Forest Policy and Economics最新文献_第7页

Understanding green jobs in the forest sector: Findings from a systematic literature review 理解森林部门的绿色工作：来自系统文献综述的发现

IF 3.8 2区农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Forest Policy and Economics

Pub Date : 2025-09-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103608

Emilin Joma da Silva, Jörg Schweinle

The forest sector has undergone significant transformations driven by environmental and societal concerns, resulting in policies to promote sustainability, technological innovation, and the bioeconomy. These policies have had an impact on employment, with green jobs emerging as a potential outcome of an environmentally sustainable economy. However, for jobs to be considered ‘green’, they must meet criteria for decent work – criteria that are underexplored within the forest sector. This study conducts a systematic literature review (following the Reporting standards for Systematic Evidence Synthesis) to investigate what are green jobs in the forest sector, characterize these jobs and identify incentives that have promoted they. A total of 50 English-language publications were analysed. The findings indicated that while the forest sector has generated jobs with certain positive aspects of job quality (e.g., fair earnings), unfavourable characteristics persists (e.g., informal employment). Moreover, policies promoting green job often lack systematic assessment of the quality of the jobs they create. This study underscores the need for more robust data collection on job quality to inform policies that align sustainability objectives with decent work standards. It further revels the complex interplay between environmental goals and employment dynamics in the forest sector, emphasizing the importance of clear, operational standards for defining and supporting green jobs.

在环境和社会问题的推动下，森林部门经历了重大变革，产生了促进可持续性、技术创新和生物经济的政策。这些政策对就业产生了影响，绿色工作作为环境可持续经济的潜在结果而出现。然而，对于被认为是“绿色”的工作，它们必须符合体面工作的标准，而这些标准在森林部门尚未得到充分探讨。本研究进行了系统的文献综述（遵循系统证据综合报告标准），以调查森林部门的绿色工作是什么，这些工作的特征，并确定促进它们的激励措施。总共分析了50种英文出版物。调查结果表明，虽然森林部门创造的工作具有工作质量的某些积极方面（例如，公平的收入），但不利的特点仍然存在（例如，非正规就业）。此外，促进绿色就业的政策往往缺乏对其创造的就业质量的系统评估。本研究强调，需要更有力地收集有关工作质量的数据，以便为使可持续发展目标与体面劳动标准相一致的政策提供信息。它进一步揭示了环境目标与森林部门就业动态之间复杂的相互作用，强调了明确的业务标准对于确定和支持绿色就业的重要性。

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引用次数: 0

Unlocking youth opportunities in the forest sector: The role of green jobs in generating youth employment in Malawi 释放青年在森林部门的机会：绿色工作在创造马拉维青年就业中的作用

IF 3.8 2区农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Forest Policy and Economics

Pub Date : 2025-09-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103625

Maggie G. Munthali , Bonface Nankwenya , Zephania Nyirenda , Lemekezani Chilora , Levison Chiwaula , Baxton Chirombo , Wim Troosters

Green jobs offer significant potential to address high youth unemployment rates in low-income countries. Utilising data from the 2023 Malawi Green Corps Survey, this study employed the Propensity Score Matching (PSM) approach to assess the impact of green jobs on the welfare of youths in Malawi. The study randomly sampled 989 youths (628 project beneficiaries and 361 non-beneficiaries) from 10 districts in Malawi. The findings reveal that the project successfully recruited 2027 youths into green jobs focused on forest, soil and water conservation. Further results indicate that participation in the project positively impacted the youth's income and entrepreneurship development. The estimations indicate an increase in the current income of the youths involved in green jobs by approximately MK108,000. The results also show that the project increased the proportion of youths engaged in businesses by 42 %, further strengthening the connection between green jobs and entrepreneurial development. Results further demonstrated the need for long-term planning of green jobs to have a meaningful impact on poverty reduction. These findings underscore the transformative potential of green jobs in providing decent employment opportunities for youths in Malawi. Consequently, this study recommends that the government and other stakeholders develop strategies and policies to effectively engage youths in the green sectors, ensuring sustainable development and economic resilience.

绿色就业为解决低收入国家青年高失业率问题提供了巨大潜力。利用来自2023年马拉维绿色军团调查的数据，本研究采用倾向得分匹配（PSM）方法来评估绿色工作对马拉维青年福利的影响。该研究从马拉维10个地区随机抽取了989名青年（628名项目受益者和361名非受益者）。调查结果显示，该项目成功招募了2027名青年从事以森林、水土保持为重点的绿色工作。进一步的研究结果表明，参与项目对青年的收入和创业发展有积极的影响。这些估计表明，从事绿色工作的青年人目前的收入增加了大约108,000马克。结果还表明，该项目使青年创业比例提高了42%，进一步加强了绿色就业与创业发展之间的联系。结果进一步表明，需要对绿色工作进行长期规划，以对减贫产生有意义的影响。这些发现强调了绿色工作在为马拉维青年提供体面就业机会方面的变革潜力。因此，本研究建议政府和其他利益相关者制定战略和政策，有效地吸引青年参与绿色部门，确保可持续发展和经济弹性。

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引用次数: 0

Equity, diversity and inclusion in Canada's forest sector labour force: Are we making progress? 加拿大森林部门劳动力的公平、多样性和包容性：我们取得进展了吗？

IF 3.8 2区农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Forest Policy and Economics

Pub Date : 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103595

John Boakye-Danquah , Stephen Wyatt , Maureen G. Reed

Around the world, the labour force supporting commercial forestry has been male-dominated and Canada is no exception. Women, Indigenous Peoples and immigrants in Canada often face systemic barriers such as racism, sexism that result in specific inequalities including income disparities, job segregation, and uneven opportunities for training and mentorship. In response, federal and provincial governments, industry, and educational institutions have introduced policies and taken action to enhance equity, diversity, and inclusion (EDI) in the labour force across multiple sectors. In this paper, we explore Canada's progress in building a diverse and equitable forestry labour force. We analysed data from national forestry strategies (1981–2019), State of Canada's Forests Reports (1990–2023), and the quinquennial national Census (1991–2021), using proxies to examine progress in employment opportunities and representation of three equity-denied groups: women, Indigenous Peoples, and immigrants. Although there are high-level policies for EDI, federal government documents for the forest sector revealed little attention to EDI, with the exception of promoting opportunities for Indigenous workers. Census data show slow and uneven progress with respect to labour force participation, income, and job segregation in forestry. While there is progress in opportunities for Indigenous people, the data show that they still have lower incomes and occupy fewer management positions than others employed in commercial forestry. We reflect on several limitationsin the available data and conclude that if the forest sector in Canada and other similar contexts seeks to advance EDI in its forestry labour force, it must commit to broad motivations for diversity beyond industry competitiveness, set clear targets, introduce new practices, take action and publicly report on the results.

在世界各地，支持商业林业的劳动力一直以男性为主，加拿大也不例外。加拿大的妇女、土著人民和移民经常面临种族主义、性别歧视等系统性障碍，这些障碍导致了具体的不平等，包括收入差距、工作隔离、培训和指导机会不平等。作为回应，联邦和省政府、行业和教育机构已出台政策并采取行动，加强多个部门劳动力的公平性、多样性和包容性（EDI）。在本文中，我们探讨了加拿大在建立多样化和公平的林业劳动力方面的进展。我们分析了国家林业战略（1981-2019年）、加拿大国家森林报告（1990-2023年）和五年一次的全国人口普查（1991-2021年）的数据，使用代理来检查就业机会的进展和三个被剥夺平等的群体的代表性：妇女、土著人民和移民。虽然有关于电子数据交换的高级政策，但联邦政府关于森林部门的文件显示，除了促进土著工人的机会外，很少注意电子数据交换。普查数据显示，林业在劳动力参与、收入和职业隔离方面进展缓慢且不平衡。虽然土著人民在机会方面取得了进展，但数据显示，他们的收入仍然较低，担任的管理职位也少于商业林业的其他雇员。我们反思了现有数据中的一些局限性，并得出结论，如果加拿大和其他类似国家的林业部门寻求在其林业劳动力中推进EDI，它必须致力于在行业竞争力之外实现多样性的广泛动机，设定明确的目标，引入新的做法，采取行动并公开报告结果。

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引用次数: 0

Exploring trade-offs in forest carbon storage: A cost-effectiveness study of Nordic forests and harvested wood products 探索森林碳储存的权衡：北欧森林和采伐木材产品的成本效益研究

IF 3.8 2区农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Forest Policy and Economics

Pub Date : 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103619

Junhui Hu, Eirik Ogner Jåstad, Per Kristian Rørstad

Forest-based carbon sequestration plays an important role in climate mitigation, yet strategies vary widely in effectiveness and cost. This study compares two optimization goals in the Nordic forest sector, maximizing carbon in harvested wood products (HWP) and in avoided forest harvest plus HWPs. A partial equilibrium forest sector model (NFSM), combined with the method of Modeling to Generate Alternatives (MGA), is used to assess trade-offs between economic outcomes and carbon storage goals. Marginal abatement cost (MAC) curves are indirectly derived from the results. The analysis shows that maximizing avoided harvest and HWP achieves higher CO₂ gains at substantially lower costs (about €15–463/tCO₂) compared to only maximizing HWP (about €44–1200/tCO₂). In addition, the results reveal that carbon-focused strategies reshape industrial and trade dynamics in opposing ways. Bioeconomy-oriented approaches drive production and exports at higher carbon costs, while conservation-focused strategies reduce harvests and raise the risk of market leakage. These findings highlight the need for integrated policies that reduce reliance on product-based carbon storage while strengthening forest-based sequestration and storage.

以森林为基础的碳固存在减缓气候变化方面发挥着重要作用，但各种战略在有效性和成本方面差别很大。本研究比较了北欧林业部门的两个优化目标，即最大限度地提高采伐木材产品（HWP）的碳排放，以及避免森林采伐加上HWP的碳排放。部分平衡森林部门模型（NFSM）结合建模生成替代方案（MGA）方法，用于评估经济成果和碳储存目标之间的权衡。边际消减成本（MAC）曲线由结果间接导出。分析表明，与仅最大化HWP（约44-1200欧元/tCO₂）相比，最大化避免收获和HWP可以以更低的成本（约15-463欧元/tCO₂）获得更高的CO₂收益。此外，研究结果表明，以碳为重点的战略以相反的方式重塑工业和贸易动态。以生物经济为导向的方法以更高的碳成本推动生产和出口，而以保护为重点的战略减少了收成，并增加了市场泄漏的风险。这些发现强调需要制定综合政策，减少对基于产品的碳储存的依赖，同时加强基于森林的碳封存和储存。

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引用次数: 0

Seasonality of the recreational value of forests in Denmark 丹麦森林娱乐价值的季节性

IF 3.8 2区农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Forest Policy and Economics

Pub Date : 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103607

Tim de Kruiff , Jonas Vester Legarth , Thomas Lundhede , Carl-Emil Pless , Hans Skov-Petersen , Jette Bredahl Jacobsen

The importance of forest composition and appearance for recreational value is well-known, with a preference for deciduous species over coniferous species in Denmark. Yet, the effect of seasonal variation in appearance of these species on recreational preferences remain underexplored. In this paper, we combine three datasets to examine how seasonality affects people's preferences for forest visits. Using a repeated choice experiment over a one-year period, we find that the Danish public's preference for deciduous over coniferous forests is far more pronounced in spring and summer than in autumn and winter. Using forest visitor data from counting stations across Denmark, we demonstrate that the seasonal variation in visitor numbers is more pronounced for forests with a higher share of deciduous trees. Finally, we use PPGIS data to show that respondents travel to and stay shorter in the forest in the winter. The mode of transport, however, is stable over the year. Thus, out of five elements important for the calculation of welfare estimates, being species preference, travel distance, visit frequency, visit duration and transport mode, we find that the first four vary significantly by season, with no significant seasonal variation for the latter. We conclude that previous valuation studies, primarily based on spring or summer seasons, are upper bounds on the preference for deciduous forests over coniferous forests as well as for travel distance. Future valuation studies on forest recreation should pay closer attention to the effects of seasonality to produce non-biased estimates.

森林的组成和外观对于娱乐价值的重要性是众所周知的，在丹麦，人们更喜欢落叶物种而不是针叶物种。然而，这些物种外观的季节变化对娱乐偏好的影响仍未得到充分研究。在本文中，我们结合三个数据集来研究季节性如何影响人们对森林参观的偏好。通过一项为期一年的重复选择实验，我们发现丹麦公众对落叶林的偏好远远超过针叶林，在春季和夏季比在秋季和冬季更为明显。利用丹麦各地的森林游客数据，我们证明，在落叶树木比例较高的森林中，游客数量的季节性变化更为明显。最后，我们使用PPGIS数据显示，受访者在冬季前往森林并在森林中停留的时间较短。然而，运输方式在一年中是稳定的。因此，在物种偏好、旅行距离、访问频率、访问持续时间和运输方式这五个重要因素中，我们发现前四个因素随季节变化显著，而后者没有显著的季节变化。我们的结论是，以前的评估研究主要基于春季或夏季，是对落叶林比针叶林的偏好以及旅行距离的上限。今后关于森林游憩的估价研究应更加注意季节性的影响，以作出无偏见的估计。

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引用次数: 0

Private forest owner preferences for action- and result-based biodiversity restoration contracts – A discrete choice experiment in Denmark and Finland 私人森林所有者对基于行动和结果的生物多样性恢复合同的偏好——丹麦和芬兰的离散选择实验

IF 3.8 2区农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Forest Policy and Economics

Pub Date : 2025-09-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103609

Charlotte Marie Süring, Thomas Hedemark Lundhede

Payment for ecosystem services schemes aimed at private forest owners have recently garnered renewed interest as a policy tool to promote forest restoration efforts in the EU. Although schemes that pay for biodiversity results rather than management actions have not yet been applied in the European forest sector, the EU's new State aid regulations now explicitly allow for their implementation, as evidence from the agricultural sector suggests that they are potentially more cost-effective than their action-based counterparts. We conduct a discrete choice experiment to estimate Danish and Finnish forest owners' compensation requirements for engaging in action- and result-based biodiversity schemes with contract targets based on empirically established relationships between forest structural attributes and species richness levels. We find that, on average and depending on the schemes' targets, Danish forest owners need 29–56% more compensation to enroll in result-based contracts than in action-based ones, while Finnish forest owners require a markup of 101–135%. Our results demonstrate that average compensation requirements for voluntary biodiversity schemes can vary substantially across countries and contract designs. In terms of scheme design, forest owners generally favor payments in annual instalments to lump sum payments at the start or end of the contract term, and for payments to be tied to continuous increases in outcome indicators rather than to particular thresholds. Danish owners prefer to monitor contract outcomes with support of a consultant, on average. Finnish owners have a preference for self-monitoring under action-based contracts, but highly disprefer being involved in monitoring efforts under result-based contracts.

最近，针对私人森林所有者的生态系统服务计划的付款作为一种促进欧盟森林恢复工作的政策工具重新引起了人们的兴趣。虽然欧洲森林部门尚未实施为生物多样性成果而非管理行动付费的计划，但欧盟新的国家援助条例现在明确允许实施这些计划，因为来自农业部门的证据表明，这些计划可能比基于行动的计划更具成本效益。基于经验建立的森林结构属性和物种丰富度之间的关系，我们进行了一个离散选择实验，以估计丹麦和芬兰森林所有者参与基于行动和结果的生物多样性计划的补偿要求。我们发现，根据计划目标的不同，平均而言，丹麦森林所有者签订基于结果的合同比基于行动的合同需要多29-56%的补偿，而芬兰森林所有者需要101-135%的加价。我们的研究结果表明，自愿生物多样性计划的平均补偿要求在不同的国家和合同设计之间存在很大差异。在方案设计方面，森林所有者一般倾向于按年分期付款，而不是在合同期限开始或结束时一次性付款，并且付款与结果指标的持续增长挂钩，而不是与特定的阈值挂钩。平均而言，丹麦业主更愿意在顾问的支持下监督合同结果。芬兰业主倾向于在基于行动的合同下进行自我监督，但非常不喜欢参与基于结果的合同下的监督工作。

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引用次数: 0

Public perceptions of climate and land use drivers of medicinal plant availability in Czech forests: A national survey-based study 公众对捷克森林药用植物可得性的气候和土地利用驱动因素的看法：一项基于国家调查的研究

IF 3.8 2区农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Forest Policy and Economics

Pub Date : 2025-09-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103610

Stephen Awuni , Miroslav Hájek , Marcel Riedl , Diana Carolina Huertas-Bernal , Ratna Chrismiari Purwestri , Forzia Ibrahim , Roman Dudik , Emmanuel Tetteh Jumpah , Francis Adarkwah

Medicinal plants are vital to forest ecosystem services, contributing to biodiversity, public health, and rural livelihoods. In the Czech Republic, the perceived availability of these resources is increasingly threatened by climate change and land use change. This study explores key environmental drivers perceived by the public to affect the availability of medicinal plants and examines forest owners' adoption of management strategies to sustain these resources. Based on a national perception-based survey of 1500 respondents, including 53 forest owners, regression and descriptive statistical methods were employed to examine reported environmental drivers and management strategies. The findings reveal that climate change and excessive chemical use are widely perceived as major stressors associated with the reduced availability of medicinal plants. However, only 45 % of surveyed forest owners reported adopting formal management strategies, leaving substantial forest areas at risk from environmental pressures perceived to threaten medicinal plant resources. Among those implementing measures, forest restoration, organic agriculture, landscape protection, and pest control were the most implemented. Broader conservation schemes such as Natura 2000 were underutilised. These perception-based insights highlight the need for targeted policy interventions, including financial incentives, technical support, and education, to enhance forest owners' implementation of sustainable practices and support the long-term conservation of medicinal plant resources in Czech forests. Engaging the general public through education and participatory conservation efforts is also essential, given their key role in shaping demand and supporting forest protection.

药用植物对森林生态系统服务至关重要，有助于生物多样性、公共卫生和农村生计。在捷克共和国，这些资源的可得性日益受到气候变化和土地利用变化的威胁。本研究探讨了公众认为影响药用植物可得性的关键环境驱动因素，并考察了森林所有者为维持这些资源而采取的管理策略。根据对包括53名森林所有者在内的1500名答复者进行的基于感知的全国调查，采用回归和描述性统计方法来审查报告的环境驱动因素和管理战略。研究结果表明，气候变化和过度使用化学品被广泛认为是与药用植物可得性减少有关的主要压力因素。然而，在接受调查的森林所有者中，只有45%的人报告采用了正式的管理战略，使大量森林地区面临被认为威胁药用植物资源的环境压力的风险。在实施措施中，森林恢复、有机农业、景观保护和害虫防治实施最多。像Natura 2000这样的更广泛的保护计划没有得到充分利用。这些基于感知的见解强调需要有针对性的政策干预，包括财政激励、技术支持和教育，以加强森林所有者实施可持续做法，并支持捷克森林药用植物资源的长期保护。由于公众在形成需求和支持森林保护方面发挥着关键作用，因此通过教育和参与性保护工作吸引公众参与也至关重要。

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引用次数: 0

Long-term forestation-deforestation dynamics in a socioeconomic perspective: The case of Italy, 1936–2018 社会经济视角下的长期造林-毁林动态：意大利1936-2018年的案例

IF 3.8 2区农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Forest Policy and Economics

Pub Date : 2025-09-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103606

Alessia D'Agata , Marco Marchetti , Luca Salvati , Piermaria Corona

To explore long-term socio-ecological relationships at the local scale, this study investigates the evolution of forest cover (1936–2018) vis à vis population, settlements, and economic activities in Italy using geo-spatial information sources that combine environmental and socioeconomic indicators. Long-term forestation (or deforestation) dynamics were assessed in more than 8000 municipalities through a comprehensive analysis of the background socioeconomic context. A multivariate framework integrating descriptive statistics and maps, exploratory pairwise correlations, and a confirmative canonical correlation analysis, has discriminated five distinctive paths in forest cover change over time. Urbanization-driven deforestation in accessible and economically dynamic flat-hilly districts, and forestation after land abandonment in remote rural areas, have been the most frequent processes of landscape transformation in Italy. The empirical findings of this study reveal the complex interactions between forests and local communities, thus supporting the core assumption of the well-known Forest Transition Theory, a key research topic in forest assessment and policy. A peculiar contribution of this research lies in highlighting local specificities in forest dynamics, which are shown to depend strictly on the economic and demographic characteristics of local communities, as well as on the degree of land protection. Triggering a path of sustainable development in rural areas requires policies that combine factors potentially beneficial for the environment, such as the expansion of forests, in order to create a more balanced set of socio-ecological conditions. This will help reducing depopulation and fostering local economies through low-impact socio-demographic processes that are compatible with the environmental quality typical of ‘forest dominated’ landscapes.

为了探索当地尺度上的长期社会生态关系，本研究利用结合环境和社会经济指标的地理空间信息源，调查了意大利森林覆盖（1936-2018）相对于人口、定居点和经济活动的演变。通过对背景社会经济背景的综合分析，对8000多个城市的长期造林（或毁林）动态进行了评估。一个多变量框架整合了描述性统计和地图、探索性两两相关和确证性典型相关分析，区分了森林覆盖随时间变化的五种不同路径。城市化驱动的可达和经济活跃的平坦丘陵地区的森林砍伐，以及偏远农村地区土地废弃后的造林，是意大利最常见的景观转变过程。本研究的实证结果揭示了森林与当地社区之间复杂的相互作用，从而支持了著名的森林转型理论的核心假设，这是森林评估和政策的关键研究课题。这项研究的一个特别贡献在于突出了森林动态的地方特点，这些特点被证明严格取决于当地社区的经济和人口特征以及土地保护的程度。要在农村地区走上可持续发展的道路，就必须制定政策，把可能对环境有益的因素结合起来，例如扩大森林，以便创造一套更加平衡的社会生态条件。这将有助于减少人口减少，并通过与典型的“森林主导”景观的环境质量相适应的低影响社会人口进程促进当地经济。

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引用次数: 0

Evaluating hurricane impacts on timber Markets in the Southeastern United States: A case of hurricane Michael 评估飓风对美国东南部木材市场的影响：以飓风迈克尔为例

IF 3.8 2区农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Forest Policy and Economics

Pub Date : 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103590

Austin Lamica , Rajan Parajuli , Consuelo Brandeis

The intensity of catastrophic weather events, such as hurricanes, are projected to increase across the Southeastern United States (US). With nearly half of the region's land covered by productive forests, periodic large-scale storms frequently disrupt timber supply and destabilize local markets. We investigate the impact of Hurricane Michael (2018) on timber markets in the Southeastern Coastal US, employing a Regression Discontinuity in Time (RDiT) design. Using bi-monthly stumpage price data from hurricane-affected and surrounding micro-markets, we estimate causal effects on market responses across stumpage products. Findings indicate that Hurricane Michael led to a 6 % decline in pine pulpwood prices across the region, and a 9 % and 77 % decrease in pine sawtimber and hardwood sawtimber prices, respectively, in severely damaged areas. In unaffected or lightly impacted regions, the price effects were more variable and product specific. The findings shed light on the timber market dynamics immediately following a catastrophic hurricane and provide nuanced perspectives to forest managers, landowners, and timber investors as they plan for future risk management in timber supply chain and forest sustainability.

预计美国东南部地区飓风等灾难性天气事件的强度将增加。由于该地区近一半的土地被多产的森林覆盖，周期性的大规模风暴经常破坏木材供应，破坏当地市场的稳定。我们研究了飓风迈克尔（2018）对美国东南沿海木材市场的影响，采用了时间上的回归不连续（RDiT）设计。使用来自飓风影响和周围微观市场的两个月树桩价格数据，我们估计了树桩产品对市场反应的因果影响。研究结果表明，飓风迈克尔导致整个地区的松浆材价格下降了6%，严重受损地区的松材和硬木价格分别下降了9%和77%。在未受影响或受影响程度较轻的地区，价格的影响更加多变，产品也更加具体。研究结果揭示了灾难性飓风发生后木材市场的动态，并为森林管理者、土地所有者和木材投资者规划未来木材供应链和森林可持续性的风险管理提供了细致入微的视角。

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引用次数: 0

The potential impact of forest loss on drinking water treatment costs in the southeastern U.S. 森林损失对美国东南部饮用水处理成本的潜在影响

IF 3.8 2区农林科学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Forest Policy and Economics

Pub Date : 2025-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103603

Arpita Nehra , Justin S. Baker , Peter V. Caldwell , Katherine L. Martin , Travis W. Warziniack , Richard H. Manner , Christopher M. Mihiar , Gregory E. Frey , Jennifer K. Costanza

Previous research shows that forest preservation can protect water quality, but it is less clear what the net economic costs of forest preservation might be for drinking water utilities. Economic valuation of forest benefits for drinking water is complex in part because the potential economic benefit is indirectly related to forest preservation through the benefit of forests for water quality. We contribute to a growing literature on land use-water quality interactions by linking ecological production and economic valuation functions that relate to changes in forest cover and water quality. We estimate potential avoided drinking water treatment costs by analyzing water quality impacts of projected land use change, using changes in nutrient concentrations. Specifically, we use observations from a survey conducted in the Southeastern US to explore which factors influence the variation in reported treatment costs. We then integrate the primary data with simulated outputs from a detailed ecological production function to project the potential long-term cost implications of land use change (including forest loss) in the region. Our findings suggest that a 1 % reduction in turbidity and TOC would reduce treatment costs by 0.046 %–0.091 % and 0.951 %–1.144 %, respectively. Further, while we find evidence of modest net cost impacts overall (<10 % for most facilities) under potential future land use change, we find a 1 % forest loss could increase treatment costs by 1.7 %. These results highlight the potential economic value of forest preservation in water supply systems and could inform source water protection strategies by water utilities through forest management incentives. Keywords: Forest Loss, Water treatment costs, Water quality.

以前的研究表明，森林保护可以保护水质，但不太清楚森林保护对饮用水公用事业的净经济成本是多少。森林对饮用水的效益的经济评价是复杂的，部分原因是潜在的经济效益通过森林对水质的效益间接与森林保护有关。我们通过将与森林覆盖和水质变化相关的生态生产和经济评估功能联系起来，为越来越多的关于土地利用-水质相互作用的文献做出了贡献。我们通过分析预计土地利用变化对水质的影响，利用养分浓度的变化来估计潜在的避免饮用水处理成本。具体来说，我们使用在美国东南部进行的一项调查的观察结果来探索影响报告治疗费用变化的因素。然后，我们将原始数据与详细生态生产函数的模拟输出相结合，以预测该地区土地利用变化（包括森林损失）的潜在长期成本影响。我们的研究结果表明，浊度和TOC降低1%将使处理成本分别降低0.046% - 0.091%和0.951% - 1.144%。此外，虽然我们发现在潜在的未来土地利用变化下，总体净成本影响不大（大多数设施为10%），但我们发现森林损失1%可能会使处理成本增加1.7%。这些结果突出了供水系统中森林保护的潜在经济价值，并可以通过森林管理激励措施为供水公司的水源保护战略提供信息。关键词：森林损失，水处理成本，水质。

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