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Critical evaluation of transit policies in Lima, Peru; resilience of rail rapid transit (Metro) in a developing country 对秘鲁利马公交政策的批判性评估;发展中国家快速轨道交通(地铁)的复原力
Pub Date : 2024-01-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.geits.2024.100172

This paper evaluates rail transit within the context of the transit policies implemented in Lima, Peru. First it reviews the implementation of rapid transit, and bus reform. Secondly, it evaluates the outcomes of such policies by using Total Factor Productivity for policy effectiveness, Data Envelopment Analysis for rapid transit performance, and Generalized Cost of Travel for improvements. This paper finds that implementation failed in enforcing key requirements for rail transit regarding penetration of CBD and short transfers to bus transit; and that the basic assumptions of bus reform did not hold regarding bus oversupply, bus congestion or bus pollution. This paper also finds that outcomes of policies failed dramatically in achieving the planning goals; however, rail transit (Metro) shows high level of resilience in serving large ridership at high speed. On the other hand, bus reform was associated with a disproportionate increase of motorization, well over the effect of income growth or car attractiveness, and more related to the excessive reduction of bus transit capacity ill-advised from unproved bus reform assumptions. This paper recommends expanding rail rapid transit due to its intensive use of green renewable energy and its potential of demand growth if combined with modern Intelligent Transportation services, but this opportunity can be wasted without the proposed policy constraint to achieve lower Generalized Cost of Travel at any governmental intervention for bus reform, instead of just reducing bus transit capacity as implemented. Finally, this paper recommends government to government contracts to build rail transit and to enforce proper planning.

本文结合秘鲁利马实施的公交政策对轨道交通进行了评估。首先,本文回顾了快速公交和公交改革的实施情况。其次,本文通过使用全要素生产率来衡量政策的有效性,使用数据包络分析法来衡量快速交通的绩效,使用广义旅行成本来衡量改善情况,从而对这些政策的成果进行评估。本文发现,在实施过程中,轨道交通在中央商务区的渗透率和短途换乘公交方面的关键要求没有得到执行;在公交车供过于求、公交车拥堵或公交车污染方面,公交车改革的基本假设不成立。本文还发现,在实现规划目标方面,各项政策的结果大相径庭;然而,轨道交通(地铁)在为大量乘客提供高速服务方面表现出了很强的应变能力。另一方面,公共汽车改革与机动化的过度增长有关,远远超过了收入增长或汽车吸引力的影响,更多的是与公共汽车运力的过度缩减有关,而这种缩减是在未经证实的公共汽车改革假设的基础上做出的不明智的决定。本文建议扩大轨道交通的规模,因为轨道交通大量使用绿色可再生能源,如果与现代智能交通服务相结合,还具有需求增长的潜力,但如果没有建议的政策约束,在任何政府干预公交改革的情况下都要实现更低的广义出行成本,而不是一味地减少公交运力,那么这个机会就会被浪费掉。最后,本文建议由政府与政府签订合同,建设轨道交通并实施合理规划。
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引用次数: 0
Digital twin modeling method for lithium-ion batteries based on data-mechanism fusion driving 基于数据-机制融合驱动的锂离子电池数字孪生建模方法
Pub Date : 2024-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.geits.2024.100162

Lithium-ion batteries have been rapidly developed as clean energy sources in many industrial fields, such as new energy vehicles and energy storage. The core issues hindering their further promotion and application are reliability and safety. A digital twin model that maps onto the physical entity of the battery with high simulation accuracy helps to monitor internal states and improve battery safety. This work focuses on developing a digital twin model via a mechanism-data-driven parameter updating algorithm to increase the simulation accuracy of the internal and external characteristics of the full-time domain battery under complex working conditions. An electrochemical model is first developed with the consideration of how electrode particle size impacts battery characteristics. By adding the descriptions of temperature distribution and particle-level stress, a multi-particle size electrochemical-thermal-mechanical coupling model is established. Then, considering the different electrical and thermal effect among individual cells, a model for the battery pack is constructed. A digital twin model construction method is finally developed and verified with battery operating data.

锂离子电池作为清洁能源在新能源汽车和储能等众多工业领域得到了快速发展。阻碍其进一步推广和应用的核心问题是可靠性和安全性。数字孪生模型能以高仿真精度映射电池的物理实体,有助于监控电池内部状态,提高电池的安全性。这项工作的重点是通过机制数据驱动的参数更新算法开发数字孪生模型,以提高复杂工作条件下全时域电池内部和外部特性的仿真精度。首先开发了一个电化学模型,考虑了电极颗粒大小对电池特性的影响。通过添加温度分布和颗粒级应力的描述,建立了多颗粒尺寸的电化学-热-机械耦合模型。然后,考虑到单个电池之间不同的电效应和热效应,构建了电池组模型。最后开发了一种数字孪生模型构建方法,并通过电池运行数据进行了验证。
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引用次数: 0
A demand forecasting model for urban air mobility in Chengdu, China 中国成都城市空中交通需求预测模型
Pub Date : 2024-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.geits.2024.100173
Wenqiu Qu , Jie Huang , Chenglong Li , Xiaohan Liao

The successful application of new technologies such as remotely piloted aircraft systems, distributed electric propulsion systems, and automatic control systems on electric vertical take-off and landing(eVTOL) aircraft has prompted Urban Air Mobility (UAM) to be mentioned frequently. UAM is a newly raised transport mode of using eVTOL aircraft to transport people and cargo in urban areas, which is thought to share some of the traffic on the ground. One of the prerequisites for UAM to operate on a regular basis is that its demand can support the operating costs, so forecasting UAM demand is necessary. We conduct UAM demand forecasting based on the four-step method, focusing on improving the third-step modal split, and propose a demand forecasting model based on the logit model. The model combines a nested logit (NL) model with a multinomial logit (MNL) model to solve the problem of non-existent UAM sharing rates. We use Chengdu, China as an example, and focus on forecasting the UAM traffic demand in 2030 with the help of the four-step method. The results show that UAM is suitable for shared operation during the early stages. With a fully shared operation, the UAM share rate increases by 0.73% for every kilometer increase in distance. Moreover, UAM is more competitive than other modes for delivery distances exceeding 15 ​km. Finally, using the distributions of the share rate and traffic flow pattern from the simulation, we propose the routes that can be prioritized for UAM operations in Chengdu.

遥控飞机系统、分布式电力推进系统和自动控制系统等新技术在电动垂直起降飞机(eVTOL)上的成功应用,促使城市空中交通(UAM)被频繁提及。城市空中交通(UAM)是一种新提出的交通模式,即使用电动垂直起降飞机在城市地区运送人员和货物,从而分担部分地面交通流量。UAM 定期运营的前提条件之一是其需求能够支持运营成本,因此有必要对 UAM 需求进行预测。我们根据四步法进行了 UAM 需求预测,重点是改进第三步的模式划分,并提出了一个基于 logit 模型的需求预测模型。该模型将嵌套对数(NL)模型与多叉对数(MNL)模型相结合,以解决不存在 UAM 共享率的问题。我们以中国成都为例,利用四步法重点预测了 2030 年的 UAM 交通需求。结果表明,在初期阶段,UAM 适合共享运行。在完全共享运营的情况下,距离每增加一公里,UAM 的共享率就会增加 0.73%。此外,在运送距离超过 15 公里时,UAM 比其他方式更具竞争力。最后,利用模拟得出的共享率分布和交通流模式,我们提出了成都 UAM 运营的优先路线。
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引用次数: 0
A data-fusion-model method for state of health estimation of Li-ion battery packs based on partial charging curve 基于部分充电曲线的锂离子电池组健康状态估计数据融合模型方法
Pub Date : 2024-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.geits.2024.100169

The estimation of State of Health (SOH) for battery packs used in Electric Vehicles (EVs) is a complex task with significant importance, accompanied by several challenges. This study introduces a data-fusion model approach to estimate the SOH of battery packs. The approach utilizes dual Gaussian Process Regressions (GPRs) to construct a data-driven and non-parametric aging model based on charging-based Aging Features (AFs). To enhance the accuracy of the aging model, a noise model is established to replace the random noise. Subsequently, the state-space representation of the aging model is incorporated. Additionally, the Particle Filter (PF) is introduced to track the unknown state in the aging model, thereby developing the data-fusion-model for SOH estimation. The performance of the proposed method is validated through aging experiments conducted on battery packs. The simulation results demonstrate that the data-fusion model approach achieves accurate SOH estimation, with maximum errors less than 1.5%. Compared to conventional techniques such as GPR and Support Vector Regression (SVR), the proposed method exhibits higher estimation accuracy and robustness.

估算电动汽车(EV)所用电池组的健康状况(SOH)是一项复杂而重要的任务,同时也面临着一些挑战。本研究引入了一种数据融合模型方法来估算电池组的 SOH。该方法利用双高斯过程回归(GPR)来构建基于数据驱动的非参数老化模型,该模型基于充电老化特征(AF)。为了提高老化模型的准确性,建立了一个噪声模型来替代随机噪声。随后,老化模型的状态空间表示被纳入其中。此外,还引入了粒子过滤器(PF)来跟踪老化模型中的未知状态,从而为 SOH 估算建立数据融合模型。通过对电池组进行老化实验,验证了所提方法的性能。仿真结果表明,数据融合模型方法实现了精确的 SOH 估算,最大误差小于 1.5%。与 GPR 和支持向量回归 (SVR) 等传统技术相比,所提出的方法具有更高的估计精度和鲁棒性。
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引用次数: 0
Preparation of N-B doped composite electrode for iron-chromium redox flow battery 制备用于铁-铬氧化还原液流电池的掺 N-B 复合电极
Pub Date : 2024-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.geits.2024.100158
Yingchun Niu , Senwei Zeng , Guangfu Wu, Qingtan Gao, Ruichen Zhou, Chuanyuan Li, Yang Zhou , Quan Xu

Iron-chromium redox flow battery (ICRFB) is an electrochemical energy storage technology that plays a vital role in dealing with the problems of discontinuity and instability of massive new energy generation and improving the acceptance capacity of the power grid. Carbon cloth electrode (CC) is the main site where the electrochemical reaction occurs, which always suffers from the disadvantages of poor electrochemical reactivity. A new N-B co-doped co-regulation Ti composite CC electrode (T-B-CC) is firstly generated and applied to ICRFB, where the REDOX reaction can be promoted significantly owing to the plentiful active sites generated on the modified electrode. As contrasted with ICRFB with normal CC electrode, after 50 battery charge/discharge cycles, the discharge capacity (1,990.3 ​mAh vs 1,155.8 ​mAh) and electrolyte utilization (61.88% vs 35.94%) of ICRFB with CC electrode (T-B-CC) are significantly improved. Furthermore, the energy efficiency (EE) is maintained at about 82.7% under 50 cycles, which is 9.3% higher than that of the pristine electrically assembled cells. The co-modulation of heteroatom doping and the introduction of Ti catalysts is a simple and easy method to improve the dynamics of the Cr3+/Cr2+ and Fe3+/Fe2+ reactions, enhancing the performance of ICRFBs.

铁铬氧化还原液流电池(ICRFB)是一种电化学储能技术,在解决大量新能源发电的不连续性和不稳定性问题以及提高电网接纳能力方面发挥着重要作用。碳布电极(CC)是发生电化学反应的主要场所,一直存在电化学反应性差的缺点。新型 N-B 共掺杂共调控 Ti 复合 CC 电极(T-B-CC)首先产生并应用于 ICRFB,由于改性电极上产生了大量的活性位点,REDOX 反应得以显著促进。与使用普通 CC 电极的 ICRFB 相比,经过 50 次电池充放电循环后,使用 CC 电极(T-B-CC)的 ICRFB 的放电容量(1,990.3 mAh 对 1,155.8 mAh)和电解质利用率(61.88% 对 35.94%)均有显著提高。此外,在 50 次循环下,能量效率(EE)保持在 82.7% 左右,比原始电组装电池高出 9.3%。杂原子掺杂和引入 Ti 催化剂的共同调制是一种简单易行的方法,可改善 Cr3+/Cr2+ 和 Fe3+/Fe2+ 反应的动态,从而提高 ICRFB 的性能。
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引用次数: 0
Capacity degradation analysis and knee point prediction for lithium-ion batteries 锂离子电池的容量衰减分析和膝点预测
Pub Date : 2024-01-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.geits.2024.100171

Analyzing capacity degradation characteristics and accurately predicting the knee point of capacity are crucial for the safety management of lithium-ion batteries (LIBs). However, the degradation mechanism of LIBs is complex. A key but challenging problem is how to clarify the degradation mechanism and predict the knee point. According to the external characteristics such as capacity decline gradievnt and the peak value of increment capacity curve (IC curve), the capacity degradation can be divided into four stages, including initial decline stage, slow decline stage, transition stage and high-speed decline stage. The degradation mechanism of LIBs is compared from the longitudinal and horizontal aspects, respectively. Among them, the battery usage from the initial stage to the end of life (EOL) is longitudinal analysis. The battery under different conditions, such as charging and discharging, different discharge rate, different cathode material degradation mechanism is horizontal analysis. Moreover, a method based on neural network is proposed to predict the knee point. Two features are used to predict the capacity and cycle of the knee point, which are the gradient of the capacity degradation curve and the difference of the IC curve with the maximum correlation. The experimental results show that a two-dimensional surface can be obtained using only the first 100 cycles, which can provide a reference for the position of the knee point accurately prediction.

分析容量衰减特性和准确预测容量膝点对于锂离子电池(LIB)的安全管理至关重要。然而,锂离子电池的降解机制十分复杂。如何厘清降解机理并预测膝点是一个关键但具有挑战性的问题。根据容量衰减梯度和增量容量曲线(IC 曲线)峰值等外部特征,容量衰减可分为四个阶段,包括初始衰减阶段、缓慢衰减阶段、过渡阶段和高速衰减阶段。分别从纵向和横向对 LIB 的衰减机理进行了比较。其中,从初始阶段到寿命终止(EOL)的电池使用情况属于纵向分析。电池在不同条件下,如充电和放电、不同的放电速率、不同的正极材料降解机制等,则属于横向分析。此外,还提出了一种基于神经网络的膝点预测方法。预测膝点的容量和周期有两个特征,即容量衰减曲线的梯度和 IC 曲线与最大相关性的差值。实验结果表明,只需使用前 100 个周期就能得到一个二维曲面,为准确预测膝点位置提供了参考。
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引用次数: 0
A hybrid data driven framework considering feature extraction for battery state of health estimation and remaining useful life prediction 考虑到特征提取的混合数据驱动框架,用于电池健康状况估计和剩余使用寿命预测
Pub Date : 2024-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.geits.2024.100160
Yuan Chen , Wenxian Duan , Yigang He , Shunli Wang , Carlos Fernandez

Battery life prediction is of great significance to the safe operation, and reduces the maintenance costs. This paper proposes a hybrid framework considering feature extraction to achieve more accurate and stable life prediction performance of the battery. By feature extraction, eight features are obtained to fed into the life prediction model. The hybrid framework combines variational mode decomposition, the multi-kernel support vector regression model and the improved sparrow search algorithm to solve the problem of data backward, uneven distribution of high-dimensional feature space and the local escape ability, respectively. Better parameters of the estimation model are obtained by introducing the elite chaotic opposition-learning strategy and adaptive weights to optimize the sparrow search algorithm. The algorithm can improve the local escape ability and convergence performance and find the global optimum. The comparison is conducted by dataset from National Aeronautics and Space Administration which shows that the proposed framework has a more accurate and stable prediction performance. Compared with other algorithms, the SOH estimation accuracy of the proposed algorithm is improved by 0.16%–1.67%. With the advance of the start point, the RUL prediction accuracy of the proposed algorithm does not change much.

电池寿命预测对电池的安全运行和降低维护成本具有重要意义。本文提出了一种考虑特征提取的混合框架,以实现更准确、更稳定的电池寿命预测性能。通过特征提取,可以得到八个特征,并将其输入寿命预测模型。该混合框架结合了变模分解、多核支持向量回归模型和改进的麻雀搜索算法,分别解决了数据后退、高维特征空间分布不均和局部逃逸能力等问题。通过引入精英混沌对立学习策略和自适应权重优化麻雀搜索算法,获得了更好的估计模型参数。该算法可以提高局部逃逸能力和收敛性能,并找到全局最优。通过美国国家航空航天局的数据集进行比较,结果表明所提出的框架具有更准确、更稳定的预测性能。与其他算法相比,所提算法的 SOH 估计精度提高了 0.16%-1.67%。随着起始点的提前,拟议算法的 RUL 预测精度变化不大。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of calendering state on coupled electrochemical-mechanical performance of silicon based composite electrodes 压延状态对硅基复合电极电化学-机械耦合性能的影响
Pub Date : 2024-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.geits.2024.100154

The super volume changes and severe mechanical degradation have been a hindrance in the wide application of silicon based composite electrodes in commercial lithium-ion batteries (LIBs). Calendering, one procedure in producing LIBs' electrodes, is indispensable to ensure low porosity and energy density. However, the repercussions of the calendering process on the physical characteristics related to the behavior of silicon (Si) based electrodes during the electrochemical reaction have not been well understood. Thus, on account of the deformation characteristic of cantilever electrodes, an in-situ technique is employed to analyze the repercussions of calendering status on the coupled electro-chemo-mechanical performances. During the electrochemical cycling, Young's modulus and diffusion-induced stress in composite electrodes are quantified. The results show that the swelling strain, the stress and the modulus of the Si-based electrode and the calendering degree are positively correlated. Meanwhile, the stress induced by diffusion in the active layer tends to increase in the stage of lithiation and reverses during the delithiation process. Accompany with the SEM analysis, we conclude that the calendering process can induce larger stress, driving the formation of cracks in electrodes. These findings can help understand how the calendering process could affect the capacity dissipating and lifetime of Si based electrodes.

硅基复合电极在商用锂离子电池(LIB)中的广泛应用受到了超大体积变化和严重机械退化的阻碍。压延是生产锂离子电池电极的一道工序,是确保低孔隙率和能量密度所不可或缺的。然而,压延工艺对硅(Si)基电极在电化学反应过程中行为的相关物理特性的影响尚未得到很好的理解。因此,考虑到悬臂电极的变形特性,我们采用了一种原位技术来分析压延状态对电-化学-机械耦合性能的影响。在电化学循环过程中,对复合电极的杨氏模量和扩散诱导应力进行了量化。结果表明,硅基电极的膨胀应变、应力和模量与压延程度呈正相关。同时,活性层中由扩散引起的应力在石化阶段呈上升趋势,而在脱石化过程中呈逆转趋势。结合扫描电镜分析,我们得出结论:压延过程会引起较大的应力,促使电极裂纹的形成。这些发现有助于理解压延过程如何影响硅基电极的容量耗散和使用寿命。
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引用次数: 0
An advantageous charging/discharging scheduling of electric vehicles in a PV energy enhanced power distribution grid 光伏发电增强型配电网中电动汽车充放电调度的优势
Pub Date : 2024-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.geits.2024.100170
Pritam Das, Partha Kayal

Electric vehicles (EVs) are going to overrule the transportation sector due to their pollution-free technology and low running costs. However, charging the EVs causes significant power demand and stress on the power delivery network. The challenge can be tackled well when charging and discharging scheduling are coordinated with intelligent EV routing. In this work, two-stage charging and discharging scheduling are proposed. In the first stage, a time scheduling algorithm is structured to identify EV charging/discharging slots at different hours, and at a later stage, the slots are optimally distributed among different charging stations. Routing of the EVs towards the EVCSs has been designed to enhance the useful participation of the EVs in the charging and discharging program. In this regard, a possible number of EVs in the test region has been forecasted with a regression model. The adequacy of the combined charging-discharging and location scheduling model is tested on a typical PV-enhanced 28-bus Indian distribution network. Three case studies containing three sub-cases in each have been performed incorporating the choice of the EV owners towards charging and discharging in different time slots in a day. The case studies have resulted in a peak-to-average ratio (PAR) of 1.151,0, 1.165,0, 1.196,8, 1.165,0, 1.180,9, 1.196,8, 1.196,8, 1.196,8 and 1.196,8 for the 24-h demand pattern in Case-1a, Case-1b, Case-1c, Case-2a, Case-2b, Case-2c, Case-3a, Case-3b and Case-1c respectively in comparison to a PAR of 1.2 for the 24-h demand in base case.

电动汽车(EV)因其无污染的技术和低运行成本,将在交通领域占据主导地位。然而,电动汽车充电会对电力输送网络造成巨大的电力需求和压力。如果充电和放电调度与智能电动汽车路由相协调,就能很好地解决这一难题。本文提出了两阶段充放电调度。在第一阶段,采用时间调度算法确定不同时段的电动汽车充电/放电时段;在第二阶段,在不同充电站之间优化分配这些时段。设计了电动汽车驶向电动汽车充电站的路线,以提高电动汽车对充放电计划的有效参与。为此,利用回归模型预测了测试区域内电动汽车的可能数量。在典型的光伏增强型 28 总线印度配电网络上测试了充放电和位置调度组合模型的适当性。进行了三个案例研究,每个案例包含三个子案例,结合了电动汽车车主在一天中不同时段充电和放电的选择。案例研究的结果是,案例-1a、案例-1b、案例-1c、案例-2a、案例-2b、案例-2c、案例-3a、案例-3b 和案例-1c 中 24 小时需求模式的峰均比(PAR)分别为 1.151.0、1.165.0、1.196.8、1.165.0、1.180.9、1.196.8、1.196.8、1.196.8 和 1.196.8,而基础案例中 24 小时需求模式的峰均比(PAR)为 1.2。
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引用次数: 0
The exploration and practice of low-altitude airspace flight service and traffic management in China 中国低空空域飞行服务与交通管理的探索与实践
Pub Date : 2024-01-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.geits.2024.100149
Xiangmin Guan , Hongxia Shi , Dongsong Xu , Binhua Zhang , Jian Wei , Jun Chen

Due to the inherent nature of being highly digitalized, networked and intelligent, Unmanned Aerial System (UAS) operations pose a huge challenge to traditional aviation regulation and technical systems. How to keep safe, efficient and integrated operation for different Airspace users has become a pressing issue faced by civil aviation around the world. This paper focuses on the main operational scenarios and characteristics of unmanned aviation development in China. New operational characteristics and associated challenges due to diverse low-altitude users are analyzed, including operation concepts, UAS traffic management, technological test and verification, and standards. Drawing light on the practices in Europe and the United States, this paper summarizes China's practices and progress in low-altitude operations management, and analyzes future technological development needs and trends, as well as feasible implementation pathways and measures based on actual needs.

由于高度数字化、网络化和智能化的固有特性,无人机系统(UAS)的运行对传统的航空监管和技术系统提出了巨大挑战。如何保证不同空域用户的安全、高效和一体化运行,已成为全球民航面临的紧迫问题。本文重点介绍了中国无人驾驶航空发展的主要运行场景和特点。从运行理念、无人机交通管理、技术试验验证和标准等方面,分析了低空用户多样化带来的新的运行特点和相关挑战。本文借鉴欧美国家的做法,总结了中国在低空运行管理方面的实践和进展,分析了未来技术发展的需求和趋势,并根据实际需求提出了可行的实施路径和措施。
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引用次数: 0
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