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The effect of carbon taxes and subsidies on forest carbon sequestration in China 碳税和碳补贴对中国森林碳汇的影响
IF 4 2区 农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2024.103316
Yizhu Long , Zhen Zhu , Yanzhen Hong , Zhiwen Gong , Hua Li , Han Zhang

Forests have a crucial role in mitigating climate change. The Chinese government is currently deliberating the utilization of carbon taxes and subsidies to incentivise the potential for forest carbon sequestration. The impact of the policies on China's forests, especially the quantitative information is unknown. To fill this gap, we follow the Faustmann-Hartman model to examine the relationship between the policies and forest carbon sequestration. We find that due to extending the rotation age, policies will increase China's forest carbon sequestration by 1.99 tCO2e/ha/yr, contributing 11.15%–17.31% to the 2060 carbon neutrality target, as the carbon price increases from 0 to 400 CNY/tCO2. China's forest carbon sequestration supply curve is inelastic, with an average elasticity of approximately 0.08. Policy implementation in the northwest region is more effective for the northwest region to improve carbon sequestration potential both per unit area and total amount, in contrast to certain provinces in the South Central and Southeast coastal regions. The average costs of the policy are generally higher in the southeast, averaging about 2.2 times higher than in the northwest. However, considering financial affordability, some southeast provinces in China are more economically feasible. These findings have important policy implications.

森林在减缓气候变化方面发挥着至关重要的作用。中国政府目前正在考虑利用碳税和补贴来激励森林固碳的潜力。这些政策对中国森林的影响,尤其是定量信息尚不清楚。为了填补这一空白,我们采用福斯特曼-哈特曼模型来研究政策与森林碳汇之间的关系。我们发现,由于延长了轮伐期,当碳价格从 0 元/吨CO2 增加到 400 元/吨CO2 时,政策将使中国的森林碳汇增加 1.99 吨CO2e/ha/yr ,对 2060 年碳中和目标的贡献率为 11.15%-17.31%。中国森林碳汇供给曲线缺乏弹性,平均弹性约为 0.08。与中南和东南沿海地区的某些省份相比,西北地区的政策实施对提高单位面积和总量的固碳潜力更为有效。东南地区的政策平均成本普遍较高,平均约为西北地区的 2.2 倍。然而,考虑到财政承受能力,中国东南部某些省份在经济上更为可行。这些发现具有重要的政策意义。
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引用次数: 0
Can wild urban woodlands be integrated into urban green infrastructure? Insights from urbanites and new urbanites in Chongqing, China 城市野生林地能否融入城市绿色基础设施?来自中国重庆城市居民和新城市居民的启示
IF 4 2区 农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2024.103329
Hao Ma, Zhong Xing, Canhui Cheng, Lu Zhao

Wild urban woodlands (WUWs) are a novel category of urban forests and have been established as vital sources of diverse ecosystem services for local residents. Despite their potential to mitigate green gentrification, WUWs are often neglected in urban planning. Assessing whether different groups of residents accept WUWs as a part of urban green spaces and determining their preferred WUW type are critical for cities lacking green space supply. Therefore, a collection of photographs of 15 WUW patches was employed in this study to explore the preferences and attitudes of urbanites (n = 200) and new urbanites (i.e., individuals who have undergone a transition from rural to urban residency due to urban expansion; n = 206) toward five prevalent WUW categories and examine their perspectives on the future transformation of these WUWs. Accordingly, the following study results were obtained. (1) New urbanites exhibited greater support for integrating WUWs into urban green infrastructure compared to urbanites, primarily due to the limited supply of green spaces in their residential surroundings. (2) The one-way ANOVA shows significant differences in WUW preference scores between new urbanites and urbanites. Urbanites strongly preferred WUWs situated within stream corridors and the least for WUWs in urban villages. Conversely, new urbanites preferred WUWs on agricultural lands and found WUWs on industrial lands the least appealing. (3) Most participants expressed a desire to witness the planned transformation of WUWs. New urbanites preferred additional spaces for leisure activities, whereas urbanites hoped to witness visual improvements in the WUWs. (4) Multifactor ANOVA shows rural background significantly affects preferences scores. Spearman correlation indicates terrain ruggedness and surrounding construction intensity relate to preference. These findings underscore the substantial potential of WUWs in the urban greening in China. They contribute to urban managers' understanding of the diverse needs of the two urban resident groups regarding WUWs, thereby fostering equity in green space planning.

城市野生林地(WUWs)是城市森林的一个新类别,已被确定为为当地居民提供多种生态系统服务的重要来源。尽管野生城市林地具有缓解绿色城市化的潜力,但在城市规划中却常常被忽视。评估不同居民群体是否接受将 WUW 作为城市绿地的一部分,并确定他们偏好的 WUW 类型,对于缺乏绿地供应的城市来说至关重要。因此,本研究收集了 15 个吴家湾地块的照片,以探讨城市人(n = 200)和新城市人(即因城市扩张而从农村过渡到城市居住的个人,n = 206)对五类普遍存在的吴家湾地块的偏好和态度,并考察他们对这些吴家湾地块未来改造的看法。研究结果如下(1) 与城市居民相比,新城市居民更支持将吴哥窟纳入城市绿色基础设施,这主要是由于其居住环境中的绿地供应有限。(2) 单因素方差分析显示,新城市人和城市人在对世界遗产的偏好得分上存在显著差异。城市人非常喜欢位于溪流走廊内的水利工程,而最不喜欢位于城中村的水利工程。相反,新城市人更喜欢农业用地上的水利工程,认为工业用地上的水利工程最不吸引人。(3) 大多数参与者表示希望目睹计划中的 "吴家湾 "改造。新城市人更喜欢增加休闲活动空间,而城市人则希望看到 "堰塞湖 "视觉效果的改善。(4) 多因素方差分析显示,农村背景对偏好得分有显著影响。斯皮尔曼相关性表明,地形崎岖程度和周边建筑密度与偏好有关。这些发现凸显了吴家湾在中国城市绿化中的巨大潜力。这些研究有助于城市管理者了解两个城市居民群体对吴家湾吴家湾的不同需求,从而促进绿地规划的公平性。
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引用次数: 0
Towards open data sharing initiatives in the forestry sector: The example of the Italian National Forestry Information System (SINFor) 林业部门开放数据共享倡议:以意大利国家林业信息系统(SINFor)为例
IF 4 2区 农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2024.103320
Matteo Pecchi , Giovanni D'Amico , Walter Mattioli , Mirko Sossai , Davide Petrucci , Raoul Romano

The positive and transversal value of the forestry sector within the various international, European and national policies related to sustainable development and mitigation and adaptation to climate change is now widely recognised.

This contribution is linked to the biological and evolutionary times of forest ecosystems and therefore cannot be separated from far-sighted strategic and programmatic political choices that guarantee the protection and conservation of the natural heritage and the rational use of resources. To be effective, this action needs to be able to count on information and knowledge that are not only constant and detailed but also reliable and verifiable and in large quantities. The availability of statistical and cartographic data concerning the forest heritage and the related production sectors is therefore essential for planning and management purposes.

For these reasons, Italy has decided to launch an important process of reorganization and harmonization of statistical and cartographic knowledge on forests and the national forest-based sector, in line with the proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council on a European Forest Resilience Monitoring Framework (COM/2023/728 final).

This communication aims to present the participative process and the main contents of the new National Forest Information System (SINFor) and the identification of the minimum knowledge that needs to be collected.

林业部门在与可持续发展、减缓和适应气候变化有关的各种国际、欧洲和国家政策中的积极和横向价值现已得到广泛认可。这种贡献与森林生态系统的生物和进化时代相关联,因此不能与确保保护和保存自然遗产以及合理利用资源的高瞻远瞩的战略和计划性政治选择相分离。要使这一行动行之有效,就必须依靠信息和知识,这些信息和知识不仅要持续、详细,而且要可靠、可验证、数量大。因此,提供有关森林遗产和相关生产部门的统计和制图数据对于规划和管理至关重要。出于这些原因,意大利决定根据欧洲议会和理事会关于欧洲森林复原力监测框架的条例提案(COM/2023/728 final),启动一项重要进程,重组和统一有关森林和国家森林部门的统计和制图知识。本通报旨在介绍新的国家森林信息系统(SINFor)的参与过程和主要内容,并确定需要收集的最基本知识。
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引用次数: 0
Increasing climate-related resilience in the forest-based value chains? A policy perspective 提高森林价值链中与气候有关的复原力?政策视角
IF 4 2区 农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2024.103314
Alice Ludvig , Blasius Schmid , Barbara Öllerer , Laura Nikinmaa , Pilar Hurtado , Montserrat Rodriguez-Ogea , Anne Toppinen

The forestry sector is currently facing several parallel challenges in coping with climate change-related disturbances, biodiversity loss, increasing wood use for substituting fossil materials, and other ecosystem functions like recreational use. On the one hand, the number of climate- and land use- related policy regulations is constantly increasing. On the other hand, the forest-based value chain includes different segments ranging from carbon storage and mitigation in forests to timber production and bioenergy. This article aims to draw a comprehensive picture for grasping these complexities across Europe. It analyses the policy efforts that want to increase climate-related resilience along these value chain sections. The research addresses firstly the conceptual question of “what ought to become resilient” from a policy perspective in order to secondly ask “how do the current policies relate climate-goals with resilience in the forestry sector?” Conceptually, we disentangle resilience into analytical criteria for identification in policy documents. In addition, we discuss interpretations of resilience-relevance with policy experts from Europe using two focus groups and a number of targeted interviews. The results show a divided picture. Whilst for all these experts, tackling climate-change is a priority, our results show that the notion of resilience is used differently in the related policy strategies. In particular, we reveal some deviating strategic targets across climate-related resilience and other societal demands. We subsume those under “environmental demands” and “productivity demands” along the forest-based value chain. In recommendation to policies, this entails intensified communication between the different departments dealing with resilience for Biodiversity and resilience in a Bioeconomy.

目前,林业部门在应对与气候变化相关的干扰、生物多样性丧失、用于替代化石材料的木材用量增加以及娱乐等其他生态系统功能方面面临着若干并行的挑战。一方面,与气候和土地使用相关的政策法规不断增加。另一方面,以森林为基础的价值链包括从森林碳储存和减排到木材生产和生物能源的不同环节。本文旨在全面介绍欧洲的这些复杂情况。文章分析了为提高这些价值链环节与气候相关的适应力而做出的政策努力。研究首先从政策角度探讨了 "什么应该具有抗灾能力 "这一概念性问题,其次提出了 "现行政策如何将气候目标与林业部门的抗灾能力联系起来?从概念上讲,我们将复原力分解为分析标准,以便在政策文件中进行识别。此外,我们还通过两个焦点小组和一些有针对性的访谈,与来自欧洲的政策专家讨论了对复原力相关性的解释。结果显示,各方观点不一。虽然对所有这些专家来说,应对气候变化是一个优先事项,但我们的结果表明,在相关的政策战略中,对复原力概念的使用是不同的。特别是,我们发现在与气候相关的复原力和其他社会需求之间存在一些战略目标偏差。我们将这些需求归入以森林为基础的价值链中的 "环境需求 "和 "生产力需求"。在政策建议方面,这需要加强处理生物多样性恢复力和生物经济恢复力的不同部门之间的沟通。
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引用次数: 0
Forecasting forest-related political decisions in a climate-constrained world – The remuneration of forest ecosystem services in Germany 预测气候受限世界中与森林有关的政治决策 - 德国森林生态系统服务的报酬
IF 4 2区 农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2024.103231
Detlef F. Sprinz , Tabea V. Schaefers , Freya Lenk , Max Krott

Political systems are under increasing pressures to respond to the impacts of climate change. We employ a numerical policy negotiation forecast model and apply it to forest-related political decisions on remunerating forest ecosystem services. Our results predict that German forest carbon sinks will be partially remunerated by government payment systems as will nature conservation efforts and climate resilient forest management. Our predictions indicate that there is substantial remaining upward pressure on each of these issues to go beyond present regulations.

政治系统在应对气候变化影响方面面临着越来越大的压力。我们采用了一个数字政策谈判预测模型,并将其应用于与森林有关的森林生态系统服务补偿政治决策。我们的结果预测,德国森林碳汇将通过政府支付系统获得部分补偿,自然保护工作和气候适应性森林管理也将如此。我们的预测结果表明,在这些问题上仍然存在很大的上升压力,需要超越现有的规定。
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引用次数: 0
Balancing greenwashing risks and forest carbon sequestration benefits: A simulation model linking formal and voluntary carbon markets 平衡 "洗绿 "风险与森林固碳效益:连接正规和自愿碳市场的模拟模型
IF 4 2区 农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2024.103317
Ram Ranjan

Voluntary carbon markets (VCMs) offer energy-intensive firms a cost-effective means to reduce carbon mitigation expenses through promoting forest conservation. However, concerns about greenwashing may deter firms from using these options, which are susceptible to illegal forest harvesting. This study examines whether firms purchasing carbon credits from forestry-based communities can help strengthen forest conservation, mitigate project risks, improve environmental outcomes, and reduce abatement costs. We examine a large Indian steel firm, with an annual production capacity of 4 million tons, issuing green bonds to fund afforestation in Himalayan forest communities. Using industry-level average emissions, abatement costs, and output data for Indian firms, we develop a dynamic optimization model to determine optimal abatement strategies, considering the risk of future forest carbon loss from VCMs. The model, utilizing examples and data from existing carbon sequestration programs in the Himalayan states, offers insights into promoting high-integrity VCMs through formal emission market linkage. Findings suggest that firms' involvement in compliance emissions markets provides an alternative route to accessing affordable carbon credits when abatement costs are high. Additionally, engaging in the VCM reduces expenses related to emission reduction targets. However, with elevated greenwashing risks, firms reduce their use of green bonds in VCMs. Participation in the VCM positively reinforces forest conservation and enhances environmental services when greenwashing risks are absent, further lowering carbon mitigation costs. To enhance VCM integrity, further research is needed on how community conservation norms influence illegal harvesting.

自愿碳市场(VCMs)为能源密集型企业提供了一种通过促进森林保护来减少碳减排支出的经济有效的手段。然而,对 "洗绿 "的担忧可能会阻止企业使用这些容易导致非法砍伐森林的方案。本研究探讨了企业从林业社区购买碳信用额是否有助于加强森林保护、降低项目风险、改善环境成果和减少减排成本。我们考察了印度一家年产量达 400 万吨的大型钢铁公司,该公司发行绿色债券,为喜马拉雅森林社区的植树造林提供资金。利用印度企业的行业平均排放量、减排成本和产出数据,我们开发了一个动态优化模型,以确定最佳减排策略,同时考虑到氯乙烯单体未来造成森林碳损失的风险。该模型利用喜马拉雅山脉各邦现有碳封存项目的实例和数据,为通过正式的排放市场联系促进高完整性的自愿碳封存项目提供了见解。研究结果表明,当减排成本较高时,企业参与履约排放市场为获得可负担的碳信用额提供了另一条途径。此外,参与自愿碳市场可减少与减排目标相关的费用。然而,由于 "洗绿 "风险增加,企业减少了在自愿碳市场中使用绿色债券。在不存在 "洗绿 "风险的情况下,参与自愿碳市场可积极加强森林保护和提高环境服务,从而进一步降低碳减排成本。为了提高自愿碳市场的完整性,需要进一步研究社区保护规范如何影响非法采伐。
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引用次数: 0
The forest-water-nexus: A narrative construction of the (ir-)relevance of cooperation 森林-水-纽带:合作(不)相关性的叙事构建
IF 4 2区 农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2024.103318
Sabeth Häublein, Tanja Granzow

Interlinkages between forest and water resources are changing with global warming, leading to an increased likelihood of severe disturbances such as floods and droughts. In order to develop responses to these changing interlinkages and their effects on local communities and ecosystems, scholars propose to increase interactions across the forest and water sectors. In Germany, however, the two respective sectors have been observed as institutionally and ideationally fragmented, showing very few signs of cross-sectoral cooperation. As local actors are most directly affected by global warming and struggle to adapt to its consequences, we argue that cross-sectoral cooperation is also relevant at the local scale. Against this background, it is our aim to investigate the local narrative constructions of the (ir)relevance of cooperation across the forest and water sectors. Based on semi-structured interviews and focus group discussions in six case study areas, we identify eight narratives which range from irrelevance (4), via partial relevance (2), to relevance of cooperation (2). Additionally, we elucidate a disinterest in cooperation among local water actors, compared to a narrative of urgency and fatalism among forest actors. Disinterest and urgency, however, furthermore differ regionally: Disinterest in cooperation is predominant in water abundant regions, whereas urgency is predominantly observed in regions of water scarcity. We contribute to conceptualizing disinterest as the rejection of a (common) problem possibly related to defend one's turf, and related both the urgency and fatalism narratives to the high affectedness within the forest sector.

随着全球变暖,森林资源与水资源之间的相互联系正在发生变化,导致发生洪水和干旱等严重干扰的可能性增加。为了应对这些不断变化的相互联系及其对当地社区和生态系统的影响,学者们建议加强森林和水资源部门之间的互动。然而,在德国,人们发现这两个部门在体制和意识形态上各自为政,很少有跨部门合作的迹象。由于地方行动者最直接受到全球变暖的影响,并努力适应其后果,我们认为跨部门合作在地方范围内也具有相关性。在此背景下,我们的目标是调查地方对跨森林和水部门合作(不)相关性的叙述性建构。根据在六个案例研究地区进行的半结构式访谈和焦点小组讨论,我们确定了八种叙述方式,从不相干(4 种)到部分相关(2 种),再到合作相关(2 种)。此外,与森林参与者的紧迫感和宿命论相比,我们发现当地水资源参与者对合作不感兴趣。然而,不感兴趣和紧迫感在不同地区也有所不同:对合作不感兴趣的情况主要出现在水资源丰富的地区,而紧迫感则主要出现在水资源匮乏的地区。我们将不感兴趣概念化为对(共同)问题的拒绝,这可能与捍卫自己的地盘有关,并将紧迫性和宿命论与林业部门的高受影响程度联系起来。
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引用次数: 0
Are consumers “green” enthusiasts or skeptics? Evidence from nontimber forest products 消费者是 "绿色 "爱好者还是怀疑论者?来自非木材林产品的证据
IF 4 2区 农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2024.103302
Bindu Paudel, Mo Zhou

In recent years, in response to consumers' increasing demand for “greener” products due to growing environmental awareness, more and more businesses have turned to eco-labels to assert the environmental benefits of their products or services. However, it remains unclear how consumers' willingness to pay (WTP) varies with different types of eco-labeling, especially concerning food products harvested from forests. In this study, we employ discrete choice modeling to uncover consumers' preferences for “green” maple syrup—syrup made with sap tapped from sustainably managed forests—under four eco-labels: self-claimed, bird-friendly, verified by a voluntary conservation program, and certified by a third-party. Our findings reveal that the WTPs for “green” maple syrup under eco-labels are higher than that for organic maple syrup, except for the third-party certified label. One plausible explanation is that some consumers may perceive sustainability certification as greenwashing, leading them to be skeptical of the claimed benefits.

近年来,随着环保意识的增强,消费者对 "绿色 "产品的需求不断增加,越来越多的企业开始使用生态标签来宣传其产品或服务的环境效益。然而,消费者的支付意愿(WTP)如何随不同类型的生态标签而变化,尤其是关于从森林中采伐的食品,目前仍不清楚。在本研究中,我们采用离散选择模型来揭示消费者对四种生态标签下的 "绿色 "枫糖浆的偏好,这四种标签分别是:自我声明、鸟类友好、自愿保护计划验证和第三方认证。我们的研究结果表明,除第三方认证标签外,生态标签下 "绿色 "枫糖浆的购买意愿高于有机枫糖浆。一个合理的解释是,一些消费者可能认为可持续发展认证是在 "洗绿",从而对其宣称的好处持怀疑态度。
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引用次数: 0
An environmental Kuznets curve for global forests: An application of the mi-lasso estimator 全球森林环境库兹涅茨曲线:米-拉索估算器的应用
IF 4 2区 农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2024.103304
Rowan Cherodian , Iain Fraser

In this study, we employ a Moran's i based Lasso (Mi-Lasso) methodology to address the spatial dependence of an unspecified functional form, investigating the association between a country's economic growth and the rate of deforestation. Our aim is to explore the existence of a forestry environmental Kuznets curve (EKC). Our approach to handling spatial dependence overcomes limitations identified in existing EKC literature. We estimate a series of cross-sectional data models spanning the period from 1990 to 2020 for 146 countries. Our findings indicate a non-linear relationship, revealing a change peak rate of deforestation over time. Additionally, we observe that the income threshold at which the deforestation rate begins to decrease changes over time with differences observed between model specifications. Crucially, our results highlight that failing to account for spatial dependence leads to a significant absolute upward bias in ordinary least squares (OLS) estimates of income and worse model fit.

在本研究中,我们采用基于莫兰 i 的拉索(Mi-Lasso)方法来解决未指定函数形式的空间依赖性问题,调查国家经济增长与森林砍伐率之间的关联。我们的目的是探索是否存在林业环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)。我们处理空间依赖性的方法克服了现有 EKC 文献中发现的局限性。我们估计了 146 个国家从 1990 年到 2020 年的一系列横截面数据模型。我们的研究结果表明了一种非线性关系,揭示了森林砍伐率峰值随时间的变化。此外,我们还发现,森林砍伐率开始下降的收入阈值会随着时间的推移而变化,不同的模型规格之间也存在差异。最重要的是,我们的研究结果表明,如果不考虑空间依赖性,普通最小二乘法(OLS)的收入估计值会出现明显的绝对向上偏差,模型拟合度也会降低。
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引用次数: 0
A preliminary Coasian proposal for tree auditing via planning control of tree farms 科斯(Coasian)关于通过树场规划控制进行树木审计的初步建议
IF 4 2区 农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2024.103315
Lawrence W.C. Lai , K.W. Chau , Stephen N.G. Davies , Hon Chim Chiu , Frank T. Lorne

The emergence of green consumerism has contributed to the rise of farms which hold out as tree planters for absorbing CO2. A preliminary survey of the literature on tree farms and town planning practice of Western Australia found that there is scepticism regarding the credibility of these tree farms and an absence of an information flow system that rewards the credible private tree farmers. From a Coasian neoinstitutional economic (NIE) perspective, there is therefore the potential for devising rules that can enlarge an existing market or industry. This short commentary maps the current information flow system in the tree planting industry and proposes an improved system based on voluntary disclosure of tree planting data by tree farms in the planning permission system.

绿色消费主义的兴起推动了以植树吸收二氧化碳为名的农场的兴起。对西澳大利亚有关植树农场和城市规划实践的文献进行的初步调查发现,人们对这些植树农场的可信度持怀疑态度,而且缺乏奖励可信的私人植树农场主的信息流系统。因此,从科亚新制度经济学(NIE)的角度来看,有可能制定出能够扩大现有市场或产业的规则。这篇简短的评论描绘了植树造林行业当前的信息流系统,并提出了一个基于植树农场在规划许可系统中自愿披露植树数据的改进系统。
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引用次数: 0
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