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Fourth Industrial Revolution and Algorithms: New Challenges for Policy Design 第四次工业革命与算法:政策设计的新挑战
Pub Date : 2021-05-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3838920
Tanya Heikkila, A. Wellstead
Since the beginning of this century, ‘disruptive technologies, such as artificial intelligence, blockchain, big data, autonomous vehicles, and genetic editing, have transformed the economic and social fabric of peoples’ lives. Some colloquially refer to these changes as the 4th industrial revolution. This has led to a wide range of emerging policy issues centered on three policy areas: ethics, security, and research and development. Unlike the earlier digital policy literature that was focused on the application of informational technology, this chapter explores the role of algorithms that underlie these technologies. In this chapter, we raise key-related considerations for algorithmic policy design. First, codesign and nudging are two emerging tools applied in algorithmic policy design. Second, collaboration and learning are central processes. Finally, we highlight two important policy design outputs: trust and public value.
自本世纪初以来,人工智能、区块链、大数据、自动驾驶汽车和基因编辑等颠覆性技术已经改变了人们生活的经济和社会结构。一些人将这些变化通俗地称为第四次工业革命。这导致了一系列新出现的政策问题,主要集中在三个政策领域:道德、安全和研究与发展。与早期关注信息技术应用的数字政策文献不同,本章探讨了作为这些技术基础的算法的作用。在本章中,我们提出了算法策略设计的关键相关考虑因素。首先,协同设计和助推是两种应用于算法政策设计的新兴工具。第二,协作和学习是核心过程。最后,我们强调了两个重要的政策设计产出:信任和公共价值。
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引用次数: 0
Science as a Public Good: Public Use and Funding of Science 科学作为一种公共产品:科学的公共使用和资助
Pub Date : 2021-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3837737
Yian Yin, Yuxiao Dong, Kuansan Wang, Dashun Wang, Benjamin F. Jones
Knowledge of how science is consumed in public domains is essential for a deeper understanding of the role of science in human society. While science is heavily supported by public funding, common depictions suggest that scientific research remains an isolated or ‘ivory tower’ activity, with weak connectivity to public use, little relationship between the quality of research and its public use, and little correspondence between the funding of science and its public use. This paper introduces a measurement framework to examine public good features of science, allowing us to study public uses of science, the public funding of science, and how use and funding relate. Specifically, we integrate five large-scale datasets that link scientific publications from all scientific fields to their upstream funding support and downstream public uses across three public domains – government documents, the news media, and marketplace invention. We find that the public uses of science are extremely diverse, with different public domains drawing distinctively across scientific fields. Yet amidst these differences, we find key forms of alignment in the interface between science and society. First, despite concerns that the public does not engage high-quality science, we find universal alignment, in each scientific field and public domain, between what the public consumes and what is highly impactful within science. Second, despite myriad factors underpinning the public funding of science, the resulting allocation across fields presents a striking alignment with the field’s collective public use. Overall, public uses of science present a rich landscape of specialized consumption, yet collectively science and society interface with remarkable, quantifiable alignment between scientific use, public use, and funding. Institutional subscribers to the NBER working paper series, and residents of developing countries may download this paper without additional charge at www.nber.org.
了解科学如何在公共领域被消费,对于更深入地理解科学在人类社会中的作用至关重要。虽然科学得到了公共资金的大力支持,但普遍的描述表明,科学研究仍然是一种孤立的或“象牙塔”的活动,与公共用途的联系很弱,研究质量与公共用途之间的关系很少,科学资助与公共用途之间的对应关系也很少。本文介绍了一个测量框架来检查科学的公共产品特征,使我们能够研究科学的公共用途,科学的公共资助,以及使用和资助之间的关系。具体来说,我们整合了五个大型数据集,这些数据集将所有科学领域的科学出版物与其上游资助支持和下游公共使用联系起来,涉及三个公共领域——政府文件、新闻媒体和市场发明。我们发现,科学的公共用途是极其多样化的,不同的公共领域在不同的科学领域中有着鲜明的特征。然而,在这些差异中,我们在科学与社会之间的界面中发现了关键的一致形式。首先,尽管人们担心公众不参与高质量的科学,但我们发现,在每个科学领域和公共领域,公众消费的东西与科学中具有高度影响力的东西之间存在普遍的一致性。其次,尽管有无数因素支撑着科学的公共资助,但由此产生的跨领域分配与该领域的集体公共使用呈现出惊人的一致性。总体而言,科学的公共使用呈现出丰富的专业消费格局,但科学和社会在科学使用、公共使用和资助之间有着显著的、可量化的一致性。国家经济研究局工作论文系列的机构订阅者和发展中国家的居民可以在www.nber.org免费下载本文。
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引用次数: 6
Emerging Trends Towards Online Food Delivery Apps in India 印度在线送餐应用的新趋势
Pub Date : 2021-04-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3837117
Samuel Anbu Selvan S. C. B, S. Andrew
In recent times, a growing trend has been noticed in the usage of online food delivery services. With the increased usage of technology, every industry is being re-shaped, to better serve the needs of customers, who are the kings of the market. Businesses which are regularly upgraded in order to meet the evolving expectations of customers are those that can succeed in the long run. It is not the technology behind the services provided, rather it is the experience provided to the consumer using real food technology. With this in the background, it should be noted that even customers who had previously preferred to purchase food through offline means, are now turning to online food delivery Apps to make their purchases. The dining out culture is now being transformed into the eating in culture. And this trend is observed to be prominent among youth (15 – 34), especially in the metropolitan cities where there are constant traffic jams and the heavy population density, which results in even short distance travelling being a highly time - consuming process. The resultant effect is that a greater number of Indian households are being seen turning to online food delivery services as an easier and more convenient alternative. As the usage of food delivery Apps grows in the metropolitan cities in India, a growing trend is also being seen in smaller cities. It has therefore become a necessity for online food delivery service providers to identify the preferences and perceptions of consumers to enable them to meet their expectations. Through this study the historical background, current scenario and possible future developments are analyzed in order to help online food delivery services develop better strategies to improve sales and increase the customer base.
近年来,人们注意到在线食品配送服务的使用呈增长趋势。随着技术使用的增加,每个行业都在重新塑造,以更好地满足客户的需求,客户是市场的王者。为了满足客户不断变化的期望而定期升级的企业,才能在长期取得成功。它不是提供服务背后的技术,而是使用真正的食品技术为消费者提供的体验。在此背景下,值得注意的是,即使是以前更喜欢通过线下方式购买食品的客户,现在也转向在线外卖app进行购买。外出就餐文化正在转变为在家就餐文化。这一趋势在年轻人(15 - 34岁)中尤为突出,尤其是在交通堵塞和人口密度大的大城市,这导致即使是短途旅行也非常耗时。由此产生的影响是,越来越多的印度家庭开始将在线送餐服务视为一种更容易、更方便的选择。随着外卖app在印度大城市的使用增长,小城市也出现了增长的趋势。因此,在线外卖服务提供商有必要确定消费者的偏好和看法,使他们能够满足他们的期望。通过本研究的历史背景,目前的情况和可能的未来发展进行分析,以帮助在线外卖服务制定更好的策略,以提高销售和增加客户群。
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引用次数: 6
One Size Does not Fit All: Constructing Complementary Digital Re-Skilling Strategies Using Online Labour Market Data 一种模式不适合所有:利用在线劳动力市场数据构建互补的数字再技能战略
Pub Date : 2021-04-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3835690
F. Stephany
Digital technologies are radically transforming our work environments and demand for skills, with certain jobs being automated away and others demanding mastery of new digital techniques. This global challenge of rapidly changing skill requirements due to task automation overwhelms workers. The digital skill gap widens further as technological and social transformation outpaces national education systems and precise skill requirements for mastering emerging technologies, such as Artificial Intelligence, remain opaque. Online labour platforms could help us to understand this grand challenge of reskilling en masse. Online labour platforms build a globally integrated market that mediates between millions of buyers and sellers of remotely deliverable cognitive work. This commentary argues that, over the last decade, online labour platforms have become the ‘laboratories’ of skill rebundling; the combination of skills from different occupational domains. Online labour platform data allows us to establish a new taxonomy on the individual complementarity of skills. For policy makers, education providers and recruiters, a continuous analysis of complementary reskilling trajectories enables automated, individual and far-sighted suggestions on the value of learning a new skill in a future of technological disruption.
数字技术正在从根本上改变我们的工作环境和对技能的需求,某些工作正在被自动化取代,而另一些工作则需要掌握新的数字技术。由于任务自动化导致的技能需求快速变化的全球挑战使工人不堪重负。数字技能差距进一步扩大,因为技术和社会转型的速度超过了国家教育体系,而掌握人工智能(ai)等新兴技术的精确技能要求仍然不透明。在线劳动力平台可以帮助我们理解大规模再培训的巨大挑战。在线劳动力平台建立了一个全球一体化的市场,在数百万远程交付的认知工作的买家和卖家之间进行调解。这篇评论认为,在过去十年中,在线劳动力平台已成为技能重新捆绑的“实验室”;来自不同职业领域的技能组合。在线劳动力平台数据使我们能够建立一个关于个人技能互补性的新分类。对于政策制定者、教育提供者和招聘人员来说,对互补的再培训轨迹进行持续分析,可以自动、个性化和有远见地建议在技术颠覆的未来学习新技能的价值。
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引用次数: 0
Quantifying Trade Secret Theft: Policy Implications 量化商业秘密盗窃:政策影响
Pub Date : 2021-04-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3706511
Dan Ciuriak, María Ptashkina
In the modern data-driven economy, trade secrets are becoming a more important part of firms’ intellectual property strategies. For their part, governments worldwide have been introducing new legislation to broaden and toughen the protection for trade secrets citing estimates of the cost of trade secret theft on the order of 1 to 3% of the GDP of the advanced countries. For the United States alone, this would put the cost of trade secret theft on the order of USD 180 to 540 billion. This note considers the “proxy” approach that has been used to generate these widely cited estimates as well as the extent of evidence that actually supports these claims. It concludes that the value of cross-border trade secret theft is much smaller than is suggested by the proxy methodology and suggests a more appropriate methodology to estimate the value of this illicit flow. The note also advances a number of considerations that temper the concern over cross-border trade secret theft.
在现代数据驱动型经济中,商业秘密正成为企业知识产权战略中越来越重要的一部分。世界各国政府一直在引入新的立法,以扩大和加强对商业秘密的保护,理由是商业秘密盗窃的成本估计占发达国家GDP的1%至3%。仅对美国而言,这将使商业秘密盗窃的成本达到1800亿至5400亿美元。本说明考虑了用于产生这些被广泛引用的估计的“代理”方法,以及实际支持这些说法的证据的程度。它的结论是,跨境商业秘密盗窃的价值比代理方法所建议的要小得多,并建议一种更合适的方法来估计这种非法流动的价值。该报告还提出了一些考虑因素,以缓和对跨境商业秘密盗窃的担忧。
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引用次数: 1
Firm Differences: Skill Sorting and Software 公司差异:技能分类和软件
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3862782
James Bessen, Erich Denk, Chen Meng
Recent research shows that much recent rise in wage inequality comes from growing differences between firms, especially sorting of skilled workers to high-paying firms. This paper explores the role of proprietary software in these changes. Using job ad data, we find that proprietary software is strongly associated with firm wage fixed effects and also with firm skills. Software accounts for half or more of skill sorting across firms. Moreover, both skill sorting and firm wage effects are greater for larger firms. The huge growth in proprietary software helps explain the growth in skill sorting that increases wage inequality.
最近的研究表明,最近工资不平等的加剧很大程度上是由于企业之间日益扩大的差异,特别是对高收入企业中熟练工人的分类。本文探讨了专有软件在这些变化中的作用。利用招聘广告数据,我们发现专有软件与企业工资固定效应和企业技能密切相关。软件占公司技能分类的一半或更多。此外,对于规模较大的企业,技能分类和企业工资效应都更大。专有软件的巨大增长有助于解释技能分类的增长,这加剧了工资不平等。
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引用次数: 1
Is it Worth it? 值得吗?
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.3813443
Ken Akoundi, Kartik Uchil
In this paper we attempt to answer the question about the cots-benefits of modernization of the investment offices. More specifically are they worth it? Four different approaches were used to answer the question: 1) a qualitative perspective, 2) a human efficiency perspective; 3) a technology cost-savings perspective; and 4) a hard-to-measure perspective. Overall, we found the answer to the question to be a resounding yes across all quantifiable and intangible measures.
在本文中,我们试图回答有关投资办公室现代化的成本效益问题。更具体地说,它们值得吗?我们使用了四种不同的方法来回答这个问题:1)定性视角;2)人类效率视角;3)技术成本节约的观点;4)难以衡量的视角。总的来说,我们发现这个问题的答案在所有可量化和无形的指标上都是响亮的肯定。
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引用次数: 0
Do Financial Constraints Reduce Process Innovation? Evidence from Australian Firms 财务约束会减少工艺创新吗?来自澳大利亚公司的证据
Pub Date : 2021-03-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3809505
Siddarth Roche, Sizhong Sun, R. Welters
Accessing external finance for innovation is notoriously difficult. We study the effect of financial constraints on the probability of conducting process innovation, while also considering the role of past innovating experience. Theoretically, we show a firm’s optimal process innovation decision is a function of its previous decision, financial constraints, and a set of control variables. This decision naturally leads to a set of population moments, which we then test empirically using Australian microdata from 2006-2018. Our results reveal that if a firm does not conduct process innovation in the previous year, financial constraints reduce the probability of process innovation by around 10%. Whereas if a firm does conduct process innovation in the previous period, financial constraints reduce the probability of process innovation by around 12%.
为创新获得外部融资是出了名的困难。我们研究了财务约束对流程创新概率的影响,同时也考虑了过去创新经验的作用。从理论上讲,我们证明了企业的最佳工艺创新决策是其先前决策、财务约束和一组控制变量的函数。这一决定自然会导致一组人口时刻,然后我们使用2006-2018年澳大利亚的微观数据进行实证测试。我们的研究结果表明,如果一家公司在前一年没有进行工艺创新,财务约束会使工艺创新的概率降低10%左右。然而,如果一家公司在前一时期确实进行了工艺创新,财务约束会使工艺创新的可能性降低约12%。
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引用次数: 2
Intellectual Property Rights and Indigenous Dress Heritage: Towards More Social Planning Types of Practices via User-Centric Approaches 知识产权和土著服装遗产:通过以用户为中心的方法走向更多的社会规划类型实践
Pub Date : 2021-03-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3807077
R. Ballardini, H. Härkönen, Iiris Kestilä
The chapter explores the role of legal design in tackling challenges related to balancing protection and access while applying intellectual property rights to indigenous dress heritage (DH). First, we address the problems with the current mainstream approach to IPR, where the main focus is on economic incentives, while societal values are generally less considered. We then contextualize this discourse within the framework of indigenous DH, focusing on Sámi DH. Our analysis shows how moving from a purely economic-centric to a more social-planning type of justification for IPR could help in better reflecting societal values into IP. We argue that a design thinking approach would be important to reach this goal and we elaborate on how legal design could trigger such positive development.
本章探讨法律设计在平衡保护和获取土著服饰遗产知识产权的挑战中所扮演的角色。首先,我们解决了当前主流知识产权方法的问题,其中主要关注经济激励,而通常较少考虑社会价值。然后,我们将这一话语置于本土DH的框架内,重点关注Sámi DH。我们的分析表明,从纯粹以经济为中心的知识产权辩护转向更注重社会规划的知识产权辩护,有助于更好地将社会价值反映到知识产权中。我们认为,设计思维方法对于实现这一目标至关重要,我们详细阐述了法律设计如何能够引发这种积极的发展。
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引用次数: 1
Endogenous Learning, Persistent Employer Biases, and Discrimination 内生性学习、持续雇主偏见与歧视
Pub Date : 2021-03-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3640663
L. LePage
I present a statistical discrimination model of the labor market in which employers are initially uncertain about the productivity of worker groups and endogenously learn about it through their hiring. Previous hiring experiences with groups shape subsequent incentives of employers to hire from these groups again and learn more about their productivity, leading to differential learning across employers and biased beliefs about the productivity of groups. Given a market-clearing wage, optimal hiring follows a cutoff rule in posterior beliefs: employers with sufficiently negative experiences with workers from a group stop hiring from the group, preserving negative biases and leading to a negatively-skewed distribution of beliefs about their productivity. When employers have noisier initial information on the productivity of one worker group, discrimination against the group can arise and persist without productivity differentials or prior employer biases, with market competition, and with or without worker signaling or investment decisions. The model generates steady state predictions analogous to the Becker (1957) taste-based model, in a statistical framework with beliefs replacing preferences, explaining apparent prejudice as the result of "incorrect" statistical discrimination. The model also generates additional predictions with policy implications that contrast with traditional models of discrimination.
我提出了一个劳动力市场的统计歧视模型,其中雇主最初不确定工人群体的生产率,并通过雇佣内生地了解它。之前的群体招聘经验会影响雇主再次从这些群体中招聘的动机,并更多地了解他们的生产力,从而导致雇主之间的差异学习和对群体生产力的偏见信念。考虑到市场清净的工资,最优招聘遵循后验信念中的切断规则:雇主在雇佣某个群体的员工时,如果有足够负面的经历,就会停止从该群体中招聘员工,从而保留负面偏见,并导致对其生产力的信念分布出现负面倾斜。当雇主对某一工人群体的生产率有更杂乱的初始信息时,对该群体的歧视可能会产生并持续存在,而没有生产率差异或先前的雇主偏见,没有市场竞争,也没有工人的信号或投资决策。该模型产生了类似于Becker(1957)基于品味的模型的稳定状态预测,在一个以信念取代偏好的统计框架中,将明显的偏见解释为“不正确”统计歧视的结果。与传统的歧视模型相比,该模型还产生了具有政策含义的额外预测。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
IO: Productivity
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