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2020 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS)最新文献

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Swift Disaster Recovery for Resilient Power Grids: Integration of DERs with Mobile Power Sources 弹性电网的快速灾难恢复:DERs与移动电源的集成
Pub Date : 2020-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/PMAPS47429.2020.9183451
Mostafa Nazemi, P. Dehghanian, Zijiang Yang
Despite remarkable growth in penetration of renewable energy resources in power grids, most recovery and restoration strategies cannot fully harness the potentials in such resources due to their inherent uncertainty and stochasticity. We propose a resilient disaster recovery scheme to fully unlock the flexibility of the distribution system (DS) through reconfiguration practices and efficient utilization of mobile power sources (MPS) across the system. A novel optimization framework is proposed to model the MPSs dispatch while considering a set of scenarios to capture the uncertainties in distributed energy resources in the system. The optimization model is then convexified equivalently and linearized into a mixed-integer linear programming formulation to reduce the computational complexity and achieve a global optimality. The numerical results verify a notable recovery speed and an improved power system resilience and survivability to severe extremes with devastating consequences.
尽管可再生能源在电网中的渗透率显著增长,但由于其固有的不确定性和随机性,大多数恢复和恢复战略不能充分利用这些资源的潜力。我们提出了一种弹性灾难恢复方案,通过重新配置实践和有效利用整个系统的移动电源(MPS)来充分释放配电系统(DS)的灵活性。提出了一种新的优化框架来建模mps调度,同时考虑了一组场景来捕捉系统中分布式能源的不确定性。然后将优化模型等效凸化并线性化为混合整数线性规划公式,以降低计算复杂度并实现全局最优性。数值结果表明,该方法能显著提高电力系统的恢复速度,提高电力系统对具有破坏性后果的极端情况的恢复能力和生存能力。
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引用次数: 2
Risk Assessment for the Amount of Transmission System Usage Penalties via Probabilistic Load Flow 基于概率负荷流的输电系统使用惩罚量风险评估
Pub Date : 2020-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/PMAPS47429.2020.9183692
André Milhorance, A. M. Leite da Silva, Érica Telles, A. Street
This paper proposes a probabilistic load flow (PLF) based approach, via Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) and cross-entropy (CE) method, for evaluating possible risks associated with contracting the amount of transmission system usage (ATSU). Distribution companies (DISCOs) and the Brazilian ISO establish these contracts on yearly bases. The application of PLF via MCS-CE provides a risk assessment analysis tool to adequately manage possible penalties due to over/under ATSU contracting when several uncertainties are taken into account. The proposed tool is applied to Brazilian DISCOs considering uncertainties on demand, generation, and electric network topology, i.e., contingencies on transmission elements.
本文提出了一种基于概率负荷流(PLF)的方法,通过蒙特卡罗模拟(MCS)和交叉熵(CE)方法来评估与缩减输电系统使用量(ATSU)相关的可能风险。分销公司(DISCOs)和巴西ISO每年签订这些合同。通过MCS-CE应用PLF提供了一种风险评估分析工具,当考虑到几个不确定因素时,可以充分管理由于ATSU合同过多或不足而可能造成的处罚。所提出的工具应用于考虑需求、发电和电网拓扑不确定性的巴西DISCOs,即传输元件的偶然性。
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引用次数: 2
Distributed Model-free Control in Low Voltage Distribution Networks: A Mean Field Approach 低压配电网的分布式无模型控制:一种平均场方法
Pub Date : 2020-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/PMAPS47429.2020.9183398
Boyuan Wei, G. Deconinck
In order to tackle to the rising difficulties on modeling and information acquisition in modern low voltage distribution networks (LVDN), a model-free distributed approach to seek the approximate optimal control trajectory of users is proposed. The proposed approach employs Mean Field Theory to simplify information acquisition, which reduces communication burden. Besides, Hamilton-Jacob-Bellman (HJB) equation is introduced, to make users figure out their control trajectory individually by solving a personalized partial differential equation. Different from classical HJB applications, the system dimension is reduced by a broadcast signal, which relieves the computation burden. The case study is done with a 103 nodes realistic LVDN, with a benchmark done by centralized optimization algorithm under ideal conditions, which proves the effectiveness of the proposed approach.
为了解决现代低压配电网建模和信息获取日益困难的问题,提出了一种求用户控制轨迹近似最优的无模型分布式方法。该方法利用平均场理论简化了信息获取,减少了通信负担。此外,引入Hamilton-Jacob-Bellman (HJB)方程,通过求解个性化偏微分方程,让用户单独确定自己的控制轨迹。与传统HJB应用不同的是,该系统通过广播信号来减小系统维数,从而减轻了计算负担。以103节点的LVDN为例进行了实例研究,并在理想条件下采用集中式优化算法进行了基准测试,验证了所提方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 3
Variability Reduction of Wind Power using Aggregation and Energy Storage 利用聚合和储能减少风能的可变性
Pub Date : 2020-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/PMAPS47429.2020.9183515
Atri Bera, N. Nguyen, Saad Alzahrani, Khalil Sinjari, J. Mitra
Integration of wind energy into the grid poses serious challenges to the system reliability due to its intermittent nature. Variability of wind can be mitigated using various methods including deployment of energy storage systems (ESS), aggregation of geographically diverse wind, and the use of flexible loads. This paper proposes a novel method for reducing the variability of wind power by both deploying ESS and aggregating geographically diverse wind production. Although the aggregation of geographically diverse wind can reduce its intermittency to some extent, the benefits of this approach are limited due to a number of factors which are discussed in this paper. ESS, on the other hand, have been widely used for variability mitigation of wind and achieving reliability targets. However, ESS projects are expensive. In this context, this paper studies the impact of reliability enhancement of a system and the reduction in storage size by aggregating wind power from geographically diverse wind farms. The proposed approach is validated by performing sequential Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) using the IEEE Reliability Test System data. Results show that aggregation of geographically diverse wind can significantly reduce the size of ESS required for improving the reliability of the system.
风能并网由于其间歇性的特点,对系统可靠性提出了严峻的挑战。风能的可变性可以通过各种方法来缓解,包括部署储能系统(ESS),聚集不同地理位置的风能,以及使用灵活的负载。本文提出了一种通过部署ESS和聚合地理上不同的风力生产来减少风力发电可变性的新方法。尽管地理上不同的风的聚集可以在一定程度上减少其间歇性,但由于本文讨论的一些因素,这种方法的好处是有限的。另一方面,ESS已被广泛用于缓解风的变异性和实现可靠性目标。然而,ESS项目是昂贵的。在此背景下,本文研究了通过聚合来自不同地理位置的风电场的风力发电来提高系统可靠性和减少存储容量的影响。利用IEEE可靠性测试系统数据进行时序蒙特卡罗仿真(MCS),验证了该方法的有效性。结果表明,不同地理位置的风的聚集可以显著减少提高系统可靠性所需的ESS尺寸。
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引用次数: 1
Representing Long-term Impact of Residential Building Energy Management using Stochastic Dynamic Programming 用随机动态规划表示住宅建筑能源管理的长期影响
Pub Date : 2020-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/PMAPS47429.2020.9183623
K. Thorvaldsen, Sigurd Bjarghov, H. Farahmand
Scheduling a residential building short-term to optimize the electricity bill can be difficult with the inclusion of capacity-based grid tariffs. Scheduling the building based on a proposed measured-peak (MP) grid tariff, which is a cost based on the highest peak power over a period, requires the user to consider the impact the current decision-making has in the future. Therefore, the authors propose a mathematical model using stochastic dynamic programming (SDP) that tries to represent the long-term impact of current decision-making. The SDP algorithm calculates non-linear expected future cost curves (EFCC) for the building based on the peak power backwards for each day over a month. The uncertainty in load demand and weather are considered using a discrete Markov chain setup. The model is applied to a case study for a Norwegian building with smart control of flexible loads, and compared against methods where the MP grid tariff is not accurately represented, and where the user has perfect information of the whole month. The results showed that the SDP algorithm performs 0.3 % better than a scenario with no accurate way of presenting future impacts, and performs 3.6 % worse compared to a scenario where the user had perfect information.
由于包含基于容量的电网电价,短期规划住宅建筑以优化电费可能很困难。根据拟议的测峰电价(MP)来调度建筑物,这是一种基于一段时间内最高峰值功率的成本,要求用户考虑当前决策对未来的影响。因此,作者提出了一个使用随机动态规划(SDP)的数学模型,试图表示当前决策的长期影响。SDP算法基于一个月内每天的峰值功率反向计算建筑物的非线性预期未来成本曲线(EFCC)。采用离散马尔可夫链的方法考虑了负荷需求和天气的不确定性。该模型被应用于一个挪威建筑的案例研究中,该建筑具有灵活负载的智能控制,并与不准确表示MP电网电价的方法进行了比较,其中用户拥有完整的整个月信息。结果表明,SDP算法的性能比没有准确呈现未来影响的场景好0.3%,与用户拥有完美信息的场景相比,性能差3.6%。
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引用次数: 3
Power System Resiliency During Wildfires Under Increasing Penetration of Electric Vehicles 在电动汽车日益普及的情况下,火灾时电力系统的弹性
Pub Date : 2020-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/PMAPS47429.2020.9183683
Daniel L. Donaldson, Manuel S. Alvarez‐Alvarado, D. Jayaweera
Rising electric vehicle (EV) adoption is introducing new challenges to the operation and planning of the electric grid. Currently power system planners perform analysis to ensure adequate levels of reliability following contingencies such as loss of a substation. However, existing planning standards do not explicitly mandate studies of the redistribution of EV charging demand that would take place in the case of extreme events. Planning to serve the charging demand from EVs during extreme events is paramount to ensure the resiliency of the grid. This paper presents a novel framework for power system planners to reflect the impact of EV evacuations on grid resiliency during wildfire events. The method consists of resiliency analysis coupled with probabilistic models of load redistribution taking into account potential evacuation routes. A case study using the 2019 update to the IEEE 24 bus Reliability Test System (RTS) is performed to demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed strategy. The framework results in a more specific resiliency trapezoid that reflects a more realistic resiliency behaviour of the system.
电动汽车(EV)的普及给电网的运营和规划带来了新的挑战。目前,电力系统规划者进行分析,以确保在突发事件(如变电站的损失)发生后的足够水平的可靠性。然而,现有的规划标准并没有明确要求对极端事件下电动汽车充电需求的重新分配进行研究。规划在极端事件期间满足电动汽车的充电需求对于确保电网的弹性至关重要。本文为电力系统规划者提供了一个新的框架,以反映在野火事件中电动汽车疏散对电网弹性的影响。该方法包括弹性分析和考虑潜在疏散路线的负荷再分配概率模型。使用2019年更新的IEEE 24总线可靠性测试系统(RTS)进行了案例研究,以证明所提出策略的有效性。该框架产生了一个更具体的弹性梯形,反映了系统更现实的弹性行为。
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引用次数: 10
A Sensitivity-based Approach for Optimal Siting of Distributed Energy Resources 基于灵敏度的分布式能源优化选址方法
Pub Date : 2020-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/PMAPS47429.2020.9183471
Mukesh Gautam, N. Bhusal, M. Benidris, C. Singh, J. Mitra
This paper presents a sensitivity-based approach for the placement of distributed energy resources (DERs) in power systems. The approach is based on the fact that most planning studies utilize some form of optimization, and solutions to these optimization problems provide insights into the sensitivity of many system variables to operating conditions and constraints. However, most of the existing sensitivity-based planning criteria do not capture ranges of effectiveness of these solutions (i.e., ranges of the effectiveness of Lagrange multipliers). The proposed method detects the ranges of effectiveness of Lagrange multipliers and uses them to determine optimal solution alternatives. Profiles for existing generation and loads, and transmission constraints are taken into consideration. The proposed method is used to determine the impacts of DERs at different locations, in presence of a stochastic element (load variability). This method consists of sequentially calculating Lagrange multipliers of the dual solution of the optimization problem for various load buses for all load scenarios. Optimal sizes and sites of resources are jointly determined in a sequential manner based on the validity of active constraints. The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated through several case studies on various test systems including the IEEE reliability test system (IEEE RTS), the IEEE 14 and 30 bus systems. In comparison with conventional sensitivity-based approaches (i.e., without considering ranges of validity of Lagrange multipliers), the proposed approach provides more accurate results for active constraints.
本文提出了一种基于灵敏度的电力系统分布式能源配置方法。该方法基于这样一个事实,即大多数规划研究都利用了某种形式的优化,这些优化问题的解决方案提供了对许多系统变量对操作条件和约束的敏感性的见解。然而,大多数现有的基于灵敏度的规划标准没有捕捉到这些解决方案的有效性范围(即拉格朗日乘数的有效性范围)。该方法检测拉格朗日乘子的有效范围,并利用它们来确定最优解的备选方案。考虑了现有发电和负荷的概况以及传输约束。所提出的方法用于确定在随机因素(负荷变异性)存在的情况下,DERs在不同位置的影响。该方法包括对各种负载情况下各种负载总线的优化问题的对偶解的拉格朗日乘子的顺序计算。基于活动约束的有效性,以顺序的方式共同确定资源的最优大小和位置。通过多个测试系统的案例研究,包括IEEE可靠性测试系统(IEEE RTS)、IEEE 14和IEEE 30总线系统,证明了该方法的有效性。与传统的基于灵敏度的方法(即不考虑拉格朗日乘子的有效范围)相比,该方法为主动约束提供了更准确的结果。
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引用次数: 1
Linear State and Parameter Estimation for Power Transmission Networks 输电网的线性状态和参数估计
Pub Date : 2020-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/PMAPS47429.2020.9183473
Aleksandar Jovici, G. Hug
In this paper, a linear framework for the combined state and parameter estimation of an electric power grid observed both by conventional and synchrophasor measurements is proposed. The method can be used for estimating parameters of transmission lines, tap-changers and shunts, while providing unbiased estimates of the bus voltages. The network components with incorrect parameters are identified via measurement residuals. The accuracy of the proposed method is evaluated for various cases of bad parameters using the IEEE 118 bus test system.
本文提出了一个用常规测量和同步相量测量联合估计电网状态和参数的线性框架。该方法可用于估计传输线、分接开关和分流器的参数,同时提供母线电压的无偏估计。通过测量残差识别出参数不正确的网络分量。利用ieee118总线测试系统对各种不良参数情况下所提出方法的精度进行了评估。
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引用次数: 1
Deriving Transformer Equivalent Age for Power System Reliability Assessment from Asset Condition Score 从资产状态分数求电力系统可靠性评估变压器等效年龄
Pub Date : 2020-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/PMAPS47429.2020.9183412
S. Awadallah, J. Milanović, P. Jarman
The paper proposes a method to derive an equivalent age from asset condition scores in order to incorporate asset condition into existing reliability assessment techniques. The method is related to end-of-life failure to inform replacement decision-making process. The paper projects the age cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a fleet of power transformers into the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of their condition scores. A relationship between condition score and age was formulated by using curve fitting techniques. Case studies were performed on a generic test system to compare system and load point reliability indices using the chronological age and the derived equivalent age. The results showed that using equivalent age resulted in different critical load points than the ones identified when using chronological age.
为了将资产状况纳入现有的可靠性评估技术,本文提出了一种从资产状况得分中推导等效年龄的方法。该方法与报废故障相关,为更换决策过程提供信息。本文将一组电力变压器的年龄累积分布函数(CDF)投影为其状态分数的累积分布函数(CDF)。采用曲线拟合的方法,建立了病情评分与年龄的关系。案例研究是在一个通用的测试系统上进行的,以比较系统和负载点可靠性指标,使用实际年龄和推导出的等效年龄。结果表明,使用等效年龄与使用实足年龄所确定的临界荷载点不同。
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引用次数: 0
Distributionally Robust Co-Optimization of Energy and Reserve Dispatch of Integrated Electricity and Heat System 电热一体化系统能量与储备调度的分布式鲁棒协同优化
Pub Date : 2020-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/PMAPS47429.2020.9183678
Mikhail Skalyga, Quiwei Wu
The combined operation of integrated energy systems is increasingly becoming a crucial topic for renewable energy dominated power systems operation. Flexibility from the district heating system could be used to deal with the uncertainty of renewable energy sources. We formulate a distributionally robust optimization problem for co-optimizing energy and reserve dispatch of the integrated electricity and heating system with a moment-based ambiguity set. The reserve allocation has been modeled through the participation vectors of the controllable generation units. The total reserve capacity has been defined implicitly and is a function of the uncertainty. The proposed model has been transformed into a second-order cone programming (SOCP) optimization problem by applying convex relaxation and linearization of the district heating network equations. Case studies on the integrated six-bus and seven-node system to demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed model.
综合能源系统的联合运行日益成为以可再生能源为主的电力系统运行的重要课题。区域供热系统的灵活性可以用来处理可再生能源的不确定性。提出了一个基于矩基模糊集的电力供热一体化系统能量和储备调度协同优化的分布鲁棒优化问题。利用可控发电机组的参与向量建立了备用分配模型。总储备容量是隐式定义的,是不确定性的函数。通过对区域供热网络方程进行凸松弛和线性化处理,将该模型转化为二阶锥规划优化问题。以六总线七节点集成系统为例,验证了该模型的有效性。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
2020 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS)
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