation in smoking parameters and mortality trends vary considerably among states. These show variation in exposure to tobacco smoking and their effects on life expectancy. The Southeast region tends to have greater differences from never smokers because of higher smoking rates. However, there are also other factors affecting mortality rates.

美国各地的死亡率和吸烟率随时间而变化。癌症干预和监测建模网络-肺部工作组(CISNET-LWG)开发了一个吸烟史生成器来描述吸烟对健康的影响。这项工作进一步细化了这些参数,并量化了对预期寿命的影响。方法:使用来自全国健康访谈调查(NHIS)和当前人口调查烟草使用补充(TUS-CPS)的数据估计各州的吸烟史参数。在大多数情况下使用年龄-时期队列,但戒烟概率使用年龄-队列模式。人口死亡率数据用于估计各种原因、肺癌和非肺癌的死亡率。这些是根据吸烟状况划分的。结果:加州和肯塔基州或多或少都有积极的烟草控制措施。人口队列预期寿命和从不吸烟者预期寿命之间的差异男性大于女性,肯塔基州比加利福尼亚州更大,因为吸烟率更高。这些差异随着时间的推移而减少。每个州都显示了类似的结果。结论:各州的吸烟参数和死亡率趋势差异很大。这些数据显示了吸烟暴露的差异及其对预期寿命的影响。由于吸烟率较高,东南地区与从不吸烟者的差异更大。然而,也有其他因素影响死亡率。
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引用次数: 0
Distinct Spectral and Directional Thalamocortical Network Dynamics Define Focal Seizure Evolution. 独特的光谱和定向丘脑皮质网络动力学定义局灶性癫痫发作的演变。
Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.64898/2026.02.03.26345480
Saarang Panchavati, Atsuro Daida, Sotaro Kanai, Shingo Oana, Hiroya Ono, Masaki Izumi, Kikuko Kaneko, Aria Fallah, Joe X Qiao, Noriko Salamon, Raman Sankar, Corey Arnold, William Speier, Hiroki Nariai
<p><p>Neuromodulation targeting thalamic nuclei is increasingly used to treat drug-resistant focal epilepsy, yet human intracranial EEG studies describing how thalamocortical interactions evolve across seizures remain limited. We aimed to define frequency-specific thalamocortical network dynamics from seizure onset to termination, compare thalamocortical and cortico-cortical network activation, and test whether thalamic EEG features can classify seizure state to inform closed-loop or adaptive thalamic stimulation strategies. We retrospectively analyzed chronic stereo-EEG recordings from 19 patients with pediatric-onset, drug-resistant focal epilepsy (6 females; age at thalamic recording 1.0-28.1 years, median 16.9) with cortical and thalamic sampling. Sixty-six focal seizures were included. Spectral power, imaginary coherence, and spectral Granger causality were computed in non-overlapping two-second windows across slow (1-12 Hz), beta (13-30 Hz), and gamma (30-70 Hz) bands and compared with an interictal baseline. Random forest classifiers were trained using thalamic spectral power and thalamocortical connectivity features to distinguish ictal from non-ictal states using leave-one-patient-out cross-validation, with Shapley additive explanations used for feature attribution. Visual analysis identified thalamic ictal involvement at seizure onset in 82/101 thalamic contacts (81.2%), increasing to near-universal involvement by seizure termination, with onset-to-termination patterns dominated by low-voltage fast activity at onset and rhythmic spike or rhythmic slow-wave patterns at termination. The thalamus and cortical seizure onset zone exhibited broadband power increases at seizure onset that attenuated toward termination, while slow- and beta-band thalamocortical connectivity increased throughout seizures and peaked around the end-of-seizure epoch. Directed connectivity demonstrated bidirectional thalamocortical coupling, with slow-frequency thalamus-to-seizure onset zone outflow exceeding propagation-zone-to-seizure onset zone cortico-cortical outflow during both ictal and end-of-seizure epochs (anterior nucleus: p = 9.06 × 10L <sup>3</sup> and p = 8.80 × 10L <sup>3</sup> ; centromedian nucleus: p = 3.30 × 10L <sup>3</sup> and p = 5.70 × 10L <sup>3</sup> ). Seizure state was classifiable from thalamic spectral power and thalamocortical network features, achieving an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.825 ± 0.163 (anterior nucleus model) and 0.839 ± 0.149 (centromedian nucleus model), with thalamic broadband power plus slow-frequency thalamus-to-cortex outflow and beta-frequency cortex-to-thalamus inflow among the most informative features. Leveraging human intracranial EEG data, we define coordinated, frequency- and direction-specific thalamocortical and cortico-cortical network dynamics that evolve from seizure onset to termination. These findings establish a mechanistic basis and identify actionable thalamocortical EEG
针对丘脑核的神经调节越来越多地用于治疗耐药局灶性癫痫,然而,描述丘脑皮质相互作用如何在癫痫发作期间演变的人类颅内脑电图研究仍然有限。我们旨在定义从癫痫发作到终止的频率特异性丘脑皮质网络动态,比较丘脑皮质和皮质-皮质网络激活,并测试丘脑脑电图特征是否可以分类癫痫状态,从而为闭环或适应性丘脑刺激策略提供信息。我们回顾性分析了19例儿科发病的耐药局灶性癫痫患者的慢性立体脑电图记录(6例女性,丘脑记录年龄1.0-28.1岁,中位16.9岁),并进行皮质和丘脑采样。66例局灶性癫痫包括在内。谱功率、虚相干性和谱格兰杰因果关系在慢(1-12 Hz)、β (13-30 Hz)和γ (30-70 Hz)波段的非重叠两秒窗口中计算,并与间隔基线进行比较。随机森林分类器使用丘脑频谱功率和丘脑皮质连通性特征进行训练,使用留一个患者的交叉验证来区分临界状态和非临界状态,并使用Shapley加性解释进行特征归因。视觉分析发现,在癫痫发作时,82/101个丘脑接触者(81.2%)的丘脑尖部受累,在癫痫发作结束时增加到几乎普遍受累,从发作到终止的模式主要是发作时的低压快速活动和结束时的节律性尖峰或节律性慢波模式。丘脑和皮层癫痫发作区在癫痫发作时表现出宽带功率增加,并在癫痫发作结束时减弱,而慢带和β带丘脑皮质连通性在整个癫痫发作期间增加,并在癫痫发作结束时达到峰值。定向连接显示了双向丘脑皮质耦合,在发作初期和发作末期,丘脑-发作区慢频流出超过传播区-发作区-发作区皮质-皮层流出(前核:p = 9.06 × 10l3和p = 8.80 × 10l3;中核:p = 3.30 × 10l3和p = 5.70 × 10l3)。根据丘脑频谱功率和丘脑皮层网络特征对癫痫发作状态进行分类,获得接受者工作特征曲线下的面积为0.825±0.163(前核模型)和0.839±0.149(正中核模型),其中丘脑宽带功率加上丘脑-皮层慢频流出和丘脑-皮层- β频流入是最具信息量的特征。利用人类颅内脑电图数据,我们定义了协调的、频率和方向特异性的丘脑皮质和皮质-皮质网络动力学,从癫痫发作到终止。这些发现建立了机制基础,并确定了可操作的丘脑皮质EEG目标-特别是慢带和β带相互作用-为个性化,自适应,闭环神经调节提供信息,旨在优化癫痫发作结果。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring Cancer in Colorado using a novel data platform: the ECCO experience. 探索癌症在科罗拉多州使用一个新的数据平台:ECCO的经验。
Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.64898/2026.02.03.26345489
Jan T Lowery, Faisal Alquaddoomi, Vince Rubinetti, Todd Burus, Cydney Jardine, Adam C Warren, Jake Walsh, Evelinn Borrayo, Sean Davis

Purpose: To create a publicly available, interactive data platform to visualize various data measures reflecting Colorado and its residents to support research and outreach efforts, specifically focusing on cancer burden and disparities throughout the state. This platform, named ECCO (Exploring Cancer in Colorado), aims to integrate diverse public data sources into a unified, user-friendly interface, accessible to researchers, community members, and outreach programs alike.

Methods: A multi-disciplinary team developed ECCO, leveraging public data sources like Cancer InFocus, State Cancer Profiles, and the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment. The platform's architecture employs a three-tiered web application model, utilizing a PostgreSQL database, a backend API built with FastAPI, and a Vue 3 frontend with an Open Layers map. Data is organized geographically at the county and/or census tract levels, categorized into measure categories (e.g., socio-demographics, cancer risk factors), and further filterable by demographic characteristics. An automated Extract-Transform-Load (ETL) data pipeline ensures regular updates of the data.

Results: The platform visualizes data such as socio-demographics, cancer risk factors, screening adherence, and cancer incidence and mortality rates. Additionally, ECCO incorporates location-specific data for cancer care facilities, health services, environmental exposures, and political boundaries. To date, ECCO has had 1.1K unique visitors and over 19K pageviews according to Google Analytics.

Conclusion: The ECCO platform provides a valuable tool for understanding and addressing cancer disparities in Colorado. By integrating diverse data sources and offering interactive visualization, ECCO enhances the ability of researchers, community members, and outreach programs to identify populations at risk, inform interventions, and support research priorities.

Availability: The application and code are available at https://coe-ecco.org/ and https://github.com/colorado-cancer-center/ecco .

Content summary: Key Objective: This work sought to develop ECCO (Exploring Cancer in Colorado), an interactive, easily-accessible data platform designed to visualize and understand diverse cancer-related data measures reflective of Colorado and its residents.Knowledge generated: ECCO integrates public data from sources like Cancer InFocus, State Cancer Profiles, and the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment, visualizing measures such as socio-demographics, cancer risk factors, screening adherence, and cancer incidence and mortality rates at both county and census tract levels. The platform also incorporates location-specific data on cancer care facilities, health services, environmental exposures, and political boundaries.

目的:创建一个公开可用的交互式数据平台,将反映科罗拉多州及其居民的各种数据措施可视化,以支持研究和推广工作,特别是关注整个州的癌症负担和差异。这个名为ECCO(探索科罗拉多州癌症)的平台旨在将不同的公共数据源整合到一个统一的、用户友好的界面中,供研究人员、社区成员和外展项目使用。方法:一个多学科团队开发了ECCO,利用公共数据源,如癌症信息中心、州癌症概况和科罗拉多州公共卫生和环境部。该平台的架构采用三层web应用程序模型,利用PostgreSQL数据库,使用FastAPI构建的后端API,以及使用Open Layers映射的Vue 3前端。数据按地理位置按县和/或人口普查区级别组织,分类为测量类别(例如,社会人口统计学、癌症风险因素),并进一步按人口统计学特征进行过滤。自动化的提取-转换-加载(ETL)数据管道确保定期更新数据。结果:该平台将社会人口统计学、癌症风险因素、筛查依从性、癌症发病率和死亡率等数据可视化。此外,ECCO还整合了癌症护理设施、卫生服务、环境暴露和政治边界的特定地点数据。根据谷歌Analytics的数据,到目前为止,ECCO已经拥有1.1万独立访问者和超过1.9万的网页浏览量。结论:ECCO平台为了解和解决科罗拉多州的癌症差异提供了一个有价值的工具。通过整合各种数据源和提供交互式可视化,ECCO提高了研究人员、社区成员和外展项目识别高危人群、告知干预措施和支持研究重点的能力。可用性:应用程序和代码可在https://coe-ecco.org/和https://github.com/colorado-cancer-center/ecco上获得。内容摘要:主要目的:本工作旨在开发ECCO(探索科罗拉多州的癌症),这是一个交互式,易于访问的数据平台,旨在可视化和理解反映科罗拉多州及其居民的各种癌症相关数据措施。产生的知识:ECCO整合了来自癌症信息中心(Cancer InFocus)、州癌症概况(State Cancer Profiles)和科罗拉多州公共卫生与环境部(Colorado Department of public Health and Environment)等来源的公共数据,将社会人口统计学、癌症风险因素、筛查依从性、县和人口普查区水平的癌症发病率和死亡率等措施可视化。该平台还整合了癌症护理设施、卫生服务、环境暴露和政治边界等特定地点的数据。
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引用次数: 0
Time to HIV rebound after antiretroviral therapy interruption: a double-blind randomised placebo-controlled trial of long-acting broadly neutralising antibodies; The RIO Trial. 抗逆转录病毒治疗中断后HIV反弹的时间:长效广泛中和抗体的双盲随机安慰剂对照试验里约热内卢试验。
Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.64898/2026.02.04.25342277
Ming Jie Lee, Louise-Rae Cherrill, Panagiota Zacharopoulou, Simon Collins, Marcilio Fumagalli, Emanuela Falaschetti, Mohammed Altaf, Timothy Tipoe, Piyumika Godakandaarachi, Julie Fox, Alison Uriel, Amanda Clarke, Sabine Kinloch-de Loes, Sarah Pett, Marta Boffito, Gary Whitlock, Ole Schmeltz Søgaard, Kyle Ring, Irvine Mangawa, Jesal Gohil, Tamara Elliott, Henrik Nielsen, Jesper Damsgaard Gunst, Chloe Orkin, Rebecca Sutherland, Lisa Hamzah, Paola Cicconi, Graham P Taylor, Jacquie Ujetz, Ishrat Jahan, Helen Brown, Nicola Robinson, Stephen Fletcher, Hanna Box, Kelly E Seaton, Georgia Tomaras, Margaret E Ackerman, Joshua A Weiner, Anna Kaczynska, Cintia Bittar, Jill Horowitz, Michel Claudio Nussenzweig, Marina Caskey, John Frater, Sarah Fidler
<p><strong>Background: </strong>HIV-specific broadly neutralising antibodies (bNAbs) can maintain viral control after interrupting antiretroviral therapy (ART). We investigated the duration and efficacy of Fc-engineered long-acting bNAbs (LS-bNAbs) in maintaining ART-free HIV control compared with placebo.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>RIO is a 1:1 randomised double-blind placebo-controlled trial of two LS-bNAbs (3BNC117-LS & 10-1074-LS) in individuals virally suppressed on ART initiated since early-stage HIV. Eligible participants interrupted ART after receiving blinded infusions of either both LS-bNAbs (Arm-A) or placebo (Arm-B). A second optional blinded infusion was offered after 20 weeks for participants who remained virally suppressed without ART. The primary outcome was time to viral rebound 20 weeks after ART interruption, defined as either the first of six consecutive plasma HIV RNA >1,000 copies/mL, or two measurements >100,000 copies/mL. Secondary outcomes included adverse events, long-term viral control and bNAb pharmacokinetics.</p><p><strong>Findings: </strong>Sixty-eight participants were randomised, thirty-four to each arm. By week 20, viral rebound had occurred in 8 Arm-A and 30 Arm-B participants; 75% (95% CI, 61 - 92) of Arm-A participants had not rebounded, compared to 11% (95% CI, 4-29) participants in Arm-B. Arm-A participants were 91% less likely to rebound compared to Arm-B participants (hazard ratio of rebound (HR): 0.09; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.04 - 0.21, P < 0.001). ART-free viral control using the above endpoints beyond 96 weeks was evident in 7 (25%, 95% CI 13 - 48) Arm-A participants compared to 2 (11%, 95% CI 4 - 29) Arm-B participants (HR: 0.22, 95% CI 0.12 - 0.40, P < 0.001). These seven participants had predicted serum bNAb concentrations below the presumed therapeutic threshold of 10 μg/mL at 96 weeks. Of nine serious adverse events, none were study-related.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Long-acting bNAbs can sustain extended ART-free viral control in people treated during early-stage HIV and represent a promising step towards achieving ART-free HIV remission.</p><p><strong>Funding: </strong>The RIO trial was funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (grant ref. OPP1210792). Infrastructure support in the UK for this research was provided by the National Institute of Health Research (NIHR) Imperial Biomedical Research Centre (BRC), the NIHR Imperial Clinical Research Facility (ICRF) and the Oxford NIHR BRC. Study/trial registration numbers and date of registration:UK Research Ethics Committee reference: 19/LO/1669 (11 Sep 2019)EudraCT: 2019-002129-31 (12 Dec 2019)EU CTR: 2024-514564-13-00 (02 Jan 2025) ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04319367 (02 Mar 2020) UK IRAS: 266322Sponsor Protocol Number: 19IC5249Funder Reference: OPP1210792.</p><p><strong>Evidence in context: </strong>We systematically searched Medline, Embase, and Web of Science databases until April 2024 with additional searches upda
背景:hiv特异性广泛中和抗体(bNAbs)可以在中断抗逆转录病毒治疗(ART)后维持病毒控制。与安慰剂相比,我们研究了fc工程的长效bNAbs (LS-bNAbs)在维持ART-free HIV控制方面的持续时间和疗效。方法:里约热内卢是一项1:1随机双盲安慰剂对照试验,在早期HIV开始抗逆转录病毒治疗后病毒抑制的个体中使用两种LS-bNAbs (3BNC117-LS和10-1074-LS)。符合条件的参与者在接受双盲输注LS-bNAbs (Arm-A)或安慰剂(Arm-B)后中断抗逆转录病毒治疗。20周后,在没有抗逆转录病毒治疗的情况下,病毒仍然受到抑制的参与者进行了第二次选择性盲法输注。主要终点是抗逆转录病毒治疗中断后20周病毒反弹的时间,定义为连续6次的第一次血浆HIV RNA浓度为1000拷贝/mL,或两次浓度为10万拷贝/mL。次要结局包括不良事件、长期病毒控制和bNAb药代动力学。研究结果:68名参与者被随机分组,每组34人。到第20周,8名a组参与者和30名b组参与者出现了病毒反弹;75% (95% CI, 61 - 92)的a组患者没有反弹,而11% (95% CI, 4-29)的b组患者没有反弹。a组受试者反弹的可能性比b组受试者低91%(反弹风险比:0.09;95%置信区间(CI) 0.04 ~ 0.21, P < 0.001)。96周后使用上述终点的无art病毒控制在7名(25%,95% CI 13 - 48) a组参与者中明显,而2名(11%,95% CI 4 - 29) b组参与者(HR: 0.22, 95% CI 0.12 - 0.40, P < 0.001)。这7名受试者在96周时预测血清bNAb浓度低于假定的治疗阈值10 μg/mL。在9个严重不良事件中,没有一个与研究相关。结论:长效bnab可以在早期HIV治疗患者中维持较长时间的ART-free病毒控制,代表着实现ART-free HIV缓解的有希望的一步。资助:里约热内卢试验由比尔和梅林达·盖茨基金会资助(授权编号:OPP1210792)。英国国家卫生研究院(NIHR)帝国生物医学研究中心(BRC)、NIHR帝国临床研究设施(ICRF)和牛津NIHR BRC为这项研究提供了基础设施支持。研究/试验注册编号和注册日期:英国研究伦理委员会参考:19/LO/1669(2019年9月11日)eudraft: 2019-002129-31(2019年12月12日)EU CTR: 2024-514564-13-00(2025年1月02日)ClinicalTrials.gov标识符:NCT04319367(2020年3月02日)英国IRAS: 266322赞助商协议编号:19ic5249资助者参考:OPP1210792。上下文证据:我们系统地检索了Medline, Embase和Web of Science数据库,直到2024年4月,其他检索更新到2026年1月。艾滋病毒特异性广泛中和抗体(bNAbs)的联合治疗已证明对中断抗逆转录病毒治疗的艾滋病毒感染者有一段时间的病毒控制。具有fc受体修饰的长效LS-bNAbs的开发已被证明可将血清半衰期提高多达四倍。迄今为止,使用LS-bNAbs进行无art HIV控制的临床疗效和持续时间尚未在一项充分有力的人体试验中得到评估。本研究的附加价值:里约热内卢试验;一项前瞻性双盲随机对照研究首次表明,与安慰剂相比,单剂量的两种bNAbs 10-1074-LS和3BNC117-LS在维持无art病毒控制20周方面的有效性提高91%。长达96周的长期随访增加了关于两剂LS-bNAbs在早期治疗的HIV感染者中获得的病毒控制持续时间和频率(25%)的新数据,超出了预期的治疗后控制频率。超过96周的无art病毒控制可能是由于bNAb诱导后的机制,因为超过这段时间的模拟bNAb浓度低于假定的治疗阈值。给药LS-bNAbs是安全的,与任何严重不良事件无关。所有现有证据的意义:LS-bNAbs代表着在实现无art的HIV控制和缓解方面取得的重大进展。这些发现将为未来的联合策略提供信息,以增强bnab后HIV控制机制。
{"title":"Time to HIV rebound after antiretroviral therapy interruption: a double-blind randomised placebo-controlled trial of long-acting broadly neutralising antibodies; The RIO Trial.","authors":"Ming Jie Lee, Louise-Rae Cherrill, Panagiota Zacharopoulou, Simon Collins, Marcilio Fumagalli, Emanuela Falaschetti, Mohammed Altaf, Timothy Tipoe, Piyumika Godakandaarachi, Julie Fox, Alison Uriel, Amanda Clarke, Sabine Kinloch-de Loes, Sarah Pett, Marta Boffito, Gary Whitlock, Ole Schmeltz Søgaard, Kyle Ring, Irvine Mangawa, Jesal Gohil, Tamara Elliott, Henrik Nielsen, Jesper Damsgaard Gunst, Chloe Orkin, Rebecca Sutherland, Lisa Hamzah, Paola Cicconi, Graham P Taylor, Jacquie Ujetz, Ishrat Jahan, Helen Brown, Nicola Robinson, Stephen Fletcher, Hanna Box, Kelly E Seaton, Georgia Tomaras, Margaret E Ackerman, Joshua A Weiner, Anna Kaczynska, Cintia Bittar, Jill Horowitz, Michel Claudio Nussenzweig, Marina Caskey, John Frater, Sarah Fidler","doi":"10.64898/2026.02.04.25342277","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.02.04.25342277","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Background: &lt;/strong&gt;HIV-specific broadly neutralising antibodies (bNAbs) can maintain viral control after interrupting antiretroviral therapy (ART). We investigated the duration and efficacy of Fc-engineered long-acting bNAbs (LS-bNAbs) in maintaining ART-free HIV control compared with placebo.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Methods: &lt;/strong&gt;RIO is a 1:1 randomised double-blind placebo-controlled trial of two LS-bNAbs (3BNC117-LS & 10-1074-LS) in individuals virally suppressed on ART initiated since early-stage HIV. Eligible participants interrupted ART after receiving blinded infusions of either both LS-bNAbs (Arm-A) or placebo (Arm-B). A second optional blinded infusion was offered after 20 weeks for participants who remained virally suppressed without ART. The primary outcome was time to viral rebound 20 weeks after ART interruption, defined as either the first of six consecutive plasma HIV RNA &gt;1,000 copies/mL, or two measurements &gt;100,000 copies/mL. Secondary outcomes included adverse events, long-term viral control and bNAb pharmacokinetics.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Findings: &lt;/strong&gt;Sixty-eight participants were randomised, thirty-four to each arm. By week 20, viral rebound had occurred in 8 Arm-A and 30 Arm-B participants; 75% (95% CI, 61 - 92) of Arm-A participants had not rebounded, compared to 11% (95% CI, 4-29) participants in Arm-B. Arm-A participants were 91% less likely to rebound compared to Arm-B participants (hazard ratio of rebound (HR): 0.09; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.04 - 0.21, P &lt; 0.001). ART-free viral control using the above endpoints beyond 96 weeks was evident in 7 (25%, 95% CI 13 - 48) Arm-A participants compared to 2 (11%, 95% CI 4 - 29) Arm-B participants (HR: 0.22, 95% CI 0.12 - 0.40, P &lt; 0.001). These seven participants had predicted serum bNAb concentrations below the presumed therapeutic threshold of 10 μg/mL at 96 weeks. Of nine serious adverse events, none were study-related.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Conclusion: &lt;/strong&gt;Long-acting bNAbs can sustain extended ART-free viral control in people treated during early-stage HIV and represent a promising step towards achieving ART-free HIV remission.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Funding: &lt;/strong&gt;The RIO trial was funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (grant ref. OPP1210792). Infrastructure support in the UK for this research was provided by the National Institute of Health Research (NIHR) Imperial Biomedical Research Centre (BRC), the NIHR Imperial Clinical Research Facility (ICRF) and the Oxford NIHR BRC. Study/trial registration numbers and date of registration:UK Research Ethics Committee reference: 19/LO/1669 (11 Sep 2019)EudraCT: 2019-002129-31 (12 Dec 2019)EU CTR: 2024-514564-13-00 (02 Jan 2025) ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04319367 (02 Mar 2020) UK IRAS: 266322Sponsor Protocol Number: 19IC5249Funder Reference: OPP1210792.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Evidence in context: &lt;/strong&gt;We systematically searched Medline, Embase, and Web of Science databases until April 2024 with additional searches upda","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12889798/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146168756","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Individual and School-Level Factors Associated with Pediatric Eye Disorders and Referral Adherence in an Enhanced School-Based Vision Screening Program in Ghana. 在加纳加强的学校视力筛查项目中,与儿童眼病和转诊依从性相关的个人和学校层面因素。
Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.64898/2026.02.02.26345428
Afua O Asare, Priscilla Ablordeppey, Enoch A Asiedu, Emmanuel T Doku, Gabriel K Agbeshie, Seyram A Gle, Nana Akwasi O Mensah, Ruby E Adikah, Christine N Yeboah, Debora A Baidoo, Christine K Darko, Elisha E Arkhurst, Melissa H Watt, Eldrick A Acquah, Hornametor Afake, Sylvia Agyekum, Kwadwo O Akuffo

Background: Evidence on how social and school-level contexts shape pediatric vision screening outcomes is limited, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. We examined the association between individual and contextual factors and vision screening outcomes in a pilot enhanced school-based vision screening program (ESVSP) in Kumasi, Ghana.

Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional study using data from an ESVSP to detect eye disorders in school-children aged 4 to 22 years. Outcomes were the presence of eye disorders and referral adherence. Exposure variables were individual [(age, sex, socioeconomic status (SES)], and contextual [school type (public vs private)] factors. Logistic regression was used to estimate unadjusted (OR) and adjusted (aOR) odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

Results: We analyzed data for 1,123 children screened and 299 referred. The average age was 10.2 (±2.6) years. Overall, 34% (n=382) had suspected eye disorders, and 32.8% (n=98) adhered to the referral. After adjusting for key variables, children attending public (32.2%) compared to private (67.8%) schools had 45% lower odds of identified eye disorders (aOR= 0.55; 95% CI 0.37, 0.83). Children with low (13.3%) compared to high (28.6%) SES had 70% lower odds of referral adherence (aOR= 0.30; 95% CI 0.12, 0.80).

Conclusion: In this pilot school-based program, school context and socioeconomic status were associated with suspected pediatric vision and eye disorders, and referral adherence, respectively. These findings highlight equity-relevant gaps in referral adherence and underscore the need for context-specific strategies to strengthen referral pathways in low-resource settings.

背景:关于社会和学校环境如何影响儿童视力筛查结果的证据有限,特别是在撒哈拉以南非洲地区。我们在加纳库马西的一个试点强化学校视力筛查项目(ESVSP)中研究了个人和环境因素与视力筛查结果之间的关系。方法:我们使用ESVSP的数据进行了一项横断面研究,以检测4至22岁学龄儿童的眼部疾病。结果是眼部疾病的出现和转诊依从性。暴露变量是个体因素[(年龄、性别、社会经济地位(SES)]和环境因素[学校类型(公立与私立)]。采用Logistic回归估计未调整(OR)和调整(aOR)的比值比,95%置信区间(CI)。结果:我们分析了1123名筛查儿童和299名转诊儿童的数据。平均年龄10.2(±2.6)岁。总体而言,34% (n=382)的患者怀疑有眼部疾病,32.8% (n=98)的患者坚持转诊。在对关键变量进行调整后,公立学校(32.2%)的儿童与私立学校(67.8%)的儿童相比,发现眼疾的几率低45% (aOR= 0.55; 95% CI 0.37, 0.83)。低SES患儿(13.3%)与高SES患儿(28.6%)相比,转诊依从率低70% (aOR= 0.30; 95% CI 0.12, 0.80)。结论:在这个以学校为基础的试点项目中,学校环境和社会经济地位分别与疑似儿童视力和眼睛疾病以及转诊依从性相关。这些研究结果突出了在转诊依从性方面与公平相关的差距,并强调了在资源匮乏的环境中需要针对具体情况制定战略来加强转诊途径。
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引用次数: 0
Plasma and CSF proteomic signatures related to Alzheimer's, α-synuclein, or vascular pathologies and clinical decline. 血浆和脑脊液蛋白质组学特征与阿尔茨海默病、α-突触核蛋白或血管病变和临床衰退相关。
Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.64898/2026.02.04.26345534
Anna Orduña Dolado, Alexa Pichet Binette, Andréa L Benedet, Ilaria Pola, Kübra Tan, Wiebke Traichel, Ines Hristovska, Angela Mammana, Erik Stomrud, Gemma Salvadó, Shorena Janelidze, Sebastian Palmqvist, Niklas Mattsson-Carlgren, Piero Parchi, Henrik Zetterberg, Nicholas J Asthon, Oskar Hansson

Older individuals frequently harbor multiple brain pathologies, including Alzheimer's disease (AD) related amyloid-β (Aβ) and tau alongside α-synucleinopathy and vascular pathology. Proteomic profiling offers a strategy to better understand common as well as unique features of these different brain pathologies. We analyzed cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) (n=1,658) and plasma (n=749) samples from participants in the BioFINDER cohorts using the automated NULISAseq CNS Disease panel of 125 proteins. Differentially abundant proteins (DAPs) related to AD pathology (based on Aβ- and tau-PET positivity), α-synuclein (based on synuclein amplification assay [SAA] positivity) and vascular pathology (based on white matter lesion [WML] load) were identified with linear models simultaneously including a binary measure for the three pathologies. In the BioFINDER-2 subcohorts, DAPs were further evaluated for associations with continuous baseline (n=1,137) and longitudinal (n=656) Aβ-PET, tau-PET, and WML measures in models accounting for all pathologies. Associations with AD-signature cortical atrophy (n=915) and cognitive decline by the MMSE (n=1054) were also examined. We identified 84 CSF DAPs, with largely distinct protein signatures for each pathology (AD, n=66 DAPs; vascular pathology, n=55; α-synuclein pathology, n=16). 10 DAPs (e.g., FABP3, UCHL1, NPTXR, NPTX2) were altered across all three pathologies, reflecting general neurodegeneration. AD-associated DAPs included glial/inflammatory markers (CHIT1, CX3CL1, CD63) linked to Aβ pathology, and synaptic/neuronal injury markers (VSNL1, NRGN, NEFL) and metabolic enzymes (FABP3, MDH1) linked to tau pathology. Aβ-associated proteomic differences were most evident in CU individuals, while tau-associated differences predominated in MCI. More proteins, particularly neurodegeneration and synaptic markers, were associated with tau change than with Aβ change. Vascular pathology exhibited a distinct profile, enriched for inflammatory, angiogenic and extracellular matrix proteins (PGF, POSTN, TREM1, VCAM1). DDC was the main protein associated with α-synucleinopathy. Only a few proteins, including UCHL1, NPTX2, and NEFL, predicted cognitive decline and cortical atrophy after accounting for all brain pathologies. In plasma, although fewer DAPs were identified (n=20), findings included established AD biomarkers. Only plasma VCAM1 and NEFL were associated with α-synuclein and vascular pathology. NULISA identified stage-dependent, disease-specific CSF biomarker signatures with limited overlap, alongside shared neurodegenerative markers, supporting improved biological interpretation and more refined classification of neurodegenerative pathology.

老年人经常患有多种脑部病变,包括阿尔茨海默病(AD)相关的淀粉样蛋白-β (Aβ)和tau蛋白,以及α-突触核蛋白病和血管病变。蛋白质组学分析为更好地理解这些不同脑病的共同特征和独特特征提供了一种策略。我们使用自动NULISAseq中枢神经系统疾病125种蛋白质面板分析了来自BioFINDER队列参与者的脑脊液(CSF) (n=1,658)和血浆(n=749)样本。通过线性模型同时确定了与AD病理(基于a β-和tau-PET阳性)、α-突触核蛋白(基于突触核蛋白扩增试验[SAA]阳性)和血管病理(基于白质病变[WML]负荷)相关的差异丰富蛋白(DAPs),包括三种病理的二值测量。在BioFINDER-2亚队列中,进一步评估DAPs与所有病理模型的连续基线(n= 1137)和纵向(n=656) a - β- pet、tau-PET和WML测量的相关性。还研究了与ad特征皮质萎缩(n=915)和MMSE引起的认知能力下降(n=1054)的关联。我们鉴定出84个脑脊液dap,每种病理都有很大不同的蛋白特征(AD, n=66个dap;血管病理,n=55个;α-突触核蛋白病理,n=16个)。10个dap(如FABP3, UCHL1, NPTXR, NPTX2)在所有三种病理中都发生了改变,反映了全身性神经变性。ad相关的dap包括与Aβ病理相关的神经胶质/炎症标志物(CHIT1、CX3CL1、CD63),以及与tau病理相关的突触/神经元损伤标志物(VSNL1、NRGN、NEFL)和代谢酶(FABP3、MDH1)。a β相关的蛋白质组学差异在CU个体中最为明显,而tau相关的差异在MCI中占主导地位。更多的蛋白质,特别是神经变性和突触标记物,与tau变化相关,而不是与Aβ变化相关。血管病理表现出独特的特征,富含炎症、血管生成和细胞外基质蛋白(PGF、POSTN、TREM1、VCAM1)。DDC是α-突触核蛋白病的主要相关蛋白。在考虑了所有脑病理后,只有少数蛋白质,包括UCHL1、NPTX2和NEFL,预测了认知能力下降和皮层萎缩。在血浆中,虽然鉴定出的DAPs较少(n=20),但发现包括已建立的AD生物标志物。只有血浆VCAM1和NEFL与α-突触核蛋白和血管病理相关。NULISA鉴定了阶段依赖性、疾病特异性脑脊液生物标志物特征,这些特征具有有限的重叠,以及共享的神经退行性标志物,支持改进的生物学解释和更精细的神经退行性病理分类。
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引用次数: 0
Feasibility and validity of using self-collected capillary blood using Tasso+ for measuring Alzheimer's Disease plasma-based biomarkers among underrepresented populations. 在代表性不足的人群中使用Tasso+自采毛细血管血液测量阿尔茨海默病血浆生物标志物的可行性和有效性
Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.64898/2026.02.02.26345372
Amy A Schultz, Adam J Paulsen, Aaron Fredricks, David T Plante, Paul E Peppard, Rachael Wilson

Background: Blood-based biomarkers offer a scalable alternative to cerebrospinal fluid and PET imaging for Alzheimer's disease (AD) detection, yet traditional venipuncture limits participation among rural and socioeconomically disadvantaged populations. Self-collection using the Tasso+ capillary device could reduce access barriers, but its feasibility and validity for AD plasma biomarkers remain uncertain, particularly with real-world delays prior to processing.

Methods: Adults aged 45-90 years from the Wisconsin SHOW cohort who were underrepresented in AD research (Black or Hispanic race/ethnicity, rural residence, or

Results: Tasso+ collection was successful for 96% of participants; 64% rated it very easy and 86% reported comfort/no pain, yet 57% preferred future venipuncture-particularly Black, lower-income, and lower-education participants. Agreement varied markedly by biomarker. GFAP and NfL demonstrated excellent concordance (CCC 0.97-0.98) with minimal bias (-6% to -8%). Aβ40 and Aβ42 showed modest correlations (r=0.40-0.47) and substantial underestimation (-60% to -70%). Aβ42/40 and pTau217 exhibited poor correlation and extreme positive bias for pTau217 (∼+2600%). Hemolysis was more frequent in Tasso+ samples and contributed to disagreement for several markers; processing lag and sample volume were not strong predictors.

Conclusions: Remote capillary self-collection with a 24-hour delay is suitable for measuring GFAP and NfL but not currently reliable for Aβ or pTau217 without improved handling (e.g., temperature control, hemolysis reduction). Although user experience was favorable, trust and logistical concerns limited preference among underrepresented groups. Community-informed strategies and optimized pre-analytics are essential before deploying Tasso+ in large AD studies.

背景:基于血液的生物标志物为阿尔茨海默病(AD)检测提供了一种可扩展的替代脑脊液和PET成像的方法,但传统的静脉穿刺限制了农村和社会经济弱势人群的参与。使用Tasso+毛细管装置进行自我收集可以减少获取障碍,但其对AD血浆生物标志物的可行性和有效性仍然不确定,特别是在实际处理之前存在延迟。方法:来自威斯康星州SHOW队列的45-90岁的成年人,他们在AD研究中代表性不足(黑人或西班牙裔种族/民族,农村居民,或结果:96%的参与者Tasso+收集成功;64%的参与者认为非常容易,86%的参与者报告舒适/无痛,但57%的参与者更倾向于未来静脉穿刺,尤其是黑人、低收入和低教育水平的参与者。不同生物标志物的一致性差异显著。GFAP和NfL表现出极好的一致性(CCC 0.97-0.98),偏差最小(-6%至-8%)。a - β40和a - β42表现出适度的相关性(r=0.40-0.47)和严重的低估(-60% ~ -70%)。a - β42/40与pTau217表现出较差的相关性和pTau217的极端正偏倚(~ +2600%)。溶血在Tasso+样本中更常见,导致几个标记物的不一致;处理滞后和样本量不是很强的预测因子。结论:24小时延迟的远程毛细管自采适合测量GFAP和NfL,但目前不可靠的a β或pTau217没有改进处理(例如,温度控制,减少溶血)。虽然用户体验是有利的,但信任和后勤问题限制了代表性不足的群体的偏好。在大型AD研究中部署Tasso+之前,社区知情策略和优化的预分析是必不可少的。
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引用次数: 0
Turns and Downturns in Aging Drivers. 老年司机的转变和衰退。
Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.64898/2026.02.04.26345564
Marie Hardt, Guillermo Basulto-Elias, Heike Hofmann, Shauna Hallmark, Anuj Sharma, Jeffrey D Dawson, Matthew Rizzo, Jun Ha Chang

As cognitive decline progresses, older adults may self-regulate their driving. Avoidance of left turns across traffic is observable in naturalistic driving data but rarely self-reported. We studied 106 older adults using baseline and one-year follow-up neuropsychological assessments. In-vehicle sensors passively recorded driving behavior over 12 weeks. We identified 295,112 turns from vehicle heading changes. We used mixed-effects logistic regression to model the odds of turning left, with cognitive status category change from baseline to one-year follow-up as the predictor. Greater cognitive impairment, represented by movement to a more severe cognitive status category at one-year follow-up, was associated with reduced odds of turning left (odds ratio = 0.984, 95% confidence interval = 0.969-0.999; P value = .037). Left-turn avoidance may be a behavioral marker of early cognitive decline. Passive driving data could help detect functional changes, enabling intervention to preserve mobility and independence. Further research is needed to establish a clinical threshold of concern for decreasing trends in left turn frequency in older drivers.

随着认知能力的下降,老年人可能会自我调节他们的驾驶。在自然驾驶数据中可以观察到避免在交通中左转,但很少自我报告。我们对106名老年人进行了基线和一年随访的神经心理学评估。车内传感器被动记录了12周内的驾驶行为。我们从车辆航向变化中确定了295,112个转弯。我们使用混合效应逻辑回归来模拟左转的几率,从基线到一年随访的认知状态类别变化作为预测因子。在一年的随访中,认知障碍越严重,左转的几率越低(优势比= 0.984,95%可信区间= 0.969-0.999;P值= 0.037)。避免左转可能是早期认知能力下降的行为标志。被动驾驶数据可以帮助检测功能变化,使干预措施能够保持移动性和独立性。需要进一步的研究来建立一个临床阈值,以关注老年司机左转频率下降的趋势。
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引用次数: 0
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