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Polycentric Business Governance and Climate Risk Mitigation 多中心业务治理和气候风险缓解
Pub Date : 2018-05-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3262295
Carolin D. Schellhorn
Governments and markets have thus far failed to adequately address the growing global threat to climate stability from human activity. Some businesses are emerging as active leaders in the mitigation of this threat, but they are hampered by incentives that work against their efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. This paper argues that businesses may best protect climate stability, a common-pool resource, when their collaboration is organized by a set of design principles that was developed for collective action to govern our commons. Allowing businesses to cooperate for the purpose of mitigating climate risks may not be anti-competitive, and may enhance long-term business performance. Additionally, collective climate action may create spillover effects that advance United Nations Sustainable Development Goals beyond those directly related to climate and environmental issues.
迄今为止,政府和市场未能充分解决人类活动对气候稳定日益严重的全球威胁。一些企业正在成为缓解这一威胁的积极领导者,但它们受到不利于其减少温室气体排放努力的激励措施的阻碍。本文认为,当企业的合作由一套设计原则组织起来时,它们可能会最好地保护气候稳定,这是一种公共资源,这些设计原则是为治理我们的公共资源而制定的集体行动。允许企业以减轻气候风险为目的进行合作可能不会反竞争,而且可能会提高长期业务绩效。此外,集体气候行动可能产生溢出效应,推动联合国可持续发展目标超越与气候和环境问题直接相关的目标。
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引用次数: 1
Energy (In)Security and the Arms Trade 能源(In)安全与武器贸易
Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2856426
V. Bove, C. Deiana, R. Nisticò
We provide novel empirical models of the arms trade and focus on the role of energy dependence, in particular of oil, in explaining the trade of weapons between countries. Dramatic geopolitical events such as wars can cause significant disruptions in the supply of oil and increase oil prices. Oil-dependent economies have therefore incentives to provide security by selling or giving away arms to oil-rich countries and reduce the risk of instability. We find strong empirical support for this claim using data on international transfers of major weapons and information on global and local oil dependence, oil reserves and oil discoveries.
我们提供了武器贸易的新经验模型,并关注能源依赖,特别是石油,在解释国家间武器贸易中的作用。战争等戏剧性的地缘政治事件可能导致石油供应严重中断,导致油价上涨。因此,依赖石油的经济体有动力通过向石油丰富的国家出售或赠送武器来提供安全,从而降低不稳定的风险。我们利用主要武器的国际转让数据以及全球和地方石油依赖、石油储量和石油发现的信息,发现了强有力的实证支持这一说法。
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引用次数: 0
When Popular Decisions Rest on Shaky Foundations: Implications of Selected WTO Appellate Body Jurisprudence 当大众的决定建立在不稳固的基础上:WTO上诉机构判例的影响
Pub Date : 2016-05-27 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2785823
M. Lewis
This chapter argues that the WTO Appellate Body has not been consistent in applying Article 31 of the VCLT and considering the context of the relevant treaty text in light of its object and purpose. It has instead either been overly mechanistic in its textual interpretation or has strayed from the text, sometimes with the appearance of preferring an outcome-based result. Part I of the chapter discusses the appropriate role context should play in interpreting the WTO agreements. Parts II through IV critique aspects of the Appellate Body’s jurisprudence in the zeroing cases; the 1916 Act dispute; and the early safeguards cases, as generating interpretive difficulties by failing to give enough attention to real-world context and object and purpose. Part V explores possible reasons for these departures by the Appellate Body from a contextualised textual analysis, and identify some systemic implications of these decisions.
本章认为,WTO上诉机构在适用VCLT第31条和根据其目标和宗旨考虑相关条约文本的背景方面并不一致。相反,它要么在文本解释中过于机械,要么偏离了文本,有时表现出偏爱基于结果的结果。本章第一部分讨论了上下文在解释WTO协定时应发挥的适当作用。第二至第四部分对上诉机构在归零案件中的判例进行了批判;1916年法案之争;早期的保障案例,由于未能给予现实世界背景,目标和目的足够的关注而产生了解释上的困难。第五部分探讨了上诉机构偏离背景文本分析的可能原因,并确定了这些决定的一些系统性影响。
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引用次数: 0
US Monetary Policy in a Globalized World 全球化背景下的美国货币政策
Pub Date : 2016-03-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2767401
J. Cuaresma, G. Doppelhofer, Martin Feldkircher, Florian Huber
We analyze the interaction between monetary policy in the US and the global economy, using a global vector autoregressive model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility (TVP-SV-GVAR). We find that a contractionary US monetary policy shock leads to a persistent fall in international output, a drop in global inflation rates, a rise in international interest rates and a strengthening of the US dollar in real terms, with heterogeneous transmission effects across countries and over time. US short-term rates decrease significantly in response to a monetary policy tightening abroad or a negative shock to foreign real GDP growth.
本文采用具有时变参数和随机波动率的全球向量自回归模型(TVP-SV-GVAR)分析了美国货币政策与全球经济之间的相互作用。我们发现,紧缩的美国货币政策冲击导致国际产出持续下降、全球通胀率下降、国际利率上升和美元实际走强,并在不同国家和时间内产生异质性传导效应。当国外货币政策收紧或外国实际GDP增长受到负面冲击时,美国短期利率会大幅下降。
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引用次数: 9
Reconciliation of the Washington Consensus with the Beijing Model in Africa 华盛顿共识与北京模式在非洲的和解
Pub Date : 2016-03-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2786244
S. Asongu, Jacinta C. Nwachukwu
In this study, we argue that an approach which will reconcile the two opposing camps in Sino-African relations and bring the most progress is a “middle passage” that greases contradictions and offers an accommodative, balanced and pragmatic vision on which Africans can unite. We present a case under which countries can substantially enhance the prospect of development if an African consensus builds on a merger between the Western and Chinese models. We balance national interest with human rights, sovereign authority with individual rights and economic goals with political rights. The chapter presents arguments on the need for a development paradigm in Africa that reconciles the Washington Consensus with the Beijing Model. The analytical framework is organised in three main strands, notably: (i) historical perspectives and contemporary views; (ii) reconciliation of dominant schools of thought and paradigms surrounding Sino-African relations and (iii) practical and contemporary implications. Reconciled schools of thought are engaged in four main categories: optimists versus (vs.) pessimists; preferences in rights (human vs. national, idiosyncratic vs. sovereign and political vs. economic) and the Beijing model vs. the Washington Consensus.
在本研究中,我们认为,调和中非关系中两个对立阵营并带来最大进展的方法是“中间通道”,它可以消除矛盾,并提供一个包容、平衡和务实的愿景,使非洲人能够团结起来。我们提出了一个案例,在这个案例中,如果非洲的共识建立在西方和中国模式合并的基础上,各国可以大大提高发展的前景。我们平衡国家利益与人权、主权权威与个人权利、经济目标与政治权利。本章论述了非洲需要一种协调“华盛顿共识”与“北京模式”的发展模式。分析框架分为三个主要部分,特别是:(i)历史观点和当代观点;(二)调和围绕中非关系的主要思想流派和范式;(三)现实和当代意义。调和学派主要分为四类:乐观主义者和悲观主义者;在权利方面的偏好(人权vs国家、特质vs主权、政治vs经济),以及北京模式vs华盛顿共识。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Pacific Rim FTAs in the Harmonisation of International Investment Law: Towards a Free Trade Area of the Asia-Pacific 环太平洋自由贸易协定在协调国际投资法中的作用:迈向亚太自由贸易区
Pub Date : 2016-03-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-981-10-5882-0_11
M. Feldman, Rodrigo Monardes, Cristián Rodríguez-Chiffelle
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引用次数: 6
Future of Palm Oil: During the Time of War (Currency War) 棕榈油的未来:战争时期(货币战争)
Pub Date : 2015-11-20 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2706989
Ali Muhammad Lakdawala
Purpose of the war is to degrade the enemy's will and economic capacity. It may sound surprising but wealth destruction through a market attack can be more effective than taking out enemy's ship/aircraft, when it comes to disabling an opponent. Just to narrate China has over trillions of investment denominated is US dollar and every percentage of devaluation of dollar obviously engineered by "FED" represents a billons of real wealth transfer from China to US. Surely any country can take it up to certain extend and recent intervention by PBOC in managing its own currency is only tip of the iceberg reply to US."Currency/Financial" war is the future of boundaryless warfare.Such war can clamp down countries or even global banking system: When Banking stops, Credit stops, and when Credit stops, Trade stops and when Trade stops, ECONOMY CRUMBLES. Resultant impact of which was felt on commodities across sectors/segment wherein prices tanked to the lows witnessed during recessionary period of 2008-2009. Palm Oil nor Palm Oil producing centres are insulated from such global events. So, is the War ON??? Recent events does hint towards the same but it’s too early to conclude. Paper will explore the relationship between currency & its direct impact on commodities, as a result of current tectonic shift. Even though palm oil prices has been significantly impacted in turn making health of exporting countries to ponder upon but has there been any impact on food demand of importing countries or has importing countries stopped consuming or has it started to produce on its own??? It will be explored in detail (consumption centres).Further to that paper will explore on how exporting centres can use such crisis to its advantage (taking some quick bites from event witnessed 18years back "Asian Financial Crisis") by exploring terms of trade with importing centres, by exploring currency of trade (breaking US hegemony), etc. Finally concluding with events to watchful about and analysing the market structure of palm oil and thereafter estimating the palm price forecasts for 2016.
战争的目的是削弱敌人的意志和经济能力。这听起来可能令人惊讶,但通过市场攻击来破坏财富可能比摧毁敌人的船/飞机更有效,当涉及到削弱对手时。中国有超过数万亿美元的投资,美元贬值的每一个百分比显然是由“美联储”设计的,代表着数十亿美元的真正财富从中国转移到美国。当然,任何国家都可以在一定程度上采取行动,中国人民银行最近在管理自己的货币方面的干预只是冰山一角。“货币/金融”战争是无边界战争的未来。这样的战争可以压制国家甚至全球银行体系:当银行停止,信贷停止,当信贷停止,贸易停止,当贸易停止,经济崩溃。由此产生的影响是,各个部门/部分的商品价格跌至2008-2009年经济衰退期间的低点。棕榈油和棕榈油生产中心都不受此类全球事件的影响。那么,战争开始了吗??最近的事件确实暗示了这一点,但现在下结论还为时过早。本文将探讨货币之间的关系及其对商品的直接影响,这是当前结构性转变的结果。尽管棕榈油价格受到了重大影响,反过来使出口国的健康受到了影响,但进口国的粮食需求是否受到了影响,或者进口国已经停止消费,还是已经开始自己生产??将对此进行详细探讨(消费中心)。此外,本文将探讨出口中心如何通过探索与进口中心的贸易条件,通过探索贸易货币(打破美国霸权)等方式,利用这种危机(从18年前见证的“亚洲金融危机”中快速吸取一些教训)。最后总结了需要关注的事件,分析了棕榈油的市场结构,并对2016年棕榈油价格进行了预测。
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引用次数: 0
Monetary Policy and Sovereign Debt Vulnerability 货币政策与主权债务脆弱性
Pub Date : 2015-06-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2622463
Galo Nũno, Carlos Thomas
We investigate the trade-offs between price stability and the sustainability of sovereign debt, using a small open economy model where the government issues nominal defaultable debt and chooses fiscal and monetary policy under discretion. Inflation reduces the real value of outstanding debt, thus making it more sustainable; but it also raises nominal yields and entails direct welfare costs. We compare this scenario with a situation in which the government gives up the ability to deflate debt away, e.g. by issuing foreign currency debt or joining a monetary union with an anti-inflationary stance. We find that the benefits of giving up this adjustment margin outweigh the costs, both for our preferred calibration and for a wide range of parameter values.
我们研究了价格稳定和主权债务可持续性之间的权衡,使用了一个小型开放经济模型,其中政府发行名义上的可违约债务,并在自由裁量权下选择财政和货币政策。通货膨胀降低了未偿债务的实际价值,从而使其更具可持续性;但它也提高了名义收益率,并带来了直接的福利成本。我们将这种情况与政府放弃紧缩债务能力的情况进行比较,例如通过发行外币债务或加入具有反通胀立场的货币联盟。我们发现,放弃这种调整余量的好处超过了成本,无论是对我们首选的校准还是对大范围的参数值。
{"title":"Monetary Policy and Sovereign Debt Vulnerability","authors":"Galo Nũno, Carlos Thomas","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2622463","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2622463","url":null,"abstract":"We investigate the trade-offs between price stability and the sustainability of sovereign debt, using a small open economy model where the government issues nominal defaultable debt and chooses fiscal and monetary policy under discretion. Inflation reduces the real value of outstanding debt, thus making it more sustainable; but it also raises nominal yields and entails direct welfare costs. We compare this scenario with a situation in which the government gives up the ability to deflate debt away, e.g. by issuing foreign currency debt or joining a monetary union with an anti-inflationary stance. We find that the benefits of giving up this adjustment margin outweigh the costs, both for our preferred calibration and for a wide range of parameter values.","PeriodicalId":118088,"journal":{"name":"SRPN: International Affairs Issues (Topic)","volume":"29 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-06-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132350170","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 87
International Environmental Agreements with Asymmetric Countries: Climate Clubs vs. Global Cooperation 不对称国家的国际环境协定:气候俱乐部vs.全球合作
Pub Date : 2015-06-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2621328
Achim Hagen, K. Eisenack
We investigate whether global cooperation for emission abatement can be improved if asymmetric countries can sign different parallel environmental agreements. The analysis assumes a two-stage game theoretical model. Conditions for self-enforcing sets of agreements and the resulting total emission abatement are determined. We allow for multiple coalitions with multiple types of asymmetric countries. We then analyze the effect of multiple coalitions for the case of increasing marginal costs of abatement as well as for decreasing marginal benefits of abatement more generally. The results are sensitive to the assumptions on the benefits from abatement. For constant marginal benefits, the possibility of multiple agreements increases the number of cooperating countries and total abatement (compared to the standard case with a single agreement). For decreasing marginal benefits, total emissions are independent of the number of admitted agreements. The paper thus contributes to the emerging discussion on the scope and limits of climate clubs.
我们研究了如果不对称国家可以签署不同的平行环境协议,是否可以改善全球减排合作。该分析采用两阶段博弈理论模型。自行执行一系列协议的条件和由此产生的总减排量是确定的。我们允许与多种类型的不对称国家建立多种联盟。然后,我们分析了多联盟在增加减排边际成本的情况下的影响,以及更普遍地减少减排边际效益的情况。结果对减排效益的假设很敏感。对于恒定的边际效益,多个协议的可能性增加了合作国家的数量和总减排(与单一协议的标准情况相比)。对于边际效益递减,总排放量与被承认的协议数量无关。因此,这篇论文有助于对气候俱乐部范围和限制的新兴讨论。
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引用次数: 5
The International Business Environment: A Proposed Analytical Framework 国际商业环境:一个建议的分析框架
Pub Date : 2015-05-12 DOI: 10.1504/IJBE.2015.069013
A. Mohamed
International business environment (IBE) literature is characterised by the lack of a holistic analytical framework. Drawing on a wide range of perspectives, this study aspires to fill the lacuna by offering a holistic, dynamic analytical framework for the systematic study of the IBE. The IBE is broadly conceived as a spatial-temporally multilayered, multi-actor context imbued and stitched up with ideas, institutions and non-institutional structures wherein international business (IB) actors, activities and processes are constituted and occur. Application of the proposed framework will potentially ensure a better understanding of the IBE, support endeavours that focus attention on the IBE as an object of inquiry in its own right, and ultimately foster better managerial and public policy decision-making.
国际商业环境(IBE)文献的特点是缺乏整体分析框架。通过广泛的视角,本研究希望通过为IBE的系统研究提供一个整体的、动态的分析框架来填补这一空白。IBE被广泛地认为是一个时空上多层次、多参与者的环境,其中充满了思想、机构和非机构结构,其中国际商业(IB)参与者、活动和过程被构成和发生。应用拟议的框架将有可能确保更好地理解工业经济,支持将注意力集中于工业经济本身作为调查对象的努力,并最终促进更好的管理和公共政策决策。
{"title":"The International Business Environment: A Proposed Analytical Framework","authors":"A. Mohamed","doi":"10.1504/IJBE.2015.069013","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJBE.2015.069013","url":null,"abstract":"International business environment (IBE) literature is characterised by the lack of a holistic analytical framework. Drawing on a wide range of perspectives, this study aspires to fill the lacuna by offering a holistic, dynamic analytical framework for the systematic study of the IBE. The IBE is broadly conceived as a spatial-temporally multilayered, multi-actor context imbued and stitched up with ideas, institutions and non-institutional structures wherein international business (IB) actors, activities and processes are constituted and occur. Application of the proposed framework will potentially ensure a better understanding of the IBE, support endeavours that focus attention on the IBE as an object of inquiry in its own right, and ultimately foster better managerial and public policy decision-making.","PeriodicalId":118088,"journal":{"name":"SRPN: International Affairs Issues (Topic)","volume":"21 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-05-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127662742","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
期刊
SRPN: International Affairs Issues (Topic)
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