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Cardiac Society of Australia and New Zealand 澳大利亚和新西兰心脏学会
IF 2.2 4区 医学 Q2 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/S1443-9506(25)01788-3
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引用次数: 0
Safety and Workflow Using Rotational Atherectomy in Non-Surgical Centres-The SWAN Study. 在非手术中心使用旋转动脉粥样硬化切除术的安全性和工作流程- SWAN研究。
IF 2.2 4区 医学 Q2 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-12-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.hlc.2025.08.008
Samantha L Saunders, Ganeev Malhotra, Kelsey Gardiner, Michael Tierney, Adam Perkovic, Eunice Chuah, Eleanor Redwood, William Meere, Dominic Cooper, Angus Higgins, Patrick Sutton, Adam Bland, Philopatir Mikhail, Gregory Starmer, Andrew Boyle, Astin Lee, Ritin Fernandez, Peter Stewart, Roberto Spina, Thomas J Ford

Background: Historically, high-risk percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) procedures such as rotational atherectomy (RA) required on-site surgical backup. However, advancements in PCI techniques, coupled with the geographic realities of Australia's dispersed population, warrant a reassessment of RA in the context of contemporary clinical practice.

Aim: We aimed to establish the safety and outcomes after RA at non-surgical centres.

Method: Consecutive RA PCI cases from September 2012 to February 2024 at seven Australian hospitals without on-site cardiac surgery were analysed. Primary outcomes were referrals for emergency cardiac surgery (bailout) and 30-day mortality.

Results: A total of 943 patients (1,010 lesions) were included, with a mean age of 74.4±9.6 years. A total of 72.6% were male and the average body mass index was 28.7±7.1 kg/m2. Common comorbidities included diabetes (35.1%), a history of smoking (48.7%), and acute coronary syndrome or emergency presentation (32.9%). Off-site surgical bailout was necessary for four patients (0.4%) (temporary pacing wire-related right ventricular perforation with tamponade [n=2]; burr entrapment not retrievable percutaneously [n=2]). Major coronary perforations occurred in 0.8% (n=8; Ellis III). Minor perforations occurred in 2.3% (n=22). Tamponade occurred in eight (0.8%) patients. Burr entrapment occurred in six (0.6%) patients. A total of 32 patients (3.4%) died within 30 days of the procedure; 13 cases (1.4%) were PCI-related, but only eight of these (0.8%) were directly attributable to RA (significant ischaemia, e.g., no/slow reflow [n=4]; perforation with tamponade unable to be temporised percutaneously [n=2]; burr entrapment [n=1]; extensive coronary dissection [n=1]). Female sex and acute coronary syndrome presentation were predictors of poorer outcome.

Conclusions: RA can be safely conducted without on-site surgical backup, including in regional Australian areas. In geographically dispersed populations, regional access to RA-assisted PCI is critical. Immediate percutaneous management remains the mainstay of management of rare but potentially severe complications such as tamponade, perforations, and burr entrapment.

背景:历史上,高风险的经皮冠状动脉介入治疗(PCI)手术,如旋转动脉粥样硬化切除术(RA)需要现场手术支持。然而,PCI技术的进步,加上澳大利亚人口分散的地理现实,需要在当代临床实践的背景下对RA进行重新评估。目的:我们旨在确定在非手术中心治疗RA后的安全性和预后。方法:对2012年9月至2024年2月澳大利亚7家医院未进行现场心脏手术的连续RA PCI病例进行分析。主要转诊结果为紧急心脏手术(紧急救助)和30天死亡率。结果:共纳入943例患者(1010个病灶),平均年龄74.4±9.6岁。男性占72.6%,平均体重指数为28.7±7.1 kg/m2。常见的合并症包括糖尿病(35.1%)、吸烟史(48.7%)和急性冠状动脉综合征或急诊(32.9%)。4例(0.4%)患者需要场外手术救助(暂时性起搏导线相关的右心室穿孔伴填塞[n=2];毛刺夹伤无法经皮取出[n=2])。主要冠状动脉穿孔发生率为0.8% (n=8; Ellis III)。轻微穿孔发生率为2.3% (n=22)。8例(0.8%)患者发生填塞。6例(0.6%)患者出现Burr夹持。共有32名患者(3.4%)在手术后30天内死亡;13例(1.4%)与pci相关,但其中只有8例(0.8%)直接归因于RA(明显缺血,如无/缓慢回流[n=4];无法经皮穿刺的填塞穿孔[n=2];毛刺夹带[n=1];广泛的冠状动脉夹层[n=1])。女性和急性冠状动脉综合征是预后较差的预测因素。结论:RA可以在没有现场手术支持的情况下安全进行,包括在澳大利亚的局部地区。在地理上分散的人群中,区域获得ra辅助PCI至关重要。立即经皮处理仍然是处理罕见但潜在严重并发症的主要方法,如填塞、穿孔和毛刺夹持。
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引用次数: 0
Safety of Early Coronary Surgery in Antiplatelet Non-Responders: A Retrospective Cohort Study. 抗血小板无应答者早期冠状动脉手术的安全性:一项回顾性队列研究。
IF 2.2 4区 医学 Q2 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-12-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.hlc.2025.06.1028
John D L Brookes, Shazhad Sadiqi, Manoras Chengalath, Henry Ring, Christopher Morley, Kyri Hogan, Cheng-Hon Yap, Michael Seitz

Background: Dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) is frequently prescribed to patients with acute coronary syndromes on presentation. If these patients require inpatient surgical revascularisation, current guidelines suggest they await several days' DAPT washout prior to proceeding to operation. However, the rate of non-response to DAPT is significant, and there is minimal research available to assess if patients who are non-responders can safely proceed to surgery without waiting for washout.

Method: A retrospective cohort study of prospectively collected data was undertaken, examining patients who proceeded to surgery before the guideline-recommended washout time compared to those with no DAPT exposure.

Results: One hundred patients had Thromboelastogram (TEG) assessment of response to DAPT. There was a high rate of DAPT non- and low-response, 56% (n=56). Thirty-five non- and low-response patients proceeded to theatre prior to the guideline-recommended waiting time following DAPT. There was no statistically significant increase in bleeding or transfusion requirements (any transfusion, p=0.79), and no difference in morbidity and mortality (p=0.46). Non-responders proceeding early to surgery had a significantly shorter length of stay - non-responder 8.8±3.3 vs no DAPT 10.7±4.7 vs awaited washout 12.1±4.7 days (p<0.01).

Conclusions: There is a high rate of non-/low-response to DAPT, particularly clopidogrel. Non-responder patients do not have significant increase in overall morbidity and mortality, bleeding outcomes or transfusion requirements, and have the advantage of a significantly shorter length of hospital stay.

背景:双重抗血小板治疗(DAPT)常用于急性冠状动脉综合征患者。如果这些患者需要住院手术血运重建,目前的指南建议他们等待几天的DAPT冲洗后再进行手术。然而,对DAPT无反应的比率是显著的,并且很少有可用的研究来评估无反应的患者是否可以安全地进行手术而无需等待冲洗。方法:对前瞻性收集的数据进行回顾性队列研究,将在指南推荐的洗脱时间之前进行手术的患者与未接受DAPT治疗的患者进行比较。结果:100例患者采用血栓弹性图(TEG)评估DAPT的疗效。DAPT无应答率高,低应答率56% (n=56)。35例无反应和低反应患者在指南推荐的DAPT等待时间之前进入了手术室。出血或输血需求没有统计学上的显著增加(任何输血,p=0.79),发病率和死亡率也没有差异(p=0.46)。无反应者早期手术的住院时间明显缩短——无反应者8.8±3.3天vs无DAPT者10.7±4.7天vs等待洗脱期12.1±4.7天(结论:DAPT无反应/低反应率高,尤其是氯吡格雷。无应答患者在总体发病率和死亡率、出血结局或输血需求方面没有显著增加,并且具有住院时间明显缩短的优势。
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引用次数: 0
Trends and Outcomes in the Use of Adjunctive Fractional Flow Reserve From a Large Multicentre PCI Registry. 来自大型多中心PCI注册中心的辅助分流储备的趋势和结果。
IF 2.2 4区 医学 Q2 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.hlc.2025.08.002
Edward J Quine, Angela Brennan, Diem Dinh, Jeffrey Lefkovits, Dion Stub, Chin Hiew

Aim: Increasing evidence supports the use of fractional flow reserve (FFR) to accurately identify which coronary artery lesions are appropriate for intervention. We aim to describe the use of FFR-guided percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in a large Australian PCI registry.

Method: We assessed data from consecutive patients in the Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry from 2014 to 2020 who presented with stable coronary artery disease or non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome and underwent FFR-guided PCI in a single procedure. They were compared with a cohort who underwent standard angiographically guided PCI over the same period.

Results: A total of 59,401 patients were included in the study with 2,455 (4.1%) undergoing FFR-guided PCI. Patients who underwent FFR-guided PCI less often presented with a non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (22% vs 39%, p<0.001), were less probable to have their procedure out of hours (4.8% vs 10.6%, p<0.001), and more probable to have radial access (70% vs 59%, p<0.001). The use of FFR increased over the study period (2.8% of all cases in 2014 vs 4.7% in 2020, p<0.001). FFR-guided PCI was more often performed on the left anterior descending artery (65% of all cases vs 42%, p<0.001). The 30-day mortality was less in the FFR-guided group (0.2% vs 0.6%, p=0.005) but the overall mortality was very low.

Conclusions: This observational study demonstrates that the frequency of use of FFR to guide PCI was low in the Australian context; however, use is increasing. Patients in the FFR-guided group had lower 30-day mortality, although the overall rates of mortality in the study were very low.

目的:越来越多的证据支持使用分数血流储备(FFR)来准确识别哪些冠状动脉病变适合介入治疗。我们的目的是描述ffr引导下经皮冠状动脉介入治疗(PCI)在澳大利亚大型PCI登记中的应用。方法:我们评估了2014年至2020年维多利亚州心脏结局登记处的连续患者的数据,这些患者表现为稳定的冠状动脉疾病或非st段抬高急性冠状动脉综合征,并在一次手术中接受了ffr引导的PCI。他们与同一时期接受标准血管造影引导的PCI的队列进行比较。结果:共有59,401例患者纳入研究,其中2,455例(4.1%)接受了ffr引导的PCI。接受FFR引导的PCI患者较少出现非st段抬高急性冠状动脉综合征(22% vs 39%)。结论:这项观察性研究表明,在澳大利亚,使用FFR指导PCI的频率较低,然而,使用正在增加。尽管研究中的总体死亡率非常低,但ffr指导组的患者30天死亡率较低。
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引用次数: 0
Mitral Valve Surgery for Rheumatic Heart Disease in Indigenous Australians: A 27-Year Cohort Study of Repair Versus Replacement Outcomes. 二尖瓣手术治疗澳大利亚土著风湿性心脏病:一项27年的修复与置换结果队列研究
IF 2.2 4区 医学 Q2 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.hlc.2025.06.1021
Rohen Skiba, Tim Soon Cheok, Craig Morrison, Stewart R Anderson, Gregory Rice, Jayme Bennetts, Robert A Baker, D-Yin Lin

Aim: This study aimed to evaluate long-term outcomes of mitral valve surgery for rheumatic heart disease (RHD) in Indigenous Australians, comparing survival and revision rates between valve repair and replacement, and between mechanical and bioprosthetic prostheses.

Method: We conducted a retrospective analysis of 365 consecutive Indigenous Australian patients who underwent mitral valve surgery for RHD at a single tertiary centre from 1992 to 2023. Patients were grouped by procedure type: mitral valve repair, mechanical replacement, or bioprosthetic replacement. The primary outcomes were all-cause mortality and need for revision surgery. Multivariate Cox regression was used to identify independent predictors of outcomes. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis compared event-free survival between groups.

Results: During a mean follow-up of 8.5±6.0 years, 85 patients (23.3%) died and 59 (16.2%) required revision surgery. No significant difference in all-cause mortality was observed between repair and replacement (p=0.70), or between mechanical and bioprosthetic prostheses (p=0.24). Valve repair was associated with a higher unadjusted risk of revision (p=0.01), but this was not significant after adjustment (hazard ratio [HR] 1.41; p=0.30). Bioprosthetic valves were associated with a significantly increased risk of revision compared with mechanical valves (HR 7.22; p<0.001).

Conclusions: In this cohort of young Indigenous Australians with RHD, mitral valve repair and bioprosthetic valves were associated with increased revision rates but showed no survival advantage over mechanical prostheses. These findings support the consideration of mechanical valves in appropriately selected patients to optimise long-term durability.

目的:本研究旨在评估澳大利亚原住民风湿性心脏病(RHD)二尖瓣手术的长期预后,比较瓣膜修复和置换术以及机械和生物假体修复术的生存率和翻修率。方法:我们对从1992年到2023年在单一三级中心接受二尖瓣手术治疗RHD的365例连续的澳大利亚土著患者进行了回顾性分析。患者按手术类型分组:二尖瓣修复、机械置换术或生物假体置换术。主要结局是全因死亡率和需要翻修手术。采用多变量Cox回归确定独立预测因素。Kaplan-Meier生存分析比较各组无事件生存率。结果:在平均8.5±6.0年的随访期间,85例(23.3%)患者死亡,59例(16.2%)患者需要翻修手术。全因死亡率在修复和置换之间无显著差异(p=0.70),机械和生物假体之间无显著差异(p=0.24)。瓣膜修复与较高的未调整翻修风险相关(p=0.01),但调整后无显著性差异(风险比[HR] 1.41; p=0.30)。与机械瓣膜相比,生物假体瓣膜翻修的风险显著增加(HR 7.22)。结论:在这个年轻的澳大利亚土著RHD患者队列中,二尖瓣修复和生物假体瓣膜与翻修率增加相关,但与机械假体相比没有生存优势。这些发现支持在适当选择的患者中考虑机械瓣膜以优化长期耐久性。
{"title":"Mitral Valve Surgery for Rheumatic Heart Disease in Indigenous Australians: A 27-Year Cohort Study of Repair Versus Replacement Outcomes.","authors":"Rohen Skiba, Tim Soon Cheok, Craig Morrison, Stewart R Anderson, Gregory Rice, Jayme Bennetts, Robert A Baker, D-Yin Lin","doi":"10.1016/j.hlc.2025.06.1021","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hlc.2025.06.1021","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aim: </strong>This study aimed to evaluate long-term outcomes of mitral valve surgery for rheumatic heart disease (RHD) in Indigenous Australians, comparing survival and revision rates between valve repair and replacement, and between mechanical and bioprosthetic prostheses.</p><p><strong>Method: </strong>We conducted a retrospective analysis of 365 consecutive Indigenous Australian patients who underwent mitral valve surgery for RHD at a single tertiary centre from 1992 to 2023. Patients were grouped by procedure type: mitral valve repair, mechanical replacement, or bioprosthetic replacement. The primary outcomes were all-cause mortality and need for revision surgery. Multivariate Cox regression was used to identify independent predictors of outcomes. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis compared event-free survival between groups.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>During a mean follow-up of 8.5±6.0 years, 85 patients (23.3%) died and 59 (16.2%) required revision surgery. No significant difference in all-cause mortality was observed between repair and replacement (p=0.70), or between mechanical and bioprosthetic prostheses (p=0.24). Valve repair was associated with a higher unadjusted risk of revision (p=0.01), but this was not significant after adjustment (hazard ratio [HR] 1.41; p=0.30). Bioprosthetic valves were associated with a significantly increased risk of revision compared with mechanical valves (HR 7.22; p<0.001).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>In this cohort of young Indigenous Australians with RHD, mitral valve repair and bioprosthetic valves were associated with increased revision rates but showed no survival advantage over mechanical prostheses. These findings support the consideration of mechanical valves in appropriately selected patients to optimise long-term durability.</p>","PeriodicalId":13000,"journal":{"name":"Heart, Lung and Circulation","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2025-12-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145833826","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Preoperative and Intraoperative Risk Factors With 1-Year Recurrence of New-Onset Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation After Thoracoscopic Surgery in Older Patients. 老年患者胸腔镜术后新发阵发性心房颤动1年复发的术前及术中危险因素
IF 2.2 4区 医学 Q2 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.hlc.2025.06.1025
Huiying Zhou, Yue Han, Zijia Liu, Yu Zhang, Yuelun Zhang, Le Shen

Background: Postoperative atrial fibrillation (AF) after video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery (VATS) is the most prevalent form of secondary AF in older patients, which is likely to recur or even cause persistent AF and may receive long-term clinical treatment in clinically. We aimed to analyse the preoperative and intraoperative risk factors for the recurrence of paroxysmal postoperative AF.

Method: Data were collected from patients who underwent VATS and experienced paroxysmal postoperative AF at Peking Union Medical College Hospital between June 2013 and December 2022. We studied the incidence of AF recurrence within 1 year after initial occurrence and the potential preoperative and intraoperative risk factors using multivariable logistic regression analyses.

Results: Of the 2,920 patients who underwent VATS in this study, 122 (4.2%) suffered paroxysmal postoperative AF within 30 days after surgery. The recurrence incidence of paroxysmal postoperative AF was 21.3% (26 of 122) within 1 year. Multiple logistic regression analysis revealed that left atrial diameter (odds ratio [OR] 1.13; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.27; p=0.040), left ventricular ejection fraction (OR 0.91; 95% CI 0.83-0.98; p=0.013), and intraoperative hypotension (OR 5.04; 95% CI 1.20-21.69; p=0.025) were significant risk factors for paroxysmal postoperative AF recurrence.

Conclusions: Larger left atrial diameter, lower left ventricular ejection fraction, and intraoperative hypotension may be associated with AF recurrence in older patients with paroxysmal postoperative AF after thoracoscopic surgery. It could be helpful to identify patients at high risk of AF recurrence and advise active monitoring.

背景:电视胸腔镜手术(VATS)后房颤(atrial fibrillation, AF)是老年患者继发性房颤最常见的一种形式,临床上易复发甚至引起持续性房颤,需要长期的临床治疗。目的分析术后阵发性房颤复发的术前及术中危险因素。方法:收集2013年6月至2022年12月北京协和医院行VATS及术后阵发性房颤患者的资料。我们采用多变量logistic回归分析研究了AF患者发病后1年内的复发率以及术前和术中潜在的危险因素。结果:在本研究中接受VATS的2920例患者中,122例(4.2%)在术后30天内发生阵发性房颤。术后阵发性房颤1年内复发率为21.3%(26 / 122)。多元logistic回归分析显示,左房内径(比值比[OR] 1.13; 95%可信区间[CI] 1.01 ~ 1.27; p=0.040)、左室射血分数(比值比[OR] 0.91; 95% CI 0.83 ~ 0.98; p=0.013)、术中低血压(比值比[OR] 5.04; 95% CI 1.20 ~ 21.69; p=0.025)是AF术后阵发性复发的重要危险因素。结论:较大的左房内径、较低的左室射血分数和术中低血压可能与胸腔镜术后老年阵发性房颤患者房颤复发有关。这可能有助于识别房颤复发的高风险患者,并建议积极监测。
{"title":"The Preoperative and Intraoperative Risk Factors With 1-Year Recurrence of New-Onset Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation After Thoracoscopic Surgery in Older Patients.","authors":"Huiying Zhou, Yue Han, Zijia Liu, Yu Zhang, Yuelun Zhang, Le Shen","doi":"10.1016/j.hlc.2025.06.1025","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hlc.2025.06.1025","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Postoperative atrial fibrillation (AF) after video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery (VATS) is the most prevalent form of secondary AF in older patients, which is likely to recur or even cause persistent AF and may receive long-term clinical treatment in clinically. We aimed to analyse the preoperative and intraoperative risk factors for the recurrence of paroxysmal postoperative AF.</p><p><strong>Method: </strong>Data were collected from patients who underwent VATS and experienced paroxysmal postoperative AF at Peking Union Medical College Hospital between June 2013 and December 2022. We studied the incidence of AF recurrence within 1 year after initial occurrence and the potential preoperative and intraoperative risk factors using multivariable logistic regression analyses.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of the 2,920 patients who underwent VATS in this study, 122 (4.2%) suffered paroxysmal postoperative AF within 30 days after surgery. The recurrence incidence of paroxysmal postoperative AF was 21.3% (26 of 122) within 1 year. Multiple logistic regression analysis revealed that left atrial diameter (odds ratio [OR] 1.13; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.27; p=0.040), left ventricular ejection fraction (OR 0.91; 95% CI 0.83-0.98; p=0.013), and intraoperative hypotension (OR 5.04; 95% CI 1.20-21.69; p=0.025) were significant risk factors for paroxysmal postoperative AF recurrence.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Larger left atrial diameter, lower left ventricular ejection fraction, and intraoperative hypotension may be associated with AF recurrence in older patients with paroxysmal postoperative AF after thoracoscopic surgery. It could be helpful to identify patients at high risk of AF recurrence and advise active monitoring.</p>","PeriodicalId":13000,"journal":{"name":"Heart, Lung and Circulation","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2025-12-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145833877","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
External Validation of the 2023 Australian Cardiovascular Risk Calculator. 2023年澳大利亚心血管风险计算器的外部验证
IF 2.2 4区 医学 Q2 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.hlc.2025.08.029
Grace Barwick, Stephen Hancock, Shu Ren, Alexis Hure, John Attia

Background: The Australian Cardiovascular (CVD) Disease Risk Calculator is used to estimate the individual risk of developing cardiovascular disease in the next 5 years. A new version was recently published (July 2023), with the aim of improving on the predictive performance of its predecessor (released in 2012). We present the findings of an external validation study comparing the predictive performance of the 2023 and 2012 Australian CVD risk calculators using data prospectively collected in the Hunter Community Study (HCS; NSW Australia), a longitudinal community-based cohort of people aged 55-85 years.

Methods: We compared the risk predicted by the two calculators to the observed 5-year events in the HCS, in terms of discrimination (using area under the receiver operator characteristic curve, AUROC), calibration (using observed vs expected, O/E, ratio), sensitivity, and specificity.

Results: Discrimination was very similar for the 2023 and 2012 calculators, with AUROC measured to be 0.71 95% confidence interval (CI; 0.66, 0.75) and 0.71 95% CI (0.67, 0.75), respectively. With the updated calculator, sensitivity was better in males, while specificity was better in females; there were also modest improvements in positive likelihood ratios for both males and females. The 2023 calculator was found to overpredict risk for males (O/E ratio 0.57, p<0.001), but was better calibrated for females (O/E ratio 1.02, p=0.46).

Conclusions: We conclude that the 2023 calculator provides some improvements in the prediction of CVD, specifically the positive likelihood ratios. However, there are also benefits in observing the old 2012 calculator for some purposes and specific population groups. We find that there is a need for a larger, nationwide cohort to allow further external validation of the 2023 Australian CVD Risk Calculator.

背景:澳大利亚心血管(CVD)疾病风险计算器用于估计未来5年内发生心血管疾病的个体风险。最近发布了一个新版本(2023年7月),旨在改进其前身(2012年发布)的预测性能。我们提出了一项外部验证研究的结果,该研究使用猎人社区研究(HCS;新南威尔士州)前瞻性收集的数据,比较了2023年和2012年澳大利亚心血管疾病风险计算器的预测性能,这是一项年龄在55-85岁之间的纵向社区队列研究。方法:我们将两种计算器预测的风险与HCS中观察到的5年事件进行区分(使用接收者操作者特征曲线下面积,AUROC)、校准(使用观察vs预期,O/E,比率)、敏感性和特异性方面的比较。结果:2023年和2012年计算器的鉴别非常相似,AUROC测量值分别为0.71 95%置信区间(CI; 0.66, 0.75)和0.71 95% CI(0.67, 0.75)。使用更新后的计算器,男性的敏感性更好,而女性的特异性更好;男性和女性的正似然比也有适度的改善。结论:2023计算器在CVD的预测方面有一定的改进,特别是正似然比。然而,在某些目的和特定人群中,观察2012年旧计算器也有好处。我们发现需要一个更大的全国性队列,以便对2023年澳大利亚心血管疾病风险计算器进行进一步的外部验证。
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引用次数: 0
Comprehensive Symptom Assessment of Patients With End-Stage Heart Failure Referred to Palliative Care. 终末期心力衰竭患者姑息治疗的综合症状评估。
IF 2.2 4区 医学 Q2 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-12-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.hlc.2025.08.024
Brian R Fernandes, Janet A Newton, Kim Betts, Caitlin Sheehan

Background: Patients with end-stage heart failure experience a significant symptom burden that is often poorly controlled. Although palliative care can improve symptom management and reduce hospital admissions, many patients still die in acute care settings. The unpredictable course of end-stage heart failure complicates the identification of patients who would benefit from early palliative care referral. To address this challenge, an integrated cardiac supportive care service was developed to engage these patients early, optimise symptom control, and ensure timely access to palliative care.

Aim: The aim of this study is to document the symptom burden, using Patient-Reported Outcome Measures, for patients with end-stage heart failure on admission to the cardiac supportive care service.

Method: A prospective observational study was undertaken in a tertiary hospital service in Sydney, Australia between January 2020 and July 2022. Patients were included if they had a recent admission for heart failure or had heart failure with breathlessness or chest pain at rest or on minimal effort. The cardiac supportive care service, consisting of initial home visits and follow-up reviews conducted by a palliative care physician and cardiac nurse practitioner, collected information using the Dyspnoea-12 (D-12) Questionnaire and the Integrated Palliative Care Outcome Scale (IPOS). Symptom scores from these tools were analysed in relation to patient mortality, with Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox regression used to assess the association between symptom burden and time to death.

Results: A total of 114 patients were included in this study. Both the IPOS and D-12 scores indicated a substantial and clinically relevant symptom burden for this cohort of patients. High mean scores on the IPOS were observed for weakness (2.6, standard deviation [SD] 1.2), shortness of breath (2.6, SD 1.2), and sore/dry mouth (2.5, SD 1.3). Sore/dry mouth was the most frequent severe or overwhelming symptom (59%). The D-12 showed that descriptors of breathlessness most commonly rated as severe were "My breathing is exhausting" (40%), "My breathing is distressing" (39%), and "I feel short of breath" (38%). Patients with an IPOS score in the highest quartile had an elevated mortality risk. The survival of patients in this cohort was 17.1 months.

Conclusions: Patients with end-stage heart failure experience a substantial and frequently severe symptom burden, including breathlessness, dry mouth, and weakness. This study demonstrates the significant unmet need in this patient population and highlights the opportunity for integrated and proactive palliative care, delivered through a cardiac supportive care service. This model of care can optimise symptom management, facilitate advance care planning, and ensure timely referral to palliative care.

背景:终末期心力衰竭患者有显著的症状负担,且往往控制不佳。虽然姑息治疗可以改善症状管理并减少住院率,但许多患者仍然死于急性护理环境。终末期心力衰竭的不可预测的过程复杂的识别患者谁将受益于早期姑息治疗转诊。为了应对这一挑战,开发了一种综合心脏支持护理服务,以尽早吸引这些患者,优化症状控制,并确保及时获得姑息治疗。目的:本研究的目的是使用患者报告的结果测量方法,记录终末期心力衰竭患者在进入心脏支持护理服务时的症状负担。方法:2020年1月至2022年7月在澳大利亚悉尼的一家三级医院进行了一项前瞻性观察研究。如果患者最近因心力衰竭或心力衰竭伴有呼吸困难或胸痛,则包括在休息或最小努力下。心脏支持护理服务包括由姑息治疗医生和心脏护理从业人员进行的首次家访和随访回顾,使用呼吸困难-12 (D-12)问卷和综合姑息治疗结局量表(IPOS)收集信息。分析这些工具的症状评分与患者死亡率的关系,使用Kaplan-Meier生存曲线和Cox回归来评估症状负担与死亡时间之间的关系。结果:本研究共纳入114例患者。IPOS和D-12评分均表明该队列患者存在大量临床相关的症状负担。在IPOS中,虚弱(2.6,标准差[SD] 1.2)、呼吸短促(2.6,SD 1.2)和口痛/口干(2.5,SD 1.3)的平均得分较高。口痛/口干是最常见的严重或压倒性症状(59%)。D-12显示,描述呼吸困难最常被评为严重的是“我的呼吸很累”(40%),“我的呼吸很痛苦”(39%)和“我感到呼吸短促”(38%)。IPOS评分在最高四分位数的患者死亡风险较高。该队列患者的生存期为17.1个月。结论:终末期心力衰竭患者经历大量且经常严重的症状负担,包括呼吸困难、口干和虚弱。这项研究表明,在这一患者群体中,有重要的未满足的需求,并强调了通过心脏支持护理服务提供综合和主动姑息治疗的机会。这种护理模式可以优化症状管理,促进提前护理计划,并确保及时转诊到姑息治疗。
{"title":"Comprehensive Symptom Assessment of Patients With End-Stage Heart Failure Referred to Palliative Care.","authors":"Brian R Fernandes, Janet A Newton, Kim Betts, Caitlin Sheehan","doi":"10.1016/j.hlc.2025.08.024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hlc.2025.08.024","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Patients with end-stage heart failure experience a significant symptom burden that is often poorly controlled. Although palliative care can improve symptom management and reduce hospital admissions, many patients still die in acute care settings. The unpredictable course of end-stage heart failure complicates the identification of patients who would benefit from early palliative care referral. To address this challenge, an integrated cardiac supportive care service was developed to engage these patients early, optimise symptom control, and ensure timely access to palliative care.</p><p><strong>Aim: </strong>The aim of this study is to document the symptom burden, using Patient-Reported Outcome Measures, for patients with end-stage heart failure on admission to the cardiac supportive care service.</p><p><strong>Method: </strong>A prospective observational study was undertaken in a tertiary hospital service in Sydney, Australia between January 2020 and July 2022. Patients were included if they had a recent admission for heart failure or had heart failure with breathlessness or chest pain at rest or on minimal effort. The cardiac supportive care service, consisting of initial home visits and follow-up reviews conducted by a palliative care physician and cardiac nurse practitioner, collected information using the Dyspnoea-12 (D-12) Questionnaire and the Integrated Palliative Care Outcome Scale (IPOS). Symptom scores from these tools were analysed in relation to patient mortality, with Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox regression used to assess the association between symptom burden and time to death.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 114 patients were included in this study. Both the IPOS and D-12 scores indicated a substantial and clinically relevant symptom burden for this cohort of patients. High mean scores on the IPOS were observed for weakness (2.6, standard deviation [SD] 1.2), shortness of breath (2.6, SD 1.2), and sore/dry mouth (2.5, SD 1.3). Sore/dry mouth was the most frequent severe or overwhelming symptom (59%). The D-12 showed that descriptors of breathlessness most commonly rated as severe were \"My breathing is exhausting\" (40%), \"My breathing is distressing\" (39%), and \"I feel short of breath\" (38%). Patients with an IPOS score in the highest quartile had an elevated mortality risk. The survival of patients in this cohort was 17.1 months.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Patients with end-stage heart failure experience a substantial and frequently severe symptom burden, including breathlessness, dry mouth, and weakness. This study demonstrates the significant unmet need in this patient population and highlights the opportunity for integrated and proactive palliative care, delivered through a cardiac supportive care service. This model of care can optimise symptom management, facilitate advance care planning, and ensure timely referral to palliative care.</p>","PeriodicalId":13000,"journal":{"name":"Heart, Lung and Circulation","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2025-12-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145751759","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A Nomogram to Predict Patient Mortality After Linear Ventriculoplasty for Left Ventricular Aneurysm. 预测左室动脉瘤线性脑室成形术后患者死亡率的Nomogram。
IF 2.2 4区 医学 Q2 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.hlc.2025.06.1026
Xieraili Tiemuerniyazi, Yangwu Song, Liangcai Chen, Shicheng Zhang, Hao Ma, Yifeng Nan, Ziang Yang, Wei Zhao, Wei Feng

Background: The long-term mortality of patients undergoing linear ventriculoplasty (LVP) for ischaemic left ventricular aneurysm (LVA) varies. This study aimed to develop a risk prediction model for mortality after LVP.

Method: A total of 741 patients with an ischaemic anterior-wall LVA who underwent LVP between January 1999 and March 2021 at Fuwai Hospital were retrospectively enrolled, and 22 clinical features were assessed. The entire cohort was randomly grouped into training and validation cohorts in a ratio of 8:2. Backward stepwise elimination approach and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression were used for feature selection. A nomogram was developed based on a multivariable Cox regression model. The performance of the model was evaluated using discrimination and calibration. Decision curve analysis was performed to test the clinical usefulness.

Results: The mean age was 58.6 (standard deviation 9.6) years, and 15.8% of the patients were female. The mean ejection fraction was 42.8% (8.5%). Coronary artery bypass grafting was performed in 93.4% of the patients. During a median follow-up of 60 months, 105 patients died. Eight features were selected and included in the multivariable Cox regression-based nomogram. The model achieved good calibration and discriminative ability as indicated by the concordance index (training 0.71; validation 0.77). Decision curve analysis showed the model had good clinical usefulness.

Conclusions: In this study, a nomogram with relatively good performance was developed to predict individualised long-term mortality after LVP in patients with an ischaemic anterior-wall LVA. However, external validation is needed.

背景:缺血性左室动脉瘤(LVA)患者行线性脑室成形术(LVP)的长期死亡率各不相同。本研究旨在建立大静脉栓塞术后死亡率的风险预测模型。方法:回顾性分析阜外医院1999年1月至2021年3月行LVP的741例缺血性前壁LVA患者,对22项临床特征进行评估。整个队列随机分为训练组和验证组,比例为8:2。采用逆向逐步消除法、最小绝对收缩法和选择算子回归进行特征选择。在多变量Cox回归模型的基础上建立了nomogram。通过判别和标定对模型的性能进行了评价。采用决策曲线分析检验其临床应用价值。结果:患者平均年龄58.6岁(标准差9.6),女性占15.8%。平均射血分数为42.8%(8.5%)。93.4%的患者行冠状动脉旁路移植术。在中位随访60个月期间,105名患者死亡。选取8个特征并纳入基于多变量Cox回归的nomogram。一致性指数表明,该模型具有良好的校准和判别能力(训练值0.71,验证值0.77)。决策曲线分析表明该模型具有良好的临床应用价值。结论:在这项研究中,开发了一种性能相对较好的nomogram来预测缺血性前壁LVA患者在LVP后的个体化长期死亡率。然而,需要外部验证。
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引用次数: 0
Reducing Healthcare Costs by Predicting the Spontaneous Termination of Atrial Fibrillation: A Simulation Study. 通过预测心房颤动的自动终止来降低医疗费用:一项模拟研究。
IF 2.2 4区 医学 Q2 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-12-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.hlc.2025.06.1023
Brandon Wadforth, Taylor Strube, Jing Soong Goh, Anand N Ganesan

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) significantly contributes to rising healthcare costs in Australia, with inpatient care accounting for most expenses. Recent literature has explored the use of a "wait-and-see" approach to managing patients presenting to emergency departments with primary AF given the high rate of spontaneous cardioversion (SCV), thereby avoiding invasive cardioversion and costly hospital admission. Limited adoption of this model of care may stem from challenges in identifying patients who truly need admission. To address this, predictive models for SCV are being explored. Our study aims to determine the accuracy threshold at which such models achieve cost savings by preventing unnecessary AF admissions.

Method: A decision-analytic model was used alongside Monte Carlo simulations to estimate the variability in cost per patient with changes in prediction model accuracy and expected rates of SCV. Estimated costs were derived from a sample of patients presenting to Flinders Medical Centre or Noarlunga Hospital, South Australia in 2022-2023 with primary AF.

Results: There were 669 admissions at Flinders Medical Centre or Noarlunga Hospital for primary AF in 2022-2023. SCV occurred in 240 (35.9%) cases, representing potentially avoidable admissions. The base case cost per admission was AUD$5,793.94, further increasing to $7,009.42 if interhospital transfer was required. The point at which cost benefit would be observed in our patient cohort was between 60% and 70% accuracy. There was an incremental reduction in cost in relation to increasing prediction model accuracy or population SCV rate.

Conclusions: Predicting SCV with an accuracy of 60%-70% in patients presenting with primary AF results in cost savings and reduced hospital bed utilisation through avoiding unnecessary admissions.

背景:房颤(AF)显著增加了澳大利亚的医疗保健费用,其中住院护理占大部分费用。最近的文献探讨了使用“观望”方法来管理因自发性心律转复(SCV)率高而到急诊室就诊的原发性房颤患者,从而避免了有创性心律转复和昂贵的住院费用。这种护理模式的有限采用可能源于识别真正需要住院的患者的挑战。为了解决这个问题,人们正在探索SCV的预测模型。我们的研究旨在确定这种模型通过防止不必要的房颤入院来实现成本节约的准确性阈值。方法:使用决策分析模型和蒙特卡罗模拟来估计每位患者的成本随预测模型准确性和预期SCV率的变化而变化。估计费用来源于2022-2023年在南澳大利亚弗林德斯医疗中心或Noarlunga医院就诊的原发性房源性房源患者样本。结果:2022-2023年,弗林德斯医疗中心或Noarlunga医院有669例原发性房源性房源入院。SCV发生240例(35.9%),意味着可以避免入院。每次住院的基本费用为5,793.94澳元,如果需要医院间转院,则进一步增加到7,009.42澳元。在我们的患者队列中观察到的成本效益点在60%到70%之间。随着预测模型准确性或种群SCV率的提高,成本会逐渐降低。结论:预测原发性房颤患者SCV的准确率为60%-70%,通过避免不必要的住院,节省了成本并减少了病床的使用。
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Heart, Lung and Circulation
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