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Can household water sharing advance water security? An integrative review of water entitlements and entitlement failures. 家庭用水共享能促进水安全吗?水权利和权利失败的综合审查。
IF 5.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-17 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad9851
Melissa Beresford, Ellis Adams, Jessica Budds, Leila M Harris, Wendy Jepson, Tennille Marley, Chloe Nguyen, Amber Pearson, Anaís Delilah Roque, Asher Y Rosinger, Sameer H Shah, Matthew Stellbauer, Amber Wutich

An increasing number of studies find that water sharing-the non-market transfer of privately held water between households-is a ubiquitous informal practice around the world and a primary way that households respond to water insecurity. Yet, a key question about household water sharing remains: is water sharing a viable path that can help advance household water security? Or should water sharing be understood as a symptom of water insecurity in wait for more formalized solutions? Here, we address this question by applying Sen's entitlement framework in an integrative review of empirical scholarship on household water sharing. Our review shows that when interhousehold water sharing is governed by established and well-functioning norms it can serve as a reliable transfer entitlement that bolsters household water security. However, when water sharing occurs outside of established norms (triggered by broader entitlement failures) it is often associated with significant emotional distress that may exacerbate conditions of water insecurity. These findings suggest that stable, norm-based water sharing arrangements may offer a viable, adaptive solution to households facing water insecurity. Nevertheless, more scholarship is needed to better understand when and how norm-based water transfer entitlements fail, the capacity of water sharing practices to evolve into lasting normative entitlements, and the impact of interhousehold water sharing on intrahousehold water security.

越来越多的研究发现,用水共享——家庭之间私人用水的非市场转移——是世界各地普遍存在的非正式做法,也是家庭应对用水不安全的主要方式。然而,关于家庭用水共享的一个关键问题仍然存在:水共享是有助于提高家庭用水安全的可行途径吗?还是应该将水资源共享理解为水资源不安全的一种症状,等待更正式的解决方案?在这里,我们通过将Sen的权利框架应用于家庭用水共享经验学术的综合审查来解决这个问题。我们的回顾表明,当家庭用水共享受到既定和运作良好的规范的管理时,它可以作为一种可靠的转让权利,加强家庭用水安全。然而,当水共享发生在既定规范之外(由更广泛的权利失败引发)时,它通常与严重的情绪困扰有关,可能会加剧水不安全状况。这些发现表明,稳定的、基于规范的水资源共享安排可能为面临水不安全的家庭提供一种可行的、适应性的解决方案。然而,需要更多的学术研究来更好地了解基于规范的水转移权利何时以及如何失效,水共享实践演变为持久的规范权利的能力,以及家庭间水共享对家庭内水安全的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Health benefits of decarbonization and clean air policies in Beijing and China. 北京和中国去碳化和清洁空气政策的健康效益。
IF 5.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad8c65
Gregor Kiesewetter, Shaohui Zhang, Jun Liu

Although China has seen strong reductions in air pollution levels in the last decade, PM2.5 concentrations still exceed the WHO Guideline several times, causing a substantial burden of mortality and morbidity. With many 'low hanging fruits' in terms of abatement measures already taken, further improvements will be more difficult and likely require different strategies than pursued so far. This study looks into the trends expected under current energy policies and air pollution control legislation and analyses the source contributions to ambient PM2.5 in China, with a special focus on the megacity of Beijing. Although reductions are foreseen, China appears not yet on track to meet its long-term targets for greenhouse gas emissions nor the future national air quality standards. Going beyond current policies, we analyze effects of measures which tackle both issues and quantify health co-benefits from further decarbonization policies required to meet the national target of reaching carbon neutrality by 2060, as well as the potential for further air pollution mitigation.

尽管中国的空气污染水平在过去十年中大幅下降,但 PM2.5 浓度仍数次超过世界卫生组织的指导值,造成了巨大的死亡和发病负担。由于已经采取了许多 "低悬挂果实 "的减排措施,进一步的改善将更加困难,可能需要采取与迄今为止不同的策略。本研究探讨了在当前能源政策和空气污染控制立法下的预期趋势,并分析了中国环境 PM2.5 的来源,特别关注北京这个特大城市。尽管预计会有所减少,但中国似乎尚未走上实现温室气体排放长期目标和未来国家空气质量标准的轨道。在现行政策之外,我们分析了解决这两个问题的措施的效果,并量化了实现 2060 年碳中和国家目标所需的进一步去碳化政策带来的健康共同利益,以及进一步缓解空气污染的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Long-term patterns of post-fire harvest diverge among ownerships in the Pacific West, U.S.A. 火灾后的长期收获模式在美国太平洋西部不同的所有权之间存在差异
IF 5.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-26 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad8e75
Aaron Zuspan, Matthew J Reilly, E Henry Lee

Post-fire harvest (PFH) is a forest management practice designed to salvage value from burned timber, mitigate safety hazards from dead trees, reduce long-term fuels, and prepare sites for replanting. Despite public controversy and extensive ecological research, little is known about how much PFH occurs on private and public lands in the U.S. Pacific West, or how practices changed with shifting forest policy and increasing area burned over the last three decades. We mapped PFH across 2.2 M burned hectares in California, Oregon, and Washington between 1986-2017 and used time series intervention analysis to compare trends in area, rate (% of burned area harvested), and mean patch size between private (0.5 M ha) and federal (1.6 M ha) forest land and across a gradient of burn severity. Harvest rates varied by ownership (4.9% federal, 18.6% private, 8.0% overall), and practices evolved and diverged over the study period. PFH area and rate declined across all ownerships in the mid-1990s during a period of reduced fire activity. As area burned increased between the early 2000s and late 2010s, PFH area rebounded and surpassed late-1980s levels, while rates remained relatively low. On federal lands, PFH practices shifted in the early-to-mid 1990s towards lower rates (10.3%-3.8%) and smaller patches (6.0-3.3 ha), following policy changes and increased litigation. PFH rates on federal lands decreased at all levels of burn severity, with the largest decreases (6.2%-1.2%) in forests with low tree mortality (i.e. fire refugia). Conversely, private PFH rates and mean patch sizes more than doubled in forests burned at very low-to-moderate severity. Our results highlight how PFH practices have shifted with policy, socio-economic pressure, and increasing area burned over 31 years in the Pacific West. A similar area of PFH is now dispersed over larger fires, with practices diverging substantially between ownerships.

火灾后采伐(PFH)是一种森林管理实践,旨在从燃烧的木材中回收价值,减轻死树的安全隐患,减少长期燃料,并为重新种植做好准备。尽管存在公众争议和广泛的生态研究,但人们对美国太平洋西部私人和公共土地上PFH的数量知之甚少,也不知道过去三十年来森林政策的转变和燃烧面积的增加如何改变了这种做法。我们绘制了1986-2017年间加利福尼亚州、俄勒冈州和华盛顿州2.2 M公顷烧毁面积的PFH图,并使用时间序列干预分析来比较私人林地(0.5 M ha)和联邦林地(1.6 M ha)的面积、率(砍伐面积的百分比)和平均斑块大小的趋势,并跨越烧伤严重程度的梯度。采收率因所有权而异(联邦4.9%,私人18.6%,整体8.0%),并且在研究期间实践不断演变和分化。在20世纪90年代中期,在火灾活动减少的时期,所有所有权的PFH面积和比率都有所下降。21世纪初至21世纪10年代末,随着燃烧面积的增加,PFH面积出现反弹,并超过了20世纪80年代末的水平,而比率仍然相对较低。在联邦土地上,随着政策的变化和诉讼的增加,PFH的做法在20世纪90年代早期到中期转向了较低的费率(10.3%-3.8%)和较小的斑块(6.0-3.3公顷)。联邦土地上的PFH率在所有烧伤严重程度上都有所下降,在树木死亡率低的森林(即火灾避难所)下降幅度最大(6.2%-1.2%)。相反,在非常低到中等严重程度的森林中,私人PFH率和平均斑块面积增加了一倍以上。我们的研究结果强调了PFH实践如何随着政策、社会经济压力和太平洋西部31年来燃烧面积的增加而发生变化。类似的PFH区域现在分散在更大的火灾中,不同的所有权之间的做法大相径庭。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on greenhouse gas and criteria air pollutant emissions from the San Pedro Bay Ports and future policy implications. COVID-19 大流行对圣佩德罗湾港口温室气体和标准空气污染物排放的影响及未来政策影响。
IF 5.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-10-07 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad7747
Jiachen Zhang, Junhyeong Park, Nancy Bui, Sara Forestieri, Elizabeth Mazmanian, Yucheng He, Cory Parmer, David C Quiros

The Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, collectively known as the San Pedro Bay Ports, serve as vital gateways for freight movement in the United States. The COVID-19 pandemic and other influencing factors disrupted freight movement and led to unprecedented cargo surge, vessel congestion, and increased air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions from seaport and connected freight system operations beginning in June 2020. In this study, we conducted the first comprehensive monthly assessment of the excess particulate matter, oxides of nitrogen (NOx), and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions due to the heightened congestion and freight transport activity from ocean-going vessels (OGVs), trucks, locomotives, and cargo handling equipment (CHE) supporting seaport operations. Excess emissions peaked in October 2021 at 23 tons of NOx per day and 2001 tons of CO2 per day. The strategic queuing system implemented in November 2021 significantly reduced the number of anchored and loitering OGVs and their emissions near the ports, even during continued high cargo throughput until Summer 2022. Looking forward, we analyzed projected emissions benefits of adopted California Air Resources Board regulations requiring cleaner and zero-emission trucks, locomotives, and CHE over the next decade. If a repeated port congestion event were to occur in 2035, NOx emissions from land-based freight transport should be lessened by more than 80%. Our study underscores the potential emissions impacts of disruptions to the freight transport network and the critical need to continue reducing its emissions in California and beyond.

洛杉矶港和长滩港统称为圣佩德罗湾港,是美国货运的重要门户。从 2020 年 6 月开始,COVID-19 大流行病和其他影响因素扰乱了货运,导致前所未有的货物激增、船只拥堵,以及海港和连接货运系统运营造成的空气污染和温室气体排放增加。在这项研究中,我们首次对支持海港运营的远洋船舶 (OGV)、卡车、机车和货物装卸设备 (CHE) 因拥堵加剧和货运活动而产生的过量颗粒物、氮氧化物 (NOx) 和二氧化碳 (CO2) 排放进行了全面的月度评估。超量排放在 2021 年 10 月达到峰值,每天排放 23 吨氮氧化物和 2001 吨二氧化碳。2021 年 11 月实施的战略排队系统大大减少了港口附近停泊和闲逛的 OGV 数量及其排放量,即使在 2022 年夏季之前货物吞吐量持续较高期间也是如此。展望未来,我们分析了已通过的加州空气资源委员会法规的预计排放效益,这些法规要求在未来十年内使用更清洁和零排放的卡车、机车和 CHE。如果 2035 年再次发生港口拥堵事件,陆路货运的氮氧化物排放量将减少 80% 以上。我们的研究强调了货运网络中断可能造成的排放影响,以及在加利福尼亚州及其他地区继续减少货运排放的迫切需要。
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引用次数: 0
Disparities in nitrogen and phosphorus management across time and space: a case study of the Chesapeake Bay using the CAFE framework. 氮磷管理的时空差异:使用CAFE框架对切萨皮克湾的案例研究。
IF 5.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-25 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad786c
Tan Zou, Eric A Davidson, Robert D Sabo, Graham K MacDonald, Xin Zhang

Efficient management of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) is imperative for sustainable agriculture, resource conservation, and reducing environmental pollution. Despite progress in on-farm practices and urban wastewater treatment in the Chesapeake Bay (CB) watershed, limited attention has been given to nutrient transport, use, and handling between farms and urban environments. This study uses the hierarchical CAFE (Cropping system, Animal-crop system, Food system, and Ecosystem) framework to evaluate nutrient management performances within the watershed. We first develop a three-decade, county-level nutrient budget database (1985-2019), then analyze the spatiotemporal patterns of N and P budgets, as well as N and P use efficiencies, within the four CAFE hierarchies. Our results indicate a sizable increase in potential N and P losses beyond crop fields (i.e. in the Animal-crop system, Food system, and Ecosystem), surpassing losses from cropland in over 90% of counties. To address these system-wide trade-offs, we estimate the nutrient resources in waste streams beyond croplands, which, if recovered and recycled, could theoretically offset mineral fertilizer inputs in over 60% of counties. Additionally, the growing imbalance in excess N versus P across systems, which increases the N:P ratio of potential losses, could pose an emerging risk to downstream aquatic ecosystems. By utilizing a systematic approach, our novel application of the CAFE framework reveals trade-offs and synergies in nutrient management outcomes that transcend agro-environmental and political boundaries, underscores disparities in N and P management, and helps to identify unique opportunities for enhancing holistic nutrient management across systems within the CB watershed.

氮、磷的有效管理对可持续农业、资源保护和减少环境污染至关重要。尽管切萨皮克湾(CB)流域的农场实践和城市废水处理取得了进展,但对农场和城市环境之间营养物质的运输、利用和处理的关注有限。本研究采用分层CAFE(种植系统、动物-作物系统、食物系统和生态系统)框架对流域内的养分管理绩效进行评价。我们首先建立了一个30年的县级营养预算数据库(1985-2019),然后分析了四个CAFE层次内N和P预算的时空格局,以及N和P利用效率。我们的研究结果表明,在超过90%的县,潜在的氮和磷损失在农田之外(即动物-作物系统、粮食系统和生态系统)有相当大的增加,超过了农田的损失。为了解决这些全系统范围内的权衡问题,我们估计了农田以外废物流中的营养资源,如果得到回收和循环利用,理论上可以抵消60%以上县的矿物肥料投入。此外,各系统间过量氮磷的失衡日益加剧,增加了潜在损失的氮磷比,可能对下游水生生态系统构成新的风险。通过采用系统的方法,我们对CAFE框架的新应用揭示了超越农业环境和政治界限的养分管理结果的权衡和协同作用,强调了氮磷管理的差异,并有助于确定在CB流域内加强跨系统整体养分管理的独特机会。
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引用次数: 0
Shifting power: data democracy in engineering solutions. 权力转移:工程解决方案中的数据民主。
IF 6.7 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad7614
Bethany B Cutts,Uchenna Osia,Laura A Bray,Angela R Harris,Hanna C Long,Hannah Goins,Sallie McLean,Jacqueline MacDonald Gibson,Tal Ben-Horin,Astrid Schnetzer
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引用次数: 0
Central America’s agro-ecological suitability for cultivating coca, Erythroxylum spp 中美洲在农业生态方面是否适合种植古柯(Erythroxylum spp)?
IF 6.7 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad7276
Paulo J Murillo-Sandoval, Steven E Sesnie, Manuel Eduardo Ordoñez Armas, Nicholas Magliocca, Beth Tellman, Jennifer A Devine, Erik Nielsen and Kendra McSweeney
We assess how much of Central America is likely to be agriculturally suitable for cultivating coca (Erythroxylum spp), the main ingredient in cocaine. Since 2017, organized criminal groups (not smallholders) have been establishing coca plantations in Central America for cocaine production. This has broken South America’s long monopoly on coca leaf production for the global cocaine trade and raised concerns about future expansion in the isthmus. Yet it is not clear how much of Central America has suitable biophysical characteristics for a crop domesticated in, and long associated with the Andean region. We combine geo-located data from coca cultivation locations in Colombia with reported coca sites in Central America to model the soil, climate, and topography of Central American landscapes that might be suitable for coca production under standard management practices. We find that 47% of northern Central America (Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize) has biophysical characteristics that appear highly suitable for coca-growing, while most of southern Central America does not. Biophysical factors, then, are unlikely to constrain coca’s spread in northern Central America. Whether or not the crop is more widely planted will depend on complex and multi-scalar social, economic, and political factors. Among them is whether Central American countries and their allies will continue to prioritize militarized approaches to the drug trade through coca eradication and drug interdiction, which are likely to induce further expansion, not contain it. Novel approaches to the drug trade will be required to avert this outcome.
我们评估了中美洲有多少地区在农业上可能适合种植可卡因的主要成分古柯(Erythroxylum spp)。自 2017 年以来,有组织犯罪集团(而非小农户)一直在中美洲建立古柯种植园,用于生产可卡因。这打破了南美洲长期垄断全球可卡因贸易的古柯叶生产的局面,并引发了对地峡地区未来扩张的担忧。然而,中美洲有多少地区的生物物理特征适合这种在安第斯地区驯化并长期与该地区相关的作物,这一点尚不清楚。我们将哥伦比亚古柯种植地的地理定位数据与中美洲报告的古柯种植地数据相结合,建立了中美洲土壤、气候和地形的模型,这些地形在标准管理方法下可能适合古柯生产。我们发现,中美洲北部(洪都拉斯、危地马拉和伯利兹)47% 的地区具有非常适合种植古柯的生物物理特征,而中美洲南部的大部分地区则不适合种植古柯。因此,生物物理因素不太可能限制古柯在中美洲北部的蔓延。古柯作物是否得到更广泛的种植将取决于复杂而多层面的社会、经济和政治因素。其中包括中美洲国家及其盟国是否会继续优先考虑通过铲除古柯和拦截毒品的军事化方式来解决毒品贸易问题,这很可能会诱发而非遏制毒品贸易的进一步扩张。要避免出现这种结果,就必须采取新的方法来解决毒品贸易问题。
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引用次数: 0
Isotopic labeling evidence shows faster carbon release from microbial residues than plant litter 同位素标记证据显示,微生物残留物的碳释放速度快于植物废弃物
IF 6.7 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad786a
Jingjing Zhu, Yuhua Cai, Fuzhong Wu, Jinyu Zhang, Xinying Zhang and Xiangyin Ni
Carbon (C) release from plant and microbial residues is a primary pathway of energy flow from photosynthetic and metabolic biomass to carbon dioxide (CO2) in terrestrial ecosystems. Traditional view show that microbial residue C is more resistant to decompose than plant litter because their smaller particle sizes could be preferentially occluded in microaggregates with less microbial accessibility. However, we still lack a quantitative assessment (i.e. isotopic C labeling) to isolate the progressive release of C fractions from both plant and microbial residues. Here we used a global data set of 117 decomposition experiments that traced the 13C or 14C release of isotopically labeled plant and microbial residues to estimate the C release rates and turnover times by using a first-order exponential kinetics model. The average C release rates of crop, grass and tree litter were 7.78, 3.79 and 2.11 yr−1, which were significantly lower than microbial residues (13.07 yr−1). Although C release rates of both plant and microbial residues were positively correlated with site temperature, the mean turnover time of microbial residues was 2–6 times lower than plant litter. We suggest that a constraint in microbial and plant residues leads to a predictable pattern of C release during terrestrial decomposition, which could be included in Earth system models.
在陆地生态系统中,从植物和微生物残留物中释放碳(C)是光合作用和代谢生物量转化为二氧化碳(CO2)的主要能量流途径。传统观点认为,微生物残余物中的碳比植物残余物更难分解,因为它们的粒径较小,会优先被微生物较难进入的微团聚体所包围。然而,我们仍然缺乏定量评估(即同位素碳标记)来分离植物和微生物残留物中逐步释放的碳组分。在此,我们利用全球 117 项分解实验的数据集,追踪了同位素标记的植物和微生物残留物的 13C 或 14C 释放情况,并采用一阶指数动力学模型估算了碳释放率和周转时间。作物、草地和树木废弃物的平均碳释放率分别为 7.78、3.79 和 2.11 yr-1,明显低于微生物残留物(13.07 yr-1)。虽然植物和微生物残留物的碳释放率都与地点温度呈正相关,但微生物残留物的平均周转时间比植物残留物低 2-6 倍。我们认为,微生物和植物残留物的限制导致陆地分解过程中可预测的碳释放模式,可将其纳入地球系统模型。
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引用次数: 0
Change in the sustainability of regional agricultural systems: based on an emergy decomposition analysis 地区农业系统可持续性的变化:基于应急分解分析
IF 6.7 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad786b
Fei Song, Haoyu Wu, Zihan Sun, Junbo Bai, Fangli Su, Deshen Xu, Chenchen Cao, Haifu Li, Shuang Song and Yi Liu
In the context of rapid population growth and limited arable land resources, the agricultural system has to provide enough food in a sustainable way. Regional agricultural systems have good consistency in agricultural practices, management decisions, social economy, and climate, which is of great significance in ensuring food security. In this study, emergy analysis and the logarithmic mean divisia index method were integrated to construct an evaluation framework from the dimensions of socio-economic environment, resource environment, climate environment, and ecological environment. Then we evaluated and analyzed the changes in agricultural system sustainability from 1990 to 2019 in the mainstream of Liaohe River Basin, a typical agricultural basin in China. The results showed that the Emergy sustainability index (ESI) decreased from 0.17 to 0.14, and factors Δ Pt/Gt (social and economic development level), Δ G/I (agricultural economic benefits), and Δ Gt/G (economic structure) from the socio-economic environment dimension had the greatest impact on changes in ESI. Moreover, society and economy affected the factors in the resource environmental dimensions through the allocation of policies and resources, which in turn directly affected ESI. The influence of factors from the climatic environment and ecological environment weakens as the ability to manage agricultural systems increases. The research provided a reference for the planning and management of sustaining agricultural systems at a regional scale.
在人口快速增长、耕地资源有限的情况下,农业系统必须以可持续的方式提供足够的粮食。区域农业系统在农业实践、管理决策、社会经济和气候等方面具有良好的一致性,这对确保粮食安全具有重要意义。本研究综合运用突发事件分析法和对数平均除法指数法,从社会经济环境、资源环境、气候环境和生态环境等维度构建评价框架。然后评价分析了中国典型农业流域辽河流域1990-2019年主流农业系统可持续性的变化。结果表明,农业系统可持续性指数(ESI)从0.17下降到0.14,社会经济环境因素ΔPt/Gt(社会经济发展水平)、ΔG/I(农业经济效益)和ΔGt/G(经济结构)对农业系统可持续性指数的影响最大。此外,社会和经济通过政策和资源分配对资源环境维度的因素产生影响,进而直接影响 ESI。随着农业系统管理能力的提高,气候环境和生态环境因素的影响逐渐减弱。这项研究为在区域范围内规划和管理可持续农业系统提供了参考。
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引用次数: 0
The health, climate, and equity benefits of freight truck electrification in the United States 美国货运卡车电气化的健康、气候和公平效益
IF 6.7 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad75a9
Eleanor M Hennessy, Corinne D Scown and Inês M L Azevedo
Long-haul freight shipment in the United States relies on diesel trucks and constitutes ∼3% of U.S. greenhouse gas emissions and a significant share of local air pollution. Here, we compare the climate and air pollution-related health damages from electric versus diesel long-haul truck fleets. We use truck commodity flows to estimate tailpipe emissions from diesel trucks and regional grid emissions intensities to estimate charging emissions from electric trucks under various grid scenarios. We use a reduced complexity air quality model combined with valuation of air pollution-related premature deaths (using two hazard ratios (HRs)) and quantify the distributional health impacts in different scenarios. We find that annual health and climate costs of the current diesel fleet are $195–$249/capita compared to $174–$205/capita for a new diesel fleet, and $156–$177/capita for an electric fleet, depending on the HR. We find that freight electrification could avoid $6.2–8.5 billion in health and climate damages annually when compared to a fleet of new diesel vehicles (with even higher benefits when compared to the current diesel fleet). However, the Midwest and parts of the Gulf Coast would experience an increase in health damages due to vehicles charging using electricity from coal power plants. If old coal power plants (operating in 1980 or earlier) are replaced with zero-emission generation, electrification of all U.S. freight would result in $32.3–39.2 billion in avoided damages annually and health benefits throughout the U.S. Electrifying transport of consumer manufacturing goods (including electronics, transport equipment, and precision instruments) and food, beverage, and tobacco products would provide the largest absolute health and climate benefits, whereas mixed freight and manufacturing goods would result in the largest benefits per tonne-km. We find small variations in health damages across race and income. These results will help policymakers prioritize electrification and charging investment strategies for the freight transportation sub-sector.
美国的长途货运主要依靠柴油卡车,其温室气体排放量占美国总排放量的 3%,在当地空气污染中也占有相当大的比例。在此,我们比较了电动和柴油长途运输卡车车队对气候和空气污染造成的健康损害。我们使用卡车商品流来估算柴油卡车的尾气排放,并使用区域电网排放强度来估算电动卡车在各种电网情况下的充电排放。我们使用复杂性降低的空气质量模型,结合与空气污染相关的过早死亡估值(使用两个危险比 (HR)),并量化了不同情景下的分布式健康影响。我们发现,当前柴油车队的年度健康和气候成本为 195 美元-249 美元/人,而新柴油车队的年度健康和气候成本为 174 美元-205 美元/人,电动车队的年度健康和气候成本为 156 美元-177 美元/人,具体取决于危险比率。我们发现,与新柴油车队相比,货运电气化每年可避免 60 亿至 85 亿美元的健康和气候损失(与现有柴油车队相比,收益更高)。然而,中西部和墨西哥湾沿岸的部分地区将因车辆使用煤电厂的电力充电而增加健康损害。如果用零排放发电取代老旧的煤电厂(运行于 1980 年或更早),美国所有货运的电气化每年将避免 323 亿至 392 亿美元的损失,并在全美范围内带来健康效益。制造业消费品(包括电子产品、运输设备和精密仪器)以及食品、饮料和烟草产品的运输电气化将带来最大的绝对健康和气候效益,而混合货运和制造业产品将带来最大的每吨公里效益。我们发现,不同种族和收入的人在健康损害方面的差异很小。这些结果将有助于政策制定者优先考虑货运子行业的电气化和充电投资战略。
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Environmental Research Letters
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