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Spatiotemporal forecasting using multi-graph neural network assisted dual domain transformer for wind power
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119393
Guolian Hou , Qingwei Li , Congzhi Huang
Accurate prediction of wind power generation is crucial for operational and maintenance decision in wind farms. With the increasing scale and capacity of turbines, incorporating both temporal and spatial characteristics has become essential to improve prediction accuracy. In this paper, a novel spatiotemporal multi-step wind power forecasting method using multi-graph neural network assisted dual domain Transformer is proposed. Specifically, to adequately represent the heterogeneous dependencies among wind turbines, multi-relational graphs are constructed and integrated into a unified graph via attention mechanisms. Subsequently, the spatiotemporal fusion module (STFM) is developed using graph convolutional network and one-dimensional convolutional neural network to capture temporal and spatial features simultaneously. Moreover, the time–frequency dual domain Transformer (DDformer) is devised to fully utilize the information extracted by the STFM. Sequence learning in DDformer is performed through three perspectives, including multi-head self-attention mechanism, intrinsic mode function attention mechanism, and residual connection. Finally, the comprehensive evaluation metrics are formulated to assess the overall performance of wind power forecasting at both individual turbine and entire farm levels. Extensive simulations on a real-world dataset are conducted for multi-step forecasting, covering time horizons ranging from 10 min to 6 h ahead. In the case study, the proposed method consistently outperformed advanced benchmarks and ablation models, achieving average comprehensive normalized mean absolute error and normalized root mean square error of 5.8469% and 8.9461%, respectively, with improvements of 38.35% and 33.72%. Overall, the effectiveness of multi-step forecasting makes this study provide valuable insights into a new framework for wind power forecasting.
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引用次数: 0
Strategic economic and energy analysis of integrated biodiesel production from waste cooking oil
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119354
Peng Yang , Qiang Chen , Wei Xu , Yanghao Jin , Yunjuan Sun , Junming Xu
The utilization of waste cooking oil to produce biodiesel is critical for advancing towards carbon neutrality. This study examines the production of first- and second-generation biodiesel from waste cooking oil, highlighting the transition from first-generation biodiesel, which achieved high purity and yield, to second-generation biodiesel through a hydrodeoxygenation-hydroisomerisation process. The first-generation process demonstrated high efficiency, with a biodiesel purity of 97.8 wt% and a yield of 99.88 wt%. However, the need for more sustainable and higher-quality fuel led to the development of a second-generation process, which, despite lower yield (69.06 wt%), produced biodiesel with 99.99 wt% purity. The energy optimization strategies employed showed a potential of 18.92% energy saving for reducing production costs and enhancing economic feasibility. This research underscores the importance of improving energy efficiency and cost-effectiveness in biodiesel production, particularly in transitioning from first- to second-generation biodiesel, which is crucial for meeting environmental and economic goals.
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引用次数: 0
Refining the black-box AI optimization with CMA-ES and ORM in the energy management for fuel cell electric vehicles 基于CMA-ES和ORM的燃料电池电动汽车能量管理黑箱AI优化方法的细化
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119399
Jincheng Hu , Jihao Li , Ming Liu , Yanjun Huang , Quan Zhou , Yonggang Liu , Zheng Chen , Jun Yang , Jingjing Jiang , Yuanjian Zhang
Fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs) represent a significant advancement in zero-emission green mobility. By integrating deep reinforcement learning (DRL) for multi-objective energy management strategies, they unlock substantial potential for efficient and sustainable driving. However, the black-box nature of DRL and the challenges in designing multi-objective reward functions pose optimization difficulties. In this paper, we propose to an adaptive evolutionary framework to enhance DRL-based energy management strategies (EMS) by employing the covariance matrix adaptation evolutionary strategies (CMA-ES) for effective black-box optimization. By implementing an opponent reference mechanism, a self-balanced reward function for multiple optimization targets, including vehicle dynamics, powertrain economy, and more, is constructed in the proposed approach. This allows the system to automatically weigh sub-optimization targets and learn superior energy management behaviour via numerous simulation trajectories. The processor-in-the-loop (PIL) test results demonstrate that the proposed solution responds to adaptive adjustment conditions without violating any safety constraints, reduces energy consumption by at least 18.4%, and greatly improves energy utilization efficiency and safety. It exhibits promising optimality in complex energy management problems and robustness to varying velocity profiles, delivering a significant performance advantage over baseline approaches.
燃料电池电动汽车(fcev)代表了零排放绿色交通的重大进步。通过将深度强化学习(DRL)集成到多目标能量管理策略中,他们释放了高效和可持续驾驶的巨大潜力。然而,DRL的黑盒特性和设计多目标奖励函数的挑战给优化带来了困难。本文提出了一种自适应进化框架,利用协方差矩阵自适应进化策略(CMA-ES)进行有效的黑盒优化,以增强基于drl的能量管理策略(EMS)。该方法通过引入对手参考机制,构建了车辆动力学、动力系统经济性等多个优化目标的自平衡奖励函数。这使得系统能够自动权衡次优化目标,并通过大量模拟轨迹学习卓越的能量管理行为。在环处理器(PIL)测试结果表明,该方案在不违反任何安全约束的情况下响应自适应调节条件,能耗降低至少18.4%,大大提高了能源利用效率和安全性。它在复杂的能量管理问题中表现出有希望的最优性和对不同速度剖面的鲁棒性,提供了比基线方法显著的性能优势。
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引用次数: 0
Coupling system of calcium looping thermal energy storage and adsorption-enhanced hydrogen production 钙环蓄热吸附强化制氢耦合系统
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119254
Haocheng Sun , Zhiwei Ge , Zhihan Yao , Liang Wang , Xipeng Lin , Yakai Bai , Shuang Zhang , Haisheng Chen
CaL(Calcium Looping)-based Sorption-Enhanced Steam Methane Reforming (SE-SMR) is an essential method for achieving low-carbon hydrogen production. However, existing in-situ reactors struggle to produce H2 continuously over long periods. This study proposes an innovative quasi-in-situ SE-SMR reactor based on CaL and develops a multi-physical field model with multiple reaction couplings. The study elucidates the mechanisms of heat and mass transfer, as well as reaction enhancement, and identifies the key parameters influencing the hydrogen production process in this reactor. During the pre-breakthrough phase, stored heat drives the reforming reaction, sustaining an average H2 purity of 95.62% and a high carbon capture rate. A hydrogen yield of 3.61 demonstrates efficient methane reforming and conversion. Under the pre-breakthrough replacement strategy, the reactor performance stabilizes after the second replacement and generally maintains the high-performance level of the pre-breakthrough phase. Additionally, the heat storage properties of CaL help to reduce the heat demand of the reactor, enhancing system stability under fluctuating heat source conditions. These findings highlight the crucial role of the heat-mass coupling relationship in CaL in enhancing the hydrogen production process, offering valuable insights for developing long-term, high-performance hydrogen production solutions in solar-powered systems.
基于钙环的吸附强化蒸汽甲烷重整(SE-SMR)是实现低碳制氢的重要方法。然而,现有的原位反应器难以长时间连续生产氢气。本研究提出了一种基于CaL的创新型准原位SE-SMR反应器,并建立了具有多反应耦合的多物理场模型。研究阐明了该反应器的传热传质机理和反应强化机理,确定了影响该反应器制氢过程的关键参数。在突破前阶段,储存的热量驱动重整反应,使H2的平均纯度保持在95.62%,碳捕获率较高。氢气产率为3.61,表明甲烷重整和转化效率高。在突破前置换策略下,二次置换后反应器性能趋于稳定,总体保持突破前阶段的高性能水平。此外,CaL的储热特性有助于降低反应器的热需求,提高系统在波动热源条件下的稳定性。这些发现强调了CaL中热-质量耦合关系在增强制氢过程中的关键作用,为开发太阳能系统中长期高性能制氢解决方案提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative visualization study of turbulent jet ignition for zero carbon ammonia-hydrogen pre-chamber engines: focus on pre-chamber parameters optimization and hydrogen blending ratio 零碳氨氢预室发动机紊流点火的对比可视化研究:以预室参数优化和氢气掺混比为重点
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119432
Yuhao Liu , Yu Liu , Fangxi Xie , Linghai Han , Yanfeng Gong , Dingchao Qian , Jingxun Yang
Ammonia, a carbon-free fuel, holds significant potential for clean combustion applications, but challenges like ignition difficulties and slow combustion rates limit its practical use. This study aims to improve the ignition and combustion of ammonia-hydrogen mixtures using turbulent jet ignition, with experiments conducted in an optical constant volume combustion chamber. The investigation focuses on optimizing three key parameters: the equivalence ratio of hydrogen injected into the pre-chamber (Φp,h), the pre-chamber nozzle diameter (DN), and the volume ratio of hydrogen mixed in the main chamber (VH). Results indicate that adjusting Φp,h and DN can significantly increase ignition energy, leading to a stronger hot jet flame and a faster combustion process. A DN of 3 mm achieves a balance between ignition stability and combustion duration, while a larger DN (4 mm) reduces pressure buildup, resulting in slower flame ejection. In contrast, a smaller DN (2 mm) extends ignition delay due to re-ignition effects. Increasing VH to 0.1 shortens ignition delay by 7.6 % and reduces combustion duration by 10.4 %. The optimal configuration—DN = 3 mm, Φp,h = 1.0, and VH = 0.1—achieves an 80.7 % reduction in ignition delay and a 35.0 % decrease in combustion duration compared to the passive pre-chamber.
氨是一种无碳燃料,在清洁燃烧方面具有巨大的潜力,但点火困难和燃烧速度慢等挑战限制了它的实际应用。本研究旨在利用湍流射流点火改善氨氢混合物的点火和燃烧,并在光学定容燃烧室中进行了实验。研究重点优化了三个关键参数:预室注氢当量比(Φp,h)、预室喷嘴直径(DN)和主室混合氢体积比(VH)。结果表明,调节Φp、h和DN可以显著提高点火能量,使热射流火焰更强,燃烧过程更快。3mm的DN可以在点火稳定性和燃烧持续时间之间取得平衡,而较大的DN (4mm)可以减少压力积聚,从而导致较慢的火焰喷射。相比之下,较小的DN (2mm)由于再点火效应延长了点火延迟。将VH提高到0.1,点火延迟缩短7.6%,燃烧持续时间缩短10.4%。与被动预燃室相比,最佳配置dn = 3 mm, Φp,h = 1.0, VH = 0.1,点火延迟减少80.7%,燃烧持续时间减少35.0%。
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引用次数: 0
Development of a novel electro-mechanical brake motor thermal management system for nonuniform heating under extreme thermal conditions 针对极端热条件下不均匀加热的新型机电制动电机热管理系统的研制
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119406
Piljun Park , Hongseok Choi , Sangwook Lee , Sunoh Jeong , Hoseong Lee
A challenge currently faced by automotive brake systems industry is the development of electromechanical brakes that need to overcome the impact of frictional heat on the motor performance. However, previous studies that examined motor cooling performance have been conducted in surrounding air temperatures below 80°C while considering uniform coil heat generation. These assumptions are not valid for EMB systems. This study conducted experiments that considered extreme surrounding temperature conditions and nonuniform coil heat generation. Based on the results of these experiments, a hybrid cooling system that can withstand extreme thermal conditions is proposed through simulation. The Hybrid cooling method that uses heat sinks, insulation, and phase change materials is the most effective with a reduction in the maximum coil temperature of 23 K. Moreover, Hybrid cooling attained maximum temperature of 137.1°C even in the most extreme 1-phase motor control strategy, which is 22.8 K lower than the Baseline. When tested for pad friction coefficient ranges from 0.3 to 0.5, the system operated below the target temperature reaching up to 139.9°C under the most extreme 0.31 conditions. This study shows that effective thermal management of electromechanical brake systems that ensures system durability and reliability of driver safety is achievable.
汽车制动系统行业目前面临的挑战是开发机电制动器,需要克服摩擦热对电机性能的影响。然而,以前的研究检查电机冷却性能是在周围空气温度低于80°C的情况下进行的,同时考虑了均匀线圈的热量产生。这些假设对EMB系统无效。本研究进行了考虑极端环境温度条件和不均匀线圈热产生的实验。在实验结果的基础上,通过仿真提出了一种能够承受极端热条件的混合冷却系统。混合冷却方法,使用散热器,绝缘和相变材料是最有效的降低最大线圈温度为23 K。此外,即使在最极端的单相电机控制策略下,混合冷却也达到了137.1°C的最高温度,比基线低22.8 K。当测试衬垫摩擦系数范围为0.3至0.5时,在最极端的0.31条件下,系统的工作温度低于目标温度,最高可达139.9°C。该研究表明,对机电制动系统进行有效的热管理,保证系统的耐久性和驾驶员安全的可靠性是可以实现的。
{"title":"Development of a novel electro-mechanical brake motor thermal management system for nonuniform heating under extreme thermal conditions","authors":"Piljun Park ,&nbsp;Hongseok Choi ,&nbsp;Sangwook Lee ,&nbsp;Sunoh Jeong ,&nbsp;Hoseong Lee","doi":"10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119406","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119406","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>A challenge currently faced by automotive brake systems industry is the development of electromechanical brakes that need to overcome the impact of frictional heat on the motor performance. However, previous studies that examined motor cooling performance have been conducted in surrounding air temperatures below 80°C while considering uniform coil heat generation. These assumptions are not valid for EMB systems. This study conducted experiments that considered extreme surrounding temperature conditions and nonuniform coil heat generation. Based on the results of these experiments, a hybrid cooling system that can withstand extreme thermal conditions is proposed through simulation. The Hybrid cooling method that uses heat sinks, insulation, and phase change materials is the most effective with a reduction in the maximum coil temperature of 23 K. Moreover, Hybrid cooling attained maximum temperature of 137.1°C even in the most extreme 1-phase motor control strategy, which is 22.8 K lower than the Baseline. When tested for pad friction coefficient ranges from 0.3 to 0.5, the system operated below the target temperature reaching up to 139.9°C under the most extreme 0.31 conditions. This study shows that effective thermal management of electromechanical brake systems that ensures system durability and reliability of driver safety is achievable.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11664,"journal":{"name":"Energy Conversion and Management","volume":"325 ","pages":"Article 119406"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142888359","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A multivariate nonlinear regression prediction model for the performance of cooling tower assisted ground source heat pump system 冷却塔辅助地源热泵系统性能的多元非线性回归预测模型
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119333
Ting Lan , Rong Hu , Qi Tang , Minxia Han , Shuqin Wu , Gang Liu
Cooling tower-assisted ground source heat pump (GSHP) systems have been widely used in the regions where both cooling and heating are required in recent years. However, the issue of system design and management is still under discussion. The ratio of heat removed by cooling tower to the absorbed by the ground would influence the operation performance of hybrid system. This study developed a method to predict the system comprehensive coefficient of performance (SCOP) of hybrid system to optimize system structure and operation. Taking a cooling tower-assisted GSHP in a residential district in a hot summer and cold winter region as an example, a multivariate nonlinear regression prediction model for SCOP was derived based on the data recorded from May to September 2021 by the Building Energy Management System (BEMS) and the simulation results using TRNSYS software. Outdoor dry bulb, wet bulb temperatures, soil temperature, and auxiliary cooling ratio (ACR) are involved in the model. Based on model prediction and system simulation, the ACR of cooling tower-chiller unit should take 0.7 of the accumulated cooling load, considering the SCOP in summer and sustainability for long-term. An operation strategy has been proposed, prioritizing the operation of cooling tower-chiller and controlling the temperature difference between supply and return chilled water within 6℃. The average SCOP of the existing hybrid system can reach 5.56, and the soil temperature rise is within 4℃ over 15 years. The model can predict the variation of average SCOP with ACR during the cooling season in different regions. The calculation results serve as reference for designing and operating hybrid ground source heat pump (HGSHP) systems, ensuring system sustainability while achieving optimal SCOP.
近年来,冷却塔辅助地源热泵系统在冷热两用地区得到了广泛的应用。然而,系统的设计和管理问题仍在讨论中。冷却塔排出的热量与地面吸收的热量之比将影响混合动力系统的运行性能。提出了一种预测混合动力系统综合性能系数(SCOP)的方法,以优化混合动力系统的结构和运行。以夏热冬冷地区某住宅小区冷却塔辅助地源热泵为例,基于建筑能源管理系统(BEMS) 2021年5 - 9月的实测数据和TRNSYS软件的仿真结果,建立SCOP的多元非线性回归预测模型。该模型涉及室外干球温度、湿球温度、土壤温度和辅助冷却比(ACR)。根据模型预测和系统仿真,考虑夏季SCOP和长期可持续性,冷却塔-冷水机组ACR应占累积冷负荷的0.7。提出了冷却塔-冷水机组优先运行,供回水温差控制在6℃以内的运行策略。现有杂交系统的平均SCOP可达5.56,15年土壤温升在4℃以内。该模型能较好地预测不同地区冷却季平均SCOP随ACR的变化。计算结果可为混合地源热泵系统的设计和运行提供参考,在保证系统可持续性的同时实现最优SCOP。
{"title":"A multivariate nonlinear regression prediction model for the performance of cooling tower assisted ground source heat pump system","authors":"Ting Lan ,&nbsp;Rong Hu ,&nbsp;Qi Tang ,&nbsp;Minxia Han ,&nbsp;Shuqin Wu ,&nbsp;Gang Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119333","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119333","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Cooling tower-assisted ground source heat pump (GSHP) systems have been widely used in the regions where both cooling and heating are required in recent years. However, the issue of system design and management is still under discussion. The ratio of heat removed by cooling tower to the absorbed by the ground would influence the operation performance of hybrid system. This study developed a method to predict the system comprehensive coefficient of performance (SCOP) of hybrid system to optimize system structure and operation. Taking a cooling tower-assisted GSHP in a residential district in a hot summer and cold winter region as an example, a multivariate nonlinear regression prediction model for SCOP was derived based on the data recorded from May to September 2021 by the Building Energy Management System (BEMS) and the simulation results using TRNSYS software. Outdoor dry bulb, wet bulb temperatures, soil temperature, and auxiliary cooling ratio (ACR) are involved in the model. Based on model prediction and system simulation, the ACR of cooling tower-chiller unit should take 0.7 of the accumulated cooling load, considering the SCOP in summer and sustainability for long-term. An operation strategy has been proposed, prioritizing the operation of cooling tower-chiller and controlling the temperature difference between supply and return chilled water within 6℃. The average SCOP of the existing hybrid system can reach 5.56, and the soil temperature rise is within 4℃ over 15 years. The model can predict the variation of average SCOP with ACR during the cooling season in different regions. The calculation results serve as reference for designing and operating hybrid ground source heat pump (HGSHP) systems, ensuring system sustainability while achieving optimal SCOP.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11664,"journal":{"name":"Energy Conversion and Management","volume":"325 ","pages":"Article 119333"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142788806","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Ammonia thermal atmosphere compression ignition combustion mode to achieve efficient combustion and low greenhouse gas emissions 氨热气氛压缩点火燃烧方式,实现高效燃烧和低温室气体排放
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119427
Rui Yang, Zongyu Yue, Shouzhen Zhang, Zhijie Lv, Mingfa Yao
Ammonia is a carbon-free fuel with widespread attentions and broad application prospects. The International Maritime Organization considers ammonia one of the main solutions for achieving zero-carbon emissions in future shipping. Existing research indicate that ammonia premixed combustion is constrained by the low flame propagation speed, resulting in low combustion efficiency, high nitrogen oxides emissions, and high unburned ammonia emissions. In contrast, the mixing-controlled diffusion combustion mode with ammonia high-pressure direct-injection can significantly improve the combustion performance and reduce unburned ammonia emissions. Therefore, this study innovatively proposes the ammonia thermal atmosphere compression ignition combustion mode for ammonia engine, utilizing the active thermal atmosphere produced by n-heptane premixed combustion to achieve ammonia diffusion combustion. The ammonia ignition mechanism, ammonia diffusion combustion characteristics, and the influence of ammonia injection timing are investigated in-depth through engine experiment, zero-dimensional chemical kinetics analysis and three-dimensional numerical simulation methods. According to the experiment results, ammonia thermal atmosphere compression ignition combustion mode demonstrates favorable nitrogen oxides and unburned ammonia emissions. By controlling the ammonia injection timing, ultra-low nitrous oxide and unburned ammonia emissions are observed under various engine load and engine speed conditions. The assessment of greenhouse gas emissions indicates that the proposed combustion mode has great potential in greenhouse gas reduction thanks to the high ammonia substitution rate and low nitrous oxide emissions. The maximum greenhouse gas reduction under the investigated conditions exceeds 70 %, which meets the International Maritime Organization 2040 target of greenhouse gas reduction.
氨是一种广泛关注的无碳燃料,具有广阔的应用前景。国际海事组织认为氨是未来航运实现零碳排放的主要解决方案之一。已有研究表明,氨预混燃烧受火焰传播速度低的限制,燃烧效率低,氮氧化物排放量高,未燃氨排放量高。相比之下,混合控制扩散燃烧方式与氨高压直喷相比,可以显著提高燃烧性能,减少未燃烧氨的排放。因此,本研究创新性地提出了氨发动机的氨热气氛压缩点火燃烧方式,利用正庚烷预混燃烧产生的活性热气氛实现氨扩散燃烧。通过发动机实验、零维化学动力学分析和三维数值模拟等方法,对氨点火机理、氨扩散燃烧特性以及喷氨时机的影响进行了深入研究。实验结果表明,氨热气氛压缩点火燃烧模式具有良好的氮氧化物和未燃氨排放。通过控制喷氨时间,在不同的发动机负荷和转速条件下,观察到超低的氧化亚氮和未燃烧的氨排放。温室气体排放评估表明,该燃烧模式具有氨替代率高、氧化亚氮排放低的特点,具有很大的温室气体减排潜力。在调查条件下,最大温室气体减量超过70%,达到国际海事组织2040年温室气体减排目标。
{"title":"Ammonia thermal atmosphere compression ignition combustion mode to achieve efficient combustion and low greenhouse gas emissions","authors":"Rui Yang,&nbsp;Zongyu Yue,&nbsp;Shouzhen Zhang,&nbsp;Zhijie Lv,&nbsp;Mingfa Yao","doi":"10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119427","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119427","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Ammonia is a carbon-free fuel with widespread attentions and broad application prospects. The International Maritime Organization considers ammonia one of the main solutions for achieving zero-carbon emissions in future shipping. Existing research indicate that ammonia premixed combustion is constrained by the low flame propagation speed, resulting in low combustion efficiency, high nitrogen oxides emissions, and high unburned ammonia emissions. In contrast, the mixing-controlled diffusion combustion mode with ammonia high-pressure direct-injection can significantly improve the combustion performance and reduce unburned ammonia emissions. Therefore, this study innovatively proposes the ammonia thermal atmosphere compression ignition combustion mode for ammonia engine, utilizing the active thermal atmosphere produced by n-heptane premixed combustion to achieve ammonia diffusion combustion. The ammonia ignition mechanism, ammonia diffusion combustion characteristics, and the influence of ammonia injection timing are investigated in-depth through engine experiment, zero-dimensional chemical kinetics analysis and three-dimensional numerical simulation methods. According to the experiment results, ammonia thermal atmosphere compression ignition combustion mode demonstrates favorable nitrogen oxides and unburned ammonia emissions. By controlling the ammonia injection timing, ultra-low nitrous oxide and unburned ammonia emissions are observed under various engine load and engine speed conditions. The assessment of greenhouse gas emissions indicates that the proposed combustion mode has great potential in greenhouse gas reduction thanks to the high ammonia substitution rate and low nitrous oxide emissions. The maximum greenhouse gas reduction under the investigated conditions exceeds 70 %, which meets the International Maritime Organization 2040 target of greenhouse gas reduction.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11664,"journal":{"name":"Energy Conversion and Management","volume":"325 ","pages":"Article 119427"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142888352","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A novel correlation feature self-assigned Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks for multi-energy load forecasting in integrated energy systems
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119388
Xiangfei Liu , Zhile Yang , Yuanjun Guo , Zheng Li , Xiandong Xu
The prediction of multi-energy load in an integrated energy system (IES) is crucial for facilitating the integration of renewable energy and energy scheduling. However, the multi-energy load and its related variables exhibit strong coupling, correlation quality, and uncertainty. More specifically, the short-term correlation degree and stability of the load variables are inconsistent, significantly impacting the accuracy of the final prediction model. Therefore, this paper proposes a novel correlation features self-assigned Kolmogorov-Arnold Network (KAN) for multi-energy load prediction. Initially, a multi-decoder Informer model is utilized to encode the multi-energy load variables. The encoded features are fused using random sample self-combination and a correlation feature self-assignment module. Subsequently, the decoder is employed for energy co-decoding. The final decoded features are employed to construct a predictive model using interpretable KAN. The proposed algorithm is validated on an open-source dataset. Simulation results demonstrate that compared with Transformer and Informer algorithms, the average RMSE of multi-energy load prediction achieved by our proposed algorithm is reduced by 27.880% and 40.176%, respectively; Additionally, the robustness of the proposed model has been confirmed, and the relative error of prediction for multi-energy load data with and without noise is strictly limited to the range [−0.02, 0.02].
{"title":"A novel correlation feature self-assigned Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks for multi-energy load forecasting in integrated energy systems","authors":"Xiangfei Liu ,&nbsp;Zhile Yang ,&nbsp;Yuanjun Guo ,&nbsp;Zheng Li ,&nbsp;Xiandong Xu","doi":"10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119388","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119388","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The prediction of multi-energy load in an integrated energy system (IES) is crucial for facilitating the integration of renewable energy and energy scheduling. However, the multi-energy load and its related variables exhibit strong coupling, correlation quality, and uncertainty. More specifically, the short-term correlation degree and stability of the load variables are inconsistent, significantly impacting the accuracy of the final prediction model. Therefore, this paper proposes a novel correlation features self-assigned Kolmogorov-Arnold Network (KAN) for multi-energy load prediction. Initially, a multi-decoder Informer model is utilized to encode the multi-energy load variables. The encoded features are fused using random sample self-combination and a correlation feature self-assignment module. Subsequently, the decoder is employed for energy co-decoding. The final decoded features are employed to construct a predictive model using interpretable KAN. The proposed algorithm is validated on an open-source dataset. Simulation results demonstrate that compared with Transformer and Informer algorithms, the average RMSE of multi-energy load prediction achieved by our proposed algorithm is reduced by 27.880% and 40.176%, respectively; Additionally, the robustness of the proposed model has been confirmed, and the relative error of prediction for multi-energy load data with and without noise is strictly limited to the range [−0.02, 0.02].</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11664,"journal":{"name":"Energy Conversion and Management","volume":"325 ","pages":"Article 119388"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143148291","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Machine learning-driven optimization for sustainable CO2-to-methanol conversion through catalytic hydrogenation
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119373
Seyyed Alireza Ghafarian Nia , Hossein Shahbeik , Alireza Shafizadeh , Shahin Rafiee , Homa Hosseinzadeh-Bandbafha , Mohammadali Kiehbadroudinezhad , Sheikh Ahmad Faiz Sheikh Ahmad Tajuddin , Meisam Tabatabaei , Mortaza Aghbashlo
Growing concerns about greenhouse gas emissions have accelerated research into converting CO2 into valuable products like methanol. Catalytic hydrogenation, utilizing a catalyst in a thermochemical process, offers a promising solution for reducing atmospheric CO2 and combating climate change. However, optimizing operating conditions and selecting suitable catalysts for CO2 to methanol conversion remains challenging due to the complex interplay between catalyst properties and reaction performance. This research leveraged machine learning (ML) to model CO2 to methanol conversion using a comprehensive experimental database. ML models were developed to predict CO2 conversion efficiency, methanol selectivity, and CO selectivity, facilitating process optimization, techno-economic analysis, and life cycle assessment (LCA). The gradient boosting regression model emerged as the most accurate, with coefficients of determination (R2 > 0.86) and low error metrics (RMSE < 9.99, MAE < 5.99). De novo predictions demonstrated an acceptable linear relationship with the completely unseen dataset. Feature importance analysis identified temperature and gas hourly space velocity (GHSV) as the most significant descriptors. The optimal conditions for maximum CO2 conversion efficiency and methanol selectivity were identified as temperatures between 330 and 370 °C, a pressure of 50 bar, and a GHSV of 6,500–14,000 mL/g.h. The techno-economic analysis highlighted H2 purchase price, methanol selling price, and CO2 feedstock costs as critical economic factors, with a payback period of 4.6 years. The LCA demonstrated a 270 % reduction in carbon emissions through catalytic hydrogenation of CO2 to methanol. This study underscored the importance of using sustainable H2 and electricity sources to enhance the economic and environmental benefits of the process.
{"title":"Machine learning-driven optimization for sustainable CO2-to-methanol conversion through catalytic hydrogenation","authors":"Seyyed Alireza Ghafarian Nia ,&nbsp;Hossein Shahbeik ,&nbsp;Alireza Shafizadeh ,&nbsp;Shahin Rafiee ,&nbsp;Homa Hosseinzadeh-Bandbafha ,&nbsp;Mohammadali Kiehbadroudinezhad ,&nbsp;Sheikh Ahmad Faiz Sheikh Ahmad Tajuddin ,&nbsp;Meisam Tabatabaei ,&nbsp;Mortaza Aghbashlo","doi":"10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119373","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119373","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Growing concerns about greenhouse gas emissions have accelerated research into converting CO<sub>2</sub> into valuable products like methanol. Catalytic hydrogenation, utilizing a catalyst in a thermochemical process, offers a promising solution for reducing atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> and combating climate change. However, optimizing operating conditions and selecting suitable catalysts for CO<sub>2</sub> to methanol conversion remains challenging due to the complex interplay between catalyst properties and reaction performance. This research leveraged machine learning (ML) to model CO<sub>2</sub> to methanol conversion using a comprehensive experimental database. ML models were developed to predict CO<sub>2</sub> conversion efficiency, methanol selectivity, and CO selectivity, facilitating process optimization, techno-economic analysis, and life cycle assessment (LCA). The gradient boosting regression model emerged as the most accurate, with coefficients of determination (R<sup>2</sup> &gt; 0.86) and low error metrics (RMSE &lt; 9.99, MAE &lt; 5.99). <em>De novo</em> predictions demonstrated an acceptable linear relationship with the completely unseen dataset. Feature importance analysis identified temperature and gas hourly space velocity (GHSV) as the most significant descriptors. The optimal conditions for maximum CO<sub>2</sub> conversion efficiency and methanol selectivity were identified as temperatures between 330 and 370 °C, a pressure of 50 bar, and a GHSV of 6,500–14,000 mL/g.h. The techno-economic analysis highlighted H<sub>2</sub> purchase price, methanol selling price, and CO<sub>2</sub> feedstock costs as critical economic factors, with a payback period of 4.6 years. The LCA demonstrated a 270 % reduction in carbon emissions through catalytic hydrogenation of CO<sub>2</sub> to methanol. This study underscored the importance of using sustainable H<sub>2</sub> and electricity sources to enhance the economic and environmental benefits of the process.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11664,"journal":{"name":"Energy Conversion and Management","volume":"325 ","pages":"Article 119373"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143148286","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Energy Conversion and Management
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