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Major ice storms in the United States, 1949–2000 1949-2000年美国的主要冰暴
Pub Date : 2002-01-01 DOI: 10.3763/ehaz.2002.0412
S. Changnon, Joyce M. Changnon
Abstract An extensive new database identifying ice storm losses allowed a first, definitive assessment of these storms in the US. During 1949–2000, 87 major ice storms each causing property losses >$1 million, occurred and resulting losses totaled $16.3 billion. Storm frequencies and losses were greatest in the northeast, southeast, and central US, and only 3 percent occurred in the nation's west. More freezing rain occurrences in the Deep South produce major storms than do occurrences elsewhere in the US, a result of variations in prevailing storm-producing conditions. Severe ice storms peaked in 1993–2000 when losses totaled $5.8 billion. Losses in the nation's west were infrequent but most occurred since 1982. Recent increases in ice storm losses in the faster growing areas of the nation reflect increasing societal vulnerabilityto ice storms.
一个广泛的确定冰暴损失的新数据库允许对美国的这些风暴进行首次,明确的评估。在1949年至2000年期间,共发生了87次重大冰暴,每次造成的财产损失超过100万美元,造成的损失总计163亿美元。美国东北部、东南部和中部的风暴频率和损失最大,只有3%发生在美国西部。与美国其他地区相比,美国南部腹地产生大风暴的冻雨次数更多,这是主要风暴产生条件变化的结果。严重的冰暴在1993-2000年达到顶峰,损失总额达58亿美元。美国西部的损失并不常见,但大多发生在1982年以后。最近,在美国发展较快的地区,冰暴损失的增加反映了社会对冰暴的脆弱性日益增加。
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引用次数: 12
Editor's Note 编者按
Pub Date : 2002-01-01 DOI: 10.3763/ehaz.2002.0409
B. Wisner
The Editors wish to point out that the Policy Forum which was reported in Environmental Hazards Vol. 3 (3–4) was inspired and organized by Ben Wisner, based on a discussion panel about ‘‘human rights and disaster’’ at the July 2001 Natural Hazards Research and Applications Workshop in Boulder, CO. A summary of the Boulder panel’s work is available at http://www.colorado.edu/hazards/ss/ss01/s19.html. We apologize to Professor Wisner for this oversight.
编辑们希望指出,在《环境危害》第3卷(3 - 4)中报道的政策论坛是由本·威斯纳启发和组织的,以2001年7月在科罗拉多州博尔德举行的自然灾害研究和应用研讨会上关于“人权与灾难”的讨论小组为基础。博尔德小组的工作摘要可在http://www.colorado.edu/hazards/ss/ss01/s19.html上查阅。我们为这个疏忽向威斯纳教授道歉。
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引用次数: 0
Flood disaster monitoring and evaluation in China 中国洪水灾害监测与评价
Pub Date : 2002-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/S1464-2867(03)00002-0
Jiqun Zhang , Chenghu Zhou , Kaiqin Xu , Masataka Watanabe

China frequently experiences natural disasters, of which flooding is the most serious. How to monitor and control natural disasters, assess damage, and provide relief is the most urgent problem for the Chinese government and disaster experts. A national integrated system using remote sensing, geographic information systems, the Global Positioning System, and other technology for monitoring and evaluating flood disasters has been assembled and tried out for 3 years. The system has played an important role in flood mitigation during the trial and has become a key part of the flood management system at China's National Flood Control Headquarters. This paper presents an overview of the system and its use in China.

中国经常遭受自然灾害,其中最严重的是洪水。如何监测和控制自然灾害,评估损失,提供救援,是中国政府和灾害专家最紧迫的问题。利用遥感、地理信息系统、全球定位系统等技术,构建了全国洪水灾害监测评估综合系统,并进行了3年的试验。该系统在试验期间发挥了重要的防洪作用,并已成为中国国家防汛指挥部洪水管理系统的重要组成部分。本文介绍了该系统的概况及其在中国的应用情况。
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引用次数: 0
Public involvement in the Red River Basin management decisions and preparedness for the next flood 公众参与红河流域的管理决策和下一次洪水的准备工作
Pub Date : 2002-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.hazards.2003.10.001
C.Emdad Haque , Michael Kolba , Pauline Morton , Nancy P. Quinn

The focus of this study is public participation in the water resource and associated hazards management decision-making processes. It explores the importance, feasibility, and effectiveness of public participation in the flood management, decision-making process, with particular attention to the case of the Red River Basin of Manitoba, Canada. The nature and efficacy of public participation in the hearings conducted by the International Joint Commission (IJC) in the aftermath of the 1997 Red River flood are critically reviewed. The results of the analysis suggest that the IJC has been more sensitive to the views of the public and concerned stakeholders than the Red River Basin Task Force. The IJC incorporated a substantial portion of the opinions, suggestions, and concerns expressed by the public into the final recommendations produced by the commission for the Canadian and American federal governments. Public participation was an integral component of the IJC hearings, and was expected to contribute to flood preparedness in the future. The reasons for such accommodation of public and the stakeholders’ views in decision-making are primarily attributed to making the proposed projects and programs socio-economically and politically feasible. Because of their general characteristics, the lessons from the case of the Red River Basin could be used as an effective tool in other resource and environmental hazard management areas.

本研究的重点是公众参与水资源和相关危害管理决策过程。它探讨了公众参与洪水管理和决策过程的重要性、可行性和有效性,并特别关注了加拿大马尼托巴省红河流域的案例。对1997年红河洪水后由国际联合委员会(IJC)主持的听证会中公众参与的性质和效力进行了批判性的审查。分析结果表明,IJC比红河流域特别工作组对公众和相关利益相关者的意见更为敏感。IJC将公众表达的大部分意见、建议和关注纳入了委员会为加拿大和美国联邦政府提出的最终建议。公众参与是委员会听证会的一个组成部分,预计将有助于今后的防洪工作。在决策过程中如此迁就公众和利益相关者的观点,主要是为了使拟议的项目和计划在社会经济和政治上可行。由于红河流域的一般特点,红河流域的经验教训可以作为其他资源和环境危害管理领域的有效工具。
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引用次数: 0
Major ice storms in the United States, 1949–2000 1949-2000年美国的主要冰暴
Pub Date : 2002-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.hazards.2003.07.001
Stanley A. Changnon, Joyce M. Changnon

An extensive new database identifying ice storm losses allowed a first, definitive assessment of these storms in the US. During 1949–2000, 87 major ice storms each causing property losses >$1 million, occurred and resulting losses totaled $16.3 billion. Storm frequencies and losses were greatest in the northeast, southeast, and central US, and only 3 percent occurred in the nation's west. More freezing rain occurrences in the Deep South produce major storms than do occurrences elsewhere in the US, a result of variations in prevailing storm-producing conditions. Severe ice storms peaked in 1993–2000 when losses totaled $5.8 billion. Losses in the nation's west were infrequent but most occurred since 1982. Recent increases in ice storm losses in the faster growing areas of the nation reflect increasing societal vulnerability to ice storms.

一个确定冰暴损失的广泛的新数据库允许对美国的这些风暴进行首次,明确的评估。在1949年至2000年期间,发生了87次重大冰暴,每次造成100万美元的财产损失,造成的损失总计163亿美元。美国东北部、东南部和中部的风暴频率和损失最大,只有3%发生在美国西部。与美国其他地区相比,美国南部腹地产生大风暴的冻雨次数更多,这是主要风暴产生条件变化的结果。严重的冰暴在1993-2000年达到顶峰,损失总额达58亿美元。美国西部的损失并不常见,但大多发生在1982年以后。最近,在美国发展较快的地区,冰暴损失的增加反映了社会对冰暴的脆弱性日益增加。
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引用次数: 0
Business interruption losses from natural hazards: conceptual and methodological issues in the case of the Northridge earthquake 自然灾害造成的业务中断损失:以北岭地震为例的概念和方法问题
Pub Date : 2002-01-01 DOI: 10.3763/ehaz.2002.0401
A. Rose, D. Lim
Abstract This paper presents several refinements in a hazard loss estimation methodology and applies it to measuring business interruption losses from utility lifeline disruptions following the Northridge Earthquake. The analysis indicates that losses are highly sensitive to business resiliency. The results are then compared with survey-based estimates in an attempt at model validation.
摘要:本文提出了几种危害损失估计方法的改进,并将其应用于测量北岭地震后公用事业生命线中断造成的业务中断损失。分析表明,损失对业务弹性高度敏感。然后将结果与基于调查的估计进行比较,以尝试模型验证。
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引用次数: 233
Knowing sufficient and applying more: challenges in hazards management 充分了解和应用:危害管理的挑战
Pub Date : 2002-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/S1464-2867(03)00003-2
Juergen Weichselgartner , Michael Obersteiner
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引用次数: 16
Predicting long-term business recovery from disaster: a comparison of the Loma Prieta earthquake and Hurricane Andrew 预测灾难后的长期商业复苏:洛马普列塔地震和安德鲁飓风的比较
Pub Date : 2002-01-01 DOI: 10.3763/ehaz.2002.0405
Gary R. Webb, K. Tierney, James M. Dahlhamer
Abstract This paper examines long-term recovery outcomes of businesses impacted by major natural disasters. Data were collected via two large-scale mail surveys—one administered to Santa Cruz County, California businesses 8 years after the Loma Prieta earthquake and the other administered to businesses in South Dade County, Florida, 6 years after Hurricane Andrew. Based on the results of OLS regression models, we argue that long-term recovery experiences of businesses are affected by various factors, including the economic sector in which a business operates, its age and financial condition, and the scope of its primary market; direct and indirect disaster impacts, including physical damage, forced closure, and disruption of operations; and owner perceptions of the broader economic climate. Previous disaster experience, level of disaster preparedness, and use of external sources of aid were not found to significantly affect the long-term economic viability of businesses in the two study communities.
摘要本文研究了受重大自然灾害影响的企业的长期恢复结果。数据是通过两项大规模邮件调查收集的——一项是在洛马·普里塔地震发生8年后对加州圣克鲁斯县的企业进行的,另一项是在安德鲁飓风发生6年后对佛罗里达州南戴德县的企业进行的。基于OLS回归模型的结果,我们认为企业的长期复苏经验受到多种因素的影响,包括企业经营的经济部门,企业的年龄和财务状况,以及主要市场的范围;直接和间接的灾害影响,包括物质损失、被迫关闭和业务中断;以及业主对整体经济环境的看法。在两个研究社区中,以往的灾害经验、备灾水平和外部援助来源的使用并未显著影响企业的长期经济生存能力。
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引用次数: 249
Flash flood mitigation: recommendations for research and applications 缓解山洪暴发:对研究和应用的建议
Pub Date : 2002-01-01 DOI: 10.3763/ehaz.2002.0402
B. Montz, E. Gruntfest
Abstract New technologies promise reduced flash flood losses. However, real-time observations with vast multi-sensor networks, more precise mapping capabilities using remote sensing and GIS, quicker hydrological and meteorological models, and increasing forecast lead times have not reduced losses. In November, 1999, 35 researchers from nine countries met in Ravello, Italy at a NATO sponsored Advanced Study Institute, to discuss these issues and to develop a research agenda that incorporates the various components required to cope with flash floods. The key recommendations from the Institute were: (1) greater emphasis on increasing understanding of the social processes involved in flash flood warning, particularly in the response phases, and (2) the need to reduce vulnerability in sustainable ways compatible with long-term economic and social goals. The relationship between hydrometeorology and social science is seen as critical to advancing our abilities to cope with flash floods.
新技术有望减少山洪暴发造成的损失。然而,利用庞大的多传感器网络进行实时观测、利用遥感和地理信息系统进行更精确的制图、建立更快的水文和气象模型以及增加预报提前期并没有减少损失。1999年11月,来自9个国家的35名研究人员在意大利拉维罗的一个北约资助的高级研究所会面,讨论了这些问题,并制定了一项研究议程,其中包括应对山洪暴发所需的各种组成部分。该研究所的主要建议是:(1)更加重视提高对山洪预警所涉及的社会过程的理解,特别是在响应阶段;(2)需要以符合长期经济和社会目标的可持续方式减少脆弱性。水文气象学和社会科学之间的关系被认为对提高我们应对山洪暴发的能力至关重要。
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引用次数: 140
Flood disaster monitoring and evaluation in China 中国洪水灾害监测与评价
Pub Date : 2002-01-01 DOI: 10.3763/ehaz.2002.0404
Jiqun Zhang, Chenghu Zhou, Kaiqin Xu, Masataka Watanabe
Abstract China frequently experiences natural disasters, of which flooding is the most serious. How to monitor and control natural disasters, assess damage, and provide relief is the most urgent problem for the Chinese government and disaster experts. A national integrated system using remote sensing, geographic information systems, the Global Positioning System, and other technology for monitoring and evaluating flood disasters has been assembled and tried out for 3 years. The system has played an important role in flood mitigation during the trial and has become a key part of the flood management system at China's National Flood Control Headquarters. This paper presents an overview of the system and its use in China.
中国自然灾害频发,其中洪灾最为严重。如何监测和控制自然灾害,评估损失,提供救援,是中国政府和灾害专家最紧迫的问题。利用遥感、地理信息系统、全球定位系统等技术,构建了全国洪水灾害监测评估综合系统,并进行了3年的试验。该系统在试验期间发挥了重要的防洪作用,并已成为中国国家防汛指挥部洪水管理系统的重要组成部分。本文介绍了该系统的概况及其在中国的应用情况。
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引用次数: 113
期刊
Global Environmental Change Part B: Environmental Hazards
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