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Investigation on the Management for Patients with Echinococcosis Treated with Albendazole - Three PLADs, China, 2019. 阿苯达唑治疗棘球蚴病的临床疗效调查,中国,2019。
Pub Date : 2023-05-19 DOI: 10.46234/ccdcw2023.083
Min Qin, Liying Wang, Ying Wang, Xu Wang, Jiaxi Lei, Xixi Cheng, Yu Feng, Yanyan Hou, Qian Wang, Chuizhao Xue, Laurent Gavotte, Roger Frutos

What is already known about this topic?: In China, patients with echinococcosis receive complimentary healthcare services, such as medical treatment, diagnostic examinations, and follow-up care. Despite this, no studies have been conducted to assess the quality of patient management to date.

What is added by this report?: This study reviewed the medical records of 899 patients who underwent albendazole treatment across 10 endemic counties. Out of 634 evaluable patient files, the proportion of patients with a ratio of actual follow-up and reexamination times to theoretical follow-up and reexamination times ≥0.8 were both low (21.92% and 23.19%, respectively).

What are the implications for public health practices?: This study identified weaknesses and specific issues in patient management and proposed feasible recommendations to enhance patient file documentation, follow-up, and reexamination.

关于这个话题我们已经知道了什么?在中国,包虫病患者得到免费的医疗服务,如医疗、诊断检查和随访护理。尽管如此,迄今为止还没有研究对患者管理质量进行评估。这份报告增加了什么内容?本研究回顾了10个流行县接受阿苯达唑治疗的899例患者的医疗记录。在634份可评估患者档案中,实际随访及复查次数与理论随访及复查次数之比≥0.8的患者比例均较低(分别为21.92%和23.19%)。这对公共卫生实践有什么影响?本研究确定了患者管理的弱点和具体问题,并提出了可行的建议,以加强患者档案记录,随访和复查。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Influenza and Pneumococcal Polysaccharide Vaccination on Economic Burden from Acute Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease - Hebei Province, China, November 2018 to November 2020. 流感和肺炎球菌多糖疫苗接种对慢性阻塞性肺疾病急性加重经济负担的影响——河北省,2018年11月至2020年11月。
Pub Date : 2023-05-19 DOI: 10.46234/ccdcw2023.086
Yan Li, Pingshu Zhang, Zhijie An, Ying Ma, Yamin Wang, Liye Wang, Yunqiu Liu, Xiaodong Yuan, Keli Li, Zundong Yin, Huaqing Wang

What is already known on this topic?: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations increase household economic burden, but there is limited evidence from prospective cohort studies in China about the impact of vaccination on economic burden.

What is added by this report?: This study demonstrated the economic burden of COPD exacerbations, pneumonia, and hospitalization in COPD patients in China is substantial. Influenza vaccine and 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23), separately or together, were significantly associated with decreased economic burden.

What are the implications for public health practice?: Our study supports evidence on recommendations that COPD patients in China are offered both influenza vaccine and PPSV23.

关于这个话题我们已经知道了什么?慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)加重加重了家庭经济负担,但中国关于疫苗接种对经济负担影响的前瞻性队列研究证据有限。这份报告增加了什么内容?本研究表明,中国COPD患者的COPD加重、肺炎和住院治疗的经济负担是巨大的。流感疫苗和23价肺炎球菌多糖疫苗(PPSV23)单独或一起与减轻经济负担显著相关。这对公共卫生实践有什么影响?我们的研究支持建议中国COPD患者同时接种流感疫苗和PPSV23的证据。
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引用次数: 0
Genomic Analysis and Antimicrobial Resistance of Campylobacter jejuni Isolated from Diarrheal Patients - Beijing Municipality, China, 2019-2021. 腹泻患者空肠弯曲杆菌基因组分析及耐药性研究——中国北京市,2019-2021
Pub Date : 2023-05-12 DOI: 10.46234/ccdcw2023.080
Daitao Zhang, Xin Zhang, Bing Lyu, Yi Tian, Ying Huang, Changying Lin, Hanqiu Yan, Lei Jia, Mei Qu, Quanyi Wang

Introduction: Campylobacter jejuni (C. jejuni) is the leading cause of human bacterial gastroenteritis worldwide and has a major impact on global public health. The objective of the present study was to conduct whole genome sequencing (WGS) to determine the genetic diversity, virulence factors, and determinants of antimicrobial resistance of C. jejuni during a 3-year surveillance period in Beijing, China.

Methods: A total of 184 clinical isolates were obtained from sentinel hospital surveillance between 2019 and 2021. Antimicrobial susceptibility testing was conducted using the agar dilution method. WGS was employed to characterize the 184 C. jejuni strains.

Results: Multilocus sequence typing analysis revealed high genetic diversity among the 184 C. jejuni strains, identifying 71 sequence types (STs) and 19 clonal complexes (CCs). The most prevalent ST was ST760 (6.5%), and the most common CC was CC21 (24.5%), consisting of 11 STs. High resistance rates were observed for ciprofloxacin (76.6%), nalidixic acid (76.1%), and tetracycline (71.2%). A total of 77 C. jejuni isolates (41.8%) exhibited multidrug resistance with 43 resistance patterns. Virulome analysis disclosed the differential distribution of virulence factors related to adherence, colonization, chemotaxis, as well as lipo-oligosaccharide and capsular polysaccharide biosynthesis. Resistome analysis demonstrated widespread resistance to quinolones and tetracycline, but low rates of macrolides resistance. The phylogeny, based on whole genome single nucleotide polymorphisms, indicated a high degree of clonality and grouped the C. jejuni strains into six clades. Closely related isolates that were part of a genetic cluster mostly shared a homogenous clonal complex.

Conclusions: The present study emphasizes the rising resistance to quinolones and tetracycline, as well as the virulence potential and diverse genotypes identified among C. jejuni strains isolated from diarrheal patients in Beijing.

导语:空肠弯曲杆菌(C. jejuni)是世界范围内人类细菌性肠胃炎的主要原因,对全球公共卫生产生重大影响。本研究的目的是利用全基因组测序(WGS)测定北京地区3年监测期间空肠梭菌的遗传多样性、毒力因子和耐药性决定因素。方法:2019 - 2021年哨点医院监测共获得184株临床分离株。采用琼脂稀释法进行药敏试验。采用WGS对184株空肠梭菌进行了表征。结果:184株空肠梭菌的多位点序列分型分析显示具有较高的遗传多样性,鉴定出71种序列型(STs)和19种克隆复合体(CCs)。最常见的ST为ST760(6.5%),最常见的CC为CC21(24.5%),共11例ST。环丙沙星(76.6%)、萘啶酸(76.1%)和四环素(71.2%)耐药率较高。77株空肠梭菌出现43种耐药模式的多药耐药,占41.8%。病毒组分析揭示了与粘附、定植、趋化以及低脂寡糖和荚膜多糖生物合成有关的毒力因子的差异分布。耐药组分析显示对喹诺酮类药物和四环素广泛耐药,但大环内酯类药物耐药率低。基于全基因组单核苷酸多态性的系统发育表明,该菌株具有高度的克隆性,并将其分为6个分支。作为遗传集群一部分的密切相关的分离株大多共享一个同质克隆复合体。结论:本研究强调北京地区腹泻患者分离的空肠梭菌对喹诺酮类药物和四环素的耐药性不断上升,具有潜在的毒力和多种基因型。
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引用次数: 0
Survey on Immunization Services for Children with Medical Conditions - China, 2022. 中国疾病儿童免疫服务调查(2022年)
Pub Date : 2023-05-12 DOI: 10.46234/ccdcw2023.079
Yong Huang, Yudan Song, Junhong Li, Yamin Wang, Xiang Zeng, Chao Ma, Zundong Yin

What is already known about this topic?: Children with medical conditions frequently experience under-immunization. Ensuring high-quality immunization services is crucial for enhancing vaccination coverage levels; nevertheless, the state of immunization service provision for children with medical conditions in China remains unclear.

What is added by this report?: Immunization support for children with medical conditions in China demonstrates considerable variability and may be inadequate. Primary obstacles to the provision of immunization services include an absence of comprehensive vaccination recommendations and assessment guidelines for specific medical conditions, as well as inconsistencies among vaccine recommendations, package inserts, and expert consensus statements pertaining to the vaccination of children with medical conditions.

What are the implications for public health practice?: The examination of provincial practices in providing immunization services for children with medical conditions, as well as understanding the barriers faced by National Immunization Program providers in administering vaccinations, can contribute to the improvement of immunization services for this population in China.

关于这个话题我们已经知道了什么?有疾病的儿童往往免疫接种不足。确保高质量免疫服务对于提高疫苗接种覆盖率至关重要;然而,中国为有疾病的儿童提供免疫服务的状况仍不清楚。这份报告增加了什么内容?在中国,对有医疗条件的儿童的免疫支持存在很大差异,可能不够。提供免疫服务的主要障碍包括缺乏针对特定疾病的全面疫苗接种建议和评估准则,以及疫苗建议、包装说明书和有关为患有疾病的儿童接种疫苗的专家共识声明之间的不一致。这对公共卫生实践有什么影响?考察各省为有疾病的儿童提供免疫服务的做法,以及了解国家免疫规划提供者在管理疫苗接种方面面临的障碍,有助于改善中国这一人群的免疫服务。
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引用次数: 0
Atlas of Classified Disability in China: Spatial Statistics and Pattern. 中国残疾分类地图集:空间统计与格局。
Pub Date : 2023-05-12 DOI: 10.46234/ccdcw2023.081
Ruitai Shao
Disability, stemming from heredity, chronic illness or injury, constitutes a global public health concern, a human rights matter, and a significant obstacle for social development. In recent years, China has acknowledged the significance of disability prevention and control as an integral aspect of its health strategy, aiming to enhance the overall quality of life for its citizens. However, the evolving landscape of disability epidemiology remains inadequately understood, which substantially hinders precise prevention and control strategies and the optimization of resource distribution. Consequently, there is an urgent necessity for research that provides solid scientific evidence to effectively address this pressing issue. Professors Xiaoying Zheng and Jinfeng Wang, along with their respective teams, have been extensively involved in epidemiological research on population health and disability. Specifically, they have cooperated across disciplines to investigate the spatial prevalence patterns of disability in China over the past few years. The comprehensive results from their research are presented in the 2023 monograph titled “The Atlas of Classified Disability in China: Spatial Statistics and Pattern,” published by China Science Publishing & Media Ltd (1). This pioneering publication, organized into three sections — introduction, sequence map, and disability spectrum — represents the world’s first inquiry into the incidence, distribution, and pattern atlas of disability within a national population. As an individual involved in non-communicable disease management at the World Health Organization headquarters, I highly endorse this book for its significant contributions in the following areas: First, this monograph employs an interdisciplinary approach, combining medical and spatial attribution studies from traditional epidemiology and spatial epidemiology. This innovative method transcends the limitations of conventional analysis. The team identifies multiplicative interactions and linear relationships while pioneering the spatial nonlinear attribution and generalized interaction metric geographic detector model. By incorporating data from the national sample survey on disabled persons and relevant open-source materials, the team has generated the world’s first country-level disability subtype spectrum for the entire population’s lifespan, using data from 734 sampled counties in China. Through rigorous cross-checking, they have established a threeway distribution of disability levels at the county level, providing a comprehensive representation of disability levels, distribution, and pattern track pedigrees with optimal precision. Furthermore, building on previous research regarding gestational age developmental disorders, the team has advanced innovative research in the field of population health across the life course. This work has become a critical foundation for the trinity of “gestational age-aging process-old age” scientific identifica
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引用次数: 0
Pregnancy Loss in Relation to the Risks of Female-Specific Cancers in a Population-Based Cohort and Mendelian Randomization Study - China, 2004-2017. 基于人群的队列和孟德尔随机研究中妊娠损失与女性特异性癌症风险的关系--中国,2004-2017 年。
Pub Date : 2023-05-12 DOI: 10.46234/ccdcw2023.078
Yongle Zhan, Yawen Wang, Yimin Qu, Lin Zhang, Xuan Liu, Ruiyi Liu, Peng Xue, Jiaxu Wang, Dongxu Qin, Hexin Yue, Canqing Yu, Jun Lyu, Yu Guo, Zhengming Chen, Yu Jiang, Liming Li, China Kadoorie Biobank Collaborative Group

What is already known about this topic?: Limited evidence exists regarding the relationship between pregnancy loss and female-specific cancers within the Chinese population from prospective cohort studies.

What is added by this report?: Terminations were associated with a 13% lower risk of endometrial cancer, whereas stillbirths were related to an 18% higher risk of cervical cancer. Rural residents with a history of pregnancy loss experienced a 19% and 38% increased risk of breast and cervical cancers, respectively, compared to their urban counterparts. Moreover, a positive graded relationship between live births and pregnancy loss on cervical cancer was observed.

What are the implications for public health practice?: This study has significant implications for identifying women at an increased risk for breast and genital cancers and contributes to the development of effective public health strategies for female cancer prevention. Future research on reproductive history, particularly in rural areas, should be given priority in efforts to improve female cancer screening and early detection.

本专题的已知信息本报告增加了哪些内容?终止妊娠与子宫内膜癌风险降低 13% 相关,而死胎与宫颈癌风险升高 18% 相关。与城市居民相比,有过流产史的农村居民罹患乳腺癌和宫颈癌的风险分别增加了 19% 和 38%。此外,还观察到活产和妊娠失败对宫颈癌的影响呈正梯度关系:这项研究对于识别乳腺癌和生殖器癌症高危妇女具有重要意义,有助于制定有效的女性癌症预防公共卫生策略。今后在改善女性癌症筛查和早期发现的工作中,应优先考虑对生育史的研究,尤其是在农村地区。
{"title":"Pregnancy Loss in Relation to the Risks of Female-Specific Cancers in a Population-Based Cohort and Mendelian Randomization Study - China, 2004-2017.","authors":"Yongle Zhan, Yawen Wang, Yimin Qu, Lin Zhang, Xuan Liu, Ruiyi Liu, Peng Xue, Jiaxu Wang, Dongxu Qin, Hexin Yue, Canqing Yu, Jun Lyu, Yu Guo, Zhengming Chen, Yu Jiang, Liming Li, China Kadoorie Biobank Collaborative Group","doi":"10.46234/ccdcw2023.078","DOIUrl":"10.46234/ccdcw2023.078","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>What is already known about this topic?: </strong>Limited evidence exists regarding the relationship between pregnancy loss and female-specific cancers within the Chinese population from prospective cohort studies.</p><p><strong>What is added by this report?: </strong>Terminations were associated with a 13% lower risk of endometrial cancer, whereas stillbirths were related to an 18% higher risk of cervical cancer. Rural residents with a history of pregnancy loss experienced a 19% and 38% increased risk of breast and cervical cancers, respectively, compared to their urban counterparts. Moreover, a positive graded relationship between live births and pregnancy loss on cervical cancer was observed.</p><p><strong>What are the implications for public health practice?: </strong>This study has significant implications for identifying women at an increased risk for breast and genital cancers and contributes to the development of effective public health strategies for female cancer prevention. Future research on reproductive history, particularly in rural areas, should be given priority in efforts to improve female cancer screening and early detection.</p>","PeriodicalId":9867,"journal":{"name":"China CDC Weekly","volume":"5 19","pages":"413-418"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/21/21/ccdcw-5-19-413.PMC10235819.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9584058","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Associated Factors of SARS-CoV-2 Reinfection by Omicron Variant - Guangdong Province, China, December 2022 to January 2023. 2022年12月至2023年1月中国广东省SARS-CoV-2基因组变体再感染的相关因素
Pub Date : 2023-05-05 DOI: 10.46234/ccdcw2023.075
Chunsheng Cai, Yihong Li, Ting Hu, Rongwei Liang, Kaibin Wang, Congrui Guo, Yan Li, Meng Zhang, Min Kang

What is already known about this topic?: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) reinfection by variants is being reported commonly and has caused waves of epidemic in many countries. Because of dynamic zero policy, the SARS-CoV-2 reinfection was less reported in China.

What is added by this report?: SARS-CoV-2 reinfections were observed in Guangdong Province between December 2022 and January 2023. This study estimated that the reinfection incidence was 50.0% for the original strain primary infections, 35.2% for the Alpha or Delta variants, and 18.4% for the Omicron variant; The reinfection incidence within 3-6 months after primary infection by Omicron variant was 4.0%. Besides, 96.2% reinfection cases were symptomatic while only 7.7% sought medical attention.

What are the implications for public health practice?: These findings suggest a reduced likelihood of an Omicron-driven epidemic resurgence in the short term but emphasize the importance of maintaining vigilant surveillance of emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants and conducting population-based antibody level surveys to inform response preparedness.

关于这个话题我们已经知道了什么?严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2型(SARS-CoV-2)变异体再感染正在普遍报告,并在许多国家引起了流行浪潮。由于动态零政策,中国SARS-CoV-2再感染报告较少。这份报告增加了什么内容?2022年12月至2023年1月,广东省出现SARS-CoV-2再感染病例。该研究估计,原始菌株原发性感染的再感染发生率为50.0%,α或δ变异为35.2%,Omicron变异为18.4%;原发感染后3 ~ 6个月内再感染发生率为4.0%。此外,96.2%的再感染病例有症状,而就医的仅占7.7%。这对公共卫生实践有什么影响?这些研究结果表明,短期内由欧米克隆驱动的疫情再次爆发的可能性降低,但强调了对新出现的SARS-CoV-2变体保持警惕监测和开展基于人群的抗体水平调查的重要性,以便为应对准备提供信息。
{"title":"The Associated Factors of SARS-CoV-2 Reinfection by Omicron Variant - Guangdong Province, China, December 2022 to January 2023.","authors":"Chunsheng Cai,&nbsp;Yihong Li,&nbsp;Ting Hu,&nbsp;Rongwei Liang,&nbsp;Kaibin Wang,&nbsp;Congrui Guo,&nbsp;Yan Li,&nbsp;Meng Zhang,&nbsp;Min Kang","doi":"10.46234/ccdcw2023.075","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.46234/ccdcw2023.075","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>What is already known about this topic?: </strong>Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) reinfection by variants is being reported commonly and has caused waves of epidemic in many countries. Because of dynamic zero policy, the SARS-CoV-2 reinfection was less reported in China.</p><p><strong>What is added by this report?: </strong>SARS-CoV-2 reinfections were observed in Guangdong Province between December 2022 and January 2023. This study estimated that the reinfection incidence was 50.0% for the original strain primary infections, 35.2% for the Alpha or Delta variants, and 18.4% for the Omicron variant; The reinfection incidence within 3-6 months after primary infection by Omicron variant was 4.0%. Besides, 96.2% reinfection cases were symptomatic while only 7.7% sought medical attention.</p><p><strong>What are the implications for public health practice?: </strong>These findings suggest a reduced likelihood of an Omicron-driven epidemic resurgence in the short term but emphasize the importance of maintaining vigilant surveillance of emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants and conducting population-based antibody level surveys to inform response preparedness.</p>","PeriodicalId":9867,"journal":{"name":"China CDC Weekly","volume":"5 18","pages":"391-396"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/cc/ed/ccdcw-5-18-391.PMC10184471.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9491732","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
The Infection of Healthcare Workers and the Reinfection of Patients by Omicron Variant - Jiangsu Province, China, December 2022 to January 2023. 2022年12月至2023年1月中国江苏省医护人员感染和患者再感染欧米克隆变异
Pub Date : 2023-05-05 DOI: 10.46234/ccdcw2023.074
Chuanmeng Zhang, Ting Guo, Lei Zhang, Aiqin Gu, Jun Ye, Mei Lin, Ming Chu, Fengcai Zhu, Li Zhu

What is already known about this topic?: Healthcare workers (HCWs) and previously infected patients (PIPs) may experience a wave of epidemic following the modification of the country's coronavirus disease (COVID)-zero policy in China.

What is added by this report?: As of early January 2023, the initial wave of the COVID-19 pandemic among HCWs had effectively subsided, with no statistically significant differences observed in infection rates compared to those of their co-occupants. The proportion of reinfections among PIPs was relatively low, particularly in those with recent infections.

What are the implications for public health practice?: Medical and health services have resumed normal operations. For patients who have recently experienced severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections, appropriate relaxation of policies may be considered.

关于这个话题我们已经知道了什么?:在中国修改“零冠状病毒”政策后,医护人员和既往感染患者可能会经历一波疫情。这份报告增加了什么内容?截至2023年1月初,新冠肺炎疫情在医护人员中的第一波流行已经有效消退,其感染率与同住人员的感染率无统计学差异。pip患者的再感染比例相对较低,特别是那些最近感染的患者。这对公共卫生实践有什么影响?*医疗和保健服务已恢复正常运作。对于近期发生严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2 (SARS-CoV-2)感染的患者,可考虑适当放宽政策。
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引用次数: 2
Timing and Magnitude of the Second Wave of the COVID-19 Omicron Variant - 189 Countries and Territories, November 2021 to February 2023. 第二波2019冠状病毒基因组变异的时间和规模——189个国家和地区,2021年11月至2023年2月
Pub Date : 2023-05-05 DOI: 10.46234/ccdcw2023.076
Beidi Niu, Shuyi Ji, Shi Zhao, Hao Lei

What is already known about this topic?: The first nationwide wave of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), driven by the Omicron variant, has largely subsided. However, subsequent epidemic waves are inevitable due to waning immunity and the ongoing evolution of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2.

What is added by this report?: Insights gleaned from other nations offer guidance regarding the timing and scale of potential subsequent waves of COVID-19 in China.

What are the implications for public health practice?: Understanding the timing and magnitude of subsequent waves of COVID-19 in China is crucial for forecasting and mitigating the spread of the infection.

关于这个话题我们已经知道了什么?由欧米克隆变异引起的全国第一波冠状病毒病2019 (COVID-19)已基本消退。然而,由于免疫力下降和严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒的持续演变,随后的流行病浪潮是不可避免的。这份报告增加了什么内容?从其他国家收集到的见解为中国后续可能出现的COVID-19浪潮的时间和规模提供了指导。这对公共卫生实践有什么影响?了解中国后续新冠肺炎疫情爆发的时间和规模对于预测和缓解感染传播至关重要。
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引用次数: 1
Collective and Individual Assessment of the Risk of Death from COVID-19 for the Elderly, 2020-2022. 2020-2022年老年人COVID-19死亡风险的集体和个人评估
Pub Date : 2023-05-05 DOI: 10.46234/ccdcw2023.077
Chaobao Zhang, Hongzhi Wang, Zilu Wen, Zhijun Bao, Xiangqi Li

Introduction: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has had profound disruptions worldwide. For a population or individual, it is critical to assess the risk of death for making preventative decisions.

Methods: In this study, clinical data from approximately 100 million cases were statistically analyzed. A software and an online assessment tool were developed in Python to evaluate the risk of mortality.

Results: Our analysis revealed that 76.51% of COVID-19-related fatalities occurred among individuals aged over 65 years, with frailty-associated deaths accounting for more than 80% of these cases. Furthermore, over 80% of the reported deaths involved unvaccinated individuals. A notable overlap was observed between aging and frailty-associated deaths, both of which were connected to underlying health conditions. For those with at least two comorbidities, the proportion of frailty and the proportion of COVID-19-related death were both close to 75 percent. Subsequently, we established a formula to calculate the number of deaths, which was validated using data from twenty countries and regions. Using this formula, we developed and verified an intelligent software designed to predict the death risk for a given population. To facilitate rapid risk screening on an individual level, we also introduced a six-question online assessment tool.

Conclusions: This study examined the impact of underlying diseases, frailty, age, and vaccination history on COVID-19-related mortality, resulting in a sophisticated software and a user-friendly online scale to assess mortality risk. These tools offer valuable assistance in informed decision-making.

2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)在全球范围内造成了深刻的破坏。对于一个群体或个人来说,评估死亡风险对于做出预防性决策至关重要。方法:对近1亿例患者的临床资料进行统计分析。用Python开发了一个软件和一个在线评估工具来评估死亡风险。结果:我们的分析显示,76.51%的covid -19相关死亡发生在65岁以上的人群中,其中与虚弱相关的死亡占这些病例的80%以上。此外,超过80%的报告死亡涉及未接种疫苗的个人。在衰老和虚弱相关的死亡之间观察到明显的重叠,两者都与潜在的健康状况有关。对于那些至少有两种合并症的人来说,虚弱的比例和covid -19相关死亡的比例都接近75%。随后,我们建立了一个计算死亡人数的公式,并使用来自20个国家和地区的数据对其进行了验证。利用这个公式,我们开发并验证了一个智能软件,用于预测特定人群的死亡风险。为了方便在个人层面上快速筛选风险,我们还引入了一个包含六个问题的在线评估工具。结论:本研究考察了基础疾病、虚弱程度、年龄和疫苗接种史对covid -19相关死亡率的影响,形成了一套完善的软件和用户友好的在线量表来评估死亡风险。这些工具为知情决策提供了宝贵的帮助。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
China CDC Weekly
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