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Duck Walk: A Birder’s Improbable Path to Hunting as Conservation 鸭子漫步:鸟类狩猎作为自然保护的不寻常之路
Pub Date : 2024-01-16 DOI: 10.1093/ornithapp/duad063
J. H. Gammonley
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引用次数: 0
Upland Sandpipers select for later time since fire and experience high nest survival in grasslands managed with patch-burn grazing 高原鹬会选择较晚的防火期,并在采用火烧放牧管理的草地上提高巢的存活率
Pub Date : 2024-01-11 DOI: 10.1093/ornithapp/duae001
Alexander C. Rischette, B. Geaumont, Cameron A. Duquette, T. Hovick
Upland Sandpipers (Bartramia longicauda) are a grassland obligate shorebird that nests in dense vegetation structure near recently disturbed areas and could benefit from management practices that promote heterogenous vegetation structure. Upland Sandpipers primary breeding range is generally managed for livestock production using traditional practices that lack patchy disturbances to facilitate higher levels of structural heterogeneity. Patch-burn grazing (PBG) could be an alternative management practice for Upland Sandpiper conservation for its use to create areas of dense vegetation structure near recently disturbed areas. However, limited information is available regarding nest production of Upland Sandpipers within a PBG framework. To assess the compatibility of PBG with Upland Sandpiper conservation, we estimated nest site selection and survival of Upland Sandpiper nests on private lands managed with PBG in the unglaciated plains region of North Dakota. We located 59 nests from 2017 to 2020. Upland Sandpipers avoided 1 year since fire (YSF) patches and selected for 2 and 3 YSF patches for nest sites. Additionally, nest site selection decreased with increased bare ground and at intermediate distances to the nearest Upland Sandpiper nest. Upland Sandpipers experienced high overall nest survival during the study with 51 of 59 nests successfully hatching, which limited our ability to make inferences between daily survival rates and variables of interest. Our findings suggest that PBG can provide suitable nesting cover for Upland Sandpipers in later YSF patches despite annual prescribed fire and livestock grazing during the nesting season. PBG seems a suitable grassland management strategy that should be included in conservation planning within Upland Sandpiper’s breeding distribution.
高原鹬(Bartramia longicauda)是一种必须栖息在草原上的岸鸟,它们在新近受干扰地区附近植被结构茂密的地方筑巢,可从促进植被结构异质性的管理措施中受益。陆栖矶鹞的主要繁殖地一般采用传统的畜牧生产管理方式,缺乏斑块干扰,无法促进更高水平的结构异质性。斑块焚烧放牧(PBG)可作为保护陆栖矶鹞的另一种管理方法,因为它可以在最近受到干扰的地区附近形成植被结构茂密的区域。然而,有关在 PBG 框架下陆栖矶鹞筑巢情况的信息十分有限。为了评估PBG与上陆鹬保护的兼容性,我们估算了北达科他州未冰川化平原地区使用PBG管理的私人土地上的上陆鹬巢的巢址选择和存活率。从 2017 年到 2020 年,我们找到了 59 个巢。上陆鹬避开了火灾后 1 年(YSF)的斑块,而选择了火灾后 2 年和 3 年的斑块作为巢址。此外,巢址选择随着裸露地面的增加而减少,在距离最近的陆鹬巢的中间距离也是如此。在研究期间,高地矶鹞的总体巢存活率很高,59个巢中有51个成功孵化,这限制了我们在日存活率和相关变量之间做出推断的能力。我们的研究结果表明,尽管在筑巢季节每年都有规定的火灾和牲畜放牧,PBG仍能在YSF后期斑块中为陆鹬提供合适的筑巢覆盖物。PBG似乎是一种合适的草原管理策略,应纳入陆杓鹬繁殖分布区的保护规划中。
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引用次数: 0
Alaska's climate sensitive Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta supports seven million Arctic-breeding shorebirds, including the majority of six North American populations 阿拉斯加气候敏感的育空-库斯科克维姆三角洲养育着七百万只在北极繁殖的岸鸟,包括北美六个种群中的大多数
Pub Date : 2023-12-22 DOI: 10.1093/ornithapp/duad066
James E. Lyons, Stephen C Brown, S. Saalfeld, James A Johnson, B. Andres, Kristine M. Sowl, Robert E Gill, B. Mccaffery, Lindall R. Kidd, Metta McGarvey, Brad Winn, H. Gates, D. Granfors, R. Lanctot
Baseline information about declining North American shorebird populations is essential to determine the effects of global warming at low-lying coastal areas of the Arctic and subarctic, where numerous taxa breed, and to assess population recovery throughout their range. We estimated population sizes on the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta in western Alaska on the eastern edge of the Bering Sea. We conducted ground-based surveys during 2015 and 2016 at 589 randomly selected plots from an area of 35,769 km2. We used stratified random sampling in 8 physiographic strata and corrected population estimates using detection ratios derived from double sampling on a subset of plots. We detected 11,110 breeding individuals of 21 taxa. Western Sandpiper (Calidris mauri), Red-necked Phalarope (Phalaropus lobatus), Dunlin (subspecies C. alpina pacifica), and Wilson’s Snipe (Gallinago delicata) were the most abundant taxa. We estimated that ~6.9 million individual shorebirds were breeding on the entire Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta in 2015 and 2016. Our surveys of this region provided robust population estimates (CVs ≤ 0.35) for 14 species. Our results indicate that the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta supports a large proportion of North America’s breeding populations of the Pacific Golden-Plover (Pluvialis fulva), the western population of a Whimbrel subspecies (Numenius phaeopus hudsonicus), a Bar-tailed Godwit subspecies (Limosa lapponica baueri), Black Turnstone (Arenaria melanocephala), a Dunlin subspecies (Calidris alpina pacifica), and Western Sandpiper. Our study highlights the importance to breeding shorebirds of this relatively pristine but climatically sensitive deltaic system. Estuaries and deltaic systems worldwide are rapidly being degraded by anthropogenic activities. Our population estimates can be used to refine prior North American population estimates, determine effects of global warming, and evaluate conservation success by measuring population change over time.
要确定全球变暖对北极和亚北极低洼沿海地区(众多类群在此繁殖)的影响,并评估整个分布区的种群恢复情况,就必须掌握北美岸鸟种群数量下降的基线信息。我们估算了白令海东部边缘阿拉斯加西部育空-库斯科克维姆三角洲的种群数量。2015 年和 2016 年期间,我们在 35,769 平方公里区域内随机选取的 589 个地块进行了地面调查。我们在 8 个地貌分层中采用了分层随机抽样方法,并利用对部分地块进行双重抽样得出的检测率对种群估计值进行了校正。我们发现了 21 个分类群中的 11,110 个繁殖个体。西部鹬(Calidris mauri)、红颈杓鹬(Phalaropus lobatus)、邓林鱼(亚种 C. alpina pacifica)和威尔逊矶鹬(Gallinago delicata)是数量最多的类群。我们估计,2015年和2016年约有690万只岸鸟个体在整个育空-库斯科金三角洲繁殖。我们对该地区的调查为 14 个物种提供了可靠的种群估计值(CV ≤ 0.35)。我们的研究结果表明,育空-库斯科克维姆三角洲支持着北美很大一部分太平洋金鸻(Pluvialis fulva)的繁殖种群、Whimbrel亚种(Numenius phaeopus hudsonicus)的西部种群、条尾鲣亚种(Limosa lapponica baueri)、黑转石(Arenaria melanocephala)、邓林亚种(Calidris alpina pacifica)和西部矶鹞的繁殖种群。我们的研究强调了这个相对原始但气候敏感的三角洲系统对繁殖岸鸟的重要性。全球的河口和三角洲系统正因人类活动而迅速退化。我们的种群估计值可用于完善之前的北美种群估计值,确定全球变暖的影响,并通过测量种群随时间的变化来评估保护的成功与否。
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引用次数: 0
Fine-scale forest structure, not management regime, drives occupancy of a declining songbird, the Olive-sided Flycatcher, in the core of its range 精细的森林结构,而非管理制度,驱动着一种正在减少的鸣禽--橄榄面飞鸟--在其核心分布区的栖息
Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.1093/ornithapp/duad065
Benjamin Hack, C. A. Cansler, M. Z. Peery, Connor M. Wood
Climate change, management legacies, pest outbreaks, and fire regimes are combining to pose a growing risk of broad-scale loss of forest cover throughout western North America. Already, habitat changes have been linked with declines in numerous bird species; understanding the relative importance of management regimes and habitat structure may be critical to conserving at-risk species. The Olive-sided Flycatcher (Contopus cooperi) is a declining songbird associated with tall, open forests in California’s Sierra Nevada, the core of its breeding range, where the management regimes of the National Park Service (NPS) and U.S. Forest Service (USFS) have led to divergent forest conditions over the past century. We combined a landscape-scale passive acoustic monitoring program, the BirdNET animal sound identification algorithm, and single-season occupancy models to explore the relationships between Olive-sided Flycatchers in the Sierra Nevada and both management regime and fine-scale forest structure. Olive-sided Flycatcher site occupancy increased as canopy cover decreased relative to mean tree diameter, which is consistent with their preference for mature, open forests. These “open forest” conditions were most prevalent on NPS-managed lands, which is consistent with the assumption that the NPS management regime is more faithful to the historical conditions that had supported a larger Olive-sided Flycatcher population than at present. Thus, the support we found for a positive association with USFS-managed lands after controlling for “open forest” suggests that other habitat features are also important. Our results suggest that conservation strategies for Olive-sided Flycatcher breeding habitat should prioritize the protection and generation of open canopies in areas with large trees, as well as the identification of other important habitat features. Prescribed fire, mechanical thinning, and a return of indigenous forest management practices could help to restore historical forest and fire conditions beneficial to this and other species with similar habitat requirements. Fine-scale alterations to forest structure can be implemented much more rapidly and at much broader scales than the imposition of strict protected status, suggesting that there may be multiple pathways to conservation when species respond to habitat at fine spatial scales.
气候变化、管理遗留问题、虫害爆发和火灾机制等因素结合在一起,使整个北美西部森林植被大面积丧失的风险越来越大。栖息地的变化已经与许多鸟类物种的减少联系在一起;了解管理制度和栖息地结构的相对重要性可能对保护濒危物种至关重要。橄榄面飞鸟(Contopus cooperi)是一种正在减少的鸣禽,与加利福尼亚内华达山脉的高大、开阔森林有关,这里是其繁殖地的核心,在过去的一个世纪里,美国国家公园管理局(NPS)和美国森林管理局(USFS)的管理制度导致了森林状况的差异。我们将景观尺度的被动声学监测项目、BirdNET动物声音识别算法和单季占用模型结合起来,探讨了内华达山脉橄榄面飞鹊与管理制度和精细尺度森林结构之间的关系。随着树冠覆盖率相对于平均树木直径的降低,橄榄面飞鹊的栖息地占有率也随之增加,这与它们对成熟、开阔森林的偏好是一致的。这些 "开阔森林 "条件在国家公园管理局管理的土地上最为普遍,这与国家公园管理局的管理制度更忠实于历史条件的假设是一致的。因此,在控制了 "疏林 "之后,我们发现与美国国家林业局管理的土地存在正相关,这表明其他栖息地特征也很重要。我们的研究结果表明,橄榄面飞鹊繁殖栖息地的保护策略应优先考虑保护和形成有大树地区的开阔树冠,并确定其他重要的栖息地特征。预设火种、机械疏伐以及恢复本土森林管理方法都有助于恢复历史上的森林和火灾状况,这对该物种和其他具有类似栖息地要求的物种都是有益的。与实施严格的保护措施相比,对森林结构进行细微改变的速度更快、范围更广,这表明当物种在细微空间尺度上对栖息地做出反应时,可能会有多种保护途径。
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引用次数: 0
Species-specific ecological traits, phylogeny, and geography underpin vulnerability to population declines for North American birds 物种特有的生态特征、系统发育和地理特征支撑着北美鸟类种群数量下降的脆弱性
Pub Date : 2023-09-05 DOI: 10.1093/ornithapp/duad046
Henry C Stevens, Adam C Smith, Evan R Buechley, Ç. Şekercioğlu, V. Shirey, Kenneth V. Rosenberg, F. L. La Sorte, Douglas Tallamy, Peter P. Marra
Species declines and extinctions characterize the Anthropocene. Determining species vulnerability to decline, and where and how to mitigate threats, are paramount for effective conservation. We hypothesized that species with shared ecological traits also share threats, and therefore may experience similar population trends. Here, we used a Bayesian modeling framework to test whether phylogeny, geography, and 22 ecological traits predict regional population trends for 380 North American bird species. Groups like blackbirds, warblers, and shorebirds, as well as species occupying Bird Conservation Regions at more extreme latitudes in North America, exhibited negative population trends; whereas groups such as ducks, raptors, and waders, as well as species occupying more inland Bird Conservation Regions, exhibited positive trends. Specifically, we found that in addition to phylogeny and breeding geography, multiple ecological traits contributed to explaining variation in regional population trends for North American birds. Furthermore, we found that regional trends and the relative effects of migration distance, phylogeny, and geography differ between shorebirds, songbirds, and waterbirds. Our work provides evidence that multiple ecological traits correlate with North American bird population trends, but that the individual effects of these ecological traits in predicting population trends often vary between different groups of birds. Moreover, our results reinforce the notion that variation in avian population trends is controlled by more than phylogeny and geography, where closely-related species within one region can show unique population trends due to differences in their ecological traits. We recommend that regional conservation plans, i.e. one-size-fits-all plans, be implemented only for bird groups with population trends under strong phylogenetic or geographic controls. We underscore the need to develop species-specific research and management strategies for other groups, like songbirds, that exhibit high variation in their population trends and are influenced by multiple ecological traits.
物种减少和灭绝是人类世的特征。确定物种对衰退的脆弱性,以及在何处以及如何减轻威胁,对于有效的保护至关重要。我们假设具有共同生态特征的物种也面临同样的威胁,因此可能会经历类似的种群趋势。本文采用贝叶斯模型框架,对380种北美鸟类的系统发育、地理和22个生态性状是否能预测区域种群趋势进行了研究。黑鸟、莺和滨鸟等种群,以及占据北美更极端纬度鸟类保护区的物种,呈现出负的数量趋势;而鸭子、猛禽和涉禽等种群,以及占据内陆鸟类保护区的物种,则呈现出积极的趋势。具体来说,我们发现除了系统发育和繁殖地理之外,多种生态性状也有助于解释北美鸟类区域种群趋势的变化。此外,我们还发现滨鸟、鸣禽和水鸟在迁徙距离、系统发育和地理方面的区域趋势和相对影响存在差异。我们的工作提供了证据,证明多种生态特征与北美鸟类种群趋势相关,但这些生态特征在预测种群趋势方面的个体效应在不同的鸟类群体之间往往有所不同。此外,我们的研究结果强化了鸟类种群趋势变化不仅仅是由系统发育和地理控制的概念,其中一个地区内近亲物种由于其生态性状的差异而表现出独特的种群趋势。我们建议只对种群趋势受系统发育或地理控制的鸟类实施区域保护计划,即“一刀切”的计划。我们强调有必要为其他类群,如鸣禽,制定特定物种的研究和管理策略,这些类群在种群趋势上表现出高度变化,并受到多种生态性状的影响。
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引用次数: 1
How Birds Live Together: Colonies and Communities in the Avian World 鸟类如何共同生活:鸟类世界的殖民地和群落
Pub Date : 2023-08-11 DOI: 10.1093/ornithapp/duad032
Shailee S. Shah
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引用次数: 0
Similar post-fledging behavior observed in wild and reintroduced juvenile Bonelli’s Eagle in two Mediterranean islands 在两个地中海岛屿上的野生和重新引入的幼年波内利鹰中观察到类似的羽化后行为
Pub Date : 2023-08-08 DOI: 10.1093/ornithapp/duad037
Olga Egea-Casas, P. López‐López, Ernesto Álvarez, G. Cortone, Manuel Gal&án, J. J. Iglesias-Lebrija, M. Lo Valvo, Juan Martinez, Stefania Merlino, Carlota Viada, M. Di Vittorio
Reintroduction projects are gaining popularity; however, their relatively elevated cost and chance of failure make them debatable, hence assessing their effectiveness is essential. Within the early stages of raptors, the post-fledging dependency period (PFDP) is the one in which individuals must face dangers without having completely developed their skills. Thereby, comparing PFDP patterns concerning reintroduced and wild individuals is of major interest as it would help to plan and improve future conservation actions. We analyzed the behavior of 38 juvenile Bonelli’s Eagles (Aquila fasciata) (15 reintroduced and 23 wild) tracked through GPS telemetry, tagged as nestlings in 2 insular environments. The study period encompassed 9-yr movement data from reintroduced chicks in Mallorca (Spain) and wild chicks from Sicily (Italy). Movement parameters (i.e., age of first flight, age of dispersal, length of the PFDP, revisits to the natal or release area, and residence time in them) were analyzed together with their behavior for reintroduced and wild individuals. Similar movement patterns were obtained for both origins, although wild individuals revisited the natal site more often and dispersed earlier. Behavior was also similar, though it varied throughout the PFDP, observing a more abrupt progress in wild individuals and an earlier development of travelling and hunting behaviors. Observed differences are probably related to food availability, which can improve body condition and thus delay onset of dispersal, together with parental presence, which can prompt an earlier ending of the PFDP by encouraging juvenile independence. In conclusion, our study provides valuable insights into the behavior of reintroduced Bonelli’s Eagles during their PFDP and how it compares to their wild counterparts. Our results suggest that reintroduced individuals can successfully adapt to their environment and behave similarly to wild individuals. These findings can aid in the planning and improvement of future reintroduction projects and conservation actions for this endangered species.
放归动物项目越来越受欢迎;然而,它们相对较高的成本和失败的可能性使它们值得商榷,因此评估它们的有效性是必不可少的。在迅猛龙的早期阶段,雏鸟后的依赖期(PFDP)是个体在没有完全发展技能的情况下必须面对危险的时期。因此,比较重新引入和野生个体的PFDP模式将有助于规划和改进未来的保护行动。我们分析了38只幼年波内利鹰(Aquila fasciata)(15只重新引入,23只野生)的行为,通过GPS遥测技术跟踪,标记为2个岛屿环境中的雏鸟。研究期间包括西班牙马略卡岛(Mallorca)重新引入雏鸡和意大利西西里岛(Sicily)野生雏鸡9年的运动数据。研究人员分析了重新引入和野生个体的运动参数(即首次飞行年龄、分散年龄、PFDP长度、返回出生区或放生区以及在其中停留的时间)以及它们的行为。尽管野生个体更频繁地回到出生地,并且更早地分散,但两个起源的迁徙模式相似。行为也很相似,尽管在整个PFDP中有所不同,观察到野生个体的进步更突然,旅行和狩猎行为的发展更早。观察到的差异可能与食物供应有关,食物供应可以改善身体状况,从而推迟分散的开始,再加上父母的存在,可以通过鼓励青少年独立来促进PFDP的早期结束。总之,我们的研究为重新引入的波内利鹰在PFDP期间的行为以及与野生对手的比较提供了有价值的见解。我们的研究结果表明,重新引入的个体可以成功地适应环境,并表现出与野生个体相似的行为。这些发现有助于规划和改进未来对这一濒危物种的重新引入项目和保护行动。
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引用次数: 0
Census counts of Common Murres adjusted for timing of breeding are more accurate than counts based on calendar dates 根据繁殖时间调整的普通Murres人口普查计数比基于日历日期的计数更准确
Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1093/ornithapp/duad036
T. Birkhead, R. Montgomerie
Climate change has resulted in a marked advancement in the breeding phenology of many bird species. Since the timing of many monitoring programmes is based on calendar dates, changes in the timing of birds’ breeding seasons may result in a mismatch with the census period. Using data from a long-term population study of Common Murres (Uria aalge; Common Guillemots in Europe) on Skomer Island, Wales, together with simulations, we show that the 2-week advance in the timing of breeding in Common Murres between 1973 and 2020 has serious implications for the timing of census counts. We show that because censuses have traditionally been conducted during the same fixed calendar period each year, the size of the breeding population has been underestimated. We recommend that censuses of breeding seabirds be made relative to the median egg-laying date rather than on specific calendar dates. Since climate change has resulted in a widespread advance in the timing of birds’ breeding seasons in the northern hemisphere, our results may be relevant to Common Murres at other colonies, and to other bird species worldwide.
气候变化使许多鸟类的繁殖物候发生了显著变化。由于许多监测计划的时间是基于日历日期,鸟类繁殖季节时间的变化可能导致与人口普查期间不匹配。利用一项对普通鼠的长期人口研究的数据(尿鼠;在威尔士斯科默岛(Skomer Island)的普通海鸠(Common Guillemots),结合模拟,我们表明,在1973年至2020年之间,普通海鸠的繁殖时间提前了2周,这对人口普查计数的时间有严重的影响。我们表明,由于人口普查传统上是在每年相同的固定日历期间进行的,因此繁殖种群的规模被低估了。我们建议对繁殖海鸟进行相对于产蛋日期中位数而不是特定日历日期的普查。由于气候变化导致北半球鸟类繁殖季节的时间广泛提前,我们的结果可能与其他殖民地的普通Murres以及世界上其他鸟类物种相关。
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引用次数: 0
Structural complexity is a better predictor than single habitat attributes of understory bird densities in Andean temperate forests 结构复杂性比单一生境属性更能预测安第斯温带林下鸟类密度
Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1093/ornithapp/duad035
Victoria C Concha, Julián Caviedes, F. Novoa, Tomás A. Altamirano, J. Ibarra
The simplification of forest structural complexity, caused by anthropogenic land-use practices, is one of the main threats to understory specialist birds. We examined the association of both single structural attributes and structural complexity, with the density of 4 understory bird species in the Global Biodiversity Hotspot “Chilean Winter Rainfall-Valdivian Forests” of South America. Between 2011 and 2013, we surveyed habitat attributes and conducted bird point counts in 505 plots in Andean temperate ecosystems in Chile. In each habitat plot, we measured understory density, volume of coarse woody debris (CWD), number of snags, diameter at breast height (DBH) of trees, and leaf litter depth. With these attributes, we developed an index of stand structural complexity (ISC). On average, old-growth forests had higher values ​​for understory density, CWD volume, DBH, and litter depth than secondary forests and open fields, and thus greater values of ISC. The density of understory birds was positively correlated with the ISC for the Rhinocryptidae Pteroptochos tarnii, Scelorchilus rubecula, and Scytalopus magellanicus. We also found a positive association between understory density and litter depth, with the density of the Furnariidae Sylviorthorhynchus desmursii. However, this latter species showed a negative association with the density of snags. Our results suggest the utility of using an index of structural complexity, rather than single or even additive habitat attributes, for determining the density of understory specialist birds. We recommend that management plans should promote the retention of habitat attributes that contribute to the structural complexity of temperate forests of South America and beyond.
人为土地利用行为导致的森林结构复杂性的简化是林下特有鸟类面临的主要威胁之一。研究了全球生物多样性热点“智利冬季降雨-瓦尔迪维亚森林”中4种林下鸟类的单一结构属性和结构复杂性与密度的关系。2011 - 2013年,对智利安第斯温带生态系统的505个样地进行了生境属性调查和鸟类点计数。在每个生境样地,我们测量了林下密度、粗木屑体积(CWD)、障碍数、树木胸径(DBH)和凋落叶深度。利用这些属性,我们建立了林分结构复杂性指数(ISC)。平均而言,原生林的林下密度、CWD体积、胸径和凋落物深度高于次生林和开阔地,因此ISC值也高于原生林和开阔地。林下鸟类密度与灰鼻甲科、红尾甲和麦哲伦甲的ISC呈显著正相关。林下密度与凋落物深度之间存在显著的正相关关系。然而,后一种物种与障碍的密度呈负相关。我们的研究结果表明,使用结构复杂性指数,而不是单一的甚至是附加的栖息地属性,来确定林下专业鸟类的密度。我们建议管理计划应促进生境属性的保留,这些属性有助于南美洲和其他地区温带森林结构的复杂性。
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引用次数: 0
Survival of juvenile Florida Scrub-Jays is positively correlated with month and negatively correlated with male breeder death 佛罗里达灌丛鸦幼鸟成活率与月份呈正相关,与雄性繁殖者死亡负相关
Pub Date : 2023-07-25 DOI: 10.1093/ornithapp/duad033
G. Carter, E. Stolen, D. Breininger, S. A. Legare, D. K. Hunt, Chris D Schumann, W. V. Payne
Juvenile survival in birds is difficult to estimate but this vital rate can be an important consideration for management decisions. We estimated juvenile survival of cooperatively breeding Florida Scrub-Jays (Aphelocoma coerulescens) in a landscape degraded by fire suppression and fragmentation using data from marked (n = 325) and unmarked juveniles (n = 1,306) with an integrated hierarchical Bayesian model. To assess the combined analyses, we also analyzed these datasets separately, with a Cormack-Jolly-Seber (CJS) model (marked) and young model (unmarked). Our data consisted of monthly censuses of territorial family groups from Florida Scrub-Jay populations in East Central Florida collected over a 22-yr period. Juvenile survival was estimated from July when young Florida Scrub-Jays begin developing independence to March when they become first year individuals and grouped according to the habitat quality class of their natal territory that were based on shrub height (with intermediate shrub heights being optimal and short and tall shrub heights being suboptimal) and the presence of sandy openings (the preferred open having many sandy openings; closed not having enough). Parameter estimates in the combined analysis were intermediate to the separate analyses. Notable differences among the separate analyses were that suboptimal habitat survival was lower in the unmarked analysis, the unmarked analysis showed a linear effect of time not seen in the marked analysis, and there was an effect of male breeder death in the marked but not unmarked analysis. The combined data analysis provided more inference than did either data set analyzed separately including juveniles in optimal-closed territories unexpectedly had higher survival than those in optimal-open, survival increased through time, and male breeder death had a negative effect on survival. This study suggests that optimal-closed habitat may play an important role in juvenile Florida Scrub-Jay survival perhaps by providing better cover from predators and warrants further investigation for management implications.
鸟类的幼鸟存活率很难估计,但这一至关重要的比率可以成为管理决策的重要考虑因素。利用标记幼鸟(n = 325)和未标记幼鸟(n = 1,306)的数据,采用综合层次贝叶斯模型估计了在火灾和破碎化退化的景观中合作繁殖的佛罗里达灌木鸦(Aphelocoma coerulescens)幼鸟的存活率。为了评估联合分析,我们还使用Cormack-Jolly-Seber (CJS)模型(标记)和young模型(未标记)分别分析了这些数据集。我们的数据包括在佛罗里达州中东部的佛罗里达灌木-杰伊种群中收集的22年的领土家庭群体的月度人口普查。从7月佛罗里达灌丛鸦幼鸟开始独立发育到3月它们成为第一年个体,并根据其出生领地的栖息地质量等级进行分组,这些分类基于灌木高度(中等灌木高度为最佳,矮灌木高度和高灌木高度为次优)和沙洞的存在(首选的开口有许多沙洞;关闭不够)。联合分析中的参数估计值是独立分析的中间值。单独分析的显著差异是,未标记分析的次优栖息地存活率较低,未标记分析显示时间的线性效应,而标记分析中没有出现这种效应,并且在标记但未标记的分析中存在雄性繁殖者死亡的影响。综合数据分析比单独分析的数据集提供了更多的推论,包括最优封闭区域的幼鱼比最优开放区域的幼鱼存活率更高,存活率随着时间的推移而增加,雄性繁殖者死亡对存活率有负面影响。该研究表明,最佳封闭栖息地可能通过提供更好的捕食者掩护,在佛罗里达灌木杰伊幼鸟的生存中发挥重要作用,值得进一步研究管理意义。
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Ornithological Applications
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