Pub Date : 2020-09-28DOI: 10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247823
A. Alyushin, V. Arkhangelsky, S. Alyushin
High confidence in the definition of operational personnel psycho-emotional statе is achieved by using a modern element base (processing environment) - a unified neuromorphic platform in the form of a fractal memristive structure with space-parametric self-learning. Experimental study of the proposed platform revealed its ability to synthesize new structural solutions and "dimensions" of the operational personnel psycho-emotional statе information representation.
{"title":"Acoustic Monitoring of the Psycho-Emotional State of Operational Personnel in the Management of High-Risk Objects Based on Neuromorphic Self-Learning Systems","authors":"A. Alyushin, V. Arkhangelsky, S. Alyushin","doi":"10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247823","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247823","url":null,"abstract":"High confidence in the definition of operational personnel psycho-emotional statе is achieved by using a modern element base (processing environment) - a unified neuromorphic platform in the form of a fractal memristive structure with space-parametric self-learning. Experimental study of the proposed platform revealed its ability to synthesize new structural solutions and \"dimensions\" of the operational personnel psycho-emotional statе information representation.","PeriodicalId":103344,"journal":{"name":"2020 13th International Conference \"Management of large-scale system development\" (MLSD)","volume":"18 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126166267","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2020-09-28DOI: 10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247635
Atlas Akhmetzyanov, E. Krupina, A. Samokhin
n the process of developing oil fields, periodic disturbances are used to increase the flow rate of wells and the final oil recovery of formations by changing the mobility of oil and the filtration-capacity parameters of the porous medium. In an inhomogeneous medium, in the presence of dissipation and / or dispersion, harmonic oscillations created in the wellbores transform into sawtooth waves with periodic shock fronts, which change the dynamics of phase transitions and can lead to cavitation in liquid phases. Taking this circumstance into account will make it possible to adequately predict the dynamics of phase transitions and optimize the control of the oil production process.
{"title":"Singular Controls For Increasing Oil Recovery Of Natural Oil Deposits","authors":"Atlas Akhmetzyanov, E. Krupina, A. Samokhin","doi":"10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247635","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247635","url":null,"abstract":"n the process of developing oil fields, periodic disturbances are used to increase the flow rate of wells and the final oil recovery of formations by changing the mobility of oil and the filtration-capacity parameters of the porous medium. In an inhomogeneous medium, in the presence of dissipation and / or dispersion, harmonic oscillations created in the wellbores transform into sawtooth waves with periodic shock fronts, which change the dynamics of phase transitions and can lead to cavitation in liquid phases. Taking this circumstance into account will make it possible to adequately predict the dynamics of phase transitions and optimize the control of the oil production process.","PeriodicalId":103344,"journal":{"name":"2020 13th International Conference \"Management of large-scale system development\" (MLSD)","volume":"6 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124205858","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2020-09-28DOI: 10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247672
A. Skiba, N. Skiba
We consider a continuous aggregated deterministic dynamic model of the movement of gas reserves by category. According to the classification of combustible gas reserves, we characterize each type by the level of knowledge about the object, which is the carrier of information about the estimated stock of gas. We describe the movement of gas reserves by a system of differential equations and schematically depict this movement in the figure. When moving from one category to another, we take into account the degree of confirmation of reserves in the model. We pay special attention to the gas reserves multiplicity. To describe it, we introduce a time function that determines the total explored reserves of natural gas. We make a priori assumptions about its properties. We analyze six specific examples. For each sample, we determine the reserves multiplicity coefficient, the dynamics of which we analyze. We explain the behavior of the multiplicity coefficient and draw the appropriate conclusions.
{"title":"Analysis of the Gas Reserves Movement Model by Category","authors":"A. Skiba, N. Skiba","doi":"10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247672","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247672","url":null,"abstract":"We consider a continuous aggregated deterministic dynamic model of the movement of gas reserves by category. According to the classification of combustible gas reserves, we characterize each type by the level of knowledge about the object, which is the carrier of information about the estimated stock of gas. We describe the movement of gas reserves by a system of differential equations and schematically depict this movement in the figure. When moving from one category to another, we take into account the degree of confirmation of reserves in the model. We pay special attention to the gas reserves multiplicity. To describe it, we introduce a time function that determines the total explored reserves of natural gas. We make a priori assumptions about its properties. We analyze six specific examples. For each sample, we determine the reserves multiplicity coefficient, the dynamics of which we analyze. We explain the behavior of the multiplicity coefficient and draw the appropriate conclusions.","PeriodicalId":103344,"journal":{"name":"2020 13th International Conference \"Management of large-scale system development\" (MLSD)","volume":"34 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127681686","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2020-09-28DOI: 10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247718
Maria M. Monastyrskaya, V. Soloviev
A set of regression, cluster analysis, and association rule mining models, is proposed to search for patterns in user behavior regarding marketing campaigns taking into account user characteristics and financially significant metrics. Using the example of two organizations, it was possible to accurately predict the cost of customer acquisition (CPA, cost-per-action). The use of the models proposed allows organizations to improve advertisement settings to increase online advertising efficiency.
{"title":"Improving Customer Relationship Management based on Intelligent Analysis of User Behavior Patterns","authors":"Maria M. Monastyrskaya, V. Soloviev","doi":"10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247718","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247718","url":null,"abstract":"A set of regression, cluster analysis, and association rule mining models, is proposed to search for patterns in user behavior regarding marketing campaigns taking into account user characteristics and financially significant metrics. Using the example of two organizations, it was possible to accurately predict the cost of customer acquisition (CPA, cost-per-action). The use of the models proposed allows organizations to improve advertisement settings to increase online advertising efficiency.","PeriodicalId":103344,"journal":{"name":"2020 13th International Conference \"Management of large-scale system development\" (MLSD)","volume":"12 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130444031","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2020-09-28DOI: 10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247774
Zh. Ismailov, D. Kononov, N. Ponomarev
The current state and problems of development of complex logistics systems are considered. The main elements of the global logistics system that form cargo flows are highlighted. Promising models and methods have been proposed that allow for a through scenario analysis of the flows of international logistical transformations, in order to attract additional volumes of cargo to international transport corridors, including the East-West corridor, taking into account not only the throughput and processing capabilities of infrastructure and the presence of rolling stock, but also taking into account border, customs, sanitary, phytosanitary and other restrictions on functioning. Scenarios for the development of international logistics in the implementation of threats of various types are considered.
{"title":"Scenario Analysis of Development of Complex Logistics Systems","authors":"Zh. Ismailov, D. Kononov, N. Ponomarev","doi":"10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247774","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247774","url":null,"abstract":"The current state and problems of development of complex logistics systems are considered. The main elements of the global logistics system that form cargo flows are highlighted. Promising models and methods have been proposed that allow for a through scenario analysis of the flows of international logistical transformations, in order to attract additional volumes of cargo to international transport corridors, including the East-West corridor, taking into account not only the throughput and processing capabilities of infrastructure and the presence of rolling stock, but also taking into account border, customs, sanitary, phytosanitary and other restrictions on functioning. Scenarios for the development of international logistics in the implementation of threats of various types are considered.","PeriodicalId":103344,"journal":{"name":"2020 13th International Conference \"Management of large-scale system development\" (MLSD)","volume":"36 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127590188","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2020-09-28DOI: 10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247804
Lyudmila Bolshedvorskaya, N. Koryagin
This article was prepared within project No. 1908-00028 "Development of a concept for building the architecture of, and selecting algorithms for, an expert system aimed to improve training efficiency for flight safety inspectors" supported with a grant awarded by the Russian Foundation for Basic Research (RFBR).The article deals with an approach to selecting and substantiating parameters characterizing the competency profile of a flight safety inspector. A brand new "error severity criterion" is proposed to assess the severity of probabilities of an inspector’s mistakes depending on possible circumstances and operating conditions. It offers an example of how such criterion is assessed by analyzing identified inconsistencies and violations in implementing monitoring and supervision procedures and assessing potential consequences that may result from an inspector’s erroneous conclusions and findings.
{"title":"Application of a Mistake Severity Criterion in Expert Systems Designed to Train Flight Safety Inspectors","authors":"Lyudmila Bolshedvorskaya, N. Koryagin","doi":"10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247804","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247804","url":null,"abstract":"This article was prepared within project No. 1908-00028 \"Development of a concept for building the architecture of, and selecting algorithms for, an expert system aimed to improve training efficiency for flight safety inspectors\" supported with a grant awarded by the Russian Foundation for Basic Research (RFBR).The article deals with an approach to selecting and substantiating parameters characterizing the competency profile of a flight safety inspector. A brand new \"error severity criterion\" is proposed to assess the severity of probabilities of an inspector’s mistakes depending on possible circumstances and operating conditions. It offers an example of how such criterion is assessed by analyzing identified inconsistencies and violations in implementing monitoring and supervision procedures and assessing potential consequences that may result from an inspector’s erroneous conclusions and findings.","PeriodicalId":103344,"journal":{"name":"2020 13th International Conference \"Management of large-scale system development\" (MLSD)","volume":"75 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124292621","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2020-09-28DOI: 10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247708
V. Tsyganov
A theoretical and methodological platform for strategic management of the development of the infrastructure of a large-scale region in extreme climatic and geographical conditions is proposed. Platform elements such as organizational systems and infrastructure development management mechanisms have been developed; methodology for determining the feasibility of developing deposits based on their business potential and costs; simulation scenario model of the development of transport infrastructure in the process of evolution of the socio-economic system of the region.
{"title":"Infrastructure Development Management Platform in Extreme Climate","authors":"V. Tsyganov","doi":"10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247708","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247708","url":null,"abstract":"A theoretical and methodological platform for strategic management of the development of the infrastructure of a large-scale region in extreme climatic and geographical conditions is proposed. Platform elements such as organizational systems and infrastructure development management mechanisms have been developed; methodology for determining the feasibility of developing deposits based on their business potential and costs; simulation scenario model of the development of transport infrastructure in the process of evolution of the socio-economic system of the region.","PeriodicalId":103344,"journal":{"name":"2020 13th International Conference \"Management of large-scale system development\" (MLSD)","volume":"14 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123389501","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2020-09-28DOI: 10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247728
E. Y. Kutyakov, S. Dushin, A. Abramenkov, A. Iskakov, A. Salnikov
The widespread use of new power electronic devices and the integration of renewable energy sources have increased the non-linearity and non-stationarity of modern electric power systems. Taking into account and modeling these nonlinear effects with sufficient accuracy requires the use of quadratic and higher order approximations of nonlinear power system models. However, sufficiently accurate bilinear models of synchronous machine are not easy to find in the literature. Therefore, in this paper we develop a quadratic approximation for the conventional sixth-order model of a synchronous machine using the Carleman bilinearization procedure. The developed bilinear model for one generator can further serve as a basic building block for constructing nonlinear approximations for general power system models.
{"title":"Quadratic Approximation of Nonlinear Models of the Synchronous Machine Using the Bilinear Representation","authors":"E. Y. Kutyakov, S. Dushin, A. Abramenkov, A. Iskakov, A. Salnikov","doi":"10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247728","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247728","url":null,"abstract":"The widespread use of new power electronic devices and the integration of renewable energy sources have increased the non-linearity and non-stationarity of modern electric power systems. Taking into account and modeling these nonlinear effects with sufficient accuracy requires the use of quadratic and higher order approximations of nonlinear power system models. However, sufficiently accurate bilinear models of synchronous machine are not easy to find in the literature. Therefore, in this paper we develop a quadratic approximation for the conventional sixth-order model of a synchronous machine using the Carleman bilinearization procedure. The developed bilinear model for one generator can further serve as a basic building block for constructing nonlinear approximations for general power system models.","PeriodicalId":103344,"journal":{"name":"2020 13th International Conference \"Management of large-scale system development\" (MLSD)","volume":"63 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128471430","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2020-09-28DOI: 10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247748
Trung Bui, F. Pashchenko, A. Pashchenko, Y. Kudinov
The article discusses the task of using an artificial neural network to predict the exchange rate. The factors affecting the US dollar to ruble exchange rate are analyzed. Based on the results of the analysis, an option is proposed for using a neural network to predict the exchange rate
{"title":"Using Neural Networks To Predict Exchange Rates","authors":"Trung Bui, F. Pashchenko, A. Pashchenko, Y. Kudinov","doi":"10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247748","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247748","url":null,"abstract":"The article discusses the task of using an artificial neural network to predict the exchange rate. The factors affecting the US dollar to ruble exchange rate are analyzed. Based on the results of the analysis, an option is proposed for using a neural network to predict the exchange rate","PeriodicalId":103344,"journal":{"name":"2020 13th International Conference \"Management of large-scale system development\" (MLSD)","volume":"19 1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131197245","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2020-09-28DOI: 10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247835
I. Aleksandrova, A. Gubernatorov
The economy of the Russian Federation at the present stage is characterized by an extremely high level of consumption of raw materials and waste generation. This is due to the export-raw material orientation of production, as well as the level of technological development. In this regard, the amount of waste generation and accumulation is steadily increasing.. Analysis of current trends has shown that every year, on average, Russians emit about 80 million tons of municipal waste. At the same time, both in Russia and in other countries, the structure of MSW is approximately the same. These are primarily glass, paper, plastics, fabrics and organic products, as well as oversized items such as old furniture, car parts, etc. At first glance, recycling household garbage is a fairly simple and profitable business. Thus, by recycling car tires, you can get rubber coatings that are actively used in the economy, new paper is made from waste paper, and organic garbage is obtained from. The work was carried out with the financial support of the RFFI grant on the topic "development of project financing mechanisms in the field of solid municipal waste management and proposals for their implementation", registration number 20-010-00302 A
现阶段俄罗斯联邦经济的特点是原材料消费和废物产生的水平极高。这是由于生产的出口原材料导向，以及技术发展水平。在这方面，废物的产生量和积累量正在稳步增加。对当前趋势的分析表明，俄罗斯人平均每年排放约8000万吨城市垃圾。与此同时，无论是在俄罗斯还是在其他国家，城市生活垃圾的结构都大致相同。这些主要是玻璃，纸张，塑料，织物和有机产品，以及大型物品，如旧家具，汽车零件等。乍一看，回收生活垃圾是一项相当简单且有利可图的业务。因此，通过回收汽车轮胎，你可以得到在经济中积极使用的橡胶涂层，废纸可以制成新纸，有机垃圾可以从。这项工作是在RFFI关于“在城市固体废物管理领域发展项目筹资机制及其实施建议”专题的赠款的财政支助下进行的，登记号码为20-010-00302 A
{"title":"Tools for Implementing the Financing Mechanism for the Waste Processing Industry","authors":"I. Aleksandrova, A. Gubernatorov","doi":"10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247835","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/MLSD49919.2020.9247835","url":null,"abstract":"The economy of the Russian Federation at the present stage is characterized by an extremely high level of consumption of raw materials and waste generation. This is due to the export-raw material orientation of production, as well as the level of technological development. In this regard, the amount of waste generation and accumulation is steadily increasing.. Analysis of current trends has shown that every year, on average, Russians emit about 80 million tons of municipal waste. At the same time, both in Russia and in other countries, the structure of MSW is approximately the same. These are primarily glass, paper, plastics, fabrics and organic products, as well as oversized items such as old furniture, car parts, etc. At first glance, recycling household garbage is a fairly simple and profitable business. Thus, by recycling car tires, you can get rubber coatings that are actively used in the economy, new paper is made from waste paper, and organic garbage is obtained from. The work was carried out with the financial support of the RFFI grant on the topic \"development of project financing mechanisms in the field of solid municipal waste management and proposals for their implementation\", registration number 20-010-00302 A","PeriodicalId":103344,"journal":{"name":"2020 13th International Conference \"Management of large-scale system development\" (MLSD)","volume":"2014 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127516969","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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