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A needle in a haystack: Projecting the climate impacts on Brazil's pulp and paper industry 大海捞针:预测气候对巴西纸浆和造纸工业的影响
IF 4 2区 农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2024.103393
Roberto Kimura , Bruno Kanieski da Silva , Changyou Sun
Climate change is expected to severely impact the forestry industry by increasing wildfire occurrence, triggering pest outbreaks, or modifying trees' productivity. To understand the long-term impact of climate change on forest production, we investigated how fluctuations in forest productivity and land availability would impact the expansion of Brazil's pulp and paper industry. We used a Mixed Integer Nonlinear Model to evaluate the financial returns, costs, and potential mill locations under multiple climates and land market scenarios. The study area was the state of Mato Grosso do Sul in Brazil, which is among the world's most attractive natural resources investments in pulp and paper. Our results showed that the region needs to expand its plantation forest area by at least 586,166 ha from the current land base of 912,371 ha in the upcoming decades to supply enough pulpwood for incoming mills and offset potential productivity losses driven by climate change. Pulpwood production cost is expected to increase by 0.61 % annually (or 16.4 % in the next 25 years). These results highlight the risks associated with losses in the productivity of plantation forests due to the changes in climate and land use. We assessed the importance of land use change rate in the market development. If it remains unchanged, the industry's success could be restrained, reducing positive externalities in the region. Furthermore, the model we proposed here can be extended to other industrial problems (e.g., wood pellet mills and biochar collection points) and assess different climate scenarios (e.g., climate shocks like droughts or wildfires).
预计气候变化将通过增加野火发生、引发虫害爆发或改变树木的生产力,严重影响林业。为了了解气候变化对森林生产的长期影响,我们调查了森林生产力和土地可用性的波动如何影响巴西纸浆和造纸工业的扩张。我们使用混合整数非线性模型来评估多种气候和土地市场情景下的财务回报、成本和潜在的工厂位置。研究地区是巴西南马托格罗索州,该州是世界上最具吸引力的纸浆和造纸自然资源投资地区之一。我们的研究结果表明,该地区需要在未来几十年内将其人工林面积从目前的912,371公顷扩大至少586,166公顷,以为新工厂提供足够的纸浆木材,并抵消气候变化造成的潜在生产力损失。纸浆生产成本预计每年增长0.61%(或在未来25年增长16.4%)。这些结果突出了气候和土地利用变化导致人工林生产力损失的相关风险。我们评估了土地利用变化率在市场发展中的重要性。如果保持不变,该行业的成功可能会受到限制,从而减少该地区的正外部性。此外,我们在这里提出的模型可以扩展到其他工业问题(如木屑颗粒厂和生物炭收集点),并评估不同的气候情景(如干旱或野火等气候冲击)。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring technical efficiency in the European forest sector: A two-stage chance-constrained data envelopment analysis 探索欧洲林业部门的技术效率:两阶段机会约束数据包络分析
IF 4 2区 农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2024.103370
Alireza Amirteimoori , Tofigh Allahviranloo , Majid Zadmirzaei
This study analyses the technical efficiency of the forestry sector in Europe which comprises 40 countries. The novelty of this study is the stochasticity of the data and the existence of contextual variables in the two-stage production process of the forest sector. We first developed a two-stage chance-constrained data envelopment analysis model in which the forestry and exploitation stages occur at country-specific levels within the European forest production sector. It was found that the forest management stage is generally more efficient than the exploitation stage and total production at the country-specific level. Contextual variables have a significant impact on efficiency scores, which means that efficiency calculations in the subsequent stage need to be adjusted to take these influences into account. By mitigating these contextual effects, the study improved technical efficiency scores, highlighting top performers like the Russian Federation (DMU31 in North zone), Switzerland (DMU37 in Central-West zone), and Iceland (DMU16 in North zone) with TE scores of 1.0322, 1.0209, and 1.0198 respectively, while also identifying areas for enhancement in countries such as Turkey (DMU38 in South-East zone), Slovakia (DMU33 in Central-East zone), and Romania (DMU30 in Central-East zone) which fall into the lowest three ranks based on their performance with TE scores of 0.5583, 0.5058, and 0.4482 respectively. An important conclusion is that these findings are crucial for policymakers and stakeholders in Europe when developing strategies to improve efficiency and sustainability in the forest sector.
本研究分析了由40个国家组成的欧洲林业部门的技术效率。本研究的新颖之处在于数据的随机性和森林部门两阶段生产过程中上下文变量的存在。我们首先开发了一个两阶段的机会约束数据包络分析模型,其中林业和开发阶段发生在欧洲森林生产部门的具体国家层面。研究发现,在具体国家一级,森林管理阶段一般比开发阶段和总产量更有效。上下文变量对效率得分有显著影响,这意味着后续阶段的效率计算需要进行调整,以考虑这些影响。通过减轻这些背景影响,该研究提高了技术效率得分,突出了俄罗斯联邦(北部地区DMU31)、瑞士(中西部地区DMU37)和冰岛(北部地区DMU16)等表现优异的国家,其TE得分分别为1.0322、1.0209和1.0198,同时也确定了土耳其(东南部地区DMU38)、斯洛伐克(中东部地区DMU33)等国家需要提高的领域。罗马尼亚(DMU30在中东部地区)的TE得分分别为0.5583、0.5058和0.4482,处于表现最低的三个等级。一个重要的结论是,这些发现对于欧洲的决策者和利益相关者制定提高森林部门效率和可持续性的战略至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Partition actions on forestland owned as heir property and the determinants of court decisions 继承人林地分割诉讼与法院判决的决定因素
IF 4 2区 农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2024.103392
Mahesh Tiwari , Changyou Sun , Donald L. Grebner , Ayoung Kim , Eric McConnell
In the United States, family forest landowners own a substantial portion of the forestland. Some of the forestland is heir property, which is created when an owner dies without a will or with a defective will. Each co-owner of heir property has an undivided fractional interest in the entire land, and any co-owners can file a partition action to isolate their interest from the land. While a physical division of the land is possible, a partition action often results in a forced sale of the entire land and unwilling loss of land for some co-owners. In this study, published legal cases were utilized to collect empirical evidence of heir property partition on forestland, and furthermore, logit models were employed to examine the determinants of court decisions. The analyses identified several influential factors behind judges' decisions. These included whether incomes from forestland were shared among co-owners, the magnitude of fractional interest of a partition claimant, the presence of absentee co-owners, the physical and financial work related to the land, and the availability of detailed facts about heirs and land. The empirical findings have implications for heir property owners to administer their properties, institutions to design legal strategies for partition disputes, and policymakers to address and improve the legal framework encompassing heir property and its partition.
在美国,家庭森林土地所有者拥有很大一部分林地。一些林地是继承人的财产,当所有者在没有遗嘱或遗嘱有缺陷的情况下死亡时,就会产生继承人的财产。继承人财产的每个共同所有人对整个土地拥有不可分割的部分权益,任何共同所有人都可以提起分割诉讼,将他们的利益与土地隔离开来。虽然实际分割土地是可能的,但分割行动往往导致整个土地被强制出售,一些共有人不愿失去土地。本研究利用已发表的法律案例收集林地继承人财产分割的经验证据,并运用logit模型考察法院判决的决定因素。这些分析确定了法官判决背后的几个影响因素。这些因素包括:来自林地的收入是否在共有人之间共享,分割者的部分权益的大小,缺席的共有人的存在,与土地相关的物质和财务工作,以及关于继承人和土地的详细事实的可用性。实证研究结果对继承人财产所有者如何管理其财产、机构如何设计分割纠纷的法律策略、政策制定者如何解决和完善涉及继承人财产及其分割的法律框架具有启示意义。
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引用次数: 0
Policy forum: Opportunities and challenges for Vietnamese companies to source sustainable timber from Africa, and implications for future implementation of the EU deforestation regulation 政策论坛:越南公司从非洲采购可持续木材的机遇与挑战,以及对未来实施欧盟森林砍伐法规的影响
IF 4 2区 农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2024.103387
Thu Thuy Pham , Thi Kim Hong Tang , Andrew Lowe
This paper explores the perceptions of 114 Vietnamese companies regarding the opportunities and challenges they face in trading timber and wood with African countries, drawing the implications for future implementation of the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) in Vietnam and African countries. More than half of the surveyed companies imported African timber for construction, raw material resale, and furniture production. For most companies surveyed, imported African timber was used in 25 %–50 % of their products; just 10 % of companies were entirely dependent on imported African timber. Surveyed companies had a diverse supplier list, with those from the United States and European Union contributing higher percentages of timber than their African counterparts. African countries were considered high-risk for illegal logging; yet surveyed companies also believed African timber imports to be an opportunity due to the continent's significant expanse of tropical forests, high consumer demand for African timber, and favourable conditions when dealing with African businesses. However, importing African timber also brought major challenges for Vietnamese companies due to pressure from consumer countries to ensure timber product legality, and due to the lack of accountable, transparent governance and legal frameworks – in both Vietnam and African countries – required to validate sources. Our paper sheds light on challenges for timber- and wood-processing companies in Vietnam in complying with the EUDR and highlights the need to strengthen governance frameworks around timber imports and exports in Vietnam, African countries and consumer countries to monitor and control the illegal timber trade.
本文探讨了114家越南公司对与非洲国家进行木材和木材贸易所面临的机遇和挑战的看法,并对未来在越南和非洲国家实施欧盟森林砍伐法规(EUDR)提出了建议。超过一半的被调查公司进口非洲木材用于建筑、原材料转售和家具生产。在接受调查的大多数公司中,进口非洲木材占其产品的25% - 50%;只有10%的公司完全依赖进口非洲木材。接受调查的公司有一个多样化的供应商名单,来自美国和欧洲联盟的公司提供的木材比例高于非洲同行。非洲国家被认为是非法采伐的高风险国家;然而,被调查的公司也认为非洲木材进口是一个机会,因为非洲大陆有大片的热带森林,消费者对非洲木材的高需求,以及在与非洲企业打交道时的有利条件。然而,进口非洲木材也给越南公司带来了重大挑战,因为来自消费国的压力要求确保木材产品的合法性,而且由于越南和非洲国家都缺乏负责任、透明的治理和法律框架来验证来源。我们的论文揭示了越南木材和木材加工企业在遵守《欧洲木材宣言》方面面临的挑战,并强调了加强越南、非洲国家和消费国木材进出口治理框架的必要性,以监测和控制非法木材贸易。
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引用次数: 0
Social media, deliberative communication and conflict management: Reflections based on the example case of Freiburg Im Breisgau (Germany) 社交媒体、协商沟通与冲突管理——基于德国弗莱堡案例的思考
IF 4 2区 农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2024.103390
Alexander Mäder , Monika Bachinger , Andreas Ziermann , Patricia Harprecht , Volker Kromrey , Franziska Schlemmer
Recreation in forests may be conceived of as a common pool resource. This resource degrades if a too large number of recreationists or recreationists with too different activities populate the forest. In such cases conflicts due to resource degradation might occur. Deliberative communication is a respectful form of communication, which enables individuals to develop a mutual understanding and realize accepted solutions. Deliberative communication might take various forms, also being mediated by social media. These media, however, contain specific challenges. By taking the Institutional Analysis and Development (IAD) Framework by Ostrom (2010) as a conceptual base, the commentary looks at the conflict between cyclists and other forest visitors in Freiburg im Breisgau (Germany) to discuss whether and how social media posts could live up to the principles of deliberative communication and thus contribute to the mitigation of recreational conflicts in forests. Results show that social media posts host a great opportunity for deliberative communication, enhancing interactivity, rationality, constructiveness, empathy and a common-good reference. However, there are shortcomings of social media as well, which relate to the communication's solution-orientation and the inclusion of silent voices. Moderation of communication on social media appears to be a complex undertaking.
森林里的娱乐活动可以看作是一种共同的资源池。如果太多的游憩者或从事不同活动的游憩者居住在森林中,这种资源就会退化。在这种情况下,可能会发生资源退化引起的冲突。协商沟通是一种相互尊重的沟通形式,它使个体能够相互理解并实现公认的解决方案。协商沟通可能有多种形式,也以社交媒体为媒介。然而,这些媒介包含着具体的挑战。本文以奥斯特罗姆(2010)的制度分析与发展框架(IAD)为概念基础,着眼于德国弗莱堡(Freiburg im Breisgau)骑自行车者与其他森林游客之间的冲突,讨论社交媒体帖子是否以及如何符合协商沟通的原则,从而有助于缓解森林中的娱乐冲突。结果表明,社交媒体帖子为深思熟虑的沟通提供了很好的机会,增强了互动性、合理性、建设性、同理心和共同利益的参考。然而,社交媒体也有其不足之处,这与传播的解决导向和沉默声音的包容有关。节制社交媒体上的交流似乎是一项复杂的任务。
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引用次数: 0
Developing a supply chain model for sustainable aviation fuel using logging residues in Georgia, United States 在美国乔治亚州开发利用伐木残留物的可持续航空燃料供应链模型
IF 4 2区 农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2024.103401
Hosne Ara Akter , Yu-Kai Huang , Puneet Dwivedi
Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) as a drop-in fuel from biomass feedstocks can reduce carbon emissions and provide resiliency to the aviation sector in light of the volatile nature of conventional aviation fuel (CAF) prices. This study aims to develop a supply chain model for SAF derived from unutilized logging residues across Georgia, a prominent forestry state located in the southern region of the United States. We employed a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model to minimize the total discounted cost of the SAF supply chain using the Ethanol-to-Jet (ETJ) production pathway over ten years of operation. Three SAF demand scenarios were selected, i.e., meeting 20 % (high), 10 % (medium), and 5 % (low) of total SAF demand at the Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport. Results indicate a unit production cost of US $1.92 L−1, US $2.03 L−1, and US $2.25 L−1 for the high, medium, and low demand scenarios, respectively. Over a period of ten years, to produce 3.74, 1.87, and 0.94 billion liters of SAF in scenarios A, B, and C, respectively, 38.5, 19.2, and 9.6 million Mg of logging residues are required. The capital investment and operating cost at biorefineries accounted for an average of 77 % and 22 % of the total unit cost, respectively, across scenarios. The GHG intensity of the SAF was 767 g CO2e L−1 on average across scenarios, providing about 70 % of carbon savings relative to CAF. The supply chain model suggested 54 biomass processing units (BPUs) and 13 bio-refineries across Georgia under the high demand scenario, 27 BPUs and 7 bio-refineries under the medium scenario, and 14 BPUs and 4 bio-refineries under the low SAF demand scenario. Our study is expected to provide new insights into the emerging market of SAF in Georgia and beyond.
可持续航空燃料(SAF)作为生物质原料的替代燃料,可以减少碳排放,并在传统航空燃料(CAF)价格波动的情况下为航空部门提供弹性。本研究的目的是开发一个供应链模型的SAF来源于未利用的伐木残留物在格鲁吉亚,一个著名的林业州位于美国南部地区。我们采用了混合整数线性规划(MILP)模型,以最小化使用乙醇制喷气(ETJ)生产路径的SAF供应链在十年运营中的总折扣成本。选择了三种SAF需求方案,即满足哈茨菲尔德-杰克逊亚特兰大国际机场SAF总需求的20%(高),10%(中等)和5%(低)。结果表明,在高、中、低需求情景下,单位生产成本分别为1.92 L−1、2.03 L−1和2.25 L−1美元。在10年的时间里,在a、B和C三种情况下,要生产37.4亿升、18.7亿升和9.4亿升的SAF,分别需要385、1920和960万Mg的采伐残留物。在各种情况下,生物精炼厂的资本投资和运营成本平均分别占总单位成本的77%和22%。SAF的温室气体强度在各情景中平均为767 g CO2e L−1,相对于CAF提供了约70%的碳节约。该供应链模型建议在高需求情景下,佐治亚州有54个生物质处理单元(bpu)和13个生物精炼厂,在中等需求情景下有27个bpu和7个生物精炼厂,在低SAF需求情景下有14个bpu和4个生物精炼厂。我们的研究有望为格鲁吉亚及其他地区的SAF新兴市场提供新的见解。
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引用次数: 0
“Missing” power features in the Actor-Centered-Power framework: Systematic review and empirical insights from Central Africa's Dja and Faro Landscapes 以行动者为中心的权力框架中 "缺失 "的权力特征:中部非洲 Dja 和 Faro 地貌的系统回顾和经验启示
IF 4 2区 农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2024.103395
Jude Ndzifon Kimengsi , Shambhu Charmakar , Roland Azibo Balgah , Lukas Giessen
Since its introduction about a decade ago, the Actor-Centered-Power (ACP) theoretical approach has been applied to analyze power manifestations and outcomes – particularly in forest resource management. This approach emphasized three power features, namely, coercion, (dis)incentives and dominant information. After a decade of empirical validation, it is imperative to take stock of its application while reflecting on potential “missing power features” in the ACP. In this paper, we propose four “missing power features” in the ACP theoretical approach. These include social cohesion (the societal glue), geography (landscape remoteness), process (the switch in the roles of potentates and subordinates in the same transaction), and convictions (narratives that steer an us-versus-them discourse). A fifth overarching missing element is time – here we argue that all power features in the ACP have a temporal dimension. The paper draws from theoretical reflections in other power studies, and a systematic review of 61 empirical literature on power in forest management institutions. To verify empirical trends from the systematic reviews through a contemporary example, qualitative data generated through the interview of key informants (n = 51), experts (n = 12), and focus group discussions (n = 10) from two cases in Central Africa is provided. Analysis of articles selected through systematic reviews and own empirical data allows us to draw the following conclusions: Firstly, 88 % of the reviewed papers captured the four missing power features with social cohesion and geographical remoteness dominating the literature (67 %). Secondly, empirical insights from the two cases in Central Africa confirmed the recurrence of social cohesion linked to ties with forest-related livelihood strategies, and geographical remoteness which enhances insecurity. Thirdly, conservation interventions are also shaped by the power and potency of process, indicating a role switch between the potentate and subordinate within the same transaction, and convictions linked to people's heritage. While process, social cohesion and convictions presents a useful opportunity for an actor-cum-institutions theoretical framework, geography elucidates the scale dimension which should be clarified. We suggest the incorporation of these power features with time standing as an overarching power feature.
行动者为中心的权力(ACP)理论方法自大约十年前提出以来,已被应用于分析权力的表现形式和结果,特别是在森林资源管理方面。这种方法强调三个权力特征,即强制、(非)激励和主导信息。经过十年的经验验证,在反思ACP中潜在的“缺失的功能”的同时,对其应用进行评估是势在必行的。在本文中,我们提出了ACP理论方法中的四个“缺失功率特征”。这些因素包括社会凝聚力(社会粘合剂)、地理(景观偏远)、过程(同一交易中统治者和下属角色的转换)和信念(引导我们与他们话语的叙事)。第5个缺失的重要因素是时间——这里我们认为ACP中的所有功率特征都有一个时间维度。本文借鉴了其他权力研究的理论反思,并系统回顾了61篇关于森林经营机构权力的实证文献。为了通过一个当代例子验证系统综述的经验趋势,本文提供了通过对中非两个案例的关键举报人(n = 51)、专家(n = 12)和焦点小组讨论(n = 10)的访谈产生的定性数据。通过系统综述和自己的经验数据选择的文章分析,我们可以得出以下结论:首先,88%的被审查的论文捕捉到四个缺失的权力特征,社会凝聚力和地理偏远主导文献(67%)。第二,中非两个案例的经验见解证实,与与森林有关的生计战略联系在一起的社会凝聚力再次出现,地理上的偏远加剧了不安全。第三,保护干预也受到过程的权力和效力的影响,表明在同一交易中,当权者和臣服者之间的角色转换,以及与人们的遗产有关的信念。虽然过程、社会凝聚力和信念为行为者和制度的理论框架提供了有用的机会,但地理学阐明了应该澄清的规模维度。我们建议将这些功率特性与时间站立性结合起来,作为一个总体功率特性。
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引用次数: 0
Stakeholder and social network analysis for understanding forest (fires) management – A contribution based on a systematic literature review 理解森林(火灾)管理的利益相关者和社会网络分析-基于系统文献综述的贡献
IF 4 2区 农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2024.103396
C. Campos Fernandes , S. Valente , E. Figueiredo , A. Polido
Finding strategies and measures to prevent and mitigate wildfires is at the top of the socio-political agendas in Europe. This is due to an increase in the recurrence and intensity of wildfires, but also to constraints related to fire planning and management system, which includes and deals with multiple organizations, entities, and stakeholders, fostering diverse potential tensions and conflicts, and generally based on poor communication, which, altogether, may compromise a successful operationalization of fire management policies.
Stakeholder analysis (SA) is a methodology that can help to understand and cope with those limitations. Its application enables the understanding of the relevant actors, their goals, interests, plans, influence levels, resources, behavior, and interrelations. Considering the limitations of SA methods in determining the role of communication networks and understanding the patterns of interaction, Social Network Analysis (SNA) emerges as an essential tool for assessing the relationships among actors, their positions within a network, and the drivers of the different interactions.
In this vein, a systematic literature review was conducted to explore how SA and SNA have been addressed by European studies regarding forests and, particularly, wildfires. The 41 articles selected were subjected to a quantitative and qualitative thematic analysis considering several dimensions, such as its main purpose and expected impact, the research methods used, the stakeholders' categorization, or the limitations and contributions. One of the study's more significant findings relates to the crucial roles played by the different approaches to understand the existing system and to support policy- and decision-making processes.
寻找预防和减轻野火的战略和措施是欧洲社会政治议程的首要任务。这是由于野火的复发和强度增加,但也与火灾规划和管理系统相关的限制有关,该系统包括并处理多个组织、实体和利益相关者,助长了各种潜在的紧张和冲突,并且通常基于不良的沟通,这些因素可能会损害火灾管理政策的成功实施。
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引用次数: 0
Reconciling global and local benefits of forest restoration: A shared interdisciplinary perspective 协调森林恢复的全球和地方利益:一个共享的跨学科视角
IF 4 2区 农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2024.103381
Stephanie Mansourian , William M. Adams , Karma Bouazza , Joice Nunes Ferreira , David J. Ganz , Jack Hurd , Stefano Pagiola , John Parrotta , Bruno Ramamonjisoa , Nanie Ratsifandrihamanana , Roger Villalobos , Gretchen Walters , Christian A. Kull
Restoring ecosystems, and forests in particular, has become a global priority. At larger scales, forest restoration must necessarily reconcile the needs and priorities of multiple stakeholders and, in doing so, raises several governance challenges. Approaching governance in the context of forest restoration through an interdisciplinary lens provides a complex picture consistent with the multiple factors that impact forest restoration. Focusing on one specific governance challenge, namely, how to balance global to local benefits of forest restoration, serves to demonstrate the complexity and value of approaching these challenges with an interdisciplinary lens. This paper presents several options, including: the need for a multi-scale and functioning governance structures or mechanisms involving decision-makers from local to national and international scales; considering multiple brokers (or “intermediaries”) as important leverage points; sharing tools with national governments that help to ensure that restoration brings a balanced flow of benefits to their citizens; redressing power imbalances by strengthening social capital and building the capacity of community-level organizations; recognizing rights (to land or forest tenure rights – whether to communities or privately to local community members); creating a dedicated funding stream for restoration; changing the focus from quantitative targets for tree planting/restoration to more multi-objective based approaches; acknowledging and emphasizing that forest restoration can yield multiple benefits for many individuals or groups, and ensuring that these can be realized.
恢复生态系统,特别是森林,已成为全球优先事项。在更大的范围内,森林恢复必须协调多个利益攸关方的需求和优先事项,这样做会带来一些治理挑战。通过跨学科的视角来看待森林恢复背景下的治理,提供了一幅与影响森林恢复的多种因素一致的复杂图景。关注一个具体的治理挑战,即如何平衡森林恢复的全球和地方利益,有助于展示以跨学科视角处理这些挑战的复杂性和价值。本文提出了几个备选方案,包括:需要一个涉及从地方到国家和国际范围的决策者的多尺度和有效的治理结构或机制;考虑多个经纪人(或“中介机构”)作为重要的杠杆点;与各国政府分享工具,帮助确保恢复工作为本国公民带来平衡的利益流动;通过加强社会资本和建设社区一级组织的能力来纠正权力不平衡;承认权利(对土地或森林权属的权利-无论是对社区还是对当地社区成员的私人权利);为修复工作建立专门的资金流;将重点从植树/恢复的定量目标转向更多基于多目标的方法;承认和强调森林恢复可以为许多个人或群体带来多重利益,并确保这些利益能够实现。
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引用次数: 0
Has China's “only-out, no-in” staff-reduction policy alleviated the material deprivation of forestry worker families? Evidence from China's Natural Forest Protection Program 中国“只出不进”的减员政策是否缓解了林业工人家庭的物质匮乏?来自中国天然林保护项目的证据
IF 4 2区 农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2024.103391
Bo Cao , Hongge Zhu , Yufang Wang
The existing literature primarily assesses the effectiveness of self-governance models in decentralized forest management, while studies on state-centered government regulation are scarce. This gap may introduce biases in comparative analyses of forest management models. This paper provides new evidence to evaluate China's government regulation model from a welfare perspective. First, we construct a material deprivation index (MDI) of forestry worker families based on a new individual-level household survey data collected from 56 state forest enterprises (SFEs) across three provinces in China. Second, combined with historical enterprise-level attrition data in SFEs, we find that, during the period of China's Natural Forest Protection Program, the “only-out, no-in” staff-reduction policy alleviated the material deprivation of forestry worker families. Various identification strategies including the instrumental variable method have confirmed the above causal relationship. Third, we further divide the MDI into three subindexes: quality of life, living environment, and social relations. We find that the cumulative staff-reduction scale has negative causal effect on reducing forestry worker families' material deprivation in terms of the second subindex, but has no effect in terms of the first and third subindexes. Lastly, when the sample is divided into two groups—households living on the mountain and down the hill—the negative causal effect exists only for the latter group. These results update the empirical literature on government regulation model effectiveness and provide significant references for comparative studies on forest management model diversity. They hold substantial implications for the innovation and optimization of forest management models in developing countries.
现有文献主要评估了分散森林经营中自我管理模式的有效性,而对以国家为中心的政府监管的研究较少。这一差距可能给森林管理模式的比较分析带来偏差。本文为从福利视角评价中国政府规制模式提供了新的证据。首先,基于对中国三省56家国有林业企业的家庭调查数据,构建了林业工人家庭物质剥夺指数(MDI)。第二,结合中小企业的历史企业人员流失数据,发现天然林保护期间,“只出不进”的减员政策缓解了林业职工家庭的物质匮乏。包括工具变量法在内的各种识别策略都证实了上述因果关系。第三,我们将MDI进一步划分为生活质量、生活环境和社会关系三个子指标。研究发现,累计减员规模对减少林业工人家庭物质剥夺在第2个子指标上具有负向因果效应,但在第1和第3个子指标上没有影响。最后,当样本被分为两组——住在山上的家庭和住在山下的家庭——负因果效应只存在于后者。这些结果更新了政府调控模式有效性的实证文献,为森林经营模式多样性的比较研究提供了重要参考。它们对发展中国家森林管理模式的创新和优化具有重大影响。
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Forest Policy and Economics
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