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Comparing Physics-Based, Conceptual and Machine-Learning Models to Predict Groundwater Levels by BMA 比较基于物理、概念和机器学习的BMA预测地下水位模型。
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-04-21 DOI: 10.1111/gwat.13487
Thomas Wöhling, Alvaro Oliver Crespo Delgadillo, Moritz Kraft, Anneli Guthke

Groundwater level observations are used as decision variables for aquifer management, often in conjunction with models to provide predictions for operational forecasting. In this study, we compare different model classes for this task: a spatially explicit 3D groundwater flow model (MODFLOW), an eigenmodel, a transfer-function model, and three machine learning models, namely, multi-layer perceptron models, long short-term memory models, and random forest models. The models differ widely in their complexity, input requirements, calibration effort, and run-times. They are tested on four groundwater level time series from the Wairau Aquifer in New Zealand to investigate the potential of the data-driven approaches to outperform the MODFLOW model in predicting individual target wells. Further, we wish to reveal whether the MODFLOW model has advantages in predicting all four wells simultaneously because it can use the available information in a physics-based, integrated manner, or whether structural limitations spoil this effect. Our results demonstrate that data-driven models with low input requirements and short run-times are competitive candidates for local groundwater level predictions even for system states that lie outside the calibration data range. There is no “single best” model that performs best in all cases, which motivates ensemble forecasting with different model classes using Bayesian model averaging. The obtained Bayesian model weights clearly favor MODFLOW when targeting all wells simultaneously, even though the competing approaches had the chance to fine-tune for each tested well individually. This is a remarkable result that strengthens the argument for physics-based approaches even for seemingly “simple” groundwater level prediction tasks.

地下水位观测被用作含水层管理的决策变量,通常与模型结合使用,为业务预测提供预测。在这项研究中,我们比较了用于该任务的不同模型类别:空间显式三维地下水流动模型(MODFLOW)、特征模型、传递函数模型和三种机器学习模型,即多层感知器模型、长短期记忆模型和随机森林模型。这些模型在复杂性、输入需求、校准工作和运行时间方面差异很大。他们在新西兰Wairau含水层的四个地下水位时间序列上进行了测试,以研究数据驱动方法在预测单个目标井方面优于MODFLOW模型的潜力。此外,我们希望揭示MODFLOW模型在同时预测所有四口井方面是否具有优势,因为它可以以基于物理的综合方式使用现有信息,或者是否结构限制了这种效果。我们的研究结果表明,具有低输入要求和短运行时间的数据驱动模型是当地地下水水位预测的竞争候选人,即使系统状态位于校准数据范围之外。不存在在所有情况下都表现最好的“单一最佳”模型,这激发了使用贝叶斯模型平均的不同模型类别的集成预测。当同时针对所有井时,获得的贝叶斯模型权重显然有利于MODFLOW,尽管竞争方法有机会对每口测试井进行单独微调。这是一个显著的结果,它加强了基于物理的方法的争论,即使对于看似“简单”的地下水位预测任务也是如此。
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引用次数: 0
Quantification and Analysis of Hydrograph Behavior Using Groundwater Signatures 基于地下水特征的水文曲线行为量化与分析。
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-04-17 DOI: 10.1111/gwat.13486
Raoul A. Collenteur, Martin A. Vonk, Ezra Haaf

The study of hydraulic head changes over time is a common task for groundwater hydrologists. Groundwater signatures are numerical metrics, or statistical aggregates, that quantify the behavior observed in hydraulic head hydrographs. Signatures can be helpful in a number of classical hydrological tasks, such as hydrograph classification, clustering, change detection, and model evaluation, selection, and calibration. Despite the potential benefits of using signatures in groundwater studies, their application has not yet been thoroughly explored. To support research into the application of signatures in groundwater studies, we introduce the new groundwater signatures module from the Pastas software. The signatures module is written in Python, fully tested and documented, and available as open-source software under the MIT license. In this paper, it is shown how the signatures are tested and can be used in practical applications through two examples. In the first example, signatures are used to characterize and cluster monitoring wells in a nationwide monitoring network in Switzerland. In the second example, signatures are used to evaluate how well different groundwater model structures simulate the heads. Future research opportunities involving groundwater signatures are discussed.

研究水头随时间的变化是地下水水文学家的共同任务。地下水特征是数值度量或统计集合,可以量化水头水文图中观察到的行为。特征可以在许多经典水文任务中提供帮助,例如水文分类,聚类,变化检测以及模型评估,选择和校准。尽管在地下水研究中使用特征有潜在的好处,但它们的应用尚未得到彻底的探索。为了支持签名在地下水研究中的应用研究,我们从Pastas软件中引入了新的地下水签名模块。签名模块是用Python编写的,经过了充分的测试和记录,并且可以在MIT许可下作为开源软件使用。本文通过两个实例说明了如何对签名进行测试并在实际应用中得到应用。在第一个示例中,在瑞士的一个全国性监测网络中,使用签名来描述和分组监测井。在第二个例子中,特征被用来评估不同的地下水模型结构对水头的模拟效果。讨论了涉及地下水特征的未来研究机会。
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引用次数: 0
A New Explicit Solver for MODFLOW Enabling Small Time Step Simulations 一种新的MODFLOW显式求解器,支持小时间步长模拟。
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-04-09 DOI: 10.1111/gwat.13483
Babak Azari, Brian Waldron, Farhad Jazaei

Surface water (SW) and groundwater (GW) models, such as MODFLOW and HEC-RAS, have been explored to simulate the complexities of SW–GW interactions. However, individual models are not capable of capturing the full complexity of these interactions. To overcome individual models' shortcomings, researchers introduced the model coupling concept. This concept helps compensate for each individual model's shortcomings and incorporates the models' advantages. However, challenges arise from temporal scale disparities between SW and GW models. To tackle the temporal scale issue, this study introduces the novel explicit solver (EXP1) for MODFLOW 2005, enabling GW modeling using small time steps matching SW models (i.e., 15 min) by reducing runtime and computational burden. The EXP1 solver incorporates an integrated stability criterion to ensure the stability of explicit schemes, and it was systematically evaluated against the Preconditioned Conjugate Gradient (PCG) solver across various scenarios, including a 1-dimensional, 2-dimensional, and a vast 3-dimensional model. Results demonstrated the efficiency and accuracy of EXP1 in predicting groundwater heads and water budget, along with considerably reduced runtimes of up to 33% compared with the PCG solver, with less than 0.4% discrepancy in the water budget. These findings underscore the effectiveness of EXP1 in facilitating groundwater small time step simulations and bridging the temporal scale gap between SW and GW models.

地表水(SW)和地下水(GW)模型,如MODFLOW和HEC-RAS,已经被用来模拟SW-GW相互作用的复杂性。然而,单个模型不能捕获这些交互的全部复杂性。为了克服单个模型的不足,研究者引入了模型耦合的概念。这个概念有助于弥补每个模型的缺点,并结合模型的优点。然而,在时间尺度上,SW和GW模型之间的差异带来了挑战。为了解决时间尺度问题,本研究为MODFLOW 2005引入了新的显式求解器(EXP1),通过减少运行时间和计算负担,使GW建模使用与SW模型相匹配的小时间步长(即15分钟)。EXP1求解器包含一个集成的稳定性准则,以确保显式方案的稳定性,并在各种场景下(包括一维,二维和巨大的三维模型)对Preconditioned共轭梯度(PCG)求解器进行了系统评估。结果表明,EXP1在预测地下水水头和水量预算方面具有效率和准确性,与PCG求解器相比,运行时间减少了33%,水量预算差异小于0.4%。这些发现强调了EXP1在促进地下水小时间步长模拟和弥合SW和GW模型之间的时间尺度差距方面的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Neonicotinoids in Groundwater: Persistent Contaminants and Unresolved Risks 地下水中的新烟碱类:持久性污染物和未解决的风险。
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-03-29 DOI: 10.1111/gwat.13481
Carla Romano
<p>Many people remember the ban on DDT in the 1970s, but what happened to insecticides after that? The agriculture industry quickly shifted to alternatives, with organophosphates becoming the dominant replacement. By the early 1990s, neonicotinoids emerged as a new class of insecticides, praised for their lower toxicity to mammals, effectiveness at low doses, and systemic action, which allows plants to absorb them for long-term pest protection. In theory, these qualities made neonicotinoids a safer and more efficient alternative. However, nearly 40 years after their introduction, they have emerged as new contaminants in groundwater, raising concerns about their environmental and human health impacts, which remain poorly understood.</p><p>The rapid increase in neonicotinoid use since the early 2000s has made them the most widely used insecticides in the United States today. These chemicals are applied to major crops such as corn, soybeans, and specialty fruits, as well as in residential pest control products and flea treatments for pets. While their use extends beyond agriculture, the majority is tied to agricultural applications, where they are primarily applied as seed treatments, but also through in-furrow, soil applications, and foliar sprays. Seed treatments gained favor for their ability to provide targeted, systemic pest protection from germination and minimize pesticide drift into non-target areas. However, this widespread adoption has led to unintended consequences, particularly their persistence in soil and water.</p><p>Neonicotinoids are highly mobile in water and can persist in the environment, with degradation times ranging from days to years depending on the compound and environmental conditions (Pietrzak et al. <span>2020</span>). Imidacloprid, thiamethoxam, and clothianidin are among the most widely used neonicotinoids, and these compounds have been detected in groundwater across the US. Groundwater quality data from the EPA Water Quality Portal, collected from 1999 to 2024, reveals that at least one of these compounds was detected in wells across 30 of the 50 states (EPA Water Quality Portal <span>2024</span>). In Wisconsin, detections have been particularly prevalent in areas with sandy soils and shallow groundwater table, such as the Central Sands Region (Senger et al. <span>2019</span>; Romano et al. <span>2023</span>). Recent monitoring efforts suggest that these chemicals are now present in groundwater throughout much of the state (Romano et al. <span>2024</span>).</p><p>The detection of neonicotinoids in groundwater and elsewhere in the environment has raised concerns about their ecological and human health impacts. Since the late 2000s, research has documented lethal and/or sublethal effects on a range of organisms, including bees and butterflies, as well as aquatic vertebrates and invertebrates (Schneider et al. <span>2012</span>; Morrissey et al. <span>2015</span>; Rundlöf et al. <span>2015</span>; Eng et al. <span>2019</
很多人都记得20世纪70年代的DDT禁令,但在那之后杀虫剂发生了什么呢?农业工业迅速转向替代品,有机磷酸盐成为主要的替代品。到20世纪90年代初,新烟碱类杀虫剂作为一种新型杀虫剂出现,因其对哺乳动物的毒性较低、低剂量有效、全身性作用,使植物能够吸收它们以长期保护害虫而受到称赞。理论上,这些特性使新烟碱类杀虫剂成为一种更安全、更有效的替代品。然而,在引入近40年后,它们已成为地下水中的新污染物,引起了人们对其环境和人类健康影响的担忧,而人们对这些影响的认识仍然很少。自21世纪初以来,新烟碱类杀虫剂的使用迅速增加,使其成为当今美国使用最广泛的杀虫剂。这些化学物质用于主要作物,如玉米、大豆和特色水果,以及住宅害虫控制产品和宠物跳蚤治疗。虽然它们的用途超出了农业,但大多数与农业应用有关,它们主要用于种子处理,但也通过沟内、土壤施用和叶面喷洒。种子处理因其提供有针对性的、系统的有害生物萌发保护和减少农药流入非目标区的能力而受到青睐。然而,这种广泛采用导致了意想不到的后果,特别是它们在土壤和水中的持久性。新烟碱类在水中具有高度流动性,并可在环境中持续存在,降解时间从几天到几年不等,具体取决于化合物和环境条件(Pietrzak et al. 2020)。吡虫啉、噻虫嗪和噻虫胺是使用最广泛的新烟碱类物质,这些化合物在美国各地的地下水中都被检测到。EPA水质门户网站从1999年到2024年收集的地下水质量数据显示,在50个州中的30个州的水井中至少检测到其中一种化合物(EPA水质门户网站2024)。在威斯康星州,检测在砂质土壤和地下水位较浅的地区尤其普遍,如中央砂区(Senger等人,2019;Romano et al. 2023)。最近的监测工作表明,这些化学物质现在存在于该州大部分地区的地下水中(Romano et al. 2024)。地下水和环境中其他地方新烟碱类杀虫剂的检测引起了人们对其生态和人类健康影响的关注。自2000年代末以来,研究记录了对一系列生物的致命和/或亚致命影响,包括蜜蜂和蝴蝶,以及水生脊椎动物和无脊椎动物(Schneider et al. 2012;Morrissey et al. 2015;Rundlöf et al. 2015;Eng等人,2019;Yang et al. 2023)。毒理学和生物监测研究强调了潜在的人体毒性,担心对甲状腺、神经、生殖和葡萄糖健康的影响,以及美国人群暴露的证据(Han等人,2018;Buckley et al. 2022)。然而,它们对健康影响的全部程度仍不清楚,这突出表明需要进行大规模流行病学研究。尽管存在这些担忧,但目前还没有针对饮用水中新烟碱类污染的联邦法规。美国环境保护署还没有建立最大污染物水平(mcl),让各州自行制定地下水标准。然而,联邦监管行动可能即将出台。2022年,美国环保署发现噻虫胺、吡虫啉和噻虫嗪对濒危物种构成威胁,并根据《濒危物种法》提出了可能的限制。与此同时,纽约州、新泽西州、内华达州、缅因州和加利福尼亚州等州已经颁布了禁止在草坪上使用新烟碱类杀虫剂或加强对处理过的种子的控制等措施。这些努力反映出人们日益认识到需要解决新烟碱类杀虫剂的广泛影响,特别是它们在地下水中的持久性。然而,关键问题依然存在。如果新烟碱类被淘汰,有什么替代品可以替代它们?非化学有害生物管理策略能否提供可行的解决方案?或者我们只是在等待下一代杀虫剂进入市场,也许几十年后重复这个循环?随着时间的推移,我们如何打破批准对水资源、生态系统和人类健康有害的化学品的模式?
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引用次数: 0
Matrix Diffusion Controls Mountain Hillslope Groundwater Ages and Inferred Storage Dynamics 基质扩散控制山区山坡地下水年龄和推断存储动态。
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-03-29 DOI: 10.1111/gwat.13475
Nicholas E. Thiros, Erica R. Woodburn, W. Payton Gardner, James P. Dennedy-Frank, Kenneth H. Williams

Groundwater age distributions provide fundamental insights on coupled water and biogeochemical processes in mountain watersheds. Field-based studies have found mixtures of young and old-aged groundwater in mountain catchments underlain by bedrock; yet, the processes that dictate these groundwater age distributions are poorly understood. In this work, we use the coupled ParFlow-CLM integrated hydrologic and EcoSLIM particle tracking models to simulate groundwater age distributions on a lower montane hillslope in the East River Watershed, Colorado (USA). We develop a convolution-based approach to propagate fracture-matrix diffusion processes to the EcoSLIM advection-dominated age distributions. We compare observed 3H and 4He concentrations from two groundwater wells against model predictions that have varying advective transport times and matrix diffusion magnitudes. Based on a Monte Carlo analysis that considers uncertain matrix and fracture parameters, we find that matrix diffusion is needed to jointly predict 3H and 4He observations at both wells. The advection-dominated age distributions lack adequate mixing of young and old-aged water to capture the observed co-occurrence of 3H and 4He. The model scenario that best matches the 3H, 4He, and water level observations when considering both advective flowpath and matrix diffusion mixing processes has a dynamic bedrock groundwater reservoir that is susceptible to considerable storage losses during low-snow periods. This dynamic groundwater system amplifies the need to assimilate deeper bedrock groundwater into watershed hydro-biogeochemical predictions. This work further highlights the importance of considering matrix diffusion when interpreting environmental tracers in bedrock groundwater systems.

地下水年龄分布提供了对山地流域水与生物地球化学耦合过程的基本认识。实地研究发现,基岩下的山区集水区混合了年轻和年老的地下水;然而,人们对决定这些地下水年龄分布的过程知之甚少。在这项工作中,我们使用耦合的ParFlow-CLM综合水文和EcoSLIM颗粒跟踪模型来模拟美国科罗拉多州东河流域低山地山坡上的地下水年龄分布。我们开发了一种基于卷积的方法,将裂缝-基质扩散过程传播到EcoSLIM平流主导的年龄分布。我们比较了两个地下水井观测到的3H和4He浓度与具有不同平流输送时间和基质扩散幅度的模型预测。基于考虑不确定基质和裂缝参数的蒙特卡罗分析,我们发现需要基质扩散来联合预测两口井的3H和4He观测值。平流主导的年龄分布缺乏足够的年轻水和老年水的混合,无法捕捉到3H和4He的共存。在考虑平流流道和基质扩散混合过程时,与3H、4He和水位观测最匹配的模型情景具有一个动态基岩地下水水库,该水库在低雪期容易受到相当大的储存损失。这种动态地下水系统放大了将深层基岩地下水吸收到流域水文生物地球化学预测中的必要性。这项工作进一步强调了在解释基岩地下水系统中的环境示踪剂时考虑基质扩散的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Model-Based Approach to Determine Critical Design Parameters for Tandem Circulation Well Remediation Systems 基于模型确定串联循环井修复系统关键设计参数的方法。
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-03-27 DOI: 10.1111/gwat.13479
Shuting Yang, Zhang Wen, Qi Zhu, Songhu Yuan, Yiming Li

Aerobic bioremediation enhanced by tandem circulation well (TCW)-generated aeration in a groundwater circulation systems has emerged as a novel, environmentally friendly, and cost-effective remediation approach with growing recognition. For TCW, previous investigations have been limited to few laboratory experiments, simulation precision, acquisition of reaction kinetic parameters, and effective guidance for technology optimization. In this work, we employed regionalized sensitivity analysis with Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) to identify the most sensitive parameters in laboratory TCW experiments, reducing the number of parameters to estimate. The estimated parameters were utilized to construct a reactive transport model with periodic boundary conditions, enhancing its universality for in-situ trichloroethylene (TCE) bioremediation through electrolysis considering mutual interactions among well clusters. The results revealed the influence mechanisms of the operating parameters and well spacing on remediation performance. Besides, it was found that degradation efficiency was limited by DO oversaturation in the wellbore. However, it could be promoted by optimization of operation parameters, using an optimization index, the ratio of current to pumping rate (α$$ alpha $$). Finally, simulation results implied two suggestions for well spacing: (1) Designing a remediation site with a higher aspect ratio will enhance the performance of this technology. (2) With a larger area, both current intensity and pumping rate need to be proportionally increased in alignment with the enlarged area to ensure optimal efficiency. This work improves the precision of characterizing the TCW system, guiding the determination of reaction kinetics parameters and optimization of critical design parameters, including operational parameters and well spacing, in remediation sites, thereby achieving superior remediation performance in field applications.

地下水循环系统中由串联循环井(TCW)产生的曝气增强的好氧生物修复技术已成为一种新颖、环保、经济的修复方法,并得到越来越多的认可。对于TCW,以往的研究仅限于少量的实验室实验,模拟精度,反应动力学参数的获取,以及对工艺优化的有效指导。在这项工作中,我们采用拉丁超立方体采样(LHS)的区域敏感性分析来识别实验室TCW实验中最敏感的参数,减少了需要估计的参数数量。利用估计参数构建了具有周期边界条件的反应输运模型,提高了该模型在考虑井簇间相互作用的电解原位三氯乙烯生物修复中的通用性。研究结果揭示了作业参数和井距对修复效果的影响机理。此外,还发现降解效率受到井筒中DO过饱和的限制。但可以通过优化操作参数,即电流与抽气量之比(α $$ alpha $$)来提高效率。最后,模拟结果对井距提出了两点建议:(1)设计高纵横比的修复场地将提高该技术的性能。(2)当面积增大时,电流强度和抽速均需随面积增大而成比例增大,以保证效率最优。这项工作提高了TCW体系表征的精度,指导了修复现场反应动力学参数的确定和关键设计参数(包括操作参数和井距)的优化,从而在现场应用中实现了卓越的修复性能。
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引用次数: 0
Consideration of Grid Cell Size to Represent Stream Networks for the Conterminous United States 考虑用网格单元大小来表示美国周边的流网络。
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-03-24 DOI: 10.1111/gwat.13484
Brandon J. Fleming, Kenneth Belitz, Courtney D. Killian

Recent modeling of groundwater at the scale of the Conterminous United States (CONUS) has often relied on relatively large square grid cells (Maxwell et al. 2015; Zell and Sanford 2020). Consequently, features such as streams can become generalized. An important issue, therefore, is the relationship between grid-cell size and representation of the stream network. This technical commentary addresses two questions related to this issue. First, what cell size is required to accurately represent all mapped streams in CONUS (McKay et al. 2012)? Second, given a 1-km cell, what order stream network can be accurately represented? This commentary focuses only on geometry and does not address other important aspects of modeling stream –aquifer interactions such as small-scale sinuosity (Cardenas 2009) or developing sound conceptual hydrogeologic models (Anderson et al. 2015).

The overall approach for assessing accuracy to answer these questions is presented in the methods section, including how the relationship between cell size and stream order is evaluated. The approach is applied to 18 representative surface water basins distributed across CONUS (Van Metre et al. 2020). The Delaware River Basin is used to illustrate the approach and for the purposes of discussion.

A uniform-square grid that accurately represents the geometry of a stream network is one in which contributing areas can be differentiated from streams, such that most of the cells do not contain a stream. A grid where every cell contains one or more streams would not accurately represent the geometry of the network. For the purposes of discussion, the criterion for accurate representation is that streams are in no more than 20% of all cells. A different criterion could be chosen depending on the purpose of a particular study. The graphs presented in this commentary allow for a different criterion.

The question of developing an accurate grid also depends on stream order. Representation of the geometry of a first-order stream network (headwaters) requires a smaller cell size than the representation of higher-order stream networks (large rivers). In this paper, we evaluate stream networks ranging from first through fifth stream orders across the CONUS.

The relationship between grid-cell size and stream network geometry is evaluated in 18 river basins distributed across CONUS (Figure 1; Table 1). These 18 river basins were identified as candidates for future intensive monitoring and assessment by the USGS (Van Metre et al. 2020) per a ranking scheme that represents the range of physiographic, climatic, and land use characteristics within CONUS. For each river basin, we used the Multi-Order Hydrologic Position (MOHP) dataset (Belitz et al. 2019; Moore et al. 2019) derived from the NHDPlusV2 stream network (McKay et al. 2012) as the basis for i

计算了每个流域的累积分布函数,如图S2所示。表S1列出了每个流域在1公里网格中包含溪流的比例,它们的分布如图4a所示,溪流顺序为1-5。在18个流域中,在1公里网格中包含一级河流的中位流域比例约为70%。1公里网格中包含二阶流的中值约为30%。对于第三级河流,1公里网格中包含一条河流的中位数值小于20%,但具有最密集的河流网络的流域除外:下田纳西河,下密西西比- st。弗朗西斯河和圣华金河。图4b和图4c显示了流域比例,其中250米和100米网格包含溪流顺序1-5的溪流。对于横跨CONUS的18个河流流域,250米网格的流域比例中位数(图4b)从一级河流的25%到五级河流的2%不等。在100米网格中包含一级河流的流域比例中位数约为10%。18个流域网格间距(1 km, 250 m和100 m)组合的流域比例和溪流顺序(1-5)见表S1。我们评估了使用不同大小的网格来表示分布在CONUS的18个代表性地表水流域的河流网络的准确性。在每个流域内,我们评估了三种不同网格单元尺寸的精度:1公里、250米和100米。在每个流域内,我们从顺序1到顺序5评估了河流网络。作为精度标准,我们假设一个网格应该包含少于20%的流单元,基于这个标准,一个1公里的网格准确地表示了四阶流网络。为了准确地表示一阶流网络,需要100米或更小的网格间距。如果选择20%以外的标准,那么本技术评论中提出的方法可用于解决与流网络几何形状的精确网格表示相关的问题。作者没有任何利益冲突或财务披露报告。任何贸易、公司或产品名称的使用仅用于描述目的,并不意味着美国政府的认可。
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引用次数: 0
Breakthrough Curve Separation Using Applied Solute Tracers 应用溶质示踪剂的突破曲线分离。
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-03-18 DOI: 10.1111/gwat.13480
Charles J. Paradis, Rakiba Sultana, Martin A. Dangelmayr, Raymond H. Johnson, Ronald D. Kent

The separation of advection and dispersion from the breakthrough curve of a potentially reactive solute can help determine if reactive transport mechanisms occurred. This is typically done by solving the advection–dispersion equation and fitting the breakthrough curve of an applied non-reactive solute tracer by adjusting groundwater velocity and the dispersion coefficient; the values of velocity and dispersion are then applied to the breakthrough curve of the potentially reactive solute, and any residuals can be fitted with the appropriate reactive transport mechanisms. A simpler approach is to plot the dimensionless relative concentrations of the non-reactive and reactive solutes on the same breakthrough curves; thus, any differences between the two curves can be attributed to reactive transport. The method proposed here can allow for separating advection and dispersion from the breakthrough curve of a potentially reactive solute based on data only, as opposed to model-derived fitting of groundwater velocity and dispersion, all while preserving the true concentration, as opposed to the dimensionless relative concentration, of the potentially reactive solute. A new measure of overall solute reactivity is also introduced that summates relative temporal moments to quantify and rank the reactivity of a suite of solutes. The method is described and applied to numerical model simulations and field tracer data to demonstrate its utility for combined visual–quantitative breakthrough curve separation to better characterize reactive solute transport in applied tracer studies.

从潜在反应性溶质的突破曲线上分离平流和弥散可以帮助确定是否发生了反应性输运机制。这通常是通过调整地下水流速和弥散系数来求解平流-弥散方程并拟合应用的非反应性溶质示踪剂的突破曲线来完成的;然后将速度和色散值应用于潜在反应溶质的突破曲线,任何残余都可以与适当的反应输运机制拟合。一种更简单的方法是在同一条突破曲线上绘制非活性溶质和活性溶质的无因次相对浓度;因此,两条曲线之间的任何差异都可以归因于反应性输运。本文提出的方法可以根据数据从潜在反应性溶质的突破曲线中分离出平流和弥散,而不是根据地下水流速和弥散的模型推导拟合,同时保留潜在反应性溶质的真实浓度,而不是无量纲的相对浓度。还介绍了一种新的整体溶质反应性的测量方法,该方法将相对时间矩相加,以量化一系列溶质的反应性并对其进行排序。描述了该方法并将其应用于数值模型模拟和现场示踪剂数据,以证明其在可视化-定量突破曲线分离结合中的实用性,从而更好地表征应用示踪剂研究中的反应性溶质输运。
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引用次数: 0
Using Advective Transport Phenomena to Account for Uncertainty of Conductivity in Monitoring Design 在监测设计中利用平流传输现象考虑传导性的不确定性。
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-03-14 DOI: 10.1111/gwat.13467
Willem J. de Lange

Engineering practice in monitoring design aims at the optimum number of observation wells needed to assess the growth of a contaminated volume groundwater, the plume. Available methodologies rely on a combination of a numerical groundwater transport model, GIS-techniques and an optimization technique and require a relative huge amount of data and computer resources. The method of advective transport phenomena enables to calculate the longitudinal and vertical growth of a contaminant plume along the flow path by simple analytic expressions using only three stochastic parameters, the log conductivity variance and the horizontal and vertical characteristic lengths, that together describe the heterogeneity of the aquifer. In previous work, the calculated plume growth has been verified in 12 large experiments all over the world. The method is used to investigate the relationship between uncertainty in the conductivity variation and the plume growth by calculation of the spreading of water particles in a vertical section along the traveled path. In a very heterogeneous aquifer, virtually all water particles spread forward about equally generating a limited forward growth compared to the traveled distance that is not sensitive to uncertainty in the conductivity. In a nearly homogenous aquifer, only a part of the water particles is spread forward, which is repeated at different depths along the traveled path causing significant uncertainty in the position and length of the plume growth. Therefore, an observation network should be designed more densely in a homogeneous aquifer than in a heterogeneous one. A calculation tool is provided.

监测设计中的工程实践旨在评估受污染的地下水(烟羽)的生长所需的最佳观测井数量。现有的方法依赖于数值地下水输送模型、地理信息系统技术和优化技术的组合,需要相对大量的数据和计算机资源。平流输运现象的方法能够通过简单的解析表达式,仅使用测井电导率方差和水平和垂直特征长度这三个随机参数,就能计算出污染物羽流沿流动路径的纵向和纵向增长,这三个参数共同描述了含水层的非均质性。在以往的工作中,计算得到的羽流增长已经在全球12个大型实验中得到了验证。该方法通过计算水粒子沿行进路径在垂直剖面上的扩散,研究了电导率变化的不确定性与羽流生长之间的关系。在非均质含水层中,几乎所有的水粒子都是均匀地向前扩散,与对电导率不确定的不敏感的行进距离相比,产生有限的向前增长。在一个几乎均匀的含水层中,只有一部分水粒子向前扩散,这在不同的深度沿着行进的路径重复,导致羽流生长的位置和长度有很大的不确定性。因此,在均匀含水层中,观测网的设计应比在非均匀含水层中更密集。提供计算工具。
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引用次数: 0
Information-Driven Sequential Inversion for Transient Hydraulic Tomography 用于瞬态水文断层成像的信息驱动顺序反演。
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-03-12 DOI: 10.1111/gwat.13476
Prem Chand Muraharirao, B.V.N.P. Kambhammettu, Ramdas Pinninti, Chandramouli Sangamreddi

Transient hydraulic tomography (THT) is proven to be effective in representing hydraulic and storage properties in diverse hydrogeologic settings. Sequential inversion of THT is computationally efficient, however, its accuracy is constrained by the number and sequence of pumping datasets used in the inversion. While signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) is commonly used to regulate the order of pumping datasets, it often disregards the information content. We propose an alternate strategy to rank the pumping ports based on the information contained in the data for use with inversion. A non-parametric Gringorten plotting position was used to generate cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) of the transient datasets, with the CDF corresponding to the maximum drawdown port set as a reference. The Kullback–Leibler divergence (KLD) is employed to quantify variations in time-drawdown datasets by statistically measuring the divergence from the reference distribution. Pumping ports are then ranked in the decreasing order of KLD and further used in the inversion. The proposed methodology is tested under a controlled environment using a laboratory sandbox model. Discrete wavelet transform (DWT) was applied to denoise the raw pumping datasets, and PEST coupled with MODFLOW was used to perform the inversion. The performance of KLD-assisted inversion (RMSEKLD = 0.278 ± 0.177 cm) is found to be superior to SNR-assisted inversion (RMSESNR = 1.075 ± 0.990 cm). Further, a reduction in THT data (by 68%) by specifying a threshold on KLD (>10) has drastically reduced the computational time (by 64%) with commensurable accuracy (RMSEKLDF = 0.265 ± 0.121 cm). Our findings lead to the conclusion that sequential inversion of THT with information-driven datasets outperforms quality-driven datasets, even with reduced pump-test data.

瞬态水力层析成像(THT)已被证明是在不同水文地质环境下表征水力和储存特性的有效方法。THT序列反演具有较高的计算效率,但其精度受到反演中使用的泵送数据集的数量和顺序的限制。虽然通常使用信噪比(SNR)来调节泵送数据集的顺序,但它往往忽略了信息内容。我们提出了一种替代策略,根据数据中包含的信息对泵送端口进行排序,以用于反演。利用非参数Gringorten绘图位置生成暂态数据集的累积分布函数(cumulative distribution function, CDF),并以最大下降端口集对应的累积分布函数为参考。Kullback-Leibler散度(KLD)通过统计测量与参考分布的散度来量化时间递减数据集的变化。然后将泵送端口按KLD降序排列,并进一步用于反演。所提出的方法在受控环境下使用实验室沙盒模型进行了测试。采用离散小波变换(DWT)对原始泵送数据集进行降噪处理,并结合PEST和MODFLOW进行反演。kld辅助反演(RMSESNR = 0.278±0.177 cm)优于信噪比辅助反演(RMSESNR = 1.075±0.990 cm)。此外,通过在KLD上指定阈值(bbb10), THT数据减少了68%,计算时间大大减少了64%,精度可比较(RMSEKLDF = 0.265±0.121 cm)。我们的研究结果得出结论,使用信息驱动数据集进行的THT序列反演优于质量驱动数据集,即使使用减少的泵试数据。
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引用次数: 0
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Groundwater
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