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Reducing the magnitude and variability of seismic-induced acceleration and force responses in steel buildings with controlled rocking base mechanism and force-limiting connections 采用可控摇基机构和限力连接降低钢结构地震加速度和力响应的震级和变异性
Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rcns.2025.12.004
Georgios Tsampras , Richard Sause
This study numerically investigates the seismic response of a nine-story self-centering concentrically braced frame building incorporating force-limiting connections between the floor system and the lateral force-resisting system. Nonlinear earthquake simulations are conducted under design basis earthquake ground motions, and the results are compared against a baseline model with rigid-elastic connections. The study discusses connection design considerations and evaluates the effectiveness of force-limiting connections in mitigating higher-mode effects. The findings show that force-limiting connections significantly reduce the magnitude and variability of floor accelerations, brace forces, and connection forces, while maintaining comparable story drifts. Force-limiting connections primarily reduce the contribution of higher-mode responses, while the controlled rocking base mechanism modifies the first-mode response. Overall, the reduced dispersion in structural response improves the reliability of seismic design and enhances resilience by minimizing damage to both structural components and acceleration-sensitive nonstructural elements.
本研究对九层自定心同心支撑框架建筑的地震反应进行了数值研究,该建筑在楼板系统和抗侧力系统之间采用了限力连接。在设计基础地震动条件下进行了非线性地震模拟,并将模拟结果与刚弹性连接的基线模型进行了比较。该研究讨论了连接设计的考虑因素,并评估了限力连接在缓解高模态效应方面的有效性。研究结果表明,限力连接显著降低了楼层加速度、支撑力和连接力的幅度和可变性,同时保持了相当的楼层漂移。限力连接主要减少了高模态响应的贡献,而可控摇摆基座机构则改变了第一模态响应。总体而言,结构响应离散度的降低提高了抗震设计的可靠性,并通过最大限度地减少对结构部件和加速度敏感的非结构部件的损伤来增强弹性。
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引用次数: 0
Synthetic modeling of water distribution systems for interdependent infrastructure systems resilience analysis with interdependencies via building-mediated clustering 基于建筑中介聚类的相互依赖基础设施系统弹性分析配水系统综合建模
Pub Date : 2025-11-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.rcns.2025.10.002
Yesen Yang , Edmond Y. Lo
Resilience studies for water distribution systems (WDS) coupled with other interdependent infrastructure systems attract increasing attention from stakeholders and researchers. However, most existing large-scale WDS models are single infrastructure-based without consideration of other infrastructure systems. This is due to a lack of needed information on systems coupling, the structure of the simulator used, and the computation load involved. To address these gaps, this paper presents a synthetic modeling framework for a real-world WDS as coordinating with other infrastructure systems via a building-mediated clustering approach through consideration of physical distance and node capacity. First, the WDS network topology and operation parameters are inferred via bulk open-source information. A building-mediated clustering approach is designed to systematically derive the interdependence between the WDS and the power system similarly created as a case study. Second, a novel linearization method is developed in formulating the WDS model that can relieve computation load while maintaining accuracy. Finally, a disruption-recovery framework is developed to demonstrate the proposed methodology in modelling WDS resilience. The framework is applied to a neighborhood in Queenstown, Singapore, an area of 20.43 km2 and 96,000 population. The near-real-time simulations on the coupled system involving 308 nodes and 384 links showcase the effectiveness and application of the proposed synthetic modeling and formulation.
配水系统与其他相互依赖的基础设施系统的弹性研究越来越受到利益相关者和研究人员的关注。然而,大多数现有的大规模WDS模型都是基于单一基础设施的,没有考虑其他基础设施系统。这是由于缺乏有关系统耦合、所使用的模拟器结构和所涉及的计算负载的必要信息。为了解决这些差距,本文提出了一个现实世界WDS的综合建模框架,通过考虑物理距离和节点容量,通过建筑介导的集群方法与其他基础设施系统进行协调。首先,通过大量开源信息推断WDS网络拓扑结构和运行参数。设计了一种以建筑为中介的集群方法,系统地推导出WDS和电力系统之间的相互依赖关系,并创建了类似的案例研究。其次,提出了一种新的线性化方法来构建WDS模型,在保证精度的同时减轻了计算量。最后,开发了一个中断恢复框架,以演示所提出的建模WDS弹性的方法。该框架应用于新加坡皇后镇的一个社区,面积为20.43平方公里,人口为96,000。对308个节点和384条链路的耦合系统进行了近实时仿真,验证了所提出的综合建模和公式的有效性和实用性。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring informal settlement fires in Indonesia: A study of fire risk assessment and fire resilient strategies in Medan 探索印度尼西亚的非正式住区火灾:棉兰火灾风险评估和火灾恢复策略研究
Pub Date : 2025-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.rcns.2025.11.001
Aulia Malik Affif , Alan March
The growth and scale of urbanisation in Indonesia poses various challenges, including the availability of affordable housing, which has forced many low-income people to live in informal settlements. Fires account for 15% of all disasters in Indonesia, particularly in densely populated urban areas such as informal settlements. The nature of informal settlements, which lack basic services along with poor living conditions, increases the likelihood of fire. The topic of informal settlement fires in Indonesia is relatively unresearched, especially studies tailored to waterfront informal settlements typologies which prevents an understanding of fire risk and its impact in the area. This study aims to investigate what aspects influence fire risk in the area and to increase the resilience of informal settlements to fire outbreaks with the intention of improving community resilience. A case study with mixed methods is employed in this study. Our study consists of two phases of data analysis. The first phase consists of spatial analysis, derivation of weight, risk assessment, sensitivity analysis, and identification of policy drivers. Meanwhile, the second phase of our data analysis consists of analysing conditions, challenges, and opportunities, resilient strategies development, and scenario testing. The results of this study revealed that the risk of fire in the area is considered high-to-very high, which is driven primarily by moderate hazard, high vulnerability, and low-to-very low capacity against fire. Primary drivers of fire risk in the area are building materials, electrical connection and equipment, road width, and building density. As a result, this study proposed nine physical and non-physical resilient strategies which has been categorised into three distinct aspects: development planning, development regulations, and risk management and response. Spatial analysis revealed that, if fully implemented and operationalised, these strategies could reclassify 90% of the area to moderate risk. Further research is should examine the causal factors of past fire incidents, the institutional capacity for fire management, and the socioeconomic conditions of the community.
印度尼西亚城市化的增长和规模带来了各种挑战,包括经济适用房的供应,这迫使许多低收入者住在非正式的定居点。火灾占印尼所有灾害的15%,特别是在人口密集的城市地区,如非正式定居点。非正式住区缺乏基本服务,生活条件恶劣,这增加了发生火灾的可能性。印度尼西亚非正式住区火灾的研究相对较少,特别是针对滨水非正式住区类型的研究,这阻碍了对火灾风险及其对该地区影响的理解。本研究旨在调查影响该地区火灾风险的因素,并提高非正式住区对火灾爆发的抵御能力,以期提高社区的抵御能力。本研究采用混合方法进行个案研究。我们的研究包括两个阶段的数据分析。第一阶段包括空间分析、权重推导、风险评估、敏感性分析和政策驱动因素识别。与此同时,我们的数据分析的第二阶段包括分析条件、挑战和机遇、弹性战略制定和情景测试。本研究结果表明,该地区的火灾风险被认为是高至极高的,这主要是由中度危险、高脆弱性和低至极低的火灾能力驱动的。该地区火灾风险的主要驱动因素是建筑材料、电气连接和设备、道路宽度和建筑密度。因此,本研究提出了九个物理和非物理弹性策略,这些策略被分为三个不同的方面:发展规划、发展法规、风险管理和应对。空间分析显示,如果全面实施和操作,这些策略可以将90%的地区重新分类为中等风险。进一步的研究应该考察过去火灾事件的原因、火灾管理的机构能力和社区的社会经济条件。
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引用次数: 0
Resilience framework for seaport infrastructure under extreme wind 港口基础设施在极端风条件下的弹性框架
Pub Date : 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rcns.2025.09.001
A. Balbi , O. Kammouh , G.P. Cimellaro , M.P. Repetto
The efficient transportation of goods is vital for the economic growth of communities, making developing and maintaining seaport infrastructure an essential component of the marine transportation system. Given their geographic locations, ports are consistently at risk from natural hazards, making the resilience of port infrastructure an essential goal.
Despite considerable progress in resilience research, there remains a gap in methods tailored explicitly to assessing port resilience, particularly under extreme wind events. Current approaches often do not capture the full complexity of port systems, as they tend to focus on isolated aspects, such as structural resilience.
This paper introduces the PORT Resilience Framework, addressing these gaps by evaluating resilience through a comprehensive list of indicators gathered from various legitimate sources. The indicators are then organized under four comprehensive resilience dimensions: Physical Infrastructure, ICT (i.e., Information and Communication Technology) and Equipment; Organization and Business Management; Resources and Economic Development; and Territory, Environment, and Stakeholders. This classification is summarized under the acronym "PORT."
This paper also introduces a method for aggregating resilience indicators by considering their performance before and after a specific hazard, transforming the data into a quantifiable Loss of Resilience index. The approach is applied to a case study, assessing the resilience of a real Terminal against wind action using real data sourced from the port management.
The case study analysis revealed that human resources and quay operations were the most critical factors affecting recovery, with insufficient staffing leading to prolonged recovery periods. The study further demonstrated that post-disruption activity surges, captured by different serviceability function methodologies, often created operational bottlenecks, challenging the port's overall recovery.
货物的有效运输对社区的经济增长至关重要,使发展和维持海港基础设施成为海洋运输系统的重要组成部分。鉴于其地理位置,港口始终面临自然灾害的风险,因此港口基础设施的复原力是一个重要目标。尽管弹性研究取得了相当大的进展,但在明确评估港口弹性的方法上仍然存在差距,特别是在极端风事件下。目前的方法往往不能捕捉到港口系统的全部复杂性,因为它们往往侧重于孤立的方面,例如结构弹性。本文介绍了港口弹性框架,通过从各种合法来源收集的综合指标清单评估弹性,解决了这些差距。然后将指标按四个综合复原力维度进行组织:物理基础设施、ICT(即信息和通信技术)和设备;组织与企业管理;资源与经济发展;领土、环境和利益相关者。这种分类概括为首字母缩略词“PORT”。本文还介绍了一种综合考虑灾害发生前后弹性指标表现的方法,将数据转化为可量化的“弹性损失指数”。该方法被应用到一个案例研究中,使用来自港口管理的真实数据来评估一个真实码头对风力作用的恢复能力。案例分析显示,人力资源和码头操作是影响恢复的最关键因素,人手不足导致恢复周期延长。该研究进一步表明,通过不同的可服务性功能方法捕获的中断后活动激增通常会造成运营瓶颈,挑战港口的整体恢复。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of building recovery functions for local and global resilience assessment to tsunamis 评估建筑恢复功能,以评估当地和全球对海啸的复原力
Pub Date : 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rcns.2025.10.001
Sabarethinam Kameshwar , Davide Forcellini , Andre R. Barbosa
Resilience of residential buildings depends on the recovery process that follows the impact of natural hazards, such as tsunamis. In particular, the historical database from tsunamis that occurred in different Countries (Sri Lanka, Thailand, Indonesia, and Japan) have been considered. This study proposes a selection of the best-fitting models to assess the recovery process of tsunamis to derive a framework for resilience at geographical scales. Since the damage depends on the vulnerability of the buildings, several typologies have been considered. In addition, aggregations of different damage sources have been considered to propose comprehensive relationships. The definition of best-fitting recovery functions for different countries has been discussed to implement them in advanced platforms and calculate the resilience to tsunamis.
住宅建筑的恢复能力取决于自然灾害(如海啸)影响后的恢复过程。特别是考虑了发生在不同国家(斯里兰卡、泰国、印度尼西亚和日本)的海啸的历史数据库。本研究建议选择最适合的模型来评估海啸的恢复过程,从而得出地理尺度上的恢复力框架。由于破坏取决于建筑物的脆弱性,因此考虑了几种类型。此外,还考虑了不同损伤源的聚集,提出了全面的关系。讨论了不同国家的最佳拟合恢复函数的定义,以便在先进的平台上实施,并计算对海啸的恢复力。
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引用次数: 0
Integrated flood risk management for urban resilience: A multi-method framework combining hazard mapping, hydrodynamic modelling, and economic impact assessment 城市抗灾能力的综合洪水风险管理:综合灾害制图、水动力建模和经济影响评估的多方法框架
Pub Date : 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rcns.2025.09.002
Paboda Jayawardane , Lalith Rajapakse , Chandana Siriwardana
Flooding has become an emerging global catastrophe, generating considerable damage to both infrastructures and lives. Despite the critical need for quantitative assessments of both flood damage and the effectiveness of flood mitigation measures, most existing studies have focused on isolated aspects of flood risk. Only a very limited number of studies have comprehensively integrated hazard mapping, hydrodynamic simulations, and economic damage estimations to evaluate the real-world impact and effectiveness of flood mitigation measures (FMMs). This study presents a multi-method approach to evaluate the performance of such established structural FMMs. Initially, hazard assessments for two selected case study areas, the Colombo Metropolitan Area in Sri Lanka and Auckland, New Zealand, two flood-prone cities with contrasting geographical contexts. Flood inundation mapping for the Madiwela South Diversion, Colombo, Sri Lanka, was performed using hydrodynamic modeling to demonstrate the reduction in flood inundation area and depth after the implementation of the measure, considering six (6) design return periods (RPs). Subsequently, tangible and intangible property damage estimations for “without FMMs” and “with FMMs” were evaluated to identify the benefit of responding to flood conditions, utilising a vulnerability-based economic analysis. In addition to damage estimations, the study adopts a novel approach by conducting an investment viability analysis to find the Benefit-to-Cost ratios and Net Present Value of nine (9) selected FMMs implemented by Sri Lanka Land Development Co-operation (SLLDC). The FMMs implemented by SLLDC were selected from Colombo, Sri Lanka. The quantified damage estimates revealed a reduction in flood damages ranging from 39 % to 63 %, alongside a decrease in flood inundation depths between 9 % and 12 %, and the results underscore the significant effectiveness of FMMs in managing urban flooding and minimising its impacts. This cross-disciplinary methodology enables a transferable framework for resilience-oriented urban planning in diverse hydrological and geographical contexts.
洪水已成为一种新兴的全球性灾难,对基础设施和生命造成了相当大的破坏。尽管迫切需要对洪水损害和洪水缓解措施的有效性进行定量评估,但大多数现有研究都侧重于洪水风险的孤立方面。只有非常有限的研究综合了灾害制图、水动力模拟和经济损失估计,以评估洪水缓解措施(fmm)的实际影响和有效性。本研究提出了一种多方法的方法来评估这种已建立的结构fmm的性能。最初,对两个选定的案例研究区域进行危害评估,斯里兰卡的科伦坡大都市区和新西兰的奥克兰,这两个地理环境截然不同的洪水易发城市。对斯里兰卡科伦坡的Madiwela南水北调进行了洪水淹没测绘,利用水动力模型来证明在考虑6个设计重现期(rp)的情况下,实施该措施后洪水淹没面积和深度的减少。随后,利用基于脆弱性的经济分析,对“无fmm”和“有fmm”的有形和无形财产损失进行评估,以确定应对洪水条件的效益。除了损害估计外,本研究还采用了一种新颖的方法,通过进行投资可行性分析,找到斯里兰卡土地开发合作公司(SLLDC)实施的九(9)个选定的fmm的效益成本比和净现值。SLLDC实施的fmm选择来自斯里兰卡科伦坡。量化的损失估计显示,洪水损失减少了39%至63%,洪水淹没深度减少了9%至12%,结果强调了fmm在管理城市洪水和最小化其影响方面的显着有效性。这种跨学科的方法为在不同的水文和地理环境下以复原力为导向的城市规划提供了一个可转移的框架。
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引用次数: 0
The recovery process of housing in Mexico City 7+ years after the 2017 Puebla-Morelos earthquake 2017年普埃布拉-莫雷洛斯州地震后7年多的墨西哥城住房恢复过程
Pub Date : 2025-08-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.rcns.2025.08.002
Arturo Tena-Colunga
During the Mw = 7.1 September 19, 2017 earthquake with epicenter nearby the boundary of Puebla and Morelos states, an important amount of structural damage occurred in Mexico City, 120 km away from the epicenter. Among the most severely affected sectors was the housing sector. At least 16 houses collapsed or partially collapsed during the earthquake, more than 5100 were demolished with public funds and more than 5800 were sternly damaged and required to be rehabilitated. Close to 1300 apartment buildings were severely damaged, where 33 of them collapsed or partially collapsed. Then, the recovery of the housing sector, which is instrumental for both the social and economy recovery of the city, have posed a monumental task and challenge to the citizens and authorities of Mexico City. In this paper, the author summarizes how these efforts to recover the affected housing sector have been in Mexico City close to eight years after the 9/19/2017 earthquake, based upon detailed statistics and information compiled by the author from different sources. It can be concluded that after 7+ years, the recovery process of single-family houses has been a success, as close to 100 % of the affected homes have been fully recovered with much better projects than the originally damaged. However, the recovery process of apartment buildings, although important, still has a long way to go. As of May 2025, only 59.6 % of the affected buildings have been fully recovered (31.3 % using public funds), other 11.3 % are under construction or rehabilitation process and, in 29.1 % of the affected buildings, no action has been taken to speed their recovery.
2017年9月19日发生的里氏7.1级地震震中位于普埃布拉州和莫雷洛斯州交界处附近,距离震中120公里的墨西哥城发生了严重的结构破坏。受影响最严重的部门之一是住房部门。在地震中,至少有16所房屋倒塌或部分倒塌,5100多所房屋被公共资金拆除,5800多所房屋严重受损,需要修复。近1300栋公寓建筑严重受损,其中33栋倒塌或部分倒塌。然后,住房部门的复苏对城市的社会和经济复苏都有帮助,这对墨西哥城的公民和当局构成了一项艰巨的任务和挑战。在本文中,作者根据作者从不同来源收集的详细统计数据和信息,总结了在2017年9月19日地震发生近8年后,墨西哥城为恢复受影响的住房部门所做的努力。可以得出的结论是,经过7年多的时间,单户住宅的恢复过程是成功的,接近100%的受影响房屋已经完全恢复,项目比最初受损的要好得多。然而,公寓楼的恢复过程虽然重要,但仍有很长的路要走。截至2025年5月,只有59.6%的受影响建筑物已完全修复(其中31.3%使用公共资金),其他11.3%正在建造或修复过程中,29.1%的受影响建筑物没有采取任何行动来加速修复。
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引用次数: 0
Digital twin-based structural health monitoring and measurements of dynamic characteristics in balanced cantilever bridge 基于数字孪生的平衡悬臂桥结构健康监测与动力特性测量
Pub Date : 2025-08-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.rcns.2025.08.001
Tidarut Jirawattanasomkul , Le Hang , Supasit Srivaranun , Suched Likitlersuang , Pitcha Jongvivatsakul , Wanchai Yodsudjai , Punchet Thammarak
This study developed a digital twin (DT) and structural health monitoring (SHM) system for a balanced cantilever bridge, utilizing advanced measurement techniques to enhance accuracy. Vibration and dynamic strain measurements were obtained using accelerometers and piezo-resistive strain gauges, capturing low-magnitude dynamic strains during operational vibrations. 3D-LiDAR scanning and Ultrasonic Pulse Velocity (UPV) tests captured the bridge's as-is geometry and modulus of elasticity. The resulting detailed 3D point cloud model revealed the structure's true state and highlighted discrepancies between the as-designed and as-built conditions. Dynamic properties, including modal frequencies and shapes, were extracted from the strain and acceleration measurements, providing critical insights into the bridge's structural behavior. The neutral axis depth, indicating stress distribution and potential damage, was accurately determined. Good agreement between vibration measurement data and the as-is model results validated the reliability of the digital twin model. Dynamic strain patterns and neutral axis parameters showed strong correlation with model predictions, serving as sensitive indicators of local damage. The baseline digital twin model and measurement results establish a foundation for future bridge inspections and investigations. This study demonstrates the effectiveness of combining digital twin technology with field measurements for real-time monitoring and predictive maintenance, ensuring the sustainability and safety of the bridge infrastructure, thereby enhancing its overall resilience to operational and environmental stressors.
本研究利用先进的测量技术,为平衡悬臂桥开发了数字孪生(DT)和结构健康监测(SHM)系统,以提高精度。使用加速度计和压阻应变计获得振动和动态应变测量,捕获操作振动期间的低量级动态应变。3D-LiDAR扫描和超声波脉冲速度(UPV)测试捕获了桥梁的原始几何形状和弹性模量。由此产生的详细的3D点云模型揭示了结构的真实状态,并突出了设计和建造条件之间的差异。从应变和加速度测量中提取了包括模态频率和形状在内的动态特性,为桥梁的结构行为提供了关键的见解。中性轴深度,表明应力分布和潜在的损伤,被准确地确定。振动测量数据与模型结果吻合良好,验证了数字孪生模型的可靠性。动态应变图和中性轴参数与模型预测结果有较强的相关性,是局部损伤的敏感指标。基线数字孪生模型和测量结果为未来的桥梁检查和调查奠定了基础。该研究证明了将数字孪生技术与现场测量相结合进行实时监测和预测性维护的有效性,确保了桥梁基础设施的可持续性和安全性,从而增强了其对运营和环境压力因素的整体弹性。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of seismic downtime for building retrofitting decision-making 建筑改造决策中的地震停机时间估算
Pub Date : 2025-07-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.rcns.2025.07.001
Mucedero G , Couto R , Yükselen B , Monteiro R
Recent research demonstrates the need for comprehensive frameworks to achieve an appropriate level of resilience (e.g., energy, seismic) of the European building stock, through integrated retrofitting interventions. Different frameworks have been proposed to identify optimal interventions when several feasible alternatives are available, considering multiple decision variables of different nature, such as social, economic, or technical. Within these efforts and frameworks, less attention has been paid to the post-earthquake recovery time of buildings and communities, thus ignoring the significance of reaching a desired recovery state (e.g., functional recovery) within a specified time frame. To overcome this limitation, this study estimates post-earthquake recovery times and uses them as one of the decision variables in multi-criteria identification of optimal retrofitting of an existing RC building. The case-study building is representative of the Italian school buildings constructed between the 1960s and 1970s and was analysed under two seismic hazard levels (moderate and high). Following the identification of the main structural deficiencies of the as-built structure through nonlinear static analyses, four seismic retrofit measures were selected. Then, the earthquake-induced downtime of each of the four retrofitted building configurations was assessed, analysing the different recovery times as a function of the seismic hazard level and the recovery state. A downtime-based metric, namely the expected annual downtime, was introduced as decision variable within an available multi-criteria decision-making framework to include the impact of downtime, rank the four retrofit measures and identify the preferable one.
最近的研究表明,需要一个全面的框架,通过综合改造干预措施,使欧洲建筑达到适当的弹性水平(例如,能源、地震)。考虑到不同性质的多个决策变量,如社会、经济或技术,在几种可行的替代方案可用时,提出了不同的框架来确定最佳干预措施。在这些努力和框架中,很少关注建筑物和社区的震后恢复时间,从而忽略了在规定的时间框架内达到预期的恢复状态(例如,功能恢复)的重要性。为了克服这一限制,本研究估计了震后恢复时间,并将其作为现有RC建筑最佳改造的多准则识别中的决策变量之一。案例研究建筑是20世纪60年代至70年代建造的意大利学校建筑的代表,并在两个地震危险级别(中等和高)下进行了分析。在通过非线性静力分析确定了建成结构的主要结构缺陷后,选择了四种抗震加固措施。然后,评估了四种改造后的建筑结构的地震停机时间,分析了不同的恢复时间作为地震危险等级和恢复状态的函数。在可用的多标准决策框架中,引入了基于停机时间的度量,即预期的年度停机时间,作为决策变量,以包括停机时间的影响,对四种改造措施进行排序,并确定优选方案。
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引用次数: 0
Macroeconomic models for predicting indirect impacts of disasters: A review 预测灾害间接影响的宏观经济模型:综述
Pub Date : 2025-07-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.rcns.2025.06.003
Tinger Zhu , Charalampos Avraam , Jack W. Baker
Interdependencies between critical infrastructures and the economy amplify the effects of damage caused by disasters. The growing interest in impacts beyond physical damage and community resilience has spurred a surge in literature on economic modeling methodologies for estimating indirect economic impacts of disasters and the recovery of economic activity over time. In this review, we present a framework for categorizing modeling approaches that assess indirect economic impacts across natural hazards and anthropogenic disasters such as cyber attacks. We first conduct a comparative analysis of macroeconomic models, focusing on the approaches capturing sectoral interdependencies. These include the Leontief Input-Output (I/O) model, the Inoperability Input-Output Model (IIM), the Dynamic Inoperability Input-Output Model (DIIM), the Adaptive Regional Input-Output (ARIO) model, and the Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model and its extensions. We evaluate their applicability to disaster scenarios based on input data availability, the compatibility of model assumptions, and output capabilities. We also reveal the functional relationships of input data and output metrics across economic modeling approaches for inter-sectoral impacts. Furthermore, we examine how the damage mechanisms posed by different types of disasters translate into model inputs and impact modeling processes. This synthesis provides guidance for researchers and practitioners in selecting and configuring models based on specific disaster scenarios. It also identifies the gaps in the literature, including the need for a deeper understanding of model performance reliability, key drivers of economic outcomes in different disaster contexts, and the disparities in modeling approach applications across various hazard types.
关键基础设施与经济之间的相互依存关系扩大了灾害造成的破坏的影响。人们对自然灾害和社区恢复力以外的影响越来越感兴趣,这促使有关经济建模方法的文献激增,这些方法用于估计灾害的间接经济影响和随着时间的推移恢复经济活动。在这篇综述中,我们提出了一个分类建模方法的框架,用于评估自然灾害和人为灾害(如网络攻击)对经济的间接影响。我们首先对宏观经济模型进行比较分析,重点关注捕捉部门相互依赖性的方法。这些模型包括Leontief输入输出(I/O)模型、不可操作输入输出模型(IIM)、动态不可操作输入输出模型(DIIM)、自适应区域输入输出(ARIO)模型和可计算一般均衡(CGE)模型及其扩展。我们根据输入数据的可用性、模型假设的兼容性和输出能力来评估它们对灾难场景的适用性。我们还揭示了跨经济建模方法对部门间影响的投入数据和产出指标的函数关系。此外,我们研究了不同类型灾害造成的损害机制如何转化为模型输入和影响建模过程。这种综合为研究人员和实践者在选择和配置基于特定灾难场景的模型方面提供了指导。它还指出了文献中的差距,包括需要更深入地了解模型性能可靠性,不同灾害背景下经济结果的关键驱动因素,以及不同灾害类型中建模方法应用的差异。
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Resilient Cities and Structures
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