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Evaluating alternative technologies to diesel generation in India using multi-criteria decision analysis 利用多标准决策分析评估印度柴油发电替代技术
Pub Date : 2024-08-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.cles.2024.100133
Ajit Singh , Amruta Joshi , Francis D. Pope , Bhim Singh , Mukesh Khare , Sri Harsha Kota , Jonathan Radcliffe

Diesel generators (DGs) are widely used in India by business and domestic consumers to provide resilience against unreliable power supplies, but have serious adverse environmental and health impacts. Low carbon alternatives to DGs are becoming more widely available and affordable, though technical and non-technical barriers remain to their widespread adoption. Targeted policy and financial interventions would help accelerate the deployment of these alternatives, where such interventions should be based on local needs. To this end, we use a Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) approach to identify appropriate technology alternatives for DGs in residential, industrial and agricultural applications in India. Within this study, the MCDA framework facilitates evidence-based decision-making through structured discussions with local stakeholders and for evaluating the most suitable option from a variety of available alternatives. Overall, our analysis concluded that a hybrid system combining solar PV and battery storage system are considered most suitable for residential, agricultural as well as industrial applications. This study sets out a pragmatic approach for decision makers considering how to minimise the adverse impacts of DGs while recognising the intricacies of requirements of different applications at a local level. Additionally, our approach showcases how co-creation of potential solutions, and ‘transparency’ in the process, can be accomplished in policy-making, which is critical for wider acceptance of interventions.

在印度,企业和家庭用户广泛使用柴油发电机(DGs),以应对不可靠的电力供应,但柴油发电机对环境和健康有严重的负面影响。柴油发电机的低碳替代品越来越广泛,价格也越来越低廉,但技术和非技术方面的障碍仍然阻碍着它们的广泛应用。有针对性的政策和财政干预措施将有助于加快这些替代品的部署,而这些干预措施应基于当地需求。为此,我们采用了多标准决策分析(MCDA)方法,为印度住宅、工业和农业应用中的 DGs 确定合适的替代技术。在这项研究中,MCDA 框架通过与当地利益相关者进行结构化讨论,促进了循证决策,并从各种可用替代方案中评估出最合适的方案。总体而言,我们的分析得出结论,认为太阳能光伏发电与电池储能系统相结合的混合系统最适合住宅、农业和工业应用。这项研究为决策者提供了一种务实的方法,帮助他们考虑如何最大限度地减少可再生能源发电机的不利影响,同时认识到地方层面不同应用需求的复杂性。此外,我们的方法还展示了如何在决策过程中共同创造潜在的解决方案和实现过程的 "透明度",这对于更广泛地接受干预措施至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing wind power forecasting accuracy with hybrid deep learning and teaching-learning-based optimization 利用混合深度学习和基于教学的优化提高风能预测精度
Pub Date : 2024-08-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.cles.2024.100139
Mohd Herwan Sulaiman , Zuriani Mustaffa

Forecasting wind power generation is crucial for ensuring grid security and the competitiveness of the power market. This paper presents an innovative approach that combines deep learning (DL) with Teaching-Learning-Based Optimization (TLBO) to predict wind power output accurately. Using a real dataset spanning diverse weather conditions and turbine specifications collected between January 2018 and March 2020, the study employs 18 features as inputs, including Ambient Temperature, Wind Direction, and Wind Speed, with real power output in kW as the target variable. Metaheuristic algorithms including Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Barnacles Mating Optimizer (BMO), Biogeography-Based Optimization (BBO), and Firefly Algorithm (FA) are comprehensively compared for model optimization. TLBO-DL consistently provides forecasts that closely align with actual wind power values across instances, substantiated by its low RMSE of 98.7601, indicating effective minimization of errors in wind power forecasting. Comparative analysis with other algorithms reveals that TLBO-DL outperforms PSO-DL (RMSE: 102.6627), BMO-DL (RMSE: 132.4839), BBO-DL (RMSE: 103.8517), and FA-DL (RMSE: 104.7282) in terms of overall forecasting accuracy. The variations in the performance of other algorithms across instances highlight the robustness and effectiveness of TLBO-DL in achieving accurate wind power forecasts. Overall, TLBO-DL emerges as a reliable and superior algorithm for wind power forecasting, consistently providing accurate forecasts across a range of instances.

预测风力发电量对于确保电网安全和电力市场竞争力至关重要。本文提出了一种创新方法,将深度学习(DL)与基于教学学习的优化(TLBO)相结合,以准确预测风力发电量。该研究利用 2018 年 1 月至 2020 年 3 月期间收集的跨越各种天气条件和涡轮机规格的真实数据集,采用 18 种特征作为输入,包括环境温度、风向和风速,以千瓦为单位的实际功率输出作为目标变量。综合比较了粒子群优化算法(PSO)、藤壶交配优化算法(BMO)、基于生物地理学的优化算法(BBO)和萤火虫算法(FA)等元追求算法,对模型进行优化。TLBO-DL 的 RMSE 值低至 98.7601,表明其在风力发电预测中有效地减少了误差。与其他算法的对比分析表明,TLBO-DL 的总体预测精度优于 PSO-DL(RMSE:102.6627)、BMO-DL(RMSE:132.4839)、BBO-DL(RMSE:103.8517)和 FA-DL(RMSE:104.7282)。其他算法在不同情况下的性能差异凸显了 TLBO-DL 在实现准确风电预测方面的稳健性和有效性。总体而言,TLBO-DL 是一种可靠且优越的风电预测算法,在各种情况下都能持续提供准确的预测。
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引用次数: 0
A comparative study of floating and ground-mounted photovoltaic power generation in Indian contexts 印度浮动和地面光伏发电比较研究
Pub Date : 2024-08-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.cles.2024.100140
Anusuya K , Vijayakumar K

The escalating global demand for energy and growing environmental concerns have stimulated the development of renewable energy-based power systems. In this context, solar power has gained significant attention, notably in the form of floating photovoltaic systems. These systems, installed on water bodies, not only boost efficiency but also reduce water evaporation from reservoirs. This research explores the power generation capabilities of floating photovoltaic systems in comparison to ground-mounted photovoltaic systems, considering a 250-watt monocrystalline photovoltaic panel. This study utilizes typical meteorological year data to comprehensively analyze four distinct locations in India. By using a single-diode model, this study finds that floating photovoltaic systems provide 6–7 % more power output than ground-mounted photovoltaic systems. This efficiency gain is because the floating photovoltaic panels operate at a lower temperature (4–6 °C) than their ground-mounted photovoltaic counterparts, positively influencing the overall performance. Furthermore, the degradation and soiling of ground-mounted photovoltaic and floating photovoltaic systems were also compared. The financial analysis reveals that ground-mounted photovoltaic systems typically have a lower levelized cost of electricity and shorter payback periods. Even though the financial indicators of floating photovoltaic systems are not favorable compared to ground-mounted photovoltaic systems, these results show how vital floating photovoltaic technology is for achieving the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals and how it could be used as an efficient technique to reduce land requirements for solar photovoltaic solutions in various geographical conditions.

全球能源需求的不断增长和对环境问题的日益关注,推动了以可再生能源为基础的电力系统的发展。在这种情况下,太阳能发电,特别是浮动光电系统受到了极大关注。这些系统安装在水体上,不仅能提高效率,还能减少水库的水蒸发量。本研究以 250 瓦单晶硅光伏板为例,探讨了浮动光伏系统与地面光伏系统的发电能力对比。本研究利用典型气象年数据,对印度四个不同地点进行了全面分析。通过使用单二极管模型,本研究发现浮动光伏系统比地面安装光伏系统多输出 6-7% 的电力。之所以能提高效率,是因为浮动光伏电池板的工作温度(4-6 °C)比地面安装的光伏电池板低,从而对整体性能产生了积极影响。此外,还比较了地面光伏系统和浮动光伏系统的降解和脏污情况。财务分析表明,地面光伏系统的平准化电力成本通常较低,投资回收期较短。尽管与地面安装光伏系统相比,浮动光伏系统的财务指标并不理想,但这些结果表明,浮动光伏技术对于实现联合国可持续发展目标至关重要,而且可以作为一种有效的技术,在各种地理条件下减少太阳能光伏解决方案对土地的需求。
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引用次数: 0
Short-Term forecasting of floating photovoltaic power generation using machine learning models 利用机器学习模型对浮动光伏发电进行短期预测
Pub Date : 2024-08-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.cles.2024.100137
Mohd Herwan Sulaiman , Mohd Shawal Jadin , Zuriani Mustaffa , Mohd Nurulakla Mohd Azlan , Hamdan Daniyal

Floating photovoltaic (FPV) power generation requires accurate short-term forecasting to optimize operational efficiency and enhance grid integration. This study investigates the application of machine learning models for predicting FPV power generation using data from the Universiti Malaysia Pahang Al-Sultan Abdullah (UMPSA) solar installation, which has a capacity of 157.20 kWp. Data were collected at 15-minute intervals from January 15 to January 21, 2024, encompassing nine input features such as ambient temperature, transient horizontal irradiation, daily horizontal irradiation, AC voltages, and AC currents for phases A, B, and C, with the total active power in kW as the target variable. The dataset was divided into a training set (first five days) and a testing set (remaining two days), and five machine learning models—Neural Networks (NN), Random Forest (RF), Extreme Learning Machine (ELM), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)—were employed. The results indicate that the Neural Networks model consistently outperforms the other machine learning algorithms in terms of predictive accuracy. These findings underscore the efficacy of machine learning techniques in forecasting FPV power generation, which has significant implications for enhancing the operational efficiency and grid integration of floating solar installations.

浮动光伏(FPV)发电需要准确的短期预测,以优化运行效率并加强并网。本研究利用马来西亚彭亨苏丹阿卜杜拉大学(UMPSA)太阳能装置(发电量为 157.20 kWp)的数据,研究了机器学习模型在预测 FPV 发电量中的应用。数据收集时间为 2024 年 1 月 15 日至 1 月 21 日,每隔 15 分钟收集一次,包含九个输入特征,如环境温度、瞬时水平辐照度、每日水平辐照度、交流电压以及 A、B 和 C 相的交流电流,目标变量为以千瓦为单位的总有功功率。数据集分为训练集(前五天)和测试集(剩余两天),并采用了五种机器学习模型--神经网络(NN)、随机森林(RF)、极限学习机(ELM)、支持向量回归(SVR)和长短期记忆(LSTM)。结果表明,就预测准确性而言,神经网络模型始终优于其他机器学习算法。这些发现强调了机器学习技术在预测 FPV 发电量方面的功效,这对提高浮动太阳能装置的运行效率和并网具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing energy access in rural areas: Intelligent microgrid management for universal telecommunications and electricity 加强农村地区的能源供应:普及电信和电力的智能微电网管理
Pub Date : 2024-08-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.cles.2024.100136
Kanlou Zandjina Dadjiogou , Ayité Sénah Akoda Ajavon , Yao Bokovi

In rural areas lacking an electricity grid, cell phone operators use generators to power their facilities. At the same time, however, the local population is finding it difficult to use the cell phones and other electronic devices for which these operators are deploying their efforts. This situation, due to the problem of access to energy, hinders universal access to telecommunications. The present study aims to solve this problem using microgrid techniques. A microgrid consisting of photovoltaic panels, a genset and storage batteries has been designed to meet the needs of cell phone operators' sites in Bapure, a rural locality in Togo. The focus is on managing energy flows between the various sources of the microgrid, and between the needs of the cell phone operators' site and those of the local population. To resolve the lack of solar irradiation data at Bapure, hourly solar irradiation was predicted using the Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) algorithm to obtain a realistic result. Optimization studies were then carried out using the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm to determine the optimum system configuration to ensure continuity of service at the operator's site. The simulation results show that the proposed system has a surplus of energy production at all times, which can be used to supply electricity to the population at a cost equal to 0.0185 USD, with a solar energy utilization rate of 98,95 % and a generator that only needs to operate at 0.15 % throughout the year. The results obtained indicate that a renewable energy system can provide a more efficient solution for electrifying the rural mobile operator's sites and the local population, and can improve the quality of service for the telecommunications industries.

在缺乏电网的农村地区,手机运营商使用发电机为其设施供电。但与此同时,当地居民却很难使用这些运营商所使用的手机和其他电子设备。由于能源问题,这种情况阻碍了电信的普及。本研究旨在利用微电网技术解决这一问题。为满足多哥农村地区 Bapure 手机运营商站点的需求,设计了一个由光伏电池板、发电机组和蓄电池组成的微电网。重点是管理微电网各种能源之间的能量流,以及手机运营商站点和当地居民需求之间的能量流。为了解决 Bapure 缺乏太阳辐照数据的问题,使用自适应神经模糊推理系统 (ANFIS) 算法对每小时的太阳辐照进行了预测,以获得符合实际的结果。然后使用粒子群优化(PSO)算法进行优化研究,以确定最佳系统配置,确保运营商现场服务的连续性。模拟结果表明,建议的系统在任何时候都有能源生产过剩,可用于向居民供电,成本为 0.0185 美元,太阳能利用率为 98.95%,发电机全年只需运行 0.15%。研究结果表明,可再生能源系统可以为农村移动运营商站点和当地居民的电气化提供更有效的解决方案,并能提高电信行业的服务质量。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing the impact of temperature on PV module surface during electricity generation using machine learning models 利用机器学习模型分析发电过程中温度对光伏组件表面的影响
Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.cles.2024.100135
S. M. Rezaul Karim , Debasish Sarker , Md. Monirul Kabir

Use of fossil fuel in industries causes Carbon emission, which is mostly responsible for global warming. Another aspect is that environment friendly energy production and sustainable development goal is highly dependent on the production of clean energy. According to the IEA solar energy has a huge potential and will contribute up to 16 % of the global electricity by 2050. Hence, prediction of solar energy production has a great deal of demand in renewable energy sector. This paper compares machine-learning algorithms to evaluate the impact of PV module back surface temperature (degC) on the generated power. Support Vector Machine for Regression (SMOreg), Multilayer Perceptron (ANN), Linear Regression, M5 Rules, k-Nearest-Neighbor (Ibk) and Random Forest methods are employed to test their performance in different ratio of training and testing data. The dataset comprises five independent parameters such as PV module back surface temperature (degC), Dry bulb temperature (degC), Relative humidity (%RH), Atmospheric pressure (mb), and Precipitation (mm). The dependent parameter is Maximum power of PV module (W). The correlation coefficient was determined by varying the percentage of training data from 60 % to 85 %. The numerical tests were done for two data sets, one dataset includes all the independent variables and another one excluded the PV module back surface temperature. Except for M5 Rules, other models exhibit consistent correlation coefficients with several of training data. All models demonstrate a dependency on the PV module back surface temperature, with Random Forest surpassing others in overall performance with a correlation coefficient of 0.9713 at 75 % of training set.

工业使用化石燃料会造成碳排放,而碳排放是全球变暖的主要原因。另一方面,环境友好型能源生产和可持续发展目标高度依赖于清洁能源的生产。国际能源机构认为,太阳能潜力巨大,到 2050 年将占全球电力的 16%。因此,太阳能生产预测在可再生能源领域有着巨大的需求。本文比较了机器学习算法,以评估光伏组件背面温度(摄氏度)对发电量的影响。本文采用了支持向量机回归(SMOreg)、多层感知器(ANN)、线性回归、M5 规则、k-最近邻(Ibk)和随机森林方法,以测试它们在不同训练和测试数据比例下的性能。数据集包括五个独立参数,如光伏组件背面温度(摄氏度)、干球温度(摄氏度)、相对湿度(%RH)、大气压力(mb)和降水量(毫米)。因变量是光伏组件的最大功率(瓦)。相关系数是通过将训练数据的百分比从 60% 调整到 85% 来确定的。对两个数据集进行了数值测试,一个数据集包括所有自变量,另一个数据集不包括光伏组件背面温度。除 M5 规则外,其他模型与几个训练数据的相关系数一致。所有模型都显示出对光伏组件背面温度的依赖性,其中随机森林模型在 75% 的训练集上相关系数为 0.9713,在总体性能上超过了其他模型。
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引用次数: 0
Smart agriculture technology: An integrated framework of renewable energy resources, IoT-based energy management, and precision robotics 智能农业技术:可再生能源、基于物联网的能源管理和精准机器人技术的综合框架
Pub Date : 2024-08-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.cles.2024.100132
Anis Ur Rehman , Yasser Alamoudi , Haris M. Khalid , Abdennabi Morchid , S.M. Muyeen , Almoataz Y. Abdelaziz

Modern agricultural practices encounter challenges related to operational efficiency and environmental effects. This prompts a demand for innovative solutions to foster sustainability in farming while emphasizing the limitations of conventional farming methods. To address these challenges in modern agriculture systems, this research proposes a comprehensive framework for smart farming. The proposed framework comprises of three technology integrations: 1) an efficient integration of renewable energy resources (RERs) with solar panels and battery energy storage systems (BESS), 2) an IoT-based environmental monitoring for precision irrigation, and 3) an android application-controlled precision robotic system for targeted chemical application. The proposed framework investigates a case study on Sharjah, United Arab Emirates (UAE) to explore and analyze optimal scenarios of multiple energy resources. Results demonstrate successful cross-prototype integration through the Blynk IoT platform providing users with a unified interface. Furthermore, the results provide a comprehensive analysis and investigation into the interactions between RERs and the grid across various combinations. The findings indicate the potential of this framework to revolutionize agriculture and thus offer a sustainable, efficient, and technologically advanced approach. It also represents the contribution of a complete solution to modern agricultural challenges presenting tangible results for a promising future in smart and sustainable farming practices.

现代农业实践遇到了与运营效率和环境影响有关的挑战。这促使人们在强调传统耕作方法局限性的同时,需要创新的解决方案来促进农业的可持续发展。为应对现代农业系统面临的这些挑战,本研究提出了一个智能农业综合框架。建议的框架包括三项技术集成:1)太阳能电池板和电池储能系统(BESS)与可再生能源(RER)的有效整合;2)基于物联网的环境监测,实现精准灌溉;3)安卓应用控制的精准机器人系统,实现有针对性的化学应用。建议的框架调查了阿拉伯联合酋长国(阿联酋)沙迦的一个案例研究,以探索和分析多种能源资源的最佳应用场景。结果表明,通过为用户提供统一界面的 Blynk 物联网平台,成功实现了跨原型集成。此外,研究结果还全面分析和研究了各种组合的可再生能源发电设备与电网之间的相互作用。研究结果表明,该框架有可能彻底改变农业,从而提供一种可持续、高效和技术先进的方法。它还代表了一种应对现代农业挑战的完整解决方案,为智能和可持续农业实践的美好未来提供了切实的成果。
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引用次数: 0
Advancing battery state of charge estimation in electric vehicles through deep learning: A comprehensive study using real-world driving data 通过深度学习推进电动汽车电池充电状态估算:使用真实世界驾驶数据的综合研究
Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cles.2024.100131
Mohd Herwan Sulaiman , Zuriani Mustaffa , Saifudin Razali , Mohd Razali Daud

Accurately estimating the State of Charge (SOC) in Electric Vehicles (EVs) is critical for battery management and operational efficiency. This paper presents a Deep Learning (DL) approach to address this challenge, utilizing Feed-Forward Neural Networks (FFNN) to estimate SOC in real-world EV scenarios. The research used data from 70 driving sessions with a BMW i3 EV. Each session recorded key factors like voltage, current, and temperature, providing inputs for the DL model. The recorded SOC values served as outputs. We divided the dataset into training, validation, and testing subsets to develop and evaluate the FFNN model. The results demonstrate that the FFNN model yields minimal errors and significantly improves SOC estimation accuracy. Our comparative analysis with other machine learning techniques shows that FFNN outperforms them, with an approximately 2.87 % lower root mean square error (RMSE) compared to the second-best method, Extreme Learning Machine (ELM). This work has significant implications for electric vehicle battery management, demonstrating that deep learning methods can enhance SOC estimation, thereby improving the efficiency and reliability of EV operations.

准确估计电动汽车(EV)的充电状态(SOC)对于电池管理和运行效率至关重要。本文提出了一种深度学习(DL)方法来应对这一挑战,利用前馈神经网络(FFNN)来估计真实电动汽车场景中的 SOC。研究使用了宝马 i3 电动汽车 70 次驾驶的数据。每次驾驶都记录了电压、电流和温度等关键因素,为 DL 模型提供输入。记录的 SOC 值作为输出。我们将数据集分为训练、验证和测试子集,以开发和评估 FFNN 模型。结果表明,FFNN 模型产生的误差最小,并显著提高了 SOC 估算的准确性。我们与其他机器学习技术的比较分析表明,FFNN 的表现优于其他机器学习技术,其均方根误差 (RMSE) 比排名第二的极限学习机 (ELM) 低约 2.87%。这项工作对电动汽车电池管理具有重要意义,证明了深度学习方法可以增强 SOC 估算,从而提高电动汽车运行的效率和可靠性。
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引用次数: 0
Very short-term wind power forecasting for real-time operation using hybrid deep learning model with optimization algorithm 利用带优化算法的混合深度学习模型进行实时运行的极短期风力发电预测
Pub Date : 2024-07-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.cles.2024.100129
Md. Omer Faruque , Md. Alamgir Hossain , Md. Rashidul Islam , S.M. Mahfuz Alam , Ashish Kumar Karmaker

This paper proposes a new hybrid deep learning model to enhance the accuracy of forecasting very short-term wind power generation. The proposed model comprises a convolutional layer, a long-short-term memory (LSTM) unit, and fully connected neural network. Convolution layer can automatically learn complicated features from the raw input, whereas the LSTM layers can retain useful information through which gradient information may flow over extended periods. To obtain the best performance from the forecasting model, a random search optimization technique has been developed for tuning hyper-parameters of the model developed. The 5 min datasets from the White Rock wind farm, Australia are used to investigate the effectiveness of the proposed model as wind farms are participating in spot electricity market. To compare the effectiveness, the proposed model is compared with the existing models, such as convolution neural network (CNN), LSTM, gated recurrent unit (GRU), bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM), artificial neural network (ANN), and support vector machine (SVM). The root-mean-square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and Theil’s inequality coefficient (TIC) are used to analyze and compare the performances of the predictive models. Based on RMSE and MAE, the proposed model exhibits a higher accuracy of approximately 23.79% and 28.63% compared to other forecasting methods, respectively.

本文提出了一种新的混合深度学习模型,以提高极短期风力发电量预测的准确性。该模型由卷积层、长短期记忆(LSTM)单元和全连接神经网络组成。卷积层可以从原始输入中自动学习复杂的特征,而长短时记忆层则可以保留有用的信息,梯度信息可通过这些信息在较长时间内流动。为了从预测模型中获得最佳性能,我们开发了一种随机搜索优化技术,用于调整所开发模型的超参数。澳大利亚白石风力发电场的 5 分钟数据集被用于研究拟议模型的有效性,因为风力发电场参与了现货电力市场。为了比较其有效性,将所提出的模型与卷积神经网络 (CNN)、LSTM、门控递归单元 (GRU)、双向 LSTM (BiLSTM)、人工神经网络 (ANN) 和支持向量机 (SVM) 等现有模型进行了比较。采用均方根误差(RMSE)、平均绝对误差(MAE)和 Theil 不等式系数(TIC)来分析和比较预测模型的性能。根据 RMSE 和 MAE,与其他预测方法相比,建议的模型表现出更高的准确率,分别约为 23.79% 和 28.63%。
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引用次数: 0
A SWOT Analysis Approach for the Development of Photovoltaic (PV) Energy in Northern Nigeria 尼日利亚北部光伏能源开发的 SWOT 分析方法
Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.cles.2024.100128
Anas A. Bisu , Tariq G. Ahmed , Umar S. Ahmad , Abubakar D. Maiwada

This research employs a comprehensive Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats (SWOT) analysis to investigate the advancement of photovoltaic (PV) energy in Northern Nigeria. The study delves into the intricacies of introducing PV systems within the context of economic challenges, including issues such as currency volatility and inflation, which amplify costs and impede capital investments. Environmental factors, such as dust and sandstorms, are identified as obstacles diminishing the efficiency of solar panels. Additionally, security concerns in remote areas elevate operational costs and influence investment decisions. This paper proposes effective mitigation strategies, encompassing widespread public awareness campaigns to augment market engagement, the establishment of mini-grid systems for enhanced energy distribution, customised on-the-job training programs to foster local expertise in PV technology, and the utilisation of micro-grid systems as experimental grounds for regulatory and policy testing. By synthesising these components, the study offers a comprehensive overview of the prerequisites essential for the successful proliferation of PV energy in Northern Nigeria. Emphasis is placed on the potential for solar energy to significantly contribute to the region's sustainable development and achieve energy independence when the identified strength, and opportunities are exploited. The key strength identified are the average Global horizontal irradiance (GHI) of 5.436 kWh/m2, Direct Normal Irradiance (DNI) of 1534–1680 kWh/m2, Levelised Cost of Electricity (LCoE) of $ 0.1, and an opportunity to fully utilise the over $ 7.88 million grant authorised by the African Development Bank (AfDB) from the Sustainable Energy Fund for Africa.

本研究采用全面的优势、劣势、机会和威胁 (SWOT) 分析方法,调查尼日利亚北部光伏能源的发展情况。研究深入探讨了在经济挑战背景下引入光伏系统的复杂性,包括货币波动和通货膨胀等问题,这些问题放大了成本并阻碍了资本投资。沙尘暴等环境因素被认为是降低太阳能电池板效率的障碍。此外,偏远地区的安全问题也会提高运营成本,影响投资决策。本文提出了有效的缓解策略,包括开展广泛的公众宣传活动以提高市场参与度,建立微型电网系统以加强能源分配,定制在职培训计划以培养当地的光伏技术专业人才,以及利用微电网系统作为监管和政策测试的实验场地。通过综合这些内容,本研究全面概述了在尼日利亚北部成功推广光伏能源所必需的先决条件。研究强调了太阳能的潜力,即在利用已确定的优势和机遇的情况下,太阳能可极大地促进该地区的可持续发展并实现能源独立。已确定的主要优势包括:平均全球水平辐照度 (GHI) 为 5.436 kWh/m2,直接正常辐照度 (DNI) 为 1534-1680 kWh/m2,平准化电力成本 (LCoE) 为 0.1 美元,以及充分利用非洲开发银行 (AfDB) 从非洲可持续能源基金 (Sustainable Energy Fund for Africa) 批准的 788 万美元赠款的机会。
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Cleaner Energy Systems
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