This study addresses the critical challenge of accurately characterizing the infrared radiation signatures of marine vessels by coupling internal propulsion-system heat source predictions with external environmental factors. Using a comprehensive thermodynamic model developed in MATLAB/Simulink, we predict the influence of variable specific heat and oil–gas ratios on the vessel’s power system. These predictions are incorporated into a coupled heat transfer model that accounts for solar, sky, and sea radiation, as well as interactions with hull water and plume wake. The temperature distribution on the vessel’s surface, particularly on the chimney and radar, is identified as the primary factor influencing infrared emissions. Under sailing conditions, these surfaces reach temperatures up to 464 K, significantly higher than other vessel areas (around 300 K), and dominate the overall infrared signature. High-fidelity simulations, validated through iso-scale CUBI experiments with an average error of 1 K, show that the exhaust plume exhibits a peak radiance of 6.85 W/(m2·sr) in the 3–5 μm band, while the vessel’s signature peaks at 40.3 W/(m2·sr) in the 8–12 μm band. Analysis of the temperature and flow fields reveals a clear progression from internal heat generation to the resulting infrared radiation of the external surface and wake. For instance, the interior wall of the flue reaches 440 K, markedly higher than the exterior wall (340 K), underscoring the dominant effects of exhaust temperature and flow rate on the infrared signature. These results indicate that effective infrared suppression strategies should prioritize insulation and flow control in exhaust systems. The integrated modeling approach achieves a simulated temperature of 1042.05 K for power system components, deviating by only 0.7 % from the surveyed value of 1049.4 K. This work offers practical insights for naval stealth design and the deployment of infrared sensors in maritime environments.
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