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A Method Combining Model Optimization Algorithm and Grey Relational Analysis for Analyzing Factors Affecting Photovoltaic Cell Output Characteristics 模型优化算法与灰色关联分析相结合的光伏电池输出特性影响因素分析方法
IF 3.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-10-10 DOI: 10.1002/ese3.70312
Biying Zhou, Peng Zhang

Investigating the relationship between factors affecting the output power of photovoltaic (PV) cells is crucial for enhancing the efficiency and stability of PV power generation. Traditional PV models have problems such as many parameters, strong nonlinearity, and difficulty in numerical solution. In addition, there is a lack of precise quantitative methods to determine the relationship between different influencing factors. To address this problem, the traditional PV model is simplified and parameters are optimized by taking a single-diode monocrystalline silicon PV cell as an example. The grey correlation theory is introduced to analyze the factors affecting the performance of PV cells, and the correlation between each factor and the maximum output power point is calculated. The results show that the proposed PV model is sensitive to each parameter. The grey correlation method is used to quantitatively calculate the correlation, effectively revealing the relative importance of different factors and the maximum output power, and clarifying the influence of each parameter on the maximum power point. It provides a strong support for the optimization design of large-scale PV power generation systems.

研究光伏电池输出功率影响因素之间的关系,对于提高光伏发电的效率和稳定性至关重要。传统PV模型存在参数多、非线性强、数值求解困难等问题。此外,还缺乏精确的定量方法来确定不同影响因素之间的关系。针对这一问题,以单二极管单晶硅光伏电池为例,对传统PV模型进行了简化和参数优化。引入灰色关联理论对影响光伏电池性能的因素进行分析,计算各因素与最大输出功率点之间的关联。结果表明,所提出的PV模型对各个参数都很敏感。采用灰色关联法定量计算关联度,有效揭示了不同因素与最大输出功率的相对重要性,明确了各参数对最大功率点的影响。为大型光伏发电系统的优化设计提供了有力的支持。
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引用次数: 0
Insights on Catalytic Bio-Slurry Degradation to Biofuels Using an Electrolytic Biomass Solar Cell 利用电解生物质太阳能电池催化生物浆降解为生物燃料的研究进展
IF 3.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-10-09 DOI: 10.1002/ese3.70300
Marjan Abdallah Khamis, Aloys Mosima Osano, Peterson Momanyi Gutto, Samwel K. Cheruiyot

This study focused on the production of hydrocarbon fuels from bio-slurry through an innovative electrolytic process powered by solar energy. The bio-slurry, a byproduct of anaerobic digestion, presents disposal challenges, especially in areas without farmlands for use as organic biofertilizer. To address this issue and contribute to cleaner energy production, the study aimed to catalyze bio-slurry degradation into hydrocarbon fuels using an electrolytic biomass solar cell (EBSC). Powered by a 40 W solar panel, the setup employed a 9000 mL bio-slurry capacity, alongside geo-catalysts and iron oxide catalysts to enhance the efficiency of degradation and gas production. The experiment yielded significant volumes of biofuels, including bio-methane (20.42%), bio-ethane (24.00%), and propane (35.10%), with gas composition analyzed via GC-MS. The use of the “Ebarra” (a geo-catalyst) electrocatalyst significantly increased methane and ethane production. This process could be scaled up for industrial applications with the use of solar panels of higher capacity in large bio-slurry systems, as well as proportionate catalysts to enhance the process. This process presents a sustainable method for converting bio-slurry into valuable hydrocarbon fuels, contributing to environmental conservation and renewable energy development. This method not only converts bio-slurry into valuable hydrocarbon fuels but also minimizes harmful byproducts, contributing to a lower carbon footprint compared to traditional energy production methods, such as the use of water to produce Hydrogen energy, among others.

本研究的重点是通过创新的太阳能电解工艺从生物浆中生产碳氢化合物燃料。生物浆是厌氧消化的副产品,在处理方面存在挑战,特别是在没有农田用作有机生物肥料的地区。为了解决这一问题并促进清洁能源生产,该研究旨在利用电解生物质太阳能电池(EBSC)催化生物浆降解为碳氢化合物燃料。该装置由一个40瓦的太阳能电池板供电,采用9000毫升的生物浆容量,以及地质催化剂和氧化铁催化剂,以提高降解效率和产气效率。实验产生了大量的生物燃料,包括生物甲烷(20.42%)、生物乙烷(24.00%)和丙烷(35.10%),并通过气相色谱-质谱分析了气体成分。“Ebarra”(一种地质催化剂)电催化剂的使用显著提高了甲烷和乙烷的产量。这一过程可以扩大到工业应用,在大型生物浆系统中使用更高容量的太阳能电池板,以及按比例的催化剂来加强这一过程。该工艺为将生物浆转化为有价值的碳氢燃料提供了一种可持续的方法,有助于环境保护和可再生能源的发展。这种方法不仅将生物浆转化为有价值的碳氢化合物燃料,而且最大限度地减少了有害的副产品,与传统的能源生产方法(如用水生产氢能等)相比,这种方法的碳足迹更低。
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引用次数: 0
Advancing Energy and Indoor Environmental Quality Through Integrated Co-Simulation and Multi-Objective Optimisation for SARS-CoV-2 Risk Mitigation: A UK Case Study 通过综合联合模拟和多目标优化提高能源和室内环境质量,降低SARS-CoV-2风险:以英国为例
IF 3.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-10-06 DOI: 10.1002/ese3.70314
Atefeh Abbaspour, Ali Bahadori-Jahromi, Alan Janbey, Hooman Tahayori

In today's modern world, people spend most of their time indoors, making indoor air quality (IAQ) a critical concern, particularly in educational buildings, where densely occupied classrooms demand clean and healthy environments. This study enhances the IAQ of an existing college building in West London by aiming to reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations and SARS-CoV-2 infection risk, while maintaining or improving energy efficiency and thermal comfort, assessed using the predicted percentage of dissatisfied (PPD). A multi-objective optimisation was conducted using the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA-II). A novel approach combining optimisation with EnergyPlus and CONTAM co-simulation was proposed to obtain the final results. Various scenarios were developed, reflecting different priorities. Energy-saving scenarios increased PPD by 15.3% to 17.9%, while IAQ- and comfort-focused scenarios raised energy consumption by 26.95% to 53.91% but maintained or improved comfort. EC45 as a mixed-priority scenario, along with IAQ-priority scenarios, achieved the lowest average SARS-CoV-2 infection risks (9.6%–10.7%). Meanwhile, other mixed-priority (EP45-ECP33) scenarios reduced PPD by 13.9% and maintained a 17% infection risk with only a 29% increase in energy use. This comprehensive approach demonstrates the potential for achieving healthier indoor environments in educational buildings without excessively compromising energy efficiency or occupant comfort.

在当今的现代世界中,人们大部分时间都在室内度过,室内空气质量(IAQ)成为一个关键问题,特别是在教育建筑中,密集的教室需要清洁和健康的环境。本研究通过使用预测的不满意百分比(PPD)来评估,旨在降低二氧化碳(CO2)浓度和SARS-CoV-2感染风险,同时保持或提高能源效率和热舒适度,从而提高伦敦西部现有大学建筑的室内空气质量。采用非支配排序遗传算法II (NSGA-II)进行多目标优化。提出了一种将优化与EnergyPlus和CONTAM联合仿真相结合的新方法来获得最终结果。开发了各种场景,反映了不同的优先事项。节能方案将PPD提高了15.3%至17.9%,而以室内空气质量和舒适度为重点的方案将能耗提高了26.95%至53.91%,但保持或改善了舒适度。EC45作为混合优先情景,与iaq优先情景一起实现了最低的平均SARS-CoV-2感染风险(9.6%-10.7%)。与此同时,其他混合优先(EP45-ECP33)方案将PPD降低了13.9%,并保持了17%的感染风险,而能源消耗仅增加了29%。这种综合的方法展示了在不过度影响能源效率或居住者舒适度的情况下,在教育建筑中实现更健康的室内环境的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-Scale Evolution Mechanism of Water-Conducting Fracture Zone in Deep-Mining Hard Roof 深部开采硬顶板导水裂隙带多尺度演化机制
IF 3.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-10-06 DOI: 10.1002/ese3.70317
Yingfu Li, Linyang Bai, Hongwei Cai, Di Hu, Fangang Zeng

This study addresses the significant discrepancies in traditional methods for predicting the height of water-conducting fracture zones in deep-mining hard roofs, which can lead to catastrophic water inrush events. The 110,504 working face of Banji Coal Mine was chosen as the research site to systematically investigate the development characteristics of these fracture zones through a combination of theoretical analysis, field measurements, and numerical simulations. A key stratum identification model was proposed, based on the temperature-compensated elliptical stress arch theory, to better account for high ground temperatures in the overlying strata. The theoretical calculations predicted a water-conducting fracture zone height of 61.32 m and a fracture zone height of 21.25 m. The development of the fracture zone exhibited a three-stage evolution: a slow development stage, followed by a rapid expansion stage, and finally a stable penetration stage. The findings suggest that the fracture zone height is primarily governed by the fracturing of key strata within an ellipsoidal stress arch, with overburden failure influenced by mining-induced stress concentration and the structural characteristics of the overlying rock. These results provide both theoretical insights and empirical data for improving predictions of water hazards and enhancing the stability of overburden in deep mining environments.

该研究解决了传统方法在预测深部开采硬顶板导水裂隙带高度上的显著差异,这可能导致灾难性突水事件。选取板集煤矿110504工作面作为研究场地,通过理论分析、现场实测和数值模拟相结合的方法,系统研究了这些裂隙带的发育特征。为了更好地考虑上覆地层的高地温,提出了基于温度补偿椭圆应力拱理论的关键地层识别模型。理论计算预测导水裂缝带高度为61.32 m,裂缝带高度为21.25 m。断裂带的发育经历了缓慢发育阶段、快速扩张阶段和稳定渗透阶段三个阶段的演化。研究结果表明,裂隙带高度主要受椭球形应力拱内关键层的破裂控制,覆岩破坏受采动应力集中和覆岩结构特征的影响。研究结果为改进深部开采环境下水害预测和提高覆岩稳定性提供了理论见解和经验数据。
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引用次数: 0
An Innovative AI-Driven Algorithm for Efficient and Precise Distribution System Planning 高效精准配电系统规划的创新人工智能驱动算法
IF 3.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-10-06 DOI: 10.1002/ese3.70318
Harshit Singh, Sachin Singh, Rajiv Kumar Singh, Fidele Maniraguha

This paper presents GRATE–DRL–AI, an Artificial Intelligence (AI)–driven algorithm designed to enhance the efficiency and accuracy of distribution system planning. Leveraging advanced AI methodologies, including graph learning, transfer learning, deep reinforcement learning (DRL), and physics-guided neural networks, this model efficiently addresses the growing complexity and uncertainties in modern distribution grids with high penetration of distributed energy resources. Case studies on the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers 33-bus and 123-bus systems show that GRATE–DRL–AI reduces planning cost by up to 8.5%, achieves 99%–100% feasibility, and significantly lowers computation time (e.g., 580 s vs. 1610 s for the 342-bus system). Even under ±30% uncertainty in demand and renewable generation, feasibility remains above 99%. In addition to strong performance gains, the study also highlights limitations, such as data availability, computational requirements, and regulatory considerations, which must be addressed for real-world deployment of AI-driven planning frameworks.

本文提出了一种人工智能(AI)驱动的算法GRATE-DRL-AI,旨在提高配电系统规划的效率和准确性。利用先进的人工智能方法,包括图学习、迁移学习、深度强化学习(DRL)和物理引导的神经网络,该模型有效地解决了分布式能源高渗透的现代配电网中日益增长的复杂性和不确定性。对电气和电子工程师协会33总线和123总线系统的案例研究表明,GRATE-DRL-AI可将规划成本降低8.5%,实现99%-100%的可行性,并显著降低计算时间(例如,342总线系统为580秒,而342总线系统为1610秒)。即使需求和可再生能源发电的不确定性低于±30%,可行性仍高于99%。除了强劲的性能提升外,该研究还强调了局限性,例如数据可用性、计算需求和监管考虑,这些都是人工智能驱动的规划框架在现实世界中部署时必须解决的问题。
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引用次数: 0
Design and Simulation of an Autotransformer-Based 18-Pulse AC-DC Converter for Enhanced Power Quality in Vector-Controlled Asynchronous Motor Drives 基于自耦变压器的18脉冲交流-直流变换器的设计与仿真,以提高矢量控制异步电机驱动的电能质量
IF 3.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-10-05 DOI: 10.1002/ese3.70313
Mohammad Yousefzadeh, Mehrdad Ahmadi Kamarposhti, El Manaa Barhoumi, Ilhami Colak, Phatiphat Thounthong

Reducing harmonics in alternating current (AC) input and ripples in direct current (DC) output enhances power quality, achievable through multi-pulse converters (MPCs). This study presents the design, simulation, and analysis (in MATLAB/Simulink) of an autotransformer-based 18-pulse AC-DC converter used with a vector-controlled asynchronous motor drive (VCAMD) to improve power quality at the point of common coupling (PCC). Unlike alternative designs that require three single-phase transformers, the proposed autotransformer only utilizes two, making it a cost-effective replacement for conventional 6-pulse diode bridge rectifiers. The article covers various topologies, simulation outcomes, and comparisons. It also examines load change effects on VCAMD, analyzing total harmonic distortion (THD) and assessing harmonic reduction efficiency. Experimental results from a laboratory prototype further validate the proposed structure's effectiveness.

减少交流(AC)输入中的谐波和直流(DC)输出中的波纹,可以通过多脉冲转换器(mpc)实现,从而提高电能质量。本研究提出了一种基于自耦变压器的18脉冲交流-直流变换器的设计、仿真和分析(在MATLAB/Simulink中),该变换器与矢量控制异步电动机驱动器(VCAMD)一起使用,以改善共耦合点(PCC)的电能质量。与需要三个单相变压器的替代设计不同,拟议的自耦变压器仅使用两个,使其成为传统6脉冲二极管桥式整流器的经济高效替代品。本文涵盖了各种拓扑、模拟结果和比较。它还研究了负载变化对VCAMD的影响,分析了总谐波失真(THD)并评估了谐波降低效率。实验室样机的实验结果进一步验证了该结构的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Design Optimization of Surface Seawater Intake Piping for Hybrid Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion Pilot Plant 混合海洋热能转换中试装置表层海水进气管道设计优化
IF 3.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-10-03 DOI: 10.1002/ese3.70316
Shamsul Sarip, Abu Bakar Jaafar, Mohd Khairi Abu Husain, Yasuyuki Ikegami, Ahmad Aiman Azmi, Firdaus Muhammad-Sukki

Hybrid Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (H-OTEC) systems are characterized by the adoption of both open-loop and closed-loop Rankine cycles. In the closed-loop configuration, a working fluid such as ammonia is evaporated in a heat exchanger, utilizing the heat from water vapor generated in a vacuum chamber by warm surface seawater introduction. The vapor is then expanded through a turbogenerator to produce electricity before being condensed in a cold-water heat exchanger using cold water. In Malaysia, significant advancements are being made in the technology for seawater suction systems, particularly for applications in fish breeding, farming, desalination plants, and power generation. The operation of an H-OTEC Experimental system at UPM I-AQUAS, Port Dickson, Malaysia depends on surface seawater for turbine operation, necessitating the installation of a piping system spanning 336 m from the H-OTEC facility to the suction location. Challenges associated with seawater intake systems include pump cavitation due to high suction head, pipe contamination by organisms such as barnacles and algae, pump placement, strainer size, and pipe diameter intake. The primary objective of this study is to provide valuable insights, conduct field testing, and gather necessary data for the development of the first-of-its-kind surface seawater piping system for H-OTEC in the Asian region. This objective was accomplished through the installation of a centrifugal pump unit with a flow rate of 40 m3/h (600 L/min), the laying of 106 mm inner diameter parallel pipes, installation of strainers, and a booster pump connected to a 125 A HDPE pipe. The collected data provides the necessary input in establishing the layout design and location selection of the seawater intake pipe, introduce a novel helical crossflow self-cleaning suction screen water intake system, facilitate weight structure design, and enable pump sizing and suction pump analysis.

混合海洋热能转换(H-OTEC)系统的特点是采用开环和闭环朗肯循环。在闭环配置中,工作流体(如氨)在热交换器中蒸发,利用真空室中通过加热表面海水引入产生的水蒸气的热量。然后蒸汽通过涡轮发电机膨胀产生电力,然后在冷水热交换器中使用冷水冷凝。在马来西亚,海水吸入系统技术正在取得重大进展,特别是在鱼类养殖、养殖、海水淡化厂和发电方面的应用。位于马来西亚Port Dickson的UPM I-AQUAS的H-OTEC实验系统的运行依赖于水面海水来运行涡轮机,因此需要安装从H-OTEC设施到吸力位置长达336米的管道系统。与海水吸入系统相关的挑战包括高吸水头导致的泵空化、藤壶和藻类等生物对管道的污染、泵的位置、过滤器的尺寸和管道的直径。本研究的主要目的是提供有价值的见解,进行现场测试,并收集必要的数据,为H-OTEC在亚洲地区开发首个同类表面海水管道系统。通过安装流速为40 m3/h (600 L/min)的离心泵装置、铺设内径为106 mm的平行管、安装过滤器和连接125 a HDPE管的增压泵,实现了这一目标。收集到的数据为建立进海水管道的布置设计和位置选择提供了必要的输入,引入了一种新型的螺旋横流自清洁吸水筛网吸水系统,便于重量结构设计,并进行了泵的尺寸和吸入泵的分析。
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引用次数: 0
Novel Approach for Power Management-Based NPC STATCOM for Grid-Connected Photovoltaic Battery System 并网光伏电池系统基于NPC STATCOM电源管理的新方法
IF 3.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-10-02 DOI: 10.1002/ese3.70291
Kamel Sayahi, El Manaa Barhoumi, Belgacem Bouallegue, Faouzi Bacha

The development of power quality control systems and methods is a credible step for the modernization of the power grid. In this context, this paper presents novel approaches for the control of power quality and voltage of the power grid using power converters connected to photovoltaic battery systems. The photovoltaic system permits to generate the required power to adjust the grid voltage. Indeed, a three-level neutral point clamped (NPC) converter, connecting the PV-batteries to the power grid, plays the function of a static compensator (STATCOM) in the case of a fault causing power grid voltage variation. The NPC converter is controlled by a direct current vector control method based on a hysteresis controller. The amplitude and phase of the NPC converter reference currents are generated based on the irradiation value, the battery state of charge, and the grid voltage. In addition to the NPC converter, the proposed approach uses three DC–DC converters with the aim to extract the maximum power from the PV system and control the charge–discharge of the batteries. The bidirectional converter associated with the batteries and the four-quadrant chopper connected to the NPC converter are controlled by proportional integral (PI) regulators in aim to maintain the voltage and state of charge of the batteries within the acceptable range. To coordinate the different scenarios, a power management system is proposed in this paper to generate adequate control signals for the control of the different power converters. PI closed-loop controllers have been proposed to ensure the highest performance and stability of voltage regulation in the power grid. The different control methods have been implemented and verified in MATLAB-Simulink environment. The results prove the effectiveness of the proposed approach to regulate the voltage and the grid power quality. The results demonstrate that the proposed system is capable of maintaining the grid voltage within ±10% of the nominal value, even under fault conditions, with a voltage regulation efficiency of 98%. Additionally, the power quality improvements are quantified, showing a reduction in total harmonic distortion (THD) of the grid current to below 3%, ensuring compliance with international power quality standards.

电能质量控制系统和方法的发展是实现电网现代化的重要一步。在此背景下,本文提出了利用与光伏电池系统相连的电源转换器控制电网电能质量和电压的新方法。光伏系统允许产生所需的电力来调整电网电压。实际上,将pv电池连接到电网的三电平中性点箝位(NPC)转换器在故障导致电网电压变化的情况下起静态补偿器(STATCOM)的作用。采用基于磁滞控制器的直流矢量控制方法对NPC变换器进行控制。NPC变换器参考电流的幅值和相位是根据辐照值、电池充电状态和电网电压产生的。除了NPC转换器之外,所提出的方法还使用了三个DC-DC转换器,旨在从光伏系统中提取最大功率并控制电池的充放电。与电池相关的双向变换器和连接到NPC变换器的四象限斩波由比例积分(PI)调节器控制,目的是将电池的电压和充电状态保持在可接受的范围内。为了协调不同的场景,本文提出了一种电源管理系统,以产生足够的控制信号来控制不同的功率转换器。为了保证电网电压调节的最高性能和稳定性,提出了PI闭环控制器。在MATLAB-Simulink环境下对不同的控制方法进行了实现和验证。实验结果证明了该方法对调节电压和电网电能质量的有效性。结果表明,即使在故障情况下,该系统也能将电网电压维持在标称值的±10%以内,电压调节效率达98%。此外,电能质量的改善是量化的,显示电网电流的总谐波失真(THD)降低到3%以下,确保符合国际电能质量标准。
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引用次数: 0
Optimization of Sustainable Hybrid Solar Power Cycles: Bibliographic Mapping 可持续混合太阳能发电周期的优化:书目制图
IF 3.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-10-02 DOI: 10.1002/ese3.70310
Seyed Farhan Moosavian, Ahmad Hajinezhad

The escalating global demand for energy, coupled with pressing environmental anxieties, necessitates the strategic integration of renewable resources with advanced thermodynamic cycles. This paper analyzes the proposed sustainable hybrid power systems combining heliostat-based solar thermal plants, molten salt thermal storage, and supercritical CO2 Brayton cycles, augmented by green methanol synthesis. This study undertakes a multi-faceted evaluation of the proposed systems, assessing their viability based on energy, exergy, environmental, and economic metrics. This assessment is facilitated by sophisticated, AI-driven multi-objective optimization algorithms. Concurrently, a bibliometric mapping of the research domain was performed using VOSviewer to visualize the scholarly landscape. The results reveal promising configurations with improved thermal performance, enhanced energy storage strategies, and significant emission reductions, offering a viable path toward sustainable industrial-scale energy solutions. The optimized configurations achieved a thermal efficiency of more than 45%, exergy efficiency of more than 40%, and CO2₂ emission reduction of more than 80% compared to conventional fossil-based systems. These results validate the proposed models technical viability and environmental advantage, offering a promising pathway toward scalable, sustainable energy systems.

全球对能源的需求不断上升,再加上迫在眉睫的环境担忧,使可再生资源与先进的热力学循环的战略整合成为必要。本文分析了拟议的可持续混合动力系统,该系统结合了基于定日镜的太阳能热电厂、熔盐储热和超临界二氧化碳布雷顿循环,并以绿色甲醇合成为基础。本研究对提议的系统进行了多方面的评估,根据能源、能源、环境和经济指标评估其可行性。这种评估是由复杂的、人工智能驱动的多目标优化算法促进的。同时,使用VOSviewer对研究领域进行了文献计量测绘,以可视化学术景观。研究结果揭示了具有改善热性能,增强储能策略和显著减排的有前途的配置,为可持续的工业规模能源解决方案提供了可行的途径。与传统的化石燃料系统相比,优化后的配置实现了超过45%的热效率,超过40%的能源效率,减少了80%以上的二氧化碳排放量。这些结果验证了所提出的模型的技术可行性和环境优势,为可扩展的可持续能源系统提供了一条有希望的途径。
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引用次数: 0
Unlocking Geothermal Potential in Indonesia: A Techno-Economic Analysis With Carbon Credits Toward 2060 NDC Goal 释放印尼地热潜力:实现2060年国家自主贡献目标的碳信用技术经济分析
IF 3.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-09-30 DOI: 10.1002/ese3.70296
Dzikri Firmansyah Hakam, Maura Chrisantia Husein, Nanang Hariyanto, Muhammad Rifansyah, Deddy Priatmodjo Koesrindartoto, Asep Darmansyah, Suardi Nur

Indonesia's considerable geothermal resources present tremendous potential for energy production, yet restricted investor interest hampers development. This study evaluates the economic viability of a proposed 330 MW geothermal power plant in Gunung Kembar to encourage investment and facilitate Indonesia's 2060 Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC). Four scenarios were modeled using RETScreen, each differing in carbon credit pricing and project duration. Scenario I implement a carbon credit price of $2 per metric ton of CO₂ over a 25-year period, resulting in a Net Present Value (NPV) of $22 million and a Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) of 0.091 USD/kWh. Scenario II elevates the credit price to $18, resulting in an NPV of $23.5 million. In Scenario III, prolonging the project lifespan to 30 years yielded a NPV of $30.6 million and a LCOE of 0.088 USD/kWh. Scenario IV, featuring a credit price of $50 and a term of 30 years, attained the highest NPV at $67.9 million and an LCOE of 0.088 USD/kWh. Scenario IV demonstrates the most economic potential, indicating that elevated carbon price may augment project profitability and stimulate renewable investment in Indonesia.

印度尼西亚丰富的地热资源为能源生产提供了巨大的潜力,但投资者兴趣有限,阻碍了发展。本研究评估了拟议中的位于Gunung Kembar的330兆瓦地热发电厂的经济可行性,以鼓励投资并促进印度尼西亚的2060年国家自主贡献(NDC)。使用RETScreen对四种情景进行了建模,每种情景在碳信用定价和项目持续时间上都有所不同。方案一在25年期间实施每公吨二氧化碳2美元的碳信用价格,净现值(NPV)为2200万美元,平准化电力成本(LCOE)为0.091美元/千瓦时。情景II将信贷价格提高到18美元,导致NPV为2350万美元。在方案三中,将项目寿命延长至30年,净现值为3060万美元,LCOE为0.088美元/千瓦时。方案四的信贷价格为50美元,期限为30年,净现值最高,为6790万美元,LCOE为0.088美元/千瓦时。情景四显示了最大的经济潜力,表明碳价格上涨可能会增加项目盈利能力,并刺激印尼的可再生能源投资。
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