Pub Date : 2026-02-03DOI: 10.1101/2025.07.13.25331469
Aly Hamza Khowaja, Kholood Janjua, Haider Ali, Rubbia Afridi, Zoha Zahid Fazal, Mohammad Abdul Saqhlain Shaik, Mohamed Ibrahim Ahmed, Muhammad Sohail Halim, Theodore Leng, Carolyn K Pan, Quan Dong Nguyen, Yasir Jamal Sepah
Purpose: To determine whether significant changes in best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) precede or coincide with increases in central retinal thickness (CRT) in diabetic macular edema (DME) during a treat-and-extend (T&E) regimen following initial edema resolution.
Methods: This post-hoc analysis included 60 eyes (60 participants) from the READ-3 clinical trial that achieved CRT <250 µm and were followed until edema recurrence. Following a six-month ranibizumab loading phase, patients were monitored through 24 months with as-needed retreatment. Significant changes were defined as ≥4 Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study (ETDRS) letters and ≥30 µm on time-domain optical coherence tomography (TD-OCT). The temporal relationship between functional (BCVA) and anatomical (CRT) changes was analyzed.
Results: Median time to edema resolution was 10 months (IQR: 6-16) and to recurrence was 3 months (IQR: 2-3). 52 eyes (86.7%) had functional worsening and 43 (71.7%) had anatomical worsening. In 39 eyes exhibiting both types of deterioration, changes were concurrent in 24 (61.5%). Vision loss preceded anatomical recurrence (BCVA-led) in 23.1% of eyes, with a lead time of 1-4 months. Conversely, anatomical thickening preceded vision loss (OCT-led) in 15.4% of eyes, by a maximum of 2 months.
Conclusions: BCVA fluctuations frequently mirror CRT changes and can precede structural relapse, suggesting that BCVA is a sensitive indicator of DME activity. In resource-limited settings, BCVA may allow for earlier detection of recurrence than OCT alone.
Translational relevance: Functional vision loss can precede structural edema recurrence, supporting the potential for home-based BCVA monitoring as a validated bridge for timely clinical intervention in DME.
{"title":"Treating Vision, Not Signs: A Post-hoc Analysis Evaluating BCVA as an Early Indicator in Treat-and-Extend Management of DME.","authors":"Aly Hamza Khowaja, Kholood Janjua, Haider Ali, Rubbia Afridi, Zoha Zahid Fazal, Mohammad Abdul Saqhlain Shaik, Mohamed Ibrahim Ahmed, Muhammad Sohail Halim, Theodore Leng, Carolyn K Pan, Quan Dong Nguyen, Yasir Jamal Sepah","doi":"10.1101/2025.07.13.25331469","DOIUrl":"10.1101/2025.07.13.25331469","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Purpose: </strong>To determine whether significant changes in best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) precede or coincide with increases in central retinal thickness (CRT) in diabetic macular edema (DME) during a treat-and-extend (T&E) regimen following initial edema resolution.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This post-hoc analysis included 60 eyes (60 participants) from the READ-3 clinical trial that achieved CRT <250 µm and were followed until edema recurrence. Following a six-month ranibizumab loading phase, patients were monitored through 24 months with as-needed retreatment. Significant changes were defined as ≥4 Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study (ETDRS) letters and ≥30 µm on time-domain optical coherence tomography (TD-OCT). The temporal relationship between functional (BCVA) and anatomical (CRT) changes was analyzed.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Median time to edema resolution was 10 months (IQR: 6-16) and to recurrence was 3 months (IQR: 2-3). 52 eyes (86.7%) had functional worsening and 43 (71.7%) had anatomical worsening. In 39 eyes exhibiting both types of deterioration, changes were concurrent in 24 (61.5%). Vision loss preceded anatomical recurrence (BCVA-led) in 23.1% of eyes, with a lead time of 1-4 months. Conversely, anatomical thickening preceded vision loss (OCT-led) in 15.4% of eyes, by a maximum of 2 months.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>BCVA fluctuations frequently mirror CRT changes and can precede structural relapse, suggesting that BCVA is a sensitive indicator of DME activity. In resource-limited settings, BCVA may allow for earlier detection of recurrence than OCT alone.</p><p><strong>Translational relevance: </strong>Functional vision loss can precede structural edema recurrence, supporting the potential for home-based BCVA monitoring as a validated bridge for timely clinical intervention in DME.</p>","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12893064/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146184083","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-03DOI: 10.64898/2026.01.31.26345293
Evelyn Kung, Rinki Deo, Manish C Choudhary, Kara W Chew, Teresa H Evering, Rachel Bender Ignacio, Prasanna Jagannathan, James P Flynn, James Regan, Carlee Moser, Mark J Giganti, Michael D Hughes, Justin Ritz, Arzhang Cyrus Javan, Alexander L Greninger, Upinder Singh, William Fischer, Eric S Daar, David A Wohl, Joseph J Eron, Judith S Currier, Robert W Coombs, Davey M Smith, Jonathan Z Li
To evaluate the impact of sex on acute SARS-CoV-2 infection, 668 participants from the ACTIV-2/A5401 study were followed over a 28-day period. A primary analysis was performed on the 469 participants who had quantifiable viral loads at baseline. Male and female participants had comparable nasal SARS-CoV-2 RNA levels at study entry and throughout follow-up. However, sex-specific differences in viral shedding emerged when stratified by duration of symptoms. In the first three days from symptom onset, female participants exhibited higher nasal SARS-CoV-2 RNA levels than males, but lower viral RNA levels thereafter. The higher viral RNA levels in females during the earliest phase of acute COVID-19 was seen even after adjusting for age, race and region of enrollment. Female participants also tended to have higher symptom scores across days since symptom onset but no significant correlation was observed between nasal SARS-CoV-2 RNA levels and symptom score regardless of sex. These findings highlight the impact of sex on both viral shedding and symptom dynamics and underscore the importance of considering time since symptom onset when evaluating respiratory virus antiviral therapies in clinical trials.
{"title":"Viral shedding and symptom severity across populations during acute COVID in the ACTIV-2 study.","authors":"Evelyn Kung, Rinki Deo, Manish C Choudhary, Kara W Chew, Teresa H Evering, Rachel Bender Ignacio, Prasanna Jagannathan, James P Flynn, James Regan, Carlee Moser, Mark J Giganti, Michael D Hughes, Justin Ritz, Arzhang Cyrus Javan, Alexander L Greninger, Upinder Singh, William Fischer, Eric S Daar, David A Wohl, Joseph J Eron, Judith S Currier, Robert W Coombs, Davey M Smith, Jonathan Z Li","doi":"10.64898/2026.01.31.26345293","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.01.31.26345293","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>To evaluate the impact of sex on acute SARS-CoV-2 infection, 668 participants from the ACTIV-2/A5401 study were followed over a 28-day period. A primary analysis was performed on the 469 participants who had quantifiable viral loads at baseline. Male and female participants had comparable nasal SARS-CoV-2 RNA levels at study entry and throughout follow-up. However, sex-specific differences in viral shedding emerged when stratified by duration of symptoms. In the first three days from symptom onset, female participants exhibited higher nasal SARS-CoV-2 RNA levels than males, but lower viral RNA levels thereafter. The higher viral RNA levels in females during the earliest phase of acute COVID-19 was seen even after adjusting for age, race and region of enrollment. Female participants also tended to have higher symptom scores across days since symptom onset but no significant correlation was observed between nasal SARS-CoV-2 RNA levels and symptom score regardless of sex. These findings highlight the impact of sex on both viral shedding and symptom dynamics and underscore the importance of considering time since symptom onset when evaluating respiratory virus antiviral therapies in clinical trials.</p>","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12889752/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146168404","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-03DOI: 10.64898/2026.01.31.26345264
Michael Levitt, Ben Marten, Gal Oren, John P A Ioannidis
In death certificates Entity Axis reflects reported death causes in their original order, and Record Axis reflects standardized re-classifications processed with expert rules. Additionally, while conventional mortality statistics consider a single underlying cause ignoring multiple contributing conditions, weighting schemes may consider all listed causes. We evaluated the impact of re-classification and weighting schemes across all 56,986,831 US death certificates from 2003-2023. ICD-10 codes were mapped to 14 broad disease categories. We recorded the frequency of changes and concordance in reported underlying cause of death between Entity and Record Axes. We considered weighting schemes for attributing mortality burden with Record Axis data: W1 (50% weight to underlying cause, 50% distributed equally among contributing causes), W2 (equal weighting across all causes) and W2A (equal weighting across all causes at ICD-10 level). Entity and Record Axes agreed on underlying cause category in 84.8% and on specific ICD-10 code in 68.9%. Reclassification from Entity Axis to Record Axis markedly increased COVID-19 (+92%) and Transport (+44%) and markedly decreased deaths from Other External Causes (-54%). Weighting schemes substantially altered death burden attribution: e.g. they reduced COVID-19 (-44-63%) and Falls (-46-66%), and changes tended to be more prominent with W2 and W2A than with W1 weighting. Weighting brought death counts per disease category closer to the Entity Axis. Weighting also restored Respiratory seasonality patterns. Systematic differences between reported and re-classified causes of death and weighting schemes for multiple causes profoundly change some disease burden estimates with major implications for resource allocation and public health priorities.
Significance statement: Standardized re-classification processes using expert rules recast the selected causes of death in many death certificates. Moreover, vital statistics typically isolate a single underlying cause, while for many deaths multiple causes jointly lead to demise. Analysis of ∼57 million deaths in the USA (2003-2023) shows that a large proportion of deaths are re-classified by expert rules to different causes than those filled by original certifiers. Analyses that give weight not only the recorded underlying cause but also the other listed causes lead to markedly different estimates of deaths from several diseases. For example, the footprint of COVID-19 fatalities during the pandemic years decreases by 44-63%. Re-classification and weighting schemes may have profound impact on disease burden estimates and policy decisions.
{"title":"Reclassification and Weighting of Multiple Causes of Death: US Death Certificates 2003-2023.","authors":"Michael Levitt, Ben Marten, Gal Oren, John P A Ioannidis","doi":"10.64898/2026.01.31.26345264","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.01.31.26345264","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In death certificates Entity Axis reflects reported death causes in their original order, and Record Axis reflects standardized re-classifications processed with expert rules. Additionally, while conventional mortality statistics consider a single underlying cause ignoring multiple contributing conditions, weighting schemes may consider all listed causes. We evaluated the impact of re-classification and weighting schemes across all 56,986,831 US death certificates from 2003-2023. ICD-10 codes were mapped to 14 broad disease categories. We recorded the frequency of changes and concordance in reported underlying cause of death between Entity and Record Axes. We considered weighting schemes for attributing mortality burden with Record Axis data: W1 (50% weight to underlying cause, 50% distributed equally among contributing causes), W2 (equal weighting across all causes) and W2A (equal weighting across all causes at ICD-10 level). Entity and Record Axes agreed on underlying cause category in 84.8% and on specific ICD-10 code in 68.9%. Reclassification from Entity Axis to Record Axis markedly increased COVID-19 (+92%) and Transport (+44%) and markedly decreased deaths from Other External Causes (-54%). Weighting schemes substantially altered death burden attribution: e.g. they reduced COVID-19 (-44-63%) and Falls (-46-66%), and changes tended to be more prominent with W2 and W2A than with W1 weighting. Weighting brought death counts per disease category closer to the Entity Axis. Weighting also restored Respiratory seasonality patterns. Systematic differences between reported and re-classified causes of death and weighting schemes for multiple causes profoundly change some disease burden estimates with major implications for resource allocation and public health priorities.</p><p><strong>Significance statement: </strong>Standardized re-classification processes using expert rules recast the selected causes of death in many death certificates. Moreover, vital statistics typically isolate a single underlying cause, while for many deaths multiple causes jointly lead to demise. Analysis of ∼57 million deaths in the USA (2003-2023) shows that a large proportion of deaths are re-classified by expert rules to different causes than those filled by original certifiers. Analyses that give weight not only the recorded underlying cause but also the other listed causes lead to markedly different estimates of deaths from several diseases. For example, the footprint of COVID-19 fatalities during the pandemic years decreases by 44-63%. Re-classification and weighting schemes may have profound impact on disease burden estimates and policy decisions.</p>","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12889793/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146168662","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-03DOI: 10.64898/2026.02.02.26345350
A Bonetti, V L Le, Z I Carrero, F Wolf, M Gustav, S W Lam, L Vanhersecke, P Sobczuk, F Le Loarer, M Lenarcik, P Rutkowski, J M van Sabben, N Steeghs, H van Boven, I Machado, S Bagué, S Navarro, E Medina-Ceballos, C Agra, F Giner, G Tapia, A Hernández-Gallego, G Civantos Jubera, M Cuatrecasas, S Lopez-Prades, R E Perret, I Soubeyran, E Khalifa, L Blouin, E Wardelmann, A Meurgey, P Collini, A Voloshin, Y Yatabe, H Hirano, A Gronchi, T Nishida, O Bouché, J F Emile, C Ngo, P Hohenberger, C Cotarelo, J Jakob, J V M G Bovee, H Gelderblom, A Szumera-Cieckiewicz, M Jean-Denis, J Bollard, N Lassau, A Lecesne, J Y Blay, A Italiano, A Crombé, J M Coindre, J N Kather
Background: Gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST) is the most common gastrointestinal mesenchymal tumor, driven by tyrosine-protein kinase KIT and platelet-derived growth factor receptor A (PDGFRA) mutations. Specific variants, such as KIT exon 11 deletions, carry prognostic and therapeutic implications, whereas wild-type (WT) variants derive limited benefit from tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs). Given the limited reproducibility of established clinicopathological risk models, deep learning (DL) applied to whole-slide images (WSIs) emerged as a promising tool for molecular classification and prognostic assessment.
Patients and methods: We analyzed 8398 GIST cases from 21 centers in 7 countries, including 7238 with molecular data and 2638 with clinical follow-up. DL models were trained on WSIs to predict mutations, treatment sensitivity, and recurrence-free survival (RFS).
Results: DL predicted mutational status in GIST from WSIs, with area under the curve (AUC) of 0.87 for KIT , 0.96 for PDGFRA . High performance was observed for subtypes, including KIT exon 11 delinss 557-558 (0.67) and PDGFRA exon 18 D842V (0.93). For therapeutic categories, performance reached 0.84 for avapritinib sensitivity, 0.81 for imatinib sensitivity. DL models predicted RFS, with hazard-ratios (HR) of 8.44 (95%CI 6.14-11.61) in the overall cohort and 4.74 (95%CI 3.34-6.74) in patients receiving adjuvant therapy. Prognostic performance was comparable to pathology-based scores, with highest discrimination in the overall cohort and in patients without adjuvant therapy (9.44, 95%CI (5.87-15.20)).
Conclusion: DL applied to WSIs enables prediction of molecular alterations, treatment sensitivity, and RFS in GIST, performing comparably to established risk scores across international cohorts, providing a baseline for future multimodal predictors.
Highlights: Deep learning on histology predicts KIT and PDGFRA mutations in a large international cohort of GISTs from multiple centersWhole-slide image models stratify recurrence-free survival comparable to pathology-based risk scoresPrognostic value of deep learning is preserved in adjuvant therapy subgroups, supporting treatment duration decisions.
{"title":"Prediction of Mutations and Outcome in Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumors with Deep Learning: A Multicenter, Multinational Study.","authors":"A Bonetti, V L Le, Z I Carrero, F Wolf, M Gustav, S W Lam, L Vanhersecke, P Sobczuk, F Le Loarer, M Lenarcik, P Rutkowski, J M van Sabben, N Steeghs, H van Boven, I Machado, S Bagué, S Navarro, E Medina-Ceballos, C Agra, F Giner, G Tapia, A Hernández-Gallego, G Civantos Jubera, M Cuatrecasas, S Lopez-Prades, R E Perret, I Soubeyran, E Khalifa, L Blouin, E Wardelmann, A Meurgey, P Collini, A Voloshin, Y Yatabe, H Hirano, A Gronchi, T Nishida, O Bouché, J F Emile, C Ngo, P Hohenberger, C Cotarelo, J Jakob, J V M G Bovee, H Gelderblom, A Szumera-Cieckiewicz, M Jean-Denis, J Bollard, N Lassau, A Lecesne, J Y Blay, A Italiano, A Crombé, J M Coindre, J N Kather","doi":"10.64898/2026.02.02.26345350","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.02.02.26345350","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST) is the most common gastrointestinal mesenchymal tumor, driven by tyrosine-protein kinase KIT and platelet-derived growth factor receptor A (PDGFRA) mutations. Specific variants, such as KIT exon 11 deletions, carry prognostic and therapeutic implications, whereas wild-type (WT) variants derive limited benefit from tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs). Given the limited reproducibility of established clinicopathological risk models, deep learning (DL) applied to whole-slide images (WSIs) emerged as a promising tool for molecular classification and prognostic assessment.</p><p><strong>Patients and methods: </strong>We analyzed 8398 GIST cases from 21 centers in 7 countries, including 7238 with molecular data and 2638 with clinical follow-up. DL models were trained on WSIs to predict mutations, treatment sensitivity, and recurrence-free survival (RFS).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>DL predicted mutational status in GIST from WSIs, with area under the curve (AUC) of 0.87 for <i>KIT</i> , 0.96 for <i>PDGFRA</i> . High performance was observed for subtypes, including KIT exon 11 delinss 557-558 (0.67) and <i>PDGFRA</i> exon 18 D842V (0.93). For therapeutic categories, performance reached 0.84 for avapritinib sensitivity, 0.81 for imatinib sensitivity. DL models predicted RFS, with hazard-ratios (HR) of 8.44 (95%CI 6.14-11.61) in the overall cohort and 4.74 (95%CI 3.34-6.74) in patients receiving adjuvant therapy. Prognostic performance was comparable to pathology-based scores, with highest discrimination in the overall cohort and in patients without adjuvant therapy (9.44, 95%CI (5.87-15.20)).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>DL applied to WSIs enables prediction of molecular alterations, treatment sensitivity, and RFS in GIST, performing comparably to established risk scores across international cohorts, providing a baseline for future multimodal predictors.</p><p><strong>Highlights: </strong><b>Deep learning on histology predicts KIT and PDGFRA mutations in a large international cohort of GISTs from multiple centers</b> <b>Whole-slide image models stratify recurrence-free survival comparable to pathology-based risk scores</b> <b>Prognostic value of deep learning is preserved in adjuvant therapy subgroups, supporting treatment duration decisions</b>.</p>","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12889797/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146168685","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-03DOI: 10.64898/2026.02.02.26344798
Nuanyi Liang, Siamak Mahmoudiandehkordi, Margo B Heston, Pallavi Kaushik, W Ryan Powell, Naama Karu, Desarae A Dempsey, Jennifer S Labus, Leyla Schimmel, Colette Blach, Alexandra Kueider-Paisley, Christopher Brydges, Kevin Huynh, Rupasri Mandal, Michelle V Quirke, James B Brewer, Victor W Henderson, Doris S Chen, Russell H Swerdlow, Matthew Taylor, Thomas Wisniewski, Erik D Roberson, Suzanne Craft, Justin B Miller, Tatiana M Foroud, Kelley M Faber, Najaf Amin, David S Wishart, Andrew J Saykin, Barbara B Bendlin, Jared R Brosch, Peter J Meikle, Amy J Kind, Kamil Borkowski, Rima F Kaddurah-Daouk
The exposome factors, such as diet, lifestyle, microbiome, chemical exposures and social exposome, shapes human health beyond genetic influences, but the mechanisms remain only partially understood. Leveraging the Area Deprivation Index (ADI) of Neighborhood Atlas, a validated measure of the US social exposome, we derive molecular insights on how adverse social exposome (ASE) may impact cardiometabolic and brain health. Using complementary metabolomics platforms, we measured blood metabolome as readouts on net influences of exposome factors. Participants from six Alzheimer's disease research centers (n=449) were studied with generalizability confirmed in the UK Biobank using its harmonizable metric for ASE (n=380,943). Our results suggest that participants living in ASE have metabolic features often shown to predispose individuals to higher risks for cardiovascular diseases and cognitive decline, with impaired mitochondrial energetics, amino acid and lipid metabolism. Diet, microbiome and chemical exposures may contribute to these metabolic features. Molecular insights from metabolic signatures for ASE allows us to map potential modifiable risk factors that can impact and sustain health including brain health.
{"title":"The Metabolome as a Readout for Adverse Social Exposome Influences on Human Health - A Roadmap for Modifiable Factors and Proactive Health.","authors":"Nuanyi Liang, Siamak Mahmoudiandehkordi, Margo B Heston, Pallavi Kaushik, W Ryan Powell, Naama Karu, Desarae A Dempsey, Jennifer S Labus, Leyla Schimmel, Colette Blach, Alexandra Kueider-Paisley, Christopher Brydges, Kevin Huynh, Rupasri Mandal, Michelle V Quirke, James B Brewer, Victor W Henderson, Doris S Chen, Russell H Swerdlow, Matthew Taylor, Thomas Wisniewski, Erik D Roberson, Suzanne Craft, Justin B Miller, Tatiana M Foroud, Kelley M Faber, Najaf Amin, David S Wishart, Andrew J Saykin, Barbara B Bendlin, Jared R Brosch, Peter J Meikle, Amy J Kind, Kamil Borkowski, Rima F Kaddurah-Daouk","doi":"10.64898/2026.02.02.26344798","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.02.02.26344798","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The exposome factors, such as diet, lifestyle, microbiome, chemical exposures and social exposome, shapes human health beyond genetic influences, but the mechanisms remain only partially understood. Leveraging the Area Deprivation Index (ADI) of Neighborhood Atlas, a validated measure of the US social exposome, we derive molecular insights on how adverse social exposome (ASE) may impact cardiometabolic and brain health. Using complementary metabolomics platforms, we measured blood metabolome as readouts on net influences of exposome factors. Participants from six Alzheimer's disease research centers (n=449) were studied with generalizability confirmed in the UK Biobank using its harmonizable metric for ASE (n=380,943). Our results suggest that participants living in ASE have metabolic features often shown to predispose individuals to higher risks for cardiovascular diseases and cognitive decline, with impaired mitochondrial energetics, amino acid and lipid metabolism. Diet, microbiome and chemical exposures may contribute to these metabolic features. Molecular insights from metabolic signatures for ASE allows us to map potential modifiable risk factors that can impact and sustain health including brain health.</p>","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12889807/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146168665","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-03DOI: 10.64898/2026.02.02.26345407
Chiyoung Lee, Juyoung Park, Hongyu Miao, Hyochol Ahn
Aim: We investigated the heterogeneity of treatment effects in transcranial direct current stimulation (tDCS) with mindfulness-based meditation (MBM) and within each individual study group (tDCS alone, MBM alone, and sham) among individuals with symptomatic knee osteoarthritis. We also explored participant characteristics underlying this heterogeneity.
Methods: This secondary analysis drew on a double-blind, randomized, sham-controlled, phase II, parallel-group trial in which 200 participants were assigned to one of four groups: (1) active tDCS + active MBM, (2) active tDCS + sham MBM, (3) sham tDCS + active MBM, or (4) sham tDCS + sham MBM. Participants received ten 20-minute tDCS sessions (active or sham) administered concurrently with MBM (active or sham). Latent class growth analysis was used to identify subgroups with distinct treatment response trajectories (responders vs. non-responders) based on changes in clinical pain (Numeric Rating Scale) from baseline to post-intervention. Generalized linear models were then applied to determine baseline factors associated with participants' response classification, including demographic, clinical, and psychological characteristics; quantitative sensory testing battery; and pain-related cortical hemodynamic activity measured using functional near-infrared spectroscopy (fNIRS) in response to punctate and thermal stimuli.
Results: Responders in the active tDCS + active MBM and active tDCS + sham MBM groups demonstrated greater improvements in clinical pain from baseline to post-intervention than non-responders ( p < 0.001). In the active tDCS + active MBM group, greater cortical activation in the fNIRS channel S06-D06 of the left somatosensory cortex in response to punctate stimuli, identifying as white, and lower conditioned pain modulation (reflecting less efficient endogenous pain modulation), were significantly associated with being responders ( p < 0.05). In the active tDCS + sham MBM group, younger age and lower heat pain tolerance at the knee were significantly associated with being responders ( p < 0.05). No clear response patterns were observed in the remaining groups.
Conclusion: Factors underlying heterogeneity of treatment effects, including somatosensory cortical activation and pain modulatory profiles, may provide preliminary insights to inform the development of personalized neuromodulation (stimulation) protocols.
{"title":"Neural and psychophysical predictors of treatment response to transcranial direct current stimulation and mindfulness-based meditation for knee osteoarthritis pain.","authors":"Chiyoung Lee, Juyoung Park, Hongyu Miao, Hyochol Ahn","doi":"10.64898/2026.02.02.26345407","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.02.02.26345407","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aim: </strong>We investigated the heterogeneity of treatment effects in transcranial direct current stimulation (tDCS) with mindfulness-based meditation (MBM) and within each individual study group (tDCS alone, MBM alone, and sham) among individuals with symptomatic knee osteoarthritis. We also explored participant characteristics underlying this heterogeneity.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This secondary analysis drew on a double-blind, randomized, sham-controlled, phase II, parallel-group trial in which 200 participants were assigned to one of four groups: (1) active tDCS + active MBM, (2) active tDCS + sham MBM, (3) sham tDCS + active MBM, or (4) sham tDCS + sham MBM. Participants received ten 20-minute tDCS sessions (active or sham) administered concurrently with MBM (active or sham). Latent class growth analysis was used to identify subgroups with distinct treatment response trajectories (responders vs. non-responders) based on changes in clinical pain (Numeric Rating Scale) from baseline to post-intervention. Generalized linear models were then applied to determine baseline factors associated with participants' response classification, including demographic, clinical, and psychological characteristics; quantitative sensory testing battery; and pain-related cortical hemodynamic activity measured using functional near-infrared spectroscopy (fNIRS) in response to punctate and thermal stimuli.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Responders in the active tDCS + active MBM and active tDCS + sham MBM groups demonstrated greater improvements in clinical pain from baseline to post-intervention than non-responders ( <i>p</i> < 0.001). In the active tDCS + active MBM group, greater cortical activation in the fNIRS channel S06-D06 of the left somatosensory cortex in response to punctate stimuli, identifying as white, and lower conditioned pain modulation (reflecting less efficient endogenous pain modulation), were significantly associated with being responders ( <i>p</i> < 0.05). In the active tDCS + sham MBM group, younger age and lower heat pain tolerance at the knee were significantly associated with being responders ( <i>p</i> < 0.05). No clear response patterns were observed in the remaining groups.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Factors underlying heterogeneity of treatment effects, including somatosensory cortical activation and pain modulatory profiles, may provide preliminary insights to inform the development of personalized neuromodulation (stimulation) protocols.</p>","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12889770/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146168669","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-03DOI: 10.64898/2026.02.02.26345374
Mohammed Altaf, Carla Nel, Timothy Tipoe, Julia Edgar, Panagiota Zacharopoulou, Devinder Srai, Chanice Knight, Ming Lee, Louise-Rae Cherrill, Emanuela Falaschetti, Ane Ogbe, Stephen Fletcher, Hanna Box, Tamara Elliott, Sabine Kinloch, Julie Fox, Amanda Clarke, Sarah Pett, Simon Collins, Maathini Balachandran, Katie Topping, Louise Terry, Kelly Seaton, Georgia Tomaras, Alison Uriel, Chloe Orkin, Kyle Ring, Gary Whitlock, Marta Boffito, Rebecca Sutherland, Ole S Søgaard, Jesper D Gunst, Helen Brown, Nicola Robinson, Gabriella Lindegard, Philip Goulder, Graham Taylor, Marina Caskey, Michel Nussenzweig, Sarah Fidler, John Frater
There is no readily accessible, scalable cure for HIV infection. Trials of HIV-specific broadly neutralising antibodies (bNAbs) demonstrate inhibition of viral replication and reduction of the reservoir of latently-infected cells, potentially offering new strategies for HIV eradication. Animal and human studies suggest bNAbs have multiple activities, including a direct antiviral action and a secondary induction of T cell responses, the 'vaccinal effect'. The RIO trial assessed HIV-specific cell-mediated immunity after dosing with two long-acting bNAbs (10-1074-LS and 3BNC117-LS) in people treated with antiretroviral therapy (ART) since early stage HIV followed by treatment interruption. BNAbs resulted in sustained viral suppression with 75% of participants controlling off ART after 20 weeks. Here we show that HIV-specific T cell immunity was enhanced for at least 36 weeks after bNAbs in aviraemic participants. Gag-specific T cell immune responses predicted virological outcomes. Baseline CD8+ AIM responses predicted longer times to rebound; baseline CD8+ proliferative responses were additionally protective in participants without baseline bNAb resistance mutations. Baseline ELISpot responses were associated with faster rebound. These data highlight the complex interplay between bNAbs and T cells, identify a post-bNAb protective T cell-driven vaccinal effect, and reinforce the role of immune-based interventions as part of HIV cure strategies.
{"title":"T cell immunity predicts clinical outcomes on stopping antiretroviral treatment after HIV-specific broadly neutralising antibody therapy.","authors":"Mohammed Altaf, Carla Nel, Timothy Tipoe, Julia Edgar, Panagiota Zacharopoulou, Devinder Srai, Chanice Knight, Ming Lee, Louise-Rae Cherrill, Emanuela Falaschetti, Ane Ogbe, Stephen Fletcher, Hanna Box, Tamara Elliott, Sabine Kinloch, Julie Fox, Amanda Clarke, Sarah Pett, Simon Collins, Maathini Balachandran, Katie Topping, Louise Terry, Kelly Seaton, Georgia Tomaras, Alison Uriel, Chloe Orkin, Kyle Ring, Gary Whitlock, Marta Boffito, Rebecca Sutherland, Ole S Søgaard, Jesper D Gunst, Helen Brown, Nicola Robinson, Gabriella Lindegard, Philip Goulder, Graham Taylor, Marina Caskey, Michel Nussenzweig, Sarah Fidler, John Frater","doi":"10.64898/2026.02.02.26345374","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.02.02.26345374","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>There is no readily accessible, scalable cure for HIV infection. Trials of HIV-specific broadly neutralising antibodies (bNAbs) demonstrate inhibition of viral replication and reduction of the reservoir of latently-infected cells, potentially offering new strategies for HIV eradication. Animal and human studies suggest bNAbs have multiple activities, including a direct antiviral action and a secondary induction of T cell responses, the 'vaccinal effect'. The RIO trial assessed HIV-specific cell-mediated immunity after dosing with two long-acting bNAbs (10-1074-LS and 3BNC117-LS) in people treated with antiretroviral therapy (ART) since early stage HIV followed by treatment interruption. BNAbs resulted in sustained viral suppression with 75% of participants controlling off ART after 20 weeks. Here we show that HIV-specific T cell immunity was enhanced for at least 36 weeks after bNAbs in aviraemic participants. Gag-specific T cell immune responses predicted virological outcomes. Baseline CD8+ AIM responses predicted longer times to rebound; baseline CD8+ proliferative responses were additionally protective in participants without baseline bNAb resistance mutations. Baseline ELISpot responses were associated with faster rebound. These data highlight the complex interplay between bNAbs and T cells, identify a post-bNAb protective T cell-driven vaccinal effect, and reinforce the role of immune-based interventions as part of HIV cure strategies.</p>","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12889750/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146168722","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-03DOI: 10.64898/2026.01.30.26345253
Vu Pham, Arnold Gan, Pratik Doshi, David Valdivia, Melissa Lee Wilson, Michael W Fong
Background: Guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) has been shown to improve mortality and/or symptoms in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Medical devices also play an important role in improved quality of life and overall symptom relief for HFrEF patients. Baroreflex Activation Therapy (BAT) increases parasympathetic nervous system activity by stimulating the carotid baroreceptors, thereby reducing symptoms. Herein, we analyzed the effects of BAT on hospitalization, atrial arrhythmia (AA), and ventricular arrhythmia (VA) rates.
Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted consisting of HFrEF patients treated with BAT at Keck Hospital of USC between 11/2014 and 11/2022. We compared median pre-BAT hospitalization, AA, and VA rates to post-BAT rates at both 6- and 12-months using Wilcoxon Signed Rank tests.
Results: Among 31 patients on BAT, 38.7% met criteria for receiving all four GDMT classes for at least 12 months prior to BAT. Among these, 91.7% had an implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) implanted for ≥12 months pre- and post-BAT. Average pre- vs. post-BAT all-cause hospitalization rates were significantly different only at 12 months [1.3 ± 1.4 vs 0.3 ± 0.9, respectively (p=0.05)]. Borderline significant pre-post comparisons were noted including decreased VA rate at both 6 and 12 months and increased AA rate at 12-months (p=0.06 for all).
Conclusion: In HFrEF patients on full GDMT, BAT was associated with a significant reduction in hospitalization rates at 12 months. There were no significant changes in AA or VA rates.
背景:指南导向药物治疗(GDMT)已被证明可改善伴有射血分数降低(HFrEF)的心力衰竭患者的死亡率和/或症状。医疗设备在改善HFrEF患者的生活质量和整体症状缓解方面也发挥着重要作用。压力反射激活疗法(BAT)通过刺激颈动脉压力感受器来增加副交感神经系统的活性,从而减轻症状。在此,我们分析了BAT对住院、房性心律失常(AA)和室性心律失常(VA)发生率的影响。方法:对2014年11月至2022年11月在USC Keck医院接受BAT治疗的HFrEF患者进行回顾性队列研究。我们使用Wilcoxon sign Rank检验比较bat前住院、AA和VA率与bat后6个月和12个月的中位数。结果:在31例接受BAT治疗的患者中,38.7%的患者在BAT治疗前至少12个月符合接受所有四种GDMT治疗的标准。其中91.7%的患者在bat前后植入了≥12个月的植入式心律转复除颤器(ICD)。bat治疗前后的全因住院率仅在12个月时有显著差异[分别为1.3±1.4 vs 0.3±0.9 (p=0.05)]。注意到临界显著的前后比较,包括6个月和12个月的VA率下降,12个月的AA率增加(所有p=0.06)。结论:在完全GDMT的HFrEF患者中,BAT与12个月住院率显著降低相关。AA率和VA率没有显著变化。
{"title":"Analysis of baroreflex activation therapy in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction on current era guideline-directed medical therapy.","authors":"Vu Pham, Arnold Gan, Pratik Doshi, David Valdivia, Melissa Lee Wilson, Michael W Fong","doi":"10.64898/2026.01.30.26345253","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.01.30.26345253","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) has been shown to improve mortality and/or symptoms in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Medical devices also play an important role in improved quality of life and overall symptom relief for HFrEF patients. Baroreflex Activation Therapy (BAT) increases parasympathetic nervous system activity by stimulating the carotid baroreceptors, thereby reducing symptoms. Herein, we analyzed the effects of BAT on hospitalization, atrial arrhythmia (AA), and ventricular arrhythmia (VA) rates.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A retrospective cohort study was conducted consisting of HFrEF patients treated with BAT at Keck Hospital of USC between 11/2014 and 11/2022. We compared median pre-BAT hospitalization, AA, and VA rates to post-BAT rates at both 6- and 12-months using Wilcoxon Signed Rank tests.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among 31 patients on BAT, 38.7% met criteria for receiving all four GDMT classes for at least 12 months prior to BAT. Among these, 91.7% had an implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) implanted for ≥12 months pre- and post-BAT. Average pre- vs. post-BAT all-cause hospitalization rates were significantly different only at 12 months [1.3 ± 1.4 vs 0.3 ± 0.9, respectively (p=0.05)]. Borderline significant pre-post comparisons were noted including decreased VA rate at both 6 and 12 months and increased AA rate at 12-months (p=0.06 for all).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>In HFrEF patients on full GDMT, BAT was associated with a significant reduction in hospitalization rates at 12 months. There were no significant changes in AA or VA rates.</p>","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12889790/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146168742","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-03DOI: 10.64898/2025.12.31.25343299
Jesse E Ross, Alin S Tomoiaga, Nicholas Owor, Xuan Lu, Joseph Shinyale, Tonny Kiyingi, Ignatius Asasira, Peter James Eliku, John Bosco Nsubuga, Christopher Nsereko, Irene Nayiga, Stephen Kyebambe, Thomas Ochar, Moses Kiwubeyi, Rittah Nankwanga, Kai Nie, Hui Xie, Sam Miake-Lye, Bryan Villagomez, Jingjing Qi, Steven J Reynolds, Martina Cathy Nakibuuka, John Kayiwa, Mercy Haumba, Joweria Nakaseegu, Xiaoyu Che, Risa Hoffman, John A Belperio, Julius J Lutwama, Seunghee Kim-Schulze, Max R O'Donnell, Barnabas Bakamutumaho, Matthew J Cummings
<p><strong>Objective: </strong>Severe tuberculosis (TB) is a major cause of critical illness and death in people living with HIV (PLWH) worldwide. Despite this, the immunopathology of severe HIV-associated TB (HIV/TB) is poorly understood. We aimed to identify an immunopathologic signature of severe HIV/TB in sub-Saharan Africa.</p><p><strong>Design and setting: </strong>We analyzed proteomic data from two prospective observational cohorts of adults hospitalized with severe undifferentiated infection in Uganda: an urban discovery cohort (Entebbe, N=241) and a rural validation cohort (Tororo, N=253).</p><p><strong>Patients: </strong>Adults (age ≥18 years) hospitalized with severe febrile illness.</p><p><strong>Interventions: </strong>None.</p><p><strong>Measurements and main results: </strong>Across both cohorts, severe HIV-associated TB was common, affecting 18% of participants in the discovery cohort and 21% in the validation cohort. Overall mortality was significant (30-day mortality of 22% in the discovery cohort & 60-day mortality of 26% in the validation cohort). Participants were stratified into three HIV/TB phenotypes: HIV-negative without TB, PLWH without TB, and PLWH with microbiologically diagnosed TB. We applied ordinal random forest models in the discovery cohort to identify proteins strongly predictive of progressive HIV/TB phenotype. In both cohorts, PLWH with microbiologically diagnosed TB were at highest risk of critical illness and death (30-day mortality of 42% in the discovery cohort & 60-day mortality of 52% in the validation cohort). An eight-protein signature reliably distinguished this phenotype, reflecting mediators of macrophage/dendritic cell activation (LAMP3), NK- and T-cell stimulation and cytotoxicity (CD70, CRTAM), B-cell activation (IGLC2), protease-mediated tissue injury (PRSS2), dysregulated coagulation (SERPINA5), extracellular matrix remodeling (EFEMP1), and GH/IGF axis dysregulation (IGFBP3).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>We identified an immunologic signature of severe HIV-associated TB defined by mediators of macrophage/dendritic cell and cytotoxic lymphocyte activation, extracellular matrix remodeling, and dysregulated coagulation. These findings offer new insight into HIV/TB pathobiology and highlight potential targets for host-directed therapies in this high-risk population.</p><p><strong>Key points: </strong><b>Question:</b> What host-response patterns characterize severe HIV-associated tuberculosis among adults hospitalized with severe febrile illness in sub-Saharan Africa?<b>Findings:</b> In two prospective cohorts of adults hospitalized with severe febrile illness in Uganda, severe HIV-associated tuberculosis accounted for 18-21% of cases and was associated with higher rates of physiological instability and mortality. An eight-protein host-response signature reproducibly distinguished this high-risk phenotype, reflecting immune activation, tissue injury, extracellular matrix remodeling, and dysr
{"title":"Proteomic Immune Signatures of Severe HIV-Associated Tuberculosis in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Prospective, Multicenter Analysis from Uganda.","authors":"Jesse E Ross, Alin S Tomoiaga, Nicholas Owor, Xuan Lu, Joseph Shinyale, Tonny Kiyingi, Ignatius Asasira, Peter James Eliku, John Bosco Nsubuga, Christopher Nsereko, Irene Nayiga, Stephen Kyebambe, Thomas Ochar, Moses Kiwubeyi, Rittah Nankwanga, Kai Nie, Hui Xie, Sam Miake-Lye, Bryan Villagomez, Jingjing Qi, Steven J Reynolds, Martina Cathy Nakibuuka, John Kayiwa, Mercy Haumba, Joweria Nakaseegu, Xiaoyu Che, Risa Hoffman, John A Belperio, Julius J Lutwama, Seunghee Kim-Schulze, Max R O'Donnell, Barnabas Bakamutumaho, Matthew J Cummings","doi":"10.64898/2025.12.31.25343299","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.64898/2025.12.31.25343299","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>Severe tuberculosis (TB) is a major cause of critical illness and death in people living with HIV (PLWH) worldwide. Despite this, the immunopathology of severe HIV-associated TB (HIV/TB) is poorly understood. We aimed to identify an immunopathologic signature of severe HIV/TB in sub-Saharan Africa.</p><p><strong>Design and setting: </strong>We analyzed proteomic data from two prospective observational cohorts of adults hospitalized with severe undifferentiated infection in Uganda: an urban discovery cohort (Entebbe, N=241) and a rural validation cohort (Tororo, N=253).</p><p><strong>Patients: </strong>Adults (age ≥18 years) hospitalized with severe febrile illness.</p><p><strong>Interventions: </strong>None.</p><p><strong>Measurements and main results: </strong>Across both cohorts, severe HIV-associated TB was common, affecting 18% of participants in the discovery cohort and 21% in the validation cohort. Overall mortality was significant (30-day mortality of 22% in the discovery cohort & 60-day mortality of 26% in the validation cohort). Participants were stratified into three HIV/TB phenotypes: HIV-negative without TB, PLWH without TB, and PLWH with microbiologically diagnosed TB. We applied ordinal random forest models in the discovery cohort to identify proteins strongly predictive of progressive HIV/TB phenotype. In both cohorts, PLWH with microbiologically diagnosed TB were at highest risk of critical illness and death (30-day mortality of 42% in the discovery cohort & 60-day mortality of 52% in the validation cohort). An eight-protein signature reliably distinguished this phenotype, reflecting mediators of macrophage/dendritic cell activation (LAMP3), NK- and T-cell stimulation and cytotoxicity (CD70, CRTAM), B-cell activation (IGLC2), protease-mediated tissue injury (PRSS2), dysregulated coagulation (SERPINA5), extracellular matrix remodeling (EFEMP1), and GH/IGF axis dysregulation (IGFBP3).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>We identified an immunologic signature of severe HIV-associated TB defined by mediators of macrophage/dendritic cell and cytotoxic lymphocyte activation, extracellular matrix remodeling, and dysregulated coagulation. These findings offer new insight into HIV/TB pathobiology and highlight potential targets for host-directed therapies in this high-risk population.</p><p><strong>Key points: </strong><b>Question:</b> What host-response patterns characterize severe HIV-associated tuberculosis among adults hospitalized with severe febrile illness in sub-Saharan Africa?<b>Findings:</b> In two prospective cohorts of adults hospitalized with severe febrile illness in Uganda, severe HIV-associated tuberculosis accounted for 18-21% of cases and was associated with higher rates of physiological instability and mortality. An eight-protein host-response signature reproducibly distinguished this high-risk phenotype, reflecting immune activation, tissue injury, extracellular matrix remodeling, and dysr","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12838305/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146159940","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-03DOI: 10.1101/2025.09.14.25335702
Max Korbmacher, Ingrid Anne Lie, Kristin Wesnes, Eric Westman, Thomas Espeseth, Ole Andreas Andreassen, Lars T Westlye, Stig Wergeland, Hanne Flinstad Harbo, Gro Owren Nygaard, Kjell-Morten Myhr, Einar August Høgestøl, Øivind Torkildsen
Interpreting brain structure at the individual level remains a major challenge in neuroimaging, as population variability across age and sex limits the clinical utility of group-level findings. Here, we develop large-scale normative models of regional cortical and subcortical brain volumes from more than 62,000 healthy individuals across the lifespan and apply them to multiple sclerosis (MS) to enable individualised, reference-based assessments of grey matter morphology. We identify a temporally stable yet heterogeneous morphometric phenotype of MS, expressed as concordant deviations from age- and sex-adjusted reference values. Individual deviation profiles are clinically informative: both the magnitude and cumulative burden of lower-than-reference volumes are associated with disability cross-sectionally and longitudinally. Moreover, the profiles can be translated into interpretable stratification rules linked to disability trajectories and relapse dynamics. This work reframes known structural abnormalities into stable, individual-level deviation profiles, demonstrating how normative modelling can move neuroimaging beyond group averages toward clinically interpretable inference. Together, these findings establish a generalisable framework for translating population-level neuroimaging data into individual-level phenotypes with potential beyond multiple sclerosis.
背景:脑萎缩是多发性硬化症(MS)的标志。为了临床可翻译性和个人水平的预测,需要使用参考或规范模型将脑萎缩纳入更广泛人群的背景下。方法:从大型健康对照(HC)多队列数据集(N=63 115, 51%为女性)建立mri衍生脑容量参考模型。参考模型应用于两个独立的MS队列(N=362, t1 w扫描=953,随访时间长达12年)来评估与参考的偏差,定义为z值。我们利用个体水平向重要参考偏差状态(|Z|>·96)或向重要参考偏差状态(|Z|>·96)的过渡来评估偏差曲线的重叠及其随时间的稳定性。负二项模型用于极端偏差数量的病例-对照比较。线性模型用于评估MS和倾向匹配的hc之间Z-score偏差的差异,以及与基线和随时间的临床评分的关联。使用的规范BrainReference模型、脚本和使用说明是免费的。研究结果:我们确定了多发性硬化症的一个暂时稳定的脑形态表型。在多发性硬化症中,右侧和左侧丘脑的体积明显低于参考体积(在整个样本中有25%和26%的重叠)。这种极端小于参考值的数量在MS中为2.70,而在HC中为4.51,而在HC中为1.67。额外的偏差表明,在基线时和随着时间的推移,更强的残疾(扩展残疾状态量表:β= 0.22, 95% CI 0.12至0.32),节律性听觉串行添加测试分数(β=- 0.27, 95% CI - 0.52至- 0.02)和疲劳严重程度评分(β= 0.29, 95% CI 0.05至0.53),与EDSS (β= 0.07, 95% CI 0.02至0.13)。我们还提供了参考偏差的详细地图及其与临床评估的关联。解释:我们提出了一种与临床表现相关的多发性硬化症的异质脑表型,特别是涉及丘脑。资助:挪威多发性硬化症联盟,挪威研究理事会(#223273;#324252);挪威东南部地区卫生局(#2022080);以及欧盟的地平线2020研究与创新计划(#847776,#802998)。背景研究:本研究之前的证据:参考值和规范模型尚未广泛应用于多发性硬化症(MS)等神经系统疾病的神经影像学评估。我们在PubMed和Embase(2000年1月1日至2025年9月12日)中进行了文献检索,检索词为“MRI”和“多发性硬化症”,关键词为“规范模型*”和“萎缩”,不受语言限制。虽然规范模型已应用于精神和发育障碍,但很少有研究涉及它们在神经系统疾病中的应用。此外,尚不清楚是否存在MS特有的脑表型,这可能有助于诊断和患者分层。本研究的附加价值:我们提供了区域详细的脑形态测量图,这些图来自一个异质MS队列,跨越了广泛的年龄、性别、临床表型、疾病持续时间、残疾和扫描仪特征。通过利用规范建模,我们的方法使MS的个体化大脑表型与基于人口的规范样本相关。分析揭示了整个队列中受影响的大脑区域的异质性,但大脑体积较小的模式是一致的,特别是在丘脑和额叶皮质区域,这与残疾、认知障碍和疲劳有关。扫描仪、中心和纵向随访的稳健性支持了这些发现在现实世界MS人群中的稳定性和普遍性。所有现有证据的意义:规范模型提供了一种个性化、敏感和可解释的方法,通过提供个体特异性参考值来量化MS的大脑结构,支持比标准放射评估更早地检测神经变性,并改善患者分层。丘脑和额顶叶偏差的一致模式定义了MS的独特形态特征,在临床实践和临床试验中具有早期和个性化诊断和疾病监测的潜在效用。
{"title":"Normative Modelling of Brain Volume for Diagnostic and Prognostic Stratification in Multiple Sclerosis.","authors":"Max Korbmacher, Ingrid Anne Lie, Kristin Wesnes, Eric Westman, Thomas Espeseth, Ole Andreas Andreassen, Lars T Westlye, Stig Wergeland, Hanne Flinstad Harbo, Gro Owren Nygaard, Kjell-Morten Myhr, Einar August Høgestøl, Øivind Torkildsen","doi":"10.1101/2025.09.14.25335702","DOIUrl":"10.1101/2025.09.14.25335702","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Interpreting brain structure at the individual level remains a major challenge in neuroimaging, as population variability across age and sex limits the clinical utility of group-level findings. Here, we develop large-scale normative models of regional cortical and subcortical brain volumes from more than 62,000 healthy individuals across the lifespan and apply them to multiple sclerosis (MS) to enable individualised, reference-based assessments of grey matter morphology. We identify a temporally stable yet heterogeneous morphometric phenotype of MS, expressed as concordant deviations from age- and sex-adjusted reference values. Individual deviation profiles are clinically informative: both the magnitude and cumulative burden of lower-than-reference volumes are associated with disability cross-sectionally and longitudinally. Moreover, the profiles can be translated into interpretable stratification rules linked to disability trajectories and relapse dynamics. This work reframes known structural abnormalities into stable, individual-level deviation profiles, demonstrating how normative modelling can move neuroimaging beyond group averages toward clinically interpretable inference. Together, these findings establish a generalisable framework for translating population-level neuroimaging data into individual-level phenotypes with potential beyond multiple sclerosis.</p>","PeriodicalId":94281,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12458532/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145152263","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}