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Evaluating metagenomic sequencing as a stool-based diagnostic in children with presumptive TB in Uganda. 评估宏基因组测序作为一种基于粪便的诊断在乌干达的推定结核儿童。
Pub Date : 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.64898/2026.01.29.26345155
Carolina Agudelo, Moses Nsereko, Aggrey Ainebyona, Alfred Andama, Robert Castro, Sarrah Rose Mikhail Leung, Jascent Nakafeero, Gertrude Nannyonga, Kevin Nolan, Lucas Teran, Peter Wambi, Mark G Young, Midori Kato-Maeda, Adithya Cattamanchi, Devan Jaganath, Eric Wobudeya, Ashley R Wolf

Background: Stool-based molecular tests are a noninvasive option for pediatric tuberculosis (TB) diagnosis, but have lower sensitivity compared to sputum-based tests. Untargeted metagenomic sequencing (mNGS) on stool could improve sensitivity and identify new gene targets for molecular testing.

Methods: We performed shotgun mNGS on DNA isolated from stool samples of children undergoing assessment for pulmonary TB in Uganda. We defined the performance of mNGS to identify Mycobacterium tuberculosis ( Mtb ) against a microbiological reference standard (MRS, TB if sputum Xpert Ultra or culture positive) and a composite reference standard (TB if confirmed or unconfirmed TB). We also compared accuracy of mNGS against the stool-based Xpert Ultra test. Finally, we identified enriched genomic loci among Mtb classified reads.

Results: We analyzed 176 stool samples of children with a median age of 3.6 years (IQR, 1-6 years). !"#$%&'(')*(+,-. (')*(&*%&$'$/$'$*&(01(234-(5$')(60&$'$/*(78(9*1$%*9(as ≥ 1, 2, or 5 sequence fragments were 35.5% (95% CI 19%:;;<=.(>;?@<(AB>< : 45%), and 19.4% (13%-25%) respectively, and specificities 92.64% (87%-96%), 97% (93%-99%), and 99.3% (96%-100%). Stool Xpert Ultra had similar sensitivity (22.6%) to stool mNGS considering all samples tested. In a head-to-head comparison, stool mNGS had lower sensitivity than stool Xpert Ultra (38.5% vs. 53.8%, difference -15.3%, 95% CI 14-68 to 25-81). mNGS utilized rRNA, virulence proteins and membrane proteins not targeted in current PCR-based platforms.

Conclusions: Metagenomic sequencing of stool DNA did not increase sensitivity of TB detection, but identified novel targets for molecular testing that may support development of more sensitive tests.

背景:基于粪便的分子检测是儿童结核病(TB)诊断的一种非侵入性选择,但与基于痰的检测相比,敏感性较低。粪便非靶向宏基因组测序(Untargeted metagenomics sequencing, mNGS)可提高灵敏度,为分子检测提供新的基因靶点。方法:我们对从乌干达接受肺结核评估的儿童粪便样本中分离的DNA进行了霰弹枪mNGS。我们定义了mNGS对微生物参考标准(MRS,如果痰液Xpert Ultra或培养阳性则为TB)和复合参考标准(如果确诊或未确诊结核病则为TB)鉴定结核分枝杆菌(Mtb)的性能。我们还比较了mNGS与基于粪便的Xpert Ultra测试的准确性。最后,我们在Mtb分类reads中发现了富集的基因组位点。结果:我们分析了176例儿童粪便样本,中位年龄为3.6岁(IQR, 1-6岁)。!"#$%&'(')*(+,-.(')*(&*%&$'$/$'$*&( 01(234 -(5美元)(60 &“/ *(78美元(9 * 1 $ % * 9(≥1、2或5序列片段分别为35.5% (95% CI: 19%;;; ?@ <: 45%), 19.4%(13% - -25%)分别和特异性92.64%(87% - -96%),97%(93% - -99%)和99.3%(96% - -100%)。考虑到所有测试的样本,Stool Xpert Ultra对粪便mNGS的敏感性相似(22.6%)。在头对头比较中,粪便mNGS的敏感性低于粪便Xpert Ultra(38.5%对53.8%,差异-15.3%,95% CI 14-68至25-81)。mNGS利用了rRNA、毒力蛋白和膜蛋白,这些在目前的pcr平台中都不是靶向的。结论:粪便DNA的宏基因组测序并没有增加结核病检测的敏感性,但为分子检测确定了新的靶点,可能支持开发更敏感的检测方法。
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引用次数: 0
Leveraging the genetics of human face shape boosts the discovery of orofacial cleft risk loci. 利用人类脸型的遗传学促进了唇腭裂风险位点的发现。
Pub Date : 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.64898/2026.01.30.26345139
Noah Herrick, Seppe Goovaerts, Alexandra Manchel, Myoung Keun Lee, Xinyi Zhang, Amy Davies, Jenna C Carlson, Elizabeth J Leslie-Clarkson, Sarah J Lewis, Mary L Marazita, Justin Cotney, Peter Claes, John R Shaffer, Seth M Weinberg

Several lines of evidence suggest that normal-range facial features and nonsyndromic orofacial clefts (OFCs) exhibit a shared genetic basis. Approaches designed to leverage this relationship hold the possibility of revealing new OFC risk loci by boosting discovery power. To test this idea, we applied a pleiotropy-informed GWAS method (cFDR-GWAS) with summary statistics from large, independent European GWASs of normal facial shape (n=4,680; n=3,566) and nonsyndromic cleft lip with or without cleft palate (nsCL/P, n=3,969). The cFDR approach identified 21 independent genomic loci significantly associated with nsCL/P, providing further evidence of the interconnected genetic architecture between these traits. The five original nsCL/P GWAS signals were detected and joined by nine additional loci previously implicated in other OFC association studies. The remaining seven loci represent new nsCL/P genomic regions, and three of these replicated (P < 0.05) in an independent nsCL/P cohort: ASPSCR1, MSX2, and RALYL. A relaxed 10% cFDR-GWAS threshold identified 15 more independent loci with comparable effect sizes to those detected at the strict 5% threshold, two of which replicated: FHOD3 and SMARCA2. Gene expression patterns in major cell types and spatial transcriptomics data highlighted our gene candidates' roles in craniofacial development. In conclusion, the application of an empirical Bayesian strategy to draw on association signals from genetically related traits can boost the power to identify and prioritize OFC risk loci missed by agnostic gene mapping approaches. These results hold promise that the cFDR-GWAS approach may be able to enhance our understanding of the genetic architecture of other structural birth defects.

一些证据表明,正常范围的面部特征和非综合征性口面部裂(OFCs)表现出共同的遗传基础。利用这种关系设计的方法通过提高发现能力,有可能揭示新的OFC风险位点。为了验证这一观点,我们应用了一种多效性的GWAS方法(cFDR-GWAS),汇总了来自欧洲大型独立的正常脸型的GWAS (n=4,680; n=3,566)和非综合征性唇裂(nsCL/P, n=3,969)。cFDR方法鉴定出21个与nsCL/P显著相关的独立基因组位点,进一步证明了这些性状之间相互关联的遗传结构。检测到5个原始的nsCL/P GWAS信号,并与先前在其他OFC关联研究中涉及的9个额外位点连接。其余7个位点代表新的nsCL/P基因组区域,其中3个位点在独立的nsCL/P队列中重复(P < 0.05): ASPSCR1、MSX2和RALYL。放宽的10% cFDR-GWAS阈值鉴定出15个独立位点,与严格的5%阈值检测到的效应大小相当,其中两个重复:FHOD3和SMARCA2。主要细胞类型的基因表达模式和空间转录组学数据强调了我们的候选基因在颅面发育中的作用。总之,应用经验贝叶斯策略从遗传相关性状中提取关联信号,可以提高识别和优先排序不可知论基因定位方法错过的OFC风险位点的能力。这些结果表明,cFDR-GWAS方法可能能够增强我们对其他结构性出生缺陷遗传结构的理解。
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引用次数: 0
CSF turnover reshapes biomarker interpretation in neurodegeneration studies. 脑脊液转换重塑神经变性研究中的生物标志物解释。
Pub Date : 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.64898/2026.02.02.26345363
Pablo García-González, Raquel Puerta, Jonas Dehairs, Chengran Yang, Ciyang Wang, Jigyasha Timsina, Itziar de Rojas, Claudia Olivé, Alejandro Valenzuela, Paula Bayón-Buján, Marta Rovira, Laura Montrreal, Maria Capdevila, Álvaro Muñoz-Morales, Berta Calm, Sergi Valero, Montse Alegret, Marta Marquié, John C Morris, Suzanne E Schindler, David M Holtzman, Pilar Sanz, Lluís Tárraga, Asif Khan, Maria E Sáez, Bart Smets, Adelina Orellana, Xavier Montalbán, Mercè Boada, Amanda Cano, Menghan Liu, Muhammad Ali, Carlos Cruchaga, Johannes V Swinnen, Victoria Fernández, Alfredo Cabrera-Socorro, Agustín Ruiz

Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers are central to Alzheimer's disease (AD) diagnosis and research. However, CSF composition is shaped not only by neurodegeneration, but also by underlying physiological and pathological processes that remain poorly characterized. By integrating multi-omics data from the deeply characterized memory-clinic ACE CSF cohort (N=1,372), the Global Neurodegeneration Proteomics Consortium (N=1,863), and publicly available quantitative trait loci data, we reveal that 73.2-85.9% of the molecular variance in CSF omics data is driven by two main factors: one reflecting CSF turnover rate, and another representing blood-brain barrier (BBB) integrity. CSF turnover mainly determines brain-derived molecules, while BBB damage leads to increased blood-derived protein abundance. CSF turnover/clearance severely impacted core AD biomarker levels, affecting the classification of subjects in the A/T framework. Adjusting biomarker levels for OPCML, a novel reference marker, improved biomarker-based prediction of AD progression and removed confounded associations, revealing a proteomic signature of sporadic AD pathology that closely resembles that of autosomal dominant AD. Finally, using the ACE CSF cohort as discovery (N=1,221) and Knight ADRC as replication (N=1,073), we report a curated AD signature comprising 446 unique proteins. Our findings identify CSF dynamics as a major source of molecular variation, reshaping the interpretation of CSF biomarkers.

脑脊液(CSF)生物标志物是阿尔茨海默病(AD)诊断和研究的核心。然而,脑脊液的组成不仅受神经退行性变的影响,还受潜在的生理和病理过程的影响,这些过程的特征仍然很不明确。通过整合深度表征记忆-临床ACE CSF队列(N= 1372)、全球神经退行性蛋白质组学联盟(N=1,863)和公开的定量性状位点数据的多组学数据,我们发现脑脊液组学数据中73.2-85.9%的分子差异由两个主要因素驱动:一个反映脑脊液周转率,另一个代表血脑屏障(BBB)完整性。脑脊液转换主要决定脑源性分子,而血脑屏障损伤导致血源性蛋白丰度增加。脑脊液转换/清除严重影响核心AD生物标志物水平,影响受试者在A/T框架中的分类。调整OPCML(一种新型参考标志物)的生物标志物水平,改善了基于生物标志物的AD进展预测,并消除了混杂的关联,揭示了散发性AD病理的蛋白质组学特征,与常染色体显性AD非常相似。最后,使用ACE CSF队列作为发现(N=1,221)和Knight ADRC作为复制(N=1,073),我们报告了一个包含446个独特蛋白质的AD标记。我们的研究结果确定脑脊液动力学是分子变异的主要来源,重塑了脑脊液生物标志物的解释。
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引用次数: 0
ATN Classification and Machine-Learned Plasma Biomarker Phenotypes Reveal Distinct Alzheimer's Pathology in a Population-Based Cohort. ATN分类和机器学习的血浆生物标志物表型揭示了基于人群的阿尔茨海默病病理。
Pub Date : 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.64898/2026.01.02.26343331
Emmanuel Fle Chea
<p><strong>Background: </strong>The ATN (Amyloid/Tau/Neurodegeneration) framework provides a theory-driven approach to Alzheimer's disease (AD) classification using binary biomarker cutoffs, while unsupervised machine learning offers data-driven phenotyping. The concordance between these approaches in population-representative samples remains incompletely characterized.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>To compare plasma ATN classification with data-driven clustering methods and evaluate their associations with cognitive outcomes in a nationally representative cohort.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We analyzed plasma biomarkers (Aβ42/40 ratio, p-tau181, NfL, GFAP) from 4,465 participants aged ≥51 years in the Health and Retirement Study 2016 Venous Blood Study. ATN profiles were classified using literature-based cutoffs. We applied k-means clustering, Gaussian mixture modeling, and variational autoencoder (VAE) dimensionality reduction to identify data-driven biomarker-defined subgroups. Agreement between ATN and clustering was quantified using adjusted Rand index (ARI) and normalized mutual information (NMI). Longitudinal analyses examined associations with cognitive decline over 4 years (2016-2020).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The analytic sample included 4,465 individuals (mean age 69.7±10.4 years; 58.7% female; 75.8% non-Hispanic White). ATN classification yielded 14 profiles, with A+/T-/N-(27.4%) and A-/T-/N-(22.6%) most prevalent (Figure 2). K-means clustering identified 4 optimal clusters with distinct biomarker signatures. Agreement between ATN and clusters was modest (ARI=0.119, NMI=0.113). Sensitivity analysis excluding GFAP from clustering reduced agreement substantially (ARI=0.03 vs 0.119 with GFAP, -74.5% decrease), demonstrating that GFAP accounts for most of the observed concordance between clustering and ATN classification, with only one-third arising from the shared three biomarkers.[Table S12] Additional sensitivity analyses confirmed that k=4 provides finer biomarker resolution than k=3 by retaining biomarker-extreme subgroups[Table S13], and that Cluster 4 represents a stable biological structure across distance metrics[Table S14] despite its small size. Cluster 1 (n=51, 1.2%) showed severe pathology; Cluster 3 (n=3,479, 78.6%) represented the largest and most heterogeneous group, encompassing the broad spectrum of minimal to moderate pathology across all ATN profiles; Cluster 4 (n=14, 0.3%) represented a small but stable non-AD biomarker-defined subgroup (Jaccard=0.779). The VAE revealed a localized nonlinear structure. Silhouette values in the latent space are not directly comparable to clustering silhouettes, but the VAE embedding showed clearer local separation, whereas PCA explained more variance (67.1%). Both ATN and clusters predicted 4-year cognitive decline (ATN R²=0.024, p<0.001; Clusters R²=0.019, p<0.001).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Theory-driven ATN classification and data-driven biomarker phenotypin
背景:ATN(淀粉样蛋白/Tau/神经变性)框架提供了一种理论驱动的方法,使用二元生物标志物截断来分类阿尔茨海默病(AD),而无监督机器学习提供数据驱动的表型。在具有人口代表性的样本中,这些方法之间的一致性仍然没有完全表征。目的:比较血浆ATN分类与数据驱动的聚类方法,并评估其与全国代表性队列认知结果的关系。方法:我们分析了2016年健康与退休研究静脉血研究中4,465名年龄≥51岁的参与者的血浆生物标志物(Aβ42/40比率,p-tau181, NfL, GFAP)。使用基于文献的截止值对ATN剖面进行分类。我们应用k-均值聚类、高斯混合建模和变分自编码器(VAE)降维来识别数据驱动的生物标志物表型。采用调整后的Rand指数(ARI)和归一化互信息(NMI)量化ATN与聚类之间的一致性。纵向分析研究了四年(2016-2020年)与认知能力下降的关系。结果:分析样本包括4,465例个体(平均年龄69.7±10.4岁,58.7%为女性,75.8%为非西班牙裔白人)。ATN分类有14种类型,其中A+/T-/N-(27.4%)和A-/T-/N-(22.6%)最为常见。K-means聚类鉴定出4个具有不同生物标志物特征的最佳聚类。ATN和集群之间的一致性不高(ARI=0.119, NMI=0.113)。排除GFAP聚类的敏感性分析提高了与ARI的一致性=0.187(+57%的相对增加),表明GFAP的正交生物信息约占不一致的三分之一,而二元分类与连续表型占三分之二。[表S12]额外的敏感性分析证实,通过保留极端表型,k=4比k=3提供了更好的生物分辨率,[表S13],尽管集群4的尺寸很小,但它代表了跨距离度量的稳定生物结构[表S14]。第1组(n=51, 1.2%)表现为严重病理;集群3 (n=3,479, 78.6%)代表了最大和最异质性的群体,包括所有ATN类型的轻度至中度病理的广谱;集群4 (n= 14,0.3%)表现出高度稳定性的非ad神经变性模式(Jaccard=0.779)。VAE表现为局部非线性结构,而PCA表现为较高的全局分离(剪影:PCA=0.671 vs VAE=0.564)。ATN和聚类预测4年认知能力下降(ATN r2 =0.024, p2 =0.019)。结论:理论驱动的ATN分类和数据驱动的生物标志物表型捕获部分重叠但很大程度上不同的生物信息。适度一致性(ARI=0.119)反映了三个主要因素:丢弃连续信息的二元截断点(占主导地位),GFAP的正交炎症特征(占约三分之一),以及目标生物结构的根本差异。敏感性分析证实,k=4比k=3提供了更好的生物学分辨率,罕见的集群4代表了稳定的非阿尔茨海默病表型。两种方法预测认知能力下降的效应大小适中(r2 =1.9-2.4%),与基于人群的研究一致。整合理论驱动和数据驱动的框架有望在人口研究中更全面地表征ad相关病理。
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引用次数: 0
Prenatal Alcohol Exposure and Mental Health Outcomes: A Two-Sample Mendelian Randomization Study of DNA Methylation Signatures. 产前酒精暴露和心理健康结果:DNA甲基化特征的两样本孟德尔随机研究
Pub Date : 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.64898/2026.01.30.26345158
Dailin Luo, Alexandre A Lussier

Prenatal alcohol exposure (PAE) can lead to a range of deficits falling under the umbrella of Fetal Alcohol Spectrum Disorder (FASD), which included higher risk for adverse neurodevelopmental and mental health outcomes. Although the biological mechanisms underlying the link between PAE and mental health remain unclear, DNA methylation (DNAm), an epigenetic modification responsive to environmental exposures, may explain these relationships. Here, we applied a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) framework to assess whether DNAm loci previously associated with PAE or FASD are linked to 11 psychiatric outcomes. Using summary statistics from the Genetics of DNA Methylation Consortium (GoDMC) mQTL database and large-scale GWAS, we analyzed DNAm loci from two epigenome-wide association studies: one examining FASD by Lussier et al. (2018) and one examining PAE patterns by Sharp et al. (2018). A total of 106 associations (Lussier) and 28 associations (Sharp) reached nominal significance (p<0.05) and passed sensitivity tests, with several surviving multiple testing correction. Notably, schizophrenia and bipolar disorder had the highest number of associated loci across both studies. Functional analysis showed that DNAm loci were enriched in signaling pathways, embryonic development, and neuron differentiation. Regional enrichment analysis revealed that FASD-related loci were more likely to occur in enhancer and south shore, implicating distal regulatory elements. PAE patterns conferred heterogeneous effects on DNAm and mental health risk, underscoring the complexity of timing-specific epigenetic vulnerability. These findings offer novel insights into the potential mechanism of DNAm linking PAE to mental health, and demonstrate the utility of MR in epigenetic epidemiology.

产前酒精暴露(PAE)可导致胎儿酒精谱系障碍(FASD)下的一系列缺陷,其中包括不良神经发育和心理健康结果的高风险。尽管PAE与心理健康之间联系的生物学机制尚不清楚,DNA甲基化(DNAm),一种对环境暴露反应的表观遗传修饰,可能解释了这些关系。在这里,我们应用了一个双样本孟德尔随机化(MR)框架来评估先前与PAE或FASD相关的DNAm位点是否与11种精神结局有关。利用DNA甲基化联盟遗传学(GoDMC) mQTL数据库和大规模GWAS的汇总统计数据,我们分析了两项全表观基因组关联研究中的DNAm位点:一项研究由Lussier等人(2018)研究FASD,另一项研究由Sharp等人(2018)研究PAE模式。共有106个协会(Lussier)和28个协会(Sharp)达到名义显著性(p
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引用次数: 0
Treating Vision, Not Signs: A Post-hoc Analysis Evaluating BCVA as an Early Indicator in Treat-and-Extend Management of DME. 治疗视力,而不是体征:评价BCVA作为DME治疗和扩展管理早期指标的事后分析。
Pub Date : 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.1101/2025.07.13.25331469
Aly Hamza Khowaja, Kholood Janjua, Haider Ali, Rubbia Afridi, Zoha Zahid Fazal, Mohammad Abdul Saqhlain Shaik, Mohamed Ibrahim Ahmed, Muhammad Sohail Halim, Theodore Leng, Carolyn K Pan, Quan Dong Nguyen, Yasir Jamal Sepah

Purpose: To determine whether significant changes in best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) precede or coincide with increases in central retinal thickness (CRT) in diabetic macular edema (DME) during a treat-and-extend (T&E) regimen following initial edema resolution.

Methods: This post-hoc analysis included 60 eyes (60 participants) from the READ-3 clinical trial that achieved CRT <250 µm and were followed until edema recurrence. Following a six-month ranibizumab loading phase, patients were monitored through 24 months with as-needed retreatment. Significant changes were defined as ≥4 Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study (ETDRS) letters and ≥30 µm on time-domain optical coherence tomography (TD-OCT). The temporal relationship between functional (BCVA) and anatomical (CRT) changes was analyzed.

Results: Median time to edema resolution was 10 months (IQR: 6-16) and to recurrence was 3 months (IQR: 2-3). 52 eyes (86.7%) had functional worsening and 43 (71.7%) had anatomical worsening. In 39 eyes exhibiting both types of deterioration, changes were concurrent in 24 (61.5%). Vision loss preceded anatomical recurrence (BCVA-led) in 23.1% of eyes, with a lead time of 1-4 months. Conversely, anatomical thickening preceded vision loss (OCT-led) in 15.4% of eyes, by a maximum of 2 months.

Conclusions: BCVA fluctuations frequently mirror CRT changes and can precede structural relapse, suggesting that BCVA is a sensitive indicator of DME activity. In resource-limited settings, BCVA may allow for earlier detection of recurrence than OCT alone.

Translational relevance: Functional vision loss can precede structural edema recurrence, supporting the potential for home-based BCVA monitoring as a validated bridge for timely clinical intervention in DME.

目的:确定糖尿病黄斑水肿(DME)患者在初始水肿消退后的治疗延长(T&E)方案中,最佳矫正视力(BCVA)的显著变化是否先于或与中央视网膜厚度(CRT)的增加同时发生。方法:这项事后分析包括来自READ-3临床试验的60只眼睛(60名参与者),达到CRT结果:水肿消退的中位时间为10个月(IQR: 6-16),复发的中位时间为3个月(IQR: 2-3)。功能恶化52眼(86.7%),解剖恶化43眼(71.7%)。在39只同时表现两种恶化的眼睛中,24只(61.5%)同时发生变化。23.1%的眼睛视力丧失先于解剖性复发(bcva导致),提前期为1-4个月。相反,在15.4%的眼睛中,解剖增厚先于视力丧失(oct引导),最多2个月。结论:BCVA波动频繁反映CRT变化,可预示结构性复发,提示BCVA是DME活性的敏感指标。在资源有限的情况下,BCVA可能比单纯OCT更早发现复发。翻译相关性:功能性视力丧失可先于结构性水肿复发,支持家庭BCVA监测作为及时临床干预DME的有效桥梁的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Viral shedding and symptom severity across populations during acute COVID in the ACTIV-2 study. ACTIV-2研究中急性COVID期间人群中的病毒脱落和症状严重程度
Pub Date : 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.64898/2026.01.31.26345293
Evelyn Kung, Rinki Deo, Manish C Choudhary, Kara W Chew, Teresa H Evering, Rachel Bender Ignacio, Prasanna Jagannathan, James P Flynn, James Regan, Carlee Moser, Mark J Giganti, Michael D Hughes, Justin Ritz, Arzhang Cyrus Javan, Alexander L Greninger, Upinder Singh, William Fischer, Eric S Daar, David A Wohl, Joseph J Eron, Judith S Currier, Robert W Coombs, Davey M Smith, Jonathan Z Li

To evaluate the impact of sex on acute SARS-CoV-2 infection, 668 participants from the ACTIV-2/A5401 study were followed over a 28-day period. A primary analysis was performed on the 469 participants who had quantifiable viral loads at baseline. Male and female participants had comparable nasal SARS-CoV-2 RNA levels at study entry and throughout follow-up. However, sex-specific differences in viral shedding emerged when stratified by duration of symptoms. In the first three days from symptom onset, female participants exhibited higher nasal SARS-CoV-2 RNA levels than males, but lower viral RNA levels thereafter. The higher viral RNA levels in females during the earliest phase of acute COVID-19 was seen even after adjusting for age, race and region of enrollment. Female participants also tended to have higher symptom scores across days since symptom onset but no significant correlation was observed between nasal SARS-CoV-2 RNA levels and symptom score regardless of sex. These findings highlight the impact of sex on both viral shedding and symptom dynamics and underscore the importance of considering time since symptom onset when evaluating respiratory virus antiviral therapies in clinical trials.

为了评估性别对急性SARS-CoV-2感染的影响,对来自ACTIV-2/A5401研究的668名参与者进行了为期28天的随访。对469名在基线时具有可量化病毒载量的参与者进行了初步分析。男性和女性参与者在研究开始时和整个随访期间的鼻腔SARS-CoV-2 RNA水平相当。然而,当按症状持续时间分层时,病毒脱落的性别特异性差异出现了。在症状出现后的前三天,女性参与者的鼻腔SARS-CoV-2 RNA水平高于男性,但此后病毒RNA水平较低。即使在调整了年龄、种族和入组地区后,在急性COVID-19的早期阶段,女性体内的病毒RNA水平也较高。女性参与者在症状出现后的几天内也往往有更高的症状评分,但无论性别如何,鼻腔SARS-CoV-2 RNA水平与症状评分之间均未观察到显著相关性。这些发现强调了性别对病毒脱落和症状动态的影响,并强调了在临床试验中评估呼吸道病毒抗病毒治疗时考虑症状出现时间的重要性。
{"title":"Viral shedding and symptom severity across populations during acute COVID in the ACTIV-2 study.","authors":"Evelyn Kung, Rinki Deo, Manish C Choudhary, Kara W Chew, Teresa H Evering, Rachel Bender Ignacio, Prasanna Jagannathan, James P Flynn, James Regan, Carlee Moser, Mark J Giganti, Michael D Hughes, Justin Ritz, Arzhang Cyrus Javan, Alexander L Greninger, Upinder Singh, William Fischer, Eric S Daar, David A Wohl, Joseph J Eron, Judith S Currier, Robert W Coombs, Davey M Smith, Jonathan Z Li","doi":"10.64898/2026.01.31.26345293","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.01.31.26345293","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>To evaluate the impact of sex on acute SARS-CoV-2 infection, 668 participants from the ACTIV-2/A5401 study were followed over a 28-day period. A primary analysis was performed on the 469 participants who had quantifiable viral loads at baseline. Male and female participants had comparable nasal SARS-CoV-2 RNA levels at study entry and throughout follow-up. However, sex-specific differences in viral shedding emerged when stratified by duration of symptoms. In the first three days from symptom onset, female participants exhibited higher nasal SARS-CoV-2 RNA levels than males, but lower viral RNA levels thereafter. The higher viral RNA levels in females during the earliest phase of acute COVID-19 was seen even after adjusting for age, race and region of enrollment. Female participants also tended to have higher symptom scores across days since symptom onset but no significant correlation was observed between nasal SARS-CoV-2 RNA levels and symptom score regardless of sex. These findings highlight the impact of sex on both viral shedding and symptom dynamics and underscore the importance of considering time since symptom onset when evaluating respiratory virus antiviral therapies in clinical trials.</p>","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12889752/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146168404","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Reclassification and Weighting of Multiple Causes of Death: US Death Certificates 2003-2023. 多重死亡原因的重新分类和加权:2003-2023年美国死亡证明。
Pub Date : 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.64898/2026.01.31.26345264
Michael Levitt, Ben Marten, Gal Oren, John P A Ioannidis

In death certificates Entity Axis reflects reported death causes in their original order, and Record Axis reflects standardized re-classifications processed with expert rules. Additionally, while conventional mortality statistics consider a single underlying cause ignoring multiple contributing conditions, weighting schemes may consider all listed causes. We evaluated the impact of re-classification and weighting schemes across all 56,986,831 US death certificates from 2003-2023. ICD-10 codes were mapped to 14 broad disease categories. We recorded the frequency of changes and concordance in reported underlying cause of death between Entity and Record Axes. We considered weighting schemes for attributing mortality burden with Record Axis data: W1 (50% weight to underlying cause, 50% distributed equally among contributing causes), W2 (equal weighting across all causes) and W2A (equal weighting across all causes at ICD-10 level). Entity and Record Axes agreed on underlying cause category in 84.8% and on specific ICD-10 code in 68.9%. Reclassification from Entity Axis to Record Axis markedly increased COVID-19 (+92%) and Transport (+44%) and markedly decreased deaths from Other External Causes (-54%). Weighting schemes substantially altered death burden attribution: e.g. they reduced COVID-19 (-44-63%) and Falls (-46-66%), and changes tended to be more prominent with W2 and W2A than with W1 weighting. Weighting brought death counts per disease category closer to the Entity Axis. Weighting also restored Respiratory seasonality patterns. Systematic differences between reported and re-classified causes of death and weighting schemes for multiple causes profoundly change some disease burden estimates with major implications for resource allocation and public health priorities.

Significance statement: Standardized re-classification processes using expert rules recast the selected causes of death in many death certificates. Moreover, vital statistics typically isolate a single underlying cause, while for many deaths multiple causes jointly lead to demise. Analysis of ∼57 million deaths in the USA (2003-2023) shows that a large proportion of deaths are re-classified by expert rules to different causes than those filled by original certifiers. Analyses that give weight not only the recorded underlying cause but also the other listed causes lead to markedly different estimates of deaths from several diseases. For example, the footprint of COVID-19 fatalities during the pandemic years decreases by 44-63%. Re-classification and weighting schemes may have profound impact on disease burden estimates and policy decisions.

在死亡证明中,实体轴反映按原始顺序报告的死亡原因,记录轴反映按专家规则处理的标准化重新分类。此外,虽然传统的死亡率统计只考虑一个潜在原因,而忽略了多种因素,但加权方案可能考虑所有列出的原因。我们评估了重新分类和加权方案对2003-2023年间所有56,986,831份美国死亡证明的影响。ICD-10代码被映射到14个广泛的疾病类别。我们记录了实体轴和记录轴之间报告的潜在死亡原因的变化频率和一致性。我们考虑了用记录轴数据归因死亡负担的加权方案:W1(50%的权重归于潜在原因,50%的权重在贡献原因中平均分配),W2(所有原因的相同权重)和W2A(在ICD-10水平上所有原因的相同权重)。实体和记录轴在根本原因类别上达成一致的占84.8%,在具体的ICD-10代码上达成一致的占68.9%。从实体轴到记录轴的重新分类显着增加了COVID-19(+92%)和运输(+44%),并显着降低了其他外部原因导致的死亡(-54%)。加权方案大大改变了死亡负担归因:例如,它们减少了COVID-19(-44-63%)和Falls(-46-66%),并且W2和W2A的变化往往比W1加权更突出。加权使每个疾病类别的死亡人数更接近实体轴。加权也恢复了呼吸的季节性模式。报告的死亡原因和重新分类的死亡原因之间的系统差异以及多原因加权方案深刻地改变了一些疾病负担估计,对资源分配和公共卫生优先事项产生重大影响。意义说明:使用专家规则的标准化重新分类过程在许多死亡证明中重新确定了选定的死亡原因。此外,人口动态统计通常会孤立出单一的根本原因,而对于许多死亡来说,多种原因共同导致死亡。对美国(2003-2023年)约5700万例死亡的分析表明,根据专家规则,很大一部分死亡被重新分类为不同的原因,而不是由原始证明者填写的原因。由于分析不仅重视记录的根本原因,而且重视其他列出的原因,因此对几种疾病造成的死亡的估计有明显不同。例如,在大流行期间,COVID-19死亡人数减少了44-63%。重新分类和加权方案可能对疾病负担估计和政策决定产生深远影响。
{"title":"Reclassification and Weighting of Multiple Causes of Death: US Death Certificates 2003-2023.","authors":"Michael Levitt, Ben Marten, Gal Oren, John P A Ioannidis","doi":"10.64898/2026.01.31.26345264","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.01.31.26345264","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In death certificates Entity Axis reflects reported death causes in their original order, and Record Axis reflects standardized re-classifications processed with expert rules. Additionally, while conventional mortality statistics consider a single underlying cause ignoring multiple contributing conditions, weighting schemes may consider all listed causes. We evaluated the impact of re-classification and weighting schemes across all 56,986,831 US death certificates from 2003-2023. ICD-10 codes were mapped to 14 broad disease categories. We recorded the frequency of changes and concordance in reported underlying cause of death between Entity and Record Axes. We considered weighting schemes for attributing mortality burden with Record Axis data: W1 (50% weight to underlying cause, 50% distributed equally among contributing causes), W2 (equal weighting across all causes) and W2A (equal weighting across all causes at ICD-10 level). Entity and Record Axes agreed on underlying cause category in 84.8% and on specific ICD-10 code in 68.9%. Reclassification from Entity Axis to Record Axis markedly increased COVID-19 (+92%) and Transport (+44%) and markedly decreased deaths from Other External Causes (-54%). Weighting schemes substantially altered death burden attribution: e.g. they reduced COVID-19 (-44-63%) and Falls (-46-66%), and changes tended to be more prominent with W2 and W2A than with W1 weighting. Weighting brought death counts per disease category closer to the Entity Axis. Weighting also restored Respiratory seasonality patterns. Systematic differences between reported and re-classified causes of death and weighting schemes for multiple causes profoundly change some disease burden estimates with major implications for resource allocation and public health priorities.</p><p><strong>Significance statement: </strong>Standardized re-classification processes using expert rules recast the selected causes of death in many death certificates. Moreover, vital statistics typically isolate a single underlying cause, while for many deaths multiple causes jointly lead to demise. Analysis of ∼57 million deaths in the USA (2003-2023) shows that a large proportion of deaths are re-classified by expert rules to different causes than those filled by original certifiers. Analyses that give weight not only the recorded underlying cause but also the other listed causes lead to markedly different estimates of deaths from several diseases. For example, the footprint of COVID-19 fatalities during the pandemic years decreases by 44-63%. Re-classification and weighting schemes may have profound impact on disease burden estimates and policy decisions.</p>","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12889793/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146168662","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prediction of Mutations and Outcome in Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumors with Deep Learning: A Multicenter, Multinational Study. 用深度学习预测胃肠道间质瘤的突变和预后:一项多中心、多国研究。
Pub Date : 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.64898/2026.02.02.26345350
A Bonetti, V L Le, Z I Carrero, F Wolf, M Gustav, S W Lam, L Vanhersecke, P Sobczuk, F Le Loarer, M Lenarcik, P Rutkowski, J M van Sabben, N Steeghs, H van Boven, I Machado, S Bagué, S Navarro, E Medina-Ceballos, C Agra, F Giner, G Tapia, A Hernández-Gallego, G Civantos Jubera, M Cuatrecasas, S Lopez-Prades, R E Perret, I Soubeyran, E Khalifa, L Blouin, E Wardelmann, A Meurgey, P Collini, A Voloshin, Y Yatabe, H Hirano, A Gronchi, T Nishida, O Bouché, J F Emile, C Ngo, P Hohenberger, C Cotarelo, J Jakob, J V M G Bovee, H Gelderblom, A Szumera-Cieckiewicz, M Jean-Denis, J Bollard, N Lassau, A Lecesne, J Y Blay, A Italiano, A Crombé, J M Coindre, J N Kather

Background: Gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST) is the most common gastrointestinal mesenchymal tumor, driven by tyrosine-protein kinase KIT and platelet-derived growth factor receptor A (PDGFRA) mutations. Specific variants, such as KIT exon 11 deletions, carry prognostic and therapeutic implications, whereas wild-type (WT) variants derive limited benefit from tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs). Given the limited reproducibility of established clinicopathological risk models, deep learning (DL) applied to whole-slide images (WSIs) emerged as a promising tool for molecular classification and prognostic assessment.

Patients and methods: We analyzed 8398 GIST cases from 21 centers in 7 countries, including 7238 with molecular data and 2638 with clinical follow-up. DL models were trained on WSIs to predict mutations, treatment sensitivity, and recurrence-free survival (RFS).

Results: DL predicted mutational status in GIST from WSIs, with area under the curve (AUC) of 0.87 for KIT , 0.96 for PDGFRA . High performance was observed for subtypes, including KIT exon 11 delinss 557-558 (0.67) and PDGFRA exon 18 D842V (0.93). For therapeutic categories, performance reached 0.84 for avapritinib sensitivity, 0.81 for imatinib sensitivity. DL models predicted RFS, with hazard-ratios (HR) of 8.44 (95%CI 6.14-11.61) in the overall cohort and 4.74 (95%CI 3.34-6.74) in patients receiving adjuvant therapy. Prognostic performance was comparable to pathology-based scores, with highest discrimination in the overall cohort and in patients without adjuvant therapy (9.44, 95%CI (5.87-15.20)).

Conclusion: DL applied to WSIs enables prediction of molecular alterations, treatment sensitivity, and RFS in GIST, performing comparably to established risk scores across international cohorts, providing a baseline for future multimodal predictors.

Highlights: Deep learning on histology predicts KIT and PDGFRA mutations in a large international cohort of GISTs from multiple centers Whole-slide image models stratify recurrence-free survival comparable to pathology-based risk scores Prognostic value of deep learning is preserved in adjuvant therapy subgroups, supporting treatment duration decisions.

背景:胃肠道间质瘤(GIST)是由酪氨酸蛋白激酶KIT和血小板衍生生长因子受体A (PDGFRA)突变驱动的最常见的胃肠道间质肿瘤。特定变体,如KIT外显子11缺失,具有预后和治疗意义,而野生型(WT)变体从酪氨酸激酶抑制剂(TKIs)中获得的益处有限。鉴于已建立的临床病理风险模型的可重复性有限,将深度学习(DL)应用于全切片图像(wsi)成为分子分类和预后评估的有前途的工具。患者和方法:我们分析了来自7个国家21个中心的8398例GIST病例,其中7238例有分子数据,2638例有临床随访。DL模型在wsi上进行训练,以预测突变、治疗敏感性和无复发生存(RFS)。结果:DL预测wsi中GIST的突变状态,KIT的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.87,PDGFRA为0.96。对KIT外显子11缺失557-558(0.67)和PDGFRA外显子18缺失D842V(0.93)等亚型进行高效检测。对于治疗类别,阿伐替尼敏感性达到0.84,伊马替尼敏感性达到0.81。DL模型预测RFS,整个队列的风险比(HR)为8.44 (95%CI 6.14-11.61),接受辅助治疗的患者的风险比(HR)为4.74 (95%CI 3.34-6.74)。预后表现与基于病理的评分相当,在整个队列和未接受辅助治疗的患者中具有最高的歧视(9.44,95%CI(5.87-15.20))。结论:将DL应用于wsi可以预测GIST的分子改变、治疗敏感性和RFS,与国际队列中已建立的风险评分相当,为未来的多模式预测提供了基线。亮点:在来自多个中心的大型国际gist队列中,组织学上的深度学习预测KIT和PDGFRA突变,全切片图像模型分层无复发生存与基于病理的风险评分相当,深度学习的预后价值在辅助治疗亚组中保持不变,支持治疗持续时间的决定。
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引用次数: 0
Proteomic Immune Signatures of Severe HIV-Associated Tuberculosis in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Prospective, Multicenter Analysis from Uganda. 撒哈拉以南非洲地区严重hiv相关结核病的蛋白质组免疫特征:来自乌干达的前瞻性多中心分析
Pub Date : 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.64898/2025.12.31.25343299
Jesse E Ross, Alin S Tomoiaga, Nicholas Owor, Xuan Lu, Joseph Shinyale, Tonny Kiyingi, Ignatius Asasira, Peter James Eliku, John Bosco Nsubuga, Christopher Nsereko, Irene Nayiga, Stephen Kyebambe, Thomas Ochar, Moses Kiwubeyi, Rittah Nankwanga, Kai Nie, Hui Xie, Sam Miake-Lye, Bryan Villagomez, Jingjing Qi, Steven J Reynolds, Martina Cathy Nakibuuka, John Kayiwa, Mercy Haumba, Joweria Nakaseegu, Xiaoyu Che, Risa Hoffman, John A Belperio, Julius J Lutwama, Seunghee Kim-Schulze, Max R O'Donnell, Barnabas Bakamutumaho, Matthew J Cummings
<p><strong>Objective: </strong>Severe tuberculosis (TB) is a major cause of critical illness and death in people living with HIV (PLWH) worldwide. Despite this, the immunopathology of severe HIV-associated TB (HIV/TB) is poorly understood. We aimed to identify an immunopathologic signature of severe HIV/TB in sub-Saharan Africa.</p><p><strong>Design and setting: </strong>We analyzed proteomic data from two prospective observational cohorts of adults hospitalized with severe undifferentiated infection in Uganda: an urban discovery cohort (Entebbe, N=241) and a rural validation cohort (Tororo, N=253).</p><p><strong>Patients: </strong>Adults (age ≥18 years) hospitalized with severe febrile illness.</p><p><strong>Interventions: </strong>None.</p><p><strong>Measurements and main results: </strong>Across both cohorts, severe HIV-associated TB was common, affecting 18% of participants in the discovery cohort and 21% in the validation cohort. Overall mortality was significant (30-day mortality of 22% in the discovery cohort & 60-day mortality of 26% in the validation cohort). Participants were stratified into three HIV/TB phenotypes: HIV-negative without TB, PLWH without TB, and PLWH with microbiologically diagnosed TB. We applied ordinal random forest models in the discovery cohort to identify proteins strongly predictive of progressive HIV/TB phenotype. In both cohorts, PLWH with microbiologically diagnosed TB were at highest risk of critical illness and death (30-day mortality of 42% in the discovery cohort & 60-day mortality of 52% in the validation cohort). An eight-protein signature reliably distinguished this phenotype, reflecting mediators of macrophage/dendritic cell activation (LAMP3), NK- and T-cell stimulation and cytotoxicity (CD70, CRTAM), B-cell activation (IGLC2), protease-mediated tissue injury (PRSS2), dysregulated coagulation (SERPINA5), extracellular matrix remodeling (EFEMP1), and GH/IGF axis dysregulation (IGFBP3).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>We identified an immunologic signature of severe HIV-associated TB defined by mediators of macrophage/dendritic cell and cytotoxic lymphocyte activation, extracellular matrix remodeling, and dysregulated coagulation. These findings offer new insight into HIV/TB pathobiology and highlight potential targets for host-directed therapies in this high-risk population.</p><p><strong>Key points: </strong><b>Question:</b> What host-response patterns characterize severe HIV-associated tuberculosis among adults hospitalized with severe febrile illness in sub-Saharan Africa?<b>Findings:</b> In two prospective cohorts of adults hospitalized with severe febrile illness in Uganda, severe HIV-associated tuberculosis accounted for 18-21% of cases and was associated with higher rates of physiological instability and mortality. An eight-protein host-response signature reproducibly distinguished this high-risk phenotype, reflecting immune activation, tissue injury, extracellular matrix remodeling, and dysr
目的:重症结核病(TB)是世界范围内HIV感染者(PLWH)重症和死亡的主要原因。尽管如此,对严重艾滋病毒相关结核病(HIV/TB)的免疫病理学了解甚少。我们的目的是确定撒哈拉以南非洲地区严重艾滋病毒/结核病的免疫病理学特征。设计和环境:我们分析了来自乌干达两个前瞻性观察队列的严重未分化感染住院成人的蛋白质组学数据:城市发现队列(恩德培,N=241)和农村验证队列(托罗罗,N=253)。患者:成人(≥18岁)重症发热性疾病住院。干预措施:没有。测量和主要结果:在两个队列中,严重的hiv相关结核病很常见,影响了发现队列中18%的参与者和验证队列中21%的参与者。总体死亡率显著(发现组30天死亡率为22%,验证组60天死亡率为26%)。参与者被分为三种HIV/TB表型:HIV阴性无TB, PLWH无TB和PLWH伴微生物诊断结核病。我们在发现队列中应用了有序随机森林模型来识别强烈预测进行性HIV/TB表型的蛋白质。在这两个队列中,微生物诊断为结核病的PLWH发生危重疾病和死亡的风险最高(发现队列中30天死亡率为42%,验证队列中60天死亡率为52%)。8蛋白特征可靠地区分了这种表型,反映了巨噬细胞/树突状细胞活化(LAMP3)、NK细胞和t细胞刺激和细胞毒性(CD70, CRTAM)、b细胞活化(IGLC2)、蛋白酶介导的组织损伤(PRSS2)、凝血失调(SERPINA5)、细胞外基质重塑(EFEMP1)和GH/IGF轴失调(IGFBP3)的介质。结论:我们确定了由巨噬细胞/树突状细胞和细胞毒性淋巴细胞活化、细胞外基质重塑和凝血失调等介质定义的严重hiv相关结核病的免疫学特征。这些发现为HIV/TB病理生物学提供了新的见解,并突出了在这一高危人群中进行宿主定向治疗的潜在靶点。问题:在撒哈拉以南非洲因严重发热性疾病住院的成人中,哪些宿主反应模式是严重艾滋病毒相关结核病的特征?研究结果:在乌干达两个因严重发热性疾病住院的成人前瞻性队列中,严重艾滋病毒相关结核病占病例的18-21%,并与较高的生理不稳定性和死亡率相关。8蛋白宿主反应特征可重复区分这种高风险表型,反映免疫激活、组织损伤、细胞外基质重塑和凝血失调。意义:严重的艾滋病毒相关性结核病与一种独特的高风险临床表型相关,其特征是可重复的宿主反应模式,这可能为风险分层和宿主导向的治疗策略提供信息。
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medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
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