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Numerical and experimental investigation of a two-stage thermochemical water-splitting reactor based on a cerium oxide reduction–oxidation cycle 基于氧化铈还原-氧化循环的两级热化学分水反应器的数值和实验研究
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119217
Paula Rojas, Nicolás Alegría, Mario Toledo
Climate change has made clear the need to decarbonize the global energy matrix, and green hydrogen has emerged as a promising alternative fuel. In this framework, this work investigates the green hydrogen production by means of a two-stage thermochemical water-splitting reactor heated by both a parabolic dish receiver and a photovoltaic heater. A mathematical model is proposed to simulate reduction–oxidation process for the solar-powered reactor composed of a porous cerium oxide medium. Experimental and numerical thermal profiles show good agreement, with a high temperature in the reduction stage (>1100 K) and a lower temperature in the oxidation stage (860–715 K). Green hydrogen productions show maximum values close to 100 ppm and 2000 μmolH2O/gCeO2, for experimental and numerical tests, respectively. It is concluded that the photovoltaic heater is more relevant than the solar concentration heater, and that green hydrogen production could be improved by allowing longer residence times for the reduction–oxidation stages.
气候变化表明,有必要使全球能源结构去碳化,而绿色氢气已成为一种前景广阔的替代燃料。在此框架下,本研究探讨了利用抛物面接收器和光伏加热器加热的两级热化学分水反应器生产绿色氢气的问题。研究提出了一个数学模型,用于模拟由多孔氧化铈介质组成的太阳能反应堆的还原-氧化过程。实验和数值热曲线显示出良好的一致性,还原阶段温度较高(1100 K),氧化阶段温度较低(860-715 K)。在实验和数值测试中,绿色氢气产量的最大值分别接近 100 ppm 和 2000 μmolH2O/gCeO2。结论是,光伏加热器比太阳能浓缩加热器更适用,通过延长还原-氧化阶段的停留时间,可以提高绿色氢气产量。
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引用次数: 0
An open and cost-effective bottom-up engineering model for comprehensive disaggregation of residential energy consumption in developing countries 用于发展中国家住宅能源消耗综合分类的开放式、经济高效的自下而上工程模型
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119216
Pedro Chévez
In the coming years, a major challenge for developing countries will be gaining a deep understanding of their residential energy consumption. This knowledge is crucial for designing targeted energy policies, as accurate insights can guide subsidy allocation, manage consumption, reduce dependence on imports, and address energy shortages. While various methods exist for disaggregating consumption in this sector, countries should prioritize those that are both straightforward for their staff to implement and affordable. This work proposes that a universal, open, and cost-effective bottom-up engineering model, based on a synthetic energy questionnaire and methods for estimating missing variables, can accurately estimate residential energy consumption for a country/region, particularly in those lacking detailed statistical data. This model was applied to an “equipment dataset” from the 2017/2018 Argentine National Household Expenditure Survey and validated on both monthly and annual basis, without the need for individual data collection. It enables the characterization of energy consumption disaggregated by province, by user income segments, by energy sources, by end uses and by month. The case study’s main findings reveal significant energy inequalities among Argentine households, with higher-income households consuming between 39.35% and 90.71% more energy than lower-income households. This work highlights the effectiveness of bottom-up sample models when paired with appropriate methods for estimating uncollected data. A key innovation lies in the model’s open nature, which was designed for universal applicability across climate variables, allowing for easy replication in other studies.
未来几年,发展中国家面临的一个主要挑战是深入了解其居民能源消耗情况。这些知识对于制定有针对性的能源政策至关重要,因为准确的洞察力可以指导补贴分配、管理消费、减少对进口的依赖以及解决能源短缺问题。虽然有各种方法可以对这一部门的能源消耗进行分类,但各国应优先考虑那些既便于工作人员实施,又能负担得起的方法。这项工作提出了一个通用、开放和经济有效的自下而上工程模型,该模型基于一份合成能源问卷和估算缺失变量的方法,能够准确估算一个国家/地区的住宅能源消耗,尤其是那些缺乏详细统计数据的国家/地区。该模型适用于 2017/2018 年阿根廷全国家庭支出调查中的 "设备数据集",并在月度和年度基础上进行了验证,无需单独收集数据。它能够按省、用户收入阶层、能源来源、终端用途和月份对能源消耗进行分类。案例研究的主要结果显示,阿根廷家庭之间存在严重的能源不平等,高收入家庭比低收入家庭多消耗 39.35% 至 90.71% 的能源。这项工作凸显了自下而上抽样模型在配合适当方法估算未收集数据时的有效性。该模型的一个关键创新在于其开放性,其设计旨在普遍适用于各种气候变量,便于在其他研究中复制。
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引用次数: 0
A novel photovoltaic power probabilistic forecasting model based on monotonic quantile convolutional neural network and multi-objective optimization 基于单调量子卷积神经网络和多目标优化的新型光伏发电概率预测模型
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119219
Jianhua Zhu , Yaoyao He
Photovoltaic (PV) power probabilistic forecasting that provides decision makers with probabilistic information and ranges of PV power generation is critical to the power system. Existing studies have demonstrated that QR-based nonlinear models can generate probability distributions directly from historical data. However, the accuracy of these methods may be degraded when confronting with PV power at high latitude meteorological factors and they inherently have flaws in the model structure and loss function. This paper proposes a novel approach called monotonic quantile convolutional neural network-multi-layer nondominated fast sort genetic algorithm II (MQCNN-MLNSGAII) for solving these challenges. MQCNN first uses the convolutional structure to extract the valid deep features from the high latitude factor, and then designs a monotonic quantile structure to output monotonically increasing probability distributions at once. Considering the high impact of the probability distribution width on the quality of the forecasting, we design two loss functions, average quantile loss (AQS) and quantile distribution average width (QDAW), based on multi-objective optimization (MOO) to balance the reliability and width. Finally, a novel multi-objective evolutionary algorithm (MOEA), MLNSGAII, is proposed for training MQCNN. It develops a multi-layer mechanism based on global and historical information to assist the algorithm in generating diverse offspring and improve the performance in convergence and diversity. Compared to the benchmark models, the proposed model achieves significant strengths in the real Australian dataset.
为决策者提供光伏发电概率信息和范围的光伏发电概率预测对电力系统至关重要。现有研究表明,基于 QR 的非线性模型可以直接从历史数据生成概率分布。然而,当面对高纬度气象因素下的光伏发电时,这些方法的准确性可能会下降,而且它们在模型结构和损失函数方面存在固有缺陷。本文提出了一种名为单调量子卷积神经网络-多层非支配快速排序遗传算法 II(MQCNN-MLNSGAII)的新方法来解决这些难题。MQCNN 首先利用卷积结构从高纬度因子中提取有效的深度特征,然后设计单调量子结构,一次性输出单调递增的概率分布。考虑到概率分布宽度对预测质量的影响较大,我们基于多目标优化(MOO)设计了两个损失函数,即平均量子损失(AQS)和量子分布平均宽度(QDAW),以平衡可靠性和宽度。最后,为训练 MQCNN 提出了一种新型多目标进化算法(MOEA),即 MLNSGAII。它开发了一种基于全局和历史信息的多层机制,以帮助算法生成多样化的后代,并提高收敛性和多样性方面的性能。与基准模型相比,所提出的模型在实际的澳大利亚数据集中取得了显著的优势。
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引用次数: 0
Optimization of 2G ethanol production from sugarcane bagasse: Upscaling of soda pretreatment with redox mediator followed by fed-batch enzymatic hydrolysis and co-fermentation 优化甘蔗渣的 2G 乙醇生产:使用氧化还原介质进行苏打预处理,然后进行批量酶水解和联合发酵
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119225
Elisa da Silva Barreto , Yasmim Arantes da Fonseca , Oscar Fernando Herrera Adarme , Débora Faria Silva , Rogélio Lopes Brandão , Bruno Eduardo Lobo Baêta , Valéria Monteze Guimarães , Leandro Vinícius Alves Gurgel
This study presents the upscaling of soda pretreatment of sugarcane bagasse (SB) using a new redox mediator (2-hydroxynaphthalene-1,4-dione) obtained from renewable resources, which does not affect enzymatic hydrolysis and fermentation. Upscaling was performed from a 0.5 L batch static stainless steel reactor to a 20 L pulp digester with forced liquor circulation, analogous to digestors used in the pulp and paper industry. Enzymatic hydrolysis of the pretreated material was optimized using the fed-batch method and was then carried out on a larger scale. The fed-batch method, combined with addition of 1 % (v v−1) Tween 80, enabled the solids load to be increased from 10 % to 15 % (w v−1), with an enzyme load of only 3.00 FPU g−1. This led to a maximum total reducing sugars concentration of ∼142 g L−1 after 72 h of hydrolysis. Co-fermentation of C5 and C6 sugar-rich hydrolysate by a consortium of CERLEV 47 (Saccharomyces cerevisiae) and CERLEV 1015 (Pichia guilliermondii) led to a maximum 2G ethanol production of 61.3 g L−1 (308 L ethanol per ton of SB). Mass and energy balances demonstrated that the combustion of black liquor, a byproduct of the soda pretreatment, could satisfy the energy demands of the pretreatment, enzymatic hydrolysis, and fermentation, with an energy of 21.11 MJ using the surplus SB (80 %) from 1G ethanol production. This finding indicated that the developed process was robust and had the potential to enhance total 2G ethanol production. This study supports the feasibility of an integrated 1G/2G biorefinery by improving energy efficiency, economic viability, and environmental sustainability.
本研究介绍了使用从可再生资源中获得的新型氧化还原介质(2-羟基萘-1,4-二酮)对甘蔗渣(SB)进行苏打预处理的升级改造,这种介质不会影响酶水解和发酵。将 0.5 升间歇式静态不锈钢反应器升级为 20 升纸浆消化器,采用强制液体循环,类似于纸浆和造纸工业中使用的消化器。预处理材料的酶水解采用喂料-分批法进行了优化,然后在更大规模上进行。喂料-分批法结合添加 1 %(体积分数-1)吐温 80,使固体负荷从 10 %(体积分数-1)增加到 15 %(体积分数-1),而酶负荷仅为 3.00 FPU g-1。水解 72 小时后,总还原糖的最高浓度达到 142 克/升。由 CERLEV 47(酿酒酵母)和 CERLEV 1015(Pichia guilliermondii)组成的联合体对富含 C5 和 C6 糖的水解物进行联合发酵,使 2G 乙醇的最大产量达到 61.3 g L-1(每吨 SB 产生 308 L 乙醇)。质量和能量平衡表明,燃烧苏打预处理的副产品黑液可满足预处理、酶水解和发酵的能量需求,利用 1G 乙醇生产中剩余的 SB(80%)可获得 21.11 兆焦耳的能量。这一结果表明,所开发的工艺是可靠的,并具有提高 2G 乙醇总产量的潜力。这项研究通过提高能源效率、经济可行性和环境可持续性,证明了 1G/2G 一体化生物精炼厂的可行性。
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引用次数: 0
Improving short-term photovoltaic power forecasting with an evolving neural network incorporating time-varying filtering based on empirical mode decomposition 利用基于经验模式分解的时变滤波演化神经网络改进短期光伏发电功率预测
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119261
Mokhtar Ghodbane , Naima El-Amarty , Boussad Boumeddane , Fayaz Hussain , Hakim El Fadili , Saad Dosse Bennani , Mohamed Akil
Accurately forecasting photovoltaic power generation is essential for the efficient integration of renewable energy into power grids. This paper presents a novel, high-accuracy framework for short-term photovoltaic productivity forecasting, tailored to the climatic conditions of the Algerian region of El-Oued. The framework automatically adapts the neural network forecast using a nature-inspired algorithm, eliminating the need for manual adjustments. It first addresses the complex, non-stationary nature of photovoltaic generation by incorporating a time-varying filter based on empirical mode decomposition, which decomposes the original photovoltaic data into multiple low-frequency components. Particle swarm optimization is then applied to enhance key elements of the framework, including the neural network structure and input variables such as the extracted components of photovoltaic data and weather parameters, along with their historical values. This optimization process efficiently identifies the near-optimal model structure, resulting in an improved forecaster whose performance is validated using real-world data measured in El-Oued. The proposed framework demonstrates impressive accuracy, with a Normalized Root Mean Squared Error ranging from 2.96% to 4.8% for annual forecasts, 2.28% for summer forecasts, and 4.97% for generalization ability. Similarly, the Normalized Mean Absolute Error ranges from 1.89% to 2.89% for annual forecasts, 1.61% for summer forecasts, and 3.76% for generalization ability. The correlation coefficient is outstanding, between 99.9% and 99.96% for annual forecasts, reaching 99.97% for summer forecasts, and 99.67% for generalization ability. The study confirms the effectiveness of the proposed framework in enhancing network stability and power distribution.
准确预测光伏发电量对于将可再生能源有效纳入电网至关重要。本文针对阿尔及利亚埃尔韦德地区的气候条件,提出了一种新颖、高精度的短期光伏生产力预测框架。该框架利用自然启发算法自动调整神经网络预测,无需人工调整。它首先解决了光伏发电复杂、非稳态的特性,在经验模式分解的基础上加入了时变滤波器,将原始光伏数据分解为多个低频成分。然后,应用粒子群优化来增强框架的关键要素,包括神经网络结构和输入变量,如提取的光伏数据成分和天气参数及其历史值。这一优化过程有效地确定了接近最优的模型结构,从而改进了预测器,其性能通过在埃尔韦德测量的实际数据得到了验证。所提出的框架显示出令人印象深刻的准确性,年度预报的归一化均方根误差为 2.96% 至 4.8%,夏季预报为 2.28%,泛化能力为 4.97%。同样,年度预报的归一化平均绝对误差为 1.89% 至 2.89%,夏季预报为 1.61%,概括能力为 3.76%。年度预报的相关系数在 99.9% 至 99.96% 之间,夏季预报的相关系数达到 99.97%,泛化能力的相关系数达到 99.67%。研究证实了拟议框架在增强网络稳定性和电力分配方面的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Thermochemical liquefaction of thermoplastic into fuel using toluene: Product distribution and behaviour 使用甲苯将热塑性塑料热化学液化成燃料:产品分布和行为
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119259
Poh Ai Saw , Abdul Patah Muhamad Fazly , Wan Mohd Ashri Wan Daud , Zulhelmi Amir , Dania Qarrina Azman , Nurul Izzah Ahamed Kameel
The escalating accumulation of plastic waste presents a critical environmental challenge due to its resistance to degradation. Liquefaction, a thermochemical conversion process, emerges as a promising solution to convert plastic waste into valuable resources like fuel. The objective of this study was to investigate the behaviour of plastic polymer degradation in solvothermal liquefaction. This study comprehensively examines the liquefaction processes HDPE, LDPE, PS, and PP under 350–400 °C conditions and 30–90 min reaction times, using toluene as a solvent in an autoclave batch reactor. The results indicate that temperature significantly impacts liquefaction efficiency, with the following sequence: PS > PP > LDPE > HDPE. The liquefied products exhibit high heating values (HHV) of 40–44 MJ/kg, with viscosity and density comparable to gasoline and diesel. GC–MS and FTIR analyses reveal a composition rich in olefins, paraffins, and aromatics, producing carbon chain lengths from C6 to C20, aligning with conventional fuel. Finally, the mechanism of liquefaction for the polymers is proposed based on the chemical components found.
由于塑料难以降解,不断累积的塑料垃圾给环境带来了严峻的挑战。液化是一种热化学转化过程,是将塑料废弃物转化为燃料等宝贵资源的可行解决方案。本研究的目的是调查塑料聚合物在溶热液化过程中的降解行为。本研究在高压釜间歇反应器中,以甲苯为溶剂,在 350-400 °C 条件和 30-90 分钟反应时间下,对高密度聚乙烯、低密度聚乙烯、聚苯乙烯和聚丙烯的液化过程进行了全面研究。结果表明,温度对液化效率的影响很大,顺序如下:PS > PP > LDPE > HDPE。液化产品的热值(HHV)高达 40-44 兆焦/千克,粘度和密度与汽油和柴油相当。气相色谱-质谱(GC-MS)和傅立叶变换红外光谱(FTIR)分析表明,其成分富含烯烃、石蜡和芳烃,碳链长度从 C6 到 C20,与传统燃料一致。最后,根据所发现的化学成分,提出了聚合物的液化机制。
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引用次数: 0
An FMI-based co-simulation framework for simulations of wave energy converter systems 基于 FMI 的波浪能转换器系统模拟协同仿真框架
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119220
Xinyuan Shao , Jonas W. Ringsberg , Erland Johnson , Zhiyuan Li , Hua-Dong Yao , Jan G. Skjoldhammer , Stefan Björklund
A wave energy converter (WEC) comprises many components with distinct functions. The whole WEC system is complicated, as each component is also a complex subsystem. It is challenging to properly model and couple these subsystems to achieve a global simulation of the whole system. This study proposes an FMI-based co-simulation framework to tackle this challenge. Through the use of a co-simulation technique requiring minimal programming effort, a suite of numerical solvers serving for modelling various WEC components is coupled to create a comprehensive system model for a single WEC unit. The modules of the Ansys software, Aqwa and Rigid Dynamics, are employed to model hydrodynamic loads and motion responses. Simulink is utilized to model the power take-off (PTO) system and then integrate all models into a global simulation. The capability and accuracy of the FMI-based co-simulation framework are validated against an experimental heave decay test and verified by cross-comparing a numerical model built in SESAM. Furthermore, the framework is expanded to encompass the modelling of a large-scale wave park that includes multiple WEC units. Based on a novel WEC concept called NoviOcean, two study cases of a single unit and an 18-unit wave park are investigated. Buoy motions and power performance under several regular and irregular sea states are analysed. The hydrodynamic interactions between the units are evaluated quantitatively regarding the power performance. It is found that the interactions improve the power performance, with a maximum increase of up to 36%.
波浪能转换器(WEC)由许多具有不同功能的组件组成。整个波浪能转换器系统非常复杂,因为每个组件也是一个复杂的子系统。如何对这些子系统进行适当建模和耦合,以实现对整个系统的全局仿真,是一项挑战。本研究提出了一种基于 FMI 的协同仿真框架来应对这一挑战。通过使用只需极少编程工作的协同仿真技术,将一套用于模拟各种风电机组组件的数值求解器耦合起来,为单个风电机组创建一个全面的系统模型。Ansys 软件的 Aqwa 和 Rigid Dynamics 模块用于模拟流体动力负载和运动响应。Simulink 用于对功率输出(PTO)系统建模,然后将所有模型集成到全局仿真中。基于 FMI 的协同仿真框架的能力和准确性通过试验性波浪衰减测试进行了验证,并通过交叉比较 SESAM 建立的数值模型进行了验证。此外,该框架还扩展到包括多个水力发电装置在内的大型波浪公园的建模。基于名为 NoviOcean 的新型水力发电概念,对单个单元和 18 个单元波浪公园的两个研究案例进行了调查。分析了浮标在几种规则和不规则海况下的运动和动力性能。就动力性能而言,对各单元之间的水动力相互作用进行了定量评估。结果发现,相互作用提高了动力性能,最大增幅可达 36%。
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引用次数: 0
Thermoelectric generator using nanoporous silicon formed by metal-assisted chemical etching method 使用金属辅助化学蚀刻法形成的纳米多孔硅的热电发生器
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119268
Nguyen Van Toan , Yijie Li , Truong Thi Kim Tuoi , Nuur Syahidah Sabran , Jun Hieng Kiat , Ioana Voiculescu , Takahito Ono
Thermoelectric generators (TEGs) offer a promising solution for converting waste heat into electrical energy, addressing global energy challenges with their ability to operate without moving parts and under diverse environmental conditions. However, the adoption of TEGs is limited by the drawbacks of traditional materials like bismuth telluride, which are expensive and environmentally hazardous. Silicon-based TEGs, while abundant and compatible with semiconductor manufacturing, are characterized by low thermoelectric efficiency due to high thermal conductivity and complex fabrication. In this study, we explore the possibility to use nanoporous silicon, fabricated through a metal-assisted chemical etching (MACE) method, as a novel material for TEGs. Our hypothesis was that nanoporous structures would reduce thermal conductivity and enhance the Seebeck coefficient, thereby improving the figure of merit (ZT). Additionally, a spin-on dopant (SOD) technique was used to improve the contact resistance, and further enhance the device’s performance. This research presents the synthesis and detailed characterization of nanoporous silicon, with a focus on optimizing porosity and layer thickness. The effects of SOD treatment on the electrical properties are also evaluated. The fabricated nanoporous silicon-based micro-TEGs exhibited ZT values that were 4.2 times higher for n-type and 12.4 times larger for p-type compared to bulk silicon, achieving a maximum power density of 1.12 μW/cm2. This performance significantly surpassed that of bulk silicon devices. These findings demonstrated the potential of nanoporous silicon as a viable material for next-generation thermoelectric applications, offering a scalable and more environmentally friendly alternative to traditional thermoelectric materials.
热电发电机(TEG)提供了一种将废热转化为电能的前景广阔的解决方案,它能够在没有活动部件和各种环境条件下运行,从而应对全球能源挑战。然而,碲化铋等传统材料价格昂贵且对环境有害,这些缺点限制了 TEG 的应用。硅基 TEG 虽然资源丰富且与半导体制造兼容,但由于热导率高、制造复杂,热电效率较低。在本研究中,我们探讨了使用金属辅助化学蚀刻(MACE)方法制造的纳米多孔硅作为新型 TEG 材料的可能性。我们的假设是,纳米多孔结构将降低热导率并提高塞贝克系数,从而改善优点系数(ZT)。此外,我们还采用了旋涂掺杂剂 (SOD) 技术来改善接触电阻,从而进一步提高器件的性能。本研究介绍了纳米多孔硅的合成和详细表征,重点是优化孔隙率和层厚度。此外,还评估了 SOD 处理对电气性能的影响。与块状硅相比,制备的纳米多孔硅基微型 TEG 的 n 型 ZT 值高 4.2 倍,p 型 ZT 值高 12.4 倍,最大功率密度达到 1.12 μW/cm2。这一性能大大超过了体硅器件。这些发现证明了纳米多孔硅作为下一代热电应用的可行材料的潜力,为传统热电材料提供了一种可扩展且更环保的替代材料。
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引用次数: 0
A cross-modal deep learning method for enhancing photovoltaic power forecasting with satellite imagery and time series data 利用卫星图像和时间序列数据加强光伏发电预测的跨模态深度学习方法
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119218
Kai Wang , Shuo Shan , Weijing Dou , Haikun Wei , Kanjian Zhang
Accurate photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting improves grid stability and energy utilization efficiency. Integrating large-scale cloud information from satellite imagery can enhance the accuracy of ultra-short-term PV power forecasts. However, existing satellite-based forecasting methods consider the global features of satellite images but overlook the impact of localized cloud movements on future PV generation in the target area. The focus on local information, such as PV time series and nearby clouds in the region of interest, contributes to more efficient feature extraction of satellite images. In this study, a deep learning method is proposed to strengthen the cross-modal correlation of global and local information in satellite image encoding and the multi-modal fusion stage. A novel satellite image encoder is designed by using the dual-branch spatio-temporal vision transformer to compress large-scale cloud features into the features of the region of interest. Satellite image features are then combined with PV time-series features using a cross transformer with rotary position embedding. The proposed method was validated using data from ten PV stations, demonstrating forecast skill of 47.29%–58.23% for PV power forecasts up to 4 h ahead. Compared to ViT, ViViT, CrossViT, and Perceiver, the proposed method achieves an average improvement of 2.39%–3.75%, and a minimum of 8.98% improvement in scenarios where PV time-series data is unavailable. Moreover, the proposed method outperforms the state-of-the-art methods by 2.85%–5.53%. The experimental results highlight that the proposed method shows accurate and robust forecasting performance and is a reliable alternative to PV power forecasting.
准确的光伏(PV)功率预测可提高电网稳定性和能源利用效率。整合卫星图像中的大尺度云信息可提高超短期光伏功率预测的准确性。然而,现有的基于卫星的预测方法考虑了卫星图像的全球特征,却忽视了局部云层移动对目标区域未来光伏发电量的影响。关注局部信息,如光伏时间序列和感兴趣区域附近的云,有助于更有效地提取卫星图像的特征。本研究提出了一种深度学习方法,以加强卫星图像编码和多模态融合阶段中全局和局部信息的跨模态相关性。利用双分支时空视觉变换器设计了一种新型卫星图像编码器,将大尺度云特征压缩为感兴趣区域特征。然后,利用带有旋转位置嵌入的交叉变换器将卫星图像特征与光伏时间序列特征相结合。利用十个光伏电站的数据对所提出的方法进行了验证,结果表明,提前 4 小时的光伏功率预测准确率为 47.29%-58.23%。与 ViT、ViViT、CrossViT 和 Perceiver 相比,提出的方法平均提高了 2.39%-3.75%,在没有光伏时间序列数据的情况下,最低提高了 8.98%。此外,所提出的方法比最先进的方法优胜 2.85%-5.53%。实验结果表明,所提出的方法具有准确、稳健的预测性能,是光伏功率预测的可靠替代方法。
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引用次数: 0
Comparison of traditional and ambient air-assisted ground source heat pump systems using different bore field configurations 使用不同孔场配置的传统地源热泵系统与环境空气辅助地源热泵系统的比较
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.enconman.2024.119240
Santeri Siren , Janne Hirvonen , Piia Sormunen
While ground source heat pump systems offer an energy-efficient means of generating local renewable energy for buildings, they also face challenges, such as ground thermal imbalance and the spatial requirements of the bore field. These problems can be addressed by optimizing the bore field configuration and coupling the system with complementary energy sources. This study explores the relationship between the bore field configuration and the long-term performance of an ambient air-assisted hybrid ground source heat pump system. The hypothesis was that utilizing ambient air as a supplementary heat source effectively reduces the significance of the bore field configuration on the techno-economic performance of the system. Understanding this relationship can aid in designing more efficient systems. This paper presents quantitative effects of bore field layout and borehole spacing on the performance of AAA-GSHP systems, using several different performance metrics. The analysis encompassed various bore field configurations assessed for a traditional and an ambient air-assisted ground source heat pump system using dynamic energy simulations for a 50-year period with IDA ICE software. A key finding was that utilizing ambient air as an additional heat source highly effectively mitigates the effects of the bore field layout and spacing on the techno-economic performance of the system. By decreasing borehole spacing from 15 m to 5 m, the required land area was reduced by 89 % while simultaneously achieving a 25 % higher share of renewable energy production compared to the traditional solution. Depending on the bore field configuration, the ambient air-assisted system achieved a 0–31 % lower levelized cost of energy, 2–52 % lower CO2 emissions, and a 9–58 % higher share of renewable energy production compared to the traditional system. The achieved benefits were particularly substantial with configurations where numerous boreholes were concentrated in a small land area. On average, 40 % of the thermal energy from the ambient air was charged in the bore field, while the remaining portion was utilized directly in the evaporator. The conversion of a traditional system to an ambient air-assisted system can be achieved with a technically straightforward solution that leverages existing technology, increasing the initial investment by only 6 %. The ambient air-assisted ground source heat pump system shows significant potential for applications with a year-round heating demand and limited land area for bore hole installation.
虽然地源热泵系统为建筑物提供了一种产生本地可再生能源的高能效手段,但也面临着一些挑战,例如地热不平衡和钻孔场的空间要求。这些问题可以通过优化孔场配置以及将系统与互补能源耦合来解决。本研究探讨了孔场配置与环境空气辅助混合地源热泵系统长期性能之间的关系。假设是,利用环境空气作为补充热源可有效降低孔场配置对系统技术经济性能的影响。了解这种关系有助于设计更高效的系统。本文利用几个不同的性能指标,介绍了钻孔布局和钻孔间距对 AAA-GSHP 系统性能的定量影响。该分析包括对传统地源热泵系统和环境空气辅助地源热泵系统的各种钻孔配置进行评估,并使用 IDA ICE 软件进行了 50 年的动态能源模拟。一个重要发现是,利用环境空气作为额外热源,可有效减轻钻孔布局和间距对系统技术经济性能的影响。通过将钻孔间距从 15 米减小到 5 米,所需土地面积减少了 89%,同时与传统解决方案相比,可再生能源生产比例提高了 25%。与传统系统相比,环境空气辅助系统的平准化能源成本降低了 0-31%,二氧化碳排放量减少了 2-52%,可再生能源生产比例提高了 9-58%。在众多钻孔集中在一小块土地上的情况下,所取得的效益尤其显著。平均而言,环境空气中 40% 的热能被充入钻孔区域,其余部分直接用于蒸发器。将传统系统转换为环境空气辅助系统在技术上非常简单,只需利用现有技术,初始投资仅增加 6%。环境空气辅助地源热泵系统在全年供热需求和钻孔安装占地面积有限的应用中显示出巨大的潜力。
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Energy Conversion and Management
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