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Rates of Return to Four‐Year University Education: An Application of Regression Discontinuity Design 四年制大学教育的回报率:回归不连续设计的应用
Pub Date : 2018-10-01 DOI: 10.1111/sjoe.12251
Elliott Fan, Xin Meng, Zhichao Wei, Guochang Zhao
It is invariably difficult to estimate the rate of return to university education, because of the problem of omitted variable bias. Using a regression discontinuity design, we estimate the effect of a four‐year university education on earnings, and we explore the pathways through which the effect operates. Our estimation exploits the centralized, score‐based college/university admission system in China, where the minimum scores required for university admission are externally determined by the provincial governments. Our findings suggest that being eligible for four‐year university admission implies a sizable increase in earnings. The payoff can be attributed to the prolonged length of education and improvements in education quality, although the quality effects cannot be precisely estimated.
由于忽略变量偏差的问题,估计大学教育的回报率总是困难的。使用回归不连续设计,我们估计了四年制大学教育对收入的影响,并探索了影响作用的途径。我们的估计利用了中国集中的、基于分数的学院/大学录取系统,其中大学录取所需的最低分数是由省级政府外部确定的。我们的研究结果表明,有资格进入四年制大学意味着收入的大幅增加。收益可以归因于教育时间的延长和教育质量的提高,尽管质量效应无法精确估计。
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引用次数: 9
Az önvezető autók és a felelősségteljes innováció (Self-Driving Vehicles and Responsible Innovation) Az önvezető autók samas a felelősségteljes innováció(自动驾驶汽车和负责任的创新)
Pub Date : 2018-09-11 DOI: 10.18414/ksz.2018.9.949
Miklós Lukovics, Beáta Udvari, Bence Zuti, Béla Kézi
Napjaink uralkodo globalis megatrendje, a digitalizacio figyelemre melto megoldasokkal kivanja az emberiseg eletet megkonnyiteni. Ezek kozul is kiemelkednek az onvezető autok, amelyeket a szakirodalom a radikalis innovaciok koze sorol, utalva arra, hogy az onvezető autok tomeges elterjedese nemcsak az emberiseg mindennapi eletet, de - tobbek kozott - a varosok szerkezetet es a kozlekedes szamos jellemzőjet is gyokeresen megvaltoztatja. Az onvezető autok fejlesztese az utolso tesztfazisban van: jelenleg mar 76 varos kozutjain, az utcai forgalomban vegzik a technologia utolso simitasait. E radikalis innovacio azonban megosztja a kozvelemenyt, aminek leginkabb az az oka, hogy az onvezető jarművek a megbizhatosagukon tul szamos - tarsadalmi, etikai, kornyezeti es gazdasagi - kerdest vetnek fel, amelyekre jelenleg meg nincsenek valaszok. E tanulmany celja, hogy feltarja e temakor leginkabb vitatott kihivasait, amelyek jelenlegi ismereteink szerint extrem modon fogjak felforgatni minden civilizacioban elő ember napi eletvitelet. Az onvezető autok kerdeskoret a felelőssegteljes innovacio keretrendszerebe agyazzuk, amelynek segitsegevel a feltart kihivasok kezelhetők. Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kod: O14, O18, O33.
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引用次数: 8
Inter-Sector Technology Spillover Effects on Technology Diffusion: A Social Network Analysis 部门间技术溢出效应对技术扩散的影响:一个社会网络分析
Pub Date : 2018-09-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3243493
Manuela Magalhães
In the second half of the twenty century the U.S. economy went through important transformations in terms of both production and network structure between sectors, and also in terms of technology adoption. Using a network perspective we question how these changes in the inter-sector network structure have influenced the process of technology adoption. To address this issue we map Input-Output Use Tables from 1945-1995 into a weighted directed network. We found that: (i) the local and global production network properties are directly related to size of the local and global technology spillovers, (ii) the local and free global spillovers have, in general, a statistically significant and positive effect on technology diffusion, (iii) on the contrary, the controlled global technology spillovers captured by the network betweenness have, in general, a negative effect on technology diffusion, and (iv) both local and global incoming spillover effects tend to be relatively more important than the outgoing spillovers.
在20世纪下半叶,美国经济在生产和部门之间的网络结构以及技术采用方面都经历了重要的转变。从网络的角度来看,我们质疑部门间网络结构的这些变化如何影响技术采用的过程。为了解决这个问题,我们将1945-1995年的投入产出使用表映射到一个加权有向网络中。我们发现:(1)本地和全球生产网络属性与本地和全球技术溢出的规模直接相关;(2)本地和自由的全球溢出通常对技术扩散具有统计显著的积极影响;(3)相反,网络间性捕获的受控全球技术溢出通常对技术扩散具有负面影响。(4)本地和全球的流入溢出效应往往比流出溢出效应更为重要。
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引用次数: 1
Indigenous Technology Standards for Development: The Case of China 自主技术标准促进发展:以中国为例
Pub Date : 2018-08-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3239482
Michael Murphree, Dan Breznitz
Research since the 1980s has considered the economic and innovation impacts of technology standards policies. This paper extends the research on the impact of standardization policies to consider how the policies themselves, governing how the standards are created, determine standards’ impact on emerging economies’ economic performance and innovation capabilities. Using four cases of digital technology standardization in China, this paper finds that combinations of government financial and market support and openness to domestic and foreign contributors determines how and when digital standardization begets positive technological and economic impacts for firms. This paper contributes to our understanding of international technology upgrading in emerging economies, as well as suggesting policies for successful economic upgrading in large emerging economies.
自20世纪80年代以来的研究考虑了技术标准政策对经济和创新的影响。本文扩展了标准化政策影响的研究,考虑政策本身如何决定标准对新兴经济体经济绩效和创新能力的影响,这些政策决定了标准的制定方式。本文利用中国数字技术标准化的四个案例,发现政府财政和市场支持的组合以及对国内外贡献者的开放程度决定了数字标准化如何以及何时为企业带来积极的技术和经济影响。本文有助于我们理解新兴经济体的国际技术升级,并为大型新兴经济体成功实现经济升级提供政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Migration Processes: Russia's Population May Shrink 移民进程:俄罗斯人口可能减少
Pub Date : 2018-07-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3223437
N. Mkrtchyan, Y. Florinskaya
As migration growth in Russia’s population keeps falling, Russia may face a renewed reduction of its population as early as this year amid the natural decline in the population. This situation is driven by a decreased migration growth from Ukraine amid a weak recovery of the migration inflow from Central Asian countries. Migrants’ payments to Russian regions’ budgets keep growing.
随着俄罗斯人口中的移民增长持续下降,随着人口的自然减少,俄罗斯最早可能在今年面临新一轮人口减少。造成这种情况的原因是,来自乌克兰的移民增长减少,而来自中亚国家的移民流入复苏乏力。移民支付给俄罗斯地区预算的款项持续增长。
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引用次数: 0
Where Does Profit Sharing Work Best? A Meta-Analysis on the Role of Unions, Culture, and Values 利润分享在哪里最有效?工会、文化和价值观作用的元分析
Pub Date : 2018-07-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3209711
C. Doucouliagos, P. Laroche, D. Kruse, T. Stanley
In this article we re-examine the relationship between group-based profit sharing and productivity. Our meta-regression analysis of 313 estimates from 56 studies controls for publication selection and misspecification biases and investigates the impact of firm level unionisation and national differences in values and culture. Profit sharing is positively related to productivity on average, with a stronger relationship where there is higher unionisation and in countries where honesty is less highly valued and there are higher levels of individualism. The latter two results suggest profit sharing works best in settings where cooperation does not naturally occur. The positive effect of profit sharing on productivity is larger in cooperative firms and in transition economies.
在本文中,我们重新审视了以集团为基础的利润分享与生产率之间的关系。我们对来自56项研究的313项估计进行了元回归分析,控制了出版物选择和错误说明偏差,并调查了公司层面工会化和国家价值观和文化差异的影响。平均而言,利润分享与生产率呈正相关,在工会化程度较高、诚信不那么受重视、个人主义程度较高的国家,这种关系更强。后两个结果表明,利润分享在合作不自然发生的情况下效果最好。利润分享对生产率的积极影响在合作型企业和转型经济中更大。
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引用次数: 7
The Relationship between Fertility & Female Labor Market Outcomes: Empirical Evidence from Russia 生育率与女性劳动力市场结果的关系:来自俄罗斯的经验证据
Pub Date : 2018-07-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3209896
Evgeniia Popova
This Thesis examines the relationship between fertility and female employment patterns in Russia, using the data from the Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey (RLMS) spanning between 1992 and 2016. Results indicate a negative association between fertility measure (proxied by having children under 10 years old) and female labor market outcomes, which support the previous empirical evidence on this topic. However, due to the specifics of Russian labor market our findings could be of especial note. Thus, our results show that mothers with young children are punished twice in a Russian labor market. Firstly, due to the observed phenomenon of a “motherhood wage gap,�? which implies reduced opportunities to climb the career ladder (for women with children compared to the childless women). And secondly, due to persistence of “job segregation by gender,�? which keeps women (including those with children) out of high-skilled jobs in the most highly paid industries and pushes them further toward a job in a government budgetary sector (like Education, Healthcare or Consumer Services) which is the “lowest-paid�? job in Russia. The study contributes to the existing literature in several ways. First, it goes beyond the binary nature of the female labor participation indicator and provides empirical evidence from different labor market outcomes. Second, it provides an up-to-date analysis based on recent data (up to 2016) for Russia aiming to lessen the gap in existing research, which mostly relies on data from an earlier period. Lastly, this study provides an up-to-date literature review summarizing research results in the related field from the last decade.
本文利用1992年至2016年俄罗斯纵向监测调查(RLMS)的数据,研究了俄罗斯生育率与女性就业模式之间的关系。结果表明,生育措施(以生育10岁以下儿童为代表)与女性劳动力市场结果之间存在负相关关系,这支持了之前关于这一主题的经验证据。然而,由于俄罗斯劳动力市场的特殊性,我们的研究结果可能特别值得注意。因此,我们的研究结果表明,在俄罗斯劳动力市场上,有年幼孩子的母亲受到了两次惩罚。首先,由于观察到的“母亲工资差距”现象,?这意味着(有孩子的女性与没有孩子的女性相比)攀登职业阶梯的机会减少了。其次,由于“性别工作隔离”的持续存在,这使得女性(包括有孩子的女性)无法在收入最高的行业中从事高技能工作,而进一步将她们推向“收入最低”的政府预算部门(如教育、医疗保健或消费者服务)。在俄罗斯工作。这项研究在几个方面对现有文献有所贡献。首先,它超越了女性劳动参与指标的二元性,提供了来自不同劳动力市场结果的经验证据。其次,它根据最近的数据(截至2016年)为俄罗斯提供了最新的分析,旨在缩小现有研究的差距,这些研究主要依赖于较早时期的数据。最后,本研究提供了最新的文献综述,总结了近十年来相关领域的研究成果。
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引用次数: 1
Living Wage a Relevant Topic for Europe 生活工资是欧洲的一个相关话题
Pub Date : 2018-06-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3211830
B. Fabo
This policy brief examines the concept of a ‘Living Wage’ and its place in European political discourse. A Living wage is commonly understood as a needs-based estimate of the funds necessary for provision of basic goods for a worker and his/her family. Although the idea has seen a resurgence following the launch of the European Pillar of social rights, there is still no widely accepted conceptualization of it, or its relationship with statutory minimum wages now in place in many countries. The Briefing shows that minimum wages, particularly in Eastern EU countries, are often insufficient to cover the actual living costs of workers, even with very minimal conception of what these are.
本政策简报探讨了“生活工资”的概念及其在欧洲政治话语中的地位。生活工资通常被理解为对工人及其家庭提供基本商品所需资金的基于需求的估计。虽然在发起欧洲社会权利支柱之后,这一想法重新抬头,但仍然没有被广泛接受的概念,或者它与许多国家目前实行的法定最低工资的关系。《简报》显示,最低工资,特别是在东欧国家,往往不足以支付工人的实际生活成本,即使对这些是什么有最基本的概念。
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引用次数: 1
The Input-Output Analysis of Blue Industries: Comparative Study of Estonia and Finland 蓝色产业的投入产出分析:爱沙尼亚与芬兰的比较研究
Pub Date : 2018-05-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3176955
Gaygysyz Ashyrov, T. Paas, Maryna Tverdostup
The paper focuses on examining the role of blue industries in the national economies of Estonia and Finland as two neighbouring countries that have a sea border. We exploit the Input-Output (I-O) methodology to analyse inter-industry linkages relying on the OECD I-O tables. The OECD database comprises information on 34 sectors of the national economy over the period 1995–2011. The results of the analysis show that despite rather weak overall backward and forward linkages of aggregated blue industries within the national economies, they play a remarkable role in the economic activities of maritime regions, and to a large extent drive the economic success of Estonian and Finnish regional and national economies in generating new growth and employment. The weak backward and forward linkages indicate that negative dynamics within the blue economy yield rather weak negative externalities for the overall economy, and by contrast, if the national economy as a whole is suffering under a crisis, the potential impact on industries is not particularly remarkable. These findings suggest that blue industries are relatively independent within national economies having a remarkable role in socio-economic development of maritime regions, and thereby, create good preconditions for the stable development of cross-border cooperation between the maritime regions of both countries.
本文的重点是研究蓝色产业在爱沙尼亚和芬兰这两个有海洋边界的邻国的国民经济中的作用。我们利用投入产出(I-O)方法来分析依靠经合组织I-O表的产业间联系。经合组织数据库包括1995年至2011年期间国民经济34个部门的信息。分析的结果表明,尽管在国民经济中,蓝色工业总量之间的全面向后和向前联系相当薄弱,但它们在海洋区域的经济活动中发挥了显著的作用,并在很大程度上推动了爱沙尼亚和芬兰区域和国家经济在创造新的增长和就业方面的经济成功。弱的向后和向前联系表明,蓝色经济内部的负动态对整体经济产生相当弱的负外部性,相比之下,如果国民经济作为一个整体遭受危机,对工业的潜在影响并不特别显著。研究结果表明,蓝色产业在国民经济中相对独立,对海洋区域的社会经济发展具有显著作用,从而为两国海洋区域跨境合作的稳定发展创造了良好的前提条件。
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引用次数: 7
Russian Tourist Market in 2017. Results and Prospects 2017年俄罗斯旅游市场。结果与展望
Pub Date : 2018-05-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3175169
A. Glagolev
The article reviews the dramatic changes of Moscow аnd Russian tourist market in 2017 and describes the possible development of the tourist business in 2018.
文章回顾了2017年莫斯科和俄罗斯旅游市场的巨大变化,并描述了2018年旅游业务可能的发展。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Institutions & Transition Economics: Microeconomic Issues eJournal
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