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Distributing tobacco in the dark: assessing the regional structure and shipping patterns of illicit tobacco in cryptomarkets 在黑暗中分销烟草:评估加密市场非法烟草的区域结构和运输模式
IF 2.2 Q2 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2020-07-31 DOI: 10.1080/17440572.2020.1799787
Rasmus Munksgaard, D. Décary‐Hétu, Aili Malm, A. Nouvian
ABSTRACT The size of the global market for illicit tobacco products is estimated to be between USD$8.6 and USD$11.6 billion yearly. In addition to an estimated cost of USD$40.5 billion in lost tax revenue the illicit tobacco market further increases the accessibility of a harmful substance for minors and provides a revenue stream for both organised crime and violent political groups. In this paper, we examine how tobacco products are distributed globally through illicit online platform economies known as cryptomarkets. Using data from the cryptomarket Empire, we find tobacco products remain a small niche market exclusively shipping from the EU and that shipping patterns suggest the emergence of new supply routes for end-consumers within Western Europe originating from the UK. We find that the market for tobacco on cryptomarkets remains minimal, as in previous research, compared to the market for drugs.
摘要据估计,全球非法烟草产品市场的规模每年在86亿至116亿美元之间。除了估计损失405亿美元的税收外,非法烟草市场还进一步增加了未成年人获得有害物质的机会,并为有组织犯罪和暴力政治团体提供了收入来源。在这篇论文中,我们研究了烟草产品是如何通过被称为加密市场的非法在线平台经济在全球分销的。使用来自加密市场帝国的数据,我们发现烟草产品仍然是一个专门从欧盟发货的小利基市场,而且运输模式表明,西欧最终消费者出现了源自英国的新供应路线。我们发现,与之前的研究相比,加密市场上的烟草市场仍然很小。
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引用次数: 6
The Vory: Russia’s Super Mafia Vory:俄罗斯的超级黑手党
IF 2.2 Q2 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2020-05-21 DOI: 10.1080/17440572.2020.1767366
A. Anisin
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引用次数: 0
An impressive view on profit driven cybercrime: a review of J. Lusthaus’ industry of anonymity 对利润驱动的网络犯罪的深刻见解:J. Lusthaus的匿名产业评论
IF 2.2 Q2 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2020-03-20 DOI: 10.1080/17440572.2020.1743935
M. Weulen Kranenbarg
With Industry of Anonymity, Jonathan Lusthaus has written a thorough scientific book which reads like a novel and keeps you interested till the end. The empirical work on which this book is based i...
Jonathan Lusthaus写了一本彻底的科学书籍,读起来像一本小说,让你一直感兴趣直到最后。本书所依据的实证研究是……
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引用次数: 0
(Con)trolling the Web: Social Media User Arrests, State-Supported Vigilantism and Citizen Counter-Forces in Russia 网络攻击:社交媒体用户被捕、国家支持的警戒和俄罗斯公民反政府武装
IF 2.2 Q2 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2020-02-19 DOI: 10.1080/17440572.2020.1719836
Rashid Gabdulhakov
ABSTRACT This article applies Haggerty and Ericson’s surveillant assemblage concept to the recent wave of social media user arrests in Russia. In doing so, it addresses the legislative frameworks applied to online self-expression, depicts the nuances of legal charges pressed against select social media users, assesses the role of formal law enforcement and vigilant citizens recruited to extend the state’s watchful gaze, and elaborates on citizen counter-forces resisting the tightening state control over the digital domain. The article argues that Russia’s internet users appear to be trolled by the ruling elite through the use of obscure legal frameworks and the stampede of actors and practices where select individuals face legal charges for their activities on social media, while other users face no consequences for the same engagements. Such unpredictability stimulates self-censorship, making the system effective by virtue of its dysfunctionality. Methodologically, the study relies on desk research and field interviews.
本文将哈格蒂和埃里克森的监视集合概念应用于俄罗斯最近的社交媒体用户逮捕浪潮。在此过程中,它阐述了适用于在线自我表达的立法框架,描述了针对特定社交媒体用户的法律指控的细微差别,评估了正式执法部门和为扩大国家监视而招募的警惕公民的作用,并详细阐述了抵制国家对数字领域加强控制的公民反力量。这篇文章认为,俄罗斯的互联网用户似乎受到了统治精英的控制,他们使用了模糊的法律框架,以及行为者和做法的踩踏,其中一些人因在社交媒体上的活动而面临法律指控,而其他用户则不会因为同样的活动而面临任何后果。这种不可预测性刺激了自我审查,使该系统凭借其功能失调而有效。在方法上,这项研究依赖于案头调查和实地访谈。
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引用次数: 13
A methodology for estimating the illicit consumption of cigarettes at the country level 国家一级估计香烟非法消费量的方法
IF 2.2 Q2 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2020-02-17 DOI: 10.1080/17440572.2020.1724786
Alberto Aziani, Marco Dugato, Cecilia Meneghini
ABSTRACT This paper introduces and discusses a methodology for estimating the scale of illicit consumption of cigarettes at a national level. After reviewing current data gathering approaches and estimates, the paper delineates a methodology to estimate the consumption of each type of illicit cigarette (i.e., counterfeits, illicit whites, smuggled/trafficked genuine cigarettes). The proposed methodology is tested through estimating the size and characteristics of the illicit cigarette market in 27 Member States of the European Union in 2016. The results, which underline the heterogeneity in the quality and in the quantity of the illicit consumption of cigarettes in Europe, are presented along with considerations about the strengths and limitations of the proposed methodology in relation to extant approaches.
本文介绍并讨论了一种在国家层面上估计香烟非法消费规模的方法。在审查了目前的数据收集方法和估计数后,本文提出了一种估计每种类型非法香烟(即假冒品、非法白烟、走私/贩运的真烟)消费量的方法。通过估计2016年欧盟27个成员国非法香烟市场的规模和特征,对拟议的方法进行了测试。这些结果强调了欧洲非法香烟消费的质量和数量的异质性,同时也考虑到了拟议方法相对于现有方法的优势和局限性。
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引用次数: 4
Features of transnational illicit waste trafficking and crime prevention strategies to tackle it 跨国非法废物贩运的特点及应对这一问题的预防犯罪战略
IF 2.2 Q2 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2020-02-11 DOI: 10.1080/17440572.2020.1719837
Daniela Andreatta, Serena Favarin
ABSTRACT Despite the growing interest in illicit waste trafficking (IWT), studies that empirically address the issue are still few. Mostly, they fail to present in-depth analysis of the different stages of IWT and to suggest crime prevention strategies. This study conducts a crime script analysis of five cross-border judicial cases from Italy to other countries. This method makes it possible to shed light on the characteristics of the different stages of transnational IWT in terms of actors, modi operandi, and crime opportunities. From the results of the script analysis, the study proposes possible solutions for IWT through the application of the situational crime prevention framework. The results show the existence of opportunities at all stages of the waste cycle, modi operandi that are common among different cases, and several actors who intervene and create an illegal network. Situational crime prevention measures can provide useful suggestions for reducing the most frequent opportunities.
摘要尽管人们对非法废物贩运越来越感兴趣,但从经验上解决这一问题的研究仍然很少。大多数情况下,他们没有对IWT的不同阶段进行深入分析,也没有提出预防犯罪的战略建议。本研究对从意大利到其他国家的五起跨境司法案件进行了犯罪脚本分析。这种方法可以揭示跨国IWT不同阶段在行为者、作案方式和犯罪机会方面的特征。根据脚本分析的结果,本研究通过情境犯罪预防框架的应用,提出了IWT的可能解决方案。结果表明,在废物循环的各个阶段都存在机会,不同案件中常见的作案手法,以及干预和创建非法网络的几个行为者。预防犯罪的情景措施可以为减少最频繁的机会提供有用的建议。
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引用次数: 8
Homicide as a function of city block layout: Mexico City as case study 凶杀与城市街区布局的关系:以墨西哥城为例
IF 2.2 Q2 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2020-01-27 DOI: 10.1080/17440572.2020.1715219
Carlos Vilalta, Robert Muggah, Gustavo Fondevila
ABSTRACT Focused on Mexico City, this article offers a seminal examination of the relationship between block layout and intentional homicide. The authors applied multilevel random-intercept negative binomial models to assess the contribution of block layout characteristics to homicide counts while controlling for other factors related to the physical environment and socioeconomic disadvantage. The assessment finds that container-type city blocks registered the highest likelihood of homicide incidence. It also shows that blocks with metro stations also had a statistically higher likelihood of homicide incidence. By contrast, building-type blocks exhibited the lowest likelihood of recording a homicide. Ultimately, the physical environment model provided a better fit to the data than the socioeconomic disadvantage model. The main conclusion is that homicide incidence in Mexico City may be more a function of block layout than socioeconomic composition. One implication is that urban planning may have more potent crime prevention effects than widely believed.
本文以墨西哥城为研究对象,对街区布局与故意杀人之间的关系进行了开创性的研究。作者采用多水平随机截距负二项模型来评估街区布局特征对凶杀数量的贡献,同时控制与自然环境和社会经济劣势相关的其他因素。评估发现,集装箱型城市街区的凶杀发生率最高。该研究还显示,有地铁站的街区在统计上也有更高的凶杀发生率。相比之下,建筑类型的街区记录凶杀的可能性最低。最终,物理环境模型比社会经济劣势模型更符合数据。主要结论是,墨西哥城的凶杀发生率可能更多地是街区布局的函数,而不是社会经济构成的函数。其中一个暗示是,城市规划可能比人们普遍认为的更有效地预防犯罪。
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引用次数: 6
Digital vigilantism and anti-paedophile activism in Russia. Between civic involvement in law enforcement, moral policing and business venture 俄罗斯的数字私刑和反恋童癖活动。在公民参与执法、道德监管和商业风险之间
IF 2.2 Q2 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2020-01-14 DOI: 10.1080/17440572.2019.1676738
Gilles Favarel-garrigues
ABSTRACT The rise of a reactionary political agenda in favour of traditional values led to the launching of an anti-paedophile campaign in Russia in the early 2010s. Taken on by ‘moral entrepreneurs’ well known by the general public for their familialist ideology and homophobic speeches, the issue of paedophilia was used to justify the adoption of legislative measures reinforcing a clampdown on child abuse and punishing those who disseminate propaganda about ‘non-traditional’ sexual relations to minors. This political agenda fuelled the emergence in Russian cities of self-proclaimed and competing ‘rule enforcers’, who began acting like vigilantes, setting traps for presumed paedophiles, purportedly in order to defend children. Contributing to a man-hunt atmosphere, these volunteers mix features of classical and digital vigilantism. However, they use digital tools not only to gather evidence or to publicise the identity of an alleged offender, but also to make a profit.
摘要支持传统价值观的反动政治议程的兴起,导致俄罗斯在2010年代初发起了一场反恋童癖运动。恋童癖问题被公众以其熟悉的意识形态和恐同言论而熟知的“道德企业家”所接受,被用来证明采取立法措施的正当性,以加强对虐待儿童的打击,并惩罚那些向未成年人传播“非传统”性关系宣传的人。这一政治议程推动了俄罗斯城市中出现了自称和相互竞争的“规则执行者”,他们开始像治安维持者一样,为假定的恋童癖者设置陷阱,据称是为了保护儿童。这些志愿者融合了古典私刑和数字私刑的特点,营造了一种寻人的氛围。然而,他们使用数字工具不仅是为了收集证据或公布被指控罪犯的身份,也是为了盈利。
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引用次数: 14
Poisonous connections: a case study on a Czech counterfeit alcohol distribution network 有毒的联系:捷克假酒分销网络的案例研究
IF 2.2 Q2 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2020-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/17440572.2019.1645653
T. Diviák, J. Dijkstra, T. Snijders
ABSTRACT Using data on 32 actors and ties among them drawn from available court files, we combine analytical sociology with statistical models for networks in order to analyse a case of a counterfeit alcohol distribution network from the Czech Republic. We formulate a theory of action and identify relational mechanisms which could explain how the structure of the network emerged and describe. We use the exponential random graph model to test these mechanisms. The analysis reveals that the two actors capable of manufacturing the poisonous mixture were considerably though not optimally proximate to others enabling fast distribution of the mixture. Our model results that the structure was formed by mechanisms of triadic closure, negative tendency to concentrate ties, and tie translation of pre-existing ties into operational ties. We conclude with the discussion of the implications our approach for the study of criminal networks.
利用从现有法庭文件中提取的32名参与者及其关系的数据,我们将分析社会学与网络统计模型相结合,以分析捷克共和国假冒酒精分销网络的案例。我们制定了一种行动理论,并确定了可以解释网络结构如何出现和描述的关系机制。我们使用指数随机图模型来检验这些机制。分析表明,能够制造有毒混合物的两个行动者虽然不是最理想的,但相当接近于其他能够快速分发混合物的行动者。我们的模型结果表明,该结构是由三重关闭机制、集中关系的负面倾向以及将已有关系转化为操作关系形成的。我们最后讨论了我们的方法对犯罪网络研究的影响。
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引用次数: 19
Innovations in research on illicit networks 非法网络研究的创新
IF 2.2 Q2 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2020-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/17440572.2020.1716520
David Bright, Russell Brewer
Research using social network analysis to study illicit networks has blossomed since publication of a seminal article by Sparrow. Nonetheless, it took about ten years before Sparrow’s call to arms gained traction, with some scepticism from the wider social science academy about the utility of social network analysis as a viable tool. Since those early days, we have witnessed a burgeoning interest in the field of illicit networks, and in particular, the use of social network analysis as an effective tool for criminologists and crime analysts. This interest has spawned a robust body of research that has pushed the field forward, through various technical reports, academic journal articles, books and conferences. The Illicit Networks Workshop (INW), in particular, has become a tentpole event where illicit network researchers and analysts converge to share their latest research in an effort to advance the field. In 2020, the workshop will be in its thirteenth year, and boasts an international membership, having been hosted by institutions in Australia, Canada, Ireland, the United Kingdom and the United States. This special issue brings together a sampling of the presentations from the 10th INW hosted in Adelaide, Australia in 2017and represents some of the latest developments in the field. The special issue presents four articles that utilise innovative methods to explore a variety of different illicit networks, including organised criminal groups, gangs, and the trafficking in counterfeit alcohol. The first article by Nakamura, Tita and Krackhardt explores the role of local structural conditions that can facilitate or hinder violence between enemies, by focusing on gun violence among street gangs. They find that balanced structures tend to involve less violence but that a gang will initiate violence in attempts to reinforce a dominant position. The paper demonstrates that a network perspective can reveal important characteristics of the dynamics of inter-gang violence. Next, Hughes, Chalmers and Bright explore interrelationships between drug trafficking and other forms of organised criminal activity. They demonstrate that almost one quarter of drug trafficking cases involved concurrent serious or organised crime charges such as firearms offences and corruption. The paper represents an innovative use of social network analysis to explore interconnections across a range of criminal activities undertaken by organised criminal groups. Diviak, Dijkstra and Snijders then present an analysis of a counterfeit alcohol distribution network using exponential random graph models (ERGMs). They found that the network structure was characterised by triadic closure, a negative tendency to concentrate ties, and the translation of pre-existing ties into operational ties. The results demonstrate the utility of social network analysis to not only describe the structure of organised criminal groups, but to reveal important characteristics of the social dynamics through
自从Sparrow发表了一篇开创性的文章以来,利用社交网络分析来研究非法网络的研究蓬勃发展。尽管如此,大约十年后,斯派罗的号召才获得支持,更广泛的社会科学院对社交网络分析作为一种可行工具的效用表示怀疑。自早期以来,我们看到人们对非法网络领域的兴趣日益高涨,特别是将社会网络分析作为犯罪学家和犯罪分析人员的有效工具。这种兴趣催生了一系列强有力的研究,通过各种技术报告、学术期刊文章、书籍和会议推动了该领域的发展。特别是非法网络研讨会已经成为一个帐篷活动,非法网络研究人员和分析人员聚集在这里,分享他们的最新研究,以推动该领域的发展。2020年,该研讨会将进入第十三个年头,拥有国际会员资格,由澳大利亚、加拿大、爱尔兰、英国和美国的机构主办。本特刊汇集了2017年在澳大利亚阿德莱德举办的第十届INW的演讲样本,代表了该领域的一些最新发展。特刊提供了四篇文章,利用创新的方法探索各种不同的非法网络,包括有组织犯罪集团、帮派和假酒贩运。Nakamura、Tita和Krackhardt的第一篇文章通过关注街头帮派中的枪支暴力,探讨了当地结构条件在促进或阻碍敌人之间暴力方面的作用。他们发现,平衡的结构往往涉及较少的暴力,但帮派会发起暴力,试图巩固主导地位。本文表明,网络视角可以揭示帮派间暴力动态的重要特征。接下来,Hughes、Chalmers和Bright探讨了贩毒和其他形式的有组织犯罪活动之间的相互关系。他们表明,近四分之一的贩毒案件同时涉及严重或有组织犯罪指控,如枪支犯罪和腐败。该论文创新性地利用社会网络分析来探索有组织犯罪集团进行的一系列犯罪活动之间的相互联系。Diviak、Dijkstra和Snijders随后使用指数随机图模型(ERGM)对假酒分销网络进行了分析。他们发现,网络结构的特点是三元封闭,关系集中的负面趋势,以及将预先存在的关系转化为运营关系。研究结果表明,社会网络分析不仅可以描述有组织犯罪集团的结构,还可以揭示这些集团形成和发展的社会动态的重要特征。《2020年全球犯罪》,第21卷,第1期,第1-2页https://doi.org/10.1080/17440572.2020.1716520
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Global Crime
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